- Oct 2024
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ageoftransformation.org ageoftransformation.org
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Cascade Institute in Canada, Professor Thomas Homer-Dixon
for - definition - syncrhronomous failure - Cascade Institute - Thomas Homer-Dixon
definition - syncrhronomous failure - Cascade Institute - Thomas Homer-Dixon - When multiple systems fail simultaneously, the scale may overwhelm institutions to respond effectively since they have evolved to deal with issues in silos
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wfabhmdrpib5-u5525.pressidiumcdn.com wfabhmdrpib5-u5525.pressidiumcdn.com
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for - polycrisis - research roadmap - cascade institute
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wfabhmdrpib5-u5525.pressidiumcdn.com wfabhmdrpib5-u5525.pressidiumcdn.com
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for - Donald Trump re-election - existential risk - planetary tipping points - earth system boundaries - study - Impact 2024 - Cascade Institute - polycrisis - Trump reelection - increase risk
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Derailed climate action: Mr. Trump will almost certainly withdraw again from the 2015Paris Climate Agreement, dismantle domestic climate and environmental regulations(particularly those seen to hamper the fossil fuel industry), and actively oppose atransition to green energy.
for - question - Study on 2024 Trump win on polycrisis - Cascade Institute - why is there such a small analysis on the environment and especially planetary tipping points whilst climate clock is ticking?
Tags
- question - Study on 2024 Trump win on polycrisis - Cascade Institute - why is there such a small analysis on the environment and especially planetary tipping points whilst climate clock is ticking?
- Donald Trump re-election - existential risk - planetary tipping points - earth system boundaries
- study - Impact 2024 - Cascade Institute - polycrisis - Trump reelection - increase risk
Annotators
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- Feb 2024
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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for - geothermal energy - Google - adjacency - Google geothermal - Cascade Institute
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- Dec 2023
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for: polycrisis, Thomas Homer-Dixon, Cascade Institute Royal Roads University - Changemakers Speakers Series, etymology - polylcrisis
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Talk: Hope in the Polycrisis
- Speaker: Thomas Homer-Dixon
- Host: Royal Roads University - Changemakers Speakers Series
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Date: 2023
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SUMMARY
- Thomas Homer-Dixon is a leading complex systems scientist and director of the Cascade Institute, which he co-founded at Royal Roads University in Victoria, B.C., Canada, to study the polycrisis and identify strategic high leverage interventions that could rapidly shift humanity's trajectory in the next few critical years.
- The talk, entitled "Hope in the polycriisis" chronicles Homer-Dixon's multi-decade journey to understand the convergence of crisis happening in the world today.
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In a real sense, the evolution of his thinking on these complex problems are reflected in the series of books he has written over the years, culminating in the 2023 book "Commanding Hope", based on a theory of hope:
- Environment, Scarcity, and Violence (Princeton, 1999). - a book showing how other factors combine with environmental stress to produce violence.
- “The Ingenuity Gap: Can Poor Countries Adapt to Resource Scarcity?,” which appeared in Population and Development Review in 1995
- “Resource Scarcity and Innovation: Can Poor Countries Attain Endogenous Growth?" ?” coauthored with Edward Barbier, which appeared in Ambio (1999)
- The Upside of Down: Catastrophe, Creativity, and the Renewal of Civilization (2006), examined the threat to global stability of simultaneous and interacting demographic, environmental, economic, and political stresses. This led to examining energy as a major factor in our modern society.
- "Commanding Hope: The Power we have to Renew a World in Peril"
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Homer-Dixon also talks about practical solutions, His team at Casacade Institute is researching a promising technology called ultra-deep geothermal, which could provide unlimted energy at energy densities comprable to fossil fuels.
- He finishes his talk with his theory of Hope and how a "Robust" hope can be the key to a successful rapid transition.
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etymology - polycrisis
- https://polycrisis.org/lessons/where-did-the-term-polycrisis-come-from/
- Complexity theorists Edgar Morin and Anne Brigitte Kern first used the term polycrisis in their 1999 book, Homeland Earth, to argue that the world faces
- “no single vital problem, but many vital problems, and it is this complex intersolidarity of problems, antagonisms, crises, uncontrolled processes, and the general crisis of the planet that constitutes the number one vital problem" (p. 74).
- South African sociologist and sustainable transitions theorist Mark Swilling then adopted the term to capture
- “a nested set of globally interactive socio-economic, ecological and cultural-institutional crises that defy reduction to a single cause” (2013, p. 98).
- Climate change, rising inequality, and the threat of financial crises interact in complex ways that multiply their overall impact (Swilling 2013, 2019).
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at the Cascade Institute based on partly because of work that I've been doing for uh now almost 20 years looking at the implications of converging crises uh we have really focused on the 00:09:07 relationships between between all these different challenges that humanity is facing what are the Deep connections between them
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for: Cascade Institute - research focus
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Cascade institute - research focus
- looking at the deep connections between converging crisis
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homerdixon.com homerdixon.com
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Why do some societies successfully adapt while others do not? I concluded that a central characteristic of societies that successfully adapt is their ability to produce and deliver useful ideas (or what I call “ingenuity”) to meet the demands placed on them by worsening environmental problems.
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for: question - adaptation - answer - adaptation, adaptation - ingenuity, endogenous growth, Thomas Homer-Dixon, Cascade Institute
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question: adaptation
- why do some societies successfully adapt to environmental stresses while others do not?
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answer: adaptation
- Ingenuity
- Researchers within societies that are able to adapt effectively are able to deliver ingenuity at the right time and place to prevent environmental problems from causing severe hardship.
- Ingenuity
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references
- The ingenuity Gap: Can Poor Countries Adapt to Resource Scarcity (Homer-Dixon & Barbier,1995)?
- Resource Scaricity and Innovation: Can Poor Countries Attain Endogenous Growth (Homer-Dixon & Barbier,1999)?
- The Ingenuity Gap (2000)
- The Upside of Down (Homer-Dixon, 2006)
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- Nov 2023
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cascadeinstitute.org cascadeinstitute.org
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- for: social tipping point - tools, cascade institute, Boolean Causal Loop Analysis, BCLA, Cross-impact balance, CIB, socio-cognitive mapping, cognitive-affective mapping, ideological state-space
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