for: James Hansen - 2023 paper, key insight - James Hansen, leverage point - emergence of new 3rd political party, leverage point - youth in politics, climate change - politics, climate crisis - politics

Key insight: James Hansen

• The key insight James Hansen conveys is that
  • the key to rapid system change is
    • WHAT? the rapid emergence of a new, third political party that does not take money from special interest lobbys.
    • WHY? Hit the Achilles heel of the Fossil Fuel industry
    • HOW? widespread citizen / youth campaign to elect new youth leaders across the US and around the globe
    • WHEN? Timing is critical. In the US,
      • Don't spoil the vote for the two party system in 2024 elections. Better to have a democracy than a dictatorship.
      • Realistically, likely have to wait to be a contender in the 2028 election.

reference

• paper - Global Warming in the Pipeline
  • https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Facademic.oup.com%2Foocc%2Farticle%2F3%2F1%2Fkgad008%2F7335889&group=world
• Michael Mann's critique of the paper
  • https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fmichaelmann.net%2Fcontent%2Fcomments-new-article-james-hansen&group=world

for: key insight- polycrisis - climate crisis - political crisis, climate crisis - requires a new political party, money in politics, climate crisis - fossil fuel lobbyists, climate change - politics, climate crisis - politics, James Hansen - key insight - political action - 3rd party

key insight

• Both democrats and conservatives are captured by fossil fuel lobbyist interests
• A new third political party that does not take money from special interests is required
• The nature of the polycrisis is that crisis are entangled . This is a case in point. The climate crisis cannot be solved unless the political crisis of money influencing politics is resolved
• The system needs to be rapidly reformed to kick money of special interest groups out of politics.

question

• Given the short timescale, the earliest we can achieve this is 2028 in the US Election cycle
• Meanwhile what can we do in between?
• How much impact can alternative forms of local governance like https://sonec.org/ have?
• In particular, could citizens form local alternative forms of governance and implement incentives to drive sustainable behavior?

for: climate change - false binary, jobs vs environment, example, example climate change - false binary, climate departure, leverage point

example: false environmental binary

• activists need to better communicate the false binary that climate denialists keep using to pull the wool over people's eyes.
• jobs vs environment ignores the short term threat of environmental degradation
• this is where participatory climate departure can show the threat in a visceral, concrete way that is far more compelling you the average person than any intellectual attempt to explain the differences example - climate change - false binary

date: Aug. 30, 2023

stats

• study based on NHANES study of 10, 248 U.S. adults between 2015 and 2018 indicated that 12% accounted for all beef consumed

• 12% OF AMERICANS EAT HALF OF ALL BEEF CONSUMED IN A DAY

for: social tipping point, social tipping points, leverage point, leverage points, STP, 25% STP threshold

title

• Climate change can drive social tipping points – for better or for worse

• https://theconversation.com/climate-change-can-drive-social-tipping-points-for-better-or-for-worse-210641

• July 31, 2023

• Sonia Graham

• https://besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/pan3.10516

for: social tipping points, STP, social tipping point, leverage point, Sirkku Juhola

title

• Social tipping points and adaptation limits in the context of systemic risk: Concepts, models and governance

• Sirkku Juhola
• Tatiana Filatova
• Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler
• Reinhard Mechler
• Jurgen Scheffran
• Pia-Johanna Schweizer

• Sept 21, 2022

abstract

• Physical tipping points have gained a lot of attention in global and climate change research to understand the conditions for system transitions when it comes to the atmosphere and the biosphere.
• Social tipping points have been framed as mechanisms in socio-environmental systems, where a small change in the underlying elements or behavior of actors triggers a large non-linear response in the social system.
• With climate change becoming more acute, it is important to know whether and how societies can adapt.
• While social tipping points related to climate change have been associated with positive or negative outcomes,
  • overstepping adaptation limits has been linked to adverse outcomes where actors' values and objectives are strongly compromised.
• Currently, the evidence base is limited, and most of the discussion on social tipping points in climate change adaptation and risk research is conceptual or anecdotal.
• This paper brings together three strands of literature -
  • social tipping points,
  • climate adaptation limits and
  • systemic risks,
• which so far have been separate.
• Furthermore, we discuss
  • methods and
  • models
• used to illustrate the dynamics of
  • social and
  • adaptation tipping points
• in the context of cascading risks at different scales beyond adaptation limits.
• We end with suggesting that further evidence is needed to identify tipping points in social systems,
  • which is crucial for developing appropriate governance approaches.

reference

• https://www.rifs-potsdam.de/en/news/social-tipping-points-spotlight

for: social tipping point, social tipping points, leverage point, STP

reference

• https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.frontiersin.org%2Farticles%2F10.3389%2Ffclim.2022.1009234&group=world

• consumption
• investor
• role model within social networks
• participants in organizations
• citizens seeking to influence public policies or corporate behavior

• high-SES
  • high socioeconomic status
  • equivalent to high net worth individual (HNWI) or
  • very high net worth individual (VHNWI)

• The role of high-socioeconomic-status people in locking in or rapidly reducing energy-driven greenhouse gas emissions

• Kristian S. Nielsen
• Kimberly A. Nicholas
• Felix Creutzig
• Thomas Dietz
• Paul C. Stern

• Sept 30, 2021 -source
• https://www.nature.com/articles/s41560-021-00900-y

• People with high socioeconomic status disproportionally affect energy-driven greenhouse gas emissions directly
  • through their consumption and
  • indirectly through their financial and social resources.
• However, few climate change mitigation initiatives have targeted this population segment,
  • and the potential of such initiatives remains insufficiently researched.
• In this Perspective, we analyse key characteristics of high-socioeconomic-status people and explore five roles through which they have a disproportionate impact on energy-driven greenhouse gas emissions and potentially on climate change mitigation, namely as:
  • consumers,
  • investors,
  • role models,
  • organizational participants and
  • citizens.
• We examine what is known about their disproportionate impact via consumption and
  • explore their potential influence on greenhouse gas emissions through all five roles.
• We suggest that future research should focus on strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by high-socioeconomic-status people and to align their
  • investments,
  • organizational choices and
  • actions as social and political change agents
• with climate change mitigation goals.

• Richest 1% Took 2/3rds of Global Wealth Since 2020
• Richest 1% increased wealth in 2020 and 2021 twice as much as 99% of Population Earned

for: carbon inequality, W2W, leverage point

five leverage points

• consumer.
• investors
• lobbyist
• influencer
• citizen

• "people who are wealthy contribute the most to causing climate change,
  • they are unfortunately also in the most ideal position to help us mitigate climate change"

• Kristian Nielsen
  • https://www.nature.com/articles/s41560-021-00900-y
  • The role of high-socioeconomic-status people in locking in or rapidly reducing energy-driven greenhouse gas emissions