18 Matching Annotations
  1. May 2026
  2. news.smol.ai news.smol.ai
    Untitled document
    1
    1. fxp007 21 May 2026
      Against the backdrop of OpenAI announcing $24B ARR, stalled ChatGPT growth and coincidental personnel moves in CEO, COO, and CMO and sensationalist rumors with CFO, this week’s events in Anthropic announcing a massive jump from $19B ARR in March to $30B ARR in April seems like a VERY strategic jab, especially considering known differences in revenue recognition, but the differential rate of growth and higher cost efficiency is undeniable… only for today to step it up a notch.

      This framing is intentionally misleading. The $30B ARR figure is not a confirmed disclosure but a market interpretation. The article's author is constructing a narrative of a 'jab' using speculative, third-party claims to build a competitive story that isn't directly supported by primary-source data from Anthropic.

      Framing Speculation
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    news.smol.ai/issues/26-04-06-anthropic-mythos
  3. Apr 2026
  4. www.bbc.com www.bbc.com
    https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c98mrepzgj7o
    1
    1. fxp007 17 Apr 2026
      Retail analyst Hitha Herzog said the excitement over Allbirds 'just by putting AI in an announcement' makes it 'clearly a meme stock'.

      分析师的评论精准捕捉了当前市场的投机本质，Allbirds的案例展示了'蹭AI热点'如何成为公司价值重塑的捷径，这种现象在缺乏实质性产品或收益证明的情况下尤为明显，反映了市场对AI概念的过度炒作。

      meme-stock market-speculation
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    bbc.com/news/articles/c98mrepzgj7o
  5. metr.org metr.org
    The Org Uplift Game - METR
    1
    1. fxp007 09 Apr 2026
      Imagine every report has the following: Agent's best-guess about what comments you'd get from Beth, Hjalmar, Ajeya. Agent's best-guess about survey results. Agent's best-guess about benchmark results. Agent's best-guess about how this will be received on Twitter.

      「预测反馈」的概念令人惊讶：AI 在报告发出前，预测各位审阅者会说什么、Twitter 会怎么反应、调查结果会是什么——研究者先在「预测反馈」中迭代，只有当预期信息增量足够高时，才真正发出去等待真实反馈。这是一种「反馈的预计算」——把等待时间转化为优化时间，本质上是把「串行等待」变成了「并行模拟」。

      predictive-feedback simulated-review speculation-execution surprising
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    metr.org/notes/2026-03-19-org-uplift-game/
  6. Aug 2023
  7. ems.press ems.press
    chap16_08_13.pdf
    2
    1. almereyda 01 Aug 2023
      this appears in writing, and preciously little even in oral communication.The point is that the disrepute of “speculation” or “dream” is such, thateven as a strictly private (not to say secret!) activity, it has a tendency tovegetate – much like the desire and drive of love and sex, in too repressivean environment.
      speculation
    2. almereyda 01 Aug 2023
      Of course, no creative mathematician can afford not to “speculate”, namelyto do more or less daring guesswork as an indispensable source of inspira-tion. The trouble is that, in obedience to a stern tradition, almost nothing of
      speculation
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    ems.press/content/book-files/20606
  8. Jul 2022
  9. Local file Local file
    The Rational Optimist: How Prosperity Evolves
    1

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  10. Feb 2022
  11. thehustle.co thehustle.co
    Would you take free land in rural America?
    1
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    thehustle.co/would-you-take-free-land-in-rural-america/
  12. May 2021
  13. twitter.com twitter.com
    ReconfigBehSci on Twitter
    1
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    twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1391417299878379522
  14. twitter.com twitter.com
    Jarrad Hall on Twitter
    1
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    twitter.com/CdrHBiscuitIII/status/1391265635749957632
  15. twitter.com twitter.com
    Robert Saunders on Twitter
    1
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    twitter.com/redhistorian/status/1326802784168124416
  16. Mar 2021
  17. www.medrxiv.org www.medrxiv.org
    https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.13.20101253
    1
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    medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.13.20101253v1
  18. Oct 2020
  19. link-springer-com.uaccess.univie.ac.at link-springer-com.uaccess.univie.ac.at
    testerdeflest
    2
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    link-springer-com.uaccess.univie.ac.at/content/pdf/10.1007/s11186-014-9226-3.pdf
  20. Jul 2020
  21. twitter.com twitter.com
    Carl T. Bergstrom on Twitter: "1. In short, no. This is going to take a detailed thread to unpack." / Twitter
    1
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    twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1270226183485976584
  22. Feb 2020
  23. marxdown.github.io marxdown.github.io
    Chapter 1 - Commodities
    1
    1. averywiscomb 09 Feb 2020
      According to Eschwege, the total produce of the Brazilian diamond mines for the eighty years, ending in 1823, had not realised the price of one-and-a-half years’ average produce of the sugar and coffee plantations of the same country, although the diamonds cost much more labour, and therefore represented more value.

      Diamonds were first discovered in Brazil in 1729 near the city of Belo Horizonte. This started a diamond rush and a period of feverish migration of workers.

      Major diamond rushes also took place in the late 19th and early 20th centuries in South Africa and South-West Africa.

      Diamond rushes, like gold rushes or other types of rushes, are for Marx economic bubbles or asset bubbles (sometimes referred to today as speculative bubbles, market bubbles, price bubbles, financial bubbles, speculative manias, or balloons).

      South America CMRG-CMU Economic bubble Mining Diamonds Gold Rush Brazil Eschwege Gold Scarcity Speculation Mania Diamond Rush
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    marxdown.github.io/texts/ch01/
  24. Dec 2017
  25. www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
    Addictive potential of Tianeptine - the threatening reality. - PubMed - NCBI
    1
    1. Drugs_and_Ethics 31 Dec 2017
      Supposedly, Tianeptine, in contrast to other anti-depressants, stimulates release of neurotransmitter dopamine in nucleus Accumbens, that probably determine addictive potential of this drug.

      This potentially explains why tianeptine gives me energy. I've seen several other anecdotal reports as well. However, I've never taken illicit or prescription opioids, so I don't have a proper mode of comparison.

      tianeptine speculation
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    ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19801742
  26. Aug 2016
  27. www.tandfonline.com.proxy.lib.sfu.ca www.tandfonline.com.proxy.lib.sfu.ca
    144871314X14159818597676
    1
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    tandfonline.com.proxy.lib.sfu.ca/doi/pdf/10.2752/144871314X14159818597676
  28. Sep 2015
  29. accuratescholarship.com accuratescholarship.com
    PowerPoint Presentation
    1
    1. rsp 22 Sep 2015
      Acidic pH

      Wonder if this is true in marine mammals, fish, worms that live in various environments. Am thinking with an evolutionary and developmental hat on. Just idle musing, wonder from a developmental perspective why acid and not alkaline (I think most soaps are alkaline) - mechanisms that differentiate breakoff points in the tree of life might be fun to learn about - to look smart.

      lookup speculation
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    accuratescholarship.com/cdh5/five.pdf