一个 2 小时的桌游式推演，三位顶级 AI 安全研究员给出了 9-11 分的评价——这本身就是一个信号：严肃的 AI 研究机构正在用「角色扮演」的方式准备未来。这种方法论（预演未来能力下的工作流）在其他领域有先例——军事桌游、灾难演习、情景规划——但将其用于 AI 能力演进，是 METR 独特的研究品味的体现。

https://peterhotez.org/<br /> Peter Hotez

Sometimes, search is not rooted in discovery of a correct answer to a question. It's about exploration. Serendipity through search. Think Michael Lewis, Malcolm Gladwell, and Latif Nasser from Radiolab. The randomizer on wikipedia. A risk factor of where things trend with advanced AI in search is an abandonment of meaning making through exploration in favor of a knowledge-level pursuit that lacks comparable depth to more exploratory experiences.

• for: climate change policy hypocrisy, fossil fuel lobby, EU climate policy, Hoekstra, Fox guarding the henhouse, Linked In post

• comment

  • What does it say about the EU's authenticity to deal with the global boiling crisis when they put a fox in charge of the henhouse?
  • this seems awfully similar to the choice for positioning an oil man to head COP28.
  • The fossil fuel lobby is EXTREMELY busy in the opaque back end of politics. We need more light to shine and bring the back end fossil fuel lobby activity out of the shadows to pre-empt future leadership betrayals.

• future research

  • uncover future fossil fuel lobby’s game plan and future attempts to coopt climate change policy leadership
  • needed in order to proactively preempt the next attempt at coopting climate leadership. It’s difficult when we are simply reacting

also linked to 19th century "Satanism," potential future research

Research ideas!

One's note taking is not only a conversation with the text or even the original author, it is also a conversation you're having with your future self. This feature is accelerated when one cross links ideas within their note box with each other and revisits them at regular intervals.

Example of someone who uses Roam Research and talks about the prevalence of using it as a "conversation with your future self."

This is very similar to the same patterns that can be seen in the commonplace book tradition, and even in the blogosphere (Cory Doctorow comes to mind), or IndieWeb which often recommends writing on your own website to document how you did things for your future self.

Blackwell, T. (2022, January 18). Living for the moment: Study points to cognitive differences in people who are vaccine hesitant. National Post. https://nationalpost.com/health/living-for-the-moment-study-points-to-cognitive-differences-in-people-who-are-vaccine-hesitant

Wanted: Rules for pandemic data access that everyone can trust. (2021). Nature, 594(7861), 8–8. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-021-01460-7

Conley, D., & Johnson, T. (2021). Opinion: Past is future for the era of COVID-19 research in the social sciences. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(13). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2104155118

I personally haven't seen the explicit reasoning for using French in several of the French Tl studies I've read, but it is used a lot. In addition, many language studies would benefit from expansion that includes sign-language study.

Rudolph, C., Allan, B., Clark, M., Hertel, G., Hirschi, A., Kunze, F., Shockley, K., Shoss, M., Sonnentag, S., & Zacher, H. (2020). Pandemics: Implications for Research and Practice in Industrial and Organizational Psychology [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/k8us2

UKCDR - COVID-19 Research Project Tracker

Hoffman, T. & Glasziou, P. (2020 May 05). Coronavirus: What if a vaccine doesn’t work? World Economic Forum. https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/05/vaccine-coronavirus-alternatives-covid19-vaccinations/

Complex systems thinking is being used for policymaking. Is it the future? (2018, October 25). https://apolitical.co/en/solution_article/complex-systems-thinking-policymaking

UK Government. (2020 April 03). £20 million for ambitious technologies to build UK resilience following coronavirus outbreak. Gov.uk. https://www.gov.uk/government/news/20-million-for-ambitious-technologies-to-build-uk-resilience-following-coronavirus-outbreak

changes in the interface itself could transform the situation

mixed methods are necessary in the digital age