2 Matching Annotations
- Sep 2023
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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these are not represented in the models, they're not in the global carbon budget estimates, they're not in the IPCC.
- for: carbon budget - underestimate, IPCC - underestimate, 1.5Deg C - underestimate, question, question - revise 1.5 Deg C target downwards?
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highlight
- the 1.5 Deg C target does not account for cascading tipping points. In fact the cascading tipping point research is not accounted for in any of:
- current climate models
- global carbon estimates
- IPCC
- the implications are that the carbon budget is even smaller than the current number.
- the implications are that 1.5 Deg C is not the threshold we should be aiming for, but even less. We are now at 1.2 so it has to be 1.3 or 1.4.
- the 1.5 Deg C target does not account for cascading tipping points. In fact the cascading tipping point research is not accounted for in any of:
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question
- Given the underestimates, should the target actually be revised downwards to 1.3 or 1.4 deg C?
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there are so many uncertain factors on soil carbon, ocean carbon, ocean heat, ice melt, biodiversity loss, biome tipping points.
- for: precautionary principle, fossil fuel phase out, carbon budget - uncertainties, carbon budget - underestimate
- highlight
- the precautionary principle dictates that the uncertainties in:
- soil carbon
- ocean carbon
- ocean heat
- ice melt
- biodiversity loss
- biome tipping points
- implies that the any one of these can easily bring our remaining carbon budget down to zero.
- the precautionary principle dictates that the uncertainties in:
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