On 2017 Oct 08, Clive Bates commented:
A further point to add to Rodu's and Sweanor's excellent critique above. The original authors inexplicably avoid exposing the quantified results in the abstract. Why? These are:
When asked whether some smokeless tobacco products “are less harmful to a person’s health than cigarettes,”the majority of respondents 66.8%, (95% CI=63.9, 69.6) said “no,” 22.2% (95% CI=20.0, 24.7) said “don’t know,” and 10.9% (95% CI=9.4, 12.8) said “yes.
So only 10.9% have the answer right - an astonishing misalignment of public perception and reality for which several federal agencies bear contributory responsibility. Given switching from smoking to smokeless radically reduces health risks, this is a very disturbing finding.
Yet the position is even more troubling than these data suggest. The most appropriate answer is that smokeless tobacco products "are much less harmful" than smoking. American smokeless tobacco is likely in the range 98-100% less harmful than smoking - but merely "less harmful" could mean 10%, 30%, 70% or 98% less harmful, and only the last of these is approximately correct.
The answer "much less harmful" is not allowed in the HINTS survey for smokeless. However, this response is allowed in the HINTS survey for e-cigarettes. In this survey, only 5.3% correctly say e-cigarettes are "much less harmful" and a further 20.6% say "less harmful" - indicating extensive misperceptions of the magnitude of the risk differential even among those who are not literally wrong in believing these products are less harmful than smoking.
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