969 Matching Annotations
  1. Apr 2026
    1. In early April, we shared that more than 3 million developers were using Codex every week. Just two weeks later, that number has grown to more than 4 million.

      这表明Codex的开发者采用率在两周内增长了33.3%(从300万增加到400万),这是一个惊人的增长率。这种快速增长反映了开发者对AI编程工具的强烈需求,也暗示了Codex可能正在经历病毒式传播或企业快速采用阶段。

    1. 🔹 **Rich World Knowledge:** Leads all current open models, trailing only Gemini-3.1-Pro.

      这里提供了模型知识能力的相对排名:领先所有当前开源模型,但仅落后于Gemini-3.1-Pro。这是一个相对定位而非绝对性能数据。这种表述暗示DeepSeek-V4-Pro在知识广度上达到了接近顶级闭源模型的水平,这对需要广泛知识的应用场景具有重要意义。然而,缺乏具体的评估指标和分数,难以准确量化这一差距。

    2. 🔹 **Enhanced Agentic Capabilities:** Open-source SOTA in Agentic Coding benchmarks.

      虽然文中没有提供具体的基准测试数据,但声称在代理编程基准测试中达到开源SOTA(最先进水平)。这是一个重要断言,但缺乏具体量化指标。如果属实,这将代表DeepSeek在AI代理能力方面的重大突破,特别是在代码生成和执行任务上。需要查看技术报告中的具体基准测试数据来验证这一声明。

    3. ⚠️ Note: deepseek-chat & deepseek-reasoner will be fully retired and inaccessible after Jul 24th, 2026, 15:59 (UTC Time).

      这里明确指出了旧模型退役的具体时间节点:2026年7月24日15:59 UTC。这是一个精确的时间点,表明公司正在进行产品线更新换代。从发布日期(2026年4月24日)到退役日期,只有约3个月过渡期,用户需要尽快迁移到新模型,这可能反映了公司对新产品性能的高度自信。

    4. 🔹 **1M Standard:** 1M context is now the default across all official DeepSeek services.

      DeepSeek V4将上下文长度提升到100万token,成为行业新标准。这一数据点意义重大,相比行业常见的32K-128K上下文窗口,提升了约8-31倍,能处理更长文档和复杂任务。这需要创新的注意力机制和内存管理技术支撑,文中提到的'Novel Attention: Token-wise compression + DSA'可能是实现这一突破的关键。

    5. 🔹 **DeepSeek-V4-Flash:** 284B total / 13B active params. Your fast, efficient, and economical choice.

      DeepSeek-V4-Flash的参数规模明显小于Pro版本:总参数2840亿,活跃参数130亿。参数效率比约为4.6%,略高于Pro版本。这种参数设计使其在保持性能的同时实现更快响应和更低成本,适合需要快速响应的应用场景。

    6. 🔹 **DeepSeek-V4-Pro:** 1.6T total / 49B active params. Performance rivaling the world's top closed-source models.

      这里提供了DeepSeek-V4-Pro的具体参数数据:总参数1.6万亿,活跃参数490亿。这种参数规模远超大多数开源模型,接近顶级闭源模型。参数效率比(活跃参数/总参数)约为3%,表明采用了稀疏激活技术,这可能是其性能与效率平衡的关键。

    1. Ubuntu 26.04 LTS provides the strongest foundation for our confidential computing stack. It allows us to deploy a single securely designed image for all our verifiably private AI workloads across Intel, AMD, and NVIDIA hardware, with no platform-specific changes required.

      引用自Tinfoil联合创始人,强调了Ubuntu 26.04 LTS在机密计算方面的优势,支持Intel、AMD和NVIDIA硬件上的单一安全镜像。这表明Ubuntu在跨平台机密计算方面的领先地位,为AI工作loads提供了统一的安全基础,减少了平台特定配置的需求。

    2. Ubuntu now fully supports RVA23, the baseline standard for RISC-V. This ensures that teams innovating on RISC-V can take full advantage of the platform, including in mixed-architecture environments.

      文章指出Ubuntu现在完全支持RISC-V的RVA23标准,这反映了Ubuntu对新兴架构的前瞻性支持。RISC-V作为一种开放指令集架构,正逐渐获得关注。Ubuntu的支持将促进RISC-V生态系统的成熟,特别是在混合架构环境中的应用。

    3. TPM-backed full-disk encryption is now generally available in the Ubuntu installer.

      文章提到TPM支持的全盘加密功能现在已在Ubuntu安装程序中普遍可用。这一安全功能将加密绑定到特定设备的TPM芯片上,大大提高了物理访问攻击的门槛。相比其他Linux发行版,Ubuntu将此功能集成到安装程序中,简化了企业部署安全系统的过程。

    4. Ubuntu 26.04 LTS is the first LTS to expand the number of memory safe system components. In practice, this means new kernel drivers and subsystems written in Rust, as well as `sudo-rs` and `uutils``coreutils` bringing memory-safe reimplementations of foundational system tools such as `sudo`, `ls`, `cp`, and `mv`.

      文章强调Ubuntu 26.04 LTS是首个增加内存安全系统组件的LTS版本,包括Rust编写的内核驱动和子系统,以及sudo-rsuutils coreutils等内存安全的基础系统工具重实现。这一举措显著提高了系统的安全性,减少内存相关漏洞的风险,展示了Ubuntu在内存安全方面的领先地位。

    5. Canonical Livepatch now extends its rebootless kernel patching capability to Arm64 for the first time.

      这标志着Canonical Livepatch技术的重要里程碑,首次扩展到Arm64架构。对于运行Ubuntu的Arm64服务器和边缘设备,这意味着无需重启即可应用关键内核补丁,大大提高了系统可用性。这一功能的扩展反映了Ubuntu对ARM生态系统的持续投入。

    6. IgH Master driver brings microsecond-level timing precision natively into the OS, removing a significant integration burden for engineers building motion control systems, robotics platforms, or complex factory automation.

      文章提到EtherCAT驱动提供微秒级(10^-6秒)的时间精度,这对工业自动化应用至关重要。这种高精度时间同步能力是Ubuntu在工业领域的一个关键优势,相比其他通用操作系统,Ubuntu在实时性方面的改进使其更适合工业物联网和自动化场景。

    7. Ubuntu 26.04 LTS is built on Linux 7.0, continuing Canonical's commitment to shipping the latest upstream kernels at the time of release.

      文章明确指出Ubuntu 26.04 LTS基于Linux 7.0内核,这表明Canonical坚持使用最新上游内核的策略。相比其他可能使用更保守内核版本的Linux发行版,Ubuntu的这一策略确保了用户能够获得最新的硬件支持和性能改进。

    8. With optimized images across AWS, Azure, Google Cloud, IBM Cloud and Oracle Cloud, developers and enterprises can rely on Ubuntu 26.04 LTS for their most demanding public cloud workloads.

      文章提到Ubuntu 26.04 LTS支持5大主流云平台(AWS, Azure, Google Cloud, IBM Cloud, Oracle Cloud),这反映了Ubuntu在云环境中的广泛兼容性。相比其他Linux发行版,Ubuntu在多云支持方面表现出色,这增强了其作为企业级操作系统的竞争力。

    9. The 11th long-term supported release of Ubuntu delivers deep silicon optimization and state-of-the-art security for enterprise workloads.

      这表明Ubuntu 26.04是第11个LTS版本,按照Ubuntu每两年发布一个LTS版本的规律,这与Ubuntu的历史发展时间线一致。作为第11个LTS版本,它代表了Canonical在长期支持方面的成熟经验,为企业和用户提供稳定可靠的选择。

    1. _Self-reported score with custom Anthropic scaffold._ SWEPro were evaluated with the mini-swe-agent scaffold. However, we use the scores reported by Anthropic for Opus with the max thinking efforts due to frequent timeouts during our evaluation trials.

      脚注2揭示了重要数据点:Opus 4.6的53.4分是Anthropic的自报分数,因为作者在评估过程中频繁遇到超时问题,无法自行验证。这表明性能比较中存在数据可靠性问题,特别是对于Opus的评估依赖于厂商自报数据,可能存在偏差。

    2. The depth of recursion becomes a tunable compute axis at inference time, requiring no retraining. A small model, by reading itself, can iterate toward answers that neither it nor any of its workers could reach in a single pass.

      文章描述了一种递归推理机制,称小模型通过自我迭代可以达到单次推理无法达到的结果,但未提供具体的性能提升数据或实验证据。这一断言缺乏量化依据,需要更多实验数据支持。

    3. Sakana Fugu models are based on our ICLR 2026 papers (**Trinity** and **Conductor**), and we have substantially further improved the methods to increase the performance and user experience

      文章提到模型基于ICLR 2026论文,并已大幅改进方法和用户体验,但没有具体说明改进的幅度或基准数据。此处缺乏量化依据,无法评估从研究原型到商业产品的改进程度。

    4. Two variants are available: **Sakana Fugu Mini 🐟**, optimized with latency in mind, and **Sakana Fugu Ultra 🐡**, the full orchestration system, optimized for performance for demanding tasks.

      文章提到有两种变体:Mini(延迟优化)和Ultra(性能优化),但未提供具体的性能指标差异,如延迟降低百分比或吞吐量提升数据。这种缺乏具体量化参数的描述难以评估两种变体在实际应用中的性能差异。

    5. GPQAD | 94.4 | 90.9 | 92.7 | 92.4 | **95.1** | LCBv6 | 90.3 | 92.1 | 92.4 | 90.4 | **93.2** | SWEPro | 48.4 | 51.2 | _53.4_ | 51.3 | **54.2**

      性能对比表格显示,Sakana Fugu Ultra在三个基准测试中均优于竞争对手:GPQAD上达95.1%(超越Gemini 3.1的94.4%),LCBv6上达93.2%(超越GPT 5.4的92.1%),SWEPro上达54.2%(超越Opus 4.6的53.4%)。这些数据表明其多模型协调策略确实带来了性能提升,特别是在科学推理任务上优势明显。

    6. Initially, our Sakana Fugu model will be available as an **API**, where it has served as a key internal tool for our own researchers and engineers

      这里提到Sakana Fugu模型将作为API提供,且已作为内部工具使用,但没有具体说明内部使用的时间跨度或用户数量。此数据点缺乏具体量化依据,无法评估其内部应用的规模和成熟度。

    1. Each cell shows how often a given curve fit is not significantly worse than the fit with the best cross-validation accuracy.

      研究使用交叉验证来评估不同曲线拟合的优劣,每个单元格显示给定曲线拟合与最佳拟合相比不显著差于的频率。这种方法提供了更稳健的统计评估,减少了过拟合风险。

    2. We examine whether AI capabilities are accelerating by fitting statistical models to benchmark performance over time, and comparing their predictive accuracies.

      研究方法基于统计模型拟合和预测准确度比较,这是一种严谨的方法论。通过比较不同曲线拟合的预测能力,可以更客观地判断是否存在加速趋势,而非仅凭直观观察。

    3. Reasoning models show both a one-off jump in performance and a roughly 2-3x faster trend compared to non-reasoning models.

      推理模型性能提升速度是非推理模型的2-3倍,这是一个显著的增长率差异。这个倍数关系表明推理模型确实带来了质的飞跃,但需要考虑这是否反映了模型架构的根本改进,还是仅仅由于更多计算资源的投入。

    4. Three of four metrics show strong evidence of acceleration, driven by reasoning models.

      文章核心发现,75%的指标显示AI能力正在加速,且主要由推理模型驱动。这是一个明确的量化结论,但需要关注的是,仅基于4个指标就得出'加速'的结论可能存在样本偏差,特别是这些指标主要集中在数学和编程领域。

    5. Our fourth metric, an index constructed from WeirdML V2 results, showed no sign of acceleration. A single global linear trend fit the data best.

      这个25%的指标没有显示出加速趋势,提供了一个重要的对比案例。作者推测这可能是因为WeirdML V2设置了资源限制环境(模型只有5次提交代码的机会,无法使用外部工具),这与当前RL训练的重点不符。这表明AI进步可能高度依赖于测试环境和评估标准。

    6. We have been calling this the 'reasoning' / 'non-reasoning' split, but this is not a perfectly clean dichotomy. Several correlated but not strictly identical changes happened over the same few months: scaling inference compute, heavier use of RL in post-training, and models producing reasoning tokens.

      这里承认了分类方法的局限性,指出2024年左右的AI能力加速可能是由多个因素共同作用的结果,而非仅仅是推理能力的提升。这表明文章作者对数据的复杂性有清醒认识,但缺乏对这些因素相对重要性的量化分析。

    7. The best-performing model across these three metrics was a pair of independent linear trends: one for reasoning models and one for non-reasoning models.

      这个模型选择结果(100%的三个指标)表明将模型分为推理和非推理两类是最优预测模型。这提供了强有力的统计证据,支持推理能力可能是AI加速发展的关键因素。然而,文章没有详细说明如何定义推理模型,这可能影响结果的可靠性。

    8. Reasoning models show both a one-off jump in performance and a roughly 2-3x faster trend compared to non-reasoning models.

      这是一个重要的性能对比数据,表明推理模型比非推理模型的进步速度快2-3倍。这是一个显著的加速比率,暗示推理能力的突破可能代表了AI发展的一个转折点。然而,文章没有提供具体的基准测试数据来支持这一倍数关系,需要谨慎对待。

    9. Three of the four metrics (ECI, log METR 50% time horizon, and a math-focused index we constructed from several math benchmarks) show strong evidence that progress has sped up relative to a global linear trend fit to data from 2023 onward.

      这是一个关键的统计数据,表明75%的AI能力指标显示出加速趋势。文章使用2023年后的数据进行线性拟合,发现三个指标偏离了线性趋势。这个比例相当高,但值得注意的是,样本量较小(n=4),可能影响统计显著性。需要更多指标来验证这一发现。

    10. Parameters are estimated by unweighted least squares. Time t is measured in years since the first observation in each dataset.

      研究使用最小二乘法进行参数估计,时间以年为单位从每个数据集的第一个观测点开始计算。这种方法选择是统计标准做法,但未加权处理可能低估了近期数据点的重要性,因为近期数据点通常代表更先进的模型能力。时间单位的选择也影响了增长率解释的直观性。

    11. We pre-selected the 6-month horizon as our primary metric, balancing genuine forecasting distance against the limited date range of our data.

      6个月的预测时间窗口是一个关键选择,既考虑了实际预测意义,又受限于数据的时间范围。这个时间跨度相对较短,可能不足以捕捉长期趋势,但适合检测最近的加速变化。选择这一窗口反映了研究者在数据有限情况下的务实权衡。

    12. The minimum training cutoffs are: ECI (June 2024), METR Time Horizon (January 2024), Combined Math (September 2024), and WeirdML V2 (January 2025).

      这些时间节点表明研究使用的数据集长度不同,从2024年初到2024年中不等。较短的训练数据集(如WeirdML V2只有约1年的推理模型前数据)可能限制了检测加速的能力,这解释了为什么该指标未能显示加速趋势。时间跨度的差异也反映了不同AI能力指标的发展历史不同。

    13. Our fourth metric, an index constructed from WeirdML V2 results, showed no sign of acceleration. A single global linear trend fit the data best.

      25%的指标(WeirdML V2)没有显示加速趋势,这与其它三个指标形成鲜明对比。这个差异可能是因为WeirdML V2设置了资源限制环境(模型只有5次提交代码的机会,无法使用外部工具),这可能反映了现实世界应用中的约束条件,提示AI进步可能并非在所有领域都均匀加速。

    14. We use four AI capability metrics: ECI (Epoch Capabilities Index), METR 50% Time Horizon, Combined Math Index, and WeirdML V2 Index.

      研究使用了四个不同的AI能力指标,这增加了结果的可靠性。每个指标都从不同维度测量AI能力,包括综合能力(ECI)、时间效率(METR)、数学能力(Combined Math)和特定环境下的性能(WeirdML)。多指标方法减少了单一指标的偏差风险。

    15. Reasoning models show both a one-off jump in performance and a roughly 2-3x faster trend compared to non-reasoning models.

      2-3倍的速度差异是一个非常显著的数字,表明推理模型与非推理模型之间存在明显的性能差距。这个倍数关系暗示了架构变化可能带来的性能飞跃,而非简单的线性改进。这一数据点支持了推理能力可能是AI进步关键驱动力的假设。

    16. Three of the four metrics (ECI, log METR 50% time horizon, and a math-focused index we constructed from several math benchmarks) show strong evidence that progress has sped up relative to a global linear trend fit to data from 2023 onward.

      这个数据点表明75%的AI能力指标显示加速趋势,这是一个相当高的比例。文章提到这种加速始于2023年,与推理模型的出现时间吻合。这个比例值得注意,因为它表明AI进步可能正在经历一个质的转变,而非仅仅是量的累积。

    17. The three metrics where we find acceleration are concentrated in programming and mathematics. These are areas that labs have explicitly targeted for improvement

      这个观察揭示了AI能力加速的领域局限性。编程和数学领域的加速可能是因为这些领域被明确作为改进目标,且正确性容易验证。这表明AI进步可能是有选择性的,而非全面性的,对评估整体AI进展有重要启示。

    18. Our fourth metric, an index constructed from WeirdML V2 results, showed no sign of acceleration. A single global linear trend fit the data best.

      这个25%的指标没有显示加速现象,表明AI能力加速可能不是普遍适用的。WeirdML V2的特殊环境(资源受限、无外部工具)可能解释了这一差异,但也暗示了AI能力加速可能集中在特定领域,特别是那些容易自动验证正确性的领域。

    19. The best-performing model across these three metrics was a pair of independent linear trends: one for reasoning models and one for non-reasoning models.

      这个发现表明推理模型和非推理模型的发展轨迹确实存在显著差异。这种分离的线性趋势模型在三个指标上表现最佳,100%的情况下优于其他模型,提供了强有力的统计证据支持AI能力加速的论点。

    20. Reasoning models show both a one-off jump in performance and a roughly 2-3x faster trend compared to non-reasoning models.

      这个2-3倍的速度差异是显著的,表明推理模型带来了质的飞跃。这种加速幅度远高于典型的技术进步速度,暗示了AI发展可能进入了一个新阶段。然而,这个倍数范围较宽,缺乏精确的统计显著性检验。

    21. Three of four metrics show strong evidence of acceleration, driven by reasoning models.

      这是一个关键数据点,表明75%的AI能力指标显示加速趋势。这个比例相当高,表明AI能力加速现象可能不是偶然的。然而,这个数据基于四个特定指标,可能不全面代表所有AI能力领域。需要更多指标验证这一结论的普适性。

    22. The three metrics where we find acceleration are concentrated in programming and mathematics.

      文章明确指出显示加速的三个指标主要集中在编程和数学领域。这是一个重要的限制,因为正确性在这些领域容易自动验证,使它们成为强化学习的自然目标。这表明AI能力的加速可能不适用于所有领域,特别是在那些难以自动验证正确性的任务上。

    23. We select the median-difficulty question from the set with maximum model coverage and standardize it to 0.

      在构建数学指数时,研究人员选择具有最大模型覆盖率的集合中的中等难度问题,并将其标准化为0。这是一个关键的统计处理步骤,用于确保不同难度和评分的基准测试可以放在同一尺度上比较。这种标准化方法使得不同模型的表现可以直接比较。

    24. We work with the natural logarithm of the time horizon, which puts it on an approximately linear scale.

      文章提到对METR时间范围进行自然对数转换,使其处于近似线性尺度。这种数学转换表明原始数据可能呈指数增长,转换后才能更好地分析线性趋势。这种处理方式在分析AI进步率时很常见,因为它能更好地处理跨越多个数量级的数据。

    25. The minimum training cutoffs are: ECI (June 2024), METR Time Horizon (January 2024), Combined Math (September 2024), and WeirdML V2 (January 2025).

      这些时间节点显示了各数据集的最小训练截止点,时间跨度从2024年1月到2025年1月。值得注意的是,WeirdML V2的数据集最短(从2025年1月开始),这可能解释了为什么该指标没有显示出加速趋势,因为数据不足以检测到趋势变化。

    26. Reasoning models show both a one-off jump in performance and a roughly 2-3x faster trend compared to non-reasoning models.

      推理模型比非推理模型显示出2-3倍的性能提升速度,这是一个显著的增长率差异。这个倍数差异表明推理模型的引入可能代表了AI发展的一个重要转折点。然而,文章也指出无法确定精确的增长率,因为多种非线性拟合都能很好地解释数据。

    27. Three of four metrics show strong evidence of acceleration, driven by reasoning models.

      这一数据点表明75%的AI能力指标显示加速趋势,这是一个相当高的比例。然而,文章也指出第四个指标(WeirdML V2)没有显示加速,这表明加速可能并非普遍存在于所有AI能力领域。这个比例需要谨慎解读,因为它基于有限的四个指标,且主要集中在数学和编程领域。

    1. Meta founder and CEO Mark Zuckerberg described superintelligence in a blog post last year

      文章提到Meta的AI战略包括开发'超级智能',但未提供具体投资金额、研发时间表或预期成果。缺乏量化依据,无法评估这一战略的规模、时间框架或可能带来的商业价值。这种技术愿景需要更多具体数据来支撑其可行性评估。

    2. Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives said in a report on Thursday.

      文章提到分析师预测未来可能有更多裁员,但未提供具体数字或预测比例。缺乏量化依据,无法评估分析师预测的可靠性。这类行业分析通常需要更具体的数据支持,如预计裁员数量、时间表或财务影响等。

    3. The layoffs will start on May 20, the company confirmed.

      这是一个明确的时间节点,距离文章发布日期(2026年4月23日)约一个月时间。这表明Meta已经完成了决策过程并制定了具体实施计划,反映了公司行动的紧迫性。这种提前通知的时间框架在科技行业裁员中较为常见,给予员工一定的准备时间。

    4. Meta plans to lay off roughly 8,000 employees, or 10% of its workforce

      这是一个显著但合理的裁员比例,10%的裁员规模反映了Meta在AI转型中的重大战略调整。相比其他科技公司裁员比例(通常在5-20%之间),这一比例处于中等偏高水平,表明Meta正在积极重组以支持AI投资。此数据点来自公司官方声明,可信度较高。

    1. Drug manufacturers pay pharmacy benefit managers rebates above 50% of list price for formulary access.

      制药公司向药品福利管理商支付的回扣超过标价的50%,这一比例远高于OpenAI承诺的17%回报率。这表明在B2B分销渠道中,支付渠道费用是常见做法,但不同行业的支付比例差异很大,制药行业的渠道成本明显高于AI软件行业。

    2. Google Cloud launched a parallel $750m fund to pay McKinsey, Accenture, and Deloitte to train engineers and co-fund client AI projects.

      谷歌云的7.5亿美元基金规模约为OpenAI DeployCo(100亿美元)的7.5%,但谷歌云直接向咨询公司支付费用而非承诺回报率。这反映了不同AI厂商采用的不同分销策略,OpenAI通过PE firms获得企业渠道,而谷歌云则通过咨询公司实现市场渗透。

    3. Structure: $500M OpenAI equity plus $4B from TPG, Bain, Advent, Brookfield, and Goanna form a $10B LLC.

      DeployCo的结构显示OpenAI出资5亿美元(占总资金的5%),而PE firms出资40亿美元(40%),形成总计100亿美元的LLC。这种资本结构表明OpenAI虽然拥有超级投票权,但在资金贡献上处于次要位置,主要依靠PE firms的渠道网络来推广其产品。

    4. OpenAI pledged $1.5B to a joint venture called DeployCo, guaranteeing private-equity partners a 17% annual return floor over five years.

      OpenAI承诺的17%年化回报率显著高于行业平均水平(13-16%),这表明OpenAI愿意支付高额费用以确保其AI软件在企业市场的渗透。这种回报保证相当于为PE partners提供了风险缓冲,反映了OpenAI对市场扩张的强烈意愿,但也意味着OpenAI需要实现更高的业务增长来支撑这一承诺。

    1. Amazon is investing $5 billion in Anthropic today, with up to an additional $20 billion in the future

      Amazon对Anthropic的50亿美元投资(当前50亿+未来200亿)显示了云计算巨头对AI领域的战略布局。这一投资规模表明大型科技公司正在通过直接投资AI公司来确保AI基础设施的优先使用权。相比其他AI投资,这是近年来最大的战略投资之一。

    2. run-rate revenue has now surpassed $30 billion, up from approximately $9 billion at the end of 2025

      年收入从2025年底的约90亿美元激增至300亿美元,增长率超过230%。这一惊人的收入增长速度反映了AI市场的爆发式增长。然而,考虑到公司规模,这一收入数字需要谨慎看待,可能包含预付款或长期合同收入确认。

    3. committing more than $100 billion over the next ten years to AWS technologies

      未来十年向AWS投资超过1000亿美元,这是一个天文数字级的长期承诺。这一投资规模超过了大多数科技公司的市值,表明Anthropic对AI未来的极度看好和长期投入。相比其他云服务合同,这是历史上最大的单一技术投资之一。

    4. over one million Trainium2 chips to train and serve Claude

      使用超过100万个Trainium2芯片,这是一个惊人的硬件部署规模。这一数字不仅显示了Anthropic与Amazon的深度合作,也反映了训练和运行大型语言模型所需的庞大计算资源。相比其他AI公司,这种规模的芯片部署表明Anthropic正在全力投入AI基础设施。

    5. over 100,000 customers now run Claude on Amazon Bedrock

      10万客户在AWS上运行Claude,这是一个相当大的企业客户基础。这个数字表明Claude在企业市场已经获得了一定的采用率,但与OpenAI的数亿用户相比仍有差距。这一数据点反映了Anthropic在企业市场的定位和进展。

    6. up to 5 gigawatts (GW) of capacity for training and deploying Claude

      5GW的算力规模极其庞大,相当于一个小型国家的电力消耗。这一数字表明Anthropic正在为AI模型训练和部署构建前所未有的基础设施,反映了大型语言模型对计算资源的巨大需求。相比其他AI公司的算力规模,这是一个非常激进的扩张计划。

    7. over one million Trainium2 chips to train and serve Claude

      100万片Trainium2芯片的使用量展示了AI模型训练的硬件规模。这一数量级表明Anthropic正在进行大规模并行计算,这是训练大型语言模型的基础设施要求。与英伟达GPU的采用相比,Trainium芯片代表了云服务提供商在AI硬件领域的差异化竞争策略。

    8. run-rate revenue has now surpassed $30 billion, up from approximately $9 billion at the end of 2025

      年收入从90亿美元跃升至300亿美元,增长率超过233%,这是一个爆炸性的增长速度。这一增长率远超大多数科技公司的历史表现,反映了AI即服务(AIaaS)市场的巨大潜力。然而,如此高的增长率也带来了基础设施扩张的压力,需要与算力投资相匹配。

    9. Amazon is investing $5 billion in Anthropic today, with up to an additional $20 billion in the future

      亚马逊对Anthropic的总投资可能达到250亿美元(50亿+200亿),这是AI领域最大规模的投资之一。这一投资规模超过了大多数传统科技巨头对AI初创公司的单笔投资,表明亚马逊对Claude模型的战略重视程度极高,以及AI基础设施市场的巨大潜力。

    10. more than $100 billion over the next ten years to AWS technologies

      1000亿美元的十年期投资规模极为庞大,相当于每年约100亿美元。这一投资规模超过了大多数科技公司的年度营收,表明Anthropic对AWS的长期战略承诺。这一数字也反映了AI基础设施建设的资本密集性质,以及云计算提供商在AI生态中的核心地位。

    11. over 100,000 customers now run Claude on Amazon Bedrock

      10万客户使用Claude是一个显著的用户基础,表明Anthropic的企业采用率正在快速增长。这个数字与OpenAI的数亿用户相比仍有差距,但对于一个专注于企业级AI模型的初创公司来说,这是一个有意义的里程碑,显示其市场渗透策略正在取得成效。

    12. up to 5 gigawatts (GW) of capacity for training and deploying Claude

      5GW的算力规模是惊人的,相当于一个小型国家的电力消耗。这个数字表明Anthropic正在为AI模型训练和部署进行大规模基础设施投资,反映了大型语言模型对计算资源的巨大需求。这一规模与OpenAI等竞争对手的算力投入相当,显示AI算力竞赛正在升级。

    1. JavaScript is not available. We've detected that JavaScript is disabled in this browser.

      这句话揭示了现代网络应用的核心脆弱性:即使是最基础的网页功能也完全依赖于JavaScript,创造了一种单点故障风险,使整个互联网生态系统比表面看起来更加脆弱。

    1. JavaScript is not available. We've detected that JavaScript is disabled in this browser.

      这句话看似简单,实则揭示了现代网络架构的脆弱性—整个平台功能依赖于单一技术组件。这种单点故障风险与平台宣称的'可靠性'形成鲜明对比,暗示了数字基础设施的潜在不稳定性。

  2. Mar 2026
    1. Venoactive drugs (diosmin, hesperidin, horse chestnut seed extract) may be considered as adjuncts to compression for symptomatic relief in countries where available

  3. Dec 2025
    1. one of the things that I find really interesting that's not talked about very much is the impacts of nitrogen fixing and the production of artificial fertilizers which contributed to the number one issue which is human population growth

      for - progress trap - nitrogen for fertilizers - anthropocene research - releases lots of methane - climate crisis - leverage point - replacing nitrogen fertilizers

    1. for - planetary tipping points - social tipping points - positive tipping points

      SRG Comment - 2025 summary of current state of tipping points - good summary of current state of planetary and social and positive tipping points - crossed our first tipping point - positive one - renewable energy - but it's still too slow, carbon emissions are still too high - comparison - irony - China will become world's first electrostate while the US doubles down as a leading petrostate

  4. Sep 2025
  5. Aug 2025
  6. Jul 2025
  7. Jun 2025
  8. May 2025
    1. he represents this in his writing with the point um it's it's the uh everything is a portal to everything else everything is in relationship with everything else there is nothing that is not in relationship with everything uh one point is a doorway to All Points

      for - quote - one point is a doorway to all points - Jean Gebser - adjacency - Gebser's point - Indyweb's dot - Indranet's dot

    1. for - youtube - Breaking Point - Yanis Varoufakis reveals Trump Tariff strategy - Trump's trade and deficit strategy - analysis - Yanis Varoufakis

      summary - Good economic analysis of what Trump is trying to do with his Tariff strategy - Varoufakis points out that Trump's strategy is similar to Nixon's strategy many decades ago but he does not think Trump's strategy will succeed because he cannot completely eliminate the US deficit because it is how the US rentier class makes its huge profits: - Other countries export into US market and use the recycle the US dollars back into US Treasury bonds

  9. Apr 2025
  10. Mar 2025
  11. Jan 2025
    1. Jordan Hall calls this the Civium, right? Civilization is place-based, and the civium is not place-based. You can still learn.

      for - definition - Civium - Jordan Hall - SOURCE - Youtube Ma Earth channel interview - Devcon 2024 - Cosmo Local Commoning with Web 3 - Michel Bauwens - 2025, Jan 2 - adjacency - Civium - Tipping Point Festival - SOURCE - Youtube Ma Earth channel interview - Devcon 2024 - Cosmo Local Commoning with Web 3 - Michel Bauwens - 2025, Jan 2

      adjacency - between - civium - Tipping Point Festival - Civiums are the terminology that applies for the vision of the TIpping Point Festival, where twice a year, - solstice - equinox - People gather and converge at a central temporary, cosmolocal event to mutually exchange ideas, network, seed new projects and review the past years successes and failures - This is an event also used to operationalize a planetary framework for restoration and regeneration that is syncrhonized to earth system boundaries, but contextualized to each locality, - but needs to be done at the scale of thousands of cities to have planetary-scale impact - It is, by design, a cosmolocal event

    1. like it or not Fate has placed the current generation in a position will where it will determine whether we march on the disaster or whether the human species and much other life on Earth can be saved from a terrible Indescribable fate

      for - rapid whole system change - Deep Humanity - Tipping Point Festival - validation for - Indyweb - Stop Reset Go - source - Youtube - The End of Organized Humanity - Noam Chomsky - 2024, Dec

  12. Dec 2024
    1. for - Substack article - The Cosmo-Local Plan for our Next Civilization - Michel Bauwens - 2024, Dec 20 - adjacency - web 3 and Blockchain / crypto technology - communities engaged in regeneration and relocalization - tinkering at the edge - missed opportunity - cosmolocal strategy as leverage point - safe and just cross scale translation of earth system boundaries - Tipping Point Festival - Web 4 - Indyweb

      Summary adjacency between - web 3 and crypto / Blockchain technology - communities engaged in regeneration and relocalization - tinkering at the edge - missed opportunity - cosmolocal lens and framework as a leverage point for synthesis - cosmolocal projects as leverage points - cross scale translated safe and just earth system boundaries as necessary cosmolocal accounting system - meme: sync global, act local - new relationship - This article explores the untapped potential and leverage point offered by recognising a new adjacency and concomitant synthesis of - globalising Web 3 and crypto/Blockchain technology - communities engaged in regenerative and relocation interventions - The fragmentation between these areas keeps activists working in each respective one - tinkering at the edge - severely constraining their potential impact - This is a case of the whole Berlin car greater than the sun of its parts - By joining forces in a global, strategic and systemic way, each can achieve fast more through their mutual support - A cosmolocal lens offers a perspective and framework that makes joining forces make sense<br /> - Projects that recognize that the adjacency between - the globalizing technologies of web 3 and Blockchains and - interventions at the local community level - offer a significant leverage point to bottom up efforts to drive a rapid transition are themselves a leverage point - In this regard, incorporation of an equitable accounting system such as safe and just earth system boundaries that can be cross scale translated to - bioregional, - city and - community, district and ward scale - are an important cosmolocal component of a system designed for rapid transition - Global bottom up community scale events such as the Tipping Point Festival can help rapidly advocate for a cosmolocal lens, framework and strategy - At the same time, Web 4 technology that's goes beyond decentralising into people-centered can contribute another dimension to humanizing technology

      Addendum - 2024, Dec 26 - added a comment to the actual substack page - My substack comment makes commenters of the article aware that we have a public hypothes.is discussion going on in parallel. - This makes the hitherto invisible discussion visible to them

    2. To put it bluntly, Web3 and the crypto economy is still largely an ‘exit’ play for financial and coding elites, practicing the arbitrage of nation-states, but without much connections to local communities and resilient production; Similarly, local communities engaged in relocalized and regenerative production are not in sync with the mutual coordination capacities developed in the crypto/web3 context.

      for - quote - silos - web 3 and crypto silo - localization silo - desiloing can bring about significant empowerment to people everywhere - from Substack article - The Cosmo-Local Plan for our Next Civilization - Michel Bauwens - 2024, Dec 20 - adjacency - desilo web 3 / Blockchain and localisation - educate cud events such as - Tipping Point Festival - from Substack article - The Cosmo-Local Plan for our Next Civilization - Michel Bauwens - 2024, Dec 20

      quote - silos - web 3 and crypto silo - localization silo - desiloing can bring about significant empowerment to people everywhere - (see quote below) - To put it bluntly, Web3 and the crypto economy is still largely an ‘exit’ play for financial and coding elites, - practicing the arbitrage of nation-states, - but without much connections to local communities and resilient production; - Similarly, local communities engaged in relocalized and regenerative production - are not in sync with the mutual coordination capacities developed in the crypto/web3 context.

      // - We need to create opportunities such as events and workshops to bring these two spheres into dialogue - Tipping Point Festival, as a cosmolocal event can do this by - holding locally organized events hosted by - local community activists at their community level, and - in larger urban centers, at ward and district level - thec internet can be used to facilitate the emergence of trans-national alliances

    3. The idea here is a potential ‘entanglement’ between the local and the translocal level, which creates new levels of strength and capacity for the local.

      for - key insight - leverage point of the 99% - our numbers - from Substack article - The Cosmo-Local Plan for our Next Civilization - Michel Bauwens - 2024, Dec 20 - key insight - 6 levels of individual / collective gestalt - from Substack article - The Cosmo-Local Plan for our Next Civilization - Michel Bauwens - 2024, Dec 20

      key insight - 6 embedded levels of individual / collective gestalt, - first level is from individual quanta to collective atoms - second level is from individual atom to collective molecules - third is from individual molecule too collective living cells - fourth is from individual living cells too collective multicellular living organism - fifth is from individual multi-cellular organism to collective culture at local level - sixth is from individual local culture to to collective trans-national alliances - At each level except the first, a perspective shift occursc in which the collective is seen from a different lens as an individual

      key insight - leverage point of the 99% - our numbers - The trans-national companies power is in their capital - The trans-national alliances leverage point is our large numbers of people - Through our strength in numbers, we can mobilize trans-alliance resources such as human innovation resources, which most local actors are lacking in

    1. I feel like sharing with you some of my observations as a frame analyst, as someone who analyzes semantic frames and how they structure a discourse to, in this case, to disempower us and keep us embedded within a conversation that is primarily about the actions of corporations and nation-states and that disengages us from direct grassroots action and taking power into our own hands

      for - adjacency / validation - for justifying Tipping Point Festival - TPF - bottom up, grassroots direct action Vs - top down, corporate, policy action - Joe Brewer - framing analysis - using cognitive linguistics

      adjacency / validation - between - ustifying Tipping Point Festival - TPF - - bottom up, grassroots direct action<br /> - top down, corporate, policy action<br /> - Joe Brewer - framing analysis - cognitive linguistics - adjacency relationship - We need both bottom up and top down section, but Joe's framing analysis provides an explanation why there isn't more bottom up direct action - It requires a lot of skill to find the leverage points as well as the weakness of people power is lack of money - To awaken the sleeping giant off the commons is the purpose of the Typing Point Festival (TPF)

    1. we're using post in the way postmodernists use post, which is it's informed by modernism, it's informed by capitalism without being able to transcend it necessarily because capitalism and it's the most recent incarnation of capitalism, which is neoliberalism, is like the oxygen that we breathe. It's all encompassing. It's totalitarian in its nature. And it's pervasive. And so in that sense, we say we have to be informed by the logic of the dominant system.

      for - key point - Post Capitalist - informed by the logic of the dominant system - but not necessarily try to transcend it because it is so ubiquitous - Post Capitalist Philanthropy - Alnoor Ladha - Lynn Murphy - 2023

      key point - Post Capitalist - informed by the logic of the dominant system - but not necessarily try to transcend it because it is so ubiquitous - Post Capitalist Philanthropy - Alnoor Ladha - Lynn Murphy - 2023 - It is so ubiquitous, like the air we breath - all encompassing - totalitarian - pervasive

  13. Nov 2024
    1. for - climate crisis - Youtube - climate Doomsday 6 years from now - Jerry Kroth - to - climate clock - adjacency - Tipping Point Festival - Indyweb / SRG complexity mapping tool - Integration of many fragmented bottom-up initiatives - The Great Weaving - Cosmolocal organization - Michel Bauwens - Peer-to-Peer Foundation - A third option - Islands of Coherency - Otto Scharmer Presencing Institute - U-labs - Love-based (sacred-based) mini-assemblies interventions to address growing fascism, populism and polarization - Roger Hallam - Ending the US / China Cold War - Yanis Varoufakis

      YouTube details - title: climate Doomsday 6 years from now - author: Jerry Kroth, pyschologist

      summary - Psychologist Jerry Kroth makes a claim that the 1.5 Deg C and 2.0 Deg C thresholds will be reached sooner than expected - due to acceleration of climate change impacts. - He backs up his argument with papers and recent talks of climate thought leaders using their youtube presentations. - This presentation succinctly summarized a lot of the climate news I've been following recently. - It reminded me of the urgency of climate change, my work trying to find a way to integrate the work of the Climate Clock project into other projects. - This work was still incomplete but now I have incentive to complete it.

      adjacency - between - Tipping Point Festival - Indyweb / SRG complexity mapping tool - Integration of many fragmented bottom-up initiatives - The Great Weaving - Cosmolocal organization - Michel Bauwens - Peer-to-Peer Foundation - Islands of Coherency - Otto Scharmer - Presencing Institute - U-labs - Love-based (sacred-based) mini-assemblies interventions to address growing fascism, populism and polarization - Roger Hallam - Ending the US / China Cold War - Yanis Varoufakis - and many others - adjacency relationship - I have been holding many fragmented projects in my mind and they are all orbiting around the Tipping Point Festival for the past decade. - When Indyweb Alpha is done, - especially with the new Wikinizer update - We can collectively weave all these ideas together into one coherent whole using Stop Reset Go complexity mapping as a plexmarked Mark-In notation - Then apply cascading social tipping point theory to invite each project to a form a global coherent, bottom-up commons-based movement for rapid whole system change - Currently, there are a lot of jigsaw puzzle pieces to put together! - I think this video served as a reminder of the urgency emerged of our situation and it emerged adjacencies and associations between recent ideas I've been annotating, specifically: - Yanis Varoufakis - Need to end the US-led cold war with China due to US felt threat of losing their US dollar reserve currency status - that Trump wants to escalate to the next stage with major tariffs - MIchel Bauwens - Cosmolocal organization as an alternative to current governance systems - Roger Hallam - love-based strategy intervention for mitigating fascism, polarization and the climate crisis - Otto Scharmer - Emerging a third option to democracy - small islands of coherency can unite nonlinearly to have a significant impact - Climate Clock - a visual means to show how much time we have left - It is noteworthy that: - Yanis Varoufakis and Roger Hallam are both articulating a higher Common Human Denominator - creating a drive to come together rather than separate - which requires looking past the differences and into the fundamental similarities that make us human - the Common Human Denominators (CHD) - In both of their respective articles, Yanis Varoufakis and Otto Scharmer both recognize the facade of the two party system - in the backend, it's only ruled by one party - the oligarchs, the party of the elites (see references below) - Once Indyweb is ready, and SRG complexity mapping and sense-making tool applied within Indyweb, we will already be curating all the most current information from all the fragmented projects together in one place regardless of whether any projects wants to use the Indyweb or not - The most current information from each project is already converged, associated and updated here - This makes it a valuable resource for them because it expands the reach of each and every project

      to - climate clock - https://hyp.is/R_kJHKGQEe28r-doGn-djg/climateclock.world/ - love-based intervention to address fascism, populism and polarization - Roger Hallam - https://hyp.is/wUDpaKsAEe-DM9fteMUtzw/www.youtube.com/watch?v=AiKWCHAcS7E - ending the US / China cold war - Yanis Varoufakis - https://hyp.is/Yy0juqmrEe-ERhtaafWWHw/www.youtube.com/watch?v=8BsAa_94dao - Cosmolocal coordination of the commons as an alternative to current governance and a leverage point to unite fragmented communities - Michel Bauwens - https://hyp.is/AvtJYqitEe-f_EtI6TJRVg/4thgenerationcivilization.substack.com/p/a-global-history-of-societal-regulation - A third option for democracy - Uniting small islands of coherency in a time of chaos - Otto Scharmer - https://hyp.is/JlLzuKusEe-xkG-YfcRoyg/medium.com/presencing-institute-blog/an-emerging-third-option-reclaiming-democracy-from-dark-money-dark-tech-3886bcd0469b - One party system - oligarchs - Yanis Varoufakis - https://hyp.is/CVXzAKnWEe-PBBcP5GE8TA/www.youtube.com/watch?v=8BsAa_94dao - What's missing is a third option (in the two party system) - Otto Scharmer - https://hyp.is/M3S6VKuxEe-pG-Myu6VW1A/medium.com/presencing-institute-blog/an-emerging-third-option-reclaiming-democracy-from-dark-money-dark-tech-3886bcd0469b

  14. Oct 2024
    1. Fortunately, we do not have to agree on everything. Linked Data enables layered agreements, in which a few rules need to be adopted by many, and sets of additional rules are agreed upon by smaller groups as required.
      • we do not have to agree on everything
      • sets of additional rules are agreed upon by smaller groups as required.
    1. Meeting Purpose Explore the potential of Fair Shares Commons and strategize on implementation in Kansas/Missouri region.

      Thank you so much for creating the meeting and for holding space It is not intended that any one person ought to be a central point of contact We are to become autocatalytic - energies arise and fall and all that is is and all that is not is not Some people will not show up Some people will show up all the time We are all equally included We are all One

    1. Aunt Lydia stands up, smooths down her skirt with both hands, and stepsforward to the mike. "Good afternoon, ladies," she says, and there is aninstant and earsplitting feedback whine from the PA system. From among us,incredibly, there is laughter.

      She's presented also pathetically in front of the wives, diminished of dignity and/or power, and yet she creates such a menacing aura in Offred's eyes so much that she shivers.

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  15. Sep 2024
  16. Aug 2024
    1. often I get the question, what should we do? And they expect  me to talk about um, mobility and, um how to reduce flying and  all forms of consumer choices. And they get surprised when I say  that the number one issue is talk to your friends.

      for - planetary emergency - Johan Rockstrom - advice - top leverage point - talk to people about the emergency - quote - planetary emergency - Johan Rockstrom - top advice - top leverage point - talk about it

      quote - planetary emergency - Johan Rockstrom - top advice - top leverage point - talk about it - (see below)

      • The advice I give to all my students, they are, often I get the question, what should we do?
      • And they expect me to talk about
        • mobility
        • how to reduce flying and
        • all forms of consumer choices.
      • And they get surprised when I say that
        • the number one issue is talk to your friends.
      • Talk to your friends. Get the dialogue going.
        • Speak to your, parents,
        • your friends anytime you have a chance.
        • Talk about the planet,
      • Talk about 1. 5.
      • If you go out to the street here in Potsdam, nobody will know what you're talking about if you say 1.5 is the most important number we have in the world today.
      • So I think it's really important to keep the buzz going. We need a momentum here.
  17. Jul 2024
    1. Adjustment screw for the Olympia SM3 on feet shift set up is just to the side of the ribbon spool/cup. Gerren indicates that he's never been able to do this adjustment properly with the typewriter body on, so it's much easier to do with it off.

      The bottom adjustment point (through the side of the frame) allows one to set the base line for the on foot for the lower case letters while the top one sets the upper case.


      Gerren credits Phoenix Typewriter for most of the material he's learned in terms of fixing typewriters.

      Bill at Philly Typewriter has an apprentice program, but there aren't many shops that do this. (Gerren makes a joke that it's free (child) labor.)


      Trip point adjustments

      The trip point is the point at which the typebar trips the movement of the escapement.

      The adjustment point for it is reachable by removing the small protecting plate on the bottom at the back of the machine. The escapement trigger is just underneath it.

      The lower one (top if the machine is upside down) is for the lower case; the top one is for the upper case.

      Screwing the screw in will cause the trip to occur sooner.


      Spacebar adjustment mechanisms [13:00]

      There are two, one set in the front of the bottom of the typewriter and two screws in the back, right near the escapement.

      If the spacebar is hit too many times while cleaning and repairing, the spacebar won't work properly and will need some minor adjustment when the body is put back on.


      He shows at the end how to remove the keytops of the individual keys.


      The final check is the shift lock mechanism to make sure its aligned properly.

    1. for - social tipping point - 2023 paper - paper details

      paper details - title: The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority - author - Jordan Everall - Jonathan. F Donges - Ilona. M. Otto - Preprint date - 20 Nov 2023 - Publication - EGUsphere Preprint Repository

      summary - This is a recent 2023 paper that summarizes social tipping point research for fields of interest to me, such as climate change. - I'm reading, looking for any real world experimental validation of social tipping point in climate change - I didn't find any but still interesting

      from - search - google - research on complex contagion refutes the 25% social tipping point threshold - https://www.google.com/search?q=research+on+complex+contagion+refutes+the+25%25+social+tipping+point+threshold&oq=research+on+complex+contagion+refutes+the+25%25+social+tipping+point+threshold&gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUyBggAEEUYOTIGCAEQRRhA0gEJMjAyOTRqMGo3qAIAsAIA&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8 - search results returned of interest - The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to ... - https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2023/egusphere-2023-2241/

    1. I’ll pull out a few key points as to why I think this approach is far too simplistic to be meaningful

      for - social tipping point - critique

      social tipping point - critique - This is a good critique of the social tipping point 25% threshold applied to complex contagion, as claimed by Centola - Does Centola et al . have any experimental evidence applied to real complex contagion?

  18. Jun 2024
    1. I believe it is possible to disprefer something while either 1. not disliking it, or 2. liking it but not intensely enough to be the preference. As in, "I like tart apples, but I sometimes disprefer them as an ingredient on a green salad." It doesn't and hasn't, meant I would refuse to eat a salad with this ingredient included, but there are times when my preference would have been to have a salad without them.
    2. I think you linguists worry too much. It's a simple enough formation using a very common prefix, and while it is not clear whether "I disprefer" means "I do not prefer" or "I prefer something other than" or "I prefer the opposite of" or "I stop preferring", either it'll settle down to one meaning or it'll carry a range. So what? This is the first time I've heard the word but I don't find it particularly puzzling.
    3. Amy: It's a real word. I use it all the time (of course, I'm a linguist, and I allow the possibility that I picked it up from my linguist chums, though it doesn't seem particularly jargony to me). For me, "disprefer X" means something like "not choose X when other options are available". This is subtly different from "prefer anything over X", quite different from "not prefer X", and totally distinct from "dislike X" or "object to X".
    1. the model Waits are just a large files of numbers on a server and these can be easily stolen all it takes is an adversary to match your trillions 00:41:14 of dollars and your smartest minds of Decades of work just to steal this file

      for - AI - security risk - model weight files - are a key leverage point

      AI - security risk - model weight files - are a key leverage point for bad actors - These files are critical national security data that represent huge amounts of investment in time and research and they are just a file so can be easily stolen.

    1. en réalité l'efficacité ce qui ce qui me paraît surtout intéressant à voir c'est que l'efficacité même du redoublement ne signifie pas la même 00:34:56 chose pour les chercheurs et pour les enseign plutôt que de se demander qui a raison et bien sûr les chercheurs ont leur logique propre et encore une fois il s'agit de de faire un raisonnement quasi expérimental on peut comprendre mais ça 00:35:09 veut dire que la question des finalités du redoublement est posée différemment par les enseignants et par les chercheurs et et en fait ce qu'il faut voir c'est que la manière dont les chercheurs évaluent l'efficacité d'un redoublement est beaucoup plus exigeante 00:35:22 que ce qu'on attendent les enseignants pourquoi parce que ce qu'on attend enseignant du redoublement c'est pas qu'un élève parvienne à à performer de sorte à aniler ces difficultés ù à ne 00:35:36 plus avoir de difficultés à long terme c'est surtout de le remettre en selle et donc c'est de chercher un effet de de boost un effet à court terme et donc cet effet c'est typiquement des choses qu'on constate dans les études cet effet il 00:35:49 est il est là mais les chercheurs vont dire bah oui mais l'effet se maintient pas à long terme bon et donc en quelque sorte ils attendent du redoublement quelque chose que les acteurs de terrain n'en attendent pas donc ils sont plus 00:36:00 exigeants ce qui veut dire qu'au fond la manière même de mesurer l'efficacité elle est pas vraiment elle est pas vraiment neutre en quelque sorte elle elle est porteuse d'une certaine conception d'une certaine valeur et ben 00:36:14 une autre manière de de percevoir à quel point la la méthodologie est porteuse d'un certain nombre de de conceptions de la de la finalité c'est que au fond dans 00:36:27 les études seul le redoublement est considéré comme le traitement hein donc on est dans une dans un paradigme où au fond on on regarde ce qui se passe lorsque les certains élèves se voient appliquer le traitement du redoublement 00:36:39 et implicitement on considère que la promotion automatique ne serait pas un traitement la promotion automatique n'aurait pas à être considérée comme un traitement c'est comme si 00:36:50 euh au fond euh il était enfin voilà en fait euh si on réfléchit dans un système où euh bah l'avancement dans la scolarité est conditionné par l'évaluation par l'acquisition des 00:37:05 apprentissage et la et le fait de démontrer qu'on a acquis les apprentissages ben imposer du jour au lendemain une promotion automatique ça n'a rien de neutre ça n'a rien de neutre du tout c'est quand même euh quelque chose qui pourrait même paraître assez 00:37:16 aberrent donc ici euh au fond dans dans les études on se pose pas du tout euh ce genre de question
    2. c'est pas juste un problème de de conception enfin de réception parce que on se dit bah la réforme a été bien 00:48:16 conçue le problème c'est une fois qu'on essaie de l'appliquer non le problème c'est qu'elle a été conçu aussi d'une manière qui me semble-t-il est problématique et donc la conception est bien en cause et ça ça plaide aussi pour 00:48:28 mieux intervenir enfin mieux comprendre les contextes avant d'intervenir sur les contextes pour éviter justement que ces contextes en quelque sorte se retournent contre la politique et c'est un enjeu 00:48:39 d'efficacité mais c'est aussi un enjeu me semble-t-il démocratique à l'air aujourd'hui où les preuves chiffrées sont de plus en plus preignantes et de plus en plus valorisées mais aussi où elles sont de plus en plus fragiles au 00:48:53 sens où il y a une forme de scepticisme croissant dans l'opinion à de l'objectivité quantitative et donc voilà c'est des choses qu'on peut pas totalement ignorer me semble-t-il si on veut en tout cas être dans une 00:49:05 perspective pragmatique de se dire comment est-ce qu'on peut améliorer au fond les le système à l'aide des connaissances produ produites par la
    1. la littérature elle pointe certaines limites des dispositifs participatifs quand ils sont initiés par d'autres acteurs que la population elle-même et notamment par les pouvoirs publics euh avec par exemple des auteurs qui montrent que dans dans certaines politiques la la poli la participation peut devenir une injonction avec des formes de participation à libi donc c'està-dire avec une certaine instrumentalisation de cette participation en vue de légitimer l'action publique donc ça c'est c'est un peu des des travaux critiques et qui qui montrent des logiques plutôt descendantes
    1. what's the point what am i g to get out of this it's the same question actually

      for - question - How to respond when asked what's the point or what's in it for me? - adjacency - what's the point? - what's in it for me? - human attention - progress traps

      question - How to respond when asked what's the point or what's in it for me? - When these questions pop up, - it can be a good opportunity to engage the other in deeper dialogue to reveal deeper complexity

      adjacency - between - questions - what's in it for me? - what's the point? - human attention - progress trap - complexity - emptiness - adjacency relationship - These questions come up a lot - and they indicate a normative human tendency: - When we focus attention on what we consider salient in our dynamic, constructed salience landscape - at the same time it defocuses our attention from the rest of the field the salient feature occurs within - In this sense, overemphasize on these questions could reveal a dependency on oversimplification - of the complexity inherent all every life situation - Remember that emptiness, with its pillars of - intertwingledness and - change - pervades everything, everywhere and everytime - and such continuous oversimplification is tantamount to - ignoring the empty nature of reality and - leads to progress traps

  19. May 2024
    1. l'idée n'est pas évidemment dans le cadre du 00:03:23 développement des compétences psychosociales d'aller jusqu'à un lissage une neutralisation de des comportements mais plutôt de permettre que ces expressions d'émotion se 00:03:37 produisent dans un dans un cadre qui permette justement que ces émotions soit entendue et puissent être prises en compte dans le milieu
    2. si on développe des compétences chez les enfants les adolescents ou les adultes des compétences a exprimé des besoins à porter des revendications à aller interpeller des niveaux de décision et 00:01:51 bien encore faut-il que le système permettent à la fois l'expression de ses compétences mais aussi que lorsque ces revendications sont portés à un niveau décisionnel et bien on leur claque pas la porte au nez
    3. développer les compétences psychosociales des enfants ou des adolescents en milieu scolaire pose la question de la prise en compte du 00:01:13 système scolaire dans lequel il évolue au sens large est par exemple on peut bien imaginer que développer les compétences psychosociales des enfants et des adolescents dans un établissement scolaire où règne un climat scolaire 00:01:27 épouvantable n'a pas beaucoup de sens
    1. lorsqu'on retrouve des impacts positifs il se concentre principalement sur des on retrouve des 00:37:11 impacts positifs principalement lorsque ces études ne ciblent pas des familles socialement défavorisées par contre quand on cible des familles socialement défavoriser les impacts sont bien moins 00:37:25 importants
    1. I wouldn't focus too much on "posted only after human review" - it's worth noting that's that's worth nothing. We literally just saw a case of obviously riduculous AI images in a scientific paper breezing through peer review with noone caring, so quality will necessarily go down because Brandolini's law combined with AI is the death sentence for communities like SE and I doubt they'll employ people to review content from the money they'll make
  20. Apr 2024
    1. To prevent accidental unsubscriptions, senders return landing pages with a confirmation step to finish the unsubscribe request. A live user would recognize and act on this confirmation step, but an automated system would not. That makes the unsubscription process more complex than a single click.
  21. Mar 2024
  22. Feb 2024
    1. The title of the question is what triggered the process of finding this Q/A for material that aided development of the above to solve a real life problem described by the title. The OP declared that base64 decode was not the "real" problem; pedantic constraint of answers to a particular "example" seems less helpful. When this question and its answers were key to helping solve real problems, alternate answers can be gifts to the community in recognition of the fact that many more people will use this Q/A to solve problems. Since the answer is on-topic per the title, I feel it is "game on".
    1. Gérald qui demande lorsque le collaborateur s'en va comment fait-on pour récupérer les flux d'automatisation problématique qui paraît doit se présenter régulièrement 01:16:23 en amont ce sujet là et donc aujourd'hui l'idée c'est que ces outils là soient utilisés et là tout à l'heure clairement Erwan a dit à me connecter j'ai pas mon 01:16:37 outil de mot de passe clairement nous chez nos codes forgots on utilise un outil qui nous permet de sauvegarder les mots de passe pour que l'ensemble des membres y est axé pour se connecter aux outils qu'on a décidé d'utiliser pour 01:16:48 pour le fonctionnement de la plateforme et du reste et donc en gros si moi je suis absent ou pour X raisons la Saône n'est pas bloquée parce que les mots de passe sont dans ce coffre-fort qui est 01:16:59 qui est protégé et commun à quelques-uns d'entre nous
    1. Regardless of what your arguments are, the personal reasons of the developer are what matters for what platforms this game is provided on. You can choose to pay for the game, or not. Paying for the game supports the developer, and allows them to develop more. It is not reasonable to argue that someone should have put in additional unpaid effort to do something for unknown future benefit, or that they should charge less for a game because it's only available on one platform; that's their choice, and their decision.For context, development of Taiji was started in mid 2015; it took seven years to finish. That's with the Commercial Game Engine, and even with that, there were platform-based bugs that needed to be worked around (issues that won't be present on other platforms, or will have different presentations); here's just one of those, involving an issue around mouse sluggishness:https://taiji-game.com/2020/07/13/68-in-the-mountains-of-madness-win32-wrangling...If the developer is not already familiar with Linux, then there's a small mountain of language barriers around using Linux that needs to be overcome first, before being able to get to the game development phase. It's rare for game development to work on different platforms when it can't be tested on those different platforms. While it might be easy to cross-compile on a Windows system (e.g. via IL2CPP), that's only if everything works perfectly (which is unlikely to be the case). 
  23. Jan 2024
    1. Ellen Johnson Sirleaf, portrayed her country as a sick child in need of her care during her campaign five years ago.

      interesting how she still felt the need to lean into "maternal" stereotypes in order to run? possible discussion question: whether or not women are truly in power if they're still seen as mother figures?

    2. Feminists of the era did not take kindly to Ericsson and his Marlboro Man veneer. To them, the lab cowboy and his sperminator portended a dystopia of mass-produced boys

      not an unreasonable worry! especially in the 1970s, male prevalence/power was much higher--- women were only barely able (if even?) to get credit cards.

    1. Why should this conversation be separate from other conversations about the work to be done? Design is one consideration alongside frontend and backend considerations, which often all intersect and require the same participants. Shifting this discussion to a separate work item can result in disjointed conversations and difficulty finding where a decision was made.
  24. Dec 2023
      • for: James Hansen - 2023 paper, key insight - James Hansen, leverage point - emergence of new 3rd political party, leverage point - youth in politics, climate change - politics, climate crisis - politics

      • Key insight: James Hansen

        • The key insight James Hansen conveys is that
          • the key to rapid system change is
            • WHAT? the rapid emergence of a new, third political party that does not take money from special interest lobbys.
            • WHY? Hit the Achilles heel of the Fossil Fuel industry
            • HOW? widespread citizen / youth campaign to elect new youth leaders across the US and around the globe
            • WHEN? Timing is critical. In the US,
              • Don't spoil the vote for the two party system in 2024 elections. Better to have a democracy than a dictatorship.
              • Realistically, likely have to wait to be a contender in the 2028 election.
      • reference

    1. Washington is a swamp it we throw out one party the other one comes in they take money from special interests and we don't have a government that's serving the interests 01:25:09 of the public that's what I think we have to fix and I don't see how we do that unless we have a party that takes no money from special interests
      • for: key insight- polycrisis - climate crisis - political crisis, climate crisis - requires a new political party, money in politics, climate crisis - fossil fuel lobbyists, climate change - politics, climate crisis - politics, James Hansen - key insight - political action - 3rd party

      • key insight

        • Both democrats and conservatives are captured by fossil fuel lobbyist interests
        • A new third political party that does not take money from special interests is required
        • The nature of the polycrisis is that crisis are entangled . This is a case in point. The climate crisis cannot be solved unless the political crisis of money influencing politics is resolved
        • The system needs to be rapidly reformed to kick money of special interest groups out of politics.
      • question

        • Given the short timescale, the earliest we can achieve this is 2028 in the US Election cycle
        • Meanwhile what can we do in between?
        • How much impact can alternative forms of local governance like https://sonec.org/ have?
        • In particular, could citizens form local alternative forms of governance and implement incentives to drive sustainable behavior?
    2. I think that what we have to 01:23:24 do is have the revolution that Benjamin Franklin said we need if because if we don't solve the problem in the United States I don't see us solving the global 01:23:39 problem
      • for: quote - James Hansen, quote Benjamin Franklin, climate crisis - leverage point - political revolution

      • quote

        • If we don't solve the problem in the United States, I don't see us solving the global problem
      • author: James Hansen
      • date: Dec 2023

      • comment

        • Tipping Point network
    1. elected officials understand the benefits for the city or town from the work and projects implemented bymore active citizens and neighbourhood initiatives
      • for: leverage point - active citizen groups

      • leverage point

        • active citizen groups can get a variety of support from elected officials including
          • free suitable spaces
          • paid support staff
          • funding
          • simplification and support for any city permits
          • free marketing
    1. if 00:36:19 you really want to make a change you cannot do it as an isolated individual the superpower of our spe is not individual genius it's the 00:36:30 ability to cooperate in large numbers so if you want to really change something join an organization or start an organization but 50 people who cooperate as part of a community of an 00:36:44 organization of a team they can make a much much bigger change than 500 isolated individuals
      • for: leverage point - collaboration, human superpower - collaboration, quote - collaboration, quote - cooperation

      • quote the superpower of our species is not individual genius, it's the ability to cooperate in large numbers.

      • author: Yval Noah Harari
      • date: 2023
    1. I think there are opportunities for for 01:13:03 um reaching people in new ways emotionally powerful ways across those three emotional temperaments that we haven't exploited and I think people like James Cameron have an intuition for that they haven't either hadn't exploited yet
      • for: adjacency art - leverage point - idling resource

      -: adjacency between - art - leverage point - idling resource - adjacency statement - art is a powerful leverage point that is, unfortunately still an idling resource

    1. What is needed is a breakaway group of nations willing to get serious about the climate emergency. Who would join it? Most of the world’s countries, potentially.
      • for: key point: alternative COP - breakaway group of nations, quote - alternative COP

      • quote

        • What is needed is a breakaway group of nations willing to get serious about the climate emergency. Who would join it? Most of the world’s countries, potentially.
      • author: Rupert Read
      • date: Dec 4, 2021

      • comment

      • suggestion
        • This could very well work. By applying social tipping point theory, a coalition of the willing could potentially accomplish a lot more than a coalition mired in friction.
        • There is enough capacity between 100 nation states willing to take far more aggressive measures than what a few petrostates of the COP convention continuously veto that it could bring about a social tipping point.
    1. Rupert Read has the best idea I have heard re international climate negotiations: countries that are serious should have their own conference where they collaborate on strong targets, plans, etc. Part of which should be recognising the dangers of remaining reliant on the petrostates, planning to transcend that reliance and sanctioning them
      • for: good idea - COP alternative, COP alternative - coalition of the willing, COP alternative - social tipping point, Rupert Read - alternative to COP

      • good idea: COP alternative

        • This could work based on the principle of social tipping points
        • The current COP pits the powerful incumbents of the old system delaying as long as possible rapid system change, these are the conservatives
          • This puts the liberals at distinct disadvantage from the conservatives because in a consensus reached agreement, the conservatives can veto any strong and binding language that represents rapid system change
        • In an alternative conference where the 100+ nation states are already in agreement, action in this smaller coalition OF THE WILLING, will lead to rapid action.
        • This could lead to breaking the threshold of system change via reaching the 25% social tipping point threshold
      • question: alternative COP

        • If an alternative COP was held, is the nation state the best level to approach?
        • What about a city level COP?
      • reference

    1. Whatever one thinks of Sultan Al Jaber, one statement he’s made repeatedly makes perfect sense: “We cannot unplug the world from the current energy system before we build a new energy system.” The focus, then, has to shift.
      • for: quote - Sultan Al Jabber, quote - energy replacement instead of phase out, key point - focus on energy transition instead of just fossil fuel phase out

      • quote

        • Whatever one thinks of Sultan Al Jaber, one statement he’s made repeatedly makes perfect sense: “We cannot unplug the world from the current energy system before we build a new energy system.”
        • The focus, then, has to shift.
          • Instead of focusing on dismantling the incumbent system,
          • we need to focus on accelerating the deployment of the new system that will replace it
      • author: Nafeez Ahmed
      • date : Dec 6, 2023

      • key point

        • we must focus on the energy shift instead of just the phase out or down of the old energy system
    1. the overwhelming majority of people support are not on the political agenda which is why this whole the idea that there is a center in politics is a complete fiction
      • for: quote - there is no center, it's a fiction, quote - James Schneider - Progressive International

      • quote

      • key point
        • the things that the overwhelming majority of people support are not on the political agenda
          • which is why this whole the idea that there is a center in politics is a complete fiction
        • Elite consensus opinion is almost always massively in the minority
          • and so you have to work very hard to prevent things which are massively in the majority from getting political expression
        • Polling between 2/3 and 3/4 of people support (including generally speaking the majority of people who voted in the last election support) things like
          • public ownership of
            • energy
            • water
            • rail
            • mail, etc
          • a 15 pound an hour minimum wage
          • a wealth tax
      • All of these things considered way way on the left are not on the left, that's actually the center if you're talking about where is the mainstream British public opinion - and it's such strong public opinion because no one ever says it in the public sphere and when they do they are ridiculed
      • author: James Schneider, Progressive International
      • date: Dec, 2023
      • for: social tipping point, STP, social tipping point - misapplication, social tipping points - 4 application errors

      • title: Social tipping points everywhere?—Patterns and risks of overuse

      • author: Manjana Miikoreit
      • date: Nov 17, 2022

      • abstract

        • The last few years have witnessed an explosion of interest in the concept of social tipping points (STPs),
          • understood as nonlinear processes of transformative change in social systems.
        • A growing body of interdisciplinary scholarship has been focusing in particular on social tipping related to climate change.
        • In contrast with tipping point studies in the natural sciences–for example
          • climate tipping points and
          • ecological regime shifts–
        • STPs are often conceptualized as desirable, offering potential solutions to pressing problems.
        • Drawing on
          • a well-established definition for tipping points, and
          • a qualitative review of articles that explicitly treat social tipping points as potential solutions to climate change,
        • this article identifies four deleterious patterns in the application of the STP concept in this recent wave of research on nonlinear social change:
          • (i) premature labeling,
          • (ii) not defining system boundaries and scales of analysis,
          • (iii) not providing evidence for all characteristics of tipping processes, and
          • (iv) not making use of existing social theories of change.
        • Jointly, these patterns create a trend of overusing the concept.
        • Recognizing and avoiding these patterns of “seeing the world through tipping point glasses” is important for
          • the quality of scientific knowledge generated in this young field of inquiry and for
          • future science-policy interactions related to climate change.
        • Future research should seek to
          • identify empirical evidence for STPs while remaining open to the possibility that
            • many social change processes are not instances of tipping, or that
            • certain systems might not be prone to nonlinear change.
      • for: system justification theory, status quo bias

      • summary

        • Supporting their hypotheses, the authors identify a general trend that social marginalization is associated with less system-justification.
        • Those benefitting from the status quo (e.g., healthier, wealthier, less lonely) were more likely to hold system-justifying beliefs.
        • However, some groups who are disadvantaged within the existing system reported higher system-justification—suggesting that
          • system oppression may be a key moderator of the effect of social position on system justification.
        • This is a very important finding and could be used to develop more effective social tipping point strategies
    1. A personalized button gives users a quick indication of the session status, both on Google's side and on your website, before they click the button. This is especially helpful to end users who visit your website only occasionally. They may forget whether an account has been created or not, and in which way. A personalized button reminds them that Sign In With Google has been used before. Thus, it helps to prevent unnecessary duplicate account creation on your website.

      first sighting: sign-in: problem: forgetting whether an account has been created or not, and in which way

  25. Nov 2023

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