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  1. Apr 2023
    1. The new report evokes a mild sense of urgency, calling on governments to mobilise finance to accelerate the uptake of green technology. But its conclusions are far removed from a direct interpretation of the IPCC’s own carbon budgets (the total amount of CO₂ scientists estimate
      • The report claims that
        • to reach target of 50/50 chance of staying within 1.5 deg C,
        • we must reach meet zero by 2050
          • Yet, updating the IPCC’s estimate of the 1.5°C carbon budget,
            • from 2020 to 2023, and then drawing a straight line down from today’s total emissions to the point where all carbon emissions must cease, and without exceeding this budget,
          • gives a zero CO₂ date of 2040.
          • Furthermore, adding policy delays to set things up, it is more likely a date closer to mid 2030's.