- Nov 2023
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www.derstandard.de www.derstandard.de
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Eine neue Studie ergibt, dass sich das Abschmelzen des westantarktischen Eisschilds selbst dann fortsetzen wird, wenn die Erderhitzung auf 1,5° begrenzt wird. Das Schelfeis stellt ein Kipppelememt dar. Der Abschmelzvorgang verstärkt sich selbst und führt zu einer unaufhaltsamen Erhöhung des Meeresspiegels, weil er den Weg für das hinter dem Schelfeis gelegene Gletschereis frei macht. https://www.derstandard.at/story/3000000192327/meterhoher-meeresanstieg-durch-abschmelzen-des-westantarktischen-eisschelfs
Studie: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-023-01818-x
Mehr zur Studie: https://hypothes.is/search?q=tag%3A%27report%3A+Unavoidable+future+increase+in+West+Antarctic+ice-shelf+melting%27
Tags
- West Antarctic Ice Sheet
- feature: pine glacier
- study: Unavoidable future increase in West Antarctic ice-shelf melting over the twenty-first century
- Triggering Climate Tipping Points
- institution: British Antarctic Survey
- process: seaice melting
- feature: Thwaites glacier
- expert: Kaitlin Naughten
- region: Antarctica
- region: Amundsen sea
- 2023-10-23
- process: sealevel rise
Annotators
URL
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www.liberation.fr www.liberation.fr
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climatetippingpoints.info climatetippingpoints.info
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www.carbonbrief.org www.carbonbrief.org
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climatetippingpoints.info climatetippingpoints.info
Tags
- Greenland Ice Sheet
- Boreal Permafrost
- Low-Laitude Coral Reefs
- Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
- process: coral bleaching
- Amazon Rainforest
- West Antarctic Ice Sheet
- East Antarctic Subglacial Basins
- Triggering Climate Tipping Points
- expert: David Armstrong McKay
- Barents Sea Ice
- Sahel/West African Monsoon
- Labrodor Sea/Subpolar Gyre
- East Antarctic Ice Sheet
- Arctic Winter Sea Ice
- topic: tipping points
- Extra-Polar Mountain Glaciers
- Boreal Forest
Annotators
URL
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Die englische Regierung hat in der letzten Oktoberwoche 27 Lizenzen zur Öl- und Gasförderung in der Nordsee vergeben. George Monbiot konfrontiert diese Entscheidung mit aktuellen Erkenntnissen zum sechsten Massenaussterben und dem drohenden Zusammenbruch lebensunterstützender Systeme des Planeten https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/oct/31/flickering-earth-systems-warning-act-now-rishi-sunak-north-sea
Tags
- study: Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario
- 2023-10-31
- study: The South American monsoon approaches a critical transition in response to deforestation
- actor: Rishi Sunak
- study: More losers than winners
- study: Climate Endgame
- topic: tipping points
- study: Future of the human climate niche
- study: Recent reduced abyssal overturning and ventilation in the Australian Antarctic Basin
- study: Warning of a forthcoming collapse of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
Annotators
URL
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- Oct 2023
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www.researchgate.net www.researchgate.net
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caling Up Change: A Critical Reviewand Practical Guide to HarnessingSocial Norms for Climate Action
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for: social tipping points - climate action, climate action - social tipping points, social norms - climate action, climate action - social norms, Damon Centola
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title: Scaling Up Change: A Critical Review and Practical Guide to Harnessing Social Norms for Climate Action
- author:
- Sara M. Constantino
- Gregg Sparkman
- Gordon T. Kraft-Todd
- Cristina Bicchieri
- Damon Centola
- Bettina Shell-Duncan
- Sonja Vogt
- Elke U. Weber
- date: 2022
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- Sep 2023
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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in a normal distribution, from over here you have the denialists and over here you have the environmental activists. But in between you have a lot of different types of people. And the majority are actually – we know this from opinion polls – they are very supportive of science. They're very supportive of and concerned about climate change. They want climate action. It's just that they live their normal lives, they have many preoccupations in life. 01:01:44 They have their children, their health, their school, their financing, their incomes. You know, many, many things to be worried about. But that's the question: how do we get this majority, the silent majority, to join us? And I don't think that the way to make them join us is to scare them. And I don't think the way to join is to fight with the denialists. I think the way to join... to make them join... is to show that this pathway can get a better life.
- for: leverage points, quote, quote - Johan Rockstrom, quote - motivating the silent majority, climate change - priority, social tipping point
- quote
- In a normal distribution,
- from over here you have the denialists and
- over here you have the environmental activists.
- But in between you have a lot of different types of people.
- And the majority are actually
- we know this from opinion polls
- very supportive of science.
- They're very supportive of and concerned about climate change.
- They want climate action.
- It's just that they live their normal lives, they have many preoccupations in life.They have
- children,
- health,
- school,
- financing,
- incomes.
- You know, many, many things to be worried about.
- But that's the question:
- how do we get this majority, the silent majority, to join us?
- I don't think that the way to make them join us is to
- scare them and
- fight with the denialists.
- I think the way to make them join is to show that this pathway can get a better life.
- In a normal distribution,
- author: Johan Rockstrom
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date: Sept., 2023
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comment
- in other words
- the silent majority does not yet hold climate change activism to be sufficiently high on their list of priorities yet to warrant the necessary scale of action
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www.paulgilding.com www.paulgilding.com
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- for: system change, polycrisis, extreme weather, planetary tipping points, climate disruption, climate chaos, tipping point, hothouse earth, new meme, deep transformation
- title: The Great Disruption has Begun
- author: Paul Gilding
- date: Sept 3, 2023
- source: https://www.paulgilding.com/cockatoo-chronicles/the-great-disruption-has-begun
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summary
- good q uick opening paragraphs that summarize the plethora of extreme events in 2023 up to Sept 2023 (but misses the Canadian Wildfires) and also the list of potential planetary tipping points that are giving indication of being at the threshold.
- He makes a good point about the conservative nature of science that underestimates impacts due to the inertia of scientific study.
- Coins a good meme
- Everything, everywhere, all at once
- He ties all the various crisis together to show the many components of the wicked problem we face
- finally what it comes down to is that we cannot stop the coming unprecedented changes but we can and must slow it down as much as possible and we should be prepared for a wild ride
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comment
- It would be a good educational tool for deep and transformative climate education to map all these elements of the polycrisis and show their feedbacks and interactions, especially how it relates to socio-economic impacts to motivate transformative change and mobilize the urgency now required.
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- Aug 2023
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Über den nördlichen Teilen des Great Barrier Reefs würden die heißesten Temperaturen seit 1985 gemessen. Die Hitzewelle könnte eine zweite große Korallenbleiche nach der letztjährigen auslösen.
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Zu der neuen Studie von Terry Hughes über das Great Barrier Reef, das Kurt vor den endgültigen zerstört steht.
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theconversation.com theconversation.com
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Climate change can drive social tipping points – for better or for worse
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for: social tipping point, social tipping points, leverage point, leverage points, STP, 25% STP threshold
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title
- Climate change can drive social tipping points – for better or for worse
- source
- date
- July 31, 2023
- author
- Sonia Graham
- reference
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www.frontiersin.org www.frontiersin.org
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for: social tipping points, STP, social tipping point, leverage point, Sirkku Juhola
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title
- Social tipping points and adaptation limits in the context of systemic risk: Concepts, models and governance
- authors
- Sirkku Juhola
- Tatiana Filatova
- Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler
- Reinhard Mechler
- Jurgen Scheffran
- Pia-Johanna Schweizer
- date
- Sept 21, 2022
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abstract
- Physical tipping points have gained a lot of attention in global and climate change research to understand the conditions for system transitions when it comes to the atmosphere and the biosphere.
- Social tipping points have been framed as mechanisms in socio-environmental systems, where a small change in the underlying elements or behavior of actors triggers a large non-linear response in the social system.
- With climate change becoming more acute, it is important to know whether and how societies can adapt.
- While social tipping points related to climate change have been associated with positive or negative outcomes,
- overstepping adaptation limits has been linked to adverse outcomes where actors' values and objectives are strongly compromised.
- Currently, the evidence base is limited, and most of the discussion on social tipping points in climate change adaptation and risk research is conceptual or anecdotal.
- This paper brings together three strands of literature -
- social tipping points,
- climate adaptation limits and
- systemic risks,
- which so far have been separate.
- Furthermore, we discuss
- methods and
- models
- used to illustrate the dynamics of
- social and
- adaptation tipping points
- in the context of cascading risks at different scales beyond adaptation limits.
- We end with suggesting that further evidence is needed to identify tipping points in social systems,
- which is crucial for developing appropriate governance approaches.
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reference
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www.rifs-potsdam.de www.rifs-potsdam.de
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for: social tipping point, social tipping points, leverage point, STP
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reference
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- Mar 2023
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Seit dem Beginn von Satelliten-Beobachtungen vor vier Jahrzehnten ist das antarktische Meereis noch nie so geschrumpft wie im Februar 2023.
Tags
- expert: Ted Scambos
- Thwaites-Gletscher
- climate tipping points
- Project: Australian Antarctic Program Partnership
- time: 1979-2023
- expert: Will Hopp
- Parameter: m sq km
- Region: west antarctic ice shield
- expert: Ariaan Purich
- expert: Rob Massom
- Mode: study
- institution: National Snow and Ice Data Center
- Region: Antarctica
- process: sea ice loss
- expert: Phil Reid
- expert: Matt England
- time: 2023-02
Annotators
URL
-
- Oct 2020
-
www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Eine Studie zeigt, dass der Tipping Point zum Umkippen des Amazonas-Regenwalds zur Savanne schon bald erreicht sein könnte.
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