Der Weltbiodiversitätsrat IPBES fordert in zwei unmittelbar hintereinander publizierten Berichten, dem „Nexus Report“ und dem „Transformative Change Report“, ein radikale Transformation des bestehenden Wirtschaftssystems, um Kipppunkte nicht zu überschreiten und die miteinander zusammenhängenden ökologisch-sozialen Krisen zu bekämpfen https://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/environnement/2024-12-18/crise-de-la-biodiversite/un-rapport-choc-propose-de-reformer-le-capitalisme.php

Zum Transformative Change Report: https://www.ipbes.net/transformative-change/media-release

Zum Nexus Report: https://www.ipbes.net/nexus/media-release

for - Yuval Noah Harari - interview - book - Nexus - progress trap - information

for - CECAN - Centre for the Evaluation of Complexity Across the Nexus - to - CECAN

to - CECAN - https://hyp.is/2LWJzE0ZEe--JEt2ZKmfFQ/www.cecan.ac.uk/about-us/

Title: Unintended Consequences: Unknowable and Unavoidable, or Knowable and Unforgivable?

Abstract - Paraphrase - there are multiple environmental limits within which humanity can safely operate, - potential negative outcomes of seemingly positive actions need to accounted for. - “nexus” research is consistent with the above - it recognizes the integrated and interactive nature of water, energy and food systems, - and aims to understand the broader implications of developments in any one of these systems. - This article presents a novel framework for categorizing such detrimental unintended consequences, based upon: - how much is known about the system in question - and the scope for avoiding any such unintended consequences. - The framework comprises four categories: - Knowable and Avoidable - Knowable and Unavoidable - Unknowable and Avoidable - Unknowable and Unavoidable - The categories are explored with reference to examples in both: - the water-energy-food nexus and - planetary boundary frameworks. - The examples: - highlight the potential for the unexpected to happen and - explore dynamic nature of the situations that give rise to the unexpected. - The article concludes with guidance on how the framework can be used - to increase confidence that best efforts have been made to navigate our way toward - secure and sustainable water, energy and food systems, - avoiding and/or managing unintended consequences along the way.

// - This paper is principally about - progress traps, - how they emerge, - their characteristics - as they morph through the knowability / avoidability matrix - and how we might predict and mitigate them in the future

• Title = Water-Food-Energy Nexus i
• n Global Cities:

• Addressing Complex Urban Interdependencies

• Abstract

  • Understanding how water, food, and energy interact in the form of the water-food-energy (WFE) nexus is essential for sustainable development which advocates enhancing human well-being and poverty reduction.

  • The application of the WFE nexus has seen diverse approaches to its implementation in cities across the globe.

  • There is a need to share knowledge in order to improve urban information exchange which focuses on the WFE nexus’ application and impacts on the United Nations (UN) Sustainable Development Goals.
  • In this study,
    • Natural Language Processing (NLP) and
    • Affinity Propagation Algorithm (APA)
  • are employed to explore and assess the application of the WFE nexus:
    • first on a regional basis
    • second on the city level
  • The results show that after the exhaustive search of a database containing:
    • 32,736 case studies focusing on
    • 2,233 cities,
  • African and Latin American cities:
  • have the most potential to encounter resource shortages (i.e., WFE limitation)
    • are systematically underrepresented in literature
    • Southern hemisphere cities can benefit from knowledge transfer because of their limited urban intelligence programmes.
  • Hence, with regional and topic bias,
  • there is a potential for more mutual learning links
  • between cities that can increase WFE nexus policy exchange
  • between the Northern and Southern hemispheres
  • through the bottom-up case-study knowledge.

An integrated nexus approach is recommended, examining interactions between multiple sectors.

MuSIASEM approach is a good candidate for this: https://magic-nexus.eu/tags/musiasem

Key questions are asked and the nexus approach of looking at the entire gestalt, consisting of many moving parts and their feedbacks is critical for avoiding and mitigating unintended consequences, also known as progress traps.

Bringing this to a global public space to create engagement is critical to create a groundswell. The public must understand that leverage points offer us our greatest hope. Once they understand them, everyone can help to identify and participate in leverage points.

Collectively mapping them and their many feedbacks in a global, open source map - an open knowledge commons (OKC) or open wisdom commons (OWC) for system change will drive global participation.

six focus areas of nexus analysis

trans-disciplinary approach.

Nexus approach used.

bahri, muhamad. (2020). The nexus impacts of the Covid-19: A qualitative perspective [Preprint]. SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/yj8c9