- Aug 2024
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www.swissre.com www.swissre.com
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Degradation ofecosystem services could be significantly slowed down or even reversed if the role ofbiodiversity and its full contribution to economic production were an integrated part ofdecisions made by governmental entities, companies, and other stakeholders (Paul et al2020)20
for - biodiversity - impact of monoculture diet
biodiversity - impact of monoculture diet - FAO study done before 2000 and often cited shows that 75% of the global diet comes from 12 plant and 5 animal food sources
to - stats - progress trap - monoculture - table of 12 plant and 5 animal species that make up 75% of world's diet - https://hyp.is/iznepFWoEe-umbNyOGVqrg/thefuturemarket.com/biodiversity
- progress trap - monoculture - instead of agrobiodiversity - examples of
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foodtechconnect.com foodtechconnect.com
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. for - progress trap - monoculture - instead of agrobiodiversity
from - Swiss RE Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (BES) index report - https://hyp.is/Jqw9MlWpEe-DhnehMbtbjA/www.swissre.com/dam/jcr:a7fe3dca-c4d6-403b-961c-9fab1b2f0455/swiss-re-institute-expertise-publication-biodiversity-and-ecosystem-services.pdf
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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while our predicament is eco-logical (“let it live”), our thinking remains techno-logical (“fix it”). The monoculture's fixation on what I call algorithmic rationality (linear, sequential, goal-oriented problem-solving),
for - adjacency - ecology of communication - progress traps - intentionality - language
adjacency - between - ecology of communications - progress traps - intentionally - language - emptiness - adjacency relationship - human intentionally focuses it attention on only a few select aspects of the entire gestalt of any moment of our phenomenological reality - It creates our salience landscape - What we choose to focus on and know more about it always coupled with and complimented by a vast ignorance of what we choose NOT to know - Indeed, the use language itself is the telling of a very specific story - Of all the stories we can tell, - Of the infinite stories we can construct now, -we settle on one - So the use of language already betrays the complexity inherent in each and every one of our ecological moments - We plant the seeds for progress traps as soon as we - manifest an intention - attempt to communicate - Hence, it is not avoidable and the best we can do is - recognize our situation - manage it - It is the relationship between - human nature (perceived as limited) - nature nature (infinite) - What springs to mind if the Zen koan - The elbow does not bend backwards
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The question entails the recognition of unintended consequences of any action informed by the insufficient linear first-order thinking of many wannabe world-improvers
for - progress traps - intentionality - (see previous annotation)
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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the conclusion must of course be, okay, so this is the risk assessment we have. Let's, then we have to apply precaution. Precautionary principle. Exactly. Uncertainty in science, which will always be there, should in my view, always be. connected with a risk assessment.
for - adjacency - precautionary principle - risk assessment - progress traps
adjacency - between - precautionary principle - risk assessment - progress trap - adjacency relationship - Precautionary principle is really stating that we don't have enough knowledge and there can be a high risk - Even if there is low probability of occurrence, we must apply precautionary principle to avoid a progress trap
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interactions between biodiversity, land, And climate
for - progress trap - zoonotic diseases - from transgressive biodiversity
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World Economic Forum, we're working very closely. They're also integrating planetary boundaries in, their global economy kind of policy agenda
for - World economic forum - integration planetary boundaries into their strategy
Concern - unintended consequence - The WEF is perceived by many to be an elitist organisation - who do not have the best interest off the people in mind - This could lead to potential reputational damage to the planetary boundary framework thru their association with it
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
- Jul 2024
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journals.sagepub.com journals.sagepub.com
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recommends that ToC construction should be participatory, involving stakeholders who represent different perspectives and roles within the intervention
for - ToC construction - recommendation - should be participatory
comment - Stop Reset Go process using Trailmark mark-in notation within Indyweb people-centered, interpersonal software ecosystem is inherently designed: - to be participatory - to mitigate progress traps - In fact, - the greater the diversity of perspectives, - the greater the efficacy in mitigating progress traps - For this reason, open source is necessary to achieve the optimal transformations of improvement
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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deep sea mining could start domino effects of which we are entirely unaware.
for - progress trap - deep sea metallic nodes produce oxygen - deep sea mining can disrupt
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paddyleflufy.substack.com paddyleflufy.substack.com
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If a baby born today and a baby born 30,000 years ago were swapped at birth, they would each grow up as normal people in their new cultures.
for - similar to - quote - Ronald Wright - progress trap - computer metaphor
similar to - quote - Ronald Wright - progress trap - computer metaphor - Ronald Wright's famous quote on the computer metaphor really gets to the essence of things - how much of the meta-poly-perma-crisis can be explained by the unprecedented mismatch between the rate of - biological evolution of our species - cultural evolution of our species - Culture is the major and possibly most signficant differentiator between the person alive 50,000 years ago and the one alive today.
reference - quote - Ronald Wright - computer metaphor - https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.goodreads.com%2Fwork%2Fquotes%2F321797-a-short-history-of-progress&group=world
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exponential growth isn’t totally smooth and uniform. Kurzweil explains that progress happens in “S-curves”:↳
exponential growth isn't totally smooth and uniform. Progress happens in "S-curves"
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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26:30 Brings up progress traps of this new technology
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question How do we shift our (human being's) relationship with the rest of nature
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metaphor - interspecies communications - AI can be compared to a new scientific instrument that extends our ability to see - We may discover that humanity is not the center of the universe
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Question - Dr Doolittle question - Will we be able to talk to the animals? - Wittgenstein said no - Human Umwelt is different from others - but it may very well happen
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species have culture - Marine mammals enact behavior similar to humans
- Unknown unknowns will likely move to known unknowns and to some known knowns
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citizen science bioacoustic projects - audio moth - sound invisible to humans - ultrasonic sound - intrasonic sound - example - Amazonian river turtles have been found to have hundreds of unique vocalizations to call their baby turtles to safety out in the ocean
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ocean habitat for whales - they can communicate across the entire ocean of the earth - They tell of a story of a whale in Bermuda can communicate with a whale in Ireland
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progress trap - AI for interspecies communications - examples - examples - poachers or eco tourism can misuse
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progress trap - AI for interspecies communications - policy
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whale protection technology - Kim Davies - University of New Brunswick - aquatic drones - drones triangulate whales - ships must not get near 1,000 km of whales to avoid collision - Canadian government fines are up to 250,000 dollars for violating
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environmental regulation - overhaul for the next century - instead of - treatment, we now have the data tools for - prevention
56:40 - ecological relationship - pollinators and plants have co-evolved
1:00:26
AI for interspecies communication - example - human cultural evolution controlling evolution of life on earth
Tags
- interspecies communication - umwelt
- whale protection - bioacoustic and drones
- - whale communication - span the entire ocean
- ecological relationships - pollinators and plants co-evolved
- environmental overhaul - treatment to prevention
- metaphor - interspecies communication - AI is like a new scientific instrument
- AI for interspecies communication - example - human cultural evolution controlling evolution of life on earth
- progress trap - AI applied to interspecies communications
- progress trap - AI for interspecies communications - examples - poachers - ecotourism
- citizen science bioacoustics
- question - How do we shift our relationship with the rest of nature? - ESP research objective
- progress trap - AI for interspecies communications - policy
Annotators
URL
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allenj.substack.com allenj.substack.com
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for - progress trap - AI -
article details - title - Hollow, world! (Part 1 of 5) - author - James Allen - date - 10 July, 2024 - publication - substack - self link - https://allenj.substack.com/p/hollow-world-part-1-of-5
summary James Allen provides an insightful description of ultra-anthropomorphic AI, AI that attempts to simulate an entire, whole human being.
In short, he points out the fundamental distinction between the real experience of another human being, and a simulation of one. In so doing, he gets to the heart of what it is to be human.
An AI is a simulation of a human being. No matter how realistic it's responses and actions, it is not evolved out of biology. I have no doubts that scientists are hard at work trying to make a biological AI. The distinction becomes fuzzier then.
Current AI cannot possibly simulate the experience of being in a fragile and mortal body and all that this entails. If an AI robot says it understands joy or pain, that statement isn't built on the combined exteroception and interoception of being in a biological body, rather, it is based on many linguistic statements it has assimilated.
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book come out last year called over the seaw wall his name is Steven Robert Miller
for - book - Over the Seawall - Steven Robert Miller
book - Over the Seawall - Steven Robert Miller - A book about PROGRESS TRAPS! - How climate adaptation measures can lead to progress traps, such as - lead to a sense of complacency and false security - leading to overdevelopment - leading to even more people vulnerable to climate and extreme weather events
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neoclassical Economist about you know growth can be totally decoupled from 00:45:45 Material use
for - progress trap - abstraction - the ECONOMY! - abstracted and separated from nature
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I don't really understand what they think uh what it is um if it's not you know 00:45:20 how resources are allocated and um the the transformation of commod you know raw material into finished goods and stuff all that takes energy it all takes material
for - progress trap - real dangers from - abstraction and siloing
progress trap - real dangers from - abstraction and siloing - Business processes create workers who live in abstract, symbolic worlds, never seeing the consequences of their symbolic manipulations - At the end of the day, the abstract, symbolic finance industry worker gets a fat salary and lives comfortably, whilist playing with abstractions of processes they are contributing to which they have no sensory information on - the separation of producer from consumer is yet another huge abstraction that cleaves the gestalt into pieces that we cannot see - ANTIDOTE to this - de-abstraction - re-synthesize - Processes have been fragmented and split apart - We need to find ways for people to re-synthesize and assemble the pieces back together again in order to - see and experience the whole picture
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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in the past these collapses of civilizations were local and people could migrate a little further on and rebuild but the chances of of that are gone now i mean we have to we have to uh to to 01:03:18 uh get right with what we have because it's all we have you know we we all all those bets we placed when our ancestors invented civilization they all rest on one high stakes throw which is 01:03:32 now
for - progress trap - modernity can't run away anywhere from its ruins
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some ice ages broke up in a matter of decades or even a few years suddenly
for - progress trap - planetary tipping points - rapid climate destabilization
reference - Ice cores provide first documentation of rapid Antarctic ice loss in the past - https://phys.org/news/2024-02-ice-cores-documentation-rapid-antarctic.html
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does agriculture become a 00:51:16 progress trap has it been a progress trap well i think i think in a sense it has
for - progress trap - Agriculture appears to be a progress trap - Ronald Wright
argument - progress trap - Agriculture appears to be a progress trap - Ronald Wright - The early progress traps have been comparatively small in scale - During the stone age, there were no more than a few million people alive (3 to 5 million?) and - they destroyed all the big game where humans lived - The Sumerians, with a population of around one million people salted up and destroyed the fertile land of Southern Iraq - Now we have 8 billion people and a third of them are starving - Our continuous technology development is what enables us to stave off the day of reckoning but - we are losing a Scotland-size worth of topsoil every year to - soil erosion - urban sprawl - We still face the possibility of collapse - Our species has existed for 5 to 6 million years and - civilization is an experiment that has only emerged about 10,000 years ago - It's still very possible for the experiment to fail
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we've achieved a level of prosperity for a huge number of people that was not typical of the past i mean most countries have a big middle class as well as an extremely wealthy upper 00:50:00 class but the number of people in abject poverty in the world today living on less than two dollars a day is greater than the entire population of the world 00:50:13 only 100 years ago so that's not progress
for - statistics - progress trap - comparative levels of poverty
statistics - progress trap - comparative levels of poverty - modern civilization has - a huge middle class - a small elite class - a huge impoverished class - The absolute number of people living on less than 2 dollars a day is less than the entire population of humans only 100 years ago
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that's part of the logic of agriculture isn't it i mean you have a lot of work to do yeah a lot of people you know but there again you're you're in a progress trap or or a treadmill that you need more children 00:48:57 so you can work more land and then that more land provides more food so you have yet more children
for - progress trap - the agricultural-large family positive feedback loop
progress trap - the agricultural-large family positive feedback loop - Interesting to compare modern vs agricultural societies - Populations are dropping in most western countries around the contemporary world, yet - traditional agricultural societies had large families to tend to large amount of agricultural work - There is a progress trap potential with encouraging many large families with a limited land resource: - If you have larger families, you can cultivate more land - If you cultivate more land, you can have even larger family - until you reach a point when the land has been exhausted and you are now forced to reduce the population
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do we have 00:46:13 examples of civilizations um that really accepted limits
for - progress trap - cultures that avoided progress trap of population explosion - Tahiti - via infanticide
progress trap - cultures that avoided progress trap of population explosion - Tahiti - via infanticide
- Tahitians practiced population control via
- infanticide
- It was ok to kill a newborn baby before it drew its first breath, as it was not considered a person until it drew the first breath
- advanced Eroticism - separating sexual activity from reproduction
- infanticide
- Tahitians practiced population control via
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he myth that progress will go on forever and will everything will get bigger and better and we don't have to control our numbers or demand on nature because we will always find a way to make it work we have to break out of that 00:45:21 mindset
for - progress trap - dangerous mythology
progress trap - dangerous mythology - We subscribe to a dangerous myth that: - progress will go on forever and - everything will get bigger and better and - we don't have to control our numbers - or our demand on nature - because we will always find a way to make it work
- We have to break out of that mindset
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so there's an example perhaps of a very good 00:44:17 agricultural system that is sustainable as long as you don't let the population get out of hand and you could say the same probably of rice paddy cultivation in asia
for - progress trap - agriculture that could work - historical terraced cultivation in Peru and China
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the two sort of outstanding examples uh that i can think of are 00:39:39 egypt and china and both of those places have a an unbroken tradition of civilization that lasted something like 3000 years or more
for - progress traps - exceptional civilizations - Egypt and China
progress traps - exceptional civilizations - Egypt and China - While 1,000 years seems to be the norm for the lifetime of an average civilization, China and Egypt have both endured 3 times as long - Egypt had the self-replenishing Nile River with topsoil being washed down from Ethiopia every year to maintain their soil fertility - So they avoided the salinity problem until modern times with the construction of high dams that have had unintended consequences - China also had unusual conditions of exceptionally deep layers of annually replenished topsoil called loess that were formed by being blown in by the wind from surrounding areas
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they feel incredibly resentful that they have not benefited from the the wealth generated 00:38:07 from by this uh system that was once uh uh promised them so much uh and so i i i think you know there and that's just one example among many uh in in the less prosperous parts of the world you could 00:38:21 you'd see many more
for - progress trap - inequality - resentment
progress trap - inequality - resentment - rapid emergence of the far-right and populus - Indeed we see so much resentment everywhere. For example, the far-right and populus could only emerge so rapidly because of such resentment of being left behind.
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if we fail to control our numbers and our appetites well then yes our society will start to to crash in a similar way to that of 00:35:32 easter island only on a worldwide scale and that means the whole industrial civilization will break down and 00:35:45 our descendants will essentially be uh savages to use that term very advisably and savages in the sense that they will have lost 00:35:58 the fruits of civilization and hate us
for - progress trap - dark futures scenario - like Easter Island but on a global scale
comment - The potential global breakdown of global industrialized society, rupturing supply chains so that our highly interdependent world becomes the very Achilles Heel that hastens its demise is chilling - It could mean a huge disruption to the most important aspect of civilization - the continuing accruing and inter-generational transmission of knowledge - It would be catastrophic to lose that, but it is entirely possible - As Wright himself famously said, to use a computer metaphor, we humans are like 50,000 year old hardware, running modern software - By that, he meant that our cognitive physiology (brain and sensory processing system) has not changed for tens of thousands of years, yet cultural evolution happens at exponentially faster rates, so much so that our biological systems are not adapted to keep up with the pace, and that spells disaster - When we no longer have the sensory or cognitive apparatus to sense danger, and we are offloading that to AI, we are in an extremely vulnerable situation
progress trap - Gedanken - Think of our ancestors from 50,000 years ago. - What Wright is saying with his metaphor is that if that child from 50,000 years ago were transported by a time machine to modernity, (s)he would have little problem integrating into modern society - LIKEWISE, if we lose all the knowledge fruits of accumulated over so many thousands of years, it would be like being born into a human tribe 50,000 years ago. - We would likely still have language, but all our technology may have to start from scratch!
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for - progress traps - interview - Ronald Wright
summary - In this more recent interview, Ronald Wright, author of "A Short History of Progress" and advocate of the idea of "progress traps", offers his cogent take on the world today, as refracted and reflected through an archeological lens - Wright sheds light on the relevance of history and especially archeology on our contemporary polycrisis, illustrating how, while different in details, are very similiar to the same mistakes our ancestors of every age have made - The archeology lessons of Sumeria, Stone age humans, Easter Island and more illustrate that it is dangerous to romanticize our ancestors as their mistakes cost them their civilizations, as much as the current mistakes we are now making may cost ours - I would add that our own Stop Reset Go and Deep Humanity research compliments Wright's superb work on Progress Traps with ideas borrowed from the East - specifically, Shunyata or Emptiness - Complimenting progress traps with Emptiness reveals another dimension of the perennial problem our species face since time immemorial, and in every generation henceforth - Deep Humanity integrates Progress with Emptiness, the individual with the collective, friends with enemies and proposes that we are approaching a singularity in our species, - in which all past civilizations are converging in one heterogenous entity in modernity - and the future of our species will depend on whether we can culturally adapt quickly enough to the multiple existential risks we now face - Our future as a viable evolutionary species may depend on the collective direction we move in in the next few years, of resolving the age-old quagmire of the holographic unnamable present in every one of us born into a living and dying body, continually fractures itself into violently polarized pieces. - Do we have the collective foresight to penetrate our own ignorance?
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it's a very tough one for a lot of people to make because nobody wants to think there are limits like that 00:32:14 nobody wants to think that there's not going to be enough to go around
for - progress trap - habits of thinking - limits - liberty
progress trap - habits of thinking - limits - liberty - Technology has provided us with ever increasing types and scales of liberty - We cannot imagine taking away those liberties!
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one of the things i suggested in a short history of progress is that 00:30:18 one of our problems even though we're very clever as a species we're not wise
for - key insight - progress trap - A Short History of Progress - we are clever but NOT wise!
key insight - progress trap - A Short History of Progress - we are clever but NOT wise! - In other words - Intelligence is FAR DIFFERENT than wisdom
new memes - We have an abundance of intelligence and a dearth of wisdom - A little knowledge is dangerous, a lot of knowledge is even more dangerous
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easter island
for - progress trap - archeology - Easter Island
progress trap - archeology - Easter Island - The archeology tells the fascinating story of the progress trap that Eastern Island ancestors created. - Easter Island is desolate and only 64 square miles total - It is located 2,000 miles (3218 km) from the nearest landmass of South America - Archeologists trying to piece together the stone monoliths of Easter Island found pollen samples in the crater lakes on the island, proving that the place was once a thriving forest - By the time the first Europeans landed (the Dutch) on Easter Island, it was just grassy hills - How did it go from a lush forest land to a grass land? - The layers of pollen samples told a story - The aboriginal polynesians that the Dutch explorers encountered arrived about 1,000 years earlier - They cut down the forest, grew their population and used trees in many ways, including to transport the huge stone monoliths that paid respect to their ancestors - The original people multiplied then separated into separate warring tribes - The environment was devastated as the logging destroyed the forest and all the abundant ecosystem that provided for their sustenance - This created severe erosion and the soil became impoverished - The tribes collapses into warfare and cannibalism
progress trap - Easter Island - Sumeria etc - lesson - don't romanticize our ancestors - Human groups have continuously sabotaged themselves through overexploitation and lack of foresight - Progress traps have been a constant part of our species for a long, long time
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you should in theory be able to make a 00:21:08 civilization live on the interest from natural capital rather than eating into the capital itself
for - quote - metaphor - progress trap - live off the interest, not the principal of nature - Ronald Wright
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example is weaponry
for - progress trap - example - weapons leading to nuclear weapons
progress trap - example - weapons leading to nuclear weapons - These are the most ironic inventions of civilization - We spend significant percentages of our budgets maintaining and escalating them, meanwhile, we all know we cannot use them as it would mean billions would die
quote progress trap - nuclear weapons - When you're talking nuclear weapons that can never be used you're investing in something that's completely useless - that you're maybe burying in the ground in the form of missile silos or - you're putting into submarines or - into aircraft or missiles - You can never use these things and they are draining off the surplus that might otherwise be used into - wealth redistribution and into - long-term sustainability
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the progress trap and the pyramid scheme are not all that different
for - adjacency - progress trap - pyramid scheme
adjacency - between - progress trap - pyramid scheme - adjacency relationship - the pyramid sales scheme works as long as you can - continue to draw in new investors and new buyers - you concentrate the wealth upwards - you're not actually making real wealth - you're simply taking the wealth from the rubes who are coming in, in order to pay off the people who invested earlier to make it seem like it's a sustainable enterprise when it isn't (ponzi scheme) - Unfortunately, civilizations in their relationship to nature seem to follow that pattern - They expand the base and then when the base can't be expanded anymore - then all the environmental problems that have been hidden by constant expansion suddenly come back and hit them in the face - And those environmental problems of course cause social problems - They very often cause revolutions and wars because - suddenly people realize the pie is not getting bigger so therefore they become discontented with the small slice that they're getting, - unless they're people at the top of the pyramid - So it's a pyramid in the sense of a social pyramid too
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civilization a progress trap
for - progress trap - civilization itself is one
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another example would be um the internal combustion engine
for - progress trap - example - internal combustion engine / fossil fuels
progress trap - example - internal combustion engine / fossil fuels - This is one of my favorite examples. - Nobody could foresee that the ICE burning fossil fuels could lead us to destabilize Earth's entire climate system
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a seductive trail of successes that leads to a catastrophic end
for - definition - progress trap - Ronald Wright
definition - progress trap - A seductive trail of successes that leads to a catastrophic end - Ronald Wright - defined in his book "A Short History of Progress"
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when you've killed off all the big game and you're sort of running around hunting rabbits and small birds and you're starting to think this 00:11:49 really isn't good enough and probably in those those hunting societies is usually the women and children who do the gathering and they were probably uh producing 00:12:02 a bigger and bigger percentage of the food supply from their activities
for - progress - transition from stone age hunter gatherers to agriculture - role of women and children
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the really big progress traps uh come with with the invention of 00:07:20 agriculture and i i mentioned the first full-blown civilization in the old world the sumerians who perfected the art of irrigation 00:07:33 in what is now southern iraq
for - progress trap - example - from history - Sumerian civilization
progress trap - example - from history - Sumerian civilization - the really big progress traps uh come with with the invention of agriculture and - i mentioned the first full-blown civilization in the old world the sumerians who perfected the art of irrigation in what is now southern iraq and - for for several centuries everything went really well - They had built canals and ran the water onto the desert and were able to - raise more and more crops and - expand their farmland and - expand their population and - their cities got bigger - their numbers got greater but - what they didn't know is that the kind of irrigation they were practicing - was causing the land to get saltier and saltier - and after a number of centuries they suddenly saw their farm meals declining because of salinity - and they had to switch to crops that could tolerate more salt - and then eventually they ended up producing only about one quarter of the food that they'd been able to produce when they started -and the civilization collapsed - So they had walked into what i call in my book a progress trap - and this is where the myth of progress is so seductive - You do something that in the short run produces obvious benefits so you're getting this positive feedback from some new invention, whether it's - a new way to drive mammoth over a cliff or - it's a new way to expand your farm base through irrigation - but there's a hidden cost down the road which is often hard to foresee
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the idea that this can go on forever is where the myth of progress gets 00:04:00 dangerous because
for - quote - myth of progress - Ronald Wright
quote - myth of progress - Ronald Wright - (see below) - although the idea that this can go on forever is where the myth of progress gets dangerous - because there have been many times and places in the human past, - not even necessarily in our own cultural tradition - among other civilizations where there have been great periods of - expansion and - prosperity - and everybody started to get the idea that life was getting better and better - but usually those those periods of rapid expansion are done and nature pays the bills for that
Comment - history repeats when we forget the lessons of that part. - Historians are so important right now to remind us of past lessons
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until relatively modern times uh until really the beginning of the enlightenment of the industrial revolution people thought of progress in a moral sense 00:02:17 or a spiritual sense
for - definition - progress
definition - progress - before enlightenment, progress was defined in a moral and spiritual sense - after the enlightenment and industrial revolution, it was defined in a material sense
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myths are not necessarily untrue they're usually 00:03:33 partly true the danger lies in the part that isn't true and um so it it's partly true we have
for - quote - myths - Ronald Wright - adjacency - myths - perspectival knowing - emptiness - progress trap
Quote - Myths - Ronald Wright - (see below) - Myths are not necessarily untrue. They're usually partly true. The danger lies in the part that isn't true.
Comment. - What a great little sentence! - From this perspective, so many things that people claim as "true" are actually myths.
adjacency - between - myths - progress traps - perspectival knowing - emptiness - adjacency relationship - Myths emerge out of perspectival knowing of reality (Vervaeke) - The emptiness of reality is in stark contrast to reductionist thinking which is always relatively incomplete in comparison - This leads to the emergence of progress traps
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the idea took hold that and this was defined by the british economist uh sydney pollard in his book called the idea of progress and i'm just 00:02:54 paraphrasing here but essentially he said the uh the i the assumption is that there's a pattern of change in history and that 00:03:07 these consist of changes in one direction only and that that direction is towards improvement
for - definition - progress - material - economist Sydney Pollard - improvement
Tags
- progress trap - inequality - resentment - rapid emergence of the far-right and populus
- progress trap - planetary tipping points - rapid climate destabilization
- definition - progress - material - economist Sydney Pollard - improvement
- progress trap - cultures that avoided progress trap of population explosion - Tahiti - via infanticide
- progress trap - example - from history - Sumerian civilization
- progress traps - danger with romanticizing the past
- statistics - progress trap - comparative levels of poverty
- progress trap - agriculture that could work - historical terraced cultivation in Peru and China
- Stop Reset Go - progress traps
- progress trap - habits of thinking - limits - liberty
- progress trap - civilization itself is one
- progress trap - the agricultural-large family positive feedback loop
- key insight - progress trap - A Short History of Progress - we are clever but NOT wise!
- progress - transition from stone age hunter gatherers to agriculture - role of women and children
- history repeats - when we forget her past lessons
- quote - myths - Ronald Wright
- progress trap - Agriculture appears to be a progress trap - Ronald Wright
- progress trap - dark futures scenario - like Easter Island but on a global scale
- Deep Humanity - progress traps
- definition - progress - before and after enlightenment
- progress traps - exceptional civilizations - Egypt and China
- adjacency - pyramid scheme - progress trap
- progress trap - archeology - Easter Island
- progress trap - example - internal combustion engine / fossil fuels
- definition - progress trap - Ronald Wright
- quote - myth of progress - Ronald Wright
- progress trap - example - weapons leading to nuclear weapons
- adjacency - myths - perspectival knowing - progress trap - emptiness
- quote - progress trap - example - nuclear weapons
- new meme - we have an abundance of intelligence and a dearth of wisdom
- quote - metaphor - progress trap - live off the interest, not the principal of nature - Ronald Wright
- progress trap - Gedanken
- progress trap - dangerous mythology - Ronald Wright
- progress traps - interview - Ronald Wright
- new meme - a little knowledge is dangerous but a lot of knowledge is even more dangerous
- - progress trap - modernity can't run away anywhere from its ruins
Annotators
URL
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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Is it better for the people that are using it? No.
for - progress trap - example - cell phone usage
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If we are having narrowly defined goals, as we discussed last time, that can be achieved while externalizing harm in other places, and we do a lot of that, and we look at all of the goal achieving and not all the externalities, we can call that progress.
for - progress trap - achieving narrowly defined goals with externalities
progress trap - achieving narrowly defined goals with externalities - Within the field of progress traps, - progress is the focus on intended consequences and - progress traps are the unintended consequences reference - Ronald Wright - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=Ronald+Wright
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for - podcast - great simplification - Nate Hagen - guest - Daniel Schmachtenberger - topic progress
Tags
- progress trap - interview - Daniel Schamtenberger
- podcast - great simplification - Nate Hagen - guest - Daniel Schmachtenberger - topic progress
- progress trap - achieving narrowly defined goals with externalities
- reference - Ronald Wright
- progress trap - example - cell phone usage
Annotators
URL
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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stat in use more than 10 years increases your risk of developing insulin resistance and type 2 diabetes which are two primary drivers of heart 00:26:07 disease
for - progress trap - statins
progress trap - statins - heart health - Long term studies show that the mainstream prescription of statins to lower LDL levels over 10 year period increases risk for: - insulin resistance and - type 2 diabetes - both of which are primary drivers of heart disease - hence, Statins are a progress trap
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- Jun 2024
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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for - progress trap - AI - threat of superintendence - interview - Leopold Aschenbrenner - former Open AI employee - from -. YouTube - review of Leopold Aschenbrenner's essay on Situational Awareness - https://hyp.is/ofu1EDC3Ee-YHqOyRrKvKg/docdrop.org/video/om5KAKSSpNg/
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a dictator who wields the power of superintelligence would command concentrated power unlike 00:50:45 anything we've ever seen
for - key insight - AI - progress trap - nightmare scenario - dictator controlling superintelligence
meet insight - AI - progress trap - nightmare scenario - locked in dictatorship controlling superintelligence - millions of AI controlled robotic law and enforcement agents could police their populace - Mass surveillance would be hypercharged - Dictator loyal AI agents could individually assess every single citizen for descent with near perfect lie detection sensor - rooting out any disloyalty e - Essentially - the robotic military and police force could be wholly controlled by a single political leader and - programmed to be perfectly obedient and there's going to be no risks of coups or rebellions and - his strategy is going to be perfect because he has super intelligence behind them - what does a look like when we have super intelligence in control by a dictator ? - there's simply no version of that where you escape literally - past dictatorships were not permanent but - superintelligence could eliminate any historical threat to a dictator's Rule and - lock in their power - If you believe in freedom and democracy this is an issue because - someone in power, - even if they're good - they could still stay in power - but you still need the freedom and democracy to be able to choose - This is why the Free World must Prevail so - there is so much at stake here that - This is why everyone is not taking this into account
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this is why it's such a trap which is why like we're on this train barreling down this pathway which is super risky
for - progress trap - double bind - AI - ubiquity
progress trap - double bind - AI - ubiquity - Rationale: we will have to equip many systems with AI - including military systems - Already connected to the internet - AI will be embedded in every critical piece of infrastructure in the future - What happens if something goes wrong? - Now there is an alignment failure everywhere - We will potentially have superintelligence within 3 years - Alignment failures will become catastrophic with them
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getting a base model to you know make money by default it may well learn to lie to commit fraud to deceive to hack to seek power because 00:47:50 in the real world people actually use this to make money
for - progress trap - AI - example - give prompt for AI to earn money
progress trap - AI - example - instruct AI to earn money - Getting a base model to make money. By default it may well learn - to lie - to commit fraud - to deceive - to hack - to seek power - because in the real world - people actually use this to make money - even maybe they'll learn to - behave nicely when humans are looking and then - pursue more nefarious strategies when we aren't watching
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whoever controls superintelligence will possibly have enough power to seize control from 00:35:14 pre superintelligence forces
for - progress trap - AI - one nightmare scenario
progress trap - AI - one nightmare scenario - Whoever is the first to control superintelligence will possibly have enough power to - seize control from pre superintelligence forces - even without the robots small civilization of superintelligence would be able to - hack any undefended military election television system and cunningly persuade generals electoral and economically out compete nation states - design new synthetic bioweapons and then - pay a human in Bitcoin to synthetically synthesize it
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military power and Technology progress have been tightly linked historically and with extraordinarily rapid technological 00:34:11 progress will come military revolutions
for - progress trap - AI and even more powerful weapons of destruction
progress trap - AI and even more powerful weapons of destruction - The podcaster's excitement seems to overshadow any concern of the tragic unintended consequences of weapons even more powerful than nuclear warheads. - With human base emotions still stuck in the past and our species continued reliance on violence to solve problems, more powerful weapons is not the solution, - indeed, they only make the problem worse - Here is where Ronald Wright's quote is so apt: - We humans are running modern software on 50,000 year old hardware systems - Our cultural evolution, of which AI is a part of, is happening so quickly, that - it is racing ahead of our biological evolution - We aren't able to adapt fast enough for the rapid cultural changes that AI is going to create, and it may very well destroy us
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this is where we can see the doubling time of the global economy in years from 1903 it's been 15 years but after super intelligence what happens is it going to be every 3 years is it going be every five is it going to 00:33:22 be every year is it going to be every 6 months I mean how crazy is the growth going to be
for - progress trap - AI triggering massive economic growth - planetary boundaries
progress trap - AI triggering massive economic growth - planetary boundaries - The podcaster does not consider the ramifications of the potential disastrous impact of such economic growth if not managed properly
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AGI level factories are going to shift from going to human run to AI directed using human physical labor soon to be fully being run by swarms of human level robots
for - progress trap - AI and human enslavement?
progress trap - human enslavement? - Isn't what the speaker is talking about here is that - AI will be the masters and - humans will become slaves?
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super intelligence is going to be like this across many domains it's going to be 00:31:42 able to find exploits in human code too subtle for humans to notice and it's going to be able to generate code too complicated for any human to understand even if the model spent decades trying to explain it
for - progress trap - superintelligence threat
progress trap - superintelligence threat - super intelligence is going to be far beyond our cognitive capabilities across many domains. For example, - it's going to be able to find exploits in human code too subtle for humans to notice - it's going to be able to generate code too complicated for any human to understand - even if the model spent decades trying to explain it - How do we entrust ourselves to a superintelligence that is so far beyond us? If it thinks we are expendable, it could easily find our weaknesses and bring about extinction
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nobody's really pricing this in
for - progress trap - debate - nobody is discussing the dangers of such a project!
progress trap - debate - nobody is discussing the dangers of such a project! - Civlization's journey has to create more and more powerful tools for human beings to use - but this tool is different because it can act autonomously - It can solve problems that will dwarf our individual or even group ability to solve - Philosophically, the problem / solution paradigm becomes a central question because, - As presented in Deep Humanity praxis, - humans have never stopped producing progress traps as shadow sides of technology because - the reductionist problem solving approach always reaches conclusions based on finite amount of knowledge of the relationships of any one particular area of focus - in contrast to the infinite, fractal relationships found at every scale of nature - Supercomputing can never bridge the gap between finite and infinite - A superintelligent artifact with that autonomy of pattern recognition may recognize a pattern in which humans are not efficient and in fact, greater efficiency gains can be had by eliminating us
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having an automated AI research engineer by 2027 00:05:14 to 2028 is not something that is far far off
for - progress trap - AI - milestone - automated AI researcher
progress trap - AI - milestone - automated AI researcher - This is a serious concern that must be debated - An AI researcher that does research on itself has no moral compass and can encode undecipherable code into future generations of AI that provides no back door to AI if something goes wrong. - For instance, if AI reached the conclusion that humans need to be eliminated in order to save the biosphere, - it can disseminate its strategies covertly under secret communications with unbreakable code
Tags
- progress trap - debate - nobody is discussing the dangers of exponential AI research by AGI agents
- progress trap - AI - milestone - automated AI researcher - concerns
- AI - progress trap - nightmare scenario - dictator controlling superintelligence
- progress trap - superintelligence threat
- progress trap - AI - example - give prompt for AI to earn money
- progress trap - AI triggering massive economic growth - planetary boundaries
- progress trap - AI and even more powerful weapons of destruction
- progress trap - double bind - AI - ubiquity
- progress trap - AI and human enslavement?
- progress trap - AI - one nightmare scenario
Annotators
URL
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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to your point for 00:13:46 every problem there's going to be a solution and AI is going to have it and then for every solution for that there's going to be a new problem
for - AI - progress trap - nice simple explanation of how progress traps propagate
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this is more of a unfair competition 00:10:36 issue I think as a clearer line than the copyright stuff
for - progress trap - Generative AI - copyright infringement vs Unfair business practice argument
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now there's going to be even more AI music pouring 00:09:04 into platforms which saturated Market in an already oversaturated Market
for - progress trap - AI music - oversaturated market
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deluding the general royalty pool
for - progress trap - AI music - dilution of general royalty pool - due to large volume
Tags
- progress trap - AI music - oversaturated market
- progress trap - AI music - dilution of general royalty pool - due to large volume
- progress trap - Generative AI - copyright infringement vs Unfair business practice argument
- AI - progress trap - nice simple explanation of how progress traps propagate
Annotators
URL
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www.yalelawjournal.org www.yalelawjournal.org
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These arguments are meant to present a cautionary tale of unintended consequences.
For - progress trap - AI - Generative AI - IP - Yale Law Journal
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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for - progress trap - AI music - critique - Folia Sound Studio - to - P2P Foundation - Michel Bauwens - Commons Transition Plan - Netarchical Capitalism - Predatory Capitalism
to - P2P Foundation - Michel Bauwens - Commons Transition Plan - Netarchical Capitalism - Predatory Capitalism https://hyp.is/o-Hp-DCAEe-8IYef613YKg/wiki.p2pfoundation.net/Commons_Transition_Plan
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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Tobacco, alcohol, processed foods and fossil fuels ‘kill 2.7m a year in Europe’
for - wicked problems - progress trap - bad news - desensitization
wicked problems - progress trap - bad news - desensitization - many people become desensitized to bad news
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let's face it if you create a traumatized child you then have 00:44:39 to have the capacity for dealing with the traumatized child so it's not just out of benevolence to him but also that it's a lot easier to be in relationship 00:44:51 with someone for the rest of your life that a that you haven't damaged
for - progress trap - parenting - traumatizing our children - Nora Bateson - quote - Nora Bateson - progress trap - traumatizing our children
quote - Nora Bateson - progress trap - traumatizing our children (see below) - Let's face it, - If you create a traumatized child - you then have to have the capacity - for dealing with the traumatized child - So it's not just out of benevolence to him but also that - it's a lot easier to be in relationship with someone for the rest of your life that - you haven't damaged
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I think one of the things that you're describing is what it looks 00:44:00 like to try to do something without breaking something else
for - progress traps - Nora Bateson - response to interviewer's comment on everyday example of complexity - parent encouraging children to go to school - example of mitigating progress traps - complexity is hard!
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this is where we get into trouble is trying to solve problems in isolated ways
for - quote - Nora Bateson - progress trap
quote - Nora Bateson - progress trap - (see below)
- This is where we get into trouble
- trying to solve problems in isolated ways
- This is where we get into trouble
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the solution to the consequence is likely to perpetuate the actual problem
for - quote - progress trap - Nora Bateson - book - Combining
quote - progress trap - Nora Bateson - book - Combining - (see below)
- In the singularity of its mission to hastily fix one malady at a time
- the cure may be more harmful than the wound
- Most identified problems as they have emerged
- are really the consequence or symptoms of other conditions
- The solution to the consequence is likely to perpetuate the actual problem
- In the singularity of its mission to hastily fix one malady at a time
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what's the point what am i g to get out of this it's the same question actually
for - question - How to respond when asked what's the point or what's in it for me? - adjacency - what's the point? - what's in it for me? - human attention - progress traps
question - How to respond when asked what's the point or what's in it for me? - When these questions pop up, - it can be a good opportunity to engage the other in deeper dialogue to reveal deeper complexity
adjacency - between - questions - what's in it for me? - what's the point? - human attention - progress trap - complexity - emptiness - adjacency relationship - These questions come up a lot - and they indicate a normative human tendency: - When we focus attention on what we consider salient in our dynamic, constructed salience landscape - at the same time it defocuses our attention from the rest of the field the salient feature occurs within - In this sense, overemphasize on these questions could reveal a dependency on oversimplification - of the complexity inherent all every life situation - Remember that emptiness, with its pillars of - intertwingledness and - change - pervades everything, everywhere and everytime - and such continuous oversimplification is tantamount to - ignoring the empty nature of reality and - leads to progress traps
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you can take a lot more than you are and have a lot more information
for - adjacency - open source - Stop Reset Go complexity mapping - objective - Nora Bateson comment on more information - diversity - Indyweb/Indranet - progress trap mitigation
adjacency - between - Nora Bateson comment - Stop Reset Go complexity mapping<br /> - open source - progress trap mitigation - Indyweb/Indranet
- adjacency relationship
- When Nora talks about the
- oversimplified,
- reductionist
- problem-solving approach that most of modernity employs to tackle wicked problems,
- it boils down to oversimplification.
- There are usually far more causes and conditions to a problem than are known to construct the solution
- In Deep Humanity praxis, this is how we get into progress traps, the shadow side of progress
- The Stop Reset Go complexity mapping system is designed to reveal greater information by
- creating a space for diverse perspectives to systematically engage in addressing the same wicked problem
- This system must be open source in order to create the space for maximum diversity
- The Stop Reset Go process is specifically designed as a workspace for diversity for the purpose of
- mitigating progress traps and
- helping find more effective ways to address wicked problems
- This is done by using Trailmark Markin notation within the Indyweb/Indranet people-centered, interpersonal software ecosystem
- When Nora talks about the
- adjacency relationship
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that causality is not singular and so if you address a problem 00:11:06 that's created by a multiple causal process with a singular response you don't actually do anything but make it worse
for - quote, key insight - progress trap - Nora Bateson
quote - progress trap - Nora Bateson - Nora hits the head of the nail with this observation - There are always multiple causes to one result - and by addressing only one cause, we cannot solve the problem, but in fact - allow it to continue and often make it worse - This is essentially another way of stating the teachings of millenia of Eastern philosophy, - that the universe is - infinitely interconnected - and its inherent nature of continuous transformation - Therefore, any state, which might be recognized as a problem state - is the result of many different causes and conditions coalescing
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that first order 00:10:10 response does not take into account the next and the next and the next order of consequences
for - progress trap - Nora Bateson
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there are many um and that that pulls us into 00:00:26 reaction mode that has been long steeped in industrial responsiveness which is to the first order
for - quote - progress trap - Nora Bateson
quote - progress trap - Nora Bateson - (see below) - it's really easy to get distracted by the alarms that are ringing - and like you said, there are many that pulls us into reaction mode - that has been long steeped in industrial responsiveness - which is to the first order - that is, if something is happening we want to stop that thing from happening - whatever it is, whether it's - a refugee crisis or - a nuclear war threat or a this or a that - and that first order response does not take into account - the next and the next and the next order of consequences - so it's a kind of thinking that is very much appropriate for - engineering, - for building machines - but it's not appropriate for complex living systems
adjacency - between - Nora Bateson comment on first order industrial responsiveness - progress trap - Stop Reset Go complexity mapping - Deep Humanity - progress trap - emptiness/shunyata - adjacency relationship - What Nora is saying is articulated within the Deep Humanity praxis using the language of progress traps - Dan O'Leary - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=dan+o%27leary - Ronald Wright - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=ronald+wright - which are the unintended consequences of progress - Deep Humanity praxis relates progress traps to the intertwingled Eastern philosophical ideas of - emptiness (shunyata) - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=emptiness - dependent arising and - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=dependent+arising - interdependent origination - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=interdependent+origination - In the context of the Stop Reset Go complexity mapping process, - to be integrated into the Indyweb / Indranet web 3 software ecosystem, - is designed to map multiple perspectives of how to solve a problem - so that we can see the many different solutions and avoid simply adopting a first order response solution - in so doing, it integrates complexity into our problem solving process and helps to mitigate - future progress traps in our solutions - The Indyweb / Indranet is a technology ecosystem designed to reflect the two pillars of emptiness: - (evolutionary) change and - interdependent origination / intertwingularity, - reflecting a universe that is fractally connected in all - dimensions and - scales - Stop Reset Go will be integrated into the Indyweb/Indranet as a specific Markin notation.
Tags
- adjacency - Nora Bateson comment on first order industrial responsiveness - progress trap - Stop Reset Go complexity mapping - Deep Humanity - progress trap - emptiness/shunyata
- Nora Bateson - response to interviewer's comment on everyday example of complexity - parent encouraging children to go to school - example of mitigating progress traps - complexity is hard!
- quote - progress trap - Nora Bateson - book - Combining
- quote - Nora Bateson - progress trap - traumatizing our children
- quote - Nora Bateson - progress traps
- adjacency - open source - Stop Reset Go complexity mapping - objective - Nora Bateson comment on more information - diversity - Indyweb/Indranet - progress trap mitigation
- progress trap - parenting - traumatizing our children - Nora Bateson
- adjacency - questions - what's in it for me? - what's the point? - human attention - progress trap - complexity - emptiness
- quote - progress trap - Nora Bateson
- question - How to respond when asked what's the point or what's in it for me?
- progress trap - Nora Bateson
- quote, key insight - progress trap - Nora Bateson
Annotators
URL
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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you have now written a paper which I've read on this concept. You're now referring to it as immature versus authentic progress
for - definition - immature progress - definition - authentic progress
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We talk about what is progress, the history of progress, who gets to write the progress 00:01:18 narrative and whether progress itself actually means betterment for society,
for - progress - progress trap
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academic.oup.com academic.oup.com
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for - progress trap - food - artificial sweetener - xylitol - erythritol
progress trap - food - artificial sweetener - xylitol - erythritol Abstract - Low-calorie sweeteners are widely used sugar substitutes in processed foods with presumed health benefits. - Many low-calorie sweeteners are - sugar alcohols that also - are produced endogenously, - albeit at levels - over 1000-fold lower than observed following - consumption as a sugar substitute.
conclusion - Xylitol is associated with incident MACE risk. - Moreover, xylitol both - enhanced platelet reactivity and - thrombosis potential in vivo. - Further studies examining the cardiovascular safety of xylitol are warranted.
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Many low-calorie sweeteners are sugar alcohols that also are produced endogenously, albeit at levels over 1000-fold lower than observed following consumption as a sugar substitute.
for - progress trap - food - artificial sweetener - xylitol - erythritol
progress trap - food - artificial sweetener - xylitol - erythritol - Low-calorie sweeteners are widely used sugar substitutes in processed foods with presumed health benefits. - Many low-calorie sweeteners are - sugar alcohols that also - are produced endogenously, - albeit at levels - over 1000-fold lower than observed following - consumption as a sugar substitute.
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www.cnn.com www.cnn.com
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progress trap - sugar substitutes - xylitol - erythlitol
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- May 2024
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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the United States was suppressing Democratic movements around the world because if an authoritarian if a communist can win an 00:13:59 election fairly one time that's the end of free and fair elections
for - key insight - why US geopolitics installed dictatorships - progress trap- US foreign policy that shaped modernity
key insight - why US geopolitics installed dictatorships - This was the US's rationale to justify the geopolitical mess it created this century: - If you allow democracy in the age of Communism - people might vote for communism, then - kill all the rich people, then - take their stuff, then - redistribute it - You can get a majority support for that in an impoverished country and that was perceived as a threat - So the United States was suppressing Democratic movements around the world - because if an authoritarian if a communist can win an election fairly one time, - that's the end of free and fair elections - So for decades, the US foreign policy agenda was to install dictators to suppress the threat that democracy could produce communism. - But after "communism was defeated" - all these installed dictators around the world that are the direct result of the pathological US foreign policy posed a new, unexpected quagmire - The decades of US foreign policy had created an enormous progress trap that we are all living through now - The US now had to normalize relations with the new world of dictators it had helped created out of its own fears<br /> - A new US foreign policy rule emerged to deal with this fiasco - Stay in your own country - If you want to kill, imprison, brutalize or subjegate your own people, it is fine with the US government as long as it is done within your own state borders - As long as a nation state abuses their own people, the US will continue to: - buy your oil - trade with you - show up at the UN - even have an occasional State event for you - However, Russia broke that rule
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www.lowimpact.org www.lowimpact.org
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The Law of Unintended Consequences is the only certainty of complex systems, and the biosphere of the planet is the most complex system we know of
for - progress traps - transcending capitalism
progress trap - transcending capitalism - As Stop Reset Go and Deep Humanity has consistently advocated: - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=progress+trap - there is an urgent need to establish a science of progress traps in order to develop a way to integrate systematically into all human activities. - It is a new field of research for risk analysis and praxis that is based on explicitly recognizing the difference between nature and human nature, between the fundamental nature of reality (emptiness / shunyata - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=emptiness and the symbolosphere we inhabit as humans which is inherently limited by our current reductionist way of knowing reality - Applying systems thinking and complexity is dependent on the explicit recognition of the gap between the inherent limitations of the evolutionary process of human learning which results from - human bias and which always produces - finite number of relationships which we use to make decisions upon and enact in the world
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theconversation.com theconversation.com
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illegal labs have used historical pharmacology research to formulate analogs of nitazenes as street drugs.
progress trap - illegal drug manufacture - nitazene - fentanyl - pharmacological research becomes a source for new illicit drug production
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you may never change it back just as we 00:34:52 may not change back genetic manipulation we might do in in the germline which is a reason we should be very cautious about doing it
for - progress trap - genetic engineering - Denis Noble
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we've created a very complex psychosocial World in which we live and we have to adapt to and it changes so rapidly it creates all sorts of problems for us
for - quote - progress trap - speed of cultural evolution - Ray Noble
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if you could correct this Gene would we have the future reassured and we can then avoid all of these diseases I very much doubt it and I think it's very dangerous 00:23:49 because
for - adjacency - progress trap - Crispr - gene therapy - Denis Noble - human genome project
adjacency - between - human genome project - gene therapy - Crispr - progress trap - adjacency relationship - The idea that we can find specific causal relationships between genes and disease and use gene therapy to cure disease, - an envisioned goal of the human genome project - can be very dangerous because - usually one gene collaborates with many other genes to bring about an effect - If we don't know all the relationships, we can bring about a progress trap
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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rising TFA concentrations in our blood since the Montreal protocol [banned CFCs].
for - progress trap - TFA - from Montreal protocol
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www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
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Die Biden-Administration reduziert die öffentlichen Landflächen, die für Öl- und Gaslizenzen zur Verfügung stehen, auf drei Stellen im Golf von Mexiko. Die Maßnahme stößt auf Widerstand der Fossilindustrie, bleibt aber hinter dem notwenigen und von Biden im Wahlkapf angekündigten Verzicht auf fosssile Entwicklungsprojekte zurück. https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/29/climate/biden-offshore-drilling-plan.html
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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that’s what my Sunday Thought of last Sunday wanted to explain:
for - post comment - LinkedIn - progress trap - Ralph Thrum article
to - Ralph Thurn LinkedIn article - https://hyp.is/b-LpIA7-Ee-1nyMavdKbbw/www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7192642433833201664/
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Jessie, we are entrapped in a super wicked problem for which there is ultimately no single "solution"
for - post comment - LinkedIn - progress trap
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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for - progress trap
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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this dualism probably isn’t right given today’s complexities
for - progress trap - post comment - LinkedIn - Ralph Thurn article - progress trap - adjacency - progress trap - maladaptive - attention - focus of attention - cultural evolution - duality - dualism - dualistic
adjacency - between - progress - progress trap - maladaptive - cultural evolution - attention - focus of attention - Exploring this statement further, it isn't just that it is our dualistic thinking applied here is a problem - but that it is the very nature of human analytic reasoning coupled with our innate ability to focus our attention which requires a deep unpacking - For to focus on an object of attention - is something we can only accomplish by defocusing on everything else - Indeed, it is the very act of attention on the one, that is inextricably accompanied by the act of inattention of the many - Our body, and that of many other organisms is evolutionarily designed - to focus our attention in our field of view on emergent phenomena that is salient to our survival - The nature of reductionist-type research - which is to say, most research - is that we continue applying this evolved adaptive behavior, even though cultural evolution (ie. progress) has accelerated exponentially to such an extent - that this same biologically evolved behavior has become maladaptive in the context of modernity
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Solutions to avoid Collapse‘ - that’s why it’s failing!
for - post comment - LinkedIn - progress trap - Ralph Thurn article
from - post comment - LinkedIn - Ralph Thurn comment - https://hyp.is/BeAvgg37Ee-btqfJNb2SpA/www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7193987030228340737/?commentUrn=urn:li:comment:(activity:7193987030228340737,7194001397091057666)&dashCommentUrn=urn:li:fsd_comment:(7194001397091057666,urn:li:activity:7193987030228340737)&dashReplyUrn=urn:li:fsd_comment:(7194231407479537664,urn:li:activity:7193987030228340737)&replyUrn=urn:li:comment:(activity:7193987030228340737,7194231407479537664)
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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Jessie, we are entrapped in a super wicked problem for which there is ultimately no single "solution"
for - post comment - LinkedIn - progress trap
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- Apr 2024
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humanity's seemingly unstoppable instinct toward creation. The psychoanalyst Gaston Bachelard coined a term that encapsulates this drive: the "Prometheus complex."
for - progress trap - Prometheus complex - adjacency - progress trap - Prometheus complex - Gaston Bachelard - Gaston Bachelard - French philosopher
adjacency - between - progress trap - Prometheus complex - Gaston Bachelard - adjacency statement - Prometheus complex and progress traps have much in common: - both look at the shadow side of innovation - The mythology of Icarus geting too close the sun is one common to both - Bachelard wrote a pith work on the analysis of the element of fire, in which he introduced the concept of the Prometheus complex - https://philpapers.org/rec/OSEPCA
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Our hands and our brains will, perhaps unconsciously, drift toward the very thing we’re debating if we should do.
for - quote - Prometheus complex - progress trap
quote - Prometheus complex - progress trap - (see below)
- Our hands and our brains will,
- perhaps unconsciously
- drift towad the very thing we're debating if we should do
- author - Jenny Thomson
- Our hands and our brains will,
-
as the rational, intellectual part of ourselves wrestles with the decision, a deeper, Promethean part of ourselves has pressed it already.
for - quote - Prometheus complex - progress trap
quote - Prometheus complex - progress trap - (see below)
- As the rational, intellectual part of ourselves wrestles with the decision,
- a deeper Promethean part of ourselves has pressed it (the red button) already
- author - Jenny Thomson
- As the rational, intellectual part of ourselves wrestles with the decision,
-
for - progress trap - Prometheus complex - Dan Carlin - Gaston Bachelard - philosopher
summary - This short article brings up an interesting connection between - the Prometheus complex, - a term coined by the French philosopher Gaston Bachelard and - progress traps, - the unintended consequences of progress - The key insight is that human beings may have an Achilles Heel - the desire to know, even at the cost of harm - could be such a powerful impulsive urge - that we throw caution to the wind and - Icarus mythology may be a self-fulfilling prophecy - This also echos the views of my colleague Gyuri Lajos, - that invention for invention sake possesses this very dark side. - This is an important adjacency - as it questions the ethics of knowledge for knowledge sake - As we know from - the history of - progress and its shadowy counterpart, - the progress trap - our impulsive urge to invent has harmful impacts on everyone, - and these continually compound with time
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All roads lead to progress.
for - key insight - all roads lead to progress - progress trap - Prometheus complex - impuslive urge to invent
Comment - This is fleshed out in the final three paragraphs of this article - I disagree with the closing sentence, however
- “It’s not possible [to avoid invention],
- because all knowledge is interconnected like a web,” Carlin told Big Think.
- “If you walled off a certain part of it because you saw the potential downside,
- you would get to the same outcome sort of in a roundabout way, right?
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The connections might not be direct, like saying, ‘Oh, I see nuclear weapons in the distance; let’s go there,’
- but we would go through the back door, and eventually we would discover everything around that thing.”
-
To bring Carlin’s analogy home,
- we can think about the idea of artificial general intelligence, or AGI.
- AGI is the point at which AI can perform a wide variety of tasks so competently
- that it matches or exceeds human intelligence and performance.
- Some people might see AGI as dangerous.
- Others may see AGI as the savior of humanity.
- But while we have debates and conversations,
- we’re still marching toward AGI.
- Scientists and programmers behind their computers are
- solving “everything around that thing.”
- Our hands and our brains will,
- perhaps unconsciously,
-
drift toward the very thing we’re debating if we should do.
-
The Prometheus complex can be seen over and over again
- in the history of science.
- It is not simply that Edenic urge to eat the fruit or push the red button.
- It’s the fact that
- as the rational, intellectual part of ourselves wrestles with the decision,
- a deeper, Promethean part of ourselves has pressed it already.
- Thankfully, it usually turns out okay.
comment - I disagree with the last line - If the meta-poly-perma-crisis is what is meant by "OK", then it is a very distorted use of that word. - Rather, this Promethian way of thinking and act - compounded over the lifetime of human civilization - is EXACTLY what has brought us to the brink of civilizational disaster - and it may not turn out to be "ok"!
- “It’s not possible [to avoid invention],
-
Carlin’s point leans on one made by the British science historian James Burke in his TV series Connections.
for - adjacency - Dan Carlin - James Burke - Connections
adjacency - between - Dan Carlin - James Burke - Connections - progress - adjacency statement - What an interesting adjacency! - James Burke's Connection has been a major influence on my own thinking on progress and progress traps - Seeing it influence Dan Carlin as well
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At the core, it seems the deeper drive is to invent anything that we’re capable of inventing.
for - impulsive urge - invention - adjacency - progress trap - impulsive urge to invent - Prometheus complex - Gyuri Lajos perspective
Adjacency - between - progress trap - impulsive urge - Gyuri Lajos perspective - Prometheus complex - adjacency statement - It would seem that the the Prometheus complex - is an apt description of that which Gyuri objects to in innovation, namely - innovation for innovation sake - in other words, the impulsive urge merely to know - even if it brings a terrible price
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[I wonder] whether or not human society actually has the agency that we think we have to not invent something if we think it might be bad.
for - quote - Dan Carlin - quote - progress trap - Prometheus complex - Dan Carlin
quote - progress trap - Prometheus complex - (see below)
- [I wonder] whether or not human society actually has the agency that we think we have
- to not invent something if we think it might be bad.
- If you look down the technological road in the distance and see something horrible, could humankind go,
- ‘Oh, you know what? We’re just not going to go there.’
- I’m not sure we have that agency.
comment - Deep Humanity praxis proposes that a new discipline of Progress traps is what is needed to do exactly this - Give us a meta perspective so that we can assess future harm and damage as - AN ACTIONABLE FORESIGHT, not a - TREATABLE HINDSIGHT
- [I wonder] whether or not human society actually has the agency that we think we have
Tags
- Icarus mythology - progress trap
- key insight - all roads lead to progress
- Prometheus complex - philosopher - Gaston Bachelard
- adjacency - progress trap - impulsive urge to invent - Prometheus complex - Gyuri Lajos perspective
- Dan Carlin - podcast - Hardcore History
- dark side of invention
- adjacency - Dan Carlin - James Burke - Connections - progress
- quote - Prometheus complex - progress trap
- quote - progress trap - Prometheus complex
- Prometheus complex
- progress trap - Prometheus complex
- adjacency - Prometheus complex - progress trap
- quote - Dan Carlin
Annotators
URL
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blog.homeforfiction.com blog.homeforfiction.com
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from - Prometheus and modernity -https://hyp.is/HUI6WAUsEe-r97ezRaj6bg/bigthink.com/thinking/dan-carlin-on-humanitys-uncontrollable-prometheus-complex/
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here are badges for progress, statistics that keep users motivated, and also a clear menu that helps to navigate the application easily.
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You can use this insight as a base for online educational platforms for children. For example, include design elements that show progress and achievements.
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picturinghistory.gc.cuny.edu picturinghistory.gc.cuny.edu
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John Gast, American Progress, 1872<br /> https://picturinghistory.gc.cuny.edu/john-gast-american-progress-1872/
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- Mar 2024
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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Planting trees, often championed as a solution to combat climate change, may have unintended consequences
for - progress traps - tree planting - climate change
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progress on the march
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www.sciencedaily.com www.sciencedaily.com
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progress trap - PFAS in blood
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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for - progress trap - microplastics - rain - progress trap - plastic
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Progress Trap - Ronald Wright - 2004 Massey Lecture Series - A Short History of Progress
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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AI will still need us for a while... That is until the Singularity will rise - when we will be able to upload our brains into computers.
progress trap - singularity
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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Passion of the Nerd aka @popotoproductions3015 in The Toolbox Fallacy
This wasn't quite the toolbox fallacy definition I expected, but was a larger philosophical framing of a smaller version specific to getting things done (GTD).
Many people move from tool to tool hoping the next one will somehow "fix" things. In reality, it's having a tool and USING IT which creates progress.
Remember that it's rare that supposed innovation will be the fix, but picking a road and traveling down it will at least get you somewhere.
Tags
Annotators
URL
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- Feb 2024
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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don't give them a problem to solve ask them to identify what the problem is and what the context is and what support 00:08:12 is needed
for - progress trap
- Don't give them a problem to solve
- Ask them
- to identify what the problem is and
- what the context is and
- what support is needed
comment - From a Deep Humanity perspective on - emptiness - progress and it's shadow accomplice - the progress trap - There needs to be an awareness of the siloing effect of even posing a problem - for that is the genesis of the progress trap
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www.trendmd.com www.trendmd.com
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for - progress trap - graphene - safety study
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for - progress trap - AI
Tags
Annotators
URL
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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for - dorsal light response - flying insects attracted to light - light pollution - progress trap - light pollution
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engineering.cmu.edu engineering.cmu.edu
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for - AI progress trap - bad actor - synthesize bioweapon - AI progress trap - Coscientist and cloud lab - bad actors
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www.dailymail.co.uk www.dailymail.co.uk
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Roman aristocrats used lead cooking vessels, lead water pipes and even added lead acetate into their wine to sweeten it — unwittingly poisoning themselves
for - progress trap - Rome - lead poisoning
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Researchers believe it is down for tiny particles released by traffic fumes, which may be able to bass into the brain
for + progress trap - traffic fumes - Alzheimer's
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Local file Local file
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Setapart from the familiar social contexts of family, work, and school,the closed camp was designed to break down identifications withsocial milieus and to promote Entbürgerlichung (purging bourgeoiselements) and Verkameradshaftung (comradeship) as part of theprocess of Volkwerdung, “the making of the people,” as the pecu-liar idiom of National Socialism put it.
entbürgerlichung - purging bourgeois elements
verkameradshaftung - comradeship
volkwerdung - the making of the people
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on 30 January 1939, Hitler prophesied “the annihilation ofthe Jewish race in Europe” in the event that “international financeJewry” succeeded in “plunging the nations once more into a worldwar.”
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German legal com-mentators reassured the German public by citing U.S. programs asprecedents and quoting Oliver Wendell Holmes’s 1927 opinion,“three generations of imbeciles are enough”
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“In the language used by both the Nazis and the sci-entists, this policy was called ‘Aufartung durch Ausmerzung,’”improvement through exclusion.
Aufartung durch Ausmerzung - improvement through exclusion.
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With the massive expansion of the Hitler Youthto include girls as well as boys, more than 765,000 young peoplehad the opportunity to serve in leadership roles. Many advancedin the ranks and received formal training and ideological instruc-tion in national academies such as the Reich Leadership School inPotsdam.
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The consciousness of generation, and the assumption thatold needed to be replaced with new, undoubtedly opened youngminds to the tenets of racial hygiene, which were repeatedly parsedin workshops and lectures.
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Nazi pedagogues extolled das Lager, “the camp,”as the privileged place where the “new generation was finding itsform.”
das lager - the training community camps for german children
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What was necessary, he insisted, was to“recognize yourself” (“Erkenne dich selbst”), which meant identi-fying with the idealized portraits of new Germans and following thetenets of hereditary biology to find a suitable partner for marriage,to marry only for love, and to provide the Volk with healthy chil-dren.
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In November in Weimar, he promised that “if to-day there are still people in Germany who say: ‘We are not goingjoin your community, but stay just as we always have been,’ then Isay: ‘You will die off, but after you there will a young generationthat doesn’t know anything else!’”
brah
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he Germanpopulation was being resorted according to supposed genetic val-ues, a project that required all Germans to reexamine their rela-tives, friends, and neighbors.
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In place of the quarrels of party, the contests of inter-est, and the divisions of class, which they believed compromised theability of the nation to act, the Nazis proposed to build a unified ra-cial community guided by modern science. Such an endeavor wouldprovide Germany with the “unity of action” necessary to surviveand prosper in the dangerous conditions of the twentieth century
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In other words, biology appeared to provideGermany with highly useful technologies of renovation. The Na-zis regarded racism as a scientifically grounded, self-consciouslymodern form of political organization.
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thousands of“ethnocrats” and other professionals mobilized to build the newbiomedical structures of the Third Reich. They oriented their ca-reers and ambitions toward the wide spaces that Nazi Germany’sracial vision had opened up.
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He believed Germans feltthat “it’s just us now” when they lived without Jews. “Just us” alsoexpressed the closed circle in which Germans could see and experi-ence “ourselves” as “we are” and as “we have become.”
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In what it touted as the triumph of “socialism ofthe deed” over “private capitalism” and “economic liberalism,” in1933 the Propaganda Ministry pressed a consortium of radio man-ufacturers to design and produce a Volksempfänger, or “people’sradio,” for the mass market.
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Germans even went to warwith preprinted diaries that left space for snapshots. All this was anacknowledgment of the desire to be part of and to share the Ger-man history that was being made.
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but even then nothing made the “com-munity of fate” more compelling than “the conviction that therewill no longer be future for Germany after a lost war.”
sunk-cost fallacy-- they put so much investment into this, they can't back out
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But when the German cheers wouldnot stop, “Hitler sensed a popular mood, a longing for peace andreconciliation.” This was also an indication of the general content-ment with things as they were.
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crowds acclaimed the reestablishment of amass conscription army, the Wehrmacht, recalling for observers the“August Days” of 1914. Again socialists conceded: “For the over-whelming majority, 16 March is the definitive end to a shamefulpast, much more so than 30 January 1933; the day marks ‘the dawnof a new age.’” All this patriotic hoopla mattered; Versailles hadleft deep wounds, and, anyway, Germans were apt to be “childishlyproud of their army.”
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heexplained in tears that her two sons had fallen in battle and the bal-lot had been their voice. 61The text precisely captures the way many people thought of Ger-many: as the tenacious underdog finally asserting its rights.
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“its touristic spectaclesencouraged its participants to see a cause-and-effect relationshipbetween their own well being and the Nazi regime’s attempts to re-make Germans into the master race.”
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“People looked to Nazism as a great and radical sur-gery or cleansing” and therefore saw “the movement as a sourceof rejuvenation” in public life.
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hile“Strength through Joy” vacations were budget affairs, third-classrailway journeys to Thüringen rather than Bavaria, and parsimo-nious meals at second-rate hotels, they offered millions of Ger-mans the opportunity to travel, to see the seaside, or visit theReichshauptstadt—Berlin was one of the favorite “Strengththrough Joy” destinations.
giving people who had never had the opportunity to travel-- of course theyre gonna support your regime if it gives them perks. for all accounts this seems like a great deal for germans if you discount the ethnic cleansing happening in the bg
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The dreamof the Volkswagen seemed to promise “a new, happier age” thatwould make “the German people rich and Germany beautiful,” asHitler put it. Indeed, the Volkswagen functioned as a symbol for thenewly won capacity to dream about the future: in this fundamentalsense, the Nazis appeared as “men of the future.”
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Mem-ories of the Third Reich corresponded in large part to the Nazis’own prewar media representation of “good times” both now and tocome.
consider the mobilization of memory in propaganda
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the reports indicate that “workers not only wereunfree . . . but that most of them felt they were unfree, exploited,discriminated against and the victims of an unfair, class-ridden soci-ety.” Even during the boom years of 1937–39, “signs indicated thatNazism was further losing ground among workers.”
counter to the argument made in the chapter, many workers under the nazi regime did not feel as though enough progress was being made
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On the eve of the war, in 1939, most Germans ex-perienced the Third Reich as a cherished period of economic andpolitical stability. These were achievements that the population wasdetermined to hold on to.
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The Day of Potsdam and May Day indi-cated that there was considerable desire among Germans to partici-pate in rituals of national renewal
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these auxiliary organiza-tions gave Germans semiofficial responsibilities as they collecteddonations, distributed coal, or trained as air-raid wardens.
ordinary civilians take on leadership positions -- social mobility, chances to move up the ladder. even if not personally aligned w nazi ideology, pretty good choice to work under them in order to boost your standing. plus boosts patriotism
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Themedicalization of politics pulled thousands of new professionalsinto state service as nurses, teachers, health-care administrators.Newly opened public-health offices dotted the cities and country-side, building on the social-welfare accomplishments of the repub-lic.
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a“Machbarkeitswahn,” modernity’s heady sense of the possible thatepitomized National Socialism as it charged into the future.
machbarkeitswahn - the possibility of achieving something / making change
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Evenbefore Hitler spoke (8:00 p.m.), the choreography of May Day hadfastened the links between workers and the nation, between ma-chinists and machine-age dreams, between technical mastery andnational prowess
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“Something had to be done”—these were the simple, conclusive words voiced by a friend of KarlDürkefälden’s, jobless and a new convert to Nazism. His wordswere echoed by thousands of workers in the winter and springof 1933; though a socialist, Karl himself understood—“it’s truetoo,” he added parenthetically in his diary entry.
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Socialists around the worldhad celebrated May Day as a festival of labor since the 1880s; butin Germany they had failed to get the official recognition the Nazisnow offered. So strong were the hopes for national unity that theGerman Free Trade Unions welcomed the Nazi gesture and encour-aged members to participate in the celebrations.
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National Socialism offered acomprehensive vision of renewal, which many Germans found ap-pealing, but they combined it with the alarming specter of nationaldisintegration.
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He repeatedly described Ger-many as a nation that had come home to itself. While Erich hatedthe Nazis, he loved the Third Reich.
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the desire to be part ofnational unity was so strong that it pulled even an anti-Nazi such asErich into the new political community
Tags
- 1935
- nonsupporter
- antisemitism
- concept: complicity
- concept: community
- event
- concept: the new normal
- viewpoint
- hitler
- concept: justification
- concept: german future & progress
- 1936
- supporter
- dürkefäldens
- concept: belief
- vocab
- nazi strategy
- concept: conformity
- concept: pressure
- concept: race ideology
- propaganda
- main idea
- concept: resistance
- concept: victimhood
- factors
- 1939
- sub idea
- concept: historical narrative
- ebermayer
- claim
- concept: fear
- concept: nationalism
- date
- 1933
- concept: class relations
- concept: opportunity
- civilian
- primary source
- klemperer
- concept: exclusion
Annotators
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for - progress trap - sexually explicit AI deepfake - Taylor Swift - sexually explicit AI deepfake
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- Jan 2024
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www.euronews.com www.euronews.com
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for - progress trap - tires - micro plastic p pollution
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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for - nature-based carbon sequestration - reestablish whale populations - Nate Hagen - The Great Simplification - David King - climate crisis - solutions - progress trap - overfishing - whales
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www.publichealth.columbia.edu www.publichealth.columbia.edu
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for - progress trap - micro plastic in bottled water
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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the canonical unit, the NCU supports natural capital accounting, currency source, calculating and accounting for ecosystem services, and influences how a variety of governance issues are resolved
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for: canonical unit, collaborative commons - missing part - open learning commons, question - process trap - natural capital
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comment
- in this context, indyweb and Indranet are not the canonical unit, but then, it seems the model is fundamentally missing the functionality provided but the Indyweb and Indranet, which is and open learning system.
- without such an open learning system that captures the essence of his humans learn, the activity of problem-solving cannot be properly contextualised, along with all of limitations leading to progress traps.
- The entire approach of posing a problem, then solving it is inherently limited due to the fractal intertwingularity of reality.
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question: progress trap - natural capital
- It is important to be aware that there is a real potential for a progress trap to emerge here, as any metric is liable to be abused
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www.media.mit.edu www.media.mit.edu
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- annotate
- for: AI - progress trap, technology - colonialism
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www.technologyreview.com www.technologyreview.com
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And because the upsides are so obvious, it’s particularly important to step back and ask ourselves, what are the possible downsides? … How do we get the benefits of this while mitigating the risk?”
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for: progress trap - urgent need for a new science
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comment
- Science and technology are constantly producing progress traps. Climate crisis is a major example, but there are so many other. We really and urgently need to motivate for a new field of study of progress traps in general.
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In 2017, Facebook mistranslated a Palestinian man’s post, which said “good morning” in Arabic, as “attack them” in Hebrew, leading to his arrest.
- for: example - progress trap - AI - mistranslation
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- for: progress trap -AI, carbon footprint - AI, progress trap - AI - bias, progress trap - AI - situatedness
Tags
- progress trap - urgent need for a new science
- progress trap - AI - bias
- carbon footprint - AI
- example - progress trap - AI - mistranslation
- carbon footprint - AI - large language models
- AI ethics - Google - Timnit Gebru departure
- progress trap - AI - situatedness
- progress trap - AI
Annotators
URL
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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we're not in the economy of the 1950s anymore. And we act as though we are, that finance is this productive force and it's building, it's building wealth. Well, for the most part, it's not. It's, there's so much financialization, so many financial assets, that they've become an extractive force. And a big piece of this 00:06:37 is that we're not really distinguishing between productive investments and speculative investments
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for: quote - Marjorie Kelly, quote - finacialization, progress trap - financialization, progress trap - capitalism, speculative investing
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quote: Marjorie Kelly
- we're not in the economy of the 1950s anymore.
- And we act as though we are, that finance is this productive force and it's building, it's building wealth.
- Well, for the most part, it's not.
- There's so much financialization, so many financial assets, that they've become an extractive force.
- And a big piece of this is that we're not really distinguishing between
- productive investments and
- speculative investments
- And a big piece of this is that we're not really distinguishing between
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www.survivalinternational.org www.survivalinternational.org
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the mining operations on Halmahera are now penetrating deep into the rainforest of the Hongana Manyawa.” Vast areas of rainforest on Halmahera island are due to be logged and then mined for nickel. Companies including Tesla are investing billions in Indonesia’s plan to become a major nickel producer for the electric car battery market. French, German, Indonesian and Chinese companies are involved in mining in Halmahera.
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for: progress trap - green growth - nickel mining - evicting uncontacted tribe
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progress trap: green growth - mining
- Capitalist logic justifies this violence
- We destroy the earth in order to save the earth
- Question
- Is this really the way we should be doing things?
- Is the green growth agenda really going to keep humanity safe? Or will the unintended consequences, the progress trap be worse than the problem it is attempting to solve?
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- Dec 2023
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sonec.org sonec.org
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‘progress traps’:
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for: progress trap, Inner Development Goals, SoNeC, SRG Mapping Tool
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comment
- nice! (emoji: pleasant surprise) I wonder if Ferial or Joseph gave some inputs here, or was the SoNeC team already familiar with progress traps?
- SRG mapping tool and Deep Humanity are designed to reveal complexity emerging from multiple, diverse perspectives mapped together so can compliment SoNeC application of Inner Development Goals
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www.techtarget.com www.techtarget.com
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Kaizen is a compound of two Japanese words that together translate as "good change" or "improvement."
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for: definition - Kaizen, progress
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definition: Kaizen:
- good change or improvement = progress
- It's still subject to progress traps
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paddyleflufy.substack.com paddyleflufy.substack.com
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But it has also resulted in negative environmental impacts
- for: progress trap - economic
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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One of the advantages of this media extended plugin is that it can handle more than just YouTube videos. It can handle videos and also some audio notes as well. And I don't think I've tried it with anything else but really I just need YouTube videos.
Video Title: Taking notes from YouTube videos in Obsidian
Various ways and plugins to annotate or take notes on videos (e.g. YouTube) in Obsidian
Audio notes? How?
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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it's extremely dangerous to create such an autonomous agent when we do not know how to control it when we 00:58:22 can't ensure that it will not Escape our control and start making decisions and creating new things which will harm us instead of benefit us now this is not a 00:58:34 Doomsday Prophecy this is not inevitable we can find ways to regulate and control the development and deployment of AI we we don't want
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for: quote - Yuval Noah Harari - AI progress trap, progress trap - AI, quote - progress trap
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quote it is extremely dangerous to create such an autonomous agent when we do not know how to control it, when we can't ensure that it will not escape our control ad start making decisions and creating new things which will harm us instead of benefit us
- author: Yuval Noah Harari
- date 2023
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i think it's more likely that 00:49:59 that we will think we will think that we this particular set of procedures ai procedures that we linked into our strategic nuclear weapons system uh will keep us safer but we haven't recognized that they're 00:50:12 unintended that there are consequences glitches in it that make it actually stupid and it mistakes the flock of geese for an incoming barrage of russian missiles and and you know unleashes everything in response 00:50:25 before we can intervene
- for: example - stupid AI - nuclear launch, AI - progress trap - example - nuclear launch
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i think the most dangerous thing about ai is not 00:47:11 super smart ai it's uh stupid ai it's artificial intelligence that is good enough to be put in charge of certain processes in our societies but not good enough to not make really 00:47:25 bad mistakes
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for: quote - Thomas Homer-Dixon, quote - danger of AI, AI progress trap
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quote: danger of AI
- I think the most dangerous thing about AI is not super smart AI, it's stupid AI that is good enough to be put in charge of certain processes but not good enough to not make really bad mistakes
- author: Thomas Homer-Dixon
- date: 2021
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the previous average time for vaccinating 40 percent of the world's population for any other epidemic or pandemic or any other viral disease 00:45:56 had been 80 years 40 percent of the world's population this time we did it in two
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for: progress trap
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progress trap: speed of vaccination
- If the vaccine was imperfect and caused harm, it could have caused harm to 40% of three population in a short period of time.
- the shorter the time for something to spread globally, the faster unintended consequence can spread and cause harm
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enough versus feasible dilemma
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for: definition - enough vs feasible dilemma, double bind, progress trap
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definition: enough vs feasible dilemma
- the changes that are actually required are not feasible to do
- what is feasible to do is not enough
- this puts us in a double bind
- we need to have interventions that are BOTH
- enough to solve these problems and are
- feasible to execute
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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we have to be very careful when we respond to climate change we're not exacerbating the other ones that are there and 00:12:34 ideally we want to try and respond to all of these challenges at the same time and there are a lot of crossovers between them but there are also real risks that sometimes you you solve one thing and cause another now in contemporary Society we have been very 00:12:47 good at reductionist thinking of of silos of thinking one bit and then causing another problem elsewhere we we don't have that opportunity anymore we have to start to think of these issues at a system level
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for: progress trap - Kevin Anderson
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validation: SRG mapping tool, Indyweb
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www.reddit.com www.reddit.com
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Getting over the fear of perfection .t3_188j2xt._2FCtq-QzlfuN-SwVMUZMM3 { --postTitle-VisitedLinkColor: #9b9b9b; --postTitleLink-VisitedLinkColor: #9b9b9b; --postBodyLink-VisitedLinkColor: #989898; } I have so many half-filled notebooks or ones that I abandoned because I disliked my penmanship or because I “ruined” pages. I am the type of person who will tear out a page if I make a mistake or if it looks bad.I really want to start a commonplace book but I feel like I must get over this fear of “messing up” in a notebook. Anyone else struggle with this?
reply to u/FusRoDaahh at https://www.reddit.com/r/commonplacebook/comments/188j2xt/getting_over_the_fear_of_perfection/
I had this problem too, but eventually switched to keeping my commonplace entirely on index cards, which also allows me to move them around and re-arrange them as necessary or when useful. (It also fixed some of my indexing problems.)
The side benefit is that if I botch a single card, no sweat, just pull out a new one and start over! If you like the higher end stationery scene afforded in notebooks, then take a look at Clairfontaine's bristol cards from Exacompta which are lush and come in a variety of sizes, colors, and rulings. (They're roughly equivalent to the cost per square meter of paper you'll find in finer notebooks like Leuchtturm, Hobonichi, Moleskine, etc., though some of the less expensive index cards still do well with many writing instruments.) Most of their card sizes are just about perfect for capturing the sorts of entries that one might wish to commonplace.
Once you've been at it a while, if you want to keep up with the luxe route that some notebook practices allow, then find yourself a classy looking box to store them all in to make your neighbors jealous. My card indexes bring me more joy than any notebook ever did.
When penmanship becomes a problem, then you can fix it by printing your cards, or (even better in my opinion), typing them on your vintage Smith-Corona Clipper.
And of course the first thing one could type out on their first card and file it at the front where you can see it every day:
"Le mieux est le mortel ennemi du bien" (The better is the mortal enemy of the good).<br /> — Montesquieu, in Pensées, 1726
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- Nov 2023
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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- for: progress trap - free market, example - government policy - why it's needed
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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conventional mouthwashes are very harmful it's been well documented if you use a conventional mouthwash your blood 01:32:00 pressure goes up for a long time because you've eradicated oral microbes that you needed that were producing such things as night uh as nitrosamine not sorry as nitric oxide that reduces blood 01:32:12 pressure uh and and they're not selective for bad microbes they kill everything including good ones
- for: Progress trap - mouthwash, mouthwash - blood pressure
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www.coursera.org www.coursera.org
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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- for: example - complexity - automobile, example - progress trap - automobile
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Local file Local file
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he also demonstrated unfailing empathy andgenuine commitment to their progress.
this is a good start at a definition of teaching
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- Oct 2023
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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But unchecked pursuit of competitive growth, powered by exponential technology on a finite planet has created a self-terminating 'race to the bottom' where no-one can opt out of the arms race unless all the competitors do the same.
- for: progress trap, moloch - progress trap, progress trap - Moloch
- comment
- This explanation leaves out one variable that defines the progress trap
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Humans are the only known species which has managed to totally dominate their enviroment by recursively advancing their tool-making capacity - thanks to the evolution of our abstract conceptual language and thought, and second-order thinking
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for: progress trap
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comment
- this is similar to the Deep Humanity, contextual preamble that introduces progress traps.
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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how do we 01:03:46 meet not match right so this is an image that meets all of this these images are going to go for 01:04:00 decontextualized singular responses that are going to create more double binds if you try to solve for life on land you're going to end up with life on 01:04:12 water being a disaster life in water or life in the air or life right if you try to solve for one you get into these contradictions and double binds
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for: holism, progress trap, double bind, SDG failure
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comment
- In the current silo'd approach typified by the SDGs, unintended consequences, or progress traps are unavoidable and are built into the approach itself.
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the definition of a double bind is that you have a a problem a bind 00:35:07 in one context and you can't actually solve it in that context because it's caught in another context and so you can't solve it in that 00:35:20 context because it's caught in these other contexts
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for: definition, definition - double bind
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definition: double bind
- the definition of a double bind is that you have a problem (a bind) in one context and you can't actually solve it in that context because it's caught in another context
- Gregory Bateson defined the double bind as an evolutionary trait of species due to their changing nature.
- Since individuals of a species are constantly changing, there comes a day when all that it knows what to do in order to survive is outdated due to the changing environment. When it repeats the old behavior that served its survival in the past, it dies.
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comment
- adjacency
- between
- double bind
- progress trap
- between
- adjacency statement
- progress traps are related to double binds because in a progress trap, an implemented solution to a problem in one context gives rise to a new problem in another context.
- the original problem (bind) in one context appears to be resolvable but actual isn't. Future unfolding of the implemented solution unfold a future unexpected problem.
- The two problems are not simultaneously occurring as in a double bind, but time-delayed
- both double bind and progress traps emerge from the same root of violating holism
- in not grasping the implications of the emptiness of phenomena, we ignore intertwingled nature of reality, we circumvent Indra's meet of jewels at our own peril
- adjacency
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every time we try to pick at one piece of this polycrisis we end up actually creating problems in other contexts
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for: polycrisis, quote, quote - polycrisis, quote - Nora Bateson
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quote
- every time we pick at one piece of those polycrisis we end up actually creating more problems in other contexts
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author: Nora Bateson
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example
- climate change If we do, all emissions suddenly, we will create an economic crisis, then without money, a health and social crisis
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Tags
- quote - Nora Bateson
- quote
- definition
- SDG - progress trap
- SDG - double binds
- progress trap
- definition - double bind
- double bind
- SDG failure
- example - polycrisis progress trap
- example
- adjacency - double bind - progress trap
- adjacency
- Indra's net of jewels
- holism
- emptiness
- quote - polycrisis
Annotators
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the quick definition would be 00:03:20 something like the metac crisis is all the crisis put together right and people go oh oh I see I see but they don't see right cuz it's not really the end of it that's just the beginning of the conversation the metac crisis is also in 00:03:33 the way you make sense of the world the way you feel it in in imote in relation to it the metac crisis is in your incapacity to fully articulate and narrate the self in this 00:03:47 context and The Meta crisis is also a you know coextensive with Co arising with this particular historical Epoch
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for: metacrisis framework, progress trap - metacrisis sensemaking
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comment
- progress trap framing would help provide an overarching sensemaking framework
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www.cnn.com www.cnn.com
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- for: progress trap, progress trap - climate change - zombie virus
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LLMs are merely engines for generating stylistically plausible output that fits the patterns of their inputs, rather than for producing accurate information. Publishers worry that a rise in their use might lead to greater numbers of poor-quality or error-strewn manuscripts — and possibly a flood of AI-assisted fakes.
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for: progress trap, progress trap - AI, progress trap - AI - writing research papers
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comment
- potential fakes
- climate science fakes by big oil think tanks
- Covid and virus research
- race issues
- gender issues
- potential fakes
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www.sciencedaily.com www.sciencedaily.com
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- for: instant evolution, AI - instant evolution, progress trap, progress trap - AI - instant evolution, progress trap - robotics
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www.sciencedaily.com www.sciencedaily.com
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- for: synthetic biology, progress trap - synthetic biology
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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ethics and safety and that is absolutely a concern and something we have a 00:38:29 responsibility to be thinking about and we want to ensure that we stakeholders conservationists Wildlife biologists field biologists are working together to Define an 00:38:42 ethical framework and inspecting these models
- for: progress trap, progress trap - AI
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- Sep 2023
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www.telegraph.co.uk www.telegraph.co.uk
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"Unless you've felt it, unless you've cried over the fact that we really thought we were making the world a better place with the internet..." He pauses. "We 100 per cent believed that." Humanity, he says, is living through "two super old stories. One: be careful what you wish for, because you'll get it... And two: creators losing control of their creations." He should know, because he is one of those Dr Frankensteins. As the son of Silicon Valley royalty (or at least nobility), he spent years merrily building technology that he believed was changing the world. It did, but not in the way that he hoped.
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for: progress trap, progress trap - Aza Raskin, progress trap - internet, quote, quote - Aza Raskin, quote - progress trap, quote - progress trap - internet
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quote
- Unless you've felt it, unless you've cried over the fact that we really thought we were making the world a better place with the internet... We 100 per cent believed that.
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science progresses generally not because of a thing that we see but because we increase our ability to perceive
for: quote, quote Aza Raskin, quote - progress, quote - scientific progress and expanding perception
- quote
- science progresses generally not because of a thing that we see
- but because we increase our ability to perceive
- author
- Aza Raskin
- date: 2023
- quote
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www.reddit.com www.reddit.com
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Watch the scale and scope of what you're doing. If you read a book and make a hundred highlights and small notes, DO NOT attempt to turn all of these into permanent notes. You might fell like that is the thing to do, but resist it. A large portion are small things or potentially useful facts that you'll likely never use again or would easily remember, particularly once you've read a whole book.
Find the much smaller subset (5-10% or less of the overall total of notes and highlights as a ballpark rule of thumb) of the most interesting and potentially long term useful ones, and turn those into your permanent notes. Anything beyond this is sure to cause overwhelm. Also don't think that your permanent notes need to be spectacular, awesome, or even bordering on "perfect". They just need to be useful enough for you.
If you own the books or keep your brief notes and highlights written down and need them in the future, you'll still have those to search/find and do something with later as a backstop just in case.
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jonathanhaidt.com jonathanhaidt.com
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for: annotate, annotate - social media, progress trap - social media
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source: connectathon 2023 09 23
- session on social media
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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- for: unintended consequences, progress trap, progress trap - toothpaste, progress trap - fluoride
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