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  1. Sep 2023
    1. The remaining global carbon budget for a 50% chance of holding the 1.5°C line is down to crumbs, adding up to a meagre 250 billion tons of carbon dioxide, equivalent to 6-7 years of global emissions at the current pace. This gives us no choice, but to have all countries, businesses, citizens across the entire world working collectively and unified to solve the planetary crisis.
      • for: .5 deg c - chances
      • comment
        • In Johan’s interview with Kevin Anderson, he articulates that when we account for:
          • the conservative nature of IPCC, which means it doesn’t account for much outlier, cutting edges research and is already outdated ( ie doesn’t contain tipping point elements, latest research in Antarctica and Greenland (Jason Box)
          • only a 50% chance
          • low likelihood of scaling NET in a meaningful way
          • when just is added to safe boundaries, 1 deg C is the real threshold
        • it already implies that we have at small chance of staying under 1.5 deg C