On 2015 Jul 29, Vittorio Bertele' commented:
The question of antibiotic therapy as an alternative to surgery for acute appendicitis keeps being addressed by a non-inferiority approach. We have previously challenged this attitude as it is not in the best interest of patients(1). The APPAC trial aimed to prove that fewer than one out of four patients with uncomplicated acute appendicitis would have required surgery within one year if they had been treated with antibiotics. The trial failed to prove this as the arbitrarily selected non-inferiority margin of antibiotics relative to surgery, although huge (24%), was not met. Still, the technically negative outcome of APPAC does not necessarily signify a failure(2). Avoiding surgery may be an advantage but patients also want to know what else could happen if they undergo, avoid or just defer appendicectomy. Unfortunately, the APPAC trial does not specify what patients can gain or lose with the two therapeutic strategies apart from the possibility of avoiding surgery in the antibiotic group. Besides –or even rather than– the greater than expected need for surgery in this group (27% instead of 24%), what matters most to patients is how many cases of peritonitis, other severe infections, complications of surgery, undue interventions, etc. there are in the two study arms. A trial addressing the superior overall benefit-risk profile of either the surgical or the antibiotic approach would have put these alternative strategies in a clearer perspective, enabling physicians and patients to make firmer decisions. A composite outcome measure including clinically relevant efficacy and safety endpoints –to address the sum of benefits and risks– would have answered the question whether failure to avoid surgery in spite of antibiotics still provides an actual advantage to patients, not just an acceptable disadvantage in exchange for unknown benefit.
APPAC is one further demonstration that non-inferiority trials are often useless for patients(3): they assume an advantage (avoidance of surgery), allow too large a margin of failures –several patients needed surgery later in spite of the antibiotics– and, most important, do not address the possible overall benefit for patients (fewer complications?).
Vittorio Bertele’ and Silvio Garattini
IRCCS-Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche Mario Negri
email: vittorio.bertele@marionegri.it, silvio.garattini@marionegri.it
References
1. Banzi R, Torri V, Bertele V, Garattini S. Antibiotics versus surgery for appendicitis. Lancet 2011;378:1067-8.
2. Livingston E, Vons C. Treating Appendicitis Without Surgery. JAMA 2015;313:2327-8.
3. Garattini S, Bertele V. Non-inferiority trials are unethical because they disregard patients' interests. Lancet 2007;370:1875-7.
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