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  1. Jul 2022
    1. it was quite possible that Trump would be ahead on election night because his voters were more likely to vote in person, and more Democratic-heavy mail ballots are often counted later — something dubbed the “red mirage.”

      The "red mirage" is a phenomenon in which it appears that the Republican party candidate will win an election based on early returns on election day because Republicans are statistically more likely to vote in person on election day and Democrats are more likely to have voted by absentee ballot or via mail. Many states don't begin counting mail in ballots until late on election day or after and the manual process takes more time than in person balloting.