The complexity of the interactions described here, even in a comparatively simple food web, such as the Coats Island murre colony, illustrates the difficulty researchers will experience in predicting future climate change effects.
How could this idea change how scientists model or plan for the ecological effects of climate change? Specifically, since the decline in the murre population was due to behavior changes—such as earlier mosquito emergence and altered polar bear foraging—rather than species migration, what challenges does this create for conservation planning and prediction models that usually focus on range shifts or habitat loss?