- May 2025
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essd.copernicus.org essd.copernicus.org
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The RCB for 1.5, 1.6, 1.7 and 2 °C warming levels is re-assessed based on the most recent available data. Estimated 902RCBs are reported in Table 8. They are expressed relative to the start of 2025 for estimates based on the 2015–2024 903human-induced warming update (Sect. 8).
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- Dec 2024
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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If we are underestimating, then does that mean our carbon budget figures are too high and we don't have 5 years of carbon budget remaining at the BAU rate, but significantly less?
for - climate crisis - models are underestimating as much as 4x - question - does our current remaining carbon budget of 5 years BAU need to be reduced?
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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for - youtube - UAB presentation - Remaining Carbon Budget - Kevin Anderson, 2024 - to - paper - Assessing the size and uncertainty of Remaining Carbon Budget (RCB) - Lamboll et al, 2023
to - paper - Assessing the size and uncertainty of Remaining Carbon Budget (RCB) - Lamboll et al, 2023 - https://hyp.is/0OGiIq-6Ee-xlr9v_TU2ZQ/www.nature.com/articles/s41558-023-01848-5
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for - paper - Assessing the size and uncertainty of Remaining Carbon Budget (RCB) - Lamboll et al, 2023 - from - youtube - Climate scientist Kevin Anderson warns: Only 4 years left to stay below 1.5°C without urgent action
from - youtube - Climate scientist Kevin Anderson warns: Only 4 years left to stay below 1.5°C without urgent action - https://hyp.is/u-rKxK-6Ee-TT7OpdMUOTw/www.youtube.com/watch?v=kFDRp-JMf9Q
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- Nov 2023
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Many producers say they will be the ones to keep producing throughout transitions and beyond. They cannot all be right.
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for: stats - oil and gas industry - fight for survival
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stats: oil and gas industry - fight for survival
- competing oil producers will have to reach an agreement on who has the right to produce the remaining carbon budget
- 24 million barrels a day are still produced in a 1.5 Deg C scenario but are largely uncombusted
- 75 % of that will be used in petrochemical and other industry
- 920 billion cubic meters of natural gas
- 50% of this for hydrogen production
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Einer neuen Studie zufolge liegt das CO2 Budget, mit dem sich das 1,5 Grad Ziel mit wenigstens 50% Wahrscheinlichkeit noch erreichen ließe, bei 250 Milliarden Tonnen. Es ist damit nur halb so hoch, wie bisher angenommen. Bei der von den UN vorangetriebenen Halbierung der Emissionen bis 2030 liege die Chance bei maximal 40%. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/oct/30/climate-crisis-carbon-emissions-budget
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- Apr 2021