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  1. Apr 2023
    1. Poland’s ambition clearly aligns with America’s aim to shift Europe’s balance of power towards the “new Europe”, which explains why the US has been quick to lend it considerable support, even at the cost of sowing further divisions on the continent. “Poland has become our most important partner in continental Europe,” a senior US Army official in Europe told Politico. Significantly, after visiting Ukraine last month, Biden made only one other additional stop on his European trip: Warsaw.

      The problem with this approach is that Poland, while strategically important for the confrontation between the US and Russia, is not the EU's center -- France, Germany and the Benelux are. So Washington has to be very careful in terms of balancing its approach here so as to avoid exacerbating tendencies that are already centripetal, as reflected by Macron's reference to strategic independence.