Several conclusions are generally true for all bonds
nog ff aan chat vragen
Several conclusions are generally true for all bonds
nog ff aan chat vragen
Discount bond
hoe doe ik een discount bond van 4 jaar to maturtiy
A!+rises
het is goedkoper voor de bedrijven om geld te lenen als de rente laag is, dus daarom verhoogd de supply of bonds
Expected return
R^e
lend
uitlenen
borrow
lenen
Monitoring also causes the free-rider problem
because monitoring is costly, so the other shareholders try to make the other shareholders pay for the monitoring.
2.
However, there is trade-off between safety with high levels of capital and the return on equity (ROE) for holders of bank capital
funding
but also diversify the sources of funds.
4.
Balance the need for liquidity against the larger returns from less liquid assets.
3.
Lower the credit risk (i.e., the default risk) of their asset portfolio by diversifying and also lower the interest-rate risk of their asset portfolio.
2
i.e., diversifying between different types of securities.
1
i.e., that are unlikely to halt interest payments and/or repayment of the borrowed amount.
Fundamental roles of maintaining a “healthy” level of liquidity:
2.
link to financial regulation
adequacy
it must be (adequacy) in brackets
equity
net worth
Securities
corporate, bank and government bonds
er.
(restrictive covenants).
2.
Issuing marketable debt and equity securities (bonds and stocks) is not the primary funding source for businesses.
Collateral
(assets that guarantee payment in the case the borrower is unable to make debt payments)
equity instruments
stocks
a
longer than 10 years
In an efficient market
Application: Investing in the Stock Market • Recommendations from investment advisors cannot help us outperform the market. • A hot tip is probably based on information that is already contained in the price of the stock. • Stock prices respond to announcements only when the information is new and unexpected. • A “buy-and-hold” strategy is the most sensible strategy for the small investor (savings of transaction costs) or buy shares into a mutual fund.
cash payment
coupon or dividend
Errors in the prediction
X-X^e
P&'
optimal forecast using all available information
P%
expectation of the variable that is being forecast
return
return on investment in equity
>+
the price of the stock is only determined by the present value of the future dividend stream
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In words: The n-period interest rate, i.e., the interest rate of a bond that matures in n periods from now, equals the average of the one-period interest rates expected to occur over the n-period life of the bond.
move together
similar dynamics
risk
default risk
risk
default risk
Note that the interest rate could in principle also decrease during a business cycle expansion if demand has increased to a stronger degree than supply.
However, that is not what we typically observe as evidenced in the following slide. The typical increase in interest rates during business cycle expansions is not that surprising when thinking in terms of the Fisher effect: growing product and labour demand in a business cycle expansion tend to increase expected inflation and nominal interest rates.
(L 9 M)
this must be G - T
IBCKC
it declinessss!!!!!
Expected returns
Expected return of bonds relative to that of other assets decreases: Bd shifts to the left
> = real interest rate
Note: The previous slide defined the ex ante real interest rate. Often, also ex post real interest rates are discussed. The ex ante real interest rates are predictions based on the expected inflation rate and thus give an indication of what the real cost (benefit) of borrowing (lending) is expected to be over – for instance – the next year. The ex post real interest rates use the past inflation rate to calculate what the real cost (benefit) of borrowing (lending) has been over – for instance – the past year.
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there should be a e on top