7,990 Matching Annotations
- May 2020
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Background: The COVID-19 pandemic in the Republic of Ireland precipitated the temporary closure of all non-essential services and a nationwide quarantine as of March 27th, 2020. This study represents the first assessment of the mental health of the nation during the initial phase of the COVID-19 response, as part of a multi-wave investigation into the social, behavioural, and psychological impact of the pandemic. Aims: First, estimate prevalence rates of depression, generalized anxiety disorder, and combined anxiety and depression, and identify risk factors associated with screening positive for anxiety/depression. Second, determine if COVID-19-related anxiety was highest amongst those identified with the greatest mortality risk from the virus. Method: Self-report data from a nationally representative Irish sample (N = 1,041) was collected online between March 31 and April 5; the first week of the Republic of Ireland’s nationwide quarantine measures. Results: A substantial proportion of people screened positive for depression (22.77%), generalized anxiety (20.00%), and anxiety/depression (27.67%). Screening positive for anxiety/depression was associated with younger age, female sex, loss of income due to COVID-19, COVID-19 infection, and higher perceived risk of COVID-19 infection. Citizens aged 65 and older reported significantly higher levels of COVID-19 anxiety than adults aged 18-34. Sex, underlying health conditions, and proximity to COVID-19 deaths were not associated with COVID-19 anxiety. Conclusions: Government responses to the current pandemic should ensure that measures protect not only the population’s physical health, but its mental health also, as an equally important component of health and wellbeing.
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The COVID-19 pandemic substantially changed daily life in ways that may impact mental health. This study compared a nationally representative online sample of 2,032 U.S. adults in late April 2020 to 19,330 U.S. adult internet users who participated in the 2018 National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) using the Kessler-6 scale of mental distress in the last 30 days. Compared to the 2018 NHIS sample, U.S. adults in April 2020 were eight times more likely to fit criteria for serious mental illness (27.7% vs. 3.4%) and three times more likely to fit criteria for moderate or serious mental illness (70.4% vs. 22.0%). Differences between the 2018 and 2020 samples appeared across all demographic groups, with larger differences among younger adults and those with children in the household. These considerable levels of mental distress may portend substantial increases in diagnosed mental disorders and in the morbidity and mortality associated with them.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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The aim of this study was to analyze the psychological impact of COVID-19 in the university community during the first weeks of confinement. A cross-sectional study was conducted. The Depression Anxiety Stress Scale (DASS-21) was employed to assess symptoms of depression, anxiety and stress. The emotional impact of the situation was analyzed using the Impact of Event Scale. An online survey was fulfilled by 2530 members of the University of Valladolid, in Spain. Moderate to extremely severe scores of anxiety, depression, and stress were reported by 21.34%, 34.19% and 28.14% of the respondents, respectively. A total of 50.43% of respondents presented moderate to severe impact of the outbreak. Students from Arts & Humanities and Social Sciences & Law showed higher scores related to anxiety, depression, stress and impact of event with respect to students from Engineering & Architecture. University staff presented lower scores in all measures compared to students, who seem to have suffered an important psychological impact during the first weeks of the COVID-19 lockdown. In order to provide timely crisis-oriented psychological services and to take preventive measures in future pandemic situations, mental health in university students should be carefully monitored.
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www.economist.com www.economist.com
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And also, in the process, their citizens
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Changes to our social settings caused by migration, cultural change or pandemics mean that we must learn and adapt to new social norms. Building on the notion that social norms provide a group of individuals with behavioural prescriptions and therefore can be inferred from individuals’ behaviour, I examined how two features of the behavioural patterns of social norms— saliency and valence —affect learning and adaptation. Using a multiplayer star-harvest game, I found that participants initially complied with a variety of social norms exhibited by the other players in the game. Yet after gaining experience with competitive norms, participants did not adapt their behaviour when playing with polite players. This lack of adaptation was explained by the combined contribution of an active and salient behavioural pattern and its negative outcome for others. A computational model fitting procedure suggested that saliency affected learning rates as players learned more from active behaviour than from passive behaviour, while negative outcomes were more readily generalized from one player to others. These results provide a novel cognitive foundation for social norm learning and adaptation and can inform future investigations of cross-cultural differences and social adaptation.
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www.washingtonpost.com www.washingtonpost.com
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Our new survey finds ordinary people correcting misinformation, quickly.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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As the current pandemic situation evolves, urges have been made to focus efforts toward examining the mental health status of the general population. This large-scale epidemiological investigation assesses the prevalence of depression and anxiety associated with the mitigation strategies aimed at impeding viral transmission chains during the COVID-19 pandemic. A representative sample of 10084 adults participated in the study. The results reveal that the globally ubiquitous mitigation strategies involving lockdowns, social distancing, quarantine, and isolation are associated with two to threefold increases in anxiety and depression symptoms. Risk factors and protective factors associated with these psychiatric symptoms were identified. Finally, factors associated with adherence rates to these mitigation strategies were investigated. The presented time-sensitive findings provide health-policy makers and government officials with a foundation for making informed decisions concerning the mental health impacts of the contemporaneously in-practice disease containment strategies, and suggests ways of increasing adherence to these protocols while simultaneously protecting the general public against detrimental mental health effects.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Research has demonstrated that situational factors such as perceived threats to the social order activate latent authoritarianism. The deadly COVID-19 pandemic presents a rare opportunity to test whether existential threat stemming from an indiscriminate virus moderates the relationship between authoritarianism and political attitudes toward the nation and outgroups. Using data from a large, nationally representative sample of adults in the UK (N = 2,025) collected during the first week of strict lockdown measures (23-28 March 2020), we find that the associations between right-wing authoritarianism and 1) nationalism and 2) anti-immigrant attitudes are conditional on levels of perceived threat. As anxiety about the COVID-19 pandemic increases, so too does the effect of right-wing authoritarianism on those political outcomes. Thus, it appears that grave threats to humanity from the COVID-19 pandemic activate authoritarians in society, which in turn, shifts opinion toward nationalistic and anti-immigrant sentiments.
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Large-scale health crises, such as the Covid-19 pandemic, may evoke negative affective responses, which are closely linked to psychological maladjustment and psychopathology. Here, we shed light on the role of the personality trait neuroticism in predicting who is at risk and why. In a large-scale experience-sampling study based on a German convenience sample (N = 1,609; 38,120 momentary reports), individuals high in neuroticism experienced more negative affect in their daily lives during the Covid-19 pandemic. The effects of neuroticism on negative affect were substantially stronger than those of sociodemographic factors and personally experienced health threats. Underlying mechanisms included (a) higher attention to Covid-19-related information and higher engagement in Covid-19-related worries (crisis preoccupation), and (b) stronger negative affect during this preoccupation (affective reactivity). These findings highlight that global pandemics put not only people’s physical health at stake but also their psychological well-being and offer concrete starting points for large-scale prevention efforts.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Results of a three-wave longitudinal study conducted in the first four weeks of the COVID-19 pandemic in Poland (N = 889) indicate that right wing-authoritarianism increased as the pandemic unfolded, predicting significant growth in national cohesion and in the belief that non-traditional women and sexual minorities threaten the national survival. Latent growth curve modeling indicated linear, inter-related increases in those variables (but not in self-reported political conservatism, social dominance orientation, ambivalent sexism or outgroup hostility) across the three waves. Cross-lagged panel analysis supported the predicted directionality of the relationships. The results are in line with terror management theory predicting that self-continuity concerns increased under mortality salience should motivate investment in cohesive groups and rejection of those dissenters who threaten the prospects of national survival. The results are also in line with findings that the threat of infectious disease increases conformity and ingroup cohesion and sexual prejudice.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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In the context of Covid-19 pandemic, barrier gestures such as regular hand washing, social distancing, and wearing face mask are highly recommended. Critically, interpersonal distances depend on the physical and emotional dimensions involved in social interaction, two factors that might be affected by the current Covid-19 context. In the present internet-based experimental study, we analyzed the preferred interpersonal distance of 461 participants, when facing a virtual character either wearing a face mask or displaying a neutral, happy or angry facial expression. The results showed that interpersonal distance is significantly reduced when the characters wear a face mask compared to other conditions. Importantly, it was also reduced in participants already infected with Covid-19, or living in a low-risk area. The present findings are of dramatic importance as they indicate that the general requirement to wear a mask in social contexts can have deleterious effects, interfering with social distancing recommendations.
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Most countries have implemented nationwide lockdown policies aimed to decelerate the spread of SARS-CoV-2. Epidemiologists have recently discussed scenarios according to which these policies would need to be extended and/or intensified. To illuminate how the general public might react to such scenarios, we assessed Germans’ endorsement of and compliance with five specific scenarios. Results show that, in general, length of lockdown plays a more important role than intensity. Although half of the respondents reject any further extensions or intensifications, 20% would endorse long-term strategies if necessary. Simulations predicting the effects of different lockdown scenarios should take the public’s endorsement of and compliance with these scenarios into account.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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The COVID-19 Psychological Research Consortium (C19PRC) Study aims to assess and monitor the psychological and social impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic in the general population, using longitudinal surveys and mixed-methods studies in multiple countries. The first strand of the study, an internet-based panel survey, was launched in the UK in March 2020 during the earliest stages of the pandemic in that country (hereafter referred to as C19PRC-UKW1). This paper describes (1) the development, design and content for C19PRC-UKW1, which was informed by the extant evidence base on the psychosocial impact of previous global outbreaks of similar severe acute respiratory syndromes (e.g. SARS, H1N1, MERS); (2) the specific socio-economic and political context of the C19PRC-UKW1; (3) the recruitment of a large sample of UK adults aged 18 years and older (n=2025) via an internet-based panel survey; (4) the representativeness of the C19PRC-UKW1 sample compared to the UK adult population in terms of important sociodemographic characteristics (e.g. age, sex, household income, etc.); and (5) future plans for C19PRC Study including follow-up survey waves in the UK, supplementary non-survey based study strands linking from the C19PRC-UKW1 and the roll-out of the study to other countries.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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This preliminary, exploratory and qualitative report aimed at at raising public debate on the topic of psychological consequences of Covid-19 lockdown in children. Results are exploratory and conclusions are speculative and must be confirmed through further rigorous studies. Our preliminary data suggests that during the first month of quarantine, the pandemic had an important effect on children's emotions and behavior. One in four children (26.48%) showed the regressive symptom of the demand for physical proximity to their parents during the night and almost one in five (18.17%) manifested fears that they never had before. Half of the children (53.53%) showed increased irritability, intolerance to rules, whims and excessive demands, and one in five presented mood changes (21.17%) and sleep problems including difficulty falling asleep, agitation, and frequent waking up (19.99%). One in three (34.26%) displayed nervousness about the topic of pandemic when it was mentioned at home or on TV. Almost one in three (31.38%) seemed calmer and one in two (49.57%) seemed wiser and more thoughtful. Almost all (92.57%) seemed able to adapt to the pandemic restrictions; even though one in two (43.26%) seemed more listless to the activities they were used to perform before the pandemic including playing, studying, and gaming.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Mental health problems are common in pregnancy, typically affecting between 10-25% of pregnant individuals. Elevated symptoms of depression and anxiety can negatively impact both the pregnant individual and developing fetus. The current COVID-19 pandemic is a unique stressor with potentially wide-ranging consequences for pregnancy and beyond. We assessed symptoms of anxiety and depression among pregnant individuals during the current COVID-19 pandemic and determined factors that were associated with psychological distress. 1987 pregnant participants were surveyed across Canada in April 2020. The assessment included questions about COVID-19-related stress and standardized measures of depression, anxiety, pregnancy-related anxiety, sleep and social support. We found substantially elevated psychological distress compared to similar pre-pandemic pregnancy cohorts, with 37% reporting clinically relevant symptoms of depression, 57% reporting clinically relevant symptoms of anxiety, and 68% reporting elevated pregnancy-related anxiety. Higher levels of social support and longer sleep duration were associated with lower psychological symptoms across domains. This study shows concerningly elevated levels of psychological distress among pregnant individuals during the COVID-19 pandemic, that may have long-term impacts on their children. Potential intervention targets are needed in addition to improving protective factors related to increased social support and sleep -- these should be urgently considered to mitigate long-term negative outcomes
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Abstract This report presents a rapid review of the evidence on reflective practice in crisis situations. In the light of the current Covid-19 pandemic we asked the question “What lessons can we learn about the value of reflective practice that may be of service to our health professionals on the front line”. A search of Scopus (with no date restrictions was made. A total of 56 papers were identified. After review of titles and abstract 34 papers were rejected as not being relevant. The remaining 22 papers were reviewed and their findings synthesised. Most of the papers (n=9) were reflections on relevant experiences. Five were commentaries, six reported the findings from qualitative studies and two reported findings from cross sectional surveys. The findings and recommendations can be presented in terms of strategies that can be employed when preparing for a crisis, when in the midst of a crisis and following conclusion of a crisis. There are two key recommendations identified from the review: 1. There are things we can do now: The importance right now of ensuring that staff have both time and a safe space in which they can reflect on their experiences either with fellow staff or via peer- facilitated reflections. That way those staff who wish to, could be supported to reflect on and process their after a difficult shift. 2. There are things we can think about in the mid to longer term: the importance of organisations learning from the pandemic. Post pandemic, perhaps developing simulations, but also formally engaging in structured reflective practice to ensure practical skills are honed and lessons learned and b) paying attention to the organisational culture and ensuring that reflective practice is embedded as ‘business as usual’ Underpinning these two points are a range of issues organisations should bear in mind. These include: • Supportive and encouraging organisational culture that recognises the importance of embedding reflective practice in everyday work • Leaders should themselves be involved in the process of reflection as participants • Staff need time and space to reflect on their experiences
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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In the service of reducing disease transmission through interpersonal contact, humans have evolved a behavioral immune system that facilitates identification and avoidance of environmental pathogens. One behavioral strategy in response to pathogenic threat is the adoption of interpersonal reticence. However, reticence may impede status acquisition, a process that necessarily fosters distinctiveness from the rest of the group that affords increased access to resources. The current program of research tested whether activation of pathogen-avoidant motives through priming fosters reticence related to status, namely disinterest in pursuing a group leadership position (Study 1) or disinterest in accepting a group leadership position when led to believe one has been selected by others (Study 2). Results indicated that those high in germ aversion were particularly interested in pursuing leadership as a form of status, with disease salience unexpectedly heightening status motives among those low in germ aversion. Furthermore, those high in perceived infectability reported reluctance in accepting high-status positions, although disease salience heightened interest in accepting a leadership role. We contextualize these findings by identifying the dispositional and situational factors that foster individuals to invoke a motivational tradeoff between status and pathogen-avoidant motives.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Background: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is having a profound impact on the global population. The pandemic may raise additional, unique challenges for individuals with experience of eating disorders. Many factors have potential for detrimental impacts on psychological wellbeing and eating disorder recovery, including: Disruption to living situations, ‘social distancing’ restrictions, difficult access to healthcare, and societal changes to food behaviours and technology usage. To date, little is known on the impact of the pandemic on this population. Method: A mixed-methods online survey was used to gather data from individuals currently experiencing, or in recovery from, an eating disorder during the early stages of the UK pandemic lockdown. Results: Findings suggest that the COVID-19 pandemic is having a profound, negative impact upon individuals with experience of eating disorders. 7 key themes are identified: Disruption to living situation, increased social isolation and reduced access to usual support networks, changes to physical activity rates, reduced access to healthcare services, disruption to routine and perceived control, changes to relationship with food, and increased exposure to triggering public messages. The results suggest detrimental impacts on psychological wellbeing including decreased feelings of control, increased feelings of social isolation, increased rumination about disordered eating, and low feelings of social support. Conclusions: This research demonstrates how the ED population is at significant risk of negative impacts of pandemics. There is a vital need for interventions to support this population during such events. Inequalities in healthcare provision were also identified, emphasising a need for a more cohesive approach to remote ED treatment across UK healthcare services. Positive aspects of technology use were identified but the results suggest a need to address and/or limit the potential for negative impacts of public messages around food and exercise behaviours, and to co-design technologies with people with EDs to facilitate effective treatment.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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In the wake of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, US organizations that provide applied behavior analysis (ABA) programs to individuals with autism spectrum disorder (ASD) have implemented a variety of safety precautions to minimize the spread of the virus, often shifting center-based services to the home or telehealth. Considered essential workers, ABA providers are exempt from government directives to close, so they have both the freedom and heavy responsibility to make their own decisions about how best to keep their clients safe while continuing to provide medically necessary services. In the coming weeks and months, ABA providers will be faced with the decision about whether to reopen centers. This article does not address that decision, except to acknowledge the urgency to reopen, both to help clients and remain solvent. Political rhetoric and contradictory public information further complicate this daunting decision. Because ABA providers do not have legal guidance to shift the burden of such decisions to local and state regulators, the burden is theirs alone. The unprecedented nature of the COVID-19 pandemic means that no decision is clearly wrong or right, and every decision has consequences. Although ABA providers do not have their own state guidance, many states have issued guidelines for childcare providers whose operations have continued throughout the pandemic. This article analyzes that guidance, identifies common variables potentially relevant to ABA organizations,, highlights clinical considerations and procedural compliance, and provides ABA organizations with the tools to make the best decision for their clients, in their community, and on their timeline.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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The COVID-19 outbreak has affected people’s lives across the globe. To investigate how the pandemic impacts well-being, we compiled a large and comprehensive data-set of 2231 working adults covering454 counties across 48 states in the U.S. from social media using machine learning tools. We found that pandemic severityinfluencedworking adults’ negative affect rather than positive affect. However, the relationship between pandemic severity and the negative affect wasmoderated by personality (i.e., openness and conscientiousness) and family connectedness. Specifically, pandemic severitydidnot influence the well-being of those who wereopen to new experiences, who wereconscientious, and those who wereconnected to family. We didnot find the moderation effect of age, some other personality traits (i.e., extraversion, agreeableness, and neuroticism), faith, friend connectedness, or having kids on the relationship between pandemic severity and working adults’ negative affect.
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2In press, TICSABSTRACTCognitive scientists have ramped up online testing in response to the coronaviruspandemic. Although research conducted online solves the problem of data collection, a lackof internet access among low-income and minority communities may reduce the diversityof study samples and, thus, impact the generalizability of scientific findings
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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PROSOCIAL BEHAVIORAND ADOLESCENT HEALTH2AbstractThisstudy examined adolescents’prosocial experiencesas both actors and recipients during COVID-19andassessed whether these experiences wereassociatedwith their mental health and community attachments. Adolescents (N=437; 78% female)wererecruited across the USusing social mediaand reported on theirCOVID-19 prosocial experiences (giving, receiving help), mental health (depressive symptoms, anxietysymptoms, burdensomeness, belongingness),and community attachments(social responsibility, socialtrust, self-interest). Greater engagement in COVID-19prosocial behavior was associated with greater anxiety symptoms, burdensomeness, andsocial responsibility. Receiving moreCOVID-19 helpwas associated with lower depressive symptomsandhigherbelongingness, social trust, andself-interest. Findings highlight the importance of furthering our understanding of these connections in adolescence to help inform post-pandemic recovery and relief efforts.
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Human behaviour is central to transmission of SARS-Cov-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, and changing behaviour is crucial to preventing transmission in the absence of pharmaceutical interventions. Isolation and social distancing measures, including edicts to stay at home, have been brought into place across the globe to reduce transmission of the virus, but at a huge cost to individuals and society. In addition to these measures, we urgently need effective interventions to increase adherence to behaviours that individuals in communities can enact to protect themselves and others: use of tissues to catch expelled droplets from coughs or sneezes, use of face masks as appropriate, hand-washing on all occasions when required, disinfecting objects and surfaces, physical distancing, and not touching one’s eyes, nose or mouth. There is an urgent need for direct evidence to inform development of such interventions, but it is possible to make a start by applying behavioural science methods and models.
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arxiv.org arxiv.org
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Social distancing is crucial for preventing the spread of viral diseases illnesses such as COVID-19. By minimizing the closely physical contact between people, we can reduce chances of catching the virus and spreading it to the community. This paper aims to provide a comprehensive survey on how emerging technologies, e.g., wireless and networking, AI can enable, encourage, and even enforce social distancing. To that end, we provide a fundamental background of social distancing including basic concepts, measurements, models and propose practical scenarios. We then discuss enabling wireless technologies which are especially effective and can be widely adopted in practice to keep distance and monitor people. After that, emerging technologies such as machine learning, computer vision, thermal, ultrasound, etc., are introduced. These technologies open many new solutions and directions to deal with problems in social distancing, e.g., symptom prediction, detection and monitoring quarantined people, and contact tracing. Finally, we provide important open issues and challenges (e.g., privacy-preserving, cybersecurity) in implementing social distancing in practice.
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Introducción: La tecnología evoluciona exponencialmente y la relación médico-paciente no ha permanecido inmutable. La consulta no presencial se torna más frecuente cada vez. Objetivos: explorar la experiencia de la consulta virtual desde el punto de vista del paciente y del profesional. Metodología: Estudio observacional, exploratorio, descriptivo y transversal mediante encuesta online Resultados: 96,9% (n=94) de los profesionales encuestados reciben consultas de pacientes en su teléfono particular; 95,9% (n=93) utiliza aplicaciones de mensajería en la comunicación con sus pacientes. Estas consultas no presenciales les resultan siempre intrusivas a un 28.9% de los psiquiatras, y a un 52.6% a veces. 67% de los profesionales manifestó preocupación por las posibles consecuencias médico - legales de dichas consultas. Entre los pacientes encuestados, un 39.3% (N=35) refirió haber realizado consultas no presenciales a su médico en los últimos 30 días, de las cuales solo 33% fueron motivadas por situaciones de urgencia
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The threat of contagion can twist our psychological responses to ordinary interactions, leading us to behave in unexpected ways
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science.sciencemag.org science.sciencemag.org
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The rapid pace of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic (COVID-19) presents challenges to the robust collection of population-scale data to address this global health crisis. We established the COronavirus Pandemic Epidemiology (COPE) consortium to bring together scientists with expertise in big data research and epidemiology to develop a COVID-19 Symptom Tracker mobile application that we launched in the UK on March 24, 2020 and the US on March 29, 2020 garnering more than 2.8 million users as of May 2, 2020. This mobile application offers data on risk factors, herald symptoms, clinical outcomes, and geographical hot spots. This initiative offers critical proof-of-concept for the repurposing of existing approaches to enable rapidly scalable epidemiologic data collection and analysis which is critical for a data-driven response to this public health challenge.
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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A randomised controlled trial1Cao B Wang Y Wen D et al.A trial of lopinavir–ritonavir in adults hospitalized with severe Covid-19.N Engl J Med. 2020; (published online March 18.)DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2001282Crossref Google Scholar found no significant benefit of lopinavir-ritonavir over placebo in patients with severe corona-virus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Even though lopinavir-ritonavir might not be efficacious in cases of severe COVID-19, we postulate that similar treatments to these antivirals, which also effectively inhibit viral replication, will be more effective in preventing disease progression if used to treat mild disease than if used to treat severe disease. We encourage randomised trials to assess antiviral drugs for the treatment of mild COVID-19.Similar to influenza, we propose that antiviral drugs for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 are probably most effective if administered soon after symptom onset, when viral replication is likely to be an important driver of pathogenesis. For example, oseltamivir has shown benefits over placebo in patients with influenza if administered less than 48 h after the onset of symptoms. By contrast, administration of this influenza neuraminidase inhibitor more than 48 h after symptom onset showed no significant benefit over placebo. Likewise, baloxavir, which targets the cap-dependent endonuclease, was more effective when given to patients with influenza within 24 h of symptom onset than when given to patients after 24 h of symptom onset.2
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Traditionally, center-based Applied Behavior Analysis (ABA) therapy is delivered in a face-to-face format across several sessions; however, given the recent COVID-19 pandemic, many behavior analysts practicing in ABA centers have temporarily been authorized to provide services using a telehealth model. This rapid change in service delivery has posed unique challenges for behavior analysts and families with loved ones who were receiving ABA services in centers or schools. Among one of the most pressing concerns is that behavior analysts commonly rely on direct observation of behavior to make data-based decisions regarding client treatment plans. The shift to a telehealth model in light of the COVID-19 pandemic requires behavior analysts to quickly adapt the manner in which many have been providing services. Although many behavior analysts may be familiar with various technologies, they may struggle to identify the benefits and limitations of each technology in terms of providing telehealth. Selecting an appropriate technology that allows behavior analysts to stay true to the science of behavior analysis is prudent. The purpose of this paper is to provide a review of some available technologies to support telehealth that will allow behavior analysts to conduct direct observation from a remote location. The three technologies reviewed are 1) web camera, 2) Swivl, and 3) telepresence robot. Features of these technologies will be described and compared including benefits and drawbacks of each (see Table 1). Sample task analyses for using each technology are also provided.
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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On March 6, 2020, the first case of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was officially reported in Cameroon.1Tih F Cameroon confirms first coronavirus case.https://www.aa.com.tr/en/africa/cameroon-confirms-first-coronavirus-case/1756866Date: March 6, 2020Date accessed: April 28, 2020Google Scholar As of April 25, 2020, the number of cases had increased to 1569, with 53 deaths,2UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian AffairsCameroon: COVID-19 rapport de situation no 21_23–25 April 2020.https://www.humanitarianresponse.info/en/op%C3%A9rations/cameroon/document/cameroon-covid-19-rapport-de-situation-n%C2%B02123-25-avril-2020Date: April 27, 2020Date accessed: April 29, 2020Google Scholar indicating an exponential growth in the number of cases. Although these numbers already sound shocking, the truth is that they are an underestimation because the diagnostic system for COVID-19 in Cameroon is not robust. Realistic projections in this context suggest approximately 14 000 cases of COVID-19 in the country.A series of infection control measures have been implemented by the Government of Cameroon, including hygienic measures (eg, systematic hand washing), physical distancing, closure of all educational facilities and international borders, interministerial consultations that included the input of development partners, and financial measures allocated to implement this response. The university research community and national media outlets helped to develop and implement these measures alongside medical practitioners.3
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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“For whosoever hath, to him shall be given, and he shall have more abundance: but whosoever hath not, from him shall be taken away even that he hath.” This Biblical verse, Matthew 13:12, provides a rare modern-day example of religion informing science—and Science—in the form of sociologist Robert K Merton's article in a 1968 issue of that prestigious journal. Merton proposed the existence of what he called “The Matthew effect” in scientific research: one that “may serve to heighten the visibility of contributions to science by scientists of acknowledged standing and to reduce the visibility of contributions by authors who are less well known.” He added that this principle might apply not only to individual researchers, but also at an institutional level, and hence that “centers of demonstrated scientific excellence are allocated far larger resources for investigation than centers which have yet to make their mark”. 3 years after Merton, researcher and general practitioner Julian Tudor-Hart published an article on “the inverse care law” in The Lancet. He noted “that the availability of good medical care tends to vary inversely with the need of the population served”.This pattern of advantage fuelling advantage, while disadvantage has a vicious cycle of its own, also applies to patient groups: specifically, people living with severe mental illness. Before the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, the wants and needs of people with diagnoses such as schizophrenia rarely entered into increasing public discussion of mental health issues. Even in professional movements—such as that for global mental health—offering desperately needed help to those experiencing severe mental illness was too often secondary to the more prominent discourse around easily scaled and delivered talking therapies for common mental disorders.
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digest.bps.org.uk digest.bps.org.uk
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Volunteer! Universities, community groups and even the NHS recommend it, citing benefits for society and also yourself. The claimed personal outcomes include boosting your health and subjective wellbeing, but while the former is slowly gathering experimental backing, the wellbeing research is overwhelmingly correlational, making it hard to prove that volunteering is causing the gains (it’s certainly plausible, for instance, that happier people are simply more inclined to give up their time for free). Now the journal Comprehensive Results in Social Psychology has published a more robust test: a randomised study. The researchers looked for evidence to support the mental wellbeing benefits from volunteering … but they looked in vain.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Human decision-making is often swayed by irrecoverable investments even though it should only be based on future – and not past – costs and benefits. Although this sunk cost effect is widely documented and can lead to devastating losses, the underlying psychological mechanisms are unclear. To tease apart possible explanations through a comparative approach, we assessed capuchin and rhesus monkeys’ susceptibility to sunk costs in a psychomotor task. Monkeys needed to track a moving target with a joystick-controlled cursor for variable durations. They could stop at any time, ending the trial without reward. To minimize the work required for a reward, monkeys should have always persisted for at least 1 second, but should have abandoned the trial if that did not yield a reward. Capuchin monkeys and especially rhesus macaques persisted to trial completion even when it was suboptimal, and were more likely to complete the trial the longer they had already tracked the target. These effects were less pronounced, although still present, when the change in expected tracking duration was signalled visually. These results show that sunk cost effects can arise in the absence of human-unique factors and may emerge, in part, because persisting can resolve uncertainty.
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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As of April 20, 2020, 14 068 people have been infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in Africa, of whom 3158 (22·4%) are in South Africa.1WHOCoronavirus (COVID-19).https://www.afro.who.int/health-topics/coronavirus-covid-19Date accessed: April 20, 2020Google Scholar The transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2, combined with the scarcity of crucial health equipment and the challenges of implementing widespread physical distancing and case isolation, poses a grave threat to the continent.To illustrate the potential burden of SARS-CoV-2 epidemics within the most vulnerable countries in Africa, we simulated a SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in DR Congo in the absence of interventions. Using an age-structured epidemiological model (appendix p 1), and assuming a basic reproductive number of 2·72 (95% CI 2·56–2·87),2MIDAS NetworkMIDAS 2019 novel coronavirus repository.https://github.com/midas-network/COVID-19Date accessed: April 9, 2020Google Scholar we estimate that there would be 76 213 155 infections (95% CI 74 156 965–77 800 029) and 319 441 deaths (313 079–324 175) in the absence of physical distancing (figure). Although individuals younger than 20 years account for 42 752 770 (95% CI 41 551 696–43 683 014; 56·1%) of these simulated SARS-CoV-2 infections, individuals aged 50 years and older constitute 280 623 (275 356–284 509; 87·8%) of the deaths in our model prediction. Given the high prevalence of comorbidities in DR Congo, as there is in Africa more broadly, the death toll could even be much higher.3
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A core proposition in economics is that voluntary exchanges benefit both parties. We show that people often deny the mutually beneficial nature of exchange, instead espousing the belief that one or both parties fail to benefit from the exchange. Across 4 studies (and 7 further studies in the Supplementary Materials), participants read about simple exchanges of goods and services, judging whether each party to the transaction was better off or worse off afterwards. These studies revealed that win–win denial is pervasive, with buyers consistently seen as less likely to benefit from transactions than sellers. Several potential psychological mechanisms underlying win–win denial are considered, with the most important influences being mercantilist theories of value (confusing wealth for money) and naïve realism (failing to observe that people do not arbitrarily enter exchanges). We argue that these results have widespread implications for politics and society.
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www.ages.at www.ages.at
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Bei der epidemiologischen Abklärung geht es darum, darzustellen, wie sich ein Krankheitsausbruch innerhalb der Bevölkerung verbreitet: Dafür versucht man, Quellen der Infektion bzw. Übertragungsketten der Fälle durch persönliche Befragungen von erkrankten bzw. positiv getesteten Personen (= Fällen) zu identifizieren. Wenn man weiß, wie sich die Krankheit in der Bevölkerung verbreitet, können Maßnahmen gesetzt werden, die am wahrscheinlichsten dazu beitragen, die Verbreitung einzudämmen oder zu verlangsamen.
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www.economist.com www.economist.com
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Ceasefires are breaking down as America and China bicker at the UN
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blogs.lse.ac.uk blogs.lse.ac.uk
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As research and government responses to the COVID-19 outbreak escalate in the face of a global public health crisis, Vincent Larivière, Fei Shu and Cassidy R. Sugimoto reflect on efforts to make research on this subject more widely available. Arguing that a narrow focus on research published in high ranking journals predominantly in English has impeded research efforts, they suggest that the renewed emphasis on carrying out open research on the virus presents an opportunity to reassess how research and scholarly communication systems serve the public good.
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www.visualcapitalist.com www.visualcapitalist.com
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As a greater portion of the world begins to live more of their life online, the world’s top 100 websites continue to see explosive growth in their traffic numbers. To claim even the 100th spot in this ranking, your website would need around 350 million visits in a single month. Using data from SimilarWeb, we’ve visually mapped out the top 100 biggest websites on the internet. Examining the ranking reveals a lot about how people around the world search for information, which services they use, and how they spend time online.
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www.replicationmarkets.com www.replicationmarkets.com
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Predict social and behavioral science results. Help improve scientific research methods. Earn rewards for your insights.
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www.lse.ac.uk www.lse.ac.uk
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The impacts of COVID-19 and how we deal with them hinge on how politicians, firms and the public respond. What lessons can we learn from behavioural science about how we act in a time of crisis characterised by great uncertainty? What lessons can behavioural science learn about how it can be best placed to provide guidance in an uncertain world?
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www2.gov.bc.ca www2.gov.bc.ca
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BC’s Restart Plan lays out a series of steps that we will take together to protect people and ensure that our province can come back from COVID-19 stronger than before.
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digest.bps.org.uk digest.bps.org.uk
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In basic terms, online status indicators convey availability: whether someone is on or offline, or when they last logged into a particular app. But if you’ve ever anxiously awaited a response from a prospective partner or suspected your friend might be ignoring you, you’ll be painfully aware of just how much weight that indicator can actually hold. Now a new study has found that many users are not only aware of all that online status indicators can convey, but also change their behaviour accordingly. The research is due to be published in the Proceedings of the 2020 ACM conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems.
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www.apaservices.org www.apaservices.org
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Psychologists will need to make some adjustments to testing children during the public health emergency.
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Allyship is a growing phenomenon in many organizational contexts, and the involvement of allies in identity-based social movements (e.g., men in the feminist movement) is ubiquitous. However, the impression that these allies have on their intended beneficiaries is unclear. Over the course of three studies, we explore how different types of allyship behaviors are perceived by their beneficiaries. We find converging evidence that beneficiaries make critical judgments of their allies when their allies engage in actions that demonstrate lower levels of trustworthiness (e.g., selflessness, loyalty) and higher levels of influence (e.g., centrality, power) in the movement. This evidence was observed in a survey of 117 social movement activists (Study 1), and in two experiments sampling 752 liberal women and nonbinary individuals (Study 2), and 305 feminist social activists (Study 3). Taken together, our research documents the causal effects that different allyship behaviors have on beneficiaries’ attitudes toward allies (Studies 2 & 3) while recruiting samples of currently engaged movement activists to solicit their unique perspectives (Studies 1 & 3). We thereby identify the specific ways of being an ally that elicit the most positive impressions from their intended beneficiaries, which can reinforce intergroup coalitions, prosociality, and ultimately, downstream societal change.
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www.who.int www.who.int
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Doing What Matters in Times of Stress: An Illustrated Guide is a stress management guide for coping with adversity. The guide aims to equip people with practical skills to help cope with stress. A few minutes each day are enough to practice the self-help techniques. The guide can be used alone or with the accompanying audio exercises.Informed by evidence and extensive field testing, the guide is for anyone who experiences stress, wherever they live and whatever their circumstances.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Intergroup competitions such as democratic elections can intensify intergroup polarization and conflict. Partisan attitudes toward the elected leader can also shift following an election, but the biology underlying these attitudinal shifts remains unknown. An important factor could be the hormone testosterone, which is theorized to fluctuate during competition and to influence status-seeking. In a longitudinal study of 113 voters conducted during the 2012 US presidential election, supporters of the losing candidate experienced acute increases in testosterone levels on the evening of the election and flatter diurnal testosterone slopes up to two days after the election, compared to supporters of the winner. Furthermore, these competition-related changes in testosterone concentrations among supporters of the losing candidate were associated with less positive evaluations of the winning candidate. These findings suggest that hormonal responses to an intergroup competition may shape how we perceive elected leaders, shedding light on the biology of intergroup relations.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Feelings of anxiety are rising across the United States during the COVID-19 pandemic, and social distancing mandates preclude access to in-person mental healthcare. Anxiety is not necessarily pathological; however, increased worrying about COVID-19 shows links to more severe anxiety pathology. Greater perceived control over anxiety has predicted decreased anxiety pathology, including adaptive responses to uncontrollable stressors. Evidence suggests that no-therapist, single-session interventions can strengthen perceived control over emotions like anxiety; similar programs, if designed for the COVID-19 context, could hold substantial public health value. We will test whether a no-therapist, single-session online intervention adapted for the COVID-19 context can: 1) increase perceived control over anxiety, versus a placebo intervention 2) without decreasing social-distancing intentions. We will test these questions using a within-subjects design in a weighted-probability U.S. sample (N=300). Findings will inform whether a highly-scalable intervention can increase perceived control over anxiety without yielding unwanted secondary effects.
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Im Folgenden finden Sie Einblicke in fortlaufend aktualisierte Ergebnisse Internationale Beiträge zu den Auswirkungen des Coronavirus auf Gesellschaft, Wirtschaft und Politik Deutsche Ergebnisse – Die Wahrnehmung aktueller Entwicklungen im Zeitverlauf
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yougov.de yougov.de
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Durch die weitere Ausbreitung des Coronavirus weltweit wird die Bedrohung durch das Virus für die öffentliche Gesundheit häufiger als groß wahrgenommen, vor allem durch die älteren Befragten. Das zeigen YouGov-Umfragen von Februar und März im Vergleich
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docs.google.com docs.google.com
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Welcome to the COVID-19 social science project tracker. This unofficial, community-driven, open initiative is led by Nate Matias
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survey.wzb.eu survey.wzb.eu
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Angesichts der Corona-Pandemie hat sich der Alltag für viele Menschen in kurzer Zeit gravierend verändert. Wir wollen mit den folgenden Fragen herausfinden, welche Auswirkungen diese Veränderungen auf die Arbeit und das Familienleben haben und welche Sorgen sich die Menschen machen. Hierfür müssen möglichst viele und unterschiedliche Personen an dieser kurzen Befragung teilnehmen. Darum möchten wir Sie bitten, uns ein paar Fragen zu Ihrer aktuellen Situation zu beantworten und den Link zu dieser Befragung an möglichst viele Bekannte weiterzuleiten oder in Ihren sozialen Netzwerken zu teilen. Die Befragung wird etwa 11 Minuten dauern. Vielen Dank, dass Sie sich die Zeit nehmen! Klicken Sie auf Weiter um zur Einverständniserklärung zu gelangen.
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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In economics many articles are subjected to multiple rounds of refereeing at the same journal, which generates time costs of referees alone of at least $50 million. This process leads to remarkably longer publication lags than in other social sciences. We examine whether repeated refereeing produces any benefits, using an experiment at one journal that allows authors to submit under an accept/reject (fast-track or not) or the usual regime. We evaluate the scholarly impacts of articles by their subsequent citation histories, holding constant their sub-fields, authors’ demographics and prior citations, and other characteristics. There is no payoff to refereeing beyond the first round and no difference between accept/reject articles and others. This result holds accounting for authors’ selectivity into the two regimes, which we model formally to generate an empirical selection equation. This latter is used to provide instrumental estimates of the effect of each regime on scholarly impact.
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www.cos.io www.cos.io
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The Center for Open Science and the Web of Science Group, a Clarivate Analytics company, are collaborating to incorporate TOP Factor among the information and metrics available through participating journals in its Master Journal List. The Master Journal List allows researchers, publishers and librarians to keep track of the publication landscape. The online list is a go-to place for researchers to explore which journals are included in the Web of Science, and to help them identify suitable publishing destinations for their research. Now, further assisting researchers in identifying the transparent and open practices of journals by incorporating TOP Factor data. Based on the Transparency and Openness Promotion (TOP) Guidelines, TOP Factor rates journals on the degree to which their policies implement open data, research design transparency, replication studies, and address publication bias. “We are delighted that the Web of Science Group will be including TOP Factor in its journal information pages on the Master Journal List,” says David Mellor, Director of Policy Initiatives at the Center for Open Science. “Diversifying the information that is available about scientific journals benefits authors, readers, publishers, and editors by providing specific practices that are important to the scientific community.” As part of its mission to increase the transparency and reproducibility of scientific research, the Center for Open Science is working to showcase steps being taken by the scientific community to tackle these issues. This includes not only pointing out best practices, but also pointing out specific recommendations for improvement. “There is a lot of room for improvement in the publishing community,” says Mellor, “but the good news is that TOP Factor lets the community see that small steps can be easily taken toward more transparency. And the bigger steps covered by the more ambitious policies covered in the TOP Guidelines are also being taken by journals across several disciplines. This can serve as an inspiration that these practices are not pie in the sky dreams but are, in fact, achievable.” TOP Factor and its data is a publicly available resource, and COS encourages its use by all parties who wish to recognize and promote transparent and open practices. Take a moment to view the TOP Factor integration on the Master Journal List here.
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github.com github.com
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Introduction The performance of modern Question Answering Models (BERT, ALBERT ...) has seen drastic improvements within the last year enabling many new opportunities for accessing information more efficiently. However, those models are designed to find answers within rather small text passages. Haystack lets you scale QA models to large collections of documents! While QA is the focussed use case for haystack, we will soon support additional options to boost search (re-ranking, most-similar search ...). Haystack is designed in a modular way and lets you use any models trained with FARM or Transformers. Core Features Powerful ML models: Utilize all latest transformer based models (BERT, ALBERT, RoBERTa ...) Modular & future-proof: Easily switch to newer models once they get published. Developer friendly: Easy to debug, extend and modify. Scalable: Production-ready deployments via Elasticsearch backend & REST API Customizable: Fine-tune models to your own domain & improve them continuously via user feedback Components DocumentStore: Database storing the documents for our search. We recommend Elasticsearch, but have also more light-weight options for fast prototyping (SQL or In-Memory). Retriever: Fast, simple algorithm that identifies candidate passages from a large collection of documents. Algorithms include TF-IDF or BM25, custom Elasticsearch queries, and embedding-based approaches. The Retriever helps to narrow down the scope for Reader to smaller units of text where a given question could be answered. Reader: Powerful neural model that reads through texts in detail to find an answer. Use diverse models like BERT, RoBERTa or XLNet trained via FARM or Transformers on SQuAD like tasks. The Reader takes multiple passages of text as input and returns top-n answers with corresponding confidence scores. You can just load a pretrained model from Hugging Face's model hub or fine-tune it to your own domain data. Finder: Glues together a Reader and a Retriever as a pipeline to provide an easy-to-use question answering interface. REST API: Exposes a simple API for running QA search, collecting feedback and monitoring requests Labeling Tool: Hosted version (Beta), Docker images (coming soon)
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behavioralscientist.org behavioralscientist.org
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he best responses to COVID-19 involve behavior change, including social distancing, mask use, and, eventually, vaccine uptake. So why has the behavioral public policy community, encompassing governmental behavioral insights units and a variety of not-for-profit and private organizations, played a marginal role?
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Increasing evidence suggests that, similar to face-to-face communications, human emotions also spread in online social media. However, the mechanisms underlying this emotion contagion, for example, whether different feelings spread in unlikely ways or how the spread of emotions relates to the social network, is rarely investigated. Indeed, because of high costs and spatio-temporal limitations, explorations of this topic are challenging using conventional questionnaires or controlled experiments. Because they are collection points for natural affective responses of massive individuals, online social media sites offer an ideal proxy for tackling this issue from the perspective of computational social science. In this paper, based on the analysis of millions of tweets in Weibo, surprisingly, we find that anger travels easily along weaker ties than joy, meaning that it can infiltrate different communities and break free of local traps because strangers share such content more often. Through a simple diffusion model, we reveal that weaker ties speed up anger by applying both propagation velocity and coverage metrics. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first time that quantitative long-term evidence has been presented that reveals a difference in the mechanism by which joy and anger are disseminated. With the extensive proliferation of weak ties in booming social media, our results imply that the contagion of anger could be profoundly strengthened to globalize its negative impact.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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The rapid spread of the coronavirus and the strategies to slow it have disrupted just about every aspect of our lives. Such disruption may be reflected in changes in psychological function. The present study used a pre-posttest design to test whether Five Factor Model personality traits changed with the coronavirus outbreak in the United States. Participants (N=2,137) were tested in early February 2020 and again during the President’s 15 Days to Slow the Spread guidelines. In contrast to the preregistered hypotheses, Neuroticism decreased across these six weeks, particularly the facets of Anxiety and Depression, and Conscientiousness did not change. Exploratory analyses indicated that quarantine/isolation status moderated change such that Neuroticism only decreased for those not in quarantine, whereas Openness, Agreeableness, and Conscientiousness declined for participants in quarantine. The present research suggests modest changes in personality traits across the acute phase of the coronavirus outbreak.
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With the availability of cell phones, internet, social media etc. the interconnectedness of people within most societies has increased drastically over the past three decades. Across the same timespan, we are observing the phenomenon of increasing levels of fragmentation in society into relatively small and isolated groups that have been termed filter bubbles, or echo chambers. These pose a number of threats to open societies, in particular, a radicalisation in political, social or cultural issues, and a limited access to facts. In this paper we show that these two phenomena might be tightly related. We study a simple stochastic co-evolutionary model of a society of interacting people. People are not only able to update their opinions within their social context, but can also update their social links from collaborative to hostile, and vice versa. The latter is implemented such that social balance is realised. We find that there exists a critical level of interconnectedness, above which society fragments into small sub-communities that are positively linked within and hostile towards other groups. We argue that the existence of a critical communication density is a universal phenomenon in all societies that exhibit social balance. The necessity arises from the underlying mathematical structure of a phase transition phenomenon that is known from the theory of a kind of disordered magnets called spin glasses. We discuss the consequences of this phase transition for social fragmentation in society.
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Case isolation and contact tracing is a widely-used intervention method for controlling epidemic outbreaks. Here, we argue that the effectiveness of contact tracing and isolation is likely underestimated by existing studies because they do not take into account the different forms of heterogeneity and sampling biases from the network structure. Specifically, we show that contact tracing can be even more effective than acquaintance sampling at locating hubs. Our results call for the need for contact tracing to go both backward and forward, in multiple steps, to leverage all forms of positive biases. Using simulations on networks with a power-law degree distribution, we show that this deep contact tracing can potentially prevent almost all further transmissions even at a small probability of detecting infected individuals. We also show that, when the number of traced contacts is small, the number of prevented transmission per traced node is even higher---although most traced individuals are healthy---than that from case isolation without contact tracing. Our results also have important consequences for new implementations of digital contact tracing and we argue backward and deep tracing can be incorporated without the important sacrificing privacy-preserving requirements of these new platforms.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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The new coronavirus disease (COVID-19) threatens the lives of millions of people around the world, making it the largest health threat in recent times. Billions of people around the world are asked to adhere to strict shelter-in-place rules, finalised to slow down the spread of the virus. Appeals and messages are being used by leaders and policy-makers to promote pandemic response. Given the stakes at play, it is thus important for social scientists to explore which messages are most effective in promoting pandemic response. In fact, some papers in the last month have explored the effect of several messages on people’s intentions to engage in pandemic response behaviour. In this paper, we make two contributions. First, we explore the effect of messages on people’s actual engagement, and not on intentions. Specifically, our dependent variables are the level of understanding of official COVID-19 pandemic response governmental informative panels, measured through comprehension questions, and the time spent on reading these rules. Second, we test a novel set of appeals built through the theory of norms. One message targets the personal norm (what people think is the right thing to do), one targets the descriptive norm (what people think others are doing), and one targets the injunctive norm (what people think others approve or disapprove of). Our experiment is conducted online with a representative (with respect to gender, age, and location) sample of Italians. Norms are made salient using a flier. We find that norm-based fliers had no effect on comprehension and on time spent on the panels. These results suggest that norm-based interventions through fliers have very little impact on people’s reading and understanding of COVID-19 pandemic response governmental rules.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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The desire for a meaningful life is ubiquitous, and those who find their lives meaningful display superior mental and physical health. Yet the lay concept of a meaningful life is poorly understood. We investigated whether lay people think that meaningfulness depends on one’s psychological states or on the objective conditions of one’s life. Amongst academic philosophers, subjectivists argue that the former, and objectivists argue that latter, is necessary for meaning, while hybrid theorists claim that both conditions must be met for a life to be meaningful. Study 1 found that laypeople do not hold any of these three views. Instead, they consider a life meaningful if it meets either condition. Study 2 extended this finding, showing that positive psychological states can increase attributions of meaning even when those states are derived from senseless activities. However, Study 3 showed that severe immorality, while it does not reduce the incremental effect of fulfillment, can keep a life from being meaningful. These findings reveal that neither psychologists nor philosophers have previously understood meaning in the way that laypeople do.
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Vast majority of 750,000 people who signed up to help are yet to be called into action
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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This study investigates change in students’ social networks and mental health at the time of the COVID-19 crisis in April 2020. We surveyed multiple dimensions of social networks (pleasant interaction, friendship, social support, co-studying) and mental health indicators (depression, anxiety, stress, loneliness) before and during the crisis among Swiss undergraduate students (N=212). We find that interaction and co-studying networks had become sparser, and more students were studying alone. Furthermore, students’ levels of stress, anxiety, loneliness, and depressive symptoms got worse. Stressors shifted from fears of missing out on social life to worries about health, family, friends, and their future. Exploratory analyses suggest that COVID-19 specific worries, isolation in social networks, lack of interaction and emotional support, and physical isolation were associated with negative mental health trajectories. The results offer starting points to identify and support students at higher risk of social isolation and negative psychological effects during the COVID-19 pandemic.
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thepsychologist.bps.org.uk thepsychologist.bps.org.uk
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As cases of COVID-19 escalate exponentially, the British Psychological Society and psychologists from across the globe are working to combat the pandemic and manage its implications for everyday life.
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coviz.apps.allenai.org coviz.apps.allenai.orgAbout1
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Our goal is to help accelerate scientific research, with tools to visualize the emerging literature network around COVID-19. Use our exploratory search tools to find out what groups are working on what directions, see how biomedical concepts interact and evolve over time, and discover new connections.
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www.wipo.int www.wipo.int
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WIPO today launched a new tool that tracks COVID-19 related intellectual property (IP) policy changes or other measures being implemented by WIPO member states in their response to the global pandemic. This is the latest in a series of measures taken by the Organization in relation to the COVID-19 pandemic.
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www.kaggle.com www.kaggle.com
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In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the White House and a coalition of leading research groups have prepared the COVID-19 Open Research Dataset (CORD-19). CORD-19 is a resource of over 59,000 scholarly articles, including over 47,000 with full text, about COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2, and related coronaviruses. This freely available dataset is provided to the global research community to apply recent advances in natural language processing and other AI techniques to generate new insights in support of the ongoing fight against this infectious disease. There is a growing urgency for these approaches because of the rapid acceleration in new coronavirus literature, making it difficult for the medical research community to keep up.
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www.sciencemag.org www.sciencemag.org
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For families eager for schools to throw open their doors, the tale of a 9-year-old British boy who caught COVID-19 in the French Alps in January offers a glimmer of hope. The youngster, infected by a family friend, suffered only mild symptoms; he enjoyed ski lessons and attended school before he was diagnosed. Astonishingly, he did not transmit the virus to any of 72 contacts who were tested. His two siblings didn’t become infected, even though other germs spread readily among them: in the weeks that followed, all three had influenza and a common cold virus.
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theconversation.com theconversation.com
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The evolving COVID-19 pandemic has created an urgent need for scientific evidence, and quickly. We need politicians to be able to make informed decisions, and we need to support the development of effective vaccines and treatments, as well as understanding the unfolding impact of the pandemic on society. The speed with which the global scientific community has risen to this sudden pressing need is remarkable.
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www.bmj.com www.bmj.com
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Dear Editor, In this response, I take issue with the pessimistic view of Devi Sridhar and Maimuna Majumder [1] on axiomatic modeling in epidemiology and defend this way of informing nonpharmaceutical interventions. In "Modelling the pandemic," the authors claim that our current mitigation and suppression measures deployed to cope with the SARS-Cov-2 outbreak are guided by (and over-rely on) mathematical models. They highlight the reliance of mathematical models on certain assumptions and point out at the value-ladenness of decisions regarding the inclusion or exclusion of factors from such models. As a solution, the authors advise making both data and code publicly available to ensure replicability and supporting modeling with other types of evidence such as case studies of policies implemented in other countries, anecdotal evidence from frontline healthcare workers, and studies of previous epidemics.
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arxiv.org arxiv.org
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TikTok is a video-sharing social networking service, whose popular-ity is increasing rapidly. It was the world’s second-most downloadedapp in 2019. Although the platform is known for having users danc-ing, lip-syncing and showing off their talents, there is an increasein videos designed to express political opinions. In this study, weperform the first evaluation of political communication on this plat-form. We collect a set of US Republican and Democratic partisanvideos and investigate how users communicate with each other.With the help of computer vision, natural language processing,and statistical tools, we illustrate that political communication ismuch more interactive on TikTok in contrast to other social mediaplatforms, with users combining multiple information channelsto spread their messages. We show that political communicationtakes place in the form of communication trees since users generatebranches of responses on existing content. Finally, we investigateuser demographics and their interactions with opposing views. Wefind that partisan users from both parties are young and behavesimilarly on the platform. We also find that Republican users gener-ate more political content, and their videos receive more reactions.However, Democratic partisans engage significantly more in cross-partisan discussions.
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2004.05478v1
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www.scientificamerican.com www.scientificamerican.com
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Globe-trotting humans were the culprits
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www.bps.org.uk www.bps.org.uk
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In light of the COVID-19 pandemic it may be useful to explore how resilience can be promoted for teachers at this time – supporting positive adaptation in the face of significant challenge.Research exploring teacher resilience has looked at ways that resilience can be promoted and eroded over time4. This suggests that resilience is a process as opposed to an internal trait. Resilience can change over time depending on the context or situation – it is not a case of having or not having resilience. Therefore, factors known to promote resilience in teachers can be fostered and drawn upon in the current climate. This short paper is a quick reference guide and a ‘conversation starter’ designed to promote teacher resilience. The aim is not to be prescriptive as we know that teachers demonstrate resilience on a daily basis in their busy lives in the profession. We also know that resilience is often community-focused and therefore support is often best placed within pre-existing relationships. We hope this paper provides a framework, informed by psychology, to support what is likely to be happening in some capacity already within educational organisations in the UK. The suggestions that we make in this paper are based on evidence from research and practice.
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There are several opinion dynamics models where extremism is defined as part of their characteristics. However, the way extremism is implemented in each model does not correspond to equivalent definitions. While some models focus on one aspect of the problem, others focus on different characteristics. This paper shows how each model only captures part of the problem and how Bayesian inspired opinion models can help put those differences in perspective. That discussion suggests new ways to introduce variables that can represent the problem of extremism better than we do today. Keywords: Extremism, Opinion dynamics, CODA, Sociophysics
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Multilayer networks have been widely used to represent and analyze systems of interconnected entities where both the entities and their connections can be of different types. However, real multilayer networks can be difficult to analyze because of irrelevant information, such as layers not related to the objective of the analysis, because of their size, or because traditional methods defined to analyze simple networks do not have a straightforward extension able to handle multiple layers. Therefore, a number of methods have been devised in the literature to simplify multilayer networks with the objective of improving our ability to analyze them. In this article we provide a unified and practical taxonomy of existing simplification approaches, and we identify categories of multilayer network simplification methods that are still underdeveloped, as well as emerging trends.
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epjdatascience.springeropen.com epjdatascience.springeropen.com
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The always increasing mobile connectivity affects every aspect of our daily lives, including how and when we keep ourselves informed and consult news media. By studying a DPI (deep packet inspection) dataset, provided by one of the major Chilean telecommunication companies, we investigate how different cohorts of the population of Santiago De Chile consume news media content through their smartphones. We find that some socio-demographic attributes are highly associated to specific news media consumption patterns. In particular, education and age play a significant role in shaping the consumers behaviour even in the digital context, in agreement with a large body of literature on off-line media distribution channels.
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Network theory provides tools which are particularly appropriate for assessing the complex interdependencies that characterise our modern connected world. This article presents an introduction to network theory, in a way that doesn't require a strong mathematical background. We explore how network theory unveils commonalities in the interdependency profiles of various systems, ranging from biological, to social, and artistic domains. Our aim is to enable an intuitive understanding while conveying the fundamental principles and aims of complexity science. Additionally, various network-theoretic tools are discussed, and numerous references for more advanced materials are provided.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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This study examines the mental health outcomes among the healthcare personnel and the general population and the role of socioeconomic status. Eight hundred and eighty-four (884) residents in Nigeria comprising 382 Healthcare Personnel and 502 general residents aged between 18 and 78 years (M = 28.75, SD = 8.17) responded to an online survey with measures of Impact of Event Scale-Revised (IES-R), Generalized Anxiety Disorder (GAD-7), Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ–9) and Insomnia Severity Index. Collected data were subjected to statistical analysis using the SPSS v.25. Results revealed significant difference in the prevalence of depressive symptoms (χ2 = 14.26; df = 4; p <0.01); insomnia symptoms (χ2 = 40.21; df = 3; p< 0.01); posttraumatic stress symptoms (χ2 = 08.34; df = 3; p< 0.05) and clinical anxiety symptoms (χ2 = 06.71; df = 1; p <0.05) among healthcare personnel and the general population, with a higher prevalence reported by the healthcare personnel. Further, socioeconomic status significantly influence prevalence of depressive symptoms (χ2 = 04.5; df = 4; p <0.05). The study concluded that the prevalence of poor mental health outcomes during the COVID-19 crisis among Nigerians is worrisome. Also, the socioeconomic status of the citizens has serious implications on depressive symptoms. It was recommended that better attention should be paid to the mental health of residents in Nigeria, most especially healthcare workers during the COVID-19 pandemic.
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This study examined the psychological distress experience of Nigerians amid COVID-19 pandemic. From March 20, 2020 to April 12, 2020, this descriptive survey used a snowballing sampling technique to select 502-Nigerian with an online semi-structured questionnaire containing Impact of Event Scale-Revised, GAD-7, Patient Health Questionnaire and Insomnia Severity Index. Gender had insignificant difference in the level of insomnia (χ2=04.93; df=3; p>0.05), however, 20.8% of males had sub-threshold of insomnia, 8.2% experienced moderate insomnia and 5.9% had severe insomnia; 32% females reported sub-threshold of insomnia, 12.4% had moderate insomnia while, 3.6% had severe insomnia. Also, gender had insignificant difference in the measures of depression (χ2=01.94; df=4; p>0.05); 55.4% males reported minimal depression, 22.3% had mild depression, 11.9% had moderate depression; 6.7% to 3.7% males had moderately to severe depression while, 49.3% of the females had minimal depression, 26.7% reported mild depression, 14.29% had moderate depression, 4.4% to 5.3% had moderately to severe depressive symptoms. Posttraumatic Stress Symptoms (PTSS) has no gender difference among respondents (χ2=02.51; df =3; p>0.05); 23% of males reported partial PTSS, 17.5% presented clinical PTSS, and 21.6% males had severe PTSS; while 29.3% of females had severe PTSS, 24% reported partial PTSS and 18.7% had clinical PTSS. Respondents reported insignificant gender difference on anxiety (χ2=0.08; df=1; p>0.05), while 51% reported moderate anxiety and 49% exhibited severe anxiety during COVID-19 pandemic in Nigeria. Findings revealed that Nigerians experienced psychological distress during COVID-19 pandemic. Government and stakeholders in health sectors should provide psychological health services for the residents in Nigeria.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Naive observers can and do make a wide range of social judgments from static images of faces. These include evaluations of properties like trustworthiness and competence, but can also include estimations of mental health (e.g. depression, schizotypy). This latter class of judgments is particularly important insofar as these evaluations may inform the interactions between care providers and patients, and could potentially provide diagnostic value if they prove to be veridical. In a previous report, Kleiman and Rule (2013) demonstrated that naive observers were capable of classifying static images at above chance levels according to suicidality: The faces of individuals who had died by suicide could be distinguished from the faces of those who had not. Further, the authors also reported that the faces of individuals who died by suicide were perceived as more impulsive than control faces. Our goals in the current study were to carry out a replication of these important experiments with a larger participant sample (more than doubling the sample used in the original report) and to extend the original report by implementing a 2AFC paradigm that minimizes response bias. We found that while naive observers could categorize faces according to suicidality at an above-chance level using the original testing paradigm, performance dropped to chance in a 2AFC discrimination task. We also did not find evidence supporting differences in perceived impulsivity across categories in either paradigm. We discuss these outcomes from theoretical and methodological perspectives, and outline new directions for further research investigating social vision in clinical contexts.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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People infer a number of traits about others’ based simply on facial appearance. Even when inaccurate, face-based trait impressions can have important behavioral consequences including voting behavior and criminal sentencing. Thus, understanding how perceivers infer others’ traits is an important social and psychological issue. Recent evidence suggests that face-based trait impressions may vary by culture. In the present work, we attempt to understand cultural differences in face-based trait impressions. As part of the Psychological Science Accelerator’s Secondary Data Analysis Challenge, we report a set of pre-registered analyses testing how cultural differences in present-day diversity relate to a) 13 face-based trait impressions, b) sensitivity to physical features of the face, c) and the mental structure underlying trait impressions.We findthat greater present-day diversity might be related to lower trustworthiness ratings, in particular. We discuss this finding in the context of other recent work and suggest further analysis of the mental structure of face-based trait impressions across cultures.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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This study anonymously screened 13,332 individuals worldwide for psychological symptoms related to Corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic from March 29th to April 14th, 2020. A total of n=12,817 responses were considered valid with responses from 12 featured countries and five WHO regions. Female gender, pre-existing psychiatric condition, and prior exposure to trauma were identified as notable risk factors, whereas optimism, ability to share concerns with family and friends like usual, positive prediction about COVID-19, and daily exercise predicted fewer psychological symptoms. These results could aid in dynamic optimization of mental health services during and following COVID-19 pandemic.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Social distancing is the single most effective method to reduce the spread of COVID-19. As such, researchers across varying fields are currently attempting to identify the variables that predict social distancing and which interventions can heighten social distancing. Yet, much of this research relies on self-report measures (in part because of social distancing guidelines themselves). In two studies we examine whether self-reported social distancing overlaps with real-world behavior. In Study 1, individuals’ self-reported social distancing predicted decreased movement as quantified by participants’ average daily step-counts (assessed via smartphone pedometers). In Study 2, the degree of self-reported social distancing in different U.S. States predicted the degree to which people in those States reduced their overall movement and travel to non-essential retail as assessed by ~17 million smart-phone GPS coordinates. Collectively, our results indicate that self-report measures of social distancing track actual behavior both at the individual and at the group level.
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As social robots are introduced into increasingly more health interventions, one potential area where they might prove valuable is in supporting people's psychological health through conversation. Given the importance of self-disclosure for psychological health, this study assessed the viability of using social robots for eliciting rich disclosures that identify needs and emotional states in human interaction partners. Three within-subjects experiments were conducted with participants interacting with another person, a humanoid social robot, and a disembodied conversational agent (voice assistant). We performed a number of objective evaluations of disclosures to these three agents via speech content and voice analyses, and also probed participants' subjective evaluations of their disclosure to the three agents. Our findings suggest that participants overall disclose more to humans than artificial agents, that agents' embodiment influences disclosure quantity and quality, and that people are generally aware of differences in their personal disclosures to the three agents studied here. Together, the findings set the stage for further investigation into the psychological underpinnings of self-disclosures to robots and their potential role in eliciting disclosures as part of mental and physical health interventions.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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With the COVID-19 pandemic resulting in social distancing recommendations many service providers find themselves altering the way they must provide medically necessary therapy. Even with the advent of more advanced telehealth technology, implementation of behavioral programming falls mainly on the caregivers of the clients that are served. This crisis brings to question ethical dilemmas and upends the current ways many programs may have been implemented across the world. As a result, a re-evaluation of how these services are delivered is in order. This paper reviews how a University-Based, State-funded Service Delivery Program (USSDP) provided essential and necessary services during the COVID-19 pandemic. Specifically, the purpose of this paper is to describe how the USSDP quickly adopted a telehealth care model in a program that previously had not delivered services in this modality. Ethical, contextual, and competency-based factors are reviewed in the context of this organization followed by a dialogue on broader generalization suggestions utilizing an active support model of care within telehealth restrictions.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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How does the order of individuals' interactions affect the emergence of shared conventions at the population level? The answer to this question is relevant for a number of fields, such as cultural evolution, linguistics, cognitive science or behavioral economics. In this study we investigate experimentally how two different network connectivity dynamics affect the evolution of the diversity of cultural variants of the communication system. We report an experiment in the lab in which participants engage in a Pictionary-like graphical communication task as members of a 4-participant micro-society, interacting in pairs with the other three members of the community across 4 rounds. The experiment has two main goals: First, to evaluate the effect of two network connectivity dynamics (early and late) on the evolution of the convergence of micro-societies on shared communicative conventions under controlled conditions. Second, to compare the predictions of the agent-based model described in a previous study (Segovia-Martín, Walker, Fay, & Tamariz, 2019) against experimental data, and calibrate the model to find the best-fitting parameter setting. Our experimental data shows that, as predicted by the model, an early connectivity dynamic increases convergence and a late connectivity dynamic slows down convergence. We found significant differences between conditions in round 3 and round 4. We estimate the best-fit parameter combination for the 96 data structures coded. Medium to high content bias, neutral to egocentric coordination bias and memory size of 3 rounds was associated with a better model fit. In the light of the model evaluation and the experiment outcome, we discuss the impact of our predictions on social influence research and possible factors that might help to improve model precision.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Noncompliance with social distancing during the early stage of the COVID-19 pandemic poses a great challenge to disease containment and adds more demands on public healthcare resources. These noncompliance behaviors may partly reflect people’s concerns for the inherent costs of social distancing while discounting its public health benefits. We propose that this oversight may be associated with the limitation in one’s mental capacity to simultaneously retain multiple pieces of information in working memory (WM) for rational decision making leading to social distancing compliance. We tested this hypothesis in 850 U.S. residents during the first 2 weeks following the presidential declaration of national emergency because of COVID-19. We found that participants’ social distancing compliance at this initial stage could be predicted by individual differences in WM capacity, partly due to increased awareness of benefits over costs of social distancing among higher WM capacity individuals. Critically, the unique role of WM capacity in social distancing compliance could not be explained by other psychological and socioeconomic factors (e.g., moods, personality, education and income levels) underlying the compliance with a set of rules for social interactions (i.e., social norms). Furthermore, the critical role of WM capacity in social distancing compliance can be generalized to the compliance with another social norm, namely the fairness norm, in Western cultures. Collectively, our data reveal novel contributions of a core cognitive process underlying social distancing compliance during the early outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, highlighting a potential cognitive venue for developing strategies to mitigate a public health crisis.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Amidst an outbreak of COVID-19 in January 2020, this study, which based on the behavioral immune system, focused on the preventive behaviors related to COVID-19 infection and Japanese people’s exclusionary attitude toward foreigners, examining the time-series changes associated with the spread of the novel coronavirus in Japan, which was one of the first countries to confirm cases outside China. Also, we examined the effects of individual differences in infection-avoidance tendencies and the frequency of people’s daily contact with foreigners. In late January, mid-February, and early March of 2020, this study conducted a panel survey 1,004 Japanese citizens aged 18 years or above living in Japan, and who had registered with the crowdsourcing service. The results indicated that as the spread of COVID-19 increased, tendencies toward infection-preventive behaviors increased, and exclusionary attitudes toward foreigners became stronger. Similarly, the avoidance response against unfamiliar people, including Japanese strangers increased. No relationship between the increased risk of infection and the Japanese respondents’ exclusionary attitudes toward the Chinese but were more negative than that for other groups. However, it is difficult to conclude that all the reported exclusionary behaviors and attitudes were irrational or excessive false-positive errors. People with strong infection-avoidance tendencies engaged in more preventive actions, regardless of whether they were living under normal circumstances or under threat of infection, and they indicated strong exclusionary attitudes toward foreigners in general and the Chinese specifically under threat of infection. We observed a moderating that the higher the frequency of daily contact with foreigners, the weaker the exclusionary attitudes toward them. This study recorded the behavioral and psychological states of people in Japan during the 40 days preceding the WHO’s 11 March 2020 declaration of the COVID-19 pandemic. The data collected in Japan, where the infection spread widely early on, will provide valuable insights for countries anticipating significant social changes.
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Why are open people open? A recent theory suggests that openness/intellect reflects sensitivity to the reward value of information, but so far this has undergone few direct tests. To assess preferences for information, we constructed a novel task, adapted from information-seeking paradigms within decision science, in which participants could choose to see information related to a guessing game they had just completed. Across two studies (one exploratory, n = 151; one confirmatory, n = 301), openness/intellect did not predict information-seeking. Our results thus do not support a straightforward version of the theory, whereby open individuals display a general-purpose sensitivity to any sort of new information. However, trait curiosity (arguably a facet of openness/intellect) predicted information-seeking in both studies, and uncertainty intolerance (inversely related to openness/intellect) predicted information-seeking in Study 2. Thus, it is possible that the domain-level null association masks two divergent information-seeking pathways, one approach-motivated (curiosity), and one avoidance-motivated (uncertainty intolerance). It remains to be seen whether these conflicting motivations can be isolated, and if doing so reveals any association between information-seeking and the broader openness/intellect domain.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Background Worldwide, the vast majority of people have been impacted by COVID-19. While millions of individuals have become infected, billions of individuals have been asked or required by local and national governments to change their behavioral patterns. Previous research on epidemics or traumatic events suggest this can lead to profound behavioral and mental health changes, but rarely are researchers able to track these changes with frequent, near real-time sampling or compare these to previous years of data on the same individuals. Objectives We seek to answer two overarching questions by combining mobile phone sensing and self-reported mental health data among college students participating in a longitudinal study for the past two years. First, have behaviors and mental health changed in response to the COVID-19 pandemic as compared to previous time periods within the same participants? Second, did behavior and mental health changes track the relative news coverage of COVID-19 in the US media? Methods Behaviors were measured using the StudentLife mobile smartphone sensing app. Depression and anxiety were assessed using weekly self-reported Ecological Momentary Assessments (EMAs). Differences in behaviors and self-reported mental health collected during the Winter 2020 term (the term in which the coronavirus pandemic started), as compared to prevous terms in the same cohort, were modeled using mixed linear models. Results During the initial COVID-19 impacted academic term (Winter 2020), individuals were more sedentary and reported increased anxiety and depression symptoms (P<.001), relative to the previous academic terms and subsequent academic breaks. Interactions between the Winter 2020 term and week of academic term (linear and quadratic) were significant. In a mixed linear model, phone usage, number of locations visited, and week of the term, were strongly associated with increased coronavirus-related news. When mental health metrics (e.g., depression and anxiety) were added to the previous measures (week of term, number of locations visited, and phone usage), both anxiety (P<.001) and depression (P<.05) were significantly associated with coronavirus-related news. Conclusions Compared with prior academic terms, individuals in Winter 2020 were more sedentary, anxious, and depressed. A wide variety of behaviors, including increased phone usage, decreased physical activity, and fewer locations visited, are associated with fluctuations in COVID-19 news reporting. While this large-scale shift in mental health and behavior is unsurprising, its characterization is particularly important to help guide the development of methods that could reduce the impact of future catastrophic events on the mental health of the population.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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The spread of COVID-19 is serious, threatening not only health but also life worldwide. To resolve the crisis, governments need to encourage citizens to voluntarily change their behaviour, such as social distancing and self-restraint. This is especially important in those countries where governments cannot stop people going out, congregating, or attending events, or lock down a city legally, as is the case in Japan. Previous research on social cognition has suggested that emphasising self-identity is key to changing a person's behaviour. This study will examine whether reminders that highlight self-identity are effective in controlling behaviour related to the spread of COVID-19: Will those putting greater emphasis on self-identity (‘Don’t be a spreader’) inhibit high-risk behaviours related to infection control better than those using less (‘Don’t spread’)? A two-wave survey of the same participants will be conducted with a one-week interval, during which one of three reminder conditions will be assigned: ‘Don’t spread’ (spreading condition), ‘Don’t be a spreader’ (spreader condition), and no reminder (control condition). Participants will mark their responses to items related to the Japanese Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare guidelines and the number of times per week they go out on a COVID-19 infection prevention scale. Based on the findings, effective and practical ways of designing reminders that encourage people to change their behaviour to prevent the COVID-19 pandemic will be suggested.
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science.sciencemag.org science.sciencemag.org
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A hallmark of science is the open exchange of knowledge. At this time of crisis, it is more important than ever for scientists around the world to openly share their knowledge, expertise, tools, and technology. Scientific models are critical tools for anticipating, predicting, and responding to complex biological, social, and environmental crises, including pandemics. They are essential for guiding regional and national governments in designing health, social, and economic policies to manage the spread of disease and lessen its impacts. However, presenting modeling results alone is not enough. Scientists must also openly share their model code so that the results can be replicated and evaluated.Given the necessity for rapid response to the coronavirus pandemic, we need many eyes to review and collectively vet model assumptions, parameterizations, and algorithms to ensure the most accurate modeling possible. Transparency engenders public trust and is the best defense against misunderstanding, misuse, and deliberate misinformation about models and their results. We need to engage as many experts as possible for improving the ability of models to represent epidemiological, social, and economic dynamics so that we can best respond to the crisis and plan effectively to mitigate its wider impacts.We strongly urge all scientists modeling the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and its consequences for health and society to rapidly and openly publish their code (along with specifying the type of data required, model parameterizations, and any available documentation) so that it is accessible to all scientists around the world. We offer sincere thanks to the many teams that are already sharing their models openly. Proprietary black boxes and code withheld for competitive motivations have no place in the global crisis we face today. As soon as possible, please place your code in a trusted digital repository (1) so that it is findable, accessible, interoperable, and reusable (2).
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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The first-line epidemiological response to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) requires estimation of key parameters, including case fatality risk, and reproduction number, to monitor and predict the probable course of the pandemic. The challenge for public health scientists is that these data are partly a function of testing coverage. The number of deaths attributed to COVID-19 is problematic because the criteria for defining a death almost certainly depends on whether the death occurs in somebody who tested positive for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2. Furthermore, an unknown fraction of the cases classified as COVID-19 deaths had underlying health conditions and were probably already at an increased risk of death. Although some countries tend to attribute to COVID-19 most deaths of people who had the virus, others might tend to register other causes of death in the presence of major chronic diseases, even if the deceased person had COVID-19.As the pandemic progresses, consistent measurement of its scale, across time and space, should be a priority. Objective and comparable data are crucial to determine the effectiveness of different national strategies used to mitigate and suppress, and thus to better prepare for the probable continuation of, the epidemic over the next year or more. For the reasons outlined above, the metrics on incidence and fatality have shortcomings that make such comparisons problematic.
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The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak that originated in Wuhan, China has rapidly propagated due to widespread person-to-person transmission and has resulted in over 1,133,758 cases in 197 countries with a total of 62,784 deaths as of April 5, 2020. Laboratory confirmation of SARS-CoV-2 is performed with a virus-specific reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test. This test can take up to two days to complete, and, due to the possibility of false negatives, serial testing may be required to reliably exclude infection. A current supply shortage of RT-PCR test kits compounds the shortcomings of entrusting diagnosis to the PCR test alone and underscores the urgent need to provide alternative methods for the rapid and accurate diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 patients. Chest computed tomography (CT) is a valuable component in the evaluation of patients with suspected SARS-CoV-2 infection. Nevertheless, CT alone may have limited negative predictive value to fully exclude infection, because of the normal radiologic findings in some early disease patients. In this study, we use artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms to integrate chest CT findings with clinical symptoms, exposure history, and/or laboratory testing to more accurately and rapidly diagnose SARS-CoV-2 (+) patients. We included 905 RT-PCR confirmed patients. 419 (46.2%) tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 by laboratory-confirmed real-time RT-PCR assay and next-generation sequencing, while 486 patients (53.8%) tested negative (confirmed by at least two additional negative RT-PCR tests and clinical observation). The proposed AI system achieved an AUC of 0.92 and performed equally well in sensitivity compared to a senior thoracic radiologist on a testing set of 279 cases. The AI system also improved the detection of RT-PCR positive SARS-CoV-2 patients who presented with normal CTs, correctly identifying 17/25 (68%) patients, whereas all 25 RT-PCR SARS-CoV-2-positive CT-normal patients were classified as SARS-CoV-2 negative by radiologists.
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Understanding the temporal dynamics of COVID-19 patient phenotypes is necessary to derive fine-grained resolution of pathophysiology. Here we use state-of-the-art deep neural networks over an institution-wide machine intelligence platform for the augmented curation of 15.8 million clinical notes from 30,494 patients subjected to COVID-19 PCR diagnostic testing. By contrasting the Electronic Health Record (EHR)-derived clinical phenotypes of COVID-19-positive (COVIDpos, n=635) versus COVID-19-negative (COVIDneg, n=29,859) patients over each day of the week preceding the PCR testing date, we identify anosmia/dysgeusia (37.4-fold), myalgia/arthralgia (2.6-fold), diarrhea (2.2-fold), fever/chills (2.1-fold), respiratory difficulty (1.9-fold), and cough (1.8-fold) as significantly amplified in COVIDpos over COVIDneg patients. The specific combination of cough and diarrhea has a 3.2-fold amplification in COVIDpos patients during the week prior to PCR testing, and along with anosmia/dysgeusia, constitutes the earliest EHR-derived signature of COVID-19 (4-7 days prior to typical PCR testing date). This study introduces an Augmented Intelligence platform for the real-time synthesis of institutional knowledge captured in EHRs. The platform holds tremendous potential for scaling up curation throughput, with minimal need for retraining underlying neural networks, thus promising EHR-powered early diagnosis for a broad spectrum of diseases.
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www.sciencedirect.com www.sciencedirect.com
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With the economic and practical limits of medical screening for SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19 coming sharply into focus worldwide, scientists are turning now to wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) as a potential tool for assessing and managing the pandemic. We employed computational analysis and modeling to examine the feasibility, economy, opportunities and challenges of enumerating active coronavirus infections locally and globally using WBE. Depending on local conditions, detection in community wastewater of one symptomatic/asymptomatic infected case per 100 to 2,000,000 non-infected people is theoretically feasible, with some practical successes now being reported from around the world. Computer simulations for past, present and emerging epidemic hotspots (e.g., Wuhan, Milan, Madrid, New York City, Teheran, Seattle, Detroit and New Orleans) identified temperature, average in-sewer travel time and per-capita water use as key variables. WBE surveillance of populations is shown to be orders of magnitude cheaper and faster than clinical screening, yet cannot fully replace it. Cost savings worldwide for one-time national surveillance campaigns are estimated to be in the million to billion US dollar range (US$), depending on a nation's population size and number of testing rounds conducted. For resource poor regions and nations, WBE may represent the only viable means of effective surveillance. Important limitations of WBE rest with its inability to identify individuals and to pinpoint their specific locations. Not compensating for temperature effects renders WBE data vulnerable to severe under-/over-estimation of infected cases. Effective surveillance may be envisioned as a two-step process in which WBE serves to identify and enumerate infected cases, where after clinical testing then serves to identify infected individuals in WBE-revealed hotspots. Data provided here demonstrate this approach to save money, be broadly applicable worldwide, and potentially aid in precision management of the pandemic, thereby helping to accelerate the global economic recovery that billions of people rely upon for their livelihoods.
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doi.org doi.org
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Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has caused more than 200,000 reported COVID-19 cases in Spain resulting in more than 20,800 deaths as of April 21, 2020. Faecal shedding of SARS-CoV-2 RNA from COVID-19 patients has extensively been reported. Therefore, we investigated the occurrence of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in six wastewater treatments plants (WWTPs) serving the major municipalities within the Region of Murcia (Spain), the area with the lowest COVID-19 prevalence within Iberian Peninsula. Firstly, an aluminum hydroxide adsorption-precipitation concentration method was tested using a porcine coronavirus (Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea Virus, PEDV) and mengovirus (MgV). The procedure resulted in average recoveries of 10.90 and 10.85% in influent water and 3.29 and 6.19 in effluent water samples for PEDV and MgV, respectively. Then, the method was used to monitor the occurrence of SARS-CoV-2 from March 12 to April 14, 2020 in influent, secondary and tertiary effluent water samples. By using the real-time RT-PCR (RT-qPCR) Diagnostic Panel validated by US CDC that targets three regions of the virus nucleocapsid (N) gene, we estimated quantification of SARS-CoV-2 RNA titers in untreated wastewater waters of 5.38 log genomic copies/L on average. Two secondary water samples resulted positive (2 out of 18) and all tertiary water samples tested as negative (0 out 12). This environmental surveillance data were compared to declared COVID-19 cases at municipality level, revealing that SARS-CoV-2 was circulating among the population even before the first cases were reported by local or national authorities in many of the cities where wastewaters have been sampled. The detection of SARS-CoV-2 in wastewater in early stages of the spread of COVID-19 highlights the relevance of this strategy as an early indicator of the infection within a specific population. At this point, this environmental surveillance could be implemented by municipalities right away as a tool, designed to help authorities to coordinate the exit strategy to gradually lift its coronavirus lockdown.
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www.sciencemag.org www.sciencemag.org
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Tests at wastewater treatment plants in France have revealed levels of coronavirus that rise and fall over time like clinical cases.
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misinforeview.hks.harvard.edu misinforeview.hks.harvard.edu
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This paper discusses patterns of public health misinformation observed during infectious disease epidemics. Specifically we group epidemic-related misinformation into four categories: transmission, prevention, treatment, and vaccination. By developing tools, algorithms, and other resources around these categories, institutions, companies, and individuals can proactively limit and counter the spread of misinformation and its potential negative health effects.
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www.medrxiv.org www.medrxiv.org
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Since many SARS-CoV-2 carriers are assumed to exhibit no or few non-specific symptoms, SARS-CoV-2 circulation among human populations may be detected too lately and only when massive human testing is available or when clinal COVID-19 cases are reported. This is obviously a major pitfall for evaluating and possibly controlling the current epidemic. Due to the presence of SARS-CoV-2 in stool samples qualitative detection of SARS-CoV-2 in wastewaters has recently been proposed as a complementary tool to investigate the virus circulation in human populations. If this assumption is correct, SARS-CoV-2 relative amounts in wastewaters should correlate with the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases. To test this hypothesis, we performed a time-course quantitative analysis of SARS-CoV2 by RT-qPCR in 23 raw and 8 treated wastewater samples collected from 3 major wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) of the Parisian area collecting 3 to 4 million inhabitants reject. This study was conducted from 5 March to 7 April 2020. All raw wastewater samples scored positive for SARS-CoV2. Additionally, 6 out of 8 samples from treated wastewater scored positive by RT-qPCR. Treated wastewater effluents showed a 100 times reduction in the viral load compared to the corresponding raw wastewater samples, which agrees with previous work on enteric viruses. We next compared the average level of SARS-CoV2 genomes in wastewater samples over time with the number of confirmed fatal cases of COVID19 in Paris area and in France As expected, we confirmed that the increase of genome units in raw wastewaters accurately followed the increase in the number of fatal cases observed at the regional and national level Therefore, our study demonstrates that the contamination of wastewater and the detection of viral genome occurred before the beginning of the exponential growth of the epidemic. This work demonstrated that a quantitative monitoring of SARS-CoV2 genomes in wastewaters should bring important and additional information for better survey of SARS-CoV2 circulation at the local or regional scale. Additionally, wastewater survey may provide an alternative and possibly early tool to detect pathogens in populations when investigations in humans is difficult for logistic, ethical or economic reasons.
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www.popsci.com www.popsci.com
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Searching wastewater for the coronavirus is fast, cheap, and anonymous.
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Effective public health response to viral outbreaks such as SARS-CoV-2 is often informed by real-time PCR screening of large populations. Pooling samples can increase screening capacity. However, when a traditional pool is tested positive, all samples in the pool need individual retesting, which becomes ineffective at a higher proportion of positive samples. Here, we report a new pooling protocol that mitigates this problem by replicating samples across multiple pools. The resulting pool set allows the sample status to be resolved more often than with traditional pooling. At 2% prevalence and 20 samples per pool, our protocol increases screening capacity by factors of 5 and 2 compared to individual testing and traditional pooling, respectively. The corresponding software to layout and resolve samples is freely available under a BSD license (https://github.com/phiweger/clonepool).
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www.medrxiv.org www.medrxiv.org
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The COVID-19 pandemic is rapidly spreading throughout the world. Recent reports suggest that 10-30% of SARS-CoV-2 infected patients are asymptomatic. Other studies report that some subjects have significant viral shedding prior to symptom onset. Since both asymptomatic and pre-symptomatic subjects can spread the disease, identifying such individuals is critical for effective control of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. Therefore, there is an urgent need to increase diagnostic testing capabilities in order to also screen asymptomatic carriers. In fact, such tests will be routinely required until a vaccine is developed. Yet, a major bottleneck of managing the COVID-19 pandemic in many countries is diagnostic testing, due to limited laboratory capabilities as well as limited access to genome-extraction and Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR) reagents. We developed P-BEST - a method for Pooling-Based Efficient SARS-CoV-2 Testing, using a non-adaptive group-testing approach, which significantly reduces the number of tests required to identify all positive subjects within a large set of samples. Instead of testing each sample separately, samples are pooled into groups and each pool is tested for SARS-CoV-2 using the standard clinically approved PCR-based diagnostic assay. Each sample is part of multiple pools, using a combinatorial pooling strategy based on compressed sensing designed for maximizing the ability to identify all positive individuals. We evaluated P-BEST using leftover samples that were previously clinically tested for COVID-19. In our current proof-of-concept study we pooled 384 patient samples into 48 pools providing an 8-fold increase in testing efficiency. Five sets of 384 samples, containing 1-5 positive carriers were screened and all positive carriers in each set were correctly identified. P-BEST provides an efficient and easy-to-implement solution for increasing testing capacity that will work with any clinically approved genome-extraction and PCR-based diagnostic methodologies.
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arxiv.org arxiv.org
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We argue that frequent sampling of the fraction of infected people (either by random testing or byanalysis of sewage water), is central to managing the COVID-19 pandemic because it both measuresin real time the key variable controlled by restrictive measures, and anticipates the load on thehealthcare system due to progression of the disease. Knowledge of random testing outcomes will (i)significantly improve the predictability of the pandemic, (ii) allow informed and optimized decisionson how to modify restrictive measures, with much shorter delay times than the present ones, and(iii) enable the real-time assessment of the efficiency of new means to reduce transmission rates.Here we suggest, irrespective of the size of a suitably homogeneous population, a conservativeestimate of 15’000 for the number of randomly tested people per day which will suffice to obtainreliable data about the current fraction of infections and its evolution in time, thus enabling close toreal-time assessment of the quantitative effect of restrictive measures. Still higher testing capacitypermits detection of geographical differences in spreading rates. Furthermore and most importantly,with daily sampling in place, a reboot could be attempted while the fraction of infected people isstill an order of magnitude higher than the level required for a relaxation of restrictions with testingfocused on symptomatic individuals. This is demonstrated by considering a feedback and controlmodel of mitigation where the feed-back is derived from noisy sampling data.
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misinforeview.hks.harvard.edu misinforeview.hks.harvard.edu
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As conspiracy theories about COVID-19 take root in the United States, understanding the psychological foundations of conspiracy beliefs is increasingly critical. Our research shows that beliefs in two popular variants of COVID-19 conspiracy theory are the joint product of the psychological predispositions 1) to reject information coming from experts and other authority figures and 2) to view major events as the product of conspiracies, as well as partisan and ideological motivations. The psychological foundations of conspiracy beliefs have implications for the development of strategies designed to curtail their negative consequences.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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In a time of increasing demand and limited resources, diverse approaches to disseminating evidence-based mental health services are imperative to reduce the overall burden of psychopathology. Unmet treatment needs are especially notable for youth; up to 80% of U.S. youth with mental health needs receive no treatment at all, and few who successfully connect with services receive evidence-supported care. Even among those who do receive quality care, the modal number of sessions clients attend is one, raising the concern that clients may discontinue treatment before engaging in the therapeutic mechanisms that make them effective. Thus, the field of psychotherapy is in a dire need of innovative shifts in intervention research to disrupt the continuously increasing prevalence, incidence, and burden of mental illness. This brief column introduces ways in which "single-session interventions" (SSIs) for psychopathology might forward such shifts in evidence-based mental health practice.
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www.yorkshirepost.co.uk www.yorkshirepost.co.uk
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Historic England has launched a new project to record life under lockdown - the first experiment of its kind since World War Two.
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Working with COVID-19 data Participants can also use COVID-19 data for their project description. It might be interesting to link this data to other sources. More on information on how to link COVID-19 data here.
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neurochambers.blogspot.com neurochambers.blogspot.com
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Each of us has a part to play in combatting the COVID-19 pandemic, including journals and Registered Reports (RRs). For those unfamiliar with RRs, they are a form of empirical article offered by more than 200 journals in which study proposals are peer reviewed and pre-accepted before research is undertaken. This article type offers a powerful tool for advancing research on COVID-19 by reducing publication bias and reporting bias in the growing evidence base. As the RR editor at Royal Society Open Science, I am announcing a special call for submissions that are relevant to any aspect of COVID-19 in any field, including but not limited to biological, medical, economic, and psychological research. All RRs at Royal Society Open Science are published open access (CC-BY) with accompanying open review. To maximise accessibility of the call, all article processing charges for these submissions are automatically waived, and to ensure that high quality protocols can be implemented as swiftly as possibly, the journal will strive to complete initial Stage 1 review within 7 days of receiving a submission. This form of rapid review for RRs has never been attempted, and for it to succeed we need your help.
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www.unforgettable.me www.unforgettable.me
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n this this webinar, Professor Simon Dennis will speak about the collection and analysis methods that are applicable to experience sampling data from dense data sources. Smartphones, social media networks, wearable sensors and the internet of things are being used to provide an unparalleled window into psychological processes as they occur in the real world. We will present some of the current psychological research that has used these technologies in the fields of clinical psychology, cognitive psychology, and psychiatry. There will be a Q&A section at the end of the webinar where attendees can share their areas of research interest, and Simon can provide suggestions about which data streams may be useful and how to start. This webinar will provide everything you need get started in experience sampling research.
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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The ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is a substantial challenge for health-care systems and their infrastructure. RT-PCR-based diagnostic confirmation of infected individuals is crucial to contain viral spread because infection can be asymptomatic despite high viral loads. Sufficient molecular diagnostic capacity is important for public health interventions such as case detection and isolation, including for health-care professionals.1Koo JR Cook AR Park M et al.Interventions to mitigate early spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Singapore: a modelling study.Lancet Infect Dis. 2020; (published online March 23.)https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30162-6Google ScholarProtocols for RNA RT-PCR testing of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) became available early in the pandemic, yet the infrastructure of testing laboratories is stretched and in some areas it is overwhelmed.2Corman VM Landt O Kaiser M et al.Detection of 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) by real-time RT-PCR.Euro Surveill. 2020; 252000045Google Scholar We propose a testing strategy that is easy to implement and can expand the capacity of the available laboratory infrastructure and test kits when large numbers of asymptomatic people need to be screened. We introduced the pooling of samples before RT-PCR amplification, and only in the case of positive pool test results is work-up of individual samples initiated, thus potentially substantially reducing the number of tests needed.
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analysis.covid19healthsystem.org analysis.covid19healthsystem.org
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Intersectoral governance for health has long been seen as a “nice to have”- a search for useful win-wins between sectors. In the COVID-19 pandemic, it is critical and occurring virtually everywhere in one way or another.
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The UK government has been accused of paying too much attention to epidemiologists over other experts
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dl.acm.org dl.acm.org
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How can social media platforms fight the spread of misinformation? One possibility is to use newsfeed algorithms to downrank content from sources that users rate as untrustworthy. But will laypeople be handicapped by motivated reasoning or lack of expertise, and thus unable to identify misinformation sites? And will they "game" this crowdsourcing mechanism in order to promote content that aligns with their partisan agendas? We conducted a survey experiment in which =984 Americans indicated their trust in numerous news sites. To study the tendency of people to game the system, half of the participants were told their responses would inform social media ranking algorithms. Participants trusted mainstream sources much more than hyper-partisan or fake news sources, and their ratings were highly correlated with professional fact-checker judgments. Critically, informing participants that their responses would influence ranking algorithms did not diminish these results, despite the manipulation increasing the political polarization of trust ratings.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Inequality has been linked with numerous negative consequences at the societal and individual levels. The detrimental effects of inequality are proposed to operate at the individual level through social comparisons, where perceived unfair disadvantage leads to the experience of personal relative deprivation (i.e., subjective feelings of anger and resentment), which in turn causes psychosocial stress. To date, little empirical work has investigated how individual differences in personal relative deprivation influences group dynamics. In a simulated high-pressure hypothetical scenario, first-year business students (n = 150) in groups of four to six were tasked to reach a consensus decision despite being assigned roles with competing interests, then they individually completed a survey. Greater feelings of personal relative deprivation were associated with reduced group engagement. Personal relative deprivation explained 9% of variance in group exercise engagement over and above demographic and situation-related variables (e.g., stress, perceived competition, role fit), and the overall regression model accounted for 58% of total variance in group. These findings suggest that such negative socioemotional comparison reactions as personal relative deprivation have important implications for group-based decision making and small group dynamics.
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Preregistration has been lauded as one of the solutions to the so-called ‘crisis of confidence’ in the social sciences and has therefore gained in popularity in recent years. However, despite its growing popularity, preregistration is still in its infancy and preregistration practices are far from optimal. Moreover, the current infrastructure for preregistration is limited and is primarily relevant for studies where new data will be collected. This is unfortunate as preregistering secondary data analyses is crucially important since researchers’ hypotheses and analyses may be biased by their prior knowledge of the data, and because the extensive nature of many secondary data sets provide ample opportunity for p-hacking. In this tutorial, we present a template specifically designed for the preregistration of secondary data analyses, and provide comments and a practical example that may help with using the template effectively.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Interacting agents may anticipate their partner’s upcoming response and include it in their action plan. In turn, observing an overt response can trigger agents to adapt. But while anticipation and adaptation are known to shape action control, their interplay in social interactions remains largely unexplored. In four experiments, we asked how both of these mechanisms could contribute to one striking phenomenon: Agents initiate actions faster when they know their partner will produce a compatible rather than an incompatible response. In Experiment 1, we manipulated the compatibility between agents’ actions and partners’ responses, and investigated the interplay between adaptation and anticipation within the same dyadic interaction. In Experiments 2-4 we isolated the contribution of each of the two mechanisms by having agents interact with virtual partners whose responses could be experimentally controlled. We found that adaptation and anticipation exert parallel but independent effects on action execution: Participants initiated their actions more quickly when the upcoming partner response was compatible and, independently, when their partner had responded more quickly on the preceding trial. These findings elucidate models of action control in social interactions.
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misinforeview.hks.harvard.edu misinforeview.hks.harvard.edu
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Survey experiments with nearly 7,000 Americans suggest that increasing the visibility of publishers is an ineffective, and perhaps even counterproductive, way to address misinformation on social media. Our findings underscore the importance of social media platforms and civil society organizations evaluating interventions experimentally rather than implementing them based on intuitive appeal.
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www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
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Try to reach it without a vaccine, and millions will die.
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Recent studies have shown that online users tend to select information adhering to their system of beliefs, ignore information that does not, and join groups - i.e., echo chambers - around a shared narrative. Although a quantitative methodology for their identification is still missing, the phenomenon of echo chambers is widely debated both at scientific and political level. To shed light on this issue, we introduce an operational definition of echo chambers and perform a massive comparative analysis on more than 1B pieces of contents produced by 1M users on four social media platforms: Facebook, Twitter, Reddit, and Gab. We infer the leaning of users about controversial topics - ranging from vaccines to abortion - and reconstruct their interaction networks by analyzing different features, such as shared links domain, followed pages, follower relationship and commented posts. Our method quantifies the existence of echo-chambers along two main dimensions: homophily in the interaction networks and bias in the information diffusion toward likely-minded peers. We find peculiar differences across social media. Indeed, while Facebook and Twitter present clear-cut echo chambers in all the observed dataset, Reddit and Gab do not. Finally, we test the role of the social media platform on news consumption by comparing Reddit and Facebook. Again, we find support for the hypothesis that platforms implementing news feed algorithms like Facebook may elicit the emergence of echo-chambers.
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covid.minded.org.uk covid.minded.org.uk
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MindEd have selected the best advice and tips from our large panel of international experts. For all frontline staff created with NHS Health Education England in partnership with NHS England-Improvement, supported by Skills for Care.
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link.aps.org link.aps.org
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Tipping points occur in diverse systems in various disciplines such as ecology, climate science, economy, and engineering. Tipping points are critical thresholds in system parameters or state variables at which a tiny perturbation can lead to a qualitative change of the system. Many systems with tipping points can be modeled as networks of coupled multistable subsystems, e.g., coupled patches of vegetation, connected lakes, interacting climate tipping elements, and multiscale infrastructure systems. In such networks, tipping events in one subsystem are able to induce tipping cascades via domino effects. Here, we investigate the effects of network topology on the occurrence of such cascades. Numerical cascade simulations with a conceptual dynamical model for tipping points are conducted on Erdős-Rényi, Watts-Strogatz, and Barabási-Albert networks. Additionally, we generate more realistic networks using data from moisture-recycling simulations of the Amazon rainforest and compare the results to those obtained for the model networks. We furthermore use a directed configuration model and a stochastic block model which preserve certain topological properties of the Amazon network to understand which of these properties are responsible for its increased vulnerability. We find that clustering and spatial organization increase the vulnerability of networks and can lead to tipping of the whole network. These results could be useful to evaluate which systems are vulnerable or robust due to their network topology and might help us to design or manage systems accordingly.
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www.thetimes.co.uk www.thetimes.co.uk
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Sir David King, government critic and former chief scientific adviser, announces 12‑strong group and criticises lack of transparency in Boris Johnson’s decisions
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www.bps.org.uk www.bps.org.uk
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The Covid-19 pandemic presents numerous new challenges, and the British Psychological Society’s research priorities workstream has formed out of the belief that psychological science has much to offer in helping societies to cope with the pandemic.
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In the near future humans will increasingly be required to cooperate and share task load with artificial agents (e.g., robots) as they will be able to greatly assist humans in various types of tasks and contexts. In the present study, we investigated humans’ willingness to share task load with an artificial agent (i.e., a computer program) in a joint visuospatial task. The agent was described as either behaving in a human-like or machine-like way and followed a pre-defined behaviour that was either human-like or non-human-like. We found that participants successfully shared task load when the agent behaved in a human-like way. Critically, the successful collaboration was sustained throughout the experiment only when the computer was also described as behaving in a human-like way beforehand. These findings suggest that not only the behaviour of artificial agents but also the description of the agent is a critical factor influencing humans’ willingness to share task load with an artificial agent.
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www.tandfonline.com www.tandfonline.com
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It is often assumed that issue advocacy will compromise the credibility of scientists. We conducted a randomized controlled experiment to test public reactions to six different advocacy statements made by a scientist—ranging from a purely informational statement to an endorsement of specific policies. We found that perceived credibility of the communicating scientist was uniformly high in five of the six message conditions, suffering only when he advocated for a specific policy—building more nuclear power plants (although credibility did not suffer when advocating for a different specific policy—carbon dioxide limits at power plants). We also found no significant differences in trust in the broader climate science community between the six message conditions. Our results suggest that climate scientists who wish to engage in certain forms of advocacy have considerable latitude to do so without risking harm to their credibility, or the credibility of the scientific community.
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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Although the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic reached South America a little later than other regions, such as Europe and the USA, every country in the continent has now recorded cases of COVID-19. The under-resourced public health systems of these middle-income or lower middle-income countries are inadequately prepared for any large-scale pandemic; many countries hope that the stringent social distancing and quarantine measures adopted will suppress at the least the first wave of cases.The leader of one country stands out for the wrong reasons. Jair Bolsonaro, President of Brazil, is facing protests for his perceived poor handling of the crisis. Despite Brazil having the most cases of COVID-19 across the continent (almost 41 695 cases and 3000 deaths by April 22, 2020), he has consistently downplayed the severity of the pandemic, calling it a “little flu”. He has repeatedly and publicly clashed with state governors around Brazil for their strict implementation of social distancing measures, including the banning of public gatherings and the closure of schools. He has appeared regularly on television addressing the nation regarding the pandemic and has used phrases such as, ”get back to work” and “people die, that's life”. As recently as April 19, he attended a protest against social distancing in the capital Brasilia.
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www.scholarcy.com www.scholarcy.com
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Keeping up with the latest research is tough. Millions of new research articles are published each year. Then there’s reports, white papers and company documents. Your usual research tools can find the most recent or influential ones, but you still have hundreds of papers on your desktop – and no time to read them. Skimming the abstract doesn’t give you enough insight into how important a paper could be to your work.
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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On Feb 15, 2020, Egypt recorded Africa's first case of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) 12 days later, Nigeria recorded the first sub-Saharan Africa incident. 2 months later, the Comoro Islands and eSwatini are the only two countries of 54 in Africa that are unaffected by the global pandemic, stretching health systems and nearly paralysing economies.The African Centre for Disease Control (Africa CDC), an African Union body partnering with the WHO Regional Office for Africa, is leading broad measures to control COVID-19. The disease has since accelerated in Africa, reaching 27 427 cases, 1298 deaths, and 7474 recoveries as of April 24. Compared with the rest of the world, Africa's infection rates are relatively low, but there is a growing sense of urgency given the acute absence of health-care infrastructure on the continent.
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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With a population of over 200 million people, Nigeria is one of the most populous black nations worldwide. As with the rest of the world, Nigeria is currently dealing with the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, but in a somewhat different fashion.On Feb 27, 2020, the first official case of COVID-19 in Nigeria was announced. The patient was an Italian citizen, who had recently arrived in Lagos from Europe and who, a few days later, tested positive for the disease. In Ogun state, a neighboring state to Lagos, another patient was identified and was discovered to have been in contact with the first patient. Since then, the situation has developed with more cases occurring, regardless of measures initiated by the state and federal government to combat the virus and return to normalcy. As of April 22, there were 873 confirmed cases, 197 recoveries, and 28 deaths.
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www.bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com
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The coronavirus lockdown will cause the biggest drop in energy demand in history, with only renewables managing to increase output through the crisis.As people around the world consume less oil, gas and coal, electricity generated from the wind and sun will keep flowing, resulting in an unprecedented 8% decline in global carbon dioxide emissions this year, according to a report from the International Energy Agency.
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www.covidcrisislab.unibocconi.eu www.covidcrisislab.unibocconi.euAbout us1
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Our mission is to understand the spread of the COVID19 and analyse its numerous implications on the health of populations, health care, society, the economy at large and its financial and legal consequences. This is done by using rigorous evaluation methodologies across many disciplines. The research aims at helping analyze and design efficient policies in relation to the COVID19 crisis. We disseminate our findings and initiatives through several channels, including academic publications, this website, workshops and media releases.
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apolitical.co apolitical.co
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Opinion: The theory is enjoying a moment of popularity in policy research and practice
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www.tandfonline.com www.tandfonline.com
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COVID-19 testing strategies are primarily driven by medical need - focusing on people already hospitalized with significant symptoms or on people most at risk. However, such testing is highly biased because it fails to identify the extent to which COVID-19 is present in people with mild or no symptoms. If we wish to understand the true rate of COVID-19 infection and death, we need to take full account of the causal explanations for the resulting data to avoid highly misleading conclusions about infection and death rates. We describe how causal (Bayesian network) models can provide such explanations and the need to combine these with more random testing in order to achieve reliable data and predictions for the both policy makers and the public.
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www.jpost.com www.jpost.com
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Dr. Talya Miron-Shatz says more refined decision-making will improve public health
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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In tragic circumstances, it is not uncommon to see an upsurge in the generation of disaster jokes, which humorously depict the macabre aspects of ongoing crises. Many of such jokes appeared also at the time of the Coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) outbreak, often becoming viral. However, little is known about the emotional response to disaster jokes, let alone Covid-19 ones. With a large-scale survey completed during Italy’s nationwide lockdown, we studied the appreciation, i.e., funniness and aversiveness, of Covid-19 humor. Using a mixed models approach, we also analyzed the role of personality factors and psychological distance. Results showed that Covid-19 humor is associated with a mark of aversiveness, greater than for non-pandemic humor. Individuals more inclined to use humor to cope with uneasy circumstances perceived Covid-19 humor as funnier and less aversive. Furthermore, the perceived risk of being infected with SARS-CoV-2 amplified Covid-19 humor aversiveness, while greater spatial distance from the Italian epicenter of the contagion allowed to deeper enjoy humor both related and not-related to Covid-19. These findings should raise awareness on the emotional correlates to Covid-19 humor, of possible support in deciding whether and with whom to joke on the pandemic in social and political communication.
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thehardestscience.com thehardestscience.com
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Disclaimer: Before I begin, I want to start by acknowledging a major constraint on the generalizability of what I am about to say. In this post I will use the term “psychologist” periodically for the sake of brevity, instead of explicitly naming every sub-field when discussing points I think apply to multiple sub-fields of the discipline. When I say “psychologist,” however, it should be clear that I am not referring to the clinicians and other therapists that most people in the general public think of when hearing that term. The work of clinicians is highly essential at this moment; it is urgently needed to get us through this pandemic. Clinicians, and other essential workers, I thank you for your service. This post is about, and for, the rest of us.
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theconversation.com theconversation.com
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More than 3 million Australians have downloaded the Australian government’s COVIDSafe contact-tracing app in the three days since its release. That’s impressive. But not as impressive as the 2 million downloads in the first 24 hours. The slowing rate suggests it will take longer to get to 4 million, and remember the federal government wants 10 million people, 40% of the population, to download and use the app.
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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Every evening we scour those graphs looking for signs that the epidemic is in retreat. New cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). People in hospital with COVID-19. Critical care beds with COVID-19 patients. Daily COVID-19 deaths in hospital. And then the final and bluntly worded “global death comparison”. Those with responsibility for leading us through this emergency have called it “a once in a century global health crisis”. This statement is incorrect on two grounds. First, because we cannot know what the rest of the century will bring. It is highly probable that this current pandemic will be neither the last nor the worst global health crisis of the present century. But second, and more importantly, this global calamity is not a crisis concerning health. It is a crisis about life itself. We have been tempted in recent years to assume the omnipotence of our species. The idea of the Anthropocene places human activity as the dominant influence on the future of life on our planet. Although this newest of geological eras is supposed to underline the harm our species is doing to fragile planetary systems, paradoxically it also asserts our supremacy. Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has revealed the hubris of this view. Our species has many reasons to be self-critical about the effects of our way of life on planetary sustainability. But we are only one species among many, and we are certainly not a dominant influence when faced with a virus that can destroy life with such ease and facility.
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ourworldindata.org ourworldindata.org
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The purpose of this page here is simply to lists all our visualizations on the pandemic.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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The emergence of COVID-19 resulted in a sudden, unprecedented change in context that impacted the way behavior analysts live and work worldwide. Any rapidly shifting context requires behavioral flexibility, in addition to the acquisition of new skills and access to resources that foster resilience in the face of practical challenges and uncertainty about the future. Behavior analysts (particularly novice practitioners) may already be vulnerable to burn-out (Plantiveau et al., 2018), and in need of greater support to adopt protective self-care practices. Such practices will enable them to continue providing effective services to distressed families, while navigating their own challenges. This paper seeks to offer behavior analysts some tools and practices drawn from the work of contextual behavior scientists that can promote well-being and resilience. This includes strategies for clarifying and committing to an overarching value of self-care, acting congruently with personal and professional values across many domains of living, and practicing self-compassion in the process.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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This study encompasses the knowledge of pakistani adult population about the symptoms and prevention of COVID-19 symptoms. The findings revealed that overall, 174 (87%) participants knew about COVID-19; 170 (85 %) believed that the disease is dangerous for elderly or already sick people, and 134(67%) thought that they know about the symptoms 144 (97 %) male and 63 (33 %) were female were aware about the common symptoms of COVID-19 such as fever, cough and tiredness. The current study concluded that there is still a need to improve the awareness of people regarding the symptoms and seriousness of the disease so that people take preventive measure to protect themselves and rapid transmission of the disease could be controlled.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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I replicated and extended Eadeh and Chang (2019; Study 2) who found that reading a story about pollution harming a child increased self-reported liberalism and increased support for environmental regulation policies through greater negative affect (i.e., anger and disgust) (Hypothesis 1). Eadeh and Chang’s (2019) threat-affordance model posits that perceived threat can increase greater support for liberalism or greater support for conservatism, depending on the type of threat. In contrast, Jost and colleagues’ (2003) system justification theory posits that perceived threat asymmetrically predicts greater support for conservatism and greater system-supporting collective action. This article advances a synthesis of these two theoretical perspectives such that the threat of environmental pollution (a) increases system-challenging collective action intentions and donation behavior through negative affect (Hypothesis 2) and (b) increases liberalism, support for environmental regulation, collection action intentions, and donation behavior through lower system justification (moderated by empathy), greater perceived injustice, and greater negative affect (in order; Hypothesis 3).
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Family functioning has changed as a result of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. Research on previous epidemics and pandemics suggest that families, specifically mothers, may be at an increased risk for mental health challenges. The current study (1) described prevalence rates of maternal depressive and anxiety symptoms, (2) identified risk and protective factors for clinically significant symptoms, and (3) described mental health service use and barriers. Participants (N = 643) were mothers of children age 0-8 years, including expectant mothers. Prevalence rates for depressive symptoms (33.9%, 42.2%, and 43.9%) and anxiety symptoms (34.4%, 32.6, 30.1%) were evaluated by child age group: age 0-18 months, 18 months to 4 years and 5 to 8 years, respectively. Risk and protective factors were identified for elevated mental health symptoms across child age groups. Results are discussed in terms of mental health prevention and intervention strategies and family policy recommendations.
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Ethical statements typically involve rules. All rules can vary in accuracy and specificity depending on the context to which they are applied. Codes of ethics often involve ethical rules that are written generally to cover the wide-ranging set of possible situations any one member of the profession may encounter. But, despite being written generally, codes of ethics are applied to specific situations that professional members encounter. The application of general rules to specific contexts can sometimes be challenging and complex. Healthcare organizations have several options to help their employees behave ethically. One approach is to appoint a single ethics coordinator (Brodhead & Higbee, 2012). In contrast, the dominant approach in most healthcare organizations is to develop an organizational ethics committee (Moon, 2009). Despite the popularity of the ethics committee in other professions, it is unknown the extent to which organizations that provide ABA services have established and operate ethics committees. Ethics coordinator roles and ethics committees each have benefits and drawbacks. This article reviews the benefits and drawbacks of appointing an ethics coordinator and establishing an ethics committee. And, for interested organizations, this article outlines the steps and considerations that organizations can use to guide the creation of an ethics committee.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Background: Psychopathology research is changing focus from group-based ‘disease models’ to a personalized approach inspired by complex systems theories. This approach, which has already produced novel and valuable insights into the complex nature of psychopathology, often relies on repeated self-ratings of individual patients. So far it has been unknown whether such self-ratings, the presumed observables of the individual patient as a complex system, actually display complex dynamics. We examine this basic assumption of a complex systems approach to psychopathology by testing repeated self-ratings for three markers of complexity: memory, the presence of (time-varying) short- and long-range temporal correlations, regime shifts, transitions between different dynamic regimes, and, sensitive dependence on initial conditions, also known as the ‘butterfly effect’, the divergence of initially similar trajectories. Methods: We analysed repeated self-ratings (1476 time points) from a single patient for the three markers of complexity using Bartels rank test, (partial) autocorrelation functions, time-varying autoregression, a non-stationarity test, change point analysis and the Sugihara-May algorithm. Results: Self-ratings concerning psychological states (e.g., the item ‘I feel down’) exhibited all complexity markers: time-varying short- and long-term memory, multiple regime shifts and sensitive dependence on initial conditions. Unexpectedly, self-ratings concerning physical sensations (e.g., the item ‘I am hungry’) exhibited less complex dynamics and their behaviour was more similar to random variables. Conclusions: Psychological self-ratings display complex dynamics. The presence of complexity in repeated self-ratings means that we have to acknowledge that (1) repeated self-ratings yield a complex pattern of data and not a set of (nearly) independent data points, (2) humans are ‘moving targets’ whose self-ratings display non-stationary change processes including regime shifts, and (3) long-term prediction of individual trajectories may be fundamentally impossible. These findings point to a limitation of popular statistical time series models whose assumptions are violated by the presence of these complexity markers. We conclude that a complex systems approach to mental health should appreciate complexity as a fundamental aspect of psychopathology research by adopting the models and methods of complexity science. Promising first steps in this direction, such as research on real-time process-monitoring, short-term prediction, and just-in-time interventions, are discussed.
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COVID-19 Futures, Explained With Playable Simulations
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Objective: The COVID-19 pandemic has powerfully shaped people’s lives. The current work investigated the emotional and behavioral reactions people experience in response to COVID-19 through their internet searches. We hypothesized that when the prevalence rates of COVID-19 increase, people would experience more fear, which in turn would predict greater rates of protective behaviors, seeking health-related knowledge, and panic buying. Methods: Prevalence rates of COVID-19 in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, and Australia, were used as predictors. Fear-related emotions, protective behaviors, seeking health-related knowledge, and panic buying were indicated by internet search volumes in Google Trends. Cross-temporal analyses were conducted. Results: We found that increased prevalence rates of COVID-19 were associated with more searches for protective behaviors, health knowledge, and panic buying. This pattern was consistent across four countries, the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, and Australia. Fear-related emotions explained the associations between COVID-19 and the content of their information searches. Conclusion: Findings suggest that exposure to prevalence rates of COVID-19 and fear-related emotions may motivate people to search for relevant health-related information so as to protect themselves from the pandemic.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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The paper presents the first part of the results of a planned longitudinal survey. Researchers asked the question: What is people’s quality of life during the COVID19 pandemic in its growth, peak, and subsidence phases. The survey was conducted based on a sample of adult Poles in electronic form. Three hundred fifty-three comprehensive responses were collected. Respondents were asked about the quality of life, coping with the objectively difficult situation, and about resource gains and losses over the past six months. The results obtained indicate that a high global quality of life correlates with higher gains and minor losses, as well as coping with the difficult situation through planning, positive reframing, emotional support seeking and reduced substance use tendency, low self-blaming, avoidance, and disengagement. Factors that may reduce people’s quality of life during the COVID 19 pandemic are low resource gains and losses experienced over the last six months preceding the pandemic, and coping strategies that are characteristic of those experiencing helplessness. Also, helplessness-based coping strategies were found to mediate both the relationship between resource gains and quality of life and resource loss and quality of life.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Many Indian COVID-19 suicide cases are turning the press-media attentions and flooding social media platforms although, no particular studies assessed the COVID-19 suicide causative factors to a large extent. Therefore, the present study presents 34 COVID-19 suicide cases (aged 19 to 65 years; 27 cases were males). The suicide causalities are included as follows – fear of infection (12-cases), suicide at quarantine center/home without specific reasons (7-cases), COVID-19 related stress (5-cases), being isolated, and lonely (3-cases), tested positive with COVID-19 (3-cases) etc. Considering the extreme psychological impacts related to COVID-19, there emerges a need for countrywide extensive tele-mental health care services.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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This article describes a psychological practice reference to provide peer support via social media, derived from the experience learned from our intervention project, which was developed and carried out by a group of experienced mental health professionals, offering peer psychological support to healthcare professionals working at the frontline of the COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan, China. The authors describe the infrastructure of the team and the novel model of peer-to-peer crisis intervention via social media. This offers a model for intervention that can be used elsewhere for current pandemic and future crises.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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A lockdown of people has been used as an efficient public health measure to fight against the exponential spread of the coronavirus disease (Covid-19) and allows the health system to manage the number of patients. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of both perceived stress aroused by Covid-19 and of emotions triggered by the lockdown situation on the individual experience of time. A large sample of the French population responded to a survey on their time experience during the lockdown compared to before the lockdown. The perceived stress resulting from Covid-19 and stress at work and home were also assessed, as were the emotions felt. The results showed that people have experienced a slowing down of time during the lockdown. This time experience was not explained by the levels of perceived stress or anxiety, although these were considerable, but rather by the increase in boredom and sadness felt in the lockdown situation. The increased anger and fear of death only explained a small part of variance in the time judgment. The conscious experience of time therefore reflected the psychological difficulties experienced during lockdown and was not related to their perceived level of stress or anxiety.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Given the high COVID-19 mortality, the disease itself may be experienced as a life-threatening and traumatic event. Therefore, in the article we try to answer three questions that are relevant to public mental health: Should mental health professionals prepare for the increase in posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) prevalence due to the pandemic? Can we define groups of COVID-19 survivors who are at higher risk of developing PTSD? How can health specialists prepare for it? Given the results of previous research on PTSD in epidemic survivors (e.g. SARS), we suggest that mental health professionals in countries touched by the pandemic should prepare for an increase in the PTSD prevalence in individuals who have had COVID-19. The PTSD risk group includes mainly individuals: from groups at increased risk of complications or who have experienced complications; who were not provided healthcare due to health service overload; experiencing additional mental health problems; healthcare workers; and stigmatized groups. We postulate that individuals who experienced COVID-19 should be routinely screened for PTSD; particular attention should be given to individuals at risk. Mental health services should prepare for providing therapeutic interventions for individuals with PTSD, and support to families, especially children, of COVID-19 survivors with PTSD.
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The World Health Organisation (WHO) announced the new coronavirus disease (COVID-19) it as a pandemic on March 11th, 2020. The pandemic has brought havoc globally as more than 190 countries and territories are affected as of 30 April 2030. The crisis suggests that no country can deal with the pandemic alone. International cooperation including regional cooperation is essential for any country to survive. We are particularly interested in Association of South East Asian Nation (ASEAN) cooperation and performance under COVID-19 because it has been one of the regions where regional cooperation on health security has been functioning based on lessons from SARS 2003 and H1N1 2009. The “One Vision, One Identity, One Community” of ASEAN has merits under COVID-19 response but remains invisible. The method encompasses analysis of published materials issued by and accessible from the ASEAN website, complemented with analysis for media articles including social media, supported by published academic journal articles. All of the authors have expertise on ASEAN policies in the field of health, disasters, and regional policy and planning. Some authors have also worked from various international organisations working on issues related to the ASEAN region. This paper aims to document and analyse how ASEAN member states respond to COVID-19. It asks how to cooperate under the One-ASEAN-One Response framework. This paper also compares the 10 member states’ policy responses from January to April 2020. We utilise the framework of policy sciences to analyse the responses. We found that the early regional response was slow and lack of unity (January - February 2020). Extensive early measures taken by each member state are the key to the success to curb the spread of the virus. Although, during March and April 2020, ASEAN has reconvened and utilised its existing health regional mechanism to try to have a coherent response to the impacts. Strengthening future collaboration should be implemented by recognizing that there is a more coherent, multi sectoral, multi stakeholders and whole-of-ASEAN Community approach in ensuring ASEAN’s timely and effective response to the pandemic.
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In response to the Covid-19 pandemic citizens around the globe were urged to practice social distancing. Although many complied, not everyone did. These violations led to sharp moral outrage about the alleged immoral behavior. However, it is an open question whether violators fully realized the severity of the virus threat. We therefore surveyed (n = 1657) to what extent people condemned social distancing rules violations, to what extent they respected these rules, and how likely they felt that not respecting the rules would get them and others infected. Results indicated that people who respect social distancing less and find these violations more permissible also believe that the virus is less likely to infect them or others. This implies that violators do not necessarily care less about others; they simply see the virus as less threatening. Therefore, caution is needed when attributing social distancing violations to a lack of moral character.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Italy has been the first nation outside of Asia to face the COVID-19 outbreak. To limit viral transmission of infection, by March 10th, 2020, the Italian Government has ordered a national lockdown, which established home confinement, home (smart) working, and temporary closure of non-essential businesses and schools. The present study investigated how these restrictive measures impacted mothers and their pre-school children's behavioral habits (i.e., sleet timing and quality, subjective time experience) and psychological well-being (i.e., emotion regulation, self-regulation capacity). An online survey was administered to 245 mothers with pre-school children (from 2 to 5 years). Mothers were asked to fill the survey thinking both on their habits, behaviors, and emotions and on those of their children during the quarantine, and retrospectively, before the national lockdown (i.e., in late February). A general worsening of sleep quality and distortion of time experience in both mothers and children, as well as increasing emotional symptoms and self-regulation difficulties in children, was observed. Moreover, the interplay between the behavioral and psychological factors in predicting mothers’ and children's well-being perception changed when different working conditions were taken into account, especially for mothers who had to stop working or moved to smart working. Overall, central institutions urgently need to implementing special programs for families, including not only psychological support to sustain families with working parents and ameliorating children's management.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Widespread concerns about new technologies – whether they be novels, radios or smartphones – are repeatedly found throughout history. While past panics are often met with amusement today, current concerns routinely engender large research investments and policy debate. What we learn from studying past technological panics, however, is that these investments are often inefficient and ineffective. What causes technological panics to repeatedly reincarnate? And why does research routinely fail to address them? To answer such questions, this article examines the network of political, population and academic factors driving the Sisyphean Cycle of Technology Panics. In this cycle, psychologists are encouraged to spend time investigating new technologies, and how they affect children and young people, to calm a worried population. Their endeavour is however rendered ineffective due to a lacking theoretical baseline; researchers cannot build on what has been learnt researching past technologies of concern. Thus academic study seemingly restarts for each new technology of interest, slowing down the policy interventions necessary to ensure technologies are benefitting society. This article highlights how the Sisyphean Cycle of Technology Panics stymies psychology’s positive role in steering technological change, and highlights the pervasive need for improved research and policy approaches to new technologies.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Background: Elevated neuroticism may confer vulnerability to the depressogenic effects of stressful life events (SLEs). Vulnerability to stress-related disruption of neural reward processing is a promising neural mechanism undergirding links between stress and depression. Methods: Data came from 2 studies: the St. Louis Personality and Aging Network (SPAN) study and the Duke Neurogenetics Study (DNS). In SPAN, we used longitudinal self-reported data from older adults (n=971) to examine whether neuroticism moderates the association between recent stressful life events and subsequent depressive symptoms. In the DNS, we tested whether this interaction is present among young adult college students (n=1,343), and further whether neuroticism moderates the association between SLEs and reward-related ventral striatum activation as measured using functional magnetic resonance imaging (n=1,195). Results: In SPAN, SLEs prospectively predicted future depressive symptoms, especially among those reporting elevated N, even after accounting for prior depressive symptoms and previous SLE exposure (NxSLE interaction: p=0.016, ΔR2=0.003). In Study 2, we replicated this effect (NxSLE interaction: p=0.019, ΔR2=0.003). Further, neuroticism moderated the association between SLEs and reward-related left VS activity such that individuals with high neuroticism who were also exposed to more SLEs had blunted reward-related left VS activation (NxSLE: p=0.017, ΔR2=0.0048) which was associated with a lifetime depression diagnosis (r=-0.07, p=0.02), but not current depressive symptoms (r=-0.003, p=0.93). Conclusions: These data suggest that neuroticism may promote vulnerability to stress-related depression, and that sensitivity to stress-related VS dysfunction may be a potential neural mechanism underlying vulnerability to stress-related clinically significant depression.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Affect and situation perception are intertwined in any given situation, but the extent to which both predict behavior jointly and uniquely has not yet been systematically examined so far. Using two studies with experience sampling methodology (ESM), we examine how trait-like variables (Big Six, trait affect, general situation experience) and state-like variables (momentary affect, happiness, and situation perception) account for variance in self-reported behavioral states of the Big Six. In Study 1, we re-analyzed data from Sherman, Rauthmann, Brown, Serfass, and Jones (2015) and found that situation perception explained variance in self-reported behavior in logically coherent ways, but only after considering happiness as an additional predictor. These results were replicated in pre-registered Study 2, in which positive and negative affect were additionally assessed as distinct variables. Based on both studies, we conclude that personality traits, affect, and situation perception contribute uniquely to the explanation of self-reported behavior in daily life. Importantly, situation perceptions and affect do overlap, but they are neither the same nor redundant with each other. Indeed, theoretically justified and logically coherent links between situation perceptions and behavioral states remain intact once affect is controlled for, while the links not predicted by theory disappear. These results have implications for personality theories as well as appraisal theories of emotion.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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At the onset of the COVID-19 outbreak we conducted a survey (n=1000) regarding how people assess the near future economic situation within their household, nation, and the world. Together with psychological factors related to information processing we link these prospects to financial well-being. We find that, although generally very pessimistic, a substantial proportion of individuals believes that national and global economy will be doing worse than their household, what we call a financial ”better-than-average effect”. Furthermore, we find that private economic outlook and financial ignorance are linked to financial well-being while financial literacy and the (inter)national situation are not.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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BACKGROUND Digital contact tracing apps have been proposed as a method of controlling the spread of Covid-19. The effectiveness of this tool depends largely on adequate levels of uptake (e.g. whether the user downloads and registers on the application) and engagement (e.g. the extent of usage of the application or its components over time). It has been estimated that approximately 60% of the population would need to use the NHSX application in order for it to be effective in reducing the spread of COVID-19. It is therefore crucial that we understand the level of, and factors influencing, uptake and engagement with digital tracing applications in order to put appropriate measures in place to mitigate those issues. AIMS 1. To quantify the current data on COVID-19 digital contact tracing applications a. Uptake and engagement of COVID-19 digital contact tracing applications b. Examine whether uptake differs between countries c. Identify any predictors or correlates of uptake and engagement 2. To conduct two scoping reviews to identify key barriers and facilitators influencing engagement and uptake of a. COVID-19 digital contact tracing applications b. Health behaviour change applications, including government approved applications, from academic literature and behaviour change guidelines CONCLUSIONS • There is no evidence on the level of uptake and engagement with COVID-19 digital contact tracing applications. • There is a dearth of evidence regarding the barriers and facilitators to uptake and engagement with COVID-19 digital contact tracing applications. • The health behaviour change literature suggests a number of barriers and facilitators associated with uptake and engagement with applications.
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- Apr 2020
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A century ago, Einstein (1919) distinguished between two kinds of theory - theories of principle, and constructive theories. These have separate but complementary roles to play in the advancement of knowledge, in the manner in which they relate to data, and how they are developed. The different kinds of theory carry implications for what kinds of data we produce, and how they are put to use. We outline Einstein’s distinction and the model of theory formation that it involves. We then use the distinction to look at some of the discussion of scientific practice in psychology, particularly recent work on the need for more theoretical, rather than purely methodological, sophistication. We argue in agreement with Einstein that the distinction is a useful one, and that adopting it as a tenet of theoretical development requires a renewed commitment to a natural history of psychology.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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While uncertainty is present in most data analysis pipelines, reasoning with uncertainty is challenging for novices and experts alike. Fortunately, researchers are making significant advancements in the communication of uncertainty. In this chapter, we detail new visualization methods and emerging cognitive theories that describe how we reason with visual representations of uncertainty. We describe the best practices in uncertainty visualization and the psychology behind how each approach supports viewers' judgments. This chapter begins with a brief overview of conventional and state-of-the-art uncertainty visualization techniques. Then we take an in-depth look at the pros and cons of each technique using cognitive theories that describe why and how the mind processes different types of uncertainty information.
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blog.revolutionanalytics.com blog.revolutionanalytics.com
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R 4.0.0 was released in source form on Friday, and binaries for Windows, Mac and Linux are available for download now. As the version number bump suggests, this is a major update to R that makes some significant changes. Some of these changes — particularly the first one listed below — are likely to affect the results of R's calculations, so I would not recommend running scripts written for prior versions of R without validating them first. In any case, you'll need to reinstall any packages you were using for R 4.0.0. (You might find this R script useful for checking what packages you have installed for R 3.x.) You can find the full list of changes and fixes in the NEWS file (it's long!), but here are the biggest changes:
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The exploration/exploitation trade-off (EE trade-off) describes how, when faced with several competing alternatives, decision-makers must often choose between a known good alternative (exploitation) and one or more unknown but potentially more rewarding alternatives (exploration). Prevailing theory on how humans perform the EE trade-off states that uncertainty is a major motivator for exploration: the more uncertain the environment, the more exploration that will occur. The current paper examines whether exploratory behaviour in both choice and attention may be impacted differently depending on whether uncertainty is onset suddenly (unexpected uncertainty), or more slowly (expected uncertainty). It is shown that when uncertainty was expected, participants tended to explore less with their choices, but not their attention, than when it was unexpected. Crucially, the impact of this "protection from uncertainty" on exploration only occurred when participants had an opportunity to learn the structure of the task prior to experiencing uncertainty. This suggests that the interaction between uncertainty and exploration is more nuanced than simply more uncertainty leading to more exploration, and that attention and choice behaviour may index separate aspects of the EE trade-off.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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This multi-wave study examined the extent that both preference and motivation for time alone shapes ill-being during self-isolation. Individuals in the US and UK are self-isolating in response to the COVID-19 outbreak. Different motivations may drive their self-isolation: some might see value in it (understood as the identified form of autonomous motivation), while others might feel forced into it by authorities or close others (family, friends, neighbourhoods, doctors; the external form of controlled motivation). People who typically prefer company will find themselves spending more time alone, and may experience differential ill-being uniformly, or as a function of their identified or external motivations for self-isolation. Self-isolation therefore offers a unique opportunity to distinguish two constructs coming from disparate literatures. This project examined preference and motivation (identified and external) for solitude, and tested their independent and interacting contributions to ill-being (loneliness, depression, and anxiety during time spent alone) across two weeks. Confirmatory hypotheses regarding preference and motivation were not supported by the data. A statistically significant effect of controlled motivation on change in ill-being was observed one week later, and preference predicted ill-being across two weeks. However, effect sizes for both were below our minimum threshold of interest.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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The COVID-19 pandemic has dramatically uprooted the lives of families around the world. Families living with children with autism may be particularly affected due to being abruptly deprived of their usual in-person support from applied behavior analysis (ABA) service providers. This article gives how-to instructions on 18 simple ACT training programs that can be used as supplements to ongoing ABA services to support children with autism whose verbal repertoires may play a part in the challenges they are facing during the current crisis. We describe several challenges that have been frequently reported by families and ABA practitioners during the pandemic. For each behavioral challenge, we provide a brief practical description, brief behavioral conceptual description, and how-to guidance on implementing ACT procedures that address each behavioral challenge at a functional level. The appendix contains child- friendly worksheets for practitioners to use as visual supports while implementing the intervention procedures.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Real-world decisions often take place under radical uncertainty—where outcomes cannot be enumerated and probabilities cannot be assigned. Conviction Narrative Theory (CNT) is a theory of choice under radical uncertainty. Whereas most theories of choice assume that people rely on (potentially biased) probabilistic judgments, such theories cannot account for adaptive decision-making when probabilities cannot be assigned. CNT proposes that people use narratives—structured causal hypotheses—rather than probabilities, as the currency of thought that unifies our sense-making and decision-making faculties. According to CNT, narratives arise from the interplay between individual cognition and the social environment, with reasoners adopting a narrative to explain the available evidence; using that narrative to imagine plausible futures; and affectively evaluating those imagined futures to make a choice. Evidence from many different areas of the cognitive, behavioral, and social sciences supports this basic model, including lab experiments, interview studies, and econometric analyses. We describe several varieties of narratives that govern decisions, documenting the psychological mechanisms governing their evaluation and their use in decision-making. We suggest two ways in which narratives and affect work together to support adaptive decision-making—evaluating the compatibility of imagined futures and goals and maintaining conviction to act in the face of ambivalent reasons and changing information. We conclude by discussing practical implications of CNT and its generativity for future research.
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blogs.lse.ac.uk blogs.lse.ac.uk
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The phrase following the science is repeated frequently in relation to government policies to address COVID-19. However, what this science might be and how it is better than other ‘sciences’ is less frequently explained. In this post, Jana Bacevic reviews the UK government’s initial response to the COVID-19 outbreak and argues that a key factor determining the UK government’s approach was a closed advisory system that enabled particular scientific or epistemic communities to have disproportionate influence on policymaking. To address this deficiency, scientific advisory systems need both a greater variety of experts and greater transparency.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Social distancing is one of the most effective measures to prevent coronavirus from rapidly spreading. Our analysis investigates the role of some variables (political partisanship, income, professional status, social norms, and uncertainty avoidance) in intentions of not complying with social distancing measures, which can lead to higher infection rates and to compromising the capacity of health systems worldwide. We applied an online questionnaire to 2,056 Brazilian participants. Our findings indicate that individuals that support right-wing parties, have lower wages, are currently unemployed, and have a higher uncertainty avoidance tendency are more prone to violating social distancing measures. Social norms also play a significant role on the intentions but only when using ingroup members (family and friends) as referents. On the basis of our findings, we discuss the need for support from relevant political figures to social distancing policies. We also indicate that providing psychological support and cash transfer programs may increase compliance with physical distancing. Plus, our results indicate that initiatives to persuade individuals to stay at home would be more effective if they focus on ingroup members.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Mass media routinely present data on COVID-19 diffusion using either a log scale or a linear scale. We show that the scale adopted on these graphs has important consequences on how people understand and react to the information conveyed. In particular, we find that when we show the number of COVID-19 related deaths on a logarithmic scale, people have a less accurate understanding of how the pandemic has developed, make less accurate predictions on its evolution, and have different policy preferences than when they are exposed to a linear scale. Consequently, merely changing the scale can alter public policy preferences and the level of worry, despite the fact that people are exposed to a lot of COVID-19 related information. Reducing misinformation can help improving the response to COVID-19, thus, mass media and policymakers should always describe the evolution of the pandemic using a graph on a linear scale, or at least they should show both scales. More generally, our results confirm that policymakers should not only care about what information to communicate, but also about how to do it, as even small differences in data framing can have a significant impact.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Misinformation often continues to influence inferential reasoning after clear and credible corrections are provided; this effect is known as the continued influence effect. It has been theorized that this effect is partly driven by misinformation familiarity. Some researchers have even argued that a correction should avoid repeating the misinformation, as the correction itself could serve to inadvertently enhance misinformation familiarity and may thus backfire, ironically strengthening the very misconception it aims to correct. While previous research has found little evidence of such familiarity backfire effects, there remains one situation where they may yet arise: when correcting entirely novel misinformation, where corrections could serve to spread misinformation to new audiences. The present paper presents three experiments (total N = 1,718) investigating the possibility of familiarity backfire within the context of correcting novel misinformation claims. While there was variation across experiments, overall there was substantial evidence against familiarity backfire. Corrections that repeated novel misinformation claims did not lead to stronger misconceptions compared to a control group never exposed to the false claims or corrections. This suggests that it is safe to repeat misinformation when correcting it, even when the audience might be unfamiliar with the misinformation.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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The COVID-19 pandemic has affected the health, safety, and daily lives of all individuals. Adolescents may be uniquely sensitive to this abrupt disruption in their lives due to the biological and psychological changes that occur during this developmental period. Social media has rapidly transformed the ways in which adolescents socialize and interact with one another, which has contributed to an ongoing debate about whether social media is helping or harming teens today. The COVID-19 pandemic has only magnified this societal dilemma as teens are spending more time than ever before on social media. Thus, it is important for parents, educators, and teens to better understand social media use in the context of COVID-19. This article discusses the implications of social media for adolescent development and mental health in the context of COVID-19, with attention to the ways in which social media may be especially helpful for teens in the midst of physical distancing practices, as well as how social media behaviors can negatively impact teens’ physical and mental health during this time. Using research and theory, the article provides practical guidance on facilitating teens’ helpful use of social media and mitigating its negative effects during the COVID-19 pandemic. As more people than ever before are relying on social media to maintain social connection and ward off social isolation, this article may be useful for people of all ages who aim to understand the benefits and drawbacks of social media use during the COVID-19 pandemic.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Non-significant results have the potential to further our understanding of what does not work in education, and why. We make three contributions to harness this potential and to improve the usage and interpretation of non-significant results. To evaluate current practices, we conduct a review of misinterpretations of non-significant p-values in recent educational research. The review indicates that over 90% of non-significant results are erroneously interpreted as indicating the absence of an effect, or a difference compared to a significant effect. Researchers sometimes link these misinterpretations with potentially erroneous conclusions for educational theory, practice, or policy. To improve the status quo and make non-significant results more informative, we provide a detailed framework based on which researchers can design, conduct, and analyze studies that yield reliable evidence regarding the actual absence of an effect. In addition, we provide a competence model that researchers can use to guide their own research and teaching.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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The COVID-19 crisis has forced healthcare professionals to make tragic decisions concerning which patients to save. A utilitarian principle favors allocating scarce resources such as ventilators toward younger patients, as this is expected to save more life-years. Some view this as ageist, instead favoring age-neutral principles, such as “first come, first served”. Which approach is fairer? Veil-of-ignorance reasoning is a decision procedure designed to produce fair outcomes. Here we apply veil-of-ignorance reasoning to the COVID-19 ventilator dilemma, asking participants which policy they would prefer if they did not know whether they are younger or older. Two studies (pre-registered; online samples; Study 1, N=414; replication, N=1,276) show that veil-of-ignorance reasoning shifts preferences toward saving younger patients. The effect on older participants is dramatic, reversing their opposition toward favoring the young. These findings provide concrete guidance to healthcare policymakers and frontline personnel charged with allocating scarce medical resources during times of crisis.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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SARS-CoV-2 is a novel coronavirus that results in a disease known as COVID-19. Given that no vaccine is currently available, or likely to be available in the near term, slowing the spread of the virus relies on radical behaviour change at a mass scale. Understanding the factors associated with behaviour change and support for different policy measures is therefore critical. Here, we present data collected in two waves in the UK and the USA (March 12th and 24th) exploring (i) subjective concern about the health impacts of COVID-19 for self, for family and for society; (ii) the factors associated with compliance with several preventive behavioural measures; and (iii) support for policy measures to reduce the spread of the virus. Concern about the societal impacts of COVID-19 varied along partisan lines, with political conservatives being relatively less concerned than political liberals about the impacts for society. People who reported being more concerned also reported adopting more preventive behaviours and supported a greater number of policies. Concern for self and family was a stronger predictor than societal concern for behaviour change and policy support, and most strongly predicted the increase in both these measures from March 12th to 24th. Political conservatives in both countries supported fewer policies, an effect that could be partially mediated by the negative effect of political conservatism on societal concern. These findings suggest concern for self and family outweighs concern for society in motivating behaviour change needed to curb the spread of COVID-19, and that concern for society varies along political lines.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Attribution of responsibility for the causes of suffering is one of the main factors that influence responses to individuals in distress. While the role of attributional processes on prosocial motivation has been widely investigated in social psychology, only few attempts have been made to characterize their behavioural and neurophysiological underpinnings. This is partly due to the lack of stimuli that can facilitate within-subject experimental designs. To overcome this problem, we created a set of stimuli consisting of videos depicting people in different situations of distress. Each video is paired with short stories that aim to manipulate the perceived degree of responsibility of the main character. To validate the stimuli, we investigated the effect of different context-video pairs on self-report measures of participants’ subjective experience. We found that different contexts preceding the same video can influence blame and responsibility judgments, affective responses and willingness to help. In a complementary analysis, we replicated previous findings on the influence of empathy and responsibility on willingness to help. However, we did not observe a negative correlation between responsibility and empathy as described in attribution theories. Finally, we observed a general increase in responses times when videos were paired with Responsible contexts. We provide interpretations of this finding that can relate attribution accounts to prominent theories in moral psychology. Overall, this study highlights the possibility of falsifying existing theories on attributional processes by implementing a set of stimuli that includes multiple scenarios and allow for the collection of third person measures in within-subject designs.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Parents of children with Special Educational Needs and Disabilities in the UK (n=241) were asked to describe the impact of COVID-19 on their own mental health and that of their child. An inductive content analysis of the data was undertaken. Both parents and children appear to be experiencing loss, worry and changes in mood and behaviour as a result of the rapid social changes that have occurred. Some parents reported feeling overwhelmed and described the impact of child understanding and awareness. Finally, a minority of parents reported that COVID-19 has had little impact on mental health in their family, or has even led to improvements. Implications for how to support these families in the immediate future are discussed.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Background: The COVID-19 quarantine has affected more than 860 million children and adolescents worldwide but, to date, no study has been developed to examine the psychological impact on their lives. The present study aims to examine for the first time the emotional impact of the quarantine on children and adolescents from Italy and Spain, two of the most affected countries by COVID-19. Methods: 1,143 parents of Italian and Spanish children aged 3 to 18 years completed a survey providing information about how the quarantine affects their children and themselves, compared to before the home confinement. Findings: 85.7% of the parents perceived changes in their children´s emotional state and behaviors during the quarantine. The most frequent symptoms were difficulty concentrating (76.6%), boredom (52%), irritability (39%), restlessness (38.8%), nervousness (38%), feelings of loneliness (31.3%), uneasiness (30.4%), and worries (30.1%), and Spanish parents reported more symptoms than Italians. As expected, children of both countries used monitors more frequently, spent less time doing physical activity, and slept more hours during the quarantine. Furthermore, when family coexistence during quarantine became more difficult, the situation was more serious, and the level of stress was higher, parents tended to report more emotional problems in their children. Interpretation: The quarantine impacts considerably on Italian and Spanish youth, reinforcing the need to detect children with emotional and behavioral problems as early as possible to improve their psychological well-being.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Adolescence is a period of life characterized by heightened sensitivity to social stimuli and the increased need for peer interaction. In this interdisciplinary review, we describe recent literature from a variety of domains that highlights how social deprivation in adolescence might have far-reaching and long-term consequences. Human cognitive studies have demonstrated the im-portance of peer acceptance and peer influence in the adolescent age group. In turn, research in animals has shown that social deprivation and isolation have unique effects on brain and behav-iour in adolescence compared to other stages of life. Yet current adolescents are also increasingly digitally connected, meaning that face-to-face social deprivation might be less impactful due to access to technologies such as social media. In light of the current social distancing measures engaged in globally to contain the spread of COVID-19, these findings highlight how such so-cietal changes might be especially harmful for an age group to whom peer interaction is a vital aspect of development, and demonstrate the need for urgent research in this area.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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In a recent issue of Earth’s Future [vol. 7, pp. 1020-1026], S. C. Lewis et al. recommended a numerically-bounded language (NBL) scheme for communicating probabilistic information in extreme event attribution (EEA) studies. We provide a critique of NBL schemes in general and of Lewis et al.’s in particular, noting two key points. First, evidence from voluminous behavioral science research on the interpretation of linguistic probabilities indicates that NBL schemes are ineffective and may even be misleading or misunderstood. Second, where the motivation to implement such schemes nevertheless persists, the schemes should be developed through an evidence-based approach that seeks to optimize interpretational agreement between the scheme and users.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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COVID-19 pandemic has led to popular conspiracy theories regarding its origins and widespread concern over the level of compliance with preventive measures. In the current preregistered research, we recruited 1,088 Turkish participants and investigated (a) individual differences associated with COVID-19 conspiracy beliefs; (2) whether such conspiracy beliefs are related to the level of preventive measures; and (3) other individual differences that might be related to the preventive measures. Higher faith in intuition, uncertainty avoidance, impulsivity, generic conspiracy beliefs, religiosity, and right-wing ideology, and a lower level of cognitive reflection were associated with a higher level of belief in COVID-19 conspiracy theories. There was no association between COVID-19 conspiracy beliefs and preventive measures while perceived risk was positively and impulsivity negatively correlated with preventive measures. We discuss the implications and directions for future research.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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The COVID-19 outbreak and the ensuing confinement measures are expected to bear a significant psychological impact on the affected populations. Here, we publish a dataset from CoVidAffect, a citizen science project that was launched to provide direct, geolocalized data of changes in subjective feeling and physical arousal following the COVID-19 crisis. These publicly available data are continuously updated and visual summaries are displayed on the project website. The data can be further analyzed to identify affected geographical regions, quantify emotional responses to specific measures and policies, and to understand the effect of context variables, such as living space, socioeconomic status, and practice of physical exercise, on emotional regulation and psychological resilience. Our goal is to offer a resource that will help to anticipate the needs for psychosocial support and facilitate evidence-based policy making.
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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We read with interest the Editorial1The LancetRedefining vulnerability in the era of COVID-19.Lancet. 2020; 3951089Summary Full Text Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (0) Google Scholar about redefining vulnerability in the era of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The Editors recognise underserved and marginalised populations enduring the COVID-19 pandemic, and that the category of vulnerable individuals or groups is not fixed but evolves in response to policies that might create or reinforce vulnerability. When we ask what being vulnerable means, are we also creating the spaces needed to question what it means to be made vulnerable?The Editors' opening question, “What does it mean to be vulnerable?”1The LancetRedefining vulnerability in the era of COVID-19.Lancet. 2020; 3951089Summary Full Text Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (0) Google Scholar strongly suggests that more groundwork is needed to shift the landscape from an individual pathologising of capacity, autonomy, and agency to the identification of divisions that define vulnerability within cultures, communities, and particular social groups.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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The contagiousness and deadliness of COVID-19 have necessitated drastic social management to halt transmission. We investigate the immediate effects of a nationwide lockdown to contain the spread of COVID-19 by comparing matched samples of New Zealanders assessed before (Npre-lockdown = 1003) and in the two weeks following (Nlockdown = 1003) the lockdown. We examine two categories of outcomes: (1) institutional trust and attitudes towards the nation and government, and (2) health and wellbeing. Applying propensity score matching to approximate the conditions of a randomized controlled experiment, we find that people in the pandemic/lockdown group reported higher trust in science, politicians, and police, higher levels of patriotism, and higher rates of mental distress compared to people in the pre-lockdown pre-pandemic group. Results highlight social connectedness, resilience, and vulnerability in the face of adversity, and have applied implications for how we face this global challenge.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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10.31234/osf.io/7w9kv
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When seeking information about the influence of generations, policy makers are often faced with more questions than answers. One reason for this is the nearly ubiquitous nature of generations. Generations have been used to explain everything from shifts in broadly defined social phenomena (e.g., anti-war movements; Dunham, 1998) to the demise of marmalade (Gough, 2018). Likewise, owing to the fact that the modern workplace offers increasing opportunities for interactions among (relatively) older and younger co-workers, generations and especially generational differences have been used to describe a number of work-related phenomena, processes, and policies (see Costanza, Badger, Fraser, Severt, & Gade, 2012; Costanza & Finkelstein, 2015 for reviews). Despite these attributions, most generations research is suspect, and many supposed generational effects are likely not generational at all. Collectively, our author team has been studying the idea of generations for over 25 years. Over time, we have been asked numerous questions about what impact generations and generational differences have, especially in the workplace and for work-related policies adopted by organizations. In the present manuscript, we have collected the most common, policy-relevant questions regarding generations and generational differences, and attempted to answer them. Our goal in doing so is to “clear the air” about generations and generational differences in a way that informs better policy making regarding complex processes associated with age(ing) at work. We start here by asking and answering a broad question: “What are generational differences?” Then, to help parse truth from fiction, we offer answers to 10 common questions about generations and generational differences, with a specific focus on how these assumed differences manifest in the workplace and affect work-related policies. These 10 questions are classified as addressing two overarching questions: (1) What issues surround research and methodology for understanding generational differences at work? and (2) What are the policy and practice issues concerning generational differences in the workplace and beyond?
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Based on the salutogenic model of health, we tested the size and variability of the relationship between physical activity participation and sense of coherence in a meta-analysis of the extant literature. Effects of candidate moderator variables on the relationship across studies were also tested. Database and manual literature searches identified 52 studies reporting 73 effect sizes between physical activity participation and sense of coherence. Three-level meta-analysis revealed a small non-zero averaged corrected correlation between physical activity and sense of coherence with significant heterogeneity. Sample age, sex, version of sense of coherence scale, physical activity measurement, study design, physical activity intensity, study quality, and time lag did not moderate the averaged physical activity-sense of coherence relationship. Studies adopting validated measures of physical activity behavior exhibited non-significant variability in the physical activity-sense of coherence relationship across studies compared to studies using bespoke physical activity measures, although the size of the effect did not different across moderator groups. Findings support the relationship between physical activity participation and sense of coherence and suggest physical activity acts as a generalized resistance resource in the salutogenic model. More research is needed testing the relationship using experimental or intervention designs and more precise measures to provide robust estimates.
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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In these times of rapid change, with high levels of uncertainty, anxiety, social isolation, and financial pressure, mental health worldwide is likely to be at risk. Researchers are rightly ensuring that mental health research is included in the response to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.1Balmer N MQ and AMS convene expert group to rapidly develop a mental health research response to COVID-19.https://www.mqmentalhealth.org/news-blog/post/mq-and-ams-convene-expert-group-to-rapidly-develop-a-mental-health-research-response-to-covid-19Date: March 25, 2020Date accessed: March 31, 2020Google Scholar Here, we reflect on ethical issues to consider when conducting research on self-harm, suicide, and the broader impacts of COVID-19 in the midst of a global pandemic, and provide some recommendations to consider when researching these topics.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Humans learn quickly which actions cause them harm. As social beings, we also need to learn to avoid actions that hurt others. It is currently unknown if humans are as good at learning to avoid others' harm (prosocial learning) as they are at learning to avoid self-harm (self-relevant learning). Moreover, it remains unclear how the neural mechanisms of prosocial learning differ from those of self-relevant learning. In this fMRI study, 96 male human participants learned to avoid painful stimuli either for themselves or for another individual. We found that participants performed more optimally when learning for the other than for themselves. Computational modeling revealed that this could be explained by an increased sensitivity to subjective values of choice alternatives during prosocial learning. Increased value-sensitivity was further associated with empathic traits. On the neural level, higher value-sensitivity during prosocial learning was associated with stronger engagement of the ventromedial prefrontal cortex (VMPFC) during valuation. Moreover, the VMPFC exhibited higher connectivity with the right temporoparietal junction during prosocial, compared to self-relevant, choices. Our results suggest that humans are particularly adept at learning to protect others from harm. This ability appears implemented by neural mechanisms overlapping with those supporting self-relevant learning, but with the additional recruitment of structures associated to the social brain. Our findings contrasts with recent proposals that humans are egocentrically biased when learning to obtain monetary rewards for self or others. Prosocial tendencies may thus trump the egocentric bias in learning when another person's physical integrity is at stake.
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www.nationalelfservice.net www.nationalelfservice.net
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On 11th March, 2020, the World Health Organisation (WHO) announced that the spread of COVID-19 was such that they could characterise it as a pandemic, advising countries to escalate their response so as to pre-empt, as much as possible, the rising numbers of cases and of deaths (WHO, 2020). Suggested actions included social distancing and quarantine measures, including the closures of schools and universities, implementation of remote working policies, and avoidance of all but essential travel and use of public transport.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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There has been growing awareness that many empirical demonstrations in psychology are difficult to reproduce: a problem called the replication crisis. To address the current replication crisis, Psychology has responded by re-examining its professional incentive systems, publication models, and research practices. Several reforms are now underway to correct for the problems, however skepticism is growing that psychology will escape the replication crisis by improvements in research practice alone. We address the theory crisis, the problems it poses for editors and reviewers, and we propose ways that reviewers and editors can contribute to addressing the replication crisis.
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www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
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As the far-reaching impacts of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic expand to more and more countries, key questions about transmission dynamics and optimal intervention strategies remain unanswered. In particular, the age profile of susceptibility and infectivity, the frequency of super-spreading events, the amount of transmission in the household, and the contribution of asymptomatic individuals to transmission remain debated. The study by Qifang Bi and colleagues1Bi Q Wu Y Mei S et al.Epidemiology and transmission of COVID-19 in 391 cases and 1286 of their close contacts in Shenzhen, China: a retrospective cohort study.Lancet Infect Dis. 2020; (published April 27.)https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30287-5Google Scholar in The Lancet Infectious Diseases explores some of these questions by analysing detailed contact tracing data from Shenzhen, a large and affluent city in southern China at the border with Hong Kong. To dissect the drivers of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission, the authors modelled PCR-confirmed infections in 391 cases and 1286 of their close contacts from Jan 14 to Feb 12, 2020.1
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adata.org adata.org
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This fact sheet serves as a basic overview of reasonable accommodations in the workplace and includes some examples and a brief review of the reasonable accommodation process. This document has information that may be useful for employees, employers, human resources staff, and others. Because this is a very general, baseline document, more specific questions may be answered by the reader’s local ADA Center.
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annals.org annals.org
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Making a diagnosis is perhaps the most frequently performed and important procedure in an internist's wheelhouse. Indeed, a patient's therapeutic options and prognosis often center around the right diagnosis being made in a timely fashion. Unfortunately, diagnostic errors are common, with frequency estimates ranging from 10% to 40% in some studies (1, 2). Furthermore, misdiagnosis is more likely to be considered negligent and have proportionately higher morbidity and morbidity than other errors (3, 4).
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Problem definitions are defined here as one-sided in the case that while they might take into account one class of negative outcomes, such as those associated with the problem, at the same time they might ignore other classes of negative outcomes, such as those that may be encountered while implementing interventions that try to avoid the problem. An example is amputating all limbs with potentially cancerous moles on them to reduce the risk of mortality due to cancer as much as possible, without considering the increase in mortality due to the amputations. The global response to COVID-19 has been characterized by the availability of mathematical models for the potential mortality due to the spread of the pandemic. However in some cases the researchers guiding the responses of their respective nations with their mathematical models have explicitly pointed out that corresponding mathematical models of the impacts of economic shutdowns or other potential interventions on mortality have not been incorporated, and that there is a critical need to include such models. This paper generalizes this problem of one-sided problem definitions past the COVID-19 response to a wide variety of group problems where the pattern of one-sidedness applies, and explores how in current group decision-making systems one-sided problem definitions might consistently tend to be exploited in a way that is detrimental to collective well-being, as well as how a system of group decision-making meeting the requirements of a General Collective Intelligence solves the problem of one-sidedness to reliably maximize collective well-being.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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The necessity to employ distance-base methods to deliver on-going eating disorder care due to the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic represents a dramatic and urgent shift in treatment delivery. Yet, TeleHealth treatments for eating disorders in youth have not been adequately researched or rigorously tested. Based on clinical experience within our clinic and research programs, we aim to highlight the common challenges clinicians may encounter in providing Family-based Treatment (FBT) via TeleHealth for children and adolescents with Anorexia Nervosa and Bulimia Nervosa. We also discuss current research studies underway that seek to address virtual treatment for eating disorders in youth to illustrate how this type of research might lead to improved access, efficiency, and effectiveness of TeleHealth FBT.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Os analistas de comportamento podem encontrar situações, como a atual pandemia COVID-19, que os impede de fornecer serviços ABA tradicionais pessoalmente aos clientes. Quando as condições impedem que os BCBAs e os técnicos de comportamento trabalhem diretamente com os clientes, as atividades digitais de instrução projetadas pelos BCBAs e entregues via computador ou tablet podem ser um substituto viável. Os aplicativos do Google, incluindo Google Slide, Google Forms e Google Classroom, podem ser particularmente úteis para criar e compartilhar atividades digitais de instrução. No artigo atual, fornecemos análises de tarefas para a utilização de funções básicas do Google Slide, desenvolvimento de atividades instrucionais independentes, desenvolvimento de atividades instrucionais apoiadas pelo cuidador e compartilhamento de atividades com clientes e cuidadores. Também fornecemos recomendações práticas para a implementação de atividades digitais de instrução com clientes e cuidadores.
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