for - adjacency- localism alone cannot solve planetary scale issues ( like climate crisis) - cross scale translated planetary boundaries / earth system boundaries - from Substack article - The Cosmo-Local Plan for our Next Civilization - Michel Bauwens - 2024, Dec 20 quote - constructing

Der temperatur anstieg des jahres zwanzig dreiundzwanzig lässt sich mit großer wahrscheinlichkeit auf den rückgang der albedo der erde zurückführen punkt dabei spielt der rückgang niedriger wolken die hauptrolle punkt eine neue studie zeigt komma das diese veränderungen die null komma zwei grad temperaturanstieg erklären kommen die beobachtet wurden komme aber deren ursache noch nicht bekannt ist punkt der rückgang der niedrigen wolken bedeckung lässt sich zum teil auf weniger eu sohle zurückführen komma er könnte aber auch durch die globale erhitzung selbst verursacht sein komma also ein rückblicks effekt darstellen punkt Nun nun https://www.derstandard.at/story/3000000248101/raetselhafter-temperatursprung-durch-rueckgang-von-wolken

Studie: https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adq7280

for - climate crisis - planetary tipping points - irreversible? - Hansen disagrees - part 2 - climate crisis - comparison - planetary tipping points - Hansen vs Rockstrom

climate crisis - comparison - planetary tipping points - Hansen vs Rockstrom - Hansen makes a valid point. What Rockstrom might consider irreversible, although he doesn't explicitly say, but implies, Hansen speaks instead in more precise terms - The perspectives may be dependent on the knowledge that informs each scientist - Hansen's research into the unknown area of climate change, aeresols and cloud cover, is not considered in conventional knowledge that IPCC bases its conclusions on since it is unknown - Hansen's research uncovers that aeresols play a very large role, to such an extent that humans may be able to mitigate exceeding dangerous temperature thresholds pragmatically through aeresol interventions that impact cloud behavior -

for - climate crisis - planetary tipping points - irreversible? - Hansen disagrees - part 1

for - paper - Nature Sustainability - Translating Earth system boundaries for cities and business - Bai et al., 2024 - cross scale translation of earth system boundaries - Bai et al., 2024 - downscaling planetary boundaries - earth system boundaries - from - paper - Cross-scale translation of Earth system boundaries should use methods that are more science-based - Xue & Bakshi

paper details - Title: Translating Earth system boundaries for cities and businesses - Author: Bai et al. - Publisher: Nature Sustainability - Date: 2024, Jan 4

from - paper - Cross-scale translation of Earth system boundaries should use methods that are more science-based - Xue & Bakshi - https://hyp.is/jKlP4KvZEe-p1v9b-AbDOQ/jgvw2024.peergos.me/StopResetGo/2024/11/PDFs/MattersArisingBaietal.pdf

for - adjacency - SRG planetary boundary / earth system boundaries working groups - domain specific alliances - Magisteria of the Commons

adjacency - between - SRG planetary boundary / earth system boundaries working groups - domain specific alliances - Magisteria of the Commons - adjacency relationship The domain specific alliances of the Magisteria of the commons is similar to the SRG idea of developing funds version divisions of wealth system boundaries

for - IPFS - etymology - Inter Planetary - designing to avoid large network delay differences over long distances - Juan Benet

for - futures - backcasting - question - what does a world within planetary boundaries look like?

for - developmental journey - human inner transformation - planetary training technology - integrating the best of the east and the west - John Churchill - developmental journey - healing the foundations affects the higher levels of human inner transformation - John Churchill

developmental journey - human inner transformation - planetary training technology - integrating the best of the east and the west - integrating - developmental healing with - attachment to the meditation practice - resulting in: - meditating down instead of - meditating up - Opening up the lower attachment system - by building a powerful field of safety and attunement - dissolves the higher blocks

for - education - bodhisattva path - the soul becomes embodied - John and Nicole Churchill

for - education - planetary process - where psychology meets spirituality - training - John and Nicole Churchill

for - synchronicity - planetary intelligence - iChing - John Churchill

for - webcast - youtube channel - Adventures in Awareness - Bernard Kastrup - from - essay - The end of scarcity? From Polycrisis to Planetary Phase Shift - Nafeez Ahmed

from - essay - The end of scarcity? From Polycrisis to Planetary Phase Shift - Nafeez Ahmed - https://hyp.is/XajXQJKfEe-CsteXYeBHhw/ageoftransformation.org/the-end-of-scarcity-from-polycrisis-to-planetary-phase-shift/

for - adjacency - polycrisis - war - israel-Iran war - Russia-Ukraine war - planetary adaptive cycle - planetary phase shift - release-to-reorganization stage

for - rapid whole system change - Nafeez Ahmed - planetary phase shift - Nafeez Ahmed - planetary adaptive cycle - Nafeez Ahmed - essay - The End of Scarcity? From ‘Polycrisis’ to Planetary Phase Shift - Nafeez Ahmed - 2024 Oct 16 - to - book - The Ascent of Humanity - chapter 8 Self and Cosmos: The Gaian Birthing - stillborn and the perilous journey through the womb - Charles Eisenstein

summary - This is a good article that makes sense of the inflection point that humanity now faces as it contends with multiple existential crisis - It summarizes the complexity of our polycrisis and its precarity and lays the theory for looking at the polycrisis from a different perspective: - as a planetary phase shift towards the potential end of scarcity and the next stage of our species evolution - Through the lens of ecologist Crawford Stanley Holling's lens of the adaptive cycle of ecological population dynamics, - and especially his 2004 paper "From Complex Regions to Complex Worlds" - Nafeez extends Holling's argument that we are undergoing a planetary adaptive cycle in which the back-loop is the dying industrial era. - In this sense, it is reminiscent of the writings of Charles Eisenstein in his book "The Ascent of Humanity", chapter 8: Self and Cosmos:, The Gaian Birth. - Eisenstein uses the the perilous journey of birth through the womb door as a metaphor of the transition we are currently undergoing.

to - paper - From Complex Regions to Complex Worlds - Crawford Stanley Holling - 2004 - https://hyp.is/KYCm2pFrEe-_PEu84xshXw/www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol9/iss1/art11/main.html?ref=ageoftransformation.org - book - The Ascent of Humanity - Chapter 8 - The Gaian Birthing - Charles Eisenstein - https://hyp.is/r8scTpG_Ee-gLTujlli5hQ/charleseisenstein.org/books/the-ascent-of-humanity/eng/the-gaian-birthing/

for - planetary adaptive cycle - 2004 paper - Crawford Stanley Holling - to - paper - From Complex Regions to Complex Worlds - Crawford Stanley Holling - 2004

to - paper - From Complex Regions to Complex Worlds - Crawford Stanley Holling - 2004 - https://hyp.is/KYCm2pFrEe-_PEu84xshXw/www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol9/iss1/art11/main.html?ref=ageoftransformation.org

for - similar to - polycrisis and planetary phase shift - Charles Eisenstein's metaphor of birth process - dangerous passage through the womb door

for - whole system change - big picture - back loop of planetary adaptive cycle - entering the reorganization phase - regional to planetary life cycle

for - quote / insight - decreased resiliency due to tight network of elites - From Complex Regions to Complex Worlds Crawford Stanley Holling - 2004 - creative alternatives - liminal spaces - rapid whole system change

quote / insight - decreased resiliency due to tight network of elites - (see quote below) - The front-loop phase is more predictable, - with higher degrees of certainty. - In both the natural and social worlds, - it maximizes production and accumulation. - We have been in that mode since World War II. - The consequence of this is not only an accumulation and concentration of wealth, - but also the emergence of greater vulnerability because of - the increasing number of interconnections that link that wealth, and - those who control it, - in efforts to sustain it. - Little time and few resources are available for alternatives that explore different visions or opportunities. - Emergence and novelty is inhibited. - This growing connectedness leads to increasing rigidity in its goal to retain control, - and the system becomes ever more tightly bound together. - This reduces resilience and the capacity of the system to absorb change, - thus increasing the threat of abrupt change. - We can recognize the need for change but become politically stifled in our capacity to act effectively.

to - quote - we are now in a back-loop of a planetary adaptive cycle - From Complex Regions to Complex Worlds - Crawford Stanley Holling - 2004 - https://hyp.is/FTRDoJFuEe-rsvdKeYjr0g/www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol9/iss1/art11/main.html?ref=ageoftransformation.org

comment - These ideas are quite important for those change actors working to emerge creative alternatives - liminal spaces - rapid whole system change

for - article - The End of Scarcity? From ‘Polycrisis’ to Planetary Phase Shift - Nafeez Ahmed - gene-culture coevolution - adjacency - indyweb dev - individual / collective evolutionary learning - provenance - tracing the evolution of ideas - gene-culture coevolution

adjacency - between - indyweb dev - individual / collective evolutionary learning - provenance - tracing the evolution of ideas - gene-culture coevolution - adjacency relationship - As DNA and epigenetics plays the role of transmitting biological adaptations, language and symmathesy play the role of transmitting cultural adaptations

for - book - The Ascent of Humanity - chapter 8 Self and Cosmos: The Gaian Birth - stillborn and the perilous journey through the womb - Charles Eisenstein - from - essay - The End of Scarcity? From 'polycrisis' to planetary phase shift - Nafeez Ahmed

from - essay - The End of Scarcity? From 'polycrisis' to planetary phase shift - Nafeez Ahmed - https://hyp.is/7t2GpJF7Ee-DjHfBgrshcQ/ageoftransformation.org/the-end-of-scarcity-from-polycrisis-to-planetary-phase-shift/

for - planetary adaptive cycle - entering back-loop phase - paper - From Complex Regions to Complex Worlds - Crawford Stanley Holling - 2004 - from - essay - The End of Scarcity? From ‘Polycrisis’ to Planetary Phase Shift - Nafeez Ahmed - 2024

from - essay - The End of Scarcity? From ‘Polycrisis’ to Planetary Phase Shift - Nafeez Ahmed - 2024 - https://hyp.is/okOeDJFqEe-9ZsMEsKWR9w/ageoftransformation.org/the-end-of-scarcity-from-polycrisis-to-planetary-phase-shift/

for - Adrian Bejan - constructal law - childhood - art and science - from - The End of Scarcity? From ‘Polycrisis’ to Planetary Phase Shift - Nafeez Ahmed - 2024, Oct 16

Summary - Good explainer video about constructal theory and flow

from - The End of Scarcity? From ‘Polycrisis’ to Planetary Phase Shift - Nafeez Ahmed - 2024, Oct 16 - https://hyp.is/Qt8IMI74Ee--f4O18QMPFQ/ageoftransformation.org/the-end-of-scarcity-from-polycrisis-to-planetary-phase-shift/

for - paper - The constructal law of design and evolution in nature - Adrian Bejan - Sylvie Lorente - 2010 - from - The End of Scarcity? From ‘Polycrisis’ to Planetary Phase Shift - Nafeez Ahmed - 2024, Oct 16

from - The End of Scarcity? From ‘Polycrisis’ to Planetary Phase Shift - Nafeez Ahmed - 2024, Oct 16 - https://hyp.is/Qt8IMI74Ee--f4O18QMPFQ/ageoftransformation.org/the-end-of-scarcity-from-polycrisis-to-planetary-phase-shift/

for - Donald Trump re-election - existential risk - planetary tipping points - earth system boundaries - study - Impact 2024 - Cascade Institute - polycrisis - Trump reelection - increase risk

for - question - Study on 2024 Trump win on polycrisis - Cascade Institute - why is there such a small analysis on the environment and especially planetary tipping points whilst climate clock is ticking?

Der neue Planetary Health Check des Potsdam Instituts für Klimafolgenforschung ergibt, dass durch die Versauerung der Ozeane möglicherweise gerade die siebte von 9 planetaren Grenzen durchbrochen wird und die Biosphäre auch hier in eine Hochrisikozone eintritt. Bei allen anderen mit Ausnahme des Ozonschwunds haben sich die Bedingungen verschlechtert. Die CO2- Emissionen treiben die Versauerung an, die wiederum die Fähigkeit der Ozeane mindert, als CO2-Senke zu wirken. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/sep/23/earth-breach-planetary-boundaries-health-check-oceans

Website zum Planetary Health Check: https://www.planetaryhealthcheck.org/

for - The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability - Camilo Mora et al. - 6th mass extinction - biodiversity loss - question - 2024 - Sept 13 - how do we reconcile climate departure with quantification of earth system boundary biodiversity safe and just limit? - to - climate departure map - map of major cities - 2013 - to - researchgate paper - The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability - 2013 - Camilo Mora et al

paper details - title: The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability - author: - Camilo Mora, - Abby G. Frazier, - Ryan J. Longman, - Rachel S. Dacks, - Maya M. Walton, - Eric J. Tong, - Joseph J. Sanchez, - Lauren R. Kaiser, - Yuko O. Stender, - James M. Anderson, - Christine M. Ambrosino, - Iria Fernandez-Silva, - Louise M. Giuseffi, - Thomas W. Giambelluca - date - 9 October, 2013 - publication Nature 502, 183-187 (2013) - https://doi.org/10.1038/nature12540 - https://www.nature.com/articles/nature12540

to - https://hyp.is/0BdCglsHEe-2CteEQbOBfw/www.researchgate.net/publication/257598710_The_projected_timing_of_climate_departure_from_recent_variability

Summary - This is an extremely important paper with a startling conclusion of the magnitude of the social and economic impacts of the biodiversity disruption coming down the pipeline - It is likely that very few governments are prepared to adapt to these levels of ecosystemic disruption - Climate departure is defined as an index of the year when: - The projected mean climate of a given location moves to a state that is - continuously outside the bounds of historical variability - Climate departure is projected to happen regardless of how aggressive our climate mitigation pathway - The business-as-usual (BAU) scenario in the study is RCP85 and leads to a global climate departure mean of 2047 (+/- 14 years s.d.) while - The more aggressive RCP45 scenario (which we are currently far from) leads to a global climate departure mean of 2069 (+/- 18 years s.d.) - So regardless of how aggressive we mitigate, we cannot avoid climate departure. - What consequences will this have on economies around the world? How will we adapt? - The world is not prepared for the vast ecosystem changes, which will reshape our entire economy all around the globe.

question - 2024 - Sept 13 - how do we reconcile climate departure with quantification of earth system boundary biodiversity safe and just limit? - Annotating the Sept 11, 2024 published Earth Commission paper in Lancet, the question arises: - How do we reconcile climate departure dates with the earth system boundary quantification of safe limits for biodiversity? - There, it is claimed that: - 50 to 60 % of intact nature is required<br /> - https://hyp.is/Mt8ocnIEEe-C0dNSJFTjyQ/www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(24)00042-1/fulltext - a minimum of 20 to 25% of human modified ecosystems is required - https://hyp.is/AKwa4nIHEe-U1oNQDdFqlA/www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(24)00042-1/fulltext - in order to mitigate major species extinction and social disruption crisis - And yet, Mora et al.'s research and subsequent climate departure map shows climate departure is likely to take place everywhere on the globe, with - aggressive RCP decarbonization pathway only delaying climate departure from - Business-As-Usual RCP pathway - by a few decades at most - And this was a 2011 result. 13 years later in 2024, I expect climate departure dates have likely gotten worse and moved closer to the present

from - Gupta, Joyeeta et al.(2024). A just world on a safe planet: a Lancet Planetary Health–Earth Commission report on Earth-system boundaries, translations, and transformations. The Lancet Planetary Health, Volume 0, Issue 0 - https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thelancet.com%2Fjournals%2Flanplh%2Farticle%2FPIIS2542-5196(24)00042-1%2Ffulltext&group=world

to - climate departure map - of major cities of the world - 2013 - https://hyp.is/tV1UOFsKEe-HFQ-jL-6-cw/www.hawaii.edu/news/2013/10/09/study-in-nature-reveals-urgent-new-time-frame-for-climate-change/ - full research paper - researchgate

for - earth system boundaries - safe and just earth system boundaries - cross translated - to cities and business - planetary boundaries - downscaled planetary boundaries - urban planetary boundaries - Johan Rockstrom - Xuemei Bao - Lancet paper - just and safe earth system boundaries - Earth Commission report

paper details - title: A just world on a safe planet: a Lancet Planetary Health–Earth Commission report on Earth-system boundaries, translations, and transformations - authors: - Joyeeta Gupta - Xuemei Bao - Johan Rockstrom - Diana M Liverman <br /> - Dahe Qin - Ben Stewart-Koster - et al - publication: Lancet 2024, Sept 11

summary

for - cascading planetary tipping points - NY Times animation

for - planetary emergency - economic cost of nature - from an insurance perspective - natural capital valuation - from insurance industry perspective - biodiversity - natural capital valuation - from insurance industry perspective - Swiss RE - Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (BES) metric - from insurance industry perspective

for - rapid whole system change - salience of shifting language habits - planetary emergency - salience of shifting language habits - question - shifting language habits

question - shifting language habits - from industrial, goal oriented - to ecological - how? Watch Great Simplification Interview

for - stats - planetary emergency - 2024 - still low investment in cities

stats - planetary emergency - 2024 - still low investment in cities - IPCC 6th Assessment Report - US $384 billion invested globally in urban areas - This is 10% of what is necessary to build low-carbon and climate resilient cities

for - planetary emergency - top priority task - get world leaders to meet and develop a plan to return to the safe operating space

for - planetary emergency - narrative shift required - from lack to building a better world

for - planetary emergency - Johan Rockstrom - advice - top leverage point - talk to people about the emergency - quote - planetary emergency - Johan Rockstrom - top advice - top leverage point - talk about it

quote - planetary emergency - Johan Rockstrom - top advice - top leverage point - talk about it - (see below)

• The advice I give to all my students, they are, often I get the question, what should we do?
• And they expect me to talk about
  • mobility
  • how to reduce flying and
  • all forms of consumer choices.
• And they get surprised when I say that
  • the number one issue is talk to your friends.
• Talk to your friends. Get the dialogue going.
  • Speak to your, parents,
  • your friends anytime you have a chance.
  • Talk about the planet,
• Talk about 1. 5.
• If you go out to the street here in Potsdam, nobody will know what you're talking about if you say 1.5 is the most important number we have in the world today.
• So I think it's really important to keep the buzz going. We need a momentum here.

for - question - planetary emergency - ignorance or apathy - what should we do?

question - planetary emergency - ignorance or apathy - what should we do? - Johan Rockstrom advocates for three simultaneous internventions that must be executed in order to achieve the following impacts: - Legally binding global governance regimes must be implemented: immediately - Paris Agreement - biodiversity agreements - Internalize all externalities - Implement a global price on carbon emissions of at least 100 USD / ton - Stop all expansion of human activity into intact nature

for - planetary emergency - psychological factors - the 5 Ds

planetary emergency - psychological factors - the 5 Ds - Nate brings up the psychological challenges. These are summarized nicely by Per Espen Stokes interview on the Al Jazeera documentary below, where he discusses the 5 Ds:

reference - Per Espen Stokes psychological factors that make climate action difficult - the 5 Ds - https://hyp.is/UgWKRlNcEe-sPqcIvC-9Aw/www.youtube.com/watch?v=fqXys5VluIQ

for - planetary emergency - risk analysis

planetary emergency - risk analysis - risk = probability x impact - If impact is high, then even low probability x high impact means high risk - If AMOC or Greenland icesheet melts, the impact is so high that it is not even economically measurable

for - quote - planetary emergency - Johan Rockstrom

quote - planetary emergency - Johan Rockstrom - (see below) - Emergencies is when you have<br /> - unacceptable risks and - running out of time. - That's a combination: - Unacceptable risk and - time is running out. - Emergency means time is short. That's what is the definition of an emergency.

for - examples of planetary boundaries novel entities

for - World economic forum - integration planetary boundaries into their strategy

Concern - unintended consequence - The WEF is perceived by many to be an elitist organisation - who do not have the best interest off the people in mind - This could lead to potential reputational damage to the planetary boundary framework thru their association with it

for - World business council - adopted planetary boundary strategy

for - planetary health check

for - planetary boundaries - ocean biology - net primary production

for - planetary boundaries - lack of ocean biological boundary

for - planetary boundaries - 2023 - all 9 fully quantified

for - interview - Johan Rockstrom - planetary boundaries

for - sustainable building - building reuse vs new build - which is better? - California Forever - intentional community - green debate

sustainable building - building reuse vs new build - which is better? - Study by Preservation Green Lab in 2012 concluded that in most cases, reusing existing buildings is far lower carbon footprint than building new - Research study shows that we cannot expand human activity into intact nature any longer if we are to stay within planetary boundaries - Rockstrom - https://hyp.is/0dbJ4FQSEe-QxY8q4Y3yvw/www.youtube.com/watch?v=JaboF3vAsZs

for - urban planetary boundaries - barriers to transition - downscaled planetary boundaries - barriers to transition - cross-scale translation of earth system boundaries - barriers to transition - question - retrofitting cities to stay within the doughnut - what are the challenges?

for - governance - planetary subsidiary - no idea how to get there

for - governance - planetary subsidiary

for - key insight - governance - new planetary scale - NOT the UN

for - quote - planetary governance is required - not global

quote - planetary governance is required - not global - The framing of problems as global - suggests that they can be addressed with the tools we have at hand: - modern political ideas and the architecture of global governance that has emerged - since the Second World War. - But planetary problems cannot. - This helps to explain why decades of attempts to manage planetary problems with global institutions have failed.

for - comparison - sustainability / anthropocentric / global vs - habitability / multispecies / planetary

for - progress trap - planetary tipping points - rapid climate destabilization

reference - Ice cores provide first documentation of rapid Antarctic ice loss in the past - https://phys.org/news/2024-02-ice-cores-documentation-rapid-antarctic.html

for - progress trap - AI triggering massive economic growth - planetary boundaries

progress trap - AI triggering massive economic growth - planetary boundaries - The podcaster does not consider the ramifications of the potential disastrous impact of such economic growth if not managed properly

for - followup - downscaling planetary boundaries - challenges - Dillman et al.

.> for - key insight - downscaling planetary boundaries - Steffen et al.

• for: SONEC, neighborhood circles, downscaled planetary boundaries, earth system boundaries, community governance, neighborocracy, neighbourhood parliament, healthy power, toxic power

• title: SoNeC: Sociocratic Neighbourhood Circles in Europe

• date: 2022
• authors:
  • Barbara Sirauch
  • Rita Mayrhofer

• collaborators

  • Maria-Juliana Byck
  • Orsolya Lelkes
  • Johannes Zimm
  • Pia Haerlinger
  • Naya Tselepi
  • Nathaniel Whitestone

• summary

  • SONEC offers a framework for relocalization of the economy but it will require very careful planning to create the right conditions for the emergence of local wellbeing economies.
  • One of the leverage points is the cosmolocal nature of SONEC, allowing the rapid, global sharing of good and best practices
  • This will be important because if SONEC is to reach its potential to awaken the sleeping giant of citizens to drive the necessary changes to mitigate the worst of the current existential polylcrisis, we will need a global synchronization of collective action at the local level.

Das Wasserversorgungssystem des Iran ist vor allem wegen der Entnahme des Wassers für Landwirtschaft und Industrie komplett und irreparabel zusammengebrochen. Dabei ist das Land immer mehr Hitzewellen ausgesetzt, bei denen in einigen Gebieten Temperaturen von über 55° C erreicht werden. Durch die Verarmung in den letzten Jahren ist die Bevölkerung in den betroffenen Provinzen besonders verwundbar. Reportage der New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/23/world/middleeast/iran-heat-water.htmltopic

C40 High Impact Accelerators - sustainable cities - downscaled planetary boundaries

for - quote - Michael Mann - quote - a Second Trump presidency - polycrisis - politics and climate crisis - climate mitigation strategy - voting in 2024 U.S. election - adjacency - Michael Mann - 2nd Trump presidency - exceeding planetary boundaries - exceeding 1.5 Deg C - Gen Z voting

adjacency - between - Michael Mann - 2nd Trump presidency - exceeding planetary boundaries - exceeding 1.5 Deg C - Trump's presidency is existential threat to humanity - Gen Z voting - 2024 election - adjacency statement - Michael Mann's quote " A second Trump term is game over for the climate - really" applies to the 2024 election if Trump becomes the Republican nominee. - Trumps dismal environmental record in his 2016 to 2020 term speaks for itself. He would do something similiar in 2025 if he were the president. G - Given there are only 5 years and 172 days before we hit the dangerous threshold of burning through all the carbon budget for humanity, - https://climateclock.world/ - It is questionable whether Biden's government alone can do enough, but certainly if Trump won the 2024 election, his term in office would create a regression severe enough to put the Paris Climate goal of staying within 1.5 Deg C out of reach, and risk triggering major planetary tipping points - A Biden government is evidence-based and believes in anthropogenic climate change and is already taking measures to mitigate it. A Trump government is not evidence-based and is supported by incumbent fossil fuel industry so does not have the interest of the U.S. population nor all of humanity at heart. - Hence, the 2024 U.S. election can really determine the fate of humanity. - Gen Z can play a critical role for humanity by voting against a government that would, in leading climate scientists Michael Mann's words, be game over for a stable climate, and therefore put humanity and unimaginable risk. - Gen Z can swing the vote to a government willing to deal with the climate crisis over one in climate denial so voting activists need to be alerted to this and create the right messaging to reach Gen Z - https://hyp.is/LOud7sBBEe6S0D8itLHw1A/circle.tufts.edu/latest-research/41-million-members-gen-z-will-be-eligible-vote-2024

To - PNAS article - https://hyp.is/VDrRlLoVEe6D4SsvWEe2tg/www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2301531121

for - planetary commons

from - Linked In post - https://hyp.is/RqdNCroVEe68NrvfZsETqw/www.linkedin.com/posts/jurajsvajda_the-planetary-commons-a-new-paradigm-for-activity-7155512475939930113-JOEj/

for - planetary commons

• for: downscaled earth system boundaries, downscaled planetary boundaries, TPF

• for: downscaled planetary boundaries, downscaling planetary boundaries
• annotate

• for: planetary boundaries - critique
• annotate

• for: downscaled planetary boundaries, planetary boundary cities, ARUP - planetary boundary design

• comment

  • There is no threshold information, just general design methods

• for: annotate, urban planning, downscaled planetary boundaries, downscale earth system boundaries

• for: Kevin Anderson, transition, climate equity, climate justice, climate justice - Kevin Anderson, carbon inequality - Kevin Anderson, life within planetary boundaries, lifestyle within planetary boundaries - elites, climate crisis - Kevin Anderson

• summary

  • Kevin offers a picture of what a world within the stable climate planetary boundary would look like for the wealthy of the planet.

• for: planetary tipping points, global tipping points, positive tipping points, social tipping points

• comment
  • if we have to wait until planetary tipping points are triggered, it will be too late. There has to be some other less catastrophic event that happens before that. Perhaps some combination of extreme weather events
  • We need to trigger sufficiently large social tipping points before planetary tipping points are breached.

Kurz vor der COP28 hat das Lancet-Countdown-Team seinen jährlichen Bericht über Gesundheit und Klimawandel vorgelegt. Die globale Erhitzung habe im vergangenen Jahr für 127 Millionen mehr Menschen zu leichter bis schwerer Nahrungsmittelunsicherheit geführt. In vielen Gebieten hätte die Klimaveränderung die Ausbreitung neuer Krankheiten begünstigt. Durch die anhaltenden Investitionen in fossile Energien bewege sich die Welt in die falsche Richtung https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2023/nov/14/paying-in-lives-health-of-billions-at-risk-from-global-heating-warns-report

Einer chinesischen Studie zufolge könnte Mikroplastik in der Atmosphäre die Wolkenbildung beeinflussen. Die Partikel werden bei längerem Aufenthalt in der Atmosphäre rauher, wodurch sie zur Wolkenbildung beitragen könnten. https://www.repubblica.it/green-and-blue/2023/11/15/news/microplastiche_aria_nuvole_meteo_inquinamento-42036412/

Studie: https://pubs.acs.org/doi/abs/10.1021/acs.estlett.3c00729#

Die WHO will bei der kommenden COP28 das Thema der Gesundheit offensiv in den Mittelpunkt stellen. Zum ersten Mal wird ein ganzer Tag Gesundheitsthemen gewidmet sein. Der Guardian hat dazu mit Maria Neira. der WHO-Verantwortlichen für Umweltgesundheit, gesprochen. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/nov/04/politicians-who-delay-climate-action-must-live-with-consequences-says-who-expert

200 bekannte medizinische Zeitschriften appellieren and die WHO, angesichts der Klimakrise den Gesundheitsnotstand auszurufen. https://taz.de/Ausrufung-des-Gesundheitsnotstands/!5964503/

Aufruf: Time to treat the climate and nature crisis as one indivisible global health emergency - The Lancet https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736\(23\)02289-4/fulltext

Die Vertreter:innen von 46,3 Millionen Ärzt:innen und im Gesundheitswesen Beschäftigen verlangen in einem offenen Brief an den Präsidenten der COP28, schnell aus den fossilen Energien.auszusteigen. Sie fordern, auf der Konferenz ausführlich auf die Folgen der globalen Erhitzung für die Gesundheit einzugehen und Vertreter:innen der fossilen Energien auszuschließen... https://www.liberation.fr/environnement/climat/un-mois-avant-la-cop-28-des-organisations-internationales-de-sante-appellent-a-abandonner-les-energies-fossiles-20231101_G4TFHGAECZHJXPYH276YOJGQO4/

Ökologische und gesundheitliche Folgeschäden des aktuellen Landwirtschafts- und Ernährungssystems kosten in Deutschland jährlich 7%, global 10% des Bruttosozialprodukts (10 Billionen Dollar). Die Zahlen stammen aus einem neuen Bericht der FAO. https://taz.de/Neue-Studie-von-UN-Organisation/!5968357/

Studie: https://www.fao.org/documents/card/en/c/cc7724en

Durch die Überschreitung von 6 der 9 planetaren Grenzen wurde der „safe operating space for humanity“ verlassen. Die neue Studie analysiert auf Basis von 2000 Studien erstmals die Situation bei allen planetaren Grenzen. Als besonders bedrohlich schätzen die Forschenden ein, dass 4 direkt auf das Leben bezogene Grenzen überschritten wurden. Die dadurch mangelnde Resilienz könnte es auch unabhängig von Emissions-Senkungen unmöglich machen, das 1,5°-Ziel zu erreichen. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/13/earth-well-outside-safe-operating-space-for-humanity-scientists-find

6 von 9 planetaren Grenzen wurden bereits überschritten, wie eine neue gemeinsame Studie von Erdsystemwissenschaftler:innen zeigt. Es handelt sich um die Grenzen bei globaler Erwärmung, Biosdiversität, Entwaldung, Schadstoffe, Stickstoffkreislauf und Süßwasser. Die Studie stammt vor allem von Autori:innen, die das Konzept der planetaren Grenzen entwickelt hatten. https://taz.de/Studie-zur-Belastung-des-Planeten/!5960174/

Studie: https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adh2458

• for: urban development, inequality, just boundaries, safe and just boundaries, climate justice, urban planetary boundaries, livable cities, earth system boundaries, earth system justice
• title: Urban inequalities in the 21st century economy
• author: Jan niman, Yehua Dennis Wei
• date: Apr 2, 2020
• source: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7124478/

• for: system change, polycrisis, extreme weather, planetary tipping points, climate disruption, climate chaos, tipping point, hothouse earth, new meme, deep transformation
• title: The Great Disruption has Begun
• author: Paul Gilding
• date: Sept 3, 2023
• source: https://www.paulgilding.com/cockatoo-chronicles/the-great-disruption-has-begun

• summary

  • good q uick opening paragraphs that summarize the plethora of extreme events in 2023 up to Sept 2023 (but misses the Canadian Wildfires) and also the list of potential planetary tipping points that are giving indication of being at the threshold.
  • He makes a good point about the conservative nature of science that underestimates impacts due to the inertia of scientific study.
  • Coins a good meme
    • Everything, everywhere, all at once
  • He ties all the various crisis together to show the many components of the wicked problem we face
  • finally what it comes down to is that we cannot stop the coming unprecedented changes but we can and must slow it down as much as possible and we should be prepared for a wild ride

• comment

  • It would be a good educational tool for deep and transformative climate education to map all these elements of the polycrisis and show their feedbacks and interactions, especially how it relates to socio-economic impacts to motivate transformative change and mobilize the urgency now required.

• for: cross-scale translation of earth system boundaries, downscaled planetary boundaries, leverage point

• stats

  • 10000 to 1 million is optimum size
• question: investigate rationale

• for: cross-scale translation of earth system boundaries, downscaled planetary boundaries, leverage point
• key finding
  • suitable cohorts and cohort ranges for rapidly deploying climate and sustainability actions between a single individual and the globally projected ∼ 10 billion persons by 2050 is:
  • community scale between 10k and 100k

• for: cross-scale translation of earth system boundaries, downscaled planetary boundaries, leverage point
• title: Powers of 10: seeking 'sweet spots' for rapid climate and sustainability actions between individual and global scales

• for: Canadian forest fires, tipping point, forest fire graph, graph - forest fires - Canada,
• comment
  • graph that shows the unprecedented forest fires turning forests from carbon sink to carbon source

• for: smart cities, doughnut cities, cosmolocal, downscaled planetary boundaries, cross-scale translation of earth system boundaries, TPF, community data, local data, open data, community data ownership, quote, quote - Garth Graham, quote - community owned data
• quote
• paraphrase
  • Innovation in the creation and sustainability of social institutions acts predominantly at the local level.
  • In the Internet of Things, for those capacities to emerge in smart cities, communities need the capacity to own and analyse the data created that models what they are experiencing.
  • Local data needs to be seen as a common, pool resource.
  • Where that occurs, communities will have the capacity to learn or innovate their way forward.
  • So far, smart city systems are being set up to appropriate and commercialize individual and community data.
  • So far, communities are not waking up to the realization that a capacity they need is being stolen from them before they have it.
• author: Garth Graham
  • leader of Telecommunities Canada

• for: regenerative cities, sustainable cities, doughnut cities, earth system boundaries, urban planetary boundaries, circular cities
• comment
  • if they are envisioning a lot of cities, they need to carefully think about earth system boundaries for each city, otherwise, they will simply be adding to the problem of cascading tipping points.
  • They also have to be designed to be climate resilient as extreme weather will make any human settlement of the future very challenging

• for: safe and just boundaries, earth system boundaries, planetary boundaries
• title
  • Safe and just Earth system boundaries

• for: downscaled planetary boundaries, bend the curve, allocate responsibilities, fair share, science-based targets
• key insight
  • downscaling to city scale and to business actdors
  • based on Science based targets

• for: earth system boundaries, safe and just boundaries, planetary boundaries, doughnut economics, bend the curve
• title Earth System Boundaries for a Just World on a Safe Planet
• source
  • Future Earth, Earth Commission
• date
  • June 2023

• for: safe and just boundaries, earth system justice, planetary boundaries

• for: downscaled planetary boundaries, earth system boundaries, bend the curve

• for: planetary boundaries, tipping points, planetary tipping points

• for tipping point, planetary tipping point
• likely temperature thresholds for breaching planetary tipping points at 1.5 Deg C
  • Greenland Ice sheet
  • West Antarctica ice sheet
  • tropical coral reef system
  • boreal permafrost
  • Berent sea ice

• Title
  • Downscaling the planetary boundaries in absolute environmental sustainability assessments – A review
• Authors
  • Morten W. Ryberg
  • Martin Marchman Andersen
  • Mikotaj Owsianiak
  • Michael Z. Hauschild
• Date
  • Dec 2020
• Source
  • https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0959652620333321
• Abstract
  • Excerpt
    • To ensure choices concerning sharing principles in absolute environmental sustainability assessments (AESA) are deliberate,
      • there is a need for understanding the distributive justice theory underlying the sharing principles. -This study provides a framework for determining and communicating the distributive justice theories that underlie the choice of sharing principles in AESA

Zwischen 1993 und 2010 hat der Grundwasserbestand der Erde durch menschliche Entnahmen um 2150 abgenommen – vor allem in den mittleren Breiten. Die Erhöhung des Meeresspiegels dadurch ist so groß, dass sich die Drift der Erdachse dadurch leicht verändert hat. https://www.scinexx.de/news/geowissen/unser-wasserverbrauch-verschiebt-die-erdachse/

Studie: https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2023GL103509

Eine neue Studie ergibt, dass die Konzentration von PFAs oder "Forever Chemicals" im norwegischen Polareis die Ökosysteme dort bedroht und zusammen mit der globalen Erhitzung für kombinierten Stress sorgt.

Title: Unintended Consequences: Unknowable and Unavoidable, or Knowable and Unforgivable?

Abstract - Paraphrase - there are multiple environmental limits within which humanity can safely operate, - potential negative outcomes of seemingly positive actions need to accounted for. - “nexus” research is consistent with the above - it recognizes the integrated and interactive nature of water, energy and food systems, - and aims to understand the broader implications of developments in any one of these systems. - This article presents a novel framework for categorizing such detrimental unintended consequences, based upon: - how much is known about the system in question - and the scope for avoiding any such unintended consequences. - The framework comprises four categories: - Knowable and Avoidable - Knowable and Unavoidable - Unknowable and Avoidable - Unknowable and Unavoidable - The categories are explored with reference to examples in both: - the water-energy-food nexus and - planetary boundary frameworks. - The examples: - highlight the potential for the unexpected to happen and - explore dynamic nature of the situations that give rise to the unexpected. - The article concludes with guidance on how the framework can be used - to increase confidence that best efforts have been made to navigate our way toward - secure and sustainable water, energy and food systems, - avoiding and/or managing unintended consequences along the way.

// - This paper is principally about - progress traps, - how they emerge, - their characteristics - as they morph through the knowability / avoidability matrix - and how we might predict and mitigate them in the future

• Title: Consumption Corridors: Living a Good Life within Sustainable Limits
• This book explores how to enhance peoples’ chances to live a good life in a world of ecological and social limits.

// - A key shift is required to mobilize people at scale - This strategy is already being adopted by change agents around the globe but the change in perspective needs to become greater - Living within doughnut economics reaches the same conclusion: https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=a+good+life+for+all - and currently, as the "Good Life for All" study showed at a national (country) scale, very few if any countries are meeting this requirement - the great inequality implies that the poor must be uplifted materially, whilst the rich must be encouraged to share material and economic wealth - the poor of the world will receive material and economic gain while the economic elites of the world gain nonmaterial wealth

// - Orienting towards the good life is needed to mobilize action. - Why? - Because shifting from a negative vision to a positive one is necessary to mobilize action (at scale) - It is the difference between: - being coerced vs being self-motivated - being reactive vs being proactive - being depressed and lethargic vs being joyful and energetic - hence, in this transition journey, we must accompany the limits with the positive transformation that allows us to achieve wellbeing within them.

• Consumption corridors are proposed as the way to live what we all consider a good life, within planetary boundaries.
• Citizen engagement and deliberative democracy are key to co-creating a system that works for us all

• Question
• Will they develop within planetary boundaries?

• Earth Commission has develop principles for sharing responsibilities for cities and companies.
• Comment
  • This is implicitly a form of downscaling

• The meaning of safe and JUST ESBs
• Safe:
  • stabilize the Earth system,
  • protect species and ecosystems,
  • avoid tipping points
• JUST:
  • minimize ‘significant harm’ to people
  • while ensuring access to resources for a dignified life and escape from poverty.
  • If JUSTice is not considered,
    • the biophysical limits may not be adequate to protect current generations from significant harm.
    • IF JUSTICE is not explicitly included, it can lead to a progress trap.
      • https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=Progress+trap
  • Strict biophysical limits, such as reducing emissions or setting aside land for nature,
    • may lead to intended consequences that reduce access to food and land for vulnerable people.
    • To mitigate this, biophysical limited should be complemented by fair sharing and management of the remaining ecological space on Earth.

• Planetary justice scholarship goes further than global justice
• it:
  • calls for radical or profound changes to justice understandings in the Anthropocene,
  • critiques anthropocentricism,
  • calls for greater engagement with the non-human world
• Comment
  • See Symbiocene
  • https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=Symbiocene

• Comment
• In fact, Johan Rockstrom, one of the principal founders of the concept of planetary boundaries is currently working with the Earth Commission to effectively downscale fair share planetary boundaries to cities.
• reference: https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=SBT+for+cities

• Paraphrase
• The aim of the study is to:
  • reveal the obstacles that still prevent the application of = downscaled planetary boundaries and = downscaled doughnut economics at wide scale in the real world and in so doing
  • help identify ways to overcome the obstacles

No mention of Hachaichi's work

• Mohammed Hachaichi References https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=hachaichi

• Paraphrase
• Few cities currently have science-based targets (SBT)
• Only 22 of 500 top greenhouse gas emitting companies set targets in line with SBT (Bloomberg Terminal)
• Only 110 of the top 200 cities with the highest emissions had "net zero" pledges aligned with Paris Agreement.
• Numbers are lower or missing for biodversity or other ESBs.
• Comment
• Setting such SBTs for cities is in effect downscaling Planetary Boundaries.

• Title

  • How to stop cities and companies causing planetary harm

• Author

  • Xuemei Bai,
  • Anders Bjørn,
  • Şiir Kılkış,
  • Oscar Sabag Muñoz,
  • Gail Whiteman,
  • Holger Hoff,
  • Lauren Seaby Andersen,
  • Johan Rockström

Next year, the Earth Commission, including many of the scientists on this report, will issue a report outlinging the Earth System Boundaries (ESB) to hlep cities and corporations stay within planetary boundaries.

• Key Finding
  • This paper uses machine learning to overcome unavailable carbon footprints inventories of the Global South
  • which are usually hampered by:
    • lack of local urban emissions data,
    • reduced climate footprint, and
    • shortages in climate finance.

• using these algorithms, the author estimates 24,110 cities' carbon footprints of the Global South

  • to provide a comprehensive analysis on a planetary scale,
  • while allocating responsibilities according to the cities' regions and sizes.

• author

  • Mohammed Hachaichi

• Highlights
  • Downscaling seven of nine = planetary boundaries indicators
    • to the city scale-level
    • for 62 major cities in the = Middle East North Africa (MENA) region
  • Extended-Environmental Input-Output analysis is used to estimate cities’ footprints.
  • The Planetary Boundaries framework is a controlling tool for cities footprints.
  • City-level carbon footprint is higher than the national-level by 17%.

• Title
  • Downscaling the planetary boundaries (Pbs) framework to city scale-level: De-risking MENA region’s environment future
• Author
  • Mohamed Hachaichi

= example - gamifying system change in one area - grocery shopping - 18.9 kg was the hard limit - shoppers must keep their purchases under 18.9 kg per week to do their fair share to stay within planetary boundaries, in terms of grocery shopping

!- planetary boundaries : synchronization

!- planetary crisis: beyond climate crisis

Alex Steffen über die Rekordregenfälle in Kalifornien und über die Wasser-Infrastruktur des Bundesstaats.

!- downscaling : planetary boundaries and doughnut economics - neither has the traction as SDGs

!- limitations : planetary boundary framework - planetary boundary framework is insufficient to describe a safe corridor

!- key question : what are the challenges of translating global scale targets into concrete and actionable targets for local actors? - in other words, how do we downscale global indicators such as planetary boundaries?

Rudiak-Gould (2015) - The Social Life of Blame in the Anthropocene - https://is.gd/rRJjXz

!- slogan : from climate change to system change

Again and again, planetary vision with a local California vibe. It is as if "planetary" is a California lifestyle.

Gut aufbereiteter Bericht zum Verlust der Biodiversität, sehr viele Infografiken

Bitcoin, in spite of its unintended consequences, does demonstrate the power and potential of these kinds of systems to scale.

All three variables - population growth, consumption and waste must be minimized simultaneously in order to bend the curve back to a safe operating safe for humanity

Unfortunately, our fates are collectively tied so we must collectively do this at scale to prevent tipping points. The motto of the Tipping Point Festival: Reach Social tipping points before planetary ones are breached.