for - liberal blind spot - Chris Yates - book - liberalism and the challenge of climate change - adjacency - liberalism - individual liberty - progress - bond spot - political polarization - fuel for the right -hyperobjects

Summary - This short article contains some key insights that point to the right climate communication strategy to target and win over the working class - Currently, climate communications speak to elitist values and is having the opposite effect - The working class farmer protests spreading across the EU is a symptom of this miscommunication strategy - as is the increasing support and ascendency of right wing political parties - Researcher and author Chris Yates is in a unique position with one foot in each world - He articulates his insightful ideas and points is in the right direction to communicate in a way that reaches the working class

comment - the figure 4 graph is an example of carbon inequality

Example - carbon inequality - see figure 4

Die vom deutschen Bundeswirtschaftsminister Habeck verkündete Carbon-Management-Strategie erlaubt CCS auch bei Gaskraftwerken, bei denen es aber nicht gefördert werden soll. Vorgesehen ist ein Pipeline-System zur Speicherung von CO₂ im Boden des deutschen Teils der Nordsee. Der BUND-Vorsitzende Olaf Brandt sprach davon, dass Habeck damit eine Büchse der Pandora öffne. Durch die Strategie wird eine kommerzielle CCS-Infrastruktur möglich, von der die Gasindustrie profitiert. https://taz.de/Habecks-CO2-Speicherplaene/!5991971/

Eine neue Studie der Universität für Bodenkultur beziffert erstmals, wieviel Kohlenstoff zwischen 1900 und 2015 langfristig oder kurzfristig in menschlichen Artefakten wie Gebäuden gespeichert wurde. Die Menge des dauerhaft gespeicherten Kohlenstoffs hat sich seit 1900 versechzehnfacht. Sie reicht aber bei weitem nicht aus, um die globale Erhitzung wirksam zu beeinflussen. Die Möglichkeiten, Boot in Gebäuden zu nutzen, um der Atmosphäre CO2 zu entziehen, werden bisher nicht genutzt. https://www.derstandard.at/story/3000000208522/co2-entnahme-durch-holzbau-ist-bisher-nicht-relevant-fuer-den-klimaschutz

Studie: https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ad236b

Die deutsche Regierung hat Anfang der Woche ihre Strategie zum Ausbau von Gaskraftwerken zur Netzstabilisierung vorgelegt. Es sollen Kraftwerke für insgesamt 20 GB ausgeschrieben werden, die voraussichtlich in den 30er Jahren auf Wasserstoff umgestellt werden. Die Strategie sieht nicht zwingend vor, dass dieser Wasserstoff grün ist. NGOs kritisieren dies ebenso wie die zu große Offenheit für Carbon Capture and Storage. Bis Sommer 2024 soll ein neues Strommarkt-Design vorliegen. https://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/deutschland/kraftwerksstrategie-wie-die-ampel-die-energiewende-umsetzen-will-01/100012844.html

for - stats - carbon footprint of stone, steel, concrete

stats - carbon footprint - stone, steel , concrete - ( see below)

• The Inventory of Embodied Carbon and Energy 2019 says carbon footprint of the following building materials are:
  • ‘General stone’ - 0.079kg carbon per kg .
  • Concrete - 0.15kg carbon per kg and
  • Steel - 2.8kg carbon per kg.

Der CO₂-Gehalt der Atmosphäre wird 2024 weiter steigen, so dass die vom IPCC erarbeiteten Pfade, um das 1,5°-Ziel einzuhalten, nicht mehr eingehalten werden können. Das ergibt sich aus einer Studie des britischen Met Office, die sich auf die Daten des Mauna Loa-Observatoriums in Hawai stützt. (Die obere Grenze der Unsicherheitsbereiche dieser Pfade ist erreicht, selbst wenn der El-Niño-Einfluss abgezogen wird. Ein Einhalten der Pfade würde ein sofortiges Absinken des CO₂-Gehalts erfordern.) https://www.liberation.fr/environnement/climat-les-concentrations-de-co2-cette-annee-menacent-la-limite-de-15c-daugmentation-globale-des-temperatures-20240119_6JIALPQDBNADFGNHS4MVDXR5QA/?redirected=1

Animation: https://youtu.be/RYPDvTWDi0E?si=wWEUnypFxQO8M9D7

Bericht: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/long-range/forecasts/co2-forecast-for-2024

Eine Empfehlung des Zusammenschlusses nationaler Akademien der Wissenschaften und eine zusammenfassende Studie zum globalen Plastiksystem empfehlen die Reduktion des Verbrauchs um 50% und eine Reihe weiterer Schritte wie das fast vollständige Recycling von Plastik und die Produktion aus Biomaterialien. Anlass sind die Verhandlungen zum internationalen Plastikabkommen. Plastikproduktion und Verbrauch führen schon jetzt – abgesehen von zahlreichen anderen negativen Folgen – zu Emissionen von ca einer Gigatonne CO2 im Jahr. Ohne drastische Änderungen wird sich diese Menge vervielfachen. https://www.derstandard.de/story/3000000205422/wissenschaft-fordert-radikale-abkehr-von-herkoemmlicher-plastikproduktion

Studie: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-023-06939-z.epdf?sharing_token=-UPbgMcUGHbtK4Uscd0XZdRgN0jAjWel9jnR3ZoTv0MMo2Wo13ejTIFhNPD522LiogzEIVWxfHy01bK9MbFLdv59qFdQ73NDNguF2Bf0icTMUsLgWI2hE3OyG7VDGuf_3LODlHS0WEkABpLs5LAtVCiW0_JyVU7n_UL0EP7LiRS0q6s0fIpcIjaEfVFyDe4cez-4KdfAAphy-2weBUevmIZv9sURtFCEk7-LtaOTCmM%3D&tracking_referrer=www.derstandard.de

for - carbon emissions - flying to every country

comment - Exactly how is this justified with 5 years on the climate clock left?

Am 17. November lag die Oberflächentemperatur der Erde zum ersten Mal 2° über dem vorindustriellen Durchschnitt. Der Philosoph Patrice Maniglier schlägt vor, schon 2023 oder das Jahr, an dem die 2°-Grenze dauerhaft überschritten werden wird, zum Beginn einer neuen Ära zu erklären, nämlich der des „großen Bankrotts“. https://www.liberation.fr/idees-et-debats/tribunes/sommes-nous-en-2024-ou-en-lan-i-du-rechauffement-climatique-20240104_NPIEAITYHVE6RAODCQ6UEDZV3Y/

Die Firma Blue Carbon, die im Besitz eines Mitglieds des Herrscherhauses von Dubai ist, will in mehreren afrikanischen Ländern CO₂-Zertifikate zum (behaupteten) Ausgleich der Emissionen von Öl und Gas kaufen. Damit erwirbt die Firma – ohne Information der Bewohner:innen – die Kontrolle über große Waldgebiete. NGOs kampagnisieren intensiv gegen diese Deals. https://taz.de/Umstrittener-Klimaschutzdeal-in-Liberia/!5975181/

Ein neuer Standard für Caroen Credits verzichtet auf das Konzept einer angeblichen CO2-Neutralität durch sogenannte Carbon Offsets. Stattdessen werden nur Beiträge zu einer tatsächlicher Reduktion der CO2 Emissionen akzeptiert. Dass viele Unternehmen sich an diesem Standard orientieren wollen, hängt auch damit zusammen, das Gerichtsverfahren gegen wahrheitswidrige Behauptungen von CO2 Neutralität begonnen wurden.https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/jul/10/carbon-offsetting-environmental-claims-aoe

ARD-Journalist:innen decken ein krasses Beispiel für Greenwashing durch sogenannte CO₂-Kompensationen auf. Die Zertifikate für die Kompensationen wurden generiert, weil Bauern in Peru auf Entwaldungsmaßnahmen verzichten. Diese Maßnahmen sind fiktiv. Die Zertifizierung erfolgte duch die Firma Verra. Vermittlerin war die Firma ClimatePartner. https://web.archive.org/web/20240110082323/https://www.tagesschau.de/investigativ/fakt/greenwashing-co2-zertifikate-100.html

Der Chef des größten Zertifizierers sogenannter Carbon Offsets ist zurückgetreten. Erst vor kurzem hatte eine Analyse des Guardia, der ZEIT und weiterer Publikationen ergeben, dass die Kompensationen für das Emittieren von Treibhausgasen, die von Verra zertifiziert wurden und werden, weitgehend nicht mit realen Emissionsminderungen verbunden sind. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/may/23/ceo-of-worlds-biggest-carbon-credit-provider-says-he-is-resigning

Die Behauptung dea zweitgrößten US-Mineralölkonzerns Chevron, CO2-Neutralität anzustreben, ist nicht durch Tatsachen gedeckt. Eine neue Untersuchung belegt, dass der Konzern mit wertlosen Kompensationen und und Hinweisen auf noch nicht existierende Technologien für Carbon Capture and Storage argumentiert. Chevorn hat im vergangenen Jahr 35,5 Milliarden Dollar Gewinn gemeldet. Chevrons angeblicher Net-Zero-Plan betrifft nicht das CO2, dass durch die vom Konzern verkauften Produkte frei wird. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/may/24/chevron-carbon-offset-climate-crisis

for - nature-based carbon sequestration - reestablish whale populations - Nate Hagen - The Great Simplification - David King - climate crisis - solutions - progress trap - overfishing - whales

Das neueste Update zum Global Carbon Budget ergibt, dass die CO2-Emissionen sich auf einem Rekordhoch Bewegungen. Der Anstieg hat sich leicht verlangsamt. 2023 lagen die Emissionen aus fossilen Quellen bei 36,8 Gt CO2 und damit etwa 1,1% über denen des Vorjahres. Mit 50% Wahrscheinlichkeit wird die 1,5°-Grenze in etwa 7 Jahren dauerhaft überschritten. https://www.derstandard.de/story/3000000198140/co2-emissionen-erreichen-neuen-hoechststand

Global Carbon Budget 2023: https://globalcarbonbudget.org/carbonbudget2023/

• for: climate denial - insurance companies will make everyone pay, climate deniers - will pay carbon tax - via insurance, carbon tax - climate deniers

• for: progress trap -AI, carbon footprint - AI, progress trap - AI - bias, progress trap - AI - situatedness

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/22/who-are-polluter-elite-how-can-we-tackle-carbon-inequality

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/22/who-are-polluter-elite-how-can-we-tackle-carbon-inequality

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/22/who-are-polluter-elite-how-can-we-tackle-carbon-inequality

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/22/it-is-all-about-listening-and-sharing-indigenous-solutions-to-the-carbon-divide

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/commentisfree/2023/nov/22/car-culture-car-industry-consumers-debt

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/21/i-cannot-stress-too-much-about-it-monaco-yacht-buyers-shrug-off-climate-concerns

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/21/the-jet-set-200-celebrities-aircraft-have-flown-for-combined-total-of-11-years-since-2022

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/21/ad-industry-grapples-with-role-selling-consumption-in-climate-crisis

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/21/new-orleans-climate-carbon-emissions

https://www.theguardian.com/science/audio/2023/nov/21/superyachts-and-private-jets-the-carbon-impact-of-the-polluter-elite-podcast

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/20/restaurants-pets-holidays-how-uk-well-off-have-outsize-carbon-footprints

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/20/revealed-huge-climate-impact-of-the-middle-classes-carbon-divide

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/nov/20/billionaires-great-carbon-divide-planet-climate-crisis

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/20/elon-musk-green-credentials-clean-energy-climate-deniers

Oxfam legt die bisher umfangreichste Studie zur weltweiten Klima-Ungleichheit vor. Sie wurde gemeinsam mit dem Guardian und dem Stockholm Institut erstellt. Sie ergibt unter anderem, dass das reichste Prozent der Weltbevölkerung für mehr Emissionen verantwortlich ist als die unteren 66%. Analysiert wird auch die Verbindung von wirtschaftlicher und politischer Macht der globalen Eliten und die Möglichkeit, eine just transition durch Besteuerung der Superreichen zu finanzieren https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/20/richest-1-account-for-more-carbon-emissions-than-poorest-66-report-says

Report: https://policy-practice.oxfam.org/resources/climate-equality-a-planet-for-the-99-621551/

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/commentisfree/2023/nov/23/climate-emergency-crisis-conference-cop-28

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/nov/24/the-guardian-view-on-the-carbon-divide-climate-policies-must-target-the-private-jet-set

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/20/twelve-billionaires-climate-emissions-jeff-bezos-bill-gates-elon-musk-carbon-divide

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/ng-interactive/2023/nov/20/the-great-carbon-divide-climate-chasm-rich-poor

• for: carbon emissions - within and between countries, Southern-North, Northern-South, Local North, Local South, Global North - Global South terminology - improving

• comment

  • The wealth and carbon inequality both between and within countries can be better articulated using terminology developed by Stop Reset Go
    • Southern-North
    • Northern-South
    • Local North
    • Local South

• reference

  • Expanding and Improving the Global North / Global South Terminology with Nuances of Post-Colonialism Realities in an Existential Climate Justice Context
    • https://medium.com/@gien_SRG/more-nuanced-terminology-for-post-colonialist-inequality-af2f1609635c

• for: climate crisis - resource flow, carbon budget - resource flow, carbon budget - resource redistribution

• comment

  • This is really a major change in the way resource flows
  • The high consuming countries and individuals need to drop their consumption drastically and give those to the decarbonization effort and to the disenfranchised who need to be uplifted to a state of wellbeing

• for: quote - Kevin Anderson, quote - elite positive feedback carbon inequality loop, climate crisis - societal aspirations, elites - societal aspirations, societal aspirations, key insight - societal aspirations

• quote

  • This 1% of humanity uses its awesome power to manipulate
    • societal aspirations and
    • the narratives around climate change.
  • These extend from
    • well-funded advertising to
    • pseudo-technical solutions,
    • and financialisation of carbon emissions (and increasingly, nature) to
    • labelling extreme any meaningful narrative that questions inequality and power.

• comment

• key insight - societal aspirations
  • it is the societal aspiration of the logic of capitalism and the free market that continues to create the next generation of the 1%
  • How can the luxury industry NOT BE high carbon intensity? It's an oxymoron. High carbon is baked into the definition of luxury, and it is luxury goods and services which accelerate climate breakdown.
  • The elites have a strong feeling of entitlement. They feel they DESERVE to reward themselves with a luxury lifestyle. That aspiration and reward structure multiplied by 80 million (1% of 8 billion) is a major variable driving the climate crisis

• for: carbon inequality, question - new COP - focused on elites?

• comment

  • while COP28 fights over which nations bear what responsibility, from this perspective, there is an entirely different class of people that must be held responsible, not at the nation state level, but at the individual level. Why isn't there a COP where the elites are held responsible?

• question

  • Are we making a grave category error in holding the wrong class of people responsible? Should questions of carbon equity concern both high polluting nations AND individuals?
  • At the very least, should we formally recognize a parallel set of responsibilities and elevate that recognition to the level of COP conventions to deal with the problem?

• for: climate crisis - elites, Kevin Anderson - elites, carbon emissions - elites, adjacency - elites - carbon inequality - incentives - luxury - capitalism

• title: A Habitable Earth Can No Longer Afford The Rich – And That Could Mean Me And You

• author: Kevin Anderson

• date: Nov. 29, 2023

• comment

• adjacency between
  • elites
  • capitalism
  • free market
  • incentives
  • double bind
  • wicked problem
  • inequality
  • carbon inequality
  • luxury industry
• adjacency statement
  • This article was pulled by "The Conversation" for being too controversial
  • It addresses the double-bind / wicked problems that we find ourselves in.
  • It's not just that the elites that are the highest per capita polluters, but
    • it is an indictment of the entire philosophy and worldview of capitalism and the market economy which produces winners and losers and
    • the winners reap enormous resource benefits, including being able to afford luxury items as rewards which constitute the largest ecological footprint of all
  • while at any one time, there is always a minority of the 1%, who hold the most outsized ecological footprint of all, the logic that produced that 1% also serves as the incentives for the majority of the 99%, who because of the inherent precarity created by capitalism, will fight and struggle to become part of that 1%
  • So while one generation of the 1% die off, a new generation is born and created by the incentive structure of scarcity and precarity.
  • In this sense, capitalism has its own self-reinforcing, positive feedback loop that keeps the masses of the disenfranchised aspiring to the same high resource and ecological footprint, luxury lifestyle
  • Look at the culture industry of sports, entertainment, movies, music, TV, etc. and of business in general. The leaders of these and ALL fields are celebrated as heros and they all reward themselves with an ultra-high carbon intensity, luxury lifestyle.
  • Unless we do more than simply demonize the current set of elites, and recognize the root cause and change the incentive structure itself, we will only ever deal with the symptom and not the problem, and continue to generate the next generation of elites
  • The luxury lifestyle industry is a important role-player in the self-reinforcing feedback loop

• for: academic communication to the public - importance, elites - two types, key insight - elites, key insight - science communication

• comment

• key insight

  • Elites are necessary in every society
  • Historically, people who strongly believe that the current elites aren't necessary or are harmful often become the revolutionaries who become the new elites
  • elites need to speak in their own specialist language to each other but there are two kinds of elites
    • those who serve society
    • those who serve themselves
    • often, we have fox in sheep's clothing - elites who serve themselves but disguise themselves in the language of elites who serve others in order to gain access to power ,
    • we normally think of wealthy people as elites, but Harari classifies scientists as also a kind of elite
  • elites may be necessary but
    • We are caught in a double bind, a wicked problem as elites are also the world's greatest per capita energy consumers and their outsized ecological, consumption and energy footprint is now a existential threat to the survival of our species

• references

  • Kevin Anderson: A Habitable Earth Can No Longer Afford The Rich – And That Could Mean Me And You
    • https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fclimateuncensored.com%2F1485-2%2F&group=world
  • The role of high-socioeconomic-status people in locking in or rapidly reducing energy-driven greenhouse gas emissions
    • https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nature.com%2Farticles%2Fs41560-021-00900-y&group=world
  • Millionaire spending incompatible with 1.5 °C ambitions
    • https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.sciencedirect.com%2Fscience%2Farticle%2Fpii%2FS2666791622000252&group=world

• for: Kevin Anderson, transition, climate equity, climate justice, climate justice - Kevin Anderson, carbon inequality - Kevin Anderson, life within planetary boundaries, lifestyle within planetary boundaries - elites, climate crisis - Kevin Anderson

• summary

  • Kevin offers a picture of what a world within the stable climate planetary boundary would look like for the wealthy of the planet.

• for: fossil fuel phase out, fossil fuel phase down, COP28 controversy, Sultan Al Jaber controversy, fossil fuel demand phase out, Nafeez Ahmed - phase out fossil fuel demand, carbon colonialism, colonialism - climate crisis

• title: A Message to White Environmentalists: Demanding a Fossil Fuel Phase Out is Not Enough

• author: Nafeez Ahmed
• date: Dec 6, 2023
• publication: Byline Times

• for: inefficiencies - example - cars, low carbon futures - reduce cars

• for: carbon footprint of investments - example, carbon footprint - Paypal

• example

  • Paypals carbon footprint of investments and cash in bank was 55x higher than all other emissions combined. Wow!

• for: search for - low carbon bank

• to

  • inspired search:[how much of royal bank of canada investments is in fossil fuels?] (https://search.brave.com/search?q=how+much+of+royal+bank+of+canada+investments+is+in+fossil+fuels%3F&source=desktop)

• limitation

  • their tools listed are situated in the US only

• for: carbon emissions - colonialism correction

• title: Revealed: How colonial rule radically shifts historical responsibility for climate change

• date: Nov. 26, 2023
• author:
  • Simon Evans,
  • Verner Viisainen

• publication: Carbon Brief

• SUMMARY

  • first-of-its-kind climate justice analysis that measures the contribution of colonial contributions of carbon emissions
  • total emissions to date since 1850: 2,558bn tonnes of CO2 (GtCO2).
  • planetary global warming since 1850: 1.15C above pre-industrial temperatures.
  • 1850 was chosen as start year for humanity's measurable carbon budget due to available records and most emissions happening after this point"
  • carbon budget used from 1850 to 2023:92%
  • remaining carbon budget: 8%
  • chances of staying under 1.5 Deg C if we do not exceed our budget: 50/50
  • burn rate of remaining 8%: 1% / month
  • time remaining to stay within budget: 8.4 years:
  • emissions corrected by colonial emissions accounting"
    • Portugal emissions: > 3x more
    • Netherlands emissions: 3x more
    • UK emissions: 2x more
      • UK ranks 4th when colonial emissions are counted
    • France emissions: 1.5x more
    • EU+UK emissions:19% more
      • As a group, EU+UK ranks only 2nd behind US
    • India emissions: 15% less
    • Indonesia: 34% less
    • Africa: 24% less
    • On a per capita basis, China, Africa and India are far behind developed nations' emissions contributions.
    • Many former colonial powers are now net CO2 importers. This raises their emissions contributions even further if accounted for

• for: Kevin Anderson - carbon inequality, climate crisis - carbon inequality climate crisis - carbon inequality, carbon inequality

Für den Zuwachs sind vor allem China und Indien verantwortlich. In Europa haben die Emissionen um 7,4, in den USA um 3% abgenommen. Eine große Rolle spielten die um fast 12% gestiegenen Emissionen der Luftfahrt https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/dec/05/global-carbon-emissions-fossil-fuels-record

https://www.derstandard.de/story/3000000197649/grosse-batteriespeicher-loesen-immer-mehr-gaskraftwerke-ab

The World Wide Web takes on an ecological identity in that it is defined by the ecology of relationships exercised within, determining the "environmental" aspects of the online world. What of media ecology and its impact on earth's ecology? There are climate change ramifications simply in the use of social media itself, yet alone the influences or behaviors associated with it: here is a carbon emissions calculator for seemingly "innocent" internet use:

• for: quote - Carbon Capture expectations - unfeasible

• quote

  • If oil and natural gas consumption were to evolve as projected under today’s policy settings, this would require an inconceivable 32 billion tonnes of carbon captured for utilisation or storage by 2050,
    • including 23 billion tonnes via direct air capture to limit the temperature rise to 1.5 °C.
  • The necessary carbon capture technologies would require 26 000 terawatt hours of electricity generation to operate in 2050,
    • which is more than global electricity demand in 2022.
  • And it would require over USD 3.5 trillion in annual investments all the way from today through to mid-century, which is an amount equal to the entire industry’s annual average revenue in recent years.

• for: stats - oil and gas industry - fight for survival

• stats: oil and gas industry - fight for survival

  • competing oil producers will have to reach an agreement on who has the right to produce the remaining carbon budget
  • 24 million barrels a day are still produced in a 1.5 Deg C scenario but are largely uncombusted
    • 75 % of that will be used in petrochemical and other industry
    • 920 billion cubic meters of natural gas
      • 50% of this for hydrogen production

• for: carbon tax, tax the rich, carbon inequality

• comment

  • an obvious and logical strategy because
    • the elites are few in number, but hold much wealth
    • the disenfranchised are many in number but hold little wealth
      • but the disenfranchised exist in larger numbers
      • so when it comes to voting, they are a strategic cohort to win over
  • this is in effect the same logic as the Paris Agreement and climate justice
  • climate justice requires us to protect the poor and give them the remaining carbon budget whilst those who already have enough must cut back

• for: carbon budget - Alberta, carbon-constrained world - Alberta's future

In den USA wurde in Anwesenheit des Energieministers, die erste große kommerzielle Fabrik zur Direct Air Capture also der direkten Entnahmevon CO2 aus der Atmosphäre, eröffnet. Die Biden-Administration fördert diese Technologie mit enorm hohen Beträgen. Die Kosten für den Entzug einer Tonne CO2 aus der Atmosphäre in der neuen Anlage werden auf 600 bis 1000 Dollar geschätzt https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/09/climate/direct-air-capture-carbon.html

Der Artikel im Guardian stellt eine neue Studie dar, aus der hervorgeht, wie viel von der bereits existierenden Infrastruktur zur Förderung fossiler Brennstoff stillgelegt werden muss, um das 1,5° Ziel zu erreichen. Dabei geht die Autoren davon aus, dass man CO2 nicht realistisch wieder aus der Atmosphäre entfernen kann, und dass das 1,5° Ziel also nur zu erreichen ist, wenn nicht zu viel emittiert wird. Diese Studie fordert das Gegenteil der Planungen der fossilen Industrien, über der über die der Guardian gerade berichtet hatte. Der Artikel ist auch bemerkenswert, weil er auf eine Reihe weiterer wichtiger Studien zu fossilen Lagerstätten verweist.

Eine Gruppe von Forscher:innen um James Hansen hat eine Studie veröffentlicht, der zufolge sich die globale Erhitzung beschleunigt und die 1,5°-Grenze schon bald überschritten werden wird. Die These, dass der IPCC die Empfindlichkeit der Erde für Veränderungen in der Einstrahlung (Climate Sensitivity) bisher unterschätzt, ist nicht wissenschaftlicher Konsens, wird aber sehr ernst genommen. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/02/heating-faster-climate-change-greenhouse-james-hansen

Studie: https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfclm/kgad0082023

Einer neuen Studie zufolge liegt das CO2 Budget, mit dem sich das 1,5 Grad Ziel mit wenigstens 50% Wahrscheinlichkeit noch erreichen ließe, bei 250 Milliarden Tonnen. Es ist damit nur halb so hoch, wie bisher angenommen. Bei der von den UN vorangetriebenen Halbierung der Emissionen bis 2030 liege die Chance bei maximal 40%. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/oct/30/climate-crisis-carbon-emissions-budget

Studie: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-023-01848-5

Die Schere zwischen den nötigen Maßnahmen zur Anpassung an die globale Erhitzung und den dafür zur Verfügung gestellten Mitteln geht weiter auf. Der neue Adaptation Gap Report der Vereinten Nationen stellt fest, dass die Kosten für die Anpassung dramatisch steigen. https://www.derstandard.at/story/3000000193529/anpassung-an-klimakrise-hat-sich-verlangsamt-statt-an-fahrt-aufzunehmen

Report: https://www.unep.org/resources/adaptation-gap-report-2023

Is this some of the missing context for the CCS next to datacentre patents from M$?

If you can capture the CO2, and use the waste heat to separate the CO2 from the absorbing material, then it might improve the economics of the SOFC fuel cells, AND deal with the CO2 emissions problem.

Die Erde befindet sich bereits in einem "uncharted territory". 20 von 35 Indikatoren, mit denen sich das Funktionieren des Klimasystems beurteilen lässt, zeigen inzwischen extreme Werte. Die aktualisierte Version einer von den renommiertesten Erdsystemwissenschaftler:innen erstellten (und von 2000 Wissenschaftlern unterzeichneten Studie) von 2019 kommt zu dem Ergebnis, dass die Warnungen aus der Wissenschaft, den Planeten nicht überzubelasten, nicht rechtzeitig ernst genommen wurden und das Erdsystem seinen stabilen Zustand verlassen hat. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/oct/24/earth-vital-signs-human-history-scientists-sustainable-future

Report: https://doi.org/10.1093/biosci/biad080

Even if we acheive perfect efficiency we tax the global economy 10% to remove annual emissions

This are nearly 100x the cost of Hydro RECs in come cases

• for: carbon footprint calculators - misleading

• for: Carbon capture - MIT hoax, climate delay, kick the can down the road

Die EU hat offiziell mit der Einführung des sog. Klimazolls“ begonnen, also einer Abgabe für Produkte aus Ländern, in denen mit mehr Emissionen produziert wird als in der EU. Dabei geht es um Zement, Eisen und Stahl, Aluminium, Dünger, Strom und Wasserstoff. In einer zweijährigen Übergangsphase werden zunächst nur die nötigen Informationen gesammelt. https://taz.de/Einfuhr-von-Stahl-Duenger-und-Co/!5963230/

• source
  • https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.researchgate.net%2Fpublication%2F364689654_BEANS_The_Benchmark_of_Animal_Sounds&group=world

Die Biden-Administration hat alle amerikanischen Bundesbehörden angewiesen, bei allen Projekten die Kosten, die durch die globale Erhitzung verursacht werden, mit zu budgetieren. Damit wird eine bisher schon von der Umweltbehörde EPA verwendete Metrik der "social costs of carbon" auf die gesamte Regierungstätigkeit ausgeweitet.Mit einem Budget von ungefähr 600 Milliarden Dollar im Jahr ist die amerikanische Bundesregierung der größte Verbraucher von Gütern und Dienstleistungenn in der Welt. https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/21/climate/biden-climate-change-economic-cost.html

• for: carbon inequality

• for: Johan Rockstrom - wellbeing economy, wellbeing economy, green growth, degrowth, question, question - Johan Rockstrom - green growth or degrowth?
• question
  • Does Johan Rockstrom advocate for a green economy or degrowth?
  • He would seem to be arguing for green growth as degrowth, if not done extremely carefully, can result in a drop in wellbeing.
  • How does he see this taking place when the elites perceive that they have the most (at least materially) to give up? Is there a contradiction here?

• for: carbon sinks, carbon sinks - oceans, carbon sinks - forests, stats, stats, forest carbon sink, stats - ocean carbon sink, question, question - when do carbon sinks turn into carbon sources?

• stats

  • forests are absorbing 25% of carbon dioxide emissions
  • oceans are absorbing 50% of carbon dioxide emissions
  • these are stressing these carbon sinks

• question

  • how much longer can they absorb without unintended consequences playing out?

• for: carbon budget - underestimate, IPCC - underestimate, 1.5Deg C - underestimate, question, question - revise 1.5 Deg C target downwards?

• highlight

  • the 1.5 Deg C target does not account for cascading tipping points. In fact the cascading tipping point research is not accounted for in any of:
    • current climate models
    • global carbon estimates
    • IPCC
  • the implications are that the carbon budget is even smaller than the current number.
  • the implications are that 1.5 Deg C is not the threshold we should be aiming for, but even less. We are now at 1.2 so it has to be 1.3 or 1.4.

• question

  • Given the underestimates, should the target actually be revised downwards to 1.3 or 1.4 deg C?

• for: precautionary principle, fossil fuel phase out, carbon budget - uncertainties, carbon budget - underestimate
• highlight
  • the precautionary principle dictates that the uncertainties in:
    • soil carbon
    • ocean carbon
    • ocean heat
    • ice melt
    • biodiversity loss
    • biome tipping points
  • implies that the any one of these can easily bring our remaining carbon budget down to zero.

Auf einer neuen Tracking-Website von Greenpeace können die Flüge österreichischer Privatjets in Echtzeit verfolgt werden. Die Zahl der Flüge von Privatjets hat sich gegenüber 2019 verdoppelt. Allein im Monat August wurden dabei 10.000 Tonnen CO2 ausgestoßen..

https://www.derstandard.at/story/3000000185807/oesterreichische-privatjets-emittierten-im-august-ueber-10000-tonnen-co2

Bei dem afrikanischen klimagipfel in Nairobi zeichnen sich Konflikte über einen Ausstieg aus fossilen Energien ab. Einige Länder, darunter Nigeria und Senegal, wollen die vorhandenen und zum Teil gerade entdeckten Ressourcen ausbeuten.

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/04/africa-leaders-climate-crisis-plans-nairobi-summit-opens

In Nairobi findet in dieser Woche der erste afrikanische klimagipfel statt. Ein zentrales Thema sind Funanzierungsleistungen des globalen Nordens. Viele Initiativen besonders der kenianischen Präsidentschaft sind umstritten. NGOs befürchten, dass sie die Länder, die die Klima-Katastrophe verursachen, entlasten und nicht zur Minderung der Emissionen beitragen.

https://www.derstandard.de/story/3000000185400/afrikanische-laender-suchen-bei-eigenem-klimagipfel-nach-zukunftsschancen

• for: velocar, low carbon transportation
• title: Up the velorution: appropriating the bicycle and the politics of technology

• for: velocar, low carbon transportation
• Title: The Velomobile as a Vehicle for more Sustainable Transportation

• for: climate change impacts - meat, carbon footprint - meat, leverage point - food, stats, stats - meat eating
• title:
• stats
  • 12% OF AMERICANS EAT HALF OF ALL BEEF CONSUMED IN A DAY
• date: Aug. 30, 2023
• source: https://www.futurity.org/beef-food-climate-change-2967702-2/
• cited paper: https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6643/15/17/3795

• for: inequality, carbon inequality, carbon inequality - eu
• title: The unequal distribution of household carbon footprints in Europe and its link to sustainability
• authors
  • Diana ivanova
  • Richard Wood
• date: July 6, 2020
• source: https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/global-sustainability/article/unequal-distribution-of-household-carbon-footprints-in-europe-and-its-link-to-sustainability/F1ED4F705AF1C6C1FCAD477398353DC2#article

• for: inequality, Anthropocene, climate justice
• title: Why this viral photo of the world’s largest cruise ship is polarizing opinion
• source
  • https://edition.cnn.com/travel/viral-icon-of-the-seas-cruise-ship-photo/index.html
• comment
  • economic AND carbon inequality on display

• for: zoning, city council, re-zoning, low carbon city, walkable city

• for: inequality, poverty, W2W, Jane Goodall, socio-ecological system, climate justice, emptiness - example, entanglement - inequality and climate crisis
• key insight
  • if you're very poor and you're living in some kind of Wilderness Area
    • you're going to destroy the environment in order to survive
    • example: Gumby Street National Park
      • in 1960 it was part of the Great Forest
      • but by the late 1980s was a tiny Islander forest and all the hills around were bare
      • more people living there than the land could support
      • too poor to buy food elsewhere
        • struggling to survive
        • cutting down the trees to make money from charcoal or Timber
        • or to make more land grow more food and
      • that's when it hit me
        • if we don't help these people these local communities find ways of living without destroying the environment
        • we can't save chimpanzees forests or anything else so we need to alleviate poverty
• comment
  • This is why the inequality crisis is entangled with the climate crisis

• for: voting, power - money, money - voting, inequality, voting - money, equity, voting power - rich
• paraphrase
• question
  • if we think of money as a voting tool
    • why does a billionaire have a billion times more power to decide what society should be like than i do?

• for: W2W, carbon inequality, carbon footprint - 1%, carbon emissions - 1%, luxury advertising, luxury advertising contracts, carbon emissions - luxury goods
• key insight
  • the elites are often the main popularizers, influencers and propagandists of the fantasy of overconsumption
  • culture of overconsumption
  • such elites have a close tie to the luxury industry via large advertising contracts
  • Media posts critical of the carbon air travel emissions of famous DJ named DJ Snake offers a prime example of a common attitude of privilege and self-righteousness found amongst a number of elites

• for carbon inequality, carbon emissions - air travel, carbon emissions - concerts, stats - air travel - concerts
• paraphrase
• stats
  • The Shift Project has estimated that
    • if only 3% of festival-goers attending the Vieilles Charrues Festival come by plane, they account for more than 60% of carbon emissions linked to public transport!
  • Tomorrowland concert - close to 25,000 festival-goers fly in via "party flights"
  • North America Burning Man - 20% of festival goers fly in
  • In general, the largest footprint for famous cultural events is air travel

• for: carbon emissions of the 1%, carbon inequality, carbon emissions - artists, high carbon lifestyle
• comment
  • top tier entertainers are conditioned to a high carbon lifestyle. This is a challenge to overcome.
  • example given
    • DJ who flew to perform in four different EU cities in the same evening!

• for: carbon footprint - music industry, carbon footprint - concerts, carbon footprint - touring
• paraphrase
  • Most renowned artists and the trades and professions around them
    • producers,
    • broadcasters,
    • booking agents,
    • distributors, internet platforms
    • studios
    • equipment and service providers
  • are today dependent on hyper-intensive energy-consuming models.
  • Music or showbusiness artists, for example, depend more and more on touring and festivals.
  • Namely because with a remuneration of 0,0034 dollars per listened music track,
    • only 1% of music artists receive a minimum wage through streaming and
    • because, in the meantime, sales in the physical media market (CD, vinyl) have collapsed,
      • and streaming has not made up for loss of value.
  • Unsurprisingly, the artists who are most successful at making a living receive the quasi-totality of their revenue from the tours they do via concerts or festivals
    • (which incur high travel carbon footprint)
  • And those have a tendency to increase at an unchecked rate.
  • To attract the largest crowd possible, these artists demand
    • more and more top billings
    • with equally
      • increasing fees and
      • technical requirements.
  • example
    • Coldplay travels with no less than 2 kits of 32 articulated lorries on the road (for their “ecological” tour),
    • Rammstein accounts for
      • almost 100 articulated lorries
      • 7 cargo planes for their tours and
      • burns no less than 1000 litres of heating oil for their pyrotechnical effects at each concert (something the group proudly displays on social media).
• noteworthy
  • due to loss of product sales, touring and concerts is the only way musicians can make money, and that comes at high carbon emission cost

• for: carbon emissions - culture, carbon emissions - cultural sector, carbon footprint - culture,

• paraphrase

• stats
  • for France
  • culture and leisure are the third reason for travel after work and shopping
  • watching movies at movie theatre alone is responsible for nearly one million tons of CO2 emissions
  • culture takes up 60% of all downloads on the internet, 80% if porn is included
  • tens of thousands of buildings such as auditoriums are depending on fossil fuels to operate
  • cultural events drive high carbon tourist industry:
    • account for 60% of revenue of hotels and restaurants at the Avignon Festival
    • Louvre's carbon footprint of 3.4 million tons of CO2 emissions are in large part due to air travel of tourists from around the globe

• for: emissions reduction, bend the curve, TPF, W2W, emissions reduction - cultural sector, bend the curve - cultural sector, TPF - cultural sector, W2W - cultural sector, carbon emissions - cultural sector, carbon inequality

• comment

  • well written article on the carbon emissions challenges of the cultural sector
  • this is related to the carbon emissions of the luxury industry as well
• question
  • same question as asked about luxury, since there is overlap with culture industry and luxury
  • Given that the 1% have the same carbon emissions as the bottom half of humanity, does the sustainability impacts of the decarbonization efforts of the luxury aspects of the culture industry measure up to stay under earth system boundaries in time?
• reference
  • https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=carbon+inequality

• for: carbon emissions - DJ, carbon footprint - DJ, carbon emissions - music industry, carbon emission - cultural sector, research study - carbon emissions - DJ
• noteworthy
  • some DJ's fly to perform in four European cities in a single evening!

• for: carbon inequality, decarbonizing luxury, decarbonizing luxury goods, carbon emissions - luxury goods, W2W, TPF,

• question

  • Given that the 1% have the same carbon emissions as the bottom half of humanity, does the sustainability impacts of the decarbonization efforts of the luxury industry measure up to stay under earth system boundaries in time?
• reference
  • carbon inequality
  • https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=carbon+inequality

• for: sense of lack, sense of self, sense of self and sense of lack, human condition, poverty mentality, alienation, separation, emptiness, emptiness of emptiness, W2W, inequality
• key insight
  • sense of self is equivalent to
    • sense of lack
    • duality
    • disconnection
    • alienation
    • separation
    • solidification - the opposite of emptiness
• comment
  • this sense of lack that is intrinsically associated with the sense of self is perhaps the deepest root of our unhappiness
  • this is a key insight for sharing for both those who have too much (the 1%) as well as those who are so materially impoverished and deprived that they are forced to adopt survivalist strategies to stay alive, and if successful, take on a hard edge to survivalism, over-appreciating materialism
  • the same mistake is committed on both end of the disparity spectrum, both groups are still under the illusion that that sense of lack can be filled

• for: millionaire emissions, carbon inequality, inequality, W2W
• paraphrase
  • Our findings suggest that the share of US$2020-millionaires in the world population will grow
    • from 0.7% today
    • to 3.3% in 2050,
  • and cause accumulated emissions of
    • 286 Gt CO2
    • equivalent to 72% of the remaining carbon budget,
  • and significantly reduces the chance of stabilizing climate change at 1.5 °C.
  • Continued growth in emissions at the top makes a low-carbon transition less likely,
    • as the acceleration of energy consumption by the wealthiest
    • is likely beyond the system's capacity to decarbonize.
    • To this end, we question whether policy designs such as progressive taxes targeting the high emitters will be sufficient.

• for: wealth inequality, inequality, carbon inequality, elite emissions, 1% emissions, millionaire emissions
• According to a new study by tourism professor Stefan Gössling,
  • the millionaires will, within just a few decades, be responsible for almost three quarters of carbon dioxide emissions.

• for: high-SES, 1%, W2W, inequality, carbon inequality, elites, billionaires, millionaires, leverage point
• five high carbon emission areas of high-SES, HNWI, VHNWI
  • consumption
  • investor
  • role model within social networks
  • participants in organizations
  • citizens seeking to influence public policies or corporate behavior

• for: high-SES, 1%, W2W, inequality, carbon inequality, elites, billionaires, millionaires, leverage point
• definition
  • high-SES
    • high socioeconomic status
    • equivalent to high net worth individual (HNWI) or
    • very high net worth individual (VHNWI)

• for: carbon inequality, w2w, leverage point - climate change, 1%, inequality, wealth tax
• title
  • The role of high-socioeconomic-status people in locking in or rapidly reducing energy-driven greenhouse gas emissions
• authors
  • Kristian S. Nielsen
  • Kimberly A. Nicholas
  • Felix Creutzig
  • Thomas Dietz
  • Paul C. Stern
• date
  • Sept 30, 2021 -source
  • https://www.nature.com/articles/s41560-021-00900-y
• abstract
  • People with high socioeconomic status disproportionally affect energy-driven greenhouse gas emissions directly
    • through their consumption and
    • indirectly through their financial and social resources.
  • However, few climate change mitigation initiatives have targeted this population segment,
    • and the potential of such initiatives remains insufficiently researched.
  • In this Perspective, we analyse key characteristics of high-socioeconomic-status people and explore five roles through which they have a disproportionate impact on energy-driven greenhouse gas emissions and potentially on climate change mitigation, namely as:
    • consumers,
    • investors,
    • role models,
    • organizational participants and
    • citizens.
  • We examine what is known about their disproportionate impact via consumption and
    • explore their potential influence on greenhouse gas emissions through all five roles.
  • We suggest that future research should focus on strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by high-socioeconomic-status people and to align their
    • investments,
    • organizational choices and
    • actions as social and political change agents
  • with climate change mitigation goals.