- Sep 2024
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for - The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability - Camilo Mora et al. - 6th mass extinction - biodiversity loss - question - 2024 - Sept 13 - how do we reconcile climate departure with quantification of earth system boundary biodiversity safe and just limit? - to - climate departure map - map of major cities - 2013 - to - researchgate paper - The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability - 2013 - Camilo Mora et al
paper details - title: The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability - author: - Camilo Mora, - Abby G. Frazier, - Ryan J. Longman, - Rachel S. Dacks, - Maya M. Walton, - Eric J. Tong, - Joseph J. Sanchez, - Lauren R. Kaiser, - Yuko O. Stender, - James M. Anderson, - Christine M. Ambrosino, - Iria Fernandez-Silva, - Louise M. Giuseffi, - Thomas W. Giambelluca - date - 9 October, 2013 - publication Nature 502, 183-187 (2013) - https://doi.org/10.1038/nature12540 - https://www.nature.com/articles/nature12540
Summary - This is an extremely important paper with a startling conclusion of the magnitude of the social and economic impacts of the biodiversity disruption coming down the pipeline - It is likely that very few governments are prepared to adapt to these levels of ecosystemic disruption - Climate departure is defined as an index of the year when: - The projected mean climate of a given location moves to a state that is - continuously outside the bounds of historical variability - Climate departure is projected to happen regardless of how aggressive our climate mitigation pathway - The business-as-usual (BAU) scenario in the study is RCP85 and leads to a global climate departure mean of 2047 (+/- 14 years s.d.) while - The more aggressive RCP45 scenario (which we are currently far from) leads to a global climate departure mean of 2069 (+/- 18 years s.d.) - So regardless of how aggressive we mitigate, we cannot avoid climate departure. - What consequences will this have on economies around the world? How will we adapt? - The world is not prepared for the vast ecosystem changes, which will reshape our entire economy all around the globe.
question - 2024 - Sept 13 - how do we reconcile climate departure with quantification of earth system boundary biodiversity safe and just limit? - Annotating the Sept 11, 2024 published Earth Commission paper in Lancet, the question arises: - How do we reconcile climate departure dates with the earth system boundary quantification of safe limits for biodiversity? - There, it is claimed that: - 50 to 60 % of intact nature is required<br /> - https://hyp.is/Mt8ocnIEEe-C0dNSJFTjyQ/www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(24)00042-1/fulltext - a minimum of 20 to 25% of human modified ecosystems is required - https://hyp.is/AKwa4nIHEe-U1oNQDdFqlA/www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(24)00042-1/fulltext - in order to mitigate major species extinction and social disruption crisis - And yet, Mora et al.'s research and subsequent climate departure map shows climate departure is likely to take place everywhere on the globe, with - aggressive RCP decarbonization pathway only delaying climate departure from - Business-As-Usual RCP pathway - by a few decades at most - And this was a 2011 result. 13 years later in 2024, I expect climate departure dates have likely gotten worse and moved closer to the present
from - Gupta, Joyeeta et al.(2024). A just world on a safe planet: a Lancet Planetary Health–Earth Commission report on Earth-system boundaries, translations, and transformations. The Lancet Planetary Health, Volume 0, Issue 0 - https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thelancet.com%2Fjournals%2Flanplh%2Farticle%2FPIIS2542-5196(24)00042-1%2Ffulltext&group=world
to - climate departure map - of major cities of the world - 2013 - https://hyp.is/tV1UOFsKEe-HFQ-jL-6-cw/www.hawaii.edu/news/2013/10/09/study-in-nature-reveals-urgent-new-time-frame-for-climate-change/ - full research paper - researchgate
Tags
- to - climate departure map - map of major cities - 2013
- from - Gupta, Joyeeta et al.(2024). A just world on a safe planet: a Lancet Planetary Health–Earth Commission report on Earth-system boundaries, translations, and transformations. The Lancet Planetary Health, Volume 0, Issue 0
- Camilo Mora
- to - The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability
- climate departure
Annotators
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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for - earth system boundaries - safe and just earth system boundaries - cross translated - to cities and business - planetary boundaries - downscaled planetary boundaries - urban planetary boundaries - Johan Rockstrom - Xuemei Bao - Lancet paper - just and safe earth system boundaries - Earth Commission report
paper details - title: A just world on a safe planet: a Lancet Planetary Health–Earth Commission report on Earth-system boundaries, translations, and transformations - authors: - Joyeeta Gupta - Xuemei Bao - Johan Rockstrom - Diana M Liverman <br /> - Dahe Qin - Ben Stewart-Koster - et al - publication: Lancet 2024, Sept 11
summary
Tags
- Lancet paper - just and safe earth system boundaries - 2024
- Earth Commission Report 2024
- cross scale translated earth system boundaries
- urban planetary boundaries
- earth system boundaries - downscaled to cities
- Johan Rockstrom
- downscaled planetary boundaries
- Xuemei Bao
- earth system boundaries - cross-scale translation - to cities and businesses
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- Nov 2023
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www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
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Hitzebedingte Todesfälle bei über 65-Jährigen haben seit den 90ern um 85% zugenommen. Senior:innen sind – wie kleine Kinder – zweimal soviel Hitzewellen-Tagen ausgesetzt wie 1986-2005. Extreme Hitze führte 2022 zu Produktivitätsverlusten von ca. 863 Milliarden USD. Alle Indikatoren für öffentliche Gesundheit haben sich in den letzten 9 Jahren verschlechtert. – Die NYT stellt den 2023 Report des Lancet Countdown ausführlich dar. https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/14/climate/climate-change-health-effects-lancet.html
Mehr zum Rreport: https://hypothes.is/search?q=tag%3A%222023%20report%20of%20the%20Lancet%20Countdown%20on%20health%20and%20climate%20change%22
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Kurz vor der COP28 hat das Lancet-Countdown-Team seinen jährlichen Bericht über Gesundheit und Klimawandel vorgelegt. Die globale Erhitzung habe im vergangenen Jahr für 127 Millionen mehr Menschen zu leichter bis schwerer Nahrungsmittelunsicherheit geführt. In vielen Gebieten hätte die Klimaveränderung die Ausbreitung neuer Krankheiten begünstigt. Durch die anhaltenden Investitionen in fossile Energien bewege sich die Welt in die falsche Richtung https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2023/nov/14/paying-in-lives-health-of-billions-at-risk-from-global-heating-warns-report
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it.wikipedia.org it.wikipedia.org
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Secondo gli oppositori, la vaccinazione, oltre a essere inutile e dannosa, era una violazione della libertà personale che lo Stato non aveva il diritto di imporre e pertanto paragonabile a un crimine intollerabile.[20] Nel 1998, l'ex medico e chirurgo Andrew Wakefield diffuse una pubblicazione scientifica su “Lancet” in cui sosteneva la correlazione tra la somministrazione del vaccino trivalente (morbillo, parotite e rosolia) con le malattie intestinali, poi correlate in successive ricerche anche con l'autismo. L'articolo di Wakefield viene considerato un tentativo di correlare la patologia dell'autismo alle vaccinazioni - circostanza non dimostrata - e determinò nel Regno Unito e in altri Paesi una notevole diminuzione delle vaccinazioni con il conseguente aumento dell'incidenza del morbillo e delle sue complicanze. Studi e ricerche scientifiche eseguite in seguito alla pubblicazione di Wakefield smentirono le teorie del medico inglese. La ricerca più recente, del 2014, dimostra che l'origine dell'autismo risiede in alterazioni genetiche congenite, prenatali, e non è dovuta ai vaccini;[21] tuttavia, sostenitori delle teorie di Wakefield continuano ancora oggi la battaglia antivaccinale.
Queste sono considerazioni personali dell'editor di questa voce. il Dr. A.J. Wakefield non pubblicò mai nessun articolo con cui avrebbe associato la correlazione vaccini-autismo. Si leggano le conclusioni dello studio originale che non riportano alcuna considerazione.. Il Dottor Andrew J. Wakefield nel suo studio pubblicato su "The Lancet" non collegò in nessun modo l'associazione fra l'autismo e la somministrazione del vaccino MPR e non prese in esame "appena otto pazienti". Qui sotto le conclusioni di quello studio che sputtanano le infamie riversate addosso ad uno dei più grandi studiosi dei disturbi dell'asse gut-brain: Le sue osservazioni (questa volta l'associazione vaccino MPR-autismo venne veramente confermata) furono suffragate da centinaia di studi usciti successivamente e che stanno uscendo ancora oggi, ad oltre 20 anni di distanza.. Ecco la verità raccontata dal Dr A.J. Wakefield in un'intervista rilasciata in Italia il 6 Giugno 2019. https://www.bitchute.com/video/CzRBcKPD5iz2/
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Il caso più eclatante però, quello che ha fatto nascere il vero e proprio movimento antivaccinista in tutto il mondo, ha avuto origine in Inghilterra nel 1998, quando il medico Andrew Wakefield ha pubblicato su The Lancet, un’importante rivista scientifica, un articolo in cui metteva in correlazione proprio il vaccino trivalente Mpr con l’autismo e alcune malattie intestinali croniche, prendendo in esame appena otto pazienti
FALSO il movimento vaccinista internazionale esiste dalla fine del 1800, quando la gente moriva, oltre che per le condizioni igienico-sanitarie e ambientali scadentissime, anche a causa della vaccinazione antivaiolosa la cui applicazione ebbe come conseguenza la morte di milioni di persone in tutto il mondo. Il Dottor Andrew J. Wakefield nel suo studio pubblicato su "The Lancet" non collegò in nessun modo l'associazione fra l'autismo e la somministrazione del vaccino MPR e non prese in esame "appena otto pazienti". Qui sotto le conclusioni di quello studio che sputtanano le infamie riversate addosso ad uno dei più grandi studiosi dei disturbi dell'asse gut-brain:
Le sue osservazioni (questa volta l'associazione vaccino MPR-autismo venne veramente confermata) furono suffragate da centinaia di studi usciti successivamente e che stanno uscendo ancora oggi, ad oltre 20 anni di distanza.. Ecco la verità raccontata dal Dr A.J. Wakefield in una recentissima intervista rilasciata in Italia il 6 Giugno 2019. https://www.bitchute.com/video/CzRBcKPD5iz2/
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- Jul 2023
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Die meteorologischen Daten ergeben, dass dieser Juli der wärmste der bekannten Geschichte ist - mit einem Abstand zu anderen Juli-Monaten, der Klimawissenschaftler:innen erstaunt. Für UN-Generalsekretär Gutteres hat die „Ära des globalen Kochens" begonnen. Forscher:innen und NGOs wiesen darauf hin, dass eine Begrenzung der Erhitzung auf 1,5° noch möglich ist, dass aber neue fossile Projekte vorangetrieben werden, die eindeutig mit dem 1,5°-Ziel unvereinbar sind.
Tags
- process: global heating
- expert: Karsten Haustein
- NGO: Destination Zero
- expert: Zeke Hausfather
- institution: Lancet Countdown
- expert: Catherine Abreu
- topic: attribution
- expert: Friederike Otto
- process: increasing risk of heatwaves
- expert: Joyce Kimutai
- expert: Marina Romanello
- time: 3023-07
Annotators
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- Apr 2022
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Carl T. Bergstrom. (2022, January 20). Hope springs eternal. Https://t.co/GAghN6U4LI [Tweet]. @CT_Bergstrom. https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1484279472605982720
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- Jul 2021
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twitter.com twitter.com
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ReconfigBehSci. ‘RT @sailorrooscout: I Figured It Was Best to Make a Comprehensive Thread Concerning the Study out of The Lancet Concerning Variant B.1.617.…’. Tweet. @SciBeh (blog), 4 June 2021. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1401215508968398848.
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- Mar 2021
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www.aljazeera.com www.aljazeera.com
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Yeung, Peter. ‘The Lancet Editor: UK “Steadfastly Refused to Follow the Science”’. Accessed 25 February 2021. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/1/11/uk-covid-crisis-qa-with-the-lancets-richard-horton.
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- Jul 2020
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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McConnell, J. (2020, June 11). COVID-19: The current situation and prospects for the UK and the world. Aga Khan Foundation. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6VK_2uCA76s
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www.buzzsprout.com www.buzzsprout.com
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Seroprevalence and Black voices in healthcare—The Lancet Voice. (n.d.). Retrieved July 20, 2020, from https://www.buzzsprout.com/861868/4491443-seroprevalence-and-black-voices-in-healthcare
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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Horton, Richard. ‘Offline: COVID-19 and the Dangers of Sinophobia’. The Lancet 396, no. 10245 (18 July 2020): 154. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)31600-7.
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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UCL-Lancet Lecture 2020: Global Health Preparedness in the Face of Emerging Epidemics. (2020, July 13). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pqE48fmyRkw&feature=youtu.be
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- Jun 2020
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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Health, T. L. G. (2020). Publishing in the time of COVID-19. The Lancet Global Health, 8(7), e860. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30260-6
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www.newscientist.com www.newscientist.com
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Wilson, C. (2020, June 15). The Lancet’s Richard Horton calls for international pandemic inquiry. New Scientist. https://www.newscientist.com/article/2245978-the-lancets-richard-horton-calls-for-international-pandemic-inquiry/
Tags
- lockdown
- is:webpage
- USA
- risk assessment
- pandemic inquiry
- WHO
- The Lancet
- response
- Richard Horton
- lang:en
- COVID-19
- UK
- hindsight
- international
- China
- interview
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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McKie, R. (2020, June 14). Lancet editor attacks UK government for “catastrophic” handling of Covid-19 pandemic. The Observer. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/14/lancet-editor-attacks-uk-government-for-catastrophic-handling-of-covid-19-pandemic
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twitter.com twitter.com
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richard horton on Twitter: “David Spiegelhalter said this morning, ‘Peer review has just disappeared from scientific analysis.’ This is complete and utter nonsense. Our editors across 19 Lancet journals do nothing else but peer review. We intensively review all COVID-19 research papers. You know this David.” / Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved June 5, 2020, from https://twitter.com/richardhorton1/status/1263020292932358145
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www.sciencemag.org www.sciencemag.org
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Servick, K., EnserinkJun. 2, M., 2020, & Pm, 7:55. (2020, June 2). A mysterious company’s coronavirus papers in top medical journals may be unraveling. Science | AAAS. https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/06/mysterious-company-s-coronavirus-papers-top-medical-journals-may-be-unraveling
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science.sciencemag.org science.sciencemag.org
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Servick, K., & Enserink, M. (2020). The pandemic’s first major research scandal erupts. Science, 368(6495), 1041–1042. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.368.6495.1041
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www.statnews.com www.statnews.com
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says, J. C. (2020, June 4). Lancet, NEJM retract Covid-19 studies that sparked backlash. STAT. https://www.statnews.com/2020/06/04/lancet-retracts-major-covid-19-paper-that-raised-safety-concerns-about-malaria-drugs/
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Boseley, Sarah, and Melissa Davey. ‘Covid-19: Lancet Retracts Paper That Halted Hydroxychloroquine Trials’. The Guardian, 4 June 2020, sec. World news. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/04/covid-19-lancet-retracts-paper-that-halted-hydroxychloroquine-trials.
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- May 2020
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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Kirby, T. (2020). South America prepares for the impact of COVID-19. The Lancet Respiratory Medicine, S2213260020302186. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2213-2600(20)30218-6
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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Lohse, S., Pfuhl, T., Berkó-Göttel, B., Rissland, J., Geißler, T., Gärtner, B., Becker, S. L., Schneitler, S., & Smola, S. (2020). Pooling of samples for testing for SARS-CoV-2 in asymptomatic people. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, S1473309920303625. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30362-5
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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Makoni, M. (2020). Keeping COVID-19 at bay in Africa. The Lancet Respiratory Medicine, S2213260020302198. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2213-2600(20)30219-8
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