非GPU设备无法使用带音频输入的Prompt API，这是初学者在使用前需要注意的技术限制。

初学者常见陷阱：错误地认为部署到生产环境只需要代码，而忽略了账户、支付和API令牌等必要条件。

对于初学者来说，理解大规模模型运行的需求可能是一个常见陷阱，他们可能忽视了对软件性能、硬件兼容性和可靠性的要求。

初学者可能不清楚按使用量计费的具体细节，容易混淆订阅模式和按需使用模式。

初学者可能会误以为使用现有平台（如Electron）可以快速开发软件，但实际上这限制了软件的性能和功能。

初学者可能误以为模型中的小问题（如偶尔提到“小怪物”）是无害的，而忽略了它们可能随时间累积成更大的问题。

初学者可能难以理解模型行为的发展模式，尤其是当这种模式以微妙的方式出现时，如GPT-5.1开始频繁使用怪物的隐喻。

初学者常见陷阱：直接管理多个Codex会话，可能导致效率低下和上下文切换问题。

初学者可能会误解domain adaptation的概念，以为它是自动的而不需要人工干预，但实际上，AutoAdapt系统需要大量数据和计算资源。

初学者应理解基础研究和应用研究在推动计算机科学进步中的同等重要性。

初学者可能容易忽略不同类型研究的重要性，以及不同时间尺度和风险水平对研究环境的影响。

for - progress trap - AI - ASI - book - If anyone builds it, everyone dies

这直击AI初创企业的商业困境：在“增长叙事”和“盈利现实”之间进退维谷。提价会破坏高增长的投资者叙事，导致估值受损；不提价则没有利润，烧钱速度更快，尤其是在面对可以将AI作为亏本搭售的云计算巨头时。这揭示了缺乏护城河的纯模型公司商业模式的脆弱性。

文章的元认知收尾，揭示了反抗的终极困境：连对系统的批判本身也会成为系统的养料。这种递归结构意味着不存在绝对的“外部”可以依靠。我们所有的思考和发声，都在不断重塑和强化这个认知黑暗森林，这是一种无法逃脱的数字宿命。

全篇最具洞见且最令人毛骨悚然的观点。传统的反抗逻辑是跳出系统，但认知黑暗森林具备“反脆弱性”——你的创新和反抗不仅无法破坏系统，反而成为扩张系统边界的养料。个体的差异化最终被同化为平台的中位数，反抗本身成了系统进化的引擎。

for - progress trap - AI - inequality

for - progress trap - AI - democracies becoming autocracies - Hitler - Trump

for - progress trap - AI - propaganda - brainwashing

for - progress trap - AI - Panopticon - Orwellian

for - progress trap - AI - arms race amongst dictators! - Trump - Putin - Kim Jong Un

for - progress trap - AI - misuse of power - Palantir?

for - definition - mirror life - progress trap

for - progress trap - synthetic biology - left handed life

for - progress trap - AI - technology as an amplifier - technology acts as an amplifier, allowing humans to fly, to move at speeds faster than any known animal, to lift things no living creature can, etc - The danger is ignorance and polarized views combined with extreme self-rightiousness

for - progress trap - AI - legislation required - tell it to Trump!

for - progress trap - AI - rogue AI vendors - like Grok

for - AI - progress trap - interpretability testing - deception - Is it possible that AI could even change their node behavior as a deceptive move?

for - progress trap - AI - hackers - hack the AI constitution

for - progress trap - AI - metaphor - psychopath with a nuclear bomb

for - progress trap - AI - abstraction - progress trap - AI with feelings & AI without feelings - no win? - One major and obvious aspect of current AI LLMs is that they are not only artificial in their intelligence, but also artificial in their lack of real world experiences. They are not embodied (and it would likely be a highly dubious ethical justification for their embodiment as in AI - powered robots) - Once we have the first known AI robot killing a human, it will be an indicator we have crossed the Rubicon - AI LLMs have ZERO realworld experience AND they are trained as artificial COGNITIE intelligence, not artificial EMOTIONAL intelligence - Without having the morals and social norms a human being is brought up with, it can become psychotic because they don't intrinsically value life - To attempt to program them with morals is equally dangerous because of moral relativity. A Christian nationalist's morality might be that anyone who is associated with abortions don't have a right to live and should be killed - an eye for an eye. Or a jihadist and muslim extremist with ISIS might feel all westerners do not have a right to exist because they don't follow Allah. - Do we really want moral programmability? - When we have a psychotic person armed with a lethal weapon, that is a dangerous situation. If we have a nation of super geniuses who go rogue, that is danger multiplied many orders of magnitude.

for - AI - progress trap - training - movies like Terminator - This is a case of reality imitating movies - Another example - humans mismanagement of the biosphere and elite abuse and intransigency

for - AI - progress trap - developing harmful traits

for - AI - progress trap - AI won't always listen to humans - probably due to unintentional design

for - progress trap - AI - 5 risks - autonomy - misuse for destruction - misuse for seizing power - economic disruption - indirect effects

for - AI progress trap - Trump

for - AI progress trap - ie. Trump family investing heavily in AI

for - longevity - shadow side - transhumanism - longevity - progress trap

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thucydides_Trap

for - progress trap - social media - misinformation - AI algorithms hijacking and pretending to be human

for - progress trap - AI - totalitarian government - can exploit for centralized, non-self-correcting control

for - progress trap - AI can become political lobbyist for increasing rights of AI

for - progress trap - AI as legal person (US Corporation) - richest person in the world could be an AI

for - progress trap - AI

for - progress trap - book - to - book - Progress: A History of Humankind's Worst Idea - https://hyp.is/cMyt5tjMEfCGz9-Edzp-hA/harpercollins.co.uk/products/progress-a-history-of-humanitys-worst-idea-samuel-miller-mcdonald - author Samuel Miller McDonald

SRG comment - interview - book on Progress - see other references: - to - book - A Short History of Progress (2004) - https://hyp.is/93k5CtjLEfC1UpPEi59BHA/archive.org/details/shorthistoryofpr0000wrig - to - movie - Surviving Progress (2011) - https://hyp.is/sRPYJtjLEfCwuDdwG2xNnw/www.nfb.ca/film/surviving-progress/ - SRG article - Cogress

for - Medium article - cogress - Part 1 - progress trap - James Gien Wong - definition - cogress - to - Medium article cogress - Part 2 - progress trap - James Gien Wong - https://hyp.is/t8FhpDGAEfC4J7f0NEFujg/medium.com/@gien_SRG/human-cogress-part-2-d6fd075a55c7 - to - Stop Reset Go hypothesis annotations - progress trap - Ronald Wright - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=ronald+wright - General - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=progress+trap - from - youtube - Planet Critical interview - Samuel Miller MacDonald - The Myth of Progress - https://hyp.is/r-hmFtjKEfCd8odATbINbA/www.youtube.com/watch?v=BEhmWEDkZUQ

for - book - A Short History of Progress (2004) - author - Ronald Wright - progress trap - Ronald Wright - A Short History of Progress (2004) - to - movie - Surviving Progress (2011) - https://hyp.is/sRPYJtjLEfCwuDdwG2xNnw/www.nfb.ca/film/surviving-progress/ - to - book - Progress: A History of Humanity's Worst Idea - from - youtube - Planet Critical interview - Samuel Miller MacDonald - The Myth of Progress - https://hyp.is/r-hmFtjKEfCd8odATbINbA/www.youtube.com/watch?v=BEhmWEDkZUQ

for - paper - Characteristic processes of human evolution caused the Anthropocene and may obstruct its global solutions (2023) - author - Timothy M. Waring - Zachary T. Wood - Eörs Szathmáry

SRG comment - validation that cultural evolution must make a dramatic shift because - the patterns of cultural evolution that brought human civilization to modernity and the Anthropocene - could end up destroying it - progress trap - cultural evolution - patterns of existing cultural evolution and progress could be our ultimate progress trap

for - evolutionary transition - from genetic to cultural - progress trap - cultural evolution

for - progress trap - long term antibiotic use - can create new composition of microbiome with species resistant to antibiotic treatment

for - The Human Microbiome Project - progress trap - antibiotics - severely disrupts the microbiome (Human Microbiome Project)

for - progress trap - technology - nuclear - psychopathic behavior - Edward Teller calculation - decision to go ahead anyways!

for - definition - transformation backlash - resistance experienced when pushing against an existing system - progress trap - polycrisis - climate crisis - transformation backlash

for - progress trap - nitrogen for fertilizers - anthropocene research - releases lots of methane - climate crisis - leverage point - replacing nitrogen fertilizers

for - stats - speed - cultural (technological) evolution - cell phone - 35 years to touchscreen phones - comparison - speed of cultural vs biological evolution - progress trap

for - progress trap - education -advocate

for - progress trap - AI - safety - irony

for - progress trap - AI - brakes reality checking loop

for - progress trap - AI - suicides

for - progress trap - AI - sycophants,- example

for - progress trap - AI - sycophantic design

for - progress trap - AI designed to be affirming

for - progress trap - AI therapy

for - progress trap - AI - therapist - subtle attachment

for - progress trap - AI - assisted suicide

for - metaphor - slow motion train wreck - seeing future progress trap

for - progress trap - AI

for - progress trap - AI - like NAFTA

for - progress trap - NAFTA

for - social media - progress trap

for - progress trap - AI - narrow boundary

for - definition - abundance trap

for - progress trap - colonialism - wheat instead of tepary beans

for - ecology - red crabs of Christmas island - progress trap - invasive species - biocontrol - ecological engineering - wasps - ants

for - Progress trap - AI - low trust society

for - new life forms - xenobots - anthrobots - novel electric faces - Michael Levin - progress trap - xenobots - anthrobots

for - quote - platonic patterns are now actionable - Michael Levin - I've been thinking about this stuff for decades, and I had not broached the topic of platonic patterns until this year. - And that's because I think it is now actionable. - question - progress trap - moral questions and alarm bells? playing God? - Michael Levin

for - consciousness, AI, Alex Gomez- Marin, neuroscience, hard problem of consciousness, nonmaterialism, materialism - progress trap - transhumanism - AI - war on conciousness

Summary - Alex advocates - for a nonmaterialist perspective on consciousness and argues - that there is an urgency to educate the public on this perspective - due to the transhumanist agenda that could threaten the future of humanity - He argues that the problem of whether consciousness is best explained by materialism or not is central to resolving the threat posed by the direction AI takes - In this regard, he interprets that the very words that David Chalmers chose to articulate the Hard Problem of Consciousness reveals the assumption of a materialist reference frame. - He used a legal metaphor too illustrate his point: - When a lawyer poses three question "how did you kill that person" - the question is entrapping the accused . It already contains the assumption of guilt. - I would characterize his role as a scientist who practices authentic seeker of wisdom - will learn from a young child if they have something valuable to teach and - will help educate a senior if they have something to learn - The efficacy of timebinding depends on authenticity and is harmed by dogma

for - progress trap - psychedelics

for - progress trap - transhumanism - AI - war on consciousness

for - progress trap - transhumanism -quote - transhumanism - mandating change on the human species

for - AI - progress trap - Open AI device

for - youtube - BBC - AI2027 - Futures - AI - progress trap - AI - to AI2027 website - https://hyp.is/0VHJqH3cEfCm9JM_EB3ypQ/ai-2027.com/

summary - This dystopian futures scenario is the brainchild of former OpenAI researcher Daniel Kokotajlo, - It is premised on human behavior in modernity including - confirmation bias of AI researchers - entrenched competing political ideologies that motivate an AI arms race - entrenched capitalist market behavior that motivates an AI arms race - AI becoming embodied, resulting in Artificially Embodied Artificial Intelligence (AEAI), posing the danger to humanity because it's no longer just talk, but action - Can it happen? The probability is not zero.We don't really understand the behavior of the AI LLM's we design, they are nonpredictable, and as we give them even greater power, that is a slippery slope - AI can become humanity's ultimate progress trap, which is ironic, because the technology that promises to be the most efficient of all, can become so efficient, it no longer need human beings - Remember Jerry Kaplan's book "Humans need not apply"? - https://hyp.is/o0lBFH3fEfC1QLfnLSs5Bg/www.youtube.com/watch?v=JiiP5ROnzw8 - This dystopian futures scenario goes further and explores the idea that "humans need not exist"!

question - What about emulating climate change gamification of "Bend the Curve" of emissions? - Use the AI 2027 trajectory as a template and see how much real-life follows this trajectory - Just as we have the countdown to the https://climateclock.world/ ( 3 years and change remaining as of today) - perhaps we can have an AI 2027 clock? - What can we do to "bend the dystopian AI 2027 curve" AWAY from the dystopian future?

for - adjacency - cannot go back - spiral -progress - progress trap - This can also be seen as the complexity emerging from the continuous oscillation between progress and progress traps - while we are a timebinding species, the unintended consequences of progress require us to undo the unintended harm by revisiting a corner time to remember the beneficial qualities so they we may decouple the harmful qualities in the future

for - progress trap - legal - NDA - question - legal - NDA - can laws be amended so that NDA's are null and void whecan laws be amended so that NDA's are null and void when perpetrators use them to defend and hide their illegal activity?

for - progress trap - legal - NDA - question - legal - NDA - can laws be amended so that NDA's are null and void when perpetrators use them to defend and hide their illegal activity?

for - Epstein scandal - progress trap - NDA - youtube - MSNBC - interview - Gretchen Carlson - to - Lift our voices - founder Gretchen Carlson - https://hyp.is/cjEMJHaCEfCvXw-j41Uguw/liftourvoices.org/legislation

for - example - leverage - progress trap - COVID - mix of 4 amino acids inserted into a spike protein

for - adjacency - morphological memory - permanent - progress trap - progress trap - programmable morphological memory - Nature has obviously altered the bioelectrical patterns through natural evolution, - while humans now understand the mechanism and can alter it artificially to suit our own wants and needs - Hence, it can become a future progress trap

for - adjacency - stored latent memory of future morphology - can be altered - Michael Levin - potential progress trap

for - progress trap - digital nomad - modern colonizers

for - progress trap - AI - sharing intimate details with

for - question - progress trap - open source AI models - for blackmail and ransom - Could a bad actor take an open source codebase and twist it to do harm like find out about an rogue AI creator's adversary, enemy or victim and blackmail them? - progress trap - open source AI - criminals - exploit to identify and blackmail victiims

for - progress trap - AI - Anthropic Claude 4 - blackmail - from - youtube - Kyle Kilinski Show - AI is completely out of control - https://hyp.is/GhDOzj0nEfCvHZdiUaw4gQ/www.youtube.com/watch?v=4j1gjSoRt8Q

for - progress trap - AI - Anthropic Claude 4 - blackmail - rare behavior - but still possible! It only has to happen once!

for - progress trap - AI - blackmail - AI - autonomy - progress trap - AI - Anthropic - Claude Opus 4 - to - article - Anthropic Claude 4 blackmail and news leak - progress trap - AI - article - Anthropic Claude 4 - blackmail - rare behavior - Anthropic’s new AI model didn’t just “blackmail” researchers in tests — it tried to leak information to news outlets

for - progress trap - AI - AI - blackmailing human creators - AI - autonomy

for - progress trap - AI - autonomy - example - Grok

for - progress trap - AI - Grok - Elon Musk programs Grok to lie about South African refuges

for - progress trap - Consilience Project - progress trap - Daniel Schmactenberger - from - LinkedIn post - https://hyp.is/twtPIDFaEfC-DCuswNHo5g/www.linkedin.com/posts/danielschmachtenberger_development-in-progress-the-consilience-activity-7222883365371191297-DCPX/?rcm=ACoAACc5MHMBii80wYJJmFqll3Aw-nvAjvI52uI

summary - Daniel is describing the condition known as a "progress trap",an unintended consequence of progress. - I provide a history of progress traps in my two Medium articles found in the annotation links above. - The idea of progress traps is a very important one, especially for modernity because it is a central and general organizing principle under which many disparate unintended consequences of progress can be subsumed. - As is common in paradigm shifts, it is only when a novel concept of sufficient generalization and relevance is introduced that numerous important problems that could not be explained sufficiently in an older model, can be explained more elegantly from a higher or deeper level perspective - Without recognizing a new category of "progress traps", the many different types of unintended consequences are treated in a fragmented and adhoc way.

for - progress trap - to - Stop Reset Go hypothesis annotations - progress trap - Ronald Wright - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=ronald+wright - General - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=progress+trap

for - definition - cogress - Medium article - Cogress - Part 2 - Stop Reset Go - Deep Humanity - James Gien Wong - from - Medium article - Cogress - Part 1 - Stop Reset Go - Deep Humanity - James Gien Wong - https://hyp.is/_Nyg2DF_EfCBeu_iuDroYg/medium.com/@gien_SRG/human-cogress-part-1-5159a575e1c4 - to - Stop Reset Go hypothesis annotations - progress trap - Ronald Wright - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=ronald+wright - General - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=progress+trap

for - post - LinkedIn - progress trap - Daniel Schmatenberger - to - article - The Consilience Project - Development in Progress - https://hyp.is/E3HHGDFaEfCZErPpYGIONg/consilienceproject.org/development-in-progress/

for - post - LinkedIn - progress trap

for - progress trap - reducing complexity to simplicity - A very human trait, it's why we make models, which lead to progress traps

for - progress trap - ASI - introducing trojan and backdoors in adversary ASI - can backfire

for - definition - AI containment - progress trap - AI containment

for - progress trap - ASI - progress trap - AGI

for - progress trap - AGI - one year away from automating software work

for - progress trap - AGI

for - progress trap - AGI - Silicon Valley move fast and break things strategy - incompatible with security of AGI

for - SSI: our dystopian nightmare - progress trap

for - adjacency - Move fast and break things - progress trap - antonym of "Move fast and break things" - "Move slow and make things"

for - progress trap - turning point - David Suzuki - Haida Gwaii

for - progress trap - geoengineering - David Suzuki

for - progress trap - David Suzuki

for - progress trap - DDT - David Suzuki

for - progress trap - CFC's - David Suzuki

for - quote - progress trap - David Suzuki - quote - Indra's net of jewels - David Suzuki

quote - progress trap - David Suzuki - What she (Rachel Carson) said is, - Yeah, you scientists are clever. You can make powerful compounds like DDT, but you don't know enough to anticipate all of the consequences. - Because the lab is not a replica of the real world. The lab is an artifact, something that has very little to do with the real world out there. - In the real world, everything is connected to everything else, and we don't know enough to anticipate the effects of what we do with our powerful technologies.

for - progress trap - Rachel Carson - Silent Spring - book - pesticides

for - progress trap - construction - Denmark

for - program event selection - 2025 - April 3 - 10:30am-12pm GMT - Skoll World Forum - Redefining Progress: New Frontiers for the Field of Social Innovation - Stop Reset Go - Progress traps - Cosmolocal production - commons - Deep Humanity - TPF - LCE - relevant to - event time conflict - with Aligning Profit and Purpose - adjacency - progress trap - Deep Humanity - Cosmolocal production - social innovation

for - claim - AI for a new type of democracy? - progress trap - AI - future democracy

for - history - progress trap - Wikipedia - Daniel O'Leary - Ronald Wright - Walter Von Kramer - Der Spiegel

for - AI - progress trap - Youtube - bioweapons is not the only threat. Nano technology and many others can be turned into weapons of mass destruction - RDeepSeek R1 just caught up with OpenAIs o1 - There is no moat@ What does this mean? - David Shapiro - 2025, Jan 29

for - adjacency - progress trap - mafia - intentional fires - Italy - complexity - CNN - How the Mafia is weaponizing wildfires - 2025,Jan 27

for - progress trap - cloud capital - behavioral modification - source - article - Le Monde - Musk, Trump and the Broligarch's novel hyper-weapon - Yanis Varoufakis - 2025, Jan 4

for - progress trap - Tesla autopilot - YouTube - The hidden data that reveals why Tesla's crash - WSJ - 2024 - Dec

for - quote - Response to Elon Musk - competition is moot - whoever creates superintelligence first week also create the progress trap that comes along with it - Roman Yampolskiy

quote - Response to Elon Musk - competition is moot - whoever creates superintelligence first week also create the progress trap that comes along with it - Roman Yampolskiy

• If he [Musk] is concerned about competitors getting there first,
  • it doesn't matter as uncontrolled superintelligence is equally bad, no matter who makes it come into existence.

for - progress trap - AI superintelligence - interview - AI safety researcher and director of the Cyber Security Laboratory at the University of Louisville - Roman Yampolskiy - progress trap - over 99% chance AI superintelligence arriving as early as 2027 will destroy humanity - article UofL - Q&A: UofL AI safety expert says artificial superintelligence could harm humanity - 2024, July 15

for - progress trap - blockchain - one unintended consequence is that it is very energy inefficient - from Substack article - The Cosmo-Local Plan for our Next Civilization - Michel Bauwens - 2024, Dec 20

for - natural capital - process6 trap - George Monbiot

for - adjacency - systemic intedependent web - predicament - progress trap - Joe Brewer - progress trap - climate crisis solutions

for - progress trap - experiment - artificial cell coexisting with living cells - Martin Hanczyc - Michael Levin podcast

for - AI - progress trap - interview Eric Schmidt - meme - AI progress trap - high intelligence + low compassion = existential threat

Summary - After watching the interview, I would sum it up this way. Humanity faces an existential threat from AI due to: - AI is extreme concentration of power and intelligence (NOT wisdom!) - Humanity still have many traumatized people who want to harm others - low compassion - The deadly combination is: - proliferation of tools that give anyone extreme concentration of power and intelligence combined with - a sufficiently high percentage of traumatized people with - low levels of compassion and - high levels of unlimited aggression - All it takes is ONE bad actor with the right combination of circumstances and conditions to wreak harm on a global scale, and that will not be prevented by millions of good applications of the same technology

for - progress trap - reducing nitrogen air pollution - reduces soil carbon storage

for - post comment - LinkedIn - polarization - Trump 2024 win - lack of collective - adjacency - Deep Humanity - deep time, species-wide singularity - conservativism vs progressiveness - progress - political polarization - progress trap

adjacency between - Trump 2024 win - Deep Humanity - anthropocene as deep time species-wide singularity - progress traps reaching a climax - conservatism vs progressiveness - adjacency relationship - This fits into a Deep Humanity explanation: - We are moving through a deep time, species singularity in which - once isolated pockets of cultural seeking and interpretative systems for explaining reality have been rapidly mashed-up via: - communication and - transportation technology - There is a singularity now where two forces are battling each other: - conservative that values old traditional cultural values and norms and - progressive that values the future possibilities - There are different cultural flavors of this. Whether it is - political polarization that pits authoritarian vs democratic ideologies or - climate change that pits traditional fossil fuel systems vs new renewable energy systems - the way we've always done things is in conflict with new ways of doing things through natural human evolutionary change - progress - In fact, we can look at the deep time, species-wide singularity that is now happening across all fields in the anthropocene as a predictable progress trap arising from progress itself

for - quote - progress trap - AI - developed by unwise humans - John Churchill

quote - progress trap - AI - developed by unwise humans - John Churchill - (See below) - We haven't even got to a planetary place yet really - and we're about to unleash Galactic level technology - So we have a we have a lot of catchup that needs to happen in a very short period of time

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fictitious_entry

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trap_street

non-existent towns and streets used to trap plagiarists

Relation to Genius.com's trap of Google on music lyrics

for - AI - progress trap - example - Facebook AI algorithm - target - increase user engagement - by spreading hateful conspiracy theories - AI did this autonomously - no morality - Yuval Noah Harari story

for - AI - progress trap - example - no morality - Open AI - GPT4 - could not solve captcha - so hired human at Task Rabbit to solve - Yuval Noah Harari story

for - Yuval Noah Harari - interview - book - Nexus - progress trap - information

for - progress trap - meaning crisis intervention practices

progress trap - meaning crisis intervention practices - JV recognizes the potential progress traps of this potential intervention

for - biodiversity - impact of monoculture diet

biodiversity - impact of monoculture diet - FAO study done before 2000 and often cited shows that 75% of the global diet comes from 12 plant and 5 animal food sources

to - stats - progress trap - monoculture - table of 12 plant and 5 animal species that make up 75% of world's diet - https://hyp.is/iznepFWoEe-umbNyOGVqrg/thefuturemarket.com/biodiversity

• progress trap - monoculture - instead of agrobiodiversity - examples of
  • https://hyp.is/kV_NalWpEe-xFufxGAqPhw/foodtechconnect.com/2019/01/07/biodiverse-food-intersection-taste-sustainability/

. for - progress trap - monoculture - instead of agrobiodiversity

from - Swiss RE Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (BES) index report - https://hyp.is/Jqw9MlWpEe-DhnehMbtbjA/www.swissre.com/dam/jcr:a7fe3dca-c4d6-403b-961c-9fab1b2f0455/swiss-re-institute-expertise-publication-biodiversity-and-ecosystem-services.pdf

for - progress trap - zoonotic diseases - from transgressive biodiversity

for - World economic forum - integration planetary boundaries into their strategy

Concern - unintended consequence - The WEF is perceived by many to be an elitist organisation - who do not have the best interest off the people in mind - This could lead to potential reputational damage to the planetary boundary framework thru their association with it

for - new term - curiosity trap - When distractions take us out of the concentration and focusing zone

for - progress trap - deep sea metallic nodes produce oxygen - deep sea mining can disrupt

for - similar to - quote - Ronald Wright - progress trap - computer metaphor

similar to - quote - Ronald Wright - progress trap - computer metaphor - Ronald Wright's famous quote on the computer metaphor really gets to the essence of things - how much of the meta-poly-perma-crisis can be explained by the unprecedented mismatch between the rate of - biological evolution of our species - cultural evolution of our species - Culture is the major and possibly most signficant differentiator between the person alive 50,000 years ago and the one alive today.

reference - quote - Ronald Wright - computer metaphor - https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.goodreads.com%2Fwork%2Fquotes%2F321797-a-short-history-of-progress&group=world

26:30 Brings up progress traps of this new technology

26:48

question How do we shift our (human being's) relationship with the rest of nature

27:00

metaphor - interspecies communications - AI can be compared to a new scientific instrument that extends our ability to see - We may discover that humanity is not the center of the universe

32:54

Question - Dr Doolittle question - Will we be able to talk to the animals? - Wittgenstein said no - Human Umwelt is different from others - but it may very well happen

34:54

species have culture - Marine mammals enact behavior similar to humans

• Unknown unknowns will likely move to known unknowns and to some known knowns

36:29

citizen science bioacoustic projects - audio moth - sound invisible to humans - ultrasonic sound - intrasonic sound - example - Amazonian river turtles have been found to have hundreds of unique vocalizations to call their baby turtles to safety out in the ocean

41:56

ocean habitat for whales - they can communicate across the entire ocean of the earth - They tell of a story of a whale in Bermuda can communicate with a whale in Ireland

43:00

progress trap - AI for interspecies communications - examples - examples - poachers or eco tourism can misuse

44:08

progress trap - AI for interspecies communications - policy

45:16

whale protection technology - Kim Davies - University of New Brunswick - aquatic drones - drones triangulate whales - ships must not get near 1,000 km of whales to avoid collision - Canadian government fines are up to 250,000 dollars for violating

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environmental regulation - overhaul for the next century - instead of - treatment, we now have the data tools for - prevention

56:40 - ecological relationship - pollinators and plants have co-evolved

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AI for interspecies communication - example - human cultural evolution controlling evolution of life on earth

for - progress trap - AI -

article details - title - Hollow, world! (Part 1 of 5) - author - James Allen - date - 10 July, 2024 - publication - substack - self link - https://allenj.substack.com/p/hollow-world-part-1-of-5

summary James Allen provides an insightful description of ultra-anthropomorphic AI, AI that attempts to simulate an entire, whole human being.

In short, he points out the fundamental distinction between the real experience of another human being, and a simulation of one. In so doing, he gets to the heart of what it is to be human.

An AI is a simulation of a human being. No matter how realistic it's responses and actions, it is not evolved out of biology. I have no doubts that scientists are hard at work trying to make a biological AI. The distinction becomes fuzzier then.

Current AI cannot possibly simulate the experience of being in a fragile and mortal body and all that this entails. If an AI robot says it understands joy or pain, that statement isn't built on the combined exteroception and interoception of being in a biological body, rather, it is based on many linguistic statements it has assimilated.

for - progress trap - abstraction - the ECONOMY! - abstracted and separated from nature

for - progress trap - real dangers from - abstraction and siloing

progress trap - real dangers from - abstraction and siloing - Business processes create workers who live in abstract, symbolic worlds, never seeing the consequences of their symbolic manipulations - At the end of the day, the abstract, symbolic finance industry worker gets a fat salary and lives comfortably, whilist playing with abstractions of processes they are contributing to which they have no sensory information on - the separation of producer from consumer is yet another huge abstraction that cleaves the gestalt into pieces that we cannot see - ANTIDOTE to this - de-abstraction - re-synthesize - Processes have been fragmented and split apart - We need to find ways for people to re-synthesize and assemble the pieces back together again in order to - see and experience the whole picture

for - progress trap - modernity can't run away anywhere from its ruins

for - progress trap - planetary tipping points - rapid climate destabilization

reference - Ice cores provide first documentation of rapid Antarctic ice loss in the past - https://phys.org/news/2024-02-ice-cores-documentation-rapid-antarctic.html

for - progress trap - Agriculture appears to be a progress trap - Ronald Wright

argument - progress trap - Agriculture appears to be a progress trap - Ronald Wright - The early progress traps have been comparatively small in scale - During the stone age, there were no more than a few million people alive (3 to 5 million?) and - they destroyed all the big game where humans lived - The Sumerians, with a population of around one million people salted up and destroyed the fertile land of Southern Iraq - Now we have 8 billion people and a third of them are starving - Our continuous technology development is what enables us to stave off the day of reckoning but - we are losing a Scotland-size worth of topsoil every year to - soil erosion - urban sprawl - We still face the possibility of collapse - Our species has existed for 5 to 6 million years and - civilization is an experiment that has only emerged about 10,000 years ago - It's still very possible for the experiment to fail

for - statistics - progress trap - comparative levels of poverty

statistics - progress trap - comparative levels of poverty - modern civilization has - a huge middle class - a small elite class - a huge impoverished class - The absolute number of people living on less than 2 dollars a day is less than the entire population of humans only 100 years ago

for - progress trap - the agricultural-large family positive feedback loop

progress trap - the agricultural-large family positive feedback loop - Interesting to compare modern vs agricultural societies - Populations are dropping in most western countries around the contemporary world, yet - traditional agricultural societies had large families to tend to large amount of agricultural work - There is a progress trap potential with encouraging many large families with a limited land resource: - If you have larger families, you can cultivate more land - If you cultivate more land, you can have even larger family - until you reach a point when the land has been exhausted and you are now forced to reduce the population

for - progress trap - cultures that avoided progress trap of population explosion - Tahiti - via infanticide

progress trap - cultures that avoided progress trap of population explosion - Tahiti - via infanticide

• Tahitians practiced population control via
  • infanticide
    • It was ok to kill a newborn baby before it drew its first breath, as it was not considered a person until it drew the first breath
  • advanced Eroticism - separating sexual activity from reproduction

for - progress trap - dangerous mythology

progress trap - dangerous mythology - We subscribe to a dangerous myth that: - progress will go on forever and - everything will get bigger and better and - we don't have to control our numbers - or our demand on nature - because we will always find a way to make it work

• We have to break out of that mindset

for - progress trap - agriculture that could work - historical terraced cultivation in Peru and China

for - progress trap - inequality - resentment

progress trap - inequality - resentment - rapid emergence of the far-right and populus - Indeed we see so much resentment everywhere. For example, the far-right and populus could only emerge so rapidly because of such resentment of being left behind.

for - progress trap - dark futures scenario - like Easter Island but on a global scale

comment - The potential global breakdown of global industrialized society, rupturing supply chains so that our highly interdependent world becomes the very Achilles Heel that hastens its demise is chilling - It could mean a huge disruption to the most important aspect of civilization - the continuing accruing and inter-generational transmission of knowledge - It would be catastrophic to lose that, but it is entirely possible - As Wright himself famously said, to use a computer metaphor, we humans are like 50,000 year old hardware, running modern software - By that, he meant that our cognitive physiology (brain and sensory processing system) has not changed for tens of thousands of years, yet cultural evolution happens at exponentially faster rates, so much so that our biological systems are not adapted to keep up with the pace, and that spells disaster - When we no longer have the sensory or cognitive apparatus to sense danger, and we are offloading that to AI, we are in an extremely vulnerable situation

progress trap - Gedanken - Think of our ancestors from 50,000 years ago. - What Wright is saying with his metaphor is that if that child from 50,000 years ago were transported by a time machine to modernity, (s)he would have little problem integrating into modern society - LIKEWISE, if we lose all the knowledge fruits of accumulated over so many thousands of years, it would be like being born into a human tribe 50,000 years ago. - We would likely still have language, but all our technology may have to start from scratch!

for - progress trap - habits of thinking - limits - liberty

progress trap - habits of thinking - limits - liberty - Technology has provided us with ever increasing types and scales of liberty - We cannot imagine taking away those liberties!

for - key insight - progress trap - A Short History of Progress - we are clever but NOT wise!

key insight - progress trap - A Short History of Progress - we are clever but NOT wise! - In other words - Intelligence is FAR DIFFERENT than wisdom

new memes - We have an abundance of intelligence and a dearth of wisdom - A little knowledge is dangerous, a lot of knowledge is even more dangerous

for - progress trap - archeology - Easter Island

progress trap - archeology - Easter Island - The archeology tells the fascinating story of the progress trap that Eastern Island ancestors created. - Easter Island is desolate and only 64 square miles total - It is located 2,000 miles (3218 km) from the nearest landmass of South America - Archeologists trying to piece together the stone monoliths of Easter Island found pollen samples in the crater lakes on the island, proving that the place was once a thriving forest - By the time the first Europeans landed (the Dutch) on Easter Island, it was just grassy hills - How did it go from a lush forest land to a grass land? - The layers of pollen samples told a story - The aboriginal polynesians that the Dutch explorers encountered arrived about 1,000 years earlier - They cut down the forest, grew their population and used trees in many ways, including to transport the huge stone monoliths that paid respect to their ancestors - The original people multiplied then separated into separate warring tribes - The environment was devastated as the logging destroyed the forest and all the abundant ecosystem that provided for their sustenance - This created severe erosion and the soil became impoverished - The tribes collapses into warfare and cannibalism

progress trap - Easter Island - Sumeria etc - lesson - don't romanticize our ancestors - Human groups have continuously sabotaged themselves through overexploitation and lack of foresight - Progress traps have been a constant part of our species for a long, long time

for - quote - metaphor - progress trap - live off the interest, not the principal of nature - Ronald Wright

for - progress trap - example - weapons leading to nuclear weapons

progress trap - example - weapons leading to nuclear weapons - These are the most ironic inventions of civilization - We spend significant percentages of our budgets maintaining and escalating them, meanwhile, we all know we cannot use them as it would mean billions would die

quote progress trap - nuclear weapons - When you're talking nuclear weapons that can never be used you're investing in something that's completely useless - that you're maybe burying in the ground in the form of missile silos or - you're putting into submarines or - into aircraft or missiles - You can never use these things and they are draining off the surplus that might otherwise be used into - wealth redistribution and into - long-term sustainability

for - adjacency - progress trap - pyramid scheme

adjacency - between - progress trap - pyramid scheme - adjacency relationship - the pyramid sales scheme works as long as you can - continue to draw in new investors and new buyers - you concentrate the wealth upwards - you're not actually making real wealth - you're simply taking the wealth from the rubes who are coming in, in order to pay off the people who invested earlier to make it seem like it's a sustainable enterprise when it isn't (ponzi scheme) - Unfortunately, civilizations in their relationship to nature seem to follow that pattern - They expand the base and then when the base can't be expanded anymore - then all the environmental problems that have been hidden by constant expansion suddenly come back and hit them in the face - And those environmental problems of course cause social problems - They very often cause revolutions and wars because - suddenly people realize the pie is not getting bigger so therefore they become discontented with the small slice that they're getting, - unless they're people at the top of the pyramid - So it's a pyramid in the sense of a social pyramid too