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  1. Oct 2024
  2. www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
    Collapsing wildlife populations near ‘points of no return’, report warns
    1
    1. HeinzWittenbrink 11 Oct 2024

      Der kurz vor der COP16 zur Biodiversität veröffentlichte Living Planet Index zeigt das Ausmaß des Biodiversitätsverlusts in den vergangenen 50 Jahren, auch wenn an den dabei angewendeten statistischen Verfahren starke Zweifel bestehen. Die Wirbeltier-Populationen haben nach diesem Index um 73% abgenommen, am stärksten in Lateinamerika und der Karibik. Die wichtigste Ursache ist die veränderte Landnutzung. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/oct/10/collapsing-wildlife-populations-points-no-return-living-planet-report-wwf-zsl-warns

      Matthew Gould Zoological Society of London (ZSL) Living Planet Index Hannah Wauchope biodiversity loss IUCN’s Red List Mathematical biases in the calculation of the Living Planet Index lead to overestimation of vertebrate population decline COP16 biodiversity Susana Muhamad Mike Barrett fragmentation of natural habitats by: Patrick Greenfield
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    theguardian.com/environment/2024/oct/10/collapsing-wildlife-populations-points-no-return-living-planet-report-wwf-zsl-warns
  3. Jan 2024
  4. Local file Local file
    Why the Future Doesn't Need Us
    1
    1. chrisaldrich 24 Jan 2024
      My personal experience suggests we tendto overestimate our design abilities.
      Bill Joy quotes overestimation design

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  5. Feb 2022
  6. twitter.com twitter.com
    Viki Male on Twitter
    1
    1. lucyparfitt16 02 Feb 2022

      Viki Male on Twitter: “@jtmayes3 @kevinault Let’s begin by taking the 172,000 number at face value. About 190,000 ppl have been vaccinated during pregnancy in the US. So if that were true it’s a miscarriage rate of 90%… 1/ https://t.co/cXYXDv1UgB” / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved February 2, 2022, from https://twitter.com/VikiLovesFACS/status/1487313040785686528

      is:tweet lang:en COVID-19 vaccine pregnancy miscarriage USA miscarriage rate overestimation VAERS data report
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    twitter.com/VikiLovesFACS/status/1487313040785686528
  7. Mar 2021
  8. psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
    People Behave as if they Anticipate Regret Conditional on Experiencing a Bad Outcome
    1
    1. NatasjaDerbyMcCabe 21 Mar 2021

      Ryan, W., Baum, S., & Evers, E. (2021). People Behave as if they Anticipate Regret Conditional on Experiencing a Bad Outcome. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/dcgpy

      is:preprint lang:en risky decision making regret models bad outcomes predictors preferences mathematical models psychology overestimation pilot studies replication Americans
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    psyarxiv.com/dcgpy/
  9. Sep 2020
  10. www.sciencedirect.com www.sciencedirect.com
    The Dunning-Kruger effect is (mostly) a statistical artefact: Valid approaches to testing the hypothesis with individual differences data
    1
    1. ErikStuchly 15 Sep 2020

      Gignac, G. E., & Zajenkowski, M. (2020). The Dunning-Kruger effect is (mostly) a statistical artefact: Valid approaches to testing the hypothesis with individual differences data. Intelligence, 80, 101449. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intell.2020.101449

      is:article lang:en Dunning-Kruger effect testing estimation ability skill overestimation self-assessment regression toward the mean intelligence behavioral science
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    sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0160289620300271
  11. Aug 2020
  12. www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
    Government quietly drops 1.3m Covid tests from England tally
    1
    1. ErikStuchly 14 Aug 2020

      Marsh, S., & Barr, C. (2020, August 14). Government quietly drops 1.3m Covid tests from England tally. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/aug/14/government-quietly-drops-13m-covid-tests-from-england-tally

      is:news lang:en COVID-19 UK case reporting tally case number overestimation inaccuracy removal testing double counting official statement
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    theguardian.com/world/2020/aug/14/government-quietly-drops-13m-covid-tests-from-england-tally
  13. www.washingtonpost.com www.washingtonpost.com
    Britain says it overcounted coronavirus death toll by 5,377
    1
    1. ErikStuchly 14 Aug 2020

      Booth, W., & Adam, K. (n.d.). Britain says it overcounted coronavirus death toll by 5,377. Washington Post. Retrieved August 14, 2020, from https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/britain-says-it-overcounted-coronavirus-death-toll-by-5377/2020/08/13/f6f171a6-dce0-11ea-b4f1-25b762cdbbf4_story.html

      is:news lang:en COVID-19 UK overestimation tally death rate cause of death positive results misattribution government response figure
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    washingtonpost.com/world/britain-says-it-overcounted-coronavirus-death-toll-by-5377/2020/08/13/f6f171a6-dce0-11ea-b4f1-25b762cdbbf4_story.html
  14. Jun 2020
  15. twitter.com twitter.com
    ReconfigBehSci on Twitter: "Fellow behavioural scientists, I had a lightbulb moment yesterday. I suspect I might have been unusually slow here, and you all clocked this months ago, but thought I'd share nevertheless: I've lost count of how often I've been told "You only have a 1/100 chance of dying"" / Twitter
    1
    1. ErikStuchly 27 Jun 2020

      ReconfigBehSci on Twitter: “Fellow behavioural scientists, I had a lightbulb moment yesterday. I suspect I might have been unusually slow here, and you all clocked this months ago, but thought I’d share nevertheless: I’ve lost count of how often I’ve been told ‘You only have a 1/100 chance of dying’” / Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved June 27, 2020, from https://twitter.com/scibeh/status/1276434777856446464

      is:tweet lang:en COVID-19 risk perception overestimation prevalence rare event low probability
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    twitter.com/scibeh/status/1276434777856446464