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  1. Dec 2023
    1. For a flip-of-a-coin chance of staying at or below 1.5°C we have, globally, just five to eight years of current emissions before we blow our carbon budget
      • for: 1.5 Deg C target - 50/50 chance

      • comment

        • What most people don't recognize and pay attention to is 50/50 chance that is part of the 1.5 Deg C target.
        • The world is up in arms about the 1.5 Deg C target when it ONLY GIVES US A 50/50 CHANCE!
        • These are not great odds! In fact, THESE ODDS ARE TERRIBLE! What if you were given those chances in your cancer treatment? You would be concerned, wouldn't you?
        • So what would an intervention closer to 90% chance of staying under 1.5 Deg C look like? If people consider today's intervention impossible, then a 90% chance would be beyond impossible. This is the nature of the challenge we face!