Changes to an Existing AcademicProgram
MPO change instructions including links
Changes to an Existing AcademicProgram
MPO change instructions including links
revise the curriculum requirements, other degree requirements,
MPO program adjustment instructions
Phrontistery! Since 1996, I have compiled word lists and language resources to spread the joy of the English language in all its variety through time and space
Oh my, a grand place for words and thinking about them… learned from Jonah Goldberg
AI will no doubt reorganize science. The question is whether scientists will direct that reorganization—or will they largely remain bystanders, letting AI’s evolving role proceed unfettered and unabated? Steering AI toward supporting science as a human enterprise will require enduring cross-institutional and international cooperation. Such efforts should aim at preserving scientific legitimacy, trust and human curiosity.
Sorry to clutter the class channel with looming gloom. Actually I will move this to Public. Just a reminder that we must be actively Humanistic in defending a thing called Science, lest its hackably flawed incentive structures lead to its undermining and collapse.
Weather
Google weather lab, cool!
For past weather, I like https://weather-replay.climate.copernicus.eu/
a double-blind process that removes career history, cutting against elitism and leveling the playing field for younger or less prominent researchers.
naive, in lots of small fields: the number of people who can judge well a detailed proposal without basically seeing through the blinds is tiny or perhaps negative
When a funding agency can support only one proposal in ten, the noise begins to drown out the signal. All too often, consensus-driven panels fund the least divisive ideas rather than the most promising
Agreed, so cuts down to 10% success rate should be avoided as killing the golden goose of healthy, non-oppressed science
mechanism design, recognized with the 2007 Nobel Prize, provides the theoretical foundation for understanding how rules shape behavior and outcomes. Mechanism design can be thought of as asking the inverse of traditional economics. Given a desired outcome, what incentives and institutions will produce it?
"desired behavior and outcomes" is not the essence of healthy "science", as other sections acknowledge
Betting exclusively on the existing funding model is like building a military composed entirely of infantry, effective for one kind of warfare, inadequate for others.
um no, all the scales and examples exist in the "existing model"
Funding at this scale, which has worked well in incubating new technological capabilities, could be extended to basic science as well, where the government is not merely procuring a weapons system, but pursuing scientific advancement for the national interest
not loving the example-space here, not quite "science"
Employing postdocs and graduate students remains effective for training the next generation of scientists, but doing so is poorly suited for executing large-scale, mission-driven programs that require continuity, specialization, and long-term institutional memory. Frequent turnover fragments efforts and slows progress. As science funders have noted, no technology company would entrust its core R&D to a workforce composed primarily of temporary trainees, yet this is the standard model in academic research
Some validity to this partial critique, okay, but perhaps the opposite critique can be leveled at the even larger government-lab model, where specialized long-term cadres might pursue large=vague "missions" perhaps set long ago, usefully shown up and freshened up by an academic with a student sometimes.
Research shows that when investigators receive longer-horizon support with tolerance for early failure, they produce portfolios with both more hits and more misses, the signature of genuine exploration
good words
Elevate the prestige of program officers, grow their discretion in setting scientific direction, and support them as the architects of the fields they help shape
good words
Curiosity-driven institutes can give our best minds the stability needed to pursue fundamental questions over long time horizons
good words
expanding portable graduate fellowships like the National Science Foundation (NSF) Graduate Research Fellowship Program (GRFP)
Bet on the people, not just projects... gets students to commit to outcomes early, rather than coming at it like passive employees. Still, that ends up faculty-steered, and despite that proposed more vaguely. Anyway, a good idea on its own terms
linear regression, logistic regression, decision trees, random forest, gradient boosted decision trees, naïve Bayes, and support vector machines.
ML for operational meteorologists
Colonies grew on all of the tea and tea bag plates, while my sterile control plate remained bacteria-free
good careful method
Other research suggests that the effect of the probiotic is not even due to the cells coming back to life, but due to an immune response against the dormant or vegetative cells
spores spark a healthy housecleaning?
a properly steeped cup of probiotic tea yields around 30,000 CFUs: 0.003% of the clinically tested dose.
bit of an oversell
Isolation is a way of gaining relief from that and creating a space where strength, security, and adequacy are guaranteed. That reflects that the male need for boundary maintenance and psychological “owned space” is one of the deepest and most fundamental ones that men have.
Strong statement of strong stuff!
Wanderer above the Sea of Fog
Male alone-time is not just pathological loneliness or fear of vulnerabilty
The School of Physics could give us no suitable premises, but for lack of anything better, the Director permitted us to use an abandoned shed which had been in service as a dissecting room of the School of Medicine. Its glass roof did not afford complete shelter against rain; the heat was suffocating in summer, and the bitter cold of winter was only a little lessened by the iron stove, except in its immediate vicinity. There was no question of obtaining the needed proper apparatus in common use by chemists. We simply had some old pine-wood tables with furnaces and gas burners. We had to use the adjoining yard for those of our chemical operations that involved producing irritating gases; even then the gas often filled our shed. With this equipment we entered on our exhausting work. Yet it was in this miserable old shed that we passed the best and happiest years of our life, devoting our entire days to our work. Often I had to prepare our lunch in the shed, so as not to interrupt some particularly important operation. Sometimes I had to spend a whole day mixing a boiling mass with a heavy iron rod nearly as large as myself. I would be broken with fatigue at the day's end. Other days, on the contrary, the work would be a most minute and delicate fractional crystallization, in the effort to concentrate the radium. I was then annoyed by the floating dust of iron and coal from which I could not protect my precious products. But I shall never be able to express the joy of the untroubled quietness of this atmosphere of research and the excitement of actual progress with the confident hope of still better results. The feeling of discouragement that sometimes came after some unsuccessful toil did not last long and gave way to renewed activity. We had happy moments devoted to a quiet discussion of our work, walking around our shed. One of our joys was to go into our workroom at night; we then perceived on all sides the feebly luminous silhouettes of the bottles or capsules containing our products. It was really a lovely sight and one always new to us. The glowing tubes looked like faint, fairy lights. Thus the months passed, and our efforts, hardly interrupted by short vacations, brought forth more and more complete evidence. Our faith grew ever stronger, and our work being more and more known, we found means to get new quantities of raw material and to carry on some of our crude processes in a factory, allowing me to give more time to the delicate finishing treatment. At this stage I devoted myself especially to the purification of the radium, my husband being absorbed by the study of the physical properties of the rays emitted by the new substances. It was only after treating one ton of pitchblende residues that I could get definite results. Indeed we know to-day that even in the best minerals there are not more than a few decigrammes of radium in a ton of raw material. At last the time came when the isolated substances showed all the characters of a pure chemical body. This body, the radium, gives a characteristic spectrum, and I was able to determine for it an atomic weight much higher than that of the barium. This was achieved in 1902. I then possessed one decigramme of very pure radium chloride. It had taken me almost four years to produce the kind of evidence which chemical science demands, that radium is truly a new element. One year would probably have been enough for the same purpose, if reasonable means had been at my disposal. The demonstration that cost so much effort was the basis of the new science of radioactivity. In later years I was able to prepare several decigrammes of pure radium salt, to make a more accurate determination of the atomic weight and even to isolate the pure radium metal. However, 1902 was the year in which the existence and character of radium were definitely established.
Remarkable, the "fairy lights" quote
Even when radiative and microphysical effects are entirely removed, water vapor alone still self-organizes into cellular structures with aspect ratios of ∼10. In these vapor-only simulations, cell size is regulated primarily by surface sensible heat flux under the necessary condition of surface moisture supply
Edoardo Foschi conversation, is that who this reminds me to ping?
old Boulder restaurants
So many photos of old Boulder restaurants, a Carnegie Museum dump of The Cork, Fred's, so many more
correlated with observations (r = 0.42, P = 0.01)
Really, 30 DOFs is the heft these authors give to this time series correlation ??
I decided to risk ruinto the refrigerator on that day by putting hot milkinto it. The otherboy and I went back an hour andahalf later and found that my tray of milk had frozeninto ice-cream while his was still only a thick liquid,not yet frozen
Mpemba effect (hot liquid freezes faster than cold), the modern view is here https://journals.aps.org/prx/abstract/10.1103/rbt4-psfd
Hovmollers
Hovmoller time sections forecasts nice site
velocity gradient partitioning
for partitioning dynamic pressure! Can we explain dynamically induced mesoscale ascent using high-precision F=ma in the vertical ??
hollowing out of middle-skill jobs described by Autor (2019)
there's the rub
differences in the composition of income growth and its translation into housing demand—as opposed to differences in housing supply—can explain both the higher average price growth and low growth in quantity in some metro areas
Housing market dynamics
Travel Disclosure & Export Compliance Form
UM international travel form
Free synoptic data viewer
expert pointers for our new AI filmmaking
Cool, Google flow - but how exactly?
WEATHER & HAZARDS DATA VIEWER
Nice NOAA website on hazards
2025 LLM Year in Review
For more nuts and bolts, see also https://sebastianraschka.com/blog/2025/state-of-llms-2025.html
first started to internalize the "shape" of LLM intelligence in a more intuitive sense
What are these AI ghosts we are summoning? Monsters with a human face (mask)?
Report to U.S. Energy Secretar
Experts' review of this review: https://essopenarchive.org/users/260056/articles/1330312-climate-experts-review-of-the-doe-climate-working-group-report?commit=f2b7646f3573ccc4bd74fcc2e9a1111dfbf078c2
Our review reveals
Dessler et al. experts' review:
Storm Events Database contains the records used to create the official NOAA Storm Data publication, documenting
Cool, a big database of storms!
Natural World Heritage Site Walk through a sea of white sand dunes stretching to the horizon
Northeast Brazil national park, looks amazing
4k Slow-rotation Sun
high quality, long sun videos
Transient Eddy Forcing of Blocking Flows Steven L. Mullen
to read
Simulated Lamb Wave
compare with Hunga Tonga eruption, https://github.com/mathewbarlow/animations/blob/main/tonga_2_sat.gif

Real-Time QG Diagnostics
QG diagnostics of real (current) weather
Composites (color shading) of monthly NDJFMA zonal wind anomalies based on strong (+; top and third row) and weak (−; second and fourth row) values of the sector thermal-driving indices
monthly composites based on instantaneous [fv] and [uv]?
In the Atlantic sector, zonal wind variability is mainly associated with momentum flux convergence by baroclinic eddies, supporting the established view that the Atlantic jet is primarily eddy driven. In the Pacific sector, zonal wind variability is associated with both driving processes, evidence that the Pacific jet is both thermally driven and eddy driven
not just by latitude, also by longitude
how these eddies accelerate the jets at two different altitudes.
eddy driven jet stuff
Unidata Science Gateway
Unidata jupyterhub and more (science gateway)
Recordings and Transcripts
Zoom recordings site (Miami)
This paper describes the principles behind the method of ComparativeJudgement, and in particular Adaptive Comparative Judgement, a technique borrowed frompsychophysics which is able to generate extremely reliable results for educationalassessment, and which is based on the kind of holistic evaluation that we assume was thebasis for judgement in pre-marking days, and that the users of assessment results expectour assessment schemes to capture
comparative adaptive judgement, better than shoe-horning into fixed pre-conceived rubrics
How
2025: bookmarklet works, via does not says a support email from the company
bookmarklets
2025 support ticket: bookmarklet is the way to go, the via service and prepending doesn’t work
concept of cloud-climate feedbacks
Rossow still active in defining the problem
feedbacks associated with various aspects of the climate system, such as clouds
Cloud feedbacks, CFMIP, Paulo Ceppi and In-Sik and Sarah Kang all in one!
love to read your work
Comedy writing venue
discover a low-dimensional manifold while learning the system dynamics
reads like a daydream! Can't wait to read this. Thanks @Sara
AI-based weather
AI forecasts browser
article processing charges paid tosix publishers for open access
open access page charges publishers elsevier
EOF3 describes a distinctive east/west gradient
Altitude gradient, not just east-west! This is our vapor lakes mode I hypothesize, but with its contribution to the regional mean (EOF1) and a N-S gradient (EOF2) subtracted off, because the big dogs eat first in maximum covariance analyses like EOFs.
fferent solutions for tropical deep convection, depending on what boundary layer scheme is used
Miura figure from early days of NICAM high-res global modeling
Global Maps
Global animated monthly maps of everything, NASA Earth Observatory
show strongly suppressed cold pooldensity currents versus a Control simulation. Yet we find no statistically significant difference between the diurnal cycles ofMCS counts, with continued nocturnal propagation of storms
Innteresting, are they coupled waves rather than surface-driven squalls?
according to which it is only the mass convergence aloft that has an effect on the hydrostatic surface pressure
Wallace and Hobbs Eq. 7.41 is just not right
vorticity (PV) downstream of high topography
frictional curl from mountains on flow-left side makes cyclonic vorticity
Scientific colour maps
Usebarlow is a hashtag about it, color blindness friendly and linear perceptual gradients color tables
2015 LEAF
Owners manual
apparently nonstationary visualbehavior arises because of the non-Gaussian statistic
anyway the point is: simple 'red' noise can have surprisingly large or long-lasting excursions, in fact random walks diverge, the drunk will never find that lamp again....
purely random fluctuations expected from stationary timeseries
stationary but not flat time series
The interactions can result in predator–prey cycles in moisture mode activity and Hadley cell strength that are akin to ITCZ breakdown.
like the old "index cycles" of the jet stream
iltered water vapor imagery
another view of hunga tonga explosion
external gravity (or Lamb) waves excited by the Tonga explosion
What a fascination, Hunga Tonga volcano, other links to cool videos from it:
Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor (MRMS) Operational Product Viewer
Great USA radar data viewer/browser from NSSL
Saturday Night Live's 10 best holiday sketches of all time, ranked
Best SNL sketches ever
ATM 752 Vortex Dynamics
Is it cross listed as MPO? Probably
Advanced Graduate Courses
Missing: vortex dynamics (Dave Nolan)
Statistical Modeling
Arthur Mariano
Predictability
Sharan
Numerical Methods
Mo I think
Air-Sea Interaction
Nick Shay
ENSO
Ben Kirtman's course
Coastal
Villy?
Turbulence
Tamay's course
Defininations: heatwave: at least three consecutive days in which the maximum 2-meter air temperature exceeds the 90th percentiles. The consecutive days of heatwave is counted within a month, which is the same in other variables, such as CDD, CSDI, CWD, LCS, and LWS. cold spell: the minimum 2-meter air temperature be less than the 10th percentiles. warm spell: the maximum 2-meter air temperature exceeds the 90th percentiles. percentiles: in this collection they are based on daily temperature and precipitation fields, and calculated using a running window of +/- 7 days centered on each day of the year for the climatology period of 1991-2020 in Version 2 (1981-2010 in Version 1).
Definitions: a key aspect
Climate Statistics Products
Extremes Detection detail
maximum number of consecutive days when precipitation < 1 mm
key crop-relevant dryness indicator
percentage of time when daily max 2-m temperature < 10th percentile
1990-2020 TIME average guaranteed to be exactly 10% everywhere. Should we check that, for some calendar month?
percentage of time when daily min 2-m temperature
that is, percentage of DAYS within the month when ...
Monthly Percentiles
monthly percentiles within 1990-2020 year population of this calendar month, for prectot & DIURNAL mean,max,min T2m
Daily
MERRA2 daily statistics
The monthly percentiles indicate atwhich percentile the monthly mean falls relative to the 1991-2020 period.
monthly or daily same 30-year reference period
ercentiles were calculated using a running window of +/- 7 days centered on each day ofthe year for the climatology period of 1991 through 2020 for version 2 products.
MERRA2 statistics products, percentiles definition and reference period (1991-2020)
MRMS multi-radar multi-senso
Great radar viewer and analysis too - used at NWS. Since 2020
Effects of SST on surface wind stress
maybe Ian wants to see this
Gravity wave packets
broader smooth waves are evident, as well as the short wavelength packets that draw the eye
Baiu Front Okinawa
starts as a front, ends as a cyclone
Column water vapor in the spin-up of an aquaplanet
Impressive... is it convecting? If not why not?
Rossby wave dispersion
lovely development of teleconnections
evolving lowpass filtered fields act as a "steering flow” for the high pass filtered perturbations
just temporal filtering, but it suffices to separate long vs. short waves in spatial scale
Equatorially-trapped waves
nice to know where to find these
ozone
the ozone hole, breaks in two at 0:40
PV on the 850 hPa surface
ERROR! It is PV on the 7mb surface (35km altitude)
strength of the condensation heating in the model can be controlled by specifying the relative humidity
development takes a little longer with weaker latent heating
both LC1 and LC2
LC1 and LC2 life cycles (aka "wave breaking" directions) Northern part either swept east (LC1) or left behind (LC2).
a new center develops nearer to the coast and quickly becomes dominant
new center forms and shreds the vorticity of the old one
intense cyclone comes ashore near San Francisco
Monterey damage I think I heard?
well defined
pinhole round center, nice visibility
10-day interval, six or seven systems
"six or seven" because "systems" are hard to define! Rivers, Cyclones, ...
shear instability
Excellent following-the-flow viewpoint!
cold continental air masses flow over the warmer offshore waters
brief animation, spectacular... brrr, Japan!
Hourly CO concentration
CO has a lifetime of about a week, for methane (longer lifetime) see next video. Water vapor has a similar lifetime but different sources and sinks.
summer drawdown due to the uptake of CO2 by the boreal forests
minute 1:00
those shown in Part II move in tandem with features embedded in the base of the updraft, indicative of a deeper structure
0:27 has nice deep layered wav e clouds above the surface gust front
aerosols are categorized by tint: dust (orange), smoke (red) organic/black carbon (green), and sulfates (white)
long lovely one, the once a day data assimilation window for tracers sweeps westward it seems.
CONDA_SUBDIR=osx-64 conda create
prepend conda with this for new Apple M1/M2 chips if ordinary conda -c conda-forge fails
Successful: CONDA_SUBDIR=osx-64 conda create -n MetPy_arm64 -c conda-forge metpy siphon xarray jupyterlab
a cloud or moisture feature
feature based
Satellite Derived Winds
Derived Motion Vectors, Cloud Track Winds, Cloud Motion Vectors, etc. etc.
Derived Motion Winds
is it like optical flow or PIV
Geo2Grid
geostationary IR reading and regridding
conda install -c pyviz hvplot Copy to clipboard
hvplot install
Cookbooks Gallery
Project Pythia cookbooks
Unidata's 2023 triennial
2023 triennial workshop
Unidata / users-workshop-2023 Public
All the unidata materials are here, permanent presumably XAI is a nice resource
The Explorer
Data explorer web app
Digital Storytelling Tools
how to blog, hvplot() in Jupyter, Cookbooks from Pythia
Jon Thielen
two new xarray tricks: 1. drop-in speedup for pandas 2. .hvplot() instead of plot()
MODEL INTERPRETATION
statistical forecasting history
The Brave browser is
Brave browser instructions, to keep login cookie.
go to cookies<br /> brave://settings/cookies
Under Allow, add [*.]bjfhmglciegochdpefhhlphglcehbmek
ATMOSPHERIC MOIST CONVECTION Annual Review
Bjorn Stevens 2005
Up-scale growth thus occurs as a continuing amplification oflarge scales after small scales saturate, which begs the question of what sets the shape of the saturation(climatological) power spectra. Wind spectra are nearly power-law with a logarithmic slope of about −5/3in the free troposphere, remarkably so in the 2D runs and clearly distinct from slope −2 (a null hypoth-esis of spectrally white wind divergence). A common interpretation of −5/3 slope − as indicative of a cas-cade, a steady conservative transfer of energy from source to sink scales by interactions that are local inlog-wavelength space − is hard to apply to these moist tropical waves.
predictability aspects of convectively coupled waves. When the cascade example is elevated to paradigm, it cuts off the view to wider pastures -- not that I have a counter-theory, just a sense that a question can be asked starkly
/MERRAero
MERRAero analysis monthly daily
Extra Chemical Fields
GMAO MERRA2-driven chemical transport fields
gmao/geos-cf
GEOS GMAO Composition forecasts 1440x720 grids! since 2019 or so
Spray
Python QT5 spray can, nifty....
The Great Master’s-Degree Swindle
Not shy about the criticism here!
that more knowledge about climateintervention approaches and their consequences will help society make informed, justdecisions about the deployment of climate intervention. AGU is not taking a position aboutspecific climate interventions, but AGU is making the case that a robust body of scientificevidence about climate intervention and an ethical framework should be available
The grammatical singular word "society" is quite problematic here, in my view. Likewise, the premise of 'support research first, with ethics relegated to adjectives like responsible in a framework' is a problematic overarching framework. Perhaps to be expected from a scientific society, a research = funding = activity = influence maximizing enterprise, but as likely in my view to be a cause as a preventer of ethically good outcomes overall.
You can try Via by clicking the “Paste a link” button at the top of the page.
or just notice what it does: it prepends to the URL, for instance cnn.com becomes https://via.hypothes.is/cnn.com
CONCEPT MAPPING: A USEFUL TOOL FOR SCIENCE EDUCATION
graphs of networks, mind maps, powerful stuff compared to bulleted lists of words
Wereserve some flexibility in how exactly to define these quantities
true inhibition (lower-tropospheric environmental T sensitivity) is over a layer far deeper than parcel CIN, as Fig. 5a of my much later paper could finally show, thanks to Zhiming Kuang's mathematical powers
define the so-called null hypothesis, which in some sense states the opposite
null hypothesis insignificance test
Middle band is for AL/SI = 1/4, e.g., 1 season sampled once per year.
Madden and Jones monthly pseudo-time-series aliasing figure
Distribution of Helicity, CAPE, and Shear in Tropical Cyclones
Tornado parameters in hurricanes - Molinari
Factors contributing to tornadogenesis in landfalling Gulf of Mexico tropical cyclones
appplications journal, but a review perhaps
Parameter for Forecasting Tornadoes Associated with Landfalling Tropical Cyclones
Onderlinde
Environmental ingredients for supercells and tornadoes within Hurricane Ivan.
Tornadoes in hurricanes exploration
The dominant deep convective heating process changes from latent heating at low levels to eddy heat-flux convergence in the upper troposphere. This requires a substantial updraught-environment temperature difference
This is the fundamental reason that convective buoyancy is plentiful is upper levels. Because the SIGN of buopyancy is crucial, but the value not so important, low-level environmental density (which can make near-zero lifted-parcel buoyancy be slightly positive or negative) is more important than density (T) at upper levels in modulating convection in tropical waves.
within
no, to horizontal variations (one column deviating from the average)
3.1 Static instability
Parcel instability/stability basics
ifference between an airparcel and its surrounding environmen
See, it is a couple steps from the basic dw/dt equation to "warm air rises"!
The dynamics of many mesoscale phenomena are oftenmore intuitive if the vertical momentum equation is writtenin terms of a buoyancy force and a vertical perturbationpressure gradient force.
Here is the basic definition of buoyancy
portrait of the emergence structure of the system.
If “scale” is well defined
hose which minimise dynamical dependence) characterise emergenc
But of course
epimorphism
in the context of the environment E
A generalization
microscopic history adds nothing to the capacity of the macroscopic variable to self-predic
Dynamical independence. A protectorate?
Widths of the earliest detectable low-level updrafts associated with sustained precipitating deep convection were ~3–5 km, larger than updrafts associated with surrounding boundary layer turbulence (~1–3 km wide)
Bigger updrafts are better
close agreement with Fig. 1.11.
The jet stream is in thermal wind balance with a latitudinal T gradient. The coriolis force holds up a wall of cold air, so gravity can’t pull it down
The rotational and divergent components of atmospheric circulation on tidally locked planets
How I found this paper
We apply theHelmholtz decomposition to the horizontal velocity fields out-put from two well-studied general circulation mode
Windspharm package
25
J. A. Dutton,The Ceaseless Wind. An Introduction to the Theory of AtmosphericMotion(McGraw-Hill, New York, NY, 1976)
Not exactly "extensive"!
KE "decomposition" isn't right, there is a cross term
Energetics (cross term as interaction) seems more promising
Using vorticity budgets through time to infer the divergent flow, using $$d/dt(\zeta) = \zeta \times \delta$$ are called the "chi problem" (Sardeshmukh 1993).
a superrotating equatorial jet, planetary-scale station-ary waves, and thermally driven overturning circulatio
The mean flow. How about the weather?
tidally locked planets
Life on such a planet https://arxiv.org/pdf/1405.1025
Journalism (The Atlantic) https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2019/02/space-colonies-on-tidally-locked-planets/582661/
Is there sci-fi? https://ask.metafilter.com/166550/Tidally-locked-planets-in-science-fiction
Ikrananka is such a planet in sci-fi
The two physical components of the rotational circulation in Fig. 2
zonal mean plus eddy as usual
Helmholtz decomposition of horizontal velocityufor the terrestrial simulation at 0.4 bar.
Upper levels on Earthlike planet
zonal-mean jet (red) and the eddy stationary waves (green
zonal mean jet at equator, why? eddy momentum flux, why?
Divergent, overturning circulation (blue) rises at thesubstellar point
hot air rises, check
dividing the circulation of a terrestrial tidallylocked atmosphere into rotational and divergent componentscorresponds to a division into two physically meaningful circu-lations. The rotational circulation is primarily composed of thestationary Rossby waves forced by the divergent circulation andthe zonal-mean jet produced by the stationary part of the atmo-spheric circulation.
Summary
Rotation rateΩ(s−1)7.29×10−6
Same rotation rate as Earth
height and velocity fields at 0.4 bar
for Earth like planet with a hot substellar longitude at the equator
The energetics of this system describe exchanges among the divergent and the rotational energy components. The energy equations are as follows.
Energetics of divergent-rotational interactions
Boyle, James S. October 1996, 34 pp. The 200 hPa kinetic energy is represented by means of the spherical harmonic components for the AMIP simulations, the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis and the ECMWF reanalysis(ERA). The data used are the monthly mean wind fields for 1979 to 1988. The kinetic energy is decomposed into the divergent (DKE) and rotational (RKE) components and emphasis is placed on examining the former.
but they are not orthogonal, so this is not a true decomposition of KE
Like Greg, I read a collection of rationality blogs—Marginal Revolution, Farnam Street, Interfluidity, Crooked Timber.
Blogs to check out
Why Is It So Hard to Be Rational?
Maybe useful for class?
Climate Laboratory
Climlab book - Brian Rose
Jupyter ecosystem for Earthcube 2021
f the major premise is made sensible by making itprobabilistic, not absolute, the syllogism becomes for-mally incorrect and leads to a conclusion that is not sen-sible
Null hypothesis significance testing is problematic
Norbert Wiener, a child prodigy and a great mathematician, coined the term 'cybernetics' to characterize a very general science of 'control and communication in the animal and machine'. It brought together concepts from engineering, the study of the nervous system and statistical mechanics (e.g. entropy). From these he developed concepts that have become pervasive through science (especially biology and computing) and common parlance: 'in-formation', 'message', 'feedback' and 'control'. He wrote, 'the thought of every age is reflected in its technique . . . If the seventeenth and early eighteenth centuries are the age of clocks, and the later eighteenth and nineteenth centuries constitute the age of steam engines, the present time is the age of communication and control.'
He coined "feedback"?? I can't imagine a scientific language without that term. Profound.
moisture quasiequilibrium
the cartoon of an unhappy too-moist cloud
where slow and shigh are respectively the saturated moist entropy averaged over the altitude ranges of 1–3 km and 5–7 km
II defined 550-430 mb is 5-7km, 890-700 is 1-3km
where is threshold entropy, defined as the average of the saturated moist entropy in the 1.5–2 km layer, minus the boundary layer moist entropy sbl averaged over the 0–1 km layer
DCIN defined
The instability index is defined
550-430 mb is 5-7km 890-700 is 1-3km
Gallery
Network visualization in Python -- gallery entry point
he MPO Ph.D. degree requires a minimum of 30 course credits, of which a minimum of 9 course credits should be taken from 700 level courses.
30 COURSE credits, at least 9 from 700 level classes
total credits are 60
at least one 3-credit course outside the MPOprogram
a little vague perhaps -- clarify for next year
MPO) GRADUATE HANDBOOK,2020-2021
MPO program handbook
Misinformation
COVID hospitalization risk wildly overestimated
Quirky Critters
charming!
Stop explaining black box machine learning models for high stakes decisions and use interpretable models instead
vertical motion
units don't match Fig. 9c
DYNAMO data and RAs
MERRA-2 facts
A peculiar feature in MERRA-2 is that its moisture analysis increment (estimated by budget residual) is positive and largest even though CWV anomalies are larger than those in the other RAs
MERRA-2 facts
ratio of anomalous OLR (a proxy of column longwave heating) to precipitation
latent heat of radiation
The contribution of LW to MSE propagation in MERRA-2 and JRA-55 is relatively small, which is likely related to the relatively weak cloud–radiation feedback strength
MERRA-2 facts
the models used to create the modern RAs need additional MSE source to maintain MJO MSE anomalies
MERRA-2 facts
In MERRA-2 (JRA-55), horizontal MSE advection tends to dampen (amplify) MSE anomalies
MERRA-2 facts
Over the Indo-Pacific warm pool, the mean MSE is relatively high in MERRA-2 and ERA-I
MERRA-2 facts
LRP highlights the regionsof greater relevance for the ANN to predict the year by propagating an output sample back-ward through the frozen nodes of the ANN until it reaches the input layer
positive-only map? Why is the sign lost?
virtual sv(red broken), moist h
The virtual effect of vapor (lowering air density by its lighter molecular weight) involves (0.61q)T, about 0.2 K for a 1 g/kg vapor increment. If that same 1g/kg of vapor's latent heat is released (so that it lowers the air's density by warming), it increases T by (\(L/C_p\)) or 2.5C. This factor of about (2.5)/0.2 = 12.5 can be seen graphically here at low levels, comparing \(s_v-s\) to \(h-s\).
By the way, if that 1 g/kg of condensed water is carried by the parcel (falling at its terminal velocity), its contribution to buoyancy is g/1000, the density equivalent of cooling the air by about 0.3K.
heavy rainfall in equatorial East Africa
Equatorial east Africa (WEIO) rainfall study