- Oct 2024
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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2023 haben Böden und Landpflanzen fast kein CO2 absorbiert. Dieser Kollaps der Landsenken vor allem durch Dürren und Waldbrände wurde in diesem Ausmaß kaum vorausgesehen, und es ist nicht klar, ob auf ihn eine Regeneration folgt. Er stellt Klimamodelle ebenso in Frage wie die meisten nationalen Pläne zum Erreichen von CO2-Neutralität, weil sie auf natürlichen Senken an Land beruhen. Es gibt Anzeichen dafür, dass die steigenden Temperaturen inzwischen auch die CO2-Aufnahmefähigkeit der Meere schwächen. Überblicksartikel mit Links zu Studien https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/oct/14/nature-carbon-sink-collapse-global-heating-models-emissions-targets-evidence-aoe
Tags
- by: Patrick Greenfield
- Schwächung der terrestrischen Kohlenstoffsenken
- 2023
- The enduring world forest carbon sink
- Impact of high temperature heat waves on ocean carbon sinks: Based on literature analysis perspective
- Tim Lenton
- Philippe Ciais
- Pierre Friedlingstein
- date::2024-10-14
- A warming climate will make Australian soil a net emitter of atmospheric CO2
- Schwächung der marinen Kohlenstoffsenken
- Andrew Watson
- Global Carbon Budget
- French Laboratory of Climate and Environmental Sciences
- Low latency carbon budget analysis reveals a large decline of the land carbon sink in 2023
- Johan Rockström
- The role of forests in the EU climate policy: are we on the right track?
Annotators
URL
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Der Stress, dem die Wassersysteme der Welt ausgesetzt sind, wird dazu führen, dass das 2030 die Nachfrage nach Wasser 40% höher sein wird als das Angebot. Der Bericht der Globalen Komission für die Wasserökonomie stellt fest, dass ohne radikale Gegenmaßnahmen die Hälfte der Nahrungsproduktion der Welt in den kommenden 25 Jahren gefährdet ist. Trotz der Verbundenheit der globalen Wasserressourcen werde Wasser noch nicht als globales Gemeingut gemanagt. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/oct/16/global-water-crisis-food-production-at-risk
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www.cambridge.org www.cambridge.org
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We provide the concept with a substantive definition
for - paper - Global polycrisis - the causal mechanisms of crisis entanglement
paper details - title: Global polycrisis - the causal mechanisms of crisis entanglement - authors: Michael Lawrence, Thomas Homer-Dixon, Schott Janzwood, Johan Rockstrom, Ortwin Renn, Jonathan F. Donges - publication: Global Sustainability, 2024, January 17
summary - This paper provides a scientific definition of "polycrisis"
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- Sep 2024
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Der neue Planetary Health Check des Potsdam Instituts für Klimafolgenforschung ergibt, dass durch die Versauerung der Ozeane möglicherweise gerade die siebte von 9 planetaren Grenzen durchbrochen wird und die Biosphäre auch hier in eine Hochrisikozone eintritt. Bei allen anderen mit Ausnahme des Ozonschwunds haben sich die Bedingungen verschlechtert. Die CO2- Emissionen treiben die Versauerung an, die wiederum die Fähigkeit der Ozeane mindert, als CO2-Senke zu wirken. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/sep/23/earth-breach-planetary-boundaries-health-check-oceans
Website zum Planetary Health Check: https://www.planetaryhealthcheck.org/
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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for - earth system boundaries - safe and just earth system boundaries - cross translated - to cities and business - planetary boundaries - downscaled planetary boundaries - urban planetary boundaries - Johan Rockstrom - Xuemei Bao - Lancet paper - just and safe earth system boundaries - Earth Commission report
paper details - title: A just world on a safe planet: a Lancet Planetary Health–Earth Commission report on Earth-system boundaries, translations, and transformations - authors: - Joyeeta Gupta - Xuemei Bao - Johan Rockstrom - Diana M Liverman <br /> - Dahe Qin - Ben Stewart-Koster - et al - publication: Lancet 2024, Sept 11
summary
Tags
- Johan Rockstrom
- Xuemei Bao
- urban planetary boundaries
- earth system boundaries - cross-scale translation - to cities and businesses
- cross scale translated earth system boundaries
- earth system boundaries - downscaled to cities
- Lancet paper - just and safe earth system boundaries - 2024
- downscaled planetary boundaries
- Earth Commission Report 2024
Annotators
URL
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Der neue Earth Report stellt fest, dass sich nur durch eine schnelle Reduzierung der Nachfrage der reichsten 15% der Weltbevölkerung gerechte und sichere Lebensbedingungen für die gesamte Menschheit im Jahr 2050 ermöglichen lassen. Der von einer Kommission prominenter Experten erstellte und von der Medizinzeitschrift Lancet publzierte Bericht beschäftigt sich mit bisher unterschätzten Folgen der Überschreitung der planeraren Grenzen. Gerechtigkeit z.B durch Besteuerung der Reichen sei eine entscheidende Voraussetzung der globalen Sicherheit https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/sep/12/consumerism-and-the-climate-crisis-threaten-equitable-future-for-humanity-report-says
Earth Report: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(24)00042-1/fulltext
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- Aug 2024
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singjupost.com singjupost.com
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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we know from previous large transitions in history that you never change the world by having everyone on board. You change the world by having large enough minorities that can tip quite inert majority to move in the right direction
for - social tipping points - quote - Johan Rockstrom
quote - social tipping points - Johan Rockstrom - (see below) - We know from previous large transitions in history that - You never change the world by having everyone on board.. - You change the world by having large enough minorities<br /> - that can tip quite inert majority to move in the right direction. - When you look at the world of sustainability. - in many societies in the world, we are actually a double digit penetration - on sustainable solutions, - on people's awareness, - on willingness to even politically vote for green or, sustainable options. - So we're very close to that positive tipping point as well. - and that's another reason why it's not the moment to back down. - Now is the moment to just increase momentum.
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So, not only is it on our generation's watch that everything has occurred, it's on our generation's watch that we will determine the future. So, so it's, in our hands. to now determine the future for humanity on earth. So yes, it's an intergenerational justice, fundamentally.
for - quote - our generation caused the problem and must solve it - Johan Rockstrom
quote - Our generation caused the problem and must solve it - Johan Rockstrom - (see below) - So, not only is it on our generation's watch that everything has occurred, - it's on our generation's watch that we will determine the future. - So it's in our hands to now determine the future for humanity on earth. So yes, it's intergenerational justice, fundamentally.
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often I get the question, what should we do? And they expect me to talk about um, mobility and, um how to reduce flying and all forms of consumer choices. And they get surprised when I say that the number one issue is talk to your friends.
for - planetary emergency - Johan Rockstrom - advice - top leverage point - talk to people about the emergency - quote - planetary emergency - Johan Rockstrom - top advice - top leverage point - talk about it
quote - planetary emergency - Johan Rockstrom - top advice - top leverage point - talk about it - (see below)
- The advice I give to all my students, they are, often I get the question, what should we do?
- And they expect me to talk about
- mobility
- how to reduce flying and
- all forms of consumer choices.
- And they get surprised when I say that
- the number one issue is talk to your friends.
- Talk to your friends. Get the dialogue going.
- Speak to your, parents,
- your friends anytime you have a chance.
- Talk about the planet,
- Talk about 1. 5.
- If you go out to the street here in Potsdam, nobody will know what you're talking about if you say 1.5 is the most important number we have in the world today.
- So I think it's really important to keep the buzz going. We need a momentum here.
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we go from not understanding it to apathy in the span of an afternoon which is another issue. Um, so so what should we do?
for - question - planetary emergency - ignorance or apathy - what should we do?
question - planetary emergency - ignorance or apathy - what should we do? - Johan Rockstrom advocates for three simultaneous internventions that must be executed in order to achieve the following impacts: - Legally binding global governance regimes must be implemented: immediately - Paris Agreement - biodiversity agreements - Internalize all externalities - Implement a global price on carbon emissions of at least 100 USD / ton - Stop all expansion of human activity into intact nature
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we have to challenge the world to understand that we are in this generation, Us, in charge today, sitting in the cockpit of planet Earth, putting the entire stability of the planet at risk in this generation.
for - quote - we are in the cockpit of planet earth - Johan Rockstrom
quote - we are in the cockpit of planet earth - Johan Rockstrom - (see below)
- We have to challenge the world to understand that we are in this generation, us, in charge today, sitting in the cockpit of planet earth,
- putting the entire stability of the planet at risk in this generation
- We have to challenge the world to understand that we are in this generation, us, in charge today, sitting in the cockpit of planet earth,
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I don't think we have scientifically any reason to hesitate at all to say, not only do we have a climate crisis, we are in a planetary emergency.
for - quote - planetary emergency - Johan Rockstrom
quote - planetary emergency - Johan Rockstrom - (see below) - Emergencies is when you have<br /> - unacceptable risks and - running out of time. - That's a combination: - Unacceptable risk and - time is running out. - Emergency means time is short. That's what is the definition of an emergency.
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what makes me doubly frustrated is that not only do we have all this evidence of, you know, potentially unmanageable risks. But we also have so much evidence that solving them is not a sacrifice.
for - quote - Johan Rockstrom - 2024 - double frustration - allowing situation to deteriorate - while there is no sacrifice
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What should make us really concerned is the lack of leadership, is the lack of efforts of acting on that evidence. So if there's anything that all this leads for
for - quote - Johan Rockstrom - lack of keadership should concern us
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even if we were successful in phasing out fossil fuels, we would still fail. on the climate boundary. We would still breach the 1. 5 degree Celsius boundary if we do not come back into the safe space on the biosphere boundaries. Because biodiversity, freshwater, land, and nutrients will determine the ability of the planet to buffer
for - quote - Johan Rockstrom - successful phase of of fossil fuels - is a necessary but not sufficient condition for station under 1.5 degree Celsius
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this transition phase is like a gauntlet. It's very jumpy, it's very turbulent, you have winners and losers
for - quote - Johan Rockstrom - transition - is messy
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for - interview - Johan Rockstrom - planetary boundaries
Tags
- quote - social tipping points - Johan Rockstrom
- answer - planetary emergency - Johan Rockstrom - immediately implement global binding governance agreements - internalize all externalities - stop all human expansion into intact nature
- quote - positive tipping points - Johan Rockstrom
- uote - Johan Rockstrom - lack of keadership should concern us
- quote - we are in the cockpit of planet earth - Johan Rockstrom
- quote - planetary emergency - Johan Rockstrom - top advice - top leverage point - talk about it
- quote - our generation caused the problem and must solve it - Johan Rockstrom
- question - planetary emergency - ignorance or apathy - what should we do?
- quote - planetary emergency - Johan Rockstrom
- planetary emergency - Johan Rockstrom - advice - top leverage point - talk to people about the emergency
- interview - Johan Rockstrom - planetary boundaries
- quote - Johan Rockstrom - transition - is messy
- quote - Johan Rockstrom - successful phase of of fossil fuels - is a necessary but not sufficient condition for station under 1.5 degree Celsius
- quote - Johan Rockstrom - 2024 - double frustration - allowing situation to deteriorate - while there is no sacrifice
Annotators
URL
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- Feb 2024
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Die Daten des europäischen Klimaservice Copernicus ergeben, dass die Temperaturen erstmals über 12 Monate mehr als 1,5° über dem vorindustriellen Durchschnitt lagen. Jeder Monat seit dem vergangenen Juni war im globalen Durchschnitt der wärmste Monat seit Beginn der Aufzeichnungen. Johan Rockström, der Direktor des Potsdam Instituts für Klimafolgen-Forschung, sprach von einer Warnung für die Menschheit, dass wir uns schneller als erwartet auf die 1,5° Grenze zubewegen. https://taz.de/EU-Klimadienst-Copernicus/!5991185/
Copernicus-Meldung: https://climate.copernicus.eu/surface-air-temperature-january-2024
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- Jan 2024
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www.repubblica.it www.repubblica.it
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we need to make the transition acceptable and attractive for the vast majority of citizens, and the only way to do that, is to make the changes easy to adopt. This requires strong engagement with society at large, and policies that make sustainable life choices not only easier, but also cheaper and more attractive. Or, put it the other way around, it must be more expensive to destroy the planet or the health of our fellow citizens".
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for: meme - make it expensive to destroy the planet, quote - Johan Rockstrom, quote - make it expensive to destroy the planet, key insight - make it expensive to destroy the planet
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key insight
- meme
- quote: Johan Rockstrom
- we need to make the transition acceptable and attractive for the vast majority of citizens, and the only way to do that, is to make the changes easy to adopt. This requires strong engagement with society at large, and policies that make sustainable life choices not only easier, but also cheaper and more attractive. Or, put it the other way around, it must be more expensive to destroy the planet or the health of our fellow citizens".
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We need to trigger exponential change across sectors and geographies by phasing out fossil fuels while taking advantage of positive social and economic tipping points.
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for: quote - Johan Rockstrom, quote - positive tipping points, quote - social tipping points, social tipping points, stop, positive tipping points
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quote: Johan Rockstrom
- We need to trigger exponential change across sectors and geographies by phasing out fossil fuels while taking advantage of positive social and economic tipping points.
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now we are facing a high risk of overshooting 1.5°C - at best - for several decades. Currently, we must admit that we do not know what the consequences are of such an overshoot, i.e., we do not know how long time the big tipping point systems - like the Gulf Stream or the Coral Reef systems, can cope with high risk temperatures above 1.5°C.
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for: quote - Johan Rockstrom, quote - uncertainty at 1.5 Deg C for years
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quote: Johan Rockstrom
- now we are facing a high risk of overshooting 1.5°C - at best - for several decades. Currently, we must admit that we do not know what the consequences are of such an overshoot, i.e., we do not know how long time the big tipping point systems - like the Gulf Stream or the Coral Reef systems, can cope with high risk temperatures above 1.5°C.
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the focus of every Cop should not be at the whim of the Presidency - every Cop should focus on all areas where emissions reductions are needed. A system of smaller results-based meetings that focus on delivery, accountability, alignment with science, and safeguarding social justice is needed".
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for: COP - suggestion for improvement
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suggestion for improvement: COP
- "the focus of every Cop should not be at the whim of the Presidency
- every Cop should focus on all areas where emissions reductions are needed.
- A system of smaller results-based meetings that focus on delivery, accountability, alignment with science, and safeguarding social justice is needed".
- "the focus of every Cop should not be at the whim of the Presidency
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All stakeholders in the world must now act according to the agreed Cop28 output, and deliver on the CopP28 Global Stocktake Agreement, which means rapidly transitioning away from oil, coal and gas, aiming at more than 40% reductions by 2030
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for: climate mitigation, stats - 40% reduction by 2030, quote - Johan Rockstrom, quote - fossil fuel phase out
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quote: Johan Rockstrom
- All stakeholders in the world must now act according to the agreed Cop28 output, and deliver on the CopP28 Global Stocktake Agreement,
- which means rapidly transitioning away from oil, coal and gas, aiming at more than 40% reductions by 2030
- All stakeholders in the world must now act according to the agreed Cop28 output, and deliver on the CopP28 Global Stocktake Agreement,
- Date: Dec 31, 2023
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Im Interview der Repubblica (hier auf Englisch) fordert Johan Rockström eine Konkretisierung der Ergebnisse der COP28 und eine Reform der UN-Klimakonferenzen. Er hebt die Ergebnisse des Global Tipping Points Report hervor und weist darauf hin, dass wir die Konsequenzen der kaum noch zu Überschreitung des 1,5°-Ziels über mehrere Jahrzehnte nicht kennen.
https://www.greenandblue.it/2023/12/31/news/johan_rockstrom_earth4all_scenarios-421790005/
Tags
- Stp
- climate mitigation
- suggestion - Johan Rockstrom - improving COP
- stats - 40% reduction by 2030
- Social Tipping Points
- quote - positive tipping points
- quote - make it expensive to destroy the planet
- key insight - make it expensive to destroy the planet
- quote - social tipping points
- TPF
- COP28 - Johan Rockstrom
- COP28
- meme - make it expensive to destroy the planet
- quote - Johan Rockstrom
- positive tipping points
- Global Tipping Points Report 2023
- quote - 1.5 deg. C overshoot
- quote - fossil fuel phase out
- 2023-12-31
- - suggestion - improvement of COP
- Johan Rockström
Annotators
URL
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- Dec 2023
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
- Nov 2023
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www.reuters.com www.reuters.com
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- for: COP28 - Johan Rockstrom
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- Oct 2023
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www.derstandard.de www.derstandard.de
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Der Standardbericht zu dem neuen State of the climate-Report konzentriert sich auf die Forderung nach sofortigen Veränderungen in der Wirtschaft. Er enthält auch eine Übersicht zu den Temperaturanomalien in Österreich in diesem Jahr. https://www.derstandard.at/story/3000000192443/hoechsttemperaturen-wie-2023-gab-es-womoeglich-erstmals-seit-100000-jahren
Mehr zum State of the climate 2023-Report: https://hypothes.is/search?q=tag%3A%22report%3A%202023%20state%20of%20the%20climate%22;
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Durch die Überschreitung von 6 der 9 planetaren Grenzen wurde der „safe operating space for humanity“ verlassen. Die neue Studie analysiert auf Basis von 2000 Studien erstmals die Situation bei allen planetaren Grenzen. Als besonders bedrohlich schätzen die Forschenden ein, dass 4 direkt auf das Leben bezogene Grenzen überschritten wurden. Die dadurch mangelnde Resilienz könnte es auch unabhängig von Emissions-Senkungen unmöglich machen, das 1,5°-Ziel zu erreichen. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/13/earth-well-outside-safe-operating-space-for-humanity-scientists-find
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6 von 9 planetaren Grenzen wurden bereits überschritten, wie eine neue gemeinsame Studie von Erdsystemwissenschaftler:innen zeigt. Es handelt sich um die Grenzen bei globaler Erwärmung, Biosdiversität, Entwaldung, Schadstoffe, Stickstoffkreislauf und Süßwasser. Die Studie stammt vor allem von Autori:innen, die das Konzept der planetaren Grenzen entwickelt hatten. https://taz.de/Studie-zur-Belastung-des-Planeten/!5960174/
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- Sep 2023
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- for: Johan Rockstrom - Time magazine
- Title: What the latest health check tells us about the state of our planet
- date: Sept., 2023
- author: Johan Rockstrom
- summary
- Johan Rockstrom provides an update to clarify what our civilization must do and how rapidly in order retain a safe and just operating space for humanity
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It is a major mistake in the current climate action debates, when big actors with interests in the oil, gas, and coal industry, use investments in nature based solutions or technologies for carbon dioxide removal (CDR), as “offsets” for the inability to phase out fossil-fuels. This will not work. Science is clear on this point – we need to phase out fossil-fuels AND restore nature to secure carbon sinks in soils and forests, AND to invest in CDR technologies. Additionality is the word of the day, not substitution.
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for: quote, quote - Johan Rockstrom, quote - Johan Rockstrom - Industry greenwashing
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quote
- It is a major mistake in the current climate action debates,
- when big actors with interests in the oil, gas, and coal industry,
- use investments in
- nature based solutions or
- technologies for carbon dioxide removal (CDR),
- as “offsets” for the inability to phase out fossil-fuels.
- This will not work. Science is clear on this point
- We need to
- phase out fossil-fuels AND
- restore nature to secure carbon sinks in soils and forests, AND
- to invest in CDR technologies.
- Additionality is the word of the day, not substitution.
- It is a major mistake in the current climate action debates,
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We cannot continue with double standards on fossil-fuels and renewable energy, or as a majority of countries are doing today – continue to sit on the fence, with green rhetoric but grey actions, which adds to the perception of widespread greenwashing.
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for: quote, quote - Johan Rockstrom, quote greenwashing
-
quote
- We cannot continue with double standards on fossil-fuels and renewable energy,
- or as a majority of countries are doing today –
- continue to sit on the fence, with green rhetoric but grey actions,
- which adds to the perception of widespread greenwashing.
-
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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Our choice to fail over the last 30 years has brought us to this position. And a way out of that, a way out of the Marshall Plan, is to say we can have these negative emissions 00:34:42 I think we need to say that, okay that's one way out of it – if they work. Another way out of it is the Marshall Plan. And so we need to open that that dialogue up. but we've... in effect, I think the IAMs have closed that dialogue,. Which is one of the reasons, going back to... It would be interesting to see other parts of the world looking at this, because, I would have a guess, when we say 'that's not feasible', many people elsewhere in the world are saying 'well of course it's feasible, we've been doing... we've been living like that for years!'
-
for: quote, quote - Kevin Anderson, quote - Kevin Anderson - Marshall plan, discussion - Johan Rockstrom / Kevin Anderson, perspectival knowing
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quote
- Our choice to fail over the last 30 years has brought us to this position.
- And a way out of that, a way out of the Marshall Plan, is to say we can have these negative emissions
- I think we need to say that, okay that's one way out of it – if they work.
- Another way out of it is the Marshall Plan.
- And so we need to open that that dialogue up. but we've... in effect, I think the IAMs have closed that dialogue,.
- Which is one of the reasons, going back to... It would be interesting to see other parts of the world looking at this, because, I would have a guess,
- when we say 'that's not feasible', many people elsewhere in the world are saying 'well of course it's feasible, we've been doing... we've been living like that for years!'
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comment
- In rebuttal to Johan's perspective on Negative Emissions Technologies (NETs),
- Kevin is addressing the issue of perspectival knowing, and
- its implications on what solutions we entertain as a global society.
- The example he cites is Negative Emissions Technologies (NETs) illustrates two major perspectives:
- Johan includes NETs as he see's that without them, the transition goes from manageable to unmanageable
- Kevin questions the inclusion of the NETs as potentially shutting down discussion about what Johan would consider an unmanageable situation
- Kevin brings up a valid point for inclusion of other voices, especially those indigenous ones who are still institutionally marginalized not only in economic and cultural spaces, but also academic and intellectual ones.
- The decolonization of academia takes on a concrete form here. Both the global and local south have lived under severe economic repression for centuries. Anderson's contention is that making do with less is something that billions of people have had to contend with for centuries as a social norm forced upon them by colonialist then post colonialist institutions.
- Inclusivity of a greater diversity of voices does play an important role in shaping the future direction of humanity.
- We should be having an open discussion about a Marshall plan and should not be afraid to go there.
- We had it in WWII, which, while more direct threat, is not as great as the threat of climate change on all life on earth in a slightly greater time scale.
- The global and local south has a lot to teach the global and local north. For this great transition of humanity to occur likely simultaneously requires
- radical amounts of resource transfer from the global / local north to the global / local south,and
- radical degrowth
- In rebuttal to Johan's perspective on Negative Emissions Technologies (NETs),
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we're increasing emissions today between 1 and 2% per year. Now, to reduce emissions even in the global model runs we have, with optimistic I mean, overly optimistic negative emission technologies – assume mitigation pathways, as you know, between 5 and 7% per year. So that is three times revolution pace, at the current modeling runs. 00:33:47 If you take away negative emission technologies, you would exceed 10% very rapidly. You would be more the 10 to 15%. I would call that... That's not revolution, that is a complete disruption of the global economy. It's like a pace that is beyond... I mean then you need to bulldoze down coal-fired plants, basically. You would be in a complete global Marshall Plan. It's a war zone agenda.
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for: quote, quote - Johan Rockstrom, quote - Johan Rockstrom - NET
-
stats
- quote
- We're increasing emissions today between 1 and 2% per year.
- Now, to reduce emissions even in the global model runs we have, with optimistic I mean, overly optimistic negative emission technologies – assume mitigation pathways, as you know, between 5 and 7% per year.
- So that is three times revolution pace, at the current modeling runs.
- If you take away negative emission technologies, you would exceed 10% very rapidly.
- You would be more the 10 to 15%.
- I would call that... That's not revolution, that is a complete disruption of the global economy.
- It's like a pace that is beyond... I mean then you need to bulldoze down coal-fired plants, basically.
- You would be in a complete global Marshall Plan. It's a war zone agenda.
-
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in a normal distribution, from over here you have the denialists and over here you have the environmental activists. But in between you have a lot of different types of people. And the majority are actually – we know this from opinion polls – they are very supportive of science. They're very supportive of and concerned about climate change. They want climate action. It's just that they live their normal lives, they have many preoccupations in life. 01:01:44 They have their children, their health, their school, their financing, their incomes. You know, many, many things to be worried about. But that's the question: how do we get this majority, the silent majority, to join us? And I don't think that the way to make them join us is to scare them. And I don't think the way to join is to fight with the denialists. I think the way to join... to make them join... is to show that this pathway can get a better life.
- for: leverage points, quote, quote - Johan Rockstrom, quote - motivating the silent majority, climate change - priority, social tipping point
- quote
- In a normal distribution,
- from over here you have the denialists and
- over here you have the environmental activists.
- But in between you have a lot of different types of people.
- And the majority are actually
- we know this from opinion polls
- very supportive of science.
- They're very supportive of and concerned about climate change.
- They want climate action.
- It's just that they live their normal lives, they have many preoccupations in life.They have
- children,
- health,
- school,
- financing,
- incomes.
- You know, many, many things to be worried about.
- But that's the question:
- how do we get this majority, the silent majority, to join us?
- I don't think that the way to make them join us is to
- scare them and
- fight with the denialists.
- I think the way to make them join is to show that this pathway can get a better life.
- In a normal distribution,
- author: Johan Rockstrom
-
date: Sept., 2023
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comment
- in other words
- the silent majority does not yet hold climate change activism to be sufficiently high on their list of priorities yet to warrant the necessary scale of action
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better health, better security, better economy, secure job, better... Simply a more modern, attractive life.
- for: Johan Rockstrom - wellbeing economy, wellbeing economy, green growth, degrowth, question, question - Johan Rockstrom - green growth or degrowth?
- question
- Does Johan Rockstrom advocate for a green economy or degrowth?
- He would seem to be arguing for green growth as degrowth, if not done extremely carefully, can result in a drop in wellbeing.
- How does he see this taking place when the elites perceive that they have the most (at least materially) to give up? Is there a contradiction here?
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I think we need to do much more of that. I totally agree with you. I actually think that we – and that's self-critical to me as well – I think we need to be more brave also going public with that engagement.
- for: climate science - citizen engagement, johan rockstrom - advocacy for citizen engagement, scientist - activism
- comment
- supporting the previous comment, Johan Rockstrom see's scientists having a much more active role engaging with the public.
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we have a crisis 00:49:16 And things have to change at the global level so fast that we need to correct big system failures at a very large scale. And I'm convinced that that can only be done top-down not bottom-up.
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for: Johan Rockstrom - top down strategy, quote, quote - Johan Rockstrom, quote - climate top down strategy
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quote
- we have a crisis and things have to change at the global level so fast that we need to correct big system failures at a very large scale. And I'm convinced that that can only be done top-down not bottom-up.
- author: Johan Rockstrom
- date: Sept., 2023
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reaching zero by 2050 won't take us there
- for: quote, quote - net zero by 2050
- quote
- reaching zero by 2050 won't take us there
- author: Johan Rockstrom
- date: Sept. 2023
Tags
- decolonize climate change
- degrowth
- quote
- quote - motivating the silent majority
- scientist activism
- social tipping points
- carbon inequality
- quote - Kevin Anderson
- top down climate strategy
- marshall plan
- quote - prioritizing climate change
- quote - net zero by 2050
- question - Johan Rockstrom
- green growth
- climate science - citizen engagement
- Climate Marshall plan vs NETs
- quote - Johan Rockstrom
- quote - Johan Rockstrom - NET
- question
- Johan Rockstrom - advocacy for citizen engagement
- quote - Kevin Anderson - Marshall plan
- question - Johan Rockstrom - green growth or degrowth?
- discussion - Johan Rockstrom / Kevin Anderson
- wellbeing economy
- perspectival knowing - climate crisis - NETs vs Marshall plan
- quote - top down climate strategy
Annotators
URL
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- Aug 2023
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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- for: safe and just boundaries, earth system boundaries, planetary boundaries
- title
- Safe and just Earth system boundaries
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- Jun 2023
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Die Earth Commission hat ein neues Konzept für Indikatoren der globalen Gesundheit entwickelt, dass sowohl die planetaren Belastungsgrenzen wie nachhaltige Entwicklung berücksichtigt. Bei sieben von acht dieser Indikatoren stellt die Kommission fest, dass die Grenze zu einer Krisensituation überschritten ist. Die Kommission wurde von führenden Forschungsinstituten zum Erdsystem und der Ökologie des Planeten gebildet. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/may/31/earth-health-failing-in-seven-out-of-eight-key-measures-say-scientists-earth-commission
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- Mar 2023
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Title
- How to stop cities and companies causing planetary harm
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Author
- Xuemei Bai,
- Anders Bjørn,
- Şiir Kılkış,
- Oscar Sabag Muñoz,
- Gail Whiteman,
- Holger Hoff,
- Lauren Seaby Andersen,
- Johan Rockström
Next year, the Earth Commission, including many of the scientists on this report, will issue a report outlinging the Earth System Boundaries (ESB) to hlep cities and corporations stay within planetary boundaries.
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- Jan 2023
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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we're taking colossal risks with the future of civilization on Earth We're degrading life support system that we all depend on we're actually pushing 00:00:57 the entire Earth system to a point of destabilization pushing Earth outside of the state that has support civilization since we left the last ice age 10 000 years ago this requires a transformation to safe 00:01:11 and just Earth system boundaries for the whole world economy
!- Title : Leading the charge through earth’s new normal !- speakers : Johan Rockstrom et al.
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- Sep 2022
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correspondent.afp.com correspondent.afp.com
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“Exactly at the moment when we need a resilient biosphere, we are losing it. If we get too far from planetary boundaries, feedbacks from Earth will start to amplify our trajectory irreversibly toward a four-, five- or six-degree world.” Long pause.
!- for : Tipping Point Festival inspiration
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- Jul 2022
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In the deep past these setbacks were local. The overall experiment of civilization kept going, often by moving from an exhausted ecology to one with untapped potential. Human numbers were still quite small. At the height of the Roman Empire there are thought to have been only 200 million people on Earth. Compare that with the height of the British Empire a century ago, when there were two billion. And with today, when there are nearly eight. Clearly, things have moved very quickly since the Industrial Revolution took hold around the world. In A Short History of Progress, I suggested that worldwide civilization was our greatest experiment; and I asked whether this might also prove to be the greatest progress trap. That was 15 years ago.
Indeed, Wright is right to ask: Is our modern human civilization the greatest progress trap of all?
Exponential technological progress has shortened the time for dangerous levels of resource extraction and pollution loads to the extent that we face the potential of cascading global tipping points and enter a "hothouse earth" state: https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1810141115
Were this to happen, there is no place on earth that would be immune.
In hindsight, the unfortunate but predictable trend is one of every increasing size of progress traps, and ever shorter time windows when serious impacts occur. Today, it appears we have reached the largest size progress trap possible on a finite planet.
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