• for: climate mitigation, stats - 40% reduction by 2030, quote - Johan Rockstrom, quote - fossil fuel phase out

• quote: Johan Rockstrom

  • All stakeholders in the world must now act according to the agreed Cop28 output, and deliver on the CopP28 Global Stocktake Agreement,
    • which means rapidly transitioning away from oil, coal and gas, aiming at more than 40% reductions by 2030
• Date: Dec 31, 2023

• for: fossil fuel phase out strategy - fee and dividend

• for: fossil fuel phase out, fossil fuel phase down, COP28 controversy, Sultan Al Jaber controversy, fossil fuel demand phase out, Nafeez Ahmed - phase out fossil fuel demand, carbon colonialism, colonialism - climate crisis

• title: A Message to White Environmentalists: Demanding a Fossil Fuel Phase Out is Not Enough

• author: Nafeez Ahmed
• date: Dec 6, 2023
• publication: Byline Times

• for: quote - Sultan Al Jabber, quote - energy replacement instead of phase out, key point - focus on energy transition instead of just fossil fuel phase out

• quote

  • Whatever one thinks of Sultan Al Jaber, one statement he’s made repeatedly makes perfect sense: “We cannot unplug the world from the current energy system before we build a new energy system.”
  • The focus, then, has to shift.
    • Instead of focusing on dismantling the incumbent system,
    • we need to focus on accelerating the deployment of the new system that will replace it
• author: Nafeez Ahmed

• date : Dec 6, 2023

• key point

  • we must focus on the energy shift instead of just the phase out or down of the old energy system

• for: fossil fuel phase out, fossil fuel phase down, fossil fuel demand phase out

• suggestion - by Nafeez Ahmed - fossil fuel demand phase out

  • Nafeez writes that instead of phasing out fossil fuels, the focus should be on phasing out fossil fuel demand through increasing demand for alternatives
    • https://bylinetimes.com/2023/12/06/a-message-to-white-environmentalists-demanding-a-fossil-fuel-phase-out-is-not-enough/

• for: more aggressive target, question, question - fossil fuel phase out

• comment

  • the current approach sets a target of 1.5 Deg C to reach,
  • the science needs to continuously update the policy.
  • Unfortunately, this means our target will need to be LESS THAN 1.5 Deg C

• question

  • if there is no budget left anymore, that puts politicians in a bind in how to achieve an orderly phase out.
  • nobody seems to have the answer
  • what do we do?

• for: precautionary principle, fossil fuel phase out, carbon budget - uncertainties, carbon budget - underestimate
• highlight
  • the precautionary principle dictates that the uncertainties in:
    • soil carbon
    • ocean carbon
    • ocean heat
    • ice melt
    • biodiversity loss
    • biome tipping points
  • implies that the any one of these can easily bring our remaining carbon budget down to zero.

Der Aufsatz und die ihm zugrundeliegende Publikation kritisieren, dass die 1,5°-pathways des IPCC den Kohleausstieg vor dem Öl- und Gassausstieg fordern. Damit tragen die ärmeren Länder die Hauptlast. Gerechter und besser umzusetzen wäre ein schnellerer Ausstieg aus Öl und Gas, der vom globalen Norden eine schnellere Transformation verlangen würde.