Die Forderung nach „Technologieoffenheit“, ein Standard-Topos der Klima-Verzögerer, wird mehrfach erhoben.

for - stats - climate crisis - example - positive impacts of mutualisation / sharing - car sharing - 1 Shared car can replace 9 to 13 cars without loss of mobility - from Substack article - The Cosmo-Local Plan for our Next Civilization - Michel Bauwens - 2024, Dec 20

Eine neue Studie erhebt systematisch, wieviel weniger Frosttage es in den Ländern und Städten der Nordhalbkugel 2014-2023 aufgrund der globalen Erhitzung gab. Österreich hat inzwischen 13, Wien 22 Frosttage weniger als in einer Welt ohne fossile Emissionen. Diese Veränderungen haben gravierende Folgen für die Ökosysteme, die Verbreitung von Krankheiten, den Tourimus und das Lebensgefühl. https://www.derstandard.at/story/3000000249512/der-klimawandel-kostete-wien-22-frosttage-im-winter

Ausfühlicher Überblicksartikel zur Begrünung von Dächern mit einem Schwerpunkt auf Entwicklungen in Wien. Flache Dächer auf neuen Gebäuden müssen in Wien begrünt sein; die Begrünung wird von der Stadt gefördert. Die Begrünung hat auch positive Auswirkungen auf die Biodiversität. Als exemplarisches Projekt wird die Biotope City am Wienerberg genannt. https://www.derstandard.at/story/3000000247676/laut-fachleuten-braucht-es-mehr-gruen-auf-unseren-daechern

for - philosophy matters! - biodiversity crisis - 10,000 years of preservation vs 100 years of clearcut - David Hinton - comparison - polycrisis - climate crisis - two unthought assumptions - philosophical differences - Indigenous people of Vermont vs European settlers - from - Emergence Magazine - interview - An Ethics of Wild Mind - David Hinton

comparison - polycrisis - climate crisis - biodiversity crisis - Indigneous people of Vermont - vs European settlers - unthought assumptions - unthought assumptions of Indigenous people took care of forests for 10,000 years - unthought assumptions of European settlers clear cut all the forests in 100 years - These are philosophical differences - PHILOSOPHY MATTERS!

for - synergy - David Hinton and SRG / Deep Humanity open science, TPF project - climate departure

for - adjacency - climate crisis - raw milk - Boevar food supplement for cows to lower methane emissions of farting cows - misinformation - far right conspiracy theories - deeper issue - blindspot revealed by anxiety - Deep Humanity - progress traps

https://edition.cnn.com/2024/03/07/opinions/climate-scientist-scare-doom-anxiety-mcguire/index.html

Guardian-Bericht über die Rolle von @Maisa_Rojas in der neuen chilenischen Regierung. Gegenstück zum Interview mit Christophe Cassou

Das linke Regierungsteam sieht Chile auch international in einer Führungsrolle im Kampf gegen die Klimakatastrophe:

“I think there’s a lot of space for Chile to become a leader in the fight against climate change,” she says, “I would love to be able convince other countries that ambitiously tackling climate change is in their best interests.

Vielleicht ist das eine zu romantische Annahme: Aber so wie Chile in den 70ern ein Symbol für den Sieg des Neoliberalismus wurde, so wird es vielleicht heute ein Symbol für dessen Niederlage.

Eine intenrnational bekannte Klimawissenschaftlerin wird verantwortlich für die Klimapolitik und sie betont den Zusammenhang zwischen Klimakrise, gesellschaftlicher Ungleichheit und kapitalistischem Entwicklungsmodell:

“When we address climate change, it’s not just an environmental issue,” she says. “We need to look at structural elements of our society, which also means changing our development pathway.”

Bei der Lektüre frage ich mich, welche Rolle Österreich, ein Land in der Größenordnung Chiles, mit einer fortschrittlichen Klimapolitik international spielen könnte.

Hidden behind the Andes in a quiet corner of South America, a formidable generation of former student leaders are putting together one of the world’s most exciting progressive movements.

​

On 24 January, Boric named a female-majority cabinet for the first time in Chile’s history. Rojas, one of 14 women among the 24 ministers, is a prominent academic at the University of Chile, where she first studied physics in the 1990s, and the director of the country’s interdisciplinary Centre for Climate and Resilience Research.

​Auch Maisa Rojas erwähnt die Eco-Anxiety:

But at Cop26 in Glasgow last November, as she worked with the team on the annual report on the climate crisis, Rojas felt an unfamiliar feeling. “For the first time in my life I felt something like ‘eco-anxiety’ – I was really worried about what was going on,” she says.

Ihre Position ist wie die von Cassou ein Signal für die Veränderung der politischen Rolle der Wissenschaftler:innen im IPCC und darüber hinaus. Sie geben die subalterne Haltung gegenüber der Politik auf. Der letzte IPCC-Bericht enthält dafür auch viele Indizien.

In Norwegen wurde für eine Studie untersucht, welche Emotionen am ehesten zu einem klimapolitischen Engagement führen. Ärger führt danach am ehesten dazu, dass sich Menschen an Protesten beteiligen. Generell seien die Teilnehmenden aber zu wenig beunruhigt von der globalen Erhitzung. Der GuardianA-Artikel verweist auf anderen Forschende und Projekte zu Gefühlen und Klimaveränderung.

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/aug/21/anger-is-most-powerful-emotion-by-far-for-spurring-climate-action-study-finds

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/21/magazine/climate-anxiety-therapy.html

for - climate crisis - Medium article - climate communication - how climate change is framed to disempower you - Joe Brewer - 2024, Dec 4 - from - post - LinkedIn - climate crisis - climate communication - climate change discourse has been framed to disempower us - changing the story - so that grassroots, bottom-up initiatives can restore health to ecosystems - Joe Brewer, 2024, Dec 4 - from - Resilience article - A 'Transcender Manifesto" for a world beyond capitalism. A seed.

summary - A good article that offers an explanation of how language has potentially led the public to rely on top down actors to provide solutions to the climate crisis - Joe Brewer draws on his background as a frame analyst to analyse the role language and cognitive linguistics has played in framing the discourse on the climate crisis - He claims that this has led the public to look to elite top down actors to provide the solutions - This had led to a disempowerment of the public in actively participating in contributing too solutions - Indeed it could be why we have a sleeping giant - Reframing the story could have the opposite effect of inspiring people's to wake up and take action to regenerate nature within and surrounding the communities where people live.

from - post - LinkedIn - climate crisis - climate communication - climate change discourse has been framed to disempower us - changing the story - so that grassroots, bottom-up initiatives can restore health to ecosystems - Joe Brewer, 2024, Dec 4 - https://hyp.is/yvHstLfVEe-cyRN4sq09Ow/www.linkedin.com/posts/joe-brewer-4957925_earlier-this-week-i-lived-into-an-important-activity-7270035170328494080-E7Cq/ - from - Resilience article - A 'Transcender Manifesto" for a world beyond capitalism. A seed. - https://hyp.is/0NOdtLiREe--pwPfB1SmdA/www.resilience.org/stories/2024-04-18/a-transcender-manifesto-for-a-world-beyond-capitalism-a-seed/

for -❓- not EITHER / OR but AND - climate crisis - community engagement strategy - futures - backcasting from 2030

❓- not EITHER / OR but AND - not - either top down climate action OR - bottom up climate action, - but both - top down climate action AND - bottom up climate action

for - adjacency - systemic intedependent web - predicament - progress trap - Joe Brewer - progress trap - climate crisis solutions

for - climate crisis - climate communications - 3rd framing element - oversimplification of complexity to reductionist linear thinking - " the polluters are the problem, let's find a solution" - Joe Brewer

for - climate crisis - climate communications - large social movements fizzle out - first framing element - elite policy institutions and businesses are seen as the primary actors - Joe Brewer

for - climate crisis - climate communications - 2nd framing element - majority of discourse framed around economics of carbon markets - or green growth technological solutions from corporation's - Joe Brewer

for - quote - framing element - media frames climate crisis as issue for the elites to solve - but it has been a complete failure - Joe Brewer

for - climate communication - George Lakoff - cognitive linguistics - framing theory - Joe Brewer

for - A Transcender Manifesto - addressing the polycrisis - reframing old stories - to - Medium article - How Climate Change is Framed to Disempower you - Joe Brewer

to - Medium article - How Climate Change is Framed to Disempower you - Joe Brewer - https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fmedium.com%2F%40joe_brewer%2Fhow-climate-change-is-framed-to-disempower-you-01d871413487&group=world

for - study - carbon inequality - A multi-model assessment of inequality and climate change - 2024

for - climate crisis - leverage point - target the wealthiest - Ott et al. 2019

for - definition - climate change doom loop

for - definition - Doom loop - definition - derailment risk

Summary - An informative article that shows how climate crisis is invisibly contributing to increasing precarity in indirect ways that are not noticed by those impacted by it. - This creates a positive feedback loop of diverting resources to deal with - the symptoms instead of - the root cause.

for - post - LinkedIn - climate crisis - climate communication - climate change discourse has been framed to disempower us - changing the story - so that grassroots, bottom-up initiatives can restore health to ecosystems - Joe Brewer, 2024, Dec 4 - to - Medium article - How Climate Change is framed to Disempower you - Joe Brewer - 2024, Dec 4

to - Medium article - How Climate Change is framed to Disempower you - Joe Brewer - 2024, Dec 4 - https://hyp.is/XoQoRLfVEe-ZMIMjZheLLA/medium.com/@joe_brewer/how-climate-change-is-framed-to-disempower-you-01d871413487

for - climate crisis - ongoing delay game - Kevin Anderson - Dec 2024

for - quote - lack of seriousness on addressing existential threat of climate change - Kevin Anderson - Dec 2024

for - climate crisis - hypocrisy of the experts - greenwashing of the elites - Kevin Anderson

for - climate crisis - expert opinions are helping to kick the can down the road - Kevin Anderson

for - climate crisis - plan B - always has tendency to undermine Plan A and cause delayed action - ie. Negative Emissions Technologies - Kevin Anderson

for - Kevin Anderson - Dec 2024 feeling about the climate crisis

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/dec/04/us-climate-crisis-legal-court

for - question - climate crisis - climate models underestimate warming in some areas up to 4x - what is the REAL carbon budget if adjusted to the real situation?

question - climate crisis - climate models underestimate warming in some areas up to 4x<br /> - What is the REAL carbon budget if adjusted to the real situation? - If we have even less than 5 years remaining in our carbon budget, then how many years do we actually have to stay within 1.5 Deg C?

for - climate model - gaps - from - post - LinkedIn - Reality vs Climate Models - Kasper Benjamin Reimer BjørkskovKasper Benjamin Reimer Bjørkskov

from - post - Linked In - Reality vs Climate Models - Kasper Benjamin Reimer BjørkskovKasper Benjamin Reimer Bjørkskov - https://hyp.is/Dc_w8rM2Ee-I0VO9JwZKNg/www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7270232384455720960/?commentUrn=urn:li:comment:(activity:7270232384455720960,7270500962702655489)&dashCommentUrn=urn:li:fsd_comment:(7270500962702655489,urn:li:activity:7270232384455720960)

for - climate crisis - paper - models are underestimating by up to 4x - to - paper - Global emergence of regional heatwave hotspots outpaces climate model simulations Kornhuber et al, 2024 - https://hyp.is/9cS36LMtEe-2oL8C4AgQOQ/www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2411258121

for - climate crisis - models are underestimating as much as 4x - question - does our current remaining carbon budget of 5 years BAU need to be reduced?

for - post - LinkedIn - question - Trump-proofing climate change research in the US

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/dec/01/land-degradation-expanding-by-1m-sq-km-a-year-study-shows

for - social tipping points - climate change

for - paper - Assessing the size and uncertainty of Remaining Carbon Budget (RCB) - Lamboll et al, 2023 - from - youtube - Climate scientist Kevin Anderson warns: Only 4 years left to stay below 1.5°C without urgent action

from - youtube - Climate scientist Kevin Anderson warns: Only 4 years left to stay below 1.5°C without urgent action - https://hyp.is/u-rKxK-6Ee-TT7OpdMUOTw/www.youtube.com/watch?v=kFDRp-JMf9Q

for - more research on - Joe Kelly - climate crisis - cloud behavior - Jim Hansen

for - climate crisis - large green organizations in bed with fossil fuel companies - to squeeze out nuclear - question - Can Jim Hansen name names? - Jim Hansen

• climate crisis - greenwashing - Amory Lovins - Rocky Mountain Institute - 500,000 USD donations from Shell Oil and BP - Jim Hansen

for - climate crisis - greenwashing - Amory Lovins - Rocky Mountain Institute - book - Reinventing Fire - forward by Shell Oil president - Jim Hansen

for - climate crisis - leverage point - the youth - voting examples - Jim Hansen

for - climate crisis - leverage point - the youth - Jim Hansen

for - climate crisis - Global Climate Models (GCM) limitation - do not allow alternative perspectives - unrealistic sensitivity to injection of fresh water into upper layers of the ocean - Jim Hansen

for - question - climate crisis - AMOC - does Jim Hansen consider shutdown of AMOC irreversible?

for - climate crisis - planetary tipping points - irreversible? - Hansen disagrees - part 2 - climate crisis - comparison - planetary tipping points - Hansen vs Rockstrom

climate crisis - comparison - planetary tipping points - Hansen vs Rockstrom - Hansen makes a valid point. What Rockstrom might consider irreversible, although he doesn't explicitly say, but implies, Hansen speaks instead in more precise terms - The perspectives may be dependent on the knowledge that informs each scientist - Hansen's research into the unknown area of climate change, aeresols and cloud cover, is not considered in conventional knowledge that IPCC bases its conclusions on since it is unknown - Hansen's research uncovers that aeresols play a very large role, to such an extent that humans may be able to mitigate exceeding dangerous temperature thresholds pragmatically through aeresol interventions that impact cloud behavior -

for - climate crisis - planetary tipping points - irreversible? - Hansen disagrees - part 1

for - climate crisis - article - Global Warming Acceleration: Hope vs Hopium - Jim Hansen et al., 2024, Mar 29

for - article - The Conversation climate crisis - mobilize older people - Jones, Aled & Hiller, Bradley, 2021

for - climate crisis - hypocrisy - example - colonialism - academics flying around the world to conferences - Kevin Anderson

for - climate crisis - hypocrisy - example - colonialism - journalists in Global North fly to Global South with full film crew - alternative - hire journalists in Global South to do the film work - Kevin Anderson

for - climate crisis - hypocrisy - example - colonialism - scientists in Global North fly to Global South - alternative - hire scientists in Global South to do the field work - Kevin Anderson

for - examples - climate leader hypocrisy - 3 examples - provided by Kevin Anderson

for - climate crisis - IPCC - warning - working group 3 - integrated assessment models - are basically economic models - with a bit of mythical technology - a bit of social science - Kevin Anderson

for - climate crisis - IPCC - warning - working group 3 - integrated assessment models - is just about reducing emissions - inherently political - Kevin Anderson

for - climate crisis - IPCC - warning - working group 3 - Integrated Assessment Models - Some good people here but - It's just Exxon in disguise - Kevin Anderson

for - quote - climate crisis - In 2024, temperatures soared above 1.5 Deg C. Have we breached the threshold? Yes and No - Kevin Anderson

quote - climate crisis - In 2024, temperatures soared above 1.5 Deg C. Have we breached the threshold? Yes and No - Kevin Anderson - (see below) - We hit it for one year and that doesn't tell us we've hit it or we haven't hit it - We we typically want to see a longer running average so we typically use n 11-year running average - so a single year doesn't tell us we've hit it or we haven't hit it - But it may well be that we're already in that long run average - We might be already one of those years that means we're not going to drop below 1.5

for - quote - IPCC - climate models - are deeply colonial - Kevin Anderson

for - stats - climate change - emissions reductions from behavioral change - 20% reduction in households

for - stats - climate change - emissions reductions from behavioral change - 33% reduction in EU

for - climate target of 1.5 Deg C - incrementalism won't work - rapid system change is necessary

for - social tipping points - climate action - social tipping interventions - STI

paper details - title: From niches to norms: the promise of social tipping interventions to scale climate action - authors: Pizziol, Veronica; Tavoni, Alessandro - publisher: Nature - date: 2024

for - climate crisis - Youtube - climate Doomsday 6 years from now - Jerry Kroth - to - climate clock - adjacency - Tipping Point Festival - Indyweb / SRG complexity mapping tool - Integration of many fragmented bottom-up initiatives - The Great Weaving - Cosmolocal organization - Michel Bauwens - Peer-to-Peer Foundation - A third option - Islands of Coherency - Otto Scharmer Presencing Institute - U-labs - Love-based (sacred-based) mini-assemblies interventions to address growing fascism, populism and polarization - Roger Hallam - Ending the US / China Cold War - Yanis Varoufakis

YouTube details - title: climate Doomsday 6 years from now - author: Jerry Kroth, pyschologist

summary - Psychologist Jerry Kroth makes a claim that the 1.5 Deg C and 2.0 Deg C thresholds will be reached sooner than expected - due to acceleration of climate change impacts. - He backs up his argument with papers and recent talks of climate thought leaders using their youtube presentations. - This presentation succinctly summarized a lot of the climate news I've been following recently. - It reminded me of the urgency of climate change, my work trying to find a way to integrate the work of the Climate Clock project into other projects. - This work was still incomplete but now I have incentive to complete it.

adjacency - between - Tipping Point Festival - Indyweb / SRG complexity mapping tool - Integration of many fragmented bottom-up initiatives - The Great Weaving - Cosmolocal organization - Michel Bauwens - Peer-to-Peer Foundation - Islands of Coherency - Otto Scharmer - Presencing Institute - U-labs - Love-based (sacred-based) mini-assemblies interventions to address growing fascism, populism and polarization - Roger Hallam - Ending the US / China Cold War - Yanis Varoufakis - and many others - adjacency relationship - I have been holding many fragmented projects in my mind and they are all orbiting around the Tipping Point Festival for the past decade. - When Indyweb Alpha is done, - especially with the new Wikinizer update - We can collectively weave all these ideas together into one coherent whole using Stop Reset Go complexity mapping as a plexmarked Mark-In notation - Then apply cascading social tipping point theory to invite each project to a form a global coherent, bottom-up commons-based movement for rapid whole system change - Currently, there are a lot of jigsaw puzzle pieces to put together! - I think this video served as a reminder of the urgency emerged of our situation and it emerged adjacencies and associations between recent ideas I've been annotating, specifically: - Yanis Varoufakis - Need to end the US-led cold war with China due to US felt threat of losing their US dollar reserve currency status - that Trump wants to escalate to the next stage with major tariffs - MIchel Bauwens - Cosmolocal organization as an alternative to current governance systems - Roger Hallam - love-based strategy intervention for mitigating fascism, polarization and the climate crisis - Otto Scharmer - Emerging a third option to democracy - small islands of coherency can unite nonlinearly to have a significant impact - Climate Clock - a visual means to show how much time we have left - It is noteworthy that: - Yanis Varoufakis and Roger Hallam are both articulating a higher Common Human Denominator - creating a drive to come together rather than separate - which requires looking past the differences and into the fundamental similarities that make us human - the Common Human Denominators (CHD) - In both of their respective articles, Yanis Varoufakis and Otto Scharmer both recognize the facade of the two party system - in the backend, it's only ruled by one party - the oligarchs, the party of the elites (see references below) - Once Indyweb is ready, and SRG complexity mapping and sense-making tool applied within Indyweb, we will already be curating all the most current information from all the fragmented projects together in one place regardless of whether any projects wants to use the Indyweb or not - The most current information from each project is already converged, associated and updated here - This makes it a valuable resource for them because it expands the reach of each and every project

to - climate clock - https://hyp.is/R_kJHKGQEe28r-doGn-djg/climateclock.world/ - love-based intervention to address fascism, populism and polarization - Roger Hallam - https://hyp.is/wUDpaKsAEe-DM9fteMUtzw/www.youtube.com/watch?v=AiKWCHAcS7E - ending the US / China cold war - Yanis Varoufakis - https://hyp.is/Yy0juqmrEe-ERhtaafWWHw/www.youtube.com/watch?v=8BsAa_94dao - Cosmolocal coordination of the commons as an alternative to current governance and a leverage point to unite fragmented communities - Michel Bauwens - https://hyp.is/AvtJYqitEe-f_EtI6TJRVg/4thgenerationcivilization.substack.com/p/a-global-history-of-societal-regulation - A third option for democracy - Uniting small islands of coherency in a time of chaos - Otto Scharmer - https://hyp.is/JlLzuKusEe-xkG-YfcRoyg/medium.com/presencing-institute-blog/an-emerging-third-option-reclaiming-democracy-from-dark-money-dark-tech-3886bcd0469b - One party system - oligarchs - Yanis Varoufakis - https://hyp.is/CVXzAKnWEe-PBBcP5GE8TA/www.youtube.com/watch?v=8BsAa_94dao - What's missing is a third option (in the two party system) - Otto Scharmer - https://hyp.is/M3S6VKuxEe-pG-Myu6VW1A/medium.com/presencing-institute-blog/an-emerging-third-option-reclaiming-democracy-from-dark-money-dark-tech-3886bcd0469b

for - quote - US politics - one party state - Yanis Varoufakis - observation - Trump was groomed by toxic US corporate culture and only now is the US is experiencing the blowback of that - new meme - hostile corporate takeover of the US government - from - Climate doomsday 6 years from now - Jerry Kroth

quote - US politics - one party state - Yanis Varoufakis - (see below) - The United States is not a democracy - It's an oligarchy with elections that are providing the legitimacy for this one part state to continue to exist

comment - With Trumps win and the nomination of a slate filled with many billionaires to lead major US departments, it's more obvious than ever that what Trump is doing is:

new meme - A hostile corporate takeover of the US government - We shouldn't be surprised as Trump was groomed by the out-of-control corptocracy in the United States - Remember that NBC made him famous with his show "The Apprentice" and during that time, he was celebrated by American corporate culture. Why else did his show reach top position in Nelson ratings? - Trump is the child of the toxic corporate culture of America where money is king, the metric that rules over everything - people and the environment - Trump is merely running the government the way he ran his companies (into the ground), with total control. - On the apprentice, he made famous the phrase "your fired" - We should not be surprised that he is making the US government in the image of himself that he has well publicized for decades.

from - Climate doomsday 6 years from now - Jerry Kroth - from - Youtube - Climate Doomsday 6 years from now - Jerry Kroth - https://hyp.is/OfL17KukEe-u2rfUpknrTg/www.youtube.com/watch?v=KZ0JDk1p6Zg

for - two party system - third viable option is missing - Otto Scharmer - from - Youtube - Climate Doomsday 6 years from now - Jerry Kroth

from - Youtube - Climate Doomsday 6 years from now - Jerry Kroth - https://hyp.is/OfL17KukEe-u2rfUpknrTg/www.youtube.com/watch?v=KZ0JDk1p6Zg

for - to - a proposal for a love-based intervention for addressing the emergence of fascism, populism, polarization and the climate crisis - Roger Hallam

to - a proposal for a love-based intervention for addressing the emergence of fascism, populism, polarization and the climate crisis - Roger Hallam - https://hyp.is/wUDpaKsAEe-DM9fteMUtzw/www.youtube.com/watch?v=AiKWCHAcS7E

great idea!

from - Youtube - climate doomsday 6 years from now - https://hyp.is/OfL17KukEe-u2rfUpknrTg/www.youtube.com/watch?v=KZ0JDk1p6Zg

for - fascism, polarization and climate crisis - interventions - love and listening strategy for climate crisis - Roger Hallam - Trump winning US election - is an opportunity - Roger Hallam - perspectival knowing - Deep Humanity - mini assemblies - Roger Hallam - listening - fascism - social intervention - from - Illuminem article - Proximity: The antidote to fascism - Kasper Benjamin Reimer Bjorkskov - on horizontal and vertical decision-making

Summary - Roger Hallam advocates for a new strategy for the rise of fascism, populism, polarization and the climate crisis - love - He believes that we need a new social strategy based on love, on reaching out to the other side with compassion and listening to them - He cites numerous research studies that show that this can be transformative, for instance, citing pyschologist Carl Rogers - SRG complexity mapping tool, Deep Humanity and Indyweb could be synergistic to this program because both depend on: - diversity and - perspectival knowing

from - Illuminem article - Proximity: The antidote to fascism - Kasper Benjamin Reimer Bjorkskov on horizontal and vertical decision-making - https://hyp.is/0Tv_Rqr3Ee-_-X8fKkCfpg/illuminem.com/illuminemvoices/proximity-the-antidote-to-fascism - Medium article - An Emerging Third Option: Reclaiming Democracy from Dark Money & Dark Tech Seven Observations On 2024 and What’s Next - Otto Scharmer - cutting across political lines / https://hyp.is/exS8dKtNEe-pfz-IhQFiZA/medium.com/presencing-institute-blog/an-emerging-third-option-reclaiming-democracy-from-dark-money-dark-tech-3886bcd0469b

for - stats - Perato's law - social transformation - fascism, polarization and climate crisis - climate communication - 80% will change if we listen, 19% will require deeper conversations - 1% will not change - Roger Hallam

for - fascism, polarization and climate crisis - climate communications - social intervention - new movement that can be 10x the size of Extinction Rebellion - apply Carl Rogers discovery of listening - Roger Hallam

https://enb.iisd.org/baku-un-climate-change-conference-cop29-daily-report-21nov2024?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=ENB%20Update%20-%2022%20November%202024&utm_content=ENB%20Update%20-%2022%20November%202024+CID_101e5e432c1275bb2b530a99204aa7a7&utm_source=cm&utm_term=Read%20the%20daily%20report

for - quote - the Nation (state) is no longer able to force the State to regulate the Market - Michel Bauwens - climate crisis - transnational capitalism escapes the regulation of nation states - example - COP conferences and climate change

for - quote - transnational capitalism escapes the regulation of nation states - Michel Bauwens - climate crisis - transnational capitalism escapes the regulation of nation states - example - COP conferences and climate change quote - transnational capitalism escapes the regulation of nation states - Michel Bauwens (see below) - The nation-state equilibrium started to be disrupted in the 1980s. - Neoliberalism is in fact, also a failed attempt at global regulation. - Several events, such as - the conservative counter-revolution of Thatcher and Reagan, - the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1989-91, and - the failure of the first attempt at democratic coordination of the economy in Chile (Cybersyn), - contributed to the emergence of a new world order in which, for the first time in history, - transnational capital could significantly escape the regulation of the nation-states, rendering the latter inoperative. - This was of course done consciously and with the collaboration of neoliberal nation-states.

comment - This is why climate change agreements at the nation-state level, such as COP conferences, are such dismal failures - Trump was bought out by billionaires who wanted to maintain their status quo money-making-machines - In this sense, this is conservatism at work - Economic, fossil-fuel incumbents teamed up with Christian fundamentalists to make a last valiant attempt at preserving the old order - Unfortunately, if they succeed, it will definitely accelerate their demise as well as the entire biosphere

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/nov/21/us-and-india-lead-g20-on-climate-action-report-says

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/nov/21/donald-trump-science-climate-cop29-carbon-markets

https://www.derstandard.at/story/3000000206410/forschende-kritisieren-eu-klimaziele-und-orten-kniefall-vor-protestierenden-bauern

for - idea - question - sensory substitution - can we make a sensory substitution for climate change impacts?

for - definition - realtime ecological forecasting - definition - near term ecological forecasting - adjacency - near term ecological forecasting - open science - citizen science - climate departure

for - political polarization - common ground with trump voters - example of democrat winning the rural vote - this is a good lesson for climate communication - climate communication - reaching rural communities

Eine neue Studie bestätigt, dass die Hauptursache des immer schnelleren Anstiegs des Methan-Gehalts der Atmosphäre die Aktivität von Mikroaorganismen ist, die durch die globale Erhitzung zunimmt. Damit handelt es sich um einen Feedback-Mechanismus, durch den sich die globale Erhitzung selbst verstärkt. https://taz.de/Zu-viel-Methan-in-der-Atmosphaere/!6045201/

Studie: https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2411212121

Vorangehende Studien: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-023-01629-0, https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-022-01296-7.epdf?sharing_token=CDMa5-ti34UNBqv3kfuCB9RgN0jAjWel9jnR3ZoTv0NZRKXEI-7kyXEEvNI7duu65JLcZpmhGxWTeSfYcMCqxqYk5nUrdR60izmjToMNw56RgBqIcn3JXKxSjx13vmB9ZYndGTUMt-52Vs7HT_T6K9Oth4QFRyP51eOpz8pV8l65HFDo2VSfQ6xDXklMtmvt-HGwltAINb_2xgmtAR-V4g%3D%3D&tracking_referrer=taz.de

for - climate denialism- science education - public distrust of science

Drei Klimawissenschaftlerinnen wehren sich in einem Kommentar in Nature gegen den Vorwurf, sie betrieben keine objektive Wissenschaft, weil sie ihren Schmerz angesichts der fortschreitenden Klimakrise offen kommunizieren. Gefühle seien Teil der Realität und dürften von Forschenden nicht unterdrückt werden. Gefühle auszuschließen werde vor allem von Privilegierten zur Norm erklärt, die den Folgen der Klimakrise kaum ausgesetzt seien https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/oct/25/we-have-emotions-too-climate-scientists-respond-to-attacks-on-objectivity

Nature-Artikel: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-024-02139-3

Die von Waldbränden außerhalb der Tropen verursachten Emissionen haben sich seit 2001 fast verdreifacht. Weltweit haben die Emissionen durch Waldbrände in dieser Zeit um 60% zugenommen. Ursache dafür ist die Kombination von heißerem und trockenerem Wetter mit dem schnelleren Wachstum der Wälder durch die höheren Temperaturen. Die Wälder können durch die Brände jahrzehntelang zu Emittenten werden. Damit ist die Funktion der Wälder als Kohlenstoffsenken gefährdet. Das bedeutet auch, dass sie andere anthropogene Emissionen weniger kompensieren und die Fähigkeit verlieren, nach einem Überschreiten der 1,5°-Grenze C0₂ aus der Atmosphäre zu entfernen. Außerdem müssten diese von Menschen verursachten Emissonen den C0₂-Budgets der Nationalstaaten zugeordnet werden.

https://theconversation.com/forest-fires-are-shifting-north-and-intensifying-heres-what-that-means-for-the-planet-241337

Erstmals wurde genau erfasst, welcher Teil der von Waldbränden betroffenen Gebiete sich auf die menschlich verursachte Erhitzung zurückführen lässt. Er wächst seit 20 Jahren deutlich an. Insgesamt kompensieren die auf die Erhitzung zurückgehenden Waldbrände den Rückgang an Bränden durch Entwaldung. Der von Menschen verursachte – und für die Berechnung von Schadensansprüchen relevante – Anteil der CO2-Emissione ist damit deutlich höher als bisher angenommen https://www.carbonbrief.org/climate-change-almost-wipes-out-decline-in-global-area-burned-by-wildfires/

Besonders verwundbare Gruppen - Alte, Frauen und Menschen mit niedrigem sozioökonomischen Status – können vor Hitzewellen in Städten nur dann besser geschützt werden, wenn sie nicht in den der Hitze am meisten ausgesetzten Teilen einer Stadt leben müssen. Dies zeigt eine neue Studie zur räumlichen Verteilung der Verwundbarkeit durch Hitze am Beispiel Madrids. Ohne wirksame räumlich-soziale Gegenmaßnahmen werden sich die „verwundbaren Cluster“ ausdehnen https://www.repubblica.it/green-and-blue/2024/10/21/news/ondate_di_calore_in_citta_madrid_quartieri_piu_a_rischio-423568496/

Studie: https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2024EF004431

Die CO2-Emissionen durch Waldbrände haben seit 2001 um 60% zugenommen, wie sich aus einer neuen Studie ergibt. Den größten Anteil daran haben die borealen Wälder Kanadas und Sibiriens. Sie gehören zu einem Typ von Wäldern, der besonders schlecht an die globale Erhitzung angepasst ist. Die beobachteten Emissionen durch Waldbrände machen unwahscheinlicher, dass Wälder in Zukunft von Menschen emittiertes CO2 reduzieren können. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/17/climate/carbon-fires-forests-global-warming.html

Studie: https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adl5889

2023 haben Böden und Landpflanzen fast kein CO2 absorbiert. Dieser Kollaps der Landsenken vor allem durch Dürren und Waldbrände wurde in diesem Ausmaß kaum vorausgesehen, und es ist nicht klar, ob auf ihn eine Regeneration folgt. Er stellt Klimamodelle ebenso in Frage wie die meisten nationalen Pläne zum Erreichen von CO2-Neutralität, weil sie auf natürlichen Senken an Land beruhen. Es gibt Anzeichen dafür, dass die steigenden Temperaturen inzwischen auch die CO2-Aufnahmefähigkeit der Meere schwächen. Überblicksartikel mit Links zu Studien https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/oct/14/nature-carbon-sink-collapse-global-heating-models-emissions-targets-evidence-aoe

Klimapolitik spielt in der Kampagne von Kamala Harris fast keine Rolle. Stattdessen versucht sie konservative Wähler:innen mit Statements für Öl- und Gasproduktion zu gewinnen. Klimaplitiker:innen, Klimabewegungen und Fachleute für Klimakommunikation kritisieren, dass Harris die Sorgen vieler Wähler:innen wegen der Folgen der globalen Erhitzung nicht ernst genug nimmt https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/oct/18/kamala-harris-climate-change-plan-environment

Nicht nur #BP investiert in mehr fossile Infrastruktur und verzichtet auf Dekarbonisierungsziele. Große Firmen und Investmentgesellschaften geben die Orientierung an „Environmental, social and governace“- (ESG-)Standards zunehmend auf. Für #BlackRock, #Vanguard, #JPMorgan und #StateStreet spielen sie keine oder nur noch eine geringe Rolle, die EU hat sie verwässert. Der Guardian berichtet darüber in einem gut recherchierten Überblicksartikel. https://www.theguardian.com/business/2024/oct/13/very-concerning-bp-dilutes-net-zero-targets-as-global-retreat-from-green-standards-gathers-pace

BP investiert in die Erschließung neuer fossiler Lagerstätten und hat damit den Plan aufgegeben, seine Öl- und Gasproduktion bis 2030 um 25% zu senken. Dieser Plan war bereits eine Abschwächung des ursprünglichen Ziels einer Reduktion um 40%. Wie andere große Ölfirmen konzentriert sich BP auf kurzfristige zusätzliche Gewinne aus dem Öl- und Gasgeschäft statt auf die - ohnehin zu geringen - Investitionen in die Energiewende. DIEEE Stategie treibt die globale Erhitzung weiter an. https://www.theguardian.com/business/2024/oct/07/bp-abandoning-plan-to-cut-oil-output-angers-green-groups

Die Erde ist in eine neue „und nicht vorhersagbare Phase der Klimakrise” eingetreten. 25 von 35 Indikatoren für die Gesundheit des Erdsystems haben die schlimmsten je festgestellten Werte erreicht. Eine Gruppe der weltweit renommiertesten Klimafachleute stellt im „2024 state of the climate report“ fest, dass immer mehr Wissenschaftler:innen einen Kollaps der Zivilisation für möglich halten. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/oct/08/earths-vital-signs-show-humanitys-future-in-balance-say-climate-experts

Bericht: https://academic.oup.com/bioscience/advance-article/doi/10.1093/biosci/biae087/7808595

for - scientists warning - 2024 state of the climate report - adjacency - 2024 US election - Trump - scientists warning - state of the climate - cognitive dissonance - 4P knowledge framework - Johan Rockstrom, Michael Mann, William Ripple, Christopher Wolf, Timothy Lenton, Jillian Gregg, Naomi Oreskes, Stefan Rahmstorf, Thomas Newsome

adjacency - between - 2024 state of the climate report - scientists warning - political polarization - Trump reelection - climate communication - cognitive dissonance - adjacency relationship - The scientists warning are having limited effect as a tool for mass climate communications - The fact that so many people are supporting climate denying candidates like Trump demonstrates the cognitive dissonance and lack of effective climate communications strategy - It is insightful to analyze from 4P knowledge framework: - propositional knowledge - perspectival knowledge - participatory knowledge - procedural knowledge - Every person is situated and located somewhere unique and specific in life - 4 P knowledge is concurrent - When climate scientists communicate propositional knowledge via mass media, it is a kind of broadcast message that can lose salience if the other 3 types of knowledge have a mismatch: - without perspectival knowledge context, the knowledge can have no meaning or priority - without procedural knowledge, the knowledge is theoretical and does not lead to a better life - without participatory knowledge, the receiver feels alienated

for - question - Study on 2024 Trump win on polycrisis - Cascade Institute - why is there such a small analysis on the environment and especially planetary tipping points whilst climate clock is ticking?

1:14;46 Our greatest existential threat is not CLIMATE CHANGE it is MIND CHANGE which leads to a CHANGE IN LANGUAGE

Eine neue Studie stellt fest, dass nach einem Überschreiten der 1,5°-Grenze eine Rückkehr zu niedrigeren Temperaturen nicht so realistisch ist, wie es vielfach, auch in den Sachstandsberichten des IPCC, angenommen wird. Außerdem würden die erhöhten Temperaturen viele Ökosysteme irreversibel verändern. Es müssten deshalb - im Gegensatz zur aktuellen Politik - alle Anstrengungen unternommen werden, um.einen Overshoot zu vermeiden. https://www.liberation.fr/environnement/climat-un-depassement-meme-temporaire-des-15c-serait-plus-risque-quimagine-20241010_UHQSL4EKERFVPNP5V6KNV3IGWI/?redirected=1

Die Österreichische Volkspartei sieht es auch als ihren Erfolg, dass die europäische Wahlschutzverordnung ein Jahr später als zunächst vorgesehen in Kraft treten wird. Damit positioniert sie sich klar auf der seite der gegner des Green Deal https://www.derstandard.at/story/3000000239883/die-volkspartei-zerschiesst-den-green-deal-und-verkauft-das-als-erfolg

Kurz vor der COP16 zur Biodiversität geht die EU immer deutlicher von ihrer bisherigem Politik zum Schutz der Biodiversität ab. Man nimmt Rücksicht auf konventionelle Landwirt:innen, rechtsradikale und auch zunehmend antiökologisch agierende konservative Parteien. An die Stelle des Green Deal tritt das Bestreben, die Unternehmen im globalen Wettbewerb konkurrenzfähiger zu machen und die Wirtschaft wachsen zu lassen. Ajit Niranjan berichtet zusammenhängend über diese Entwicklungen und verweist auf wichtiger Meilensteine in der Geschichte von Abkommen zum Schutz der Biodiversität. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/oct/09/europe-eu-green-deal-backsliding-nature-biodiversity-farmers-far-right-cop16-aoe

https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2024/10/09/overshoot-climate-targets-one-point-five/?_pml=1

for - quote - climate crisis - behavioral change - system change - importance of showing impacts - example - climate departure project

quote - climate crisis - behavioral change - system change - importance of showing impacts - example - climate departure project - Eltahir - To get people to act, my hypothesis is, you need to reach them - not just by convincing them to be good citizens and saying it’s good for the world to keep below 1.5 degrees, but - showing how they individually will be impacted,”

Eine neue attribution studie zeigt komme das die globale erhitzung den haare können helene zweieinhalb mal wahrscheinlicher gemacht und zehn prozent zudem wassermassen beigetragen hat cover die dabei herunter kamen'https://www.liberation.fr/environnement/climat/ouragan-helene-le-rechauffement-rend-ce-genre-devenements-25-fois-plus-probables-20241009_FMIJOIVH4NATVHKB6NZRN6O7KE/

1. creating the chemicals to use
2. fugitive gases 3 PFAS that do not breakdown

Der Draghi-Report zur industriellen Erneuerung in der EU konzentriert sich auf Technologien, die mit emissionsfreien Energien zusammenhängen. Ziel müsse sein, dass die EU vor allem bei „sauberen Energien“ weltweit eine Spitzenposition einnehme. In einem ausführlichen Artikel zu diesem Report begründen zwei Wirtschaftswissenschaftler die These, dass es in Europa nicht vor allem an Investitionen mangelt, sondern dass die Investitionen viel weniger als in den USA in Forschung und Entwicklung fließen. Außerdem sei, wie es auch der Report feststellt, u.a. eine Integration der europäischen Kapitalmärkte notwendig. https://www.repubblica.it/economia/2024/10/01/news/rapporto_draghi_quali_investimenti_servono_davvero-423529413/

Der Hurrikan Helene führte zu katastrophalen Zerstörungen weitab von der Küste. Wahrscheinlich trug dazu vor allem bei, dass die Böden dieser Gegenden bereits zuvor extrem viel Wasser enthielten. Die Katastrophe zeigt, wie der Interviewpartner der New York Times sagt, dass es keinen „sicheren Hafen“ gibt, an dem die Folgen der globalen Erhitzung nicht zu spüren wären. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/01/climate/asheville-climate-change-flood.html

Der Europäische Rechnungshof hat kritisiert, dass die EU-Länder die beschlossenen umweltpolitischen Maßnahmen in der Landwirtschaft kaum umsetzen. Nahezu überall sind Erleichterungen beschlossen worden, die die Maßnahmen wirkungslos machen. 385 Mrd. Euro im Jahr fließen in die Subventionierung der Landwirtschaft, die für ca. 13% der europäischen Emissionen verantwortlich ist. https://taz.de/EU-Rechnungshof-ueber-Agrarsubventionen/!6036890/

for - Food for Climate League - food - climate change - climate crisis - food system

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Urban_forest_inequity

urban forest inequity

Mentions of humans thinning trees for better tree canopy in the section on black ash trees in Braiding Sweetgrass by Robin Wall Kimmerer.

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/sep/25/climate-scientists-call-on-labour-to-pause-1bn-investment-plans-carbon-capture-blue-hydrogen

Die rechte italienische regierung will sich an die spitze der gegner des verbrenner verbots ab zweitausend fünfunddreißig in der eu stellen under bei einem treffen zur zukunft der europäischen automobilindustrie in brüssel wird der italienische industrieminister oder so für die sogenannte technologie offenheit und für den einsatz von biokraftstoffen argumentieren punkt außerdem plädiert er für einen europäischen fonds zur stützung der autor industrie und für einen schutz der europäischen industrien punkt a beruft sich dabei auch auf die vorschläge mario dragees kommt https://www.repubblica.it/economia/2024/09/24/news/stop_motori_termici_elettrico_urso_europa_auto-423517621/

Der kalifornische.Generalstaatsanwalt hat einen Prozess gegen Exxon Mobil angestrengt, weil der Konzern.den Verkauf von nichtwiederverwenbarem Plastik über Jahrzehnte mit Fehlinformationen über Recycling gefördert habe. Die Firma hätte gewusst und bewusst verschwiegen, dass eines ihrer Hauptprodukte erheblich zur Plastik-Verschmutzung beiträgt. NGOs, die Exxon ebenfalls verklagten, begrüßen, dass damit ein Ölkonzern auch wegen der Plastikverschmutzung juristisch zur Rechenschaft gezogen wird, under erwarten weitere Prozesse dieser Art. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/23/climate/california-exxon-mobil-plastics-pollution-recycling-lawsuit.html

Bei der Climate Week New York haben John Kerry und Al Gore scharf kritisiert, dass die USA, die großen Ölfirmen und viele andere Staaten weiter fossil expandieren, und dass die in der Schlusserklärung der COP28 erklärte Bereitschaft zum Ausstieg aus den Fossilen für die COP29 keine Rolle spielt. Philip Davis, der Premierminister der Bahamas, machte vor allem die Öl- und Gaslizenzen der USA und Großbritanniens für die Wirkungslosigkeit des COP28-Abkommens verantwortlich. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/sep/23/new-york-climate-week-al-gore-john-kerry-condemn-fossil-fuels

Der neue Planetary Health Check des Potsdam Instituts für Klimafolgenforschung ergibt, dass durch die Versauerung der Ozeane möglicherweise gerade die siebte von 9 planetaren Grenzen durchbrochen wird und die Biosphäre auch hier in eine Hochrisikozone eintritt. Bei allen anderen mit Ausnahme des Ozonschwunds haben sich die Bedingungen verschlechtert. Die CO2- Emissionen treiben die Versauerung an, die wiederum die Fähigkeit der Ozeane mindert, als CO2-Senke zu wirken. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/sep/23/earth-breach-planetary-boundaries-health-check-oceans

Website zum Planetary Health Check: https://www.planetaryhealthcheck.org/

for - The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability - Camilo Mora et al. - 6th mass extinction - biodiversity loss - question - 2024 - Sept 13 - how do we reconcile climate departure with quantification of earth system boundary biodiversity safe and just limit? - to - climate departure map - map of major cities - 2013 - to - researchgate paper - The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability - 2013 - Camilo Mora et al

paper details - title: The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability - author: - Camilo Mora, - Abby G. Frazier, - Ryan J. Longman, - Rachel S. Dacks, - Maya M. Walton, - Eric J. Tong, - Joseph J. Sanchez, - Lauren R. Kaiser, - Yuko O. Stender, - James M. Anderson, - Christine M. Ambrosino, - Iria Fernandez-Silva, - Louise M. Giuseffi, - Thomas W. Giambelluca - date - 9 October, 2013 - publication Nature 502, 183-187 (2013) - https://doi.org/10.1038/nature12540 - https://www.nature.com/articles/nature12540

to - https://hyp.is/0BdCglsHEe-2CteEQbOBfw/www.researchgate.net/publication/257598710_The_projected_timing_of_climate_departure_from_recent_variability

Summary - This is an extremely important paper with a startling conclusion of the magnitude of the social and economic impacts of the biodiversity disruption coming down the pipeline - It is likely that very few governments are prepared to adapt to these levels of ecosystemic disruption - Climate departure is defined as an index of the year when: - The projected mean climate of a given location moves to a state that is - continuously outside the bounds of historical variability - Climate departure is projected to happen regardless of how aggressive our climate mitigation pathway - The business-as-usual (BAU) scenario in the study is RCP85 and leads to a global climate departure mean of 2047 (+/- 14 years s.d.) while - The more aggressive RCP45 scenario (which we are currently far from) leads to a global climate departure mean of 2069 (+/- 18 years s.d.) - So regardless of how aggressive we mitigate, we cannot avoid climate departure. - What consequences will this have on economies around the world? How will we adapt? - The world is not prepared for the vast ecosystem changes, which will reshape our entire economy all around the globe.

question - 2024 - Sept 13 - how do we reconcile climate departure with quantification of earth system boundary biodiversity safe and just limit? - Annotating the Sept 11, 2024 published Earth Commission paper in Lancet, the question arises: - How do we reconcile climate departure dates with the earth system boundary quantification of safe limits for biodiversity? - There, it is claimed that: - 50 to 60 % of intact nature is required<br /> - https://hyp.is/Mt8ocnIEEe-C0dNSJFTjyQ/www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(24)00042-1/fulltext - a minimum of 20 to 25% of human modified ecosystems is required - https://hyp.is/AKwa4nIHEe-U1oNQDdFqlA/www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(24)00042-1/fulltext - in order to mitigate major species extinction and social disruption crisis - And yet, Mora et al.'s research and subsequent climate departure map shows climate departure is likely to take place everywhere on the globe, with - aggressive RCP decarbonization pathway only delaying climate departure from - Business-As-Usual RCP pathway - by a few decades at most - And this was a 2011 result. 13 years later in 2024, I expect climate departure dates have likely gotten worse and moved closer to the present

from - Gupta, Joyeeta et al.(2024). A just world on a safe planet: a Lancet Planetary Health–Earth Commission report on Earth-system boundaries, translations, and transformations. The Lancet Planetary Health, Volume 0, Issue 0 - https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thelancet.com%2Fjournals%2Flanplh%2Farticle%2FPIIS2542-5196(24)00042-1%2Ffulltext&group=world

to - climate departure map - of major cities of the world - 2013 - https://hyp.is/tV1UOFsKEe-HFQ-jL-6-cw/www.hawaii.edu/news/2013/10/09/study-in-nature-reveals-urgent-new-time-frame-for-climate-change/ - full research paper - researchgate

for - The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability - Camilo Mora et al. - 6th mass extinction - biodiversity loss - to - climate departure map - of major cities around the world - 2013

Summary - This is an extremely important paper with a startling conclusion of the magnitude of the social and economic impacts of the biodiversity disruption coming down the pipeline - It is likely that very few governments are prepared to adapt to these levels of ecosystemic disruption - Climate departure is defined as an index of the year when: - The projected mean climate of a given location moves to a state that is - continuously outside the bounds of historical variability - Climate departure is projected to happen regardless of how aggressive our climate mitigation pathway - The business-as-usual (BAU) scenario in the study is RCP85 and leads to a global climate departure mean of 2047 (+/- 14 years s.d.) while - The more aggressive RCP45 scenario (which we are currently far from) leads to a global climate departure mean of 2069 (+/- 18 years s.d.) - So regardless of how aggressive we mitigate, we cannot avoid climate departure. - What consequences will this have on economies around the world? How will we adapt? - The world is not prepared for the vast ecosystem changes, which will reshape our entire economy all around the globe.

from - Nature publication - https://hyp.is/3wZrokX9Ee-XrSvMGWEN2g/www.nature.com/articles/nature12540

to - climate departure map - of major cities around the globe - 2013 - https://hyp.is/tV1UOFsKEe-HFQ-jL-6-cw/www.hawaii.edu/news/2013/10/09/study-in-nature-reveals-urgent-new-time-frame-for-climate-change/

for - climate crisis - map of climate departure - world cities

for - question - earth system boundaries - biodiversity - how do we reconcile these boundaries with climate departure?

question - earth system boundaries - biodiversity - how do we reconcile these boundaries with climate departure? - Does the term "functional integrity" imply autonomy from climate feedbacks? Obviously, climate feedback plays a huge role in determining biodiversity health - In 2013, Mora et al. found that climate departure, the year in which a climate variable moves out of the historical bounds will occur everywhere on the planet, regardless of an aggressive RCP pathway being taken. In this study, climate departure was found to take place (relative to 2013) - 37.5 years in the future under RCP45, or - 22.5 years in the future under RCP85 - It would seem that the biodiversity boundaries should take into consideration climate departure as species extinction and ecological system disruption is projected to occur, regardless of whether RCP45 or RCP85 is adopted. - Currently, we are still on a Business-As-Usual trajectory, but since 2013, scientific research has moved the danger threshold even lower so climate departure dates are likely even sooner than those calculated in the 2013 Mora paper

to - Mora, C., Frazier, A., Longman, R. et al. (2013). The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability. Nature 502, 183–187. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature12540 - https://hyp.is/3wZrokX9Ee-XrSvMGWEN2g/www.nature.com/articles/nature12540 - Researchgate copy - https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.researchgate.net%2Fpublication%2F257598710_The_projected_timing_of_climate_departure_from_recent_variability&group=world

I went gleaning for fruit to try and reduce my carbon footprint. Was it enough? by [[Caitlin Hernández]]

Im geleakten Entwurf für das Schlussdokument des bevorstehenden G20-Treffens zur Klimapolitik in Rio de Janeiro ist nicht vom.„transitioning away from fossil fuels” die Rede. Diese Formulierung galt als Durchbruch bei der COP28. Ihr Fehlen signalisiert einen Rückschritt. Ausdrücklich erwähnt werden statt des Verzichts auf fossile Energien „abatement and removal technologies“. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/sep/10/g20-countries-transition-away-fossil-fuel-pledge-cop28-climate