- Jul 2024
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Energieminister Ed Miliband wird die britische Delegation bei der COP29 leiten. Anders als bei den letzten konservativen Vorgängerregierungen ist damit wieder eine Top-Level Figur federführend. Die neue Labor-Regierung möchte, dass Großbritannien wieder eine führende Rolle in der Klimapolitik übernimmt https://www.theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/jul/15/ed-miliband-lead-uk-negotiations-cop29-climate-summit
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- May 2024
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Untersuchungen zeigen, dass die COP28 mit dem Emissions Peak für Treibhausgase zusammenfallen könnte. Um das 1,5°-Ziel zu erreichen, müssten allerdings die Emissionen bis 2030 um die Hälfte sinken. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/ng-interactive/2023/nov/29/cop28-what-could-climate-conference-achieve
Tags
- fossil fuels phase-out
- Shady Khalil
- Saudi-Arabia
- Romain Ioualalen
- Lauri Myllyvirta
- COP28
- actor: Sultan Al Jaber
- Christiana Figueres
- Paul Bledsoe
- China
- OECD
- Mariana Mazzucato
- Global Centre on Adaptation
- 2023-11-29
- Eamon Ryan
- Greenpeace
- Mia Mottley
- Macky Small
- NOCs
- Durwood Zaelke
- Nicholas Stern
- Harjeet Singh
- Simon Stiell
- Jenny Chase
- Council on Energy, Environment and Water
- Climate Analytics
- Institute for Governance and Sustainable Development
- Global Optimism
- Vera Singer
- Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air
- Patrick Verkooijen
- COP28 global methane summit
- Jeanne d’Arc Mujawamariya
- climate finance
- Avinash Persaud
- Climate Action Network International
- Joeri Rogelj
- BNEF
- coal phase-out
- Arunabha Ghosh
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davidorban.com davidorban.com
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extropianism of the 80s and 90s,
A techno-optimist / rationalist thing, connected to transhumanism and cryogenics.
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using engineering to repair a complex system like our planet.
This sounds very problematic to me. Engineering is not meant for complex issues, it needs reductionism to complicated but highly predictable causal chains to be able to engineer it. Also wrt environment I don't see actual evidence of techno-optimism having had positive impact, let alone at geo-engineering scale. Environmental achievements wrt sulfur (acid rain), ozon (HFCs), living rivers (pesticides, discharges) etc. result from regulations limiting what engineers had previously introduced.
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- Apr 2024
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archive.org archive.org
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Beware of Mental-Itis! Industrial. The Calvin Company, 1937. http://archive.org/details/0800_Beware_of_Mental-itis_06_00_55_00.
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- Nov 2023
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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I'll find the language of Hope and hopefulness hope hopelessness 01:19:11 speak to me more in the sense of are there reasons to still get up clean up suit up and show up and I want to say yes even in the face 01:19:25 of extraordinary difficulty
- for: comparison - hope and hopefulness vs optimism and pessimism
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- Sep 2023
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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21:00 joy and optimism in face of suffering
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- Apr 2023
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en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
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Google allowed third parties to build their own Wave services (be it private or commercial) because it wanted the Wave protocol to replace the e-mail protocol.[2][16][17] Initially, Google was the only Wave service provider, but it was hoped that other service providers would launch their own Wave services, possibly designing their own unique web-based clients as is common with many email service providers.
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- Dec 2022
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www.notboring.co www.notboring.coOptimism1
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In The Beginning of Infinity, physicist David Deutsch defines The Principle of Optimism: “All evils are caused by insufficient knowledge.” From that principle, Deutsch writes, flow a few implications that help understand optimism:Optimism is “a way of explaining failure, not prophesying success”: If we’ve failed at something, it’s because we didn’t have the right knowledge in time. Optimism is a stance towards the future: Nearly all failures, and nearly all successes, are yet to come. Optimism follows from the explicability of the physical world: If something is permitted by the laws of physics, then the only thing that can prevent it from being possible is not knowing how.In the long run, there are no insuperable evils: There can be no such thing as a disease for which there can’t be a cure, because bodies are physical things that follow the laws of physics. If you want, you can call it “realistic optimism” or “pragmatic optimism” or “realistic skeptical optimism” or whatever you want to call it in your head to make it feel less doe-eyed, but the actual definition of optimism captures those, so I’ll just call it optimism.
This is the kind if definition of optimism I have in mind when thinking about how I try to approach the world. Combined with a (hopefully!) well balanced sense of Humour, a bit of stubbornness and the kind of “naivetë” [[Mihaly Csikszentmihalyi]] described in his opus magnum “Flow” I am convinced it’s, in the long run, a quite unstoppable combination and quality that can, in fact, be trained and developed.
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- Jul 2022
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bigthink.com bigthink.com
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Techno-optimism is the belief that technology will produce more good than bad. To defend techno-optimism, we must first establish what our values are, and then discover the facts that preserve those values. Modest techno-optimism acknowledges the problems in technology, but couples that to an optimism in human institutions and virtues.
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www.zylstra.org www.zylstra.org
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Harold Jarche looked at his most visited blog postings over the years, and concludes his blog conforms to Sturgeon’s Revelation that 90% of everything is crap. I recognise much of what Harold writes. I suspect this is also what feeds impostor syndrome. You see the very mixed bag of results from your own efforts, and how most of it is ‘crap’. The few ‘hits’ for which you get positive feedback are then either ‘luck’ or should be normal, not sparse. Others of course forget most if not all of your less stellar products and remember mostly the ones that stood out. Only you are in a position to compare what others respond to with your internal perspective.
The cumulative effect of one's perception of Sturgeon's law may be a driving force underlying imposter syndrome.
While one see's the entirety of their own creation process and realizes that only a small fraction of it is truly useful, it's much harder seeing only the finished product of others. The impression one is left with by availability heuristic is that there are thousands of geniuses in the world with excellent, refined products or ideas while one's own contribution is miniscule in comparison.
Contrast this with Matt Ridley's broad perspective in The Rational Optimist which shows the power of cumulative breeding and evolution of ideas. One person can make their own stone hand axe, but no one person can make their own toaster oven or computer mouse alone.
Link to: - lone genius myth (eg. Einstein's special relativity did not spring fully formed from the head of Zeus, there was a long train of work and thought which we don't see the context of)
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- Mar 2022
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hackeducation.com hackeducation.com
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Gramsci famously said "I am a pessimist because of intelligence but an optimist because of will."
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- Feb 2022
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therebooting.substack.com therebooting.substack.com
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If the past two years have taught us anything, it’s to be wary of optimism.
This goes quadruple for tech optimism over the past 15+ years.
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- Dec 2021
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tracydurnell.com tracydurnell.com
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Why is dystopian sci-fi seem more ubiquitous than optomistic sci-fi?
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- Oct 2021
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slate.com slate.com
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There’s a telling episode about a quarter of the way into Now You See It, Cathy N. Davidson’s impassioned manifesto on the way digital tools should transform how we learn and work.
These were written at a time when the tech industry generally had a rose colored view of their effects on the world. By 2021, we've now got a much more sober and nuanced view. Even Cathy Davidson says as much in her recent book The New Education.
For more on this topic with respect to education, see specifically Audrey Watters.
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- Sep 2021
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www.niemanlab.org www.niemanlab.org
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No one is going to be able to imagine a text online without annotations anymore.” They also foresaw a day when the site’s algorithmic evaluation of your Genius annotations — their “Genius IQ” — would be so widely accepted that it “could impact your grades in primary school and your ability to get a job in a certain field.” (“We’re going to have annotations on other sites, so every other site in the world like the Wall Street Journal and the New York Times are going be Genius-powered and they’re going to have our annotations on them. And then the Genius platform will take over the internet; everyone’s most important statistic that they have in life is their Genius IQ.”)
Great example of the overly optimistic rose colored glasses of the venture fund backed tech elite. How do they still get away with such blatant failures? Who hold them socially and financially accountable?
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- Aug 2021
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www.lionsroar.com www.lionsroar.com
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eem intent on building new institutions and traditions rather than maintaining old ones.
YES
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softwarequotes.com softwarequotes.com
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Optimism is an occupational hazard of programming: feedback is the treament.
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- Jul 2021
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journals.sagepub.com journals.sagepub.com
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Sheetal, A., Feng, Z., & Savani, K. (2020). Using Machine Learning to Generate Novel Hypotheses: Increasing Optimism About COVID-19 Makes People Less Willing to Justify Unethical Behaviors. Psychological Science, 31(10), 1222–1235. https://doi.org/10.1177/0956797620959594
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www.frontiersin.org www.frontiersin.org
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Yap, Suhui, Albert Lee, Li-Jun Ji, Ye Li, and Ying Dong. “Cultural Differences in People’s Psychological Response to COVID-19.” Frontiers in Psychology 0 (2021). https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2021.636062.
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- May 2021
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www.tandfonline.com www.tandfonline.com
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Tomljenovic, H., Bubic, A., & Erceg, N. (2020). It just doesn’t feel right – the relevance of emotions and intuition for parental vaccine conspiracy beliefs and vaccination uptake. Psychology & Health, 35(5), 538–554. https://doi.org/10.1080/08870446.2019.1673894
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- Mar 2021
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Ravelo, J. L. (2021). ‘Jeremy Farrar: COVID-19 Pandemic “Is Nowhere near Its End”’. Devex. https://www.devex.com/news/sponsored/jeremy-farrar-covid-19-pandemic-is-nowhere-near-its-end-99484.
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Unrealistic optimism about future life events: A cautionary note. (n.d.). Retrieved March 4, 2021, from https://psycnet.apa.org/fulltext/2010-22979-001.pdf?auth_token=a25fd4b7f008a50b15fd7b0f1fdb222fc38373f4
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Oljača, M., Sadiković, S., Branovacki, B., Pajić, D., Smederevac, S., & Mitrović, D. (2020). Unrealistic optimism and HEXACO traits as predictors of risk perception and compliance with COVID-19 preventive measures during the first wave of pandemic. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/rt64j
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- Feb 2021
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Vries, L. de, Weijer, M. van de, Pelt, D., Ligthart, L., Willemsen, G., Boomsma, D., Geus, E. de, & Bartels, M. (2021). Individual differences in the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on optimism and meaning in life. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/b2ge6
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Mega, E. R. (2021). Trust in COVID vaccines is growing. Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-021-00368-6
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www.mozilla.org www.mozilla.org
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An early optimism that the system might evade many of the unwanted constraints of society has been replaced today with a realization that the internet is all too susceptible to societal and human frailties, with limited avenues for accountability or redress.
"early optimism" is a nicer spin on what is often described as naivete, technological solutionism or privileged myopia. But this is also a clear and honest statement.
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- Dec 2020
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Ross, L. (2020). How Intellectual Communities Progress. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/k6yux
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- Nov 2020
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www.sciencemag.org www.sciencemag.org
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CohenNov. 16, J., 2020, & Am, 7:00. (2020, November 16). ‘Just beautiful’: Another COVID-19 vaccine, from newcomer Moderna, succeeds in large-scale trial. Science | AAAS. https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/11/just-beautiful-another-covid-19-vaccine-newcomer-moderna-succeeds-large-scale-trial
Tags
- COVID-19
- vaccine
- USA
- trial
- efficacy
- Pfizer
- distribution
- lang:en
- BioNTech
- is:webpage
- optimism
- Moderna
- health
- mRNA technology
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- Oct 2020
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app.thebrain.com app.thebrain.comTheBrain1
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Imagining Our Future Through Tech Frank Chen - a16z Operating Partner
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- Sep 2020
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github.com github.com
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I haven't actually tested this yet, but I feel like there's a good 60% chance it might work
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psycnet.apa.org psycnet.apa.org
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Harris, A. J. L., & Hahn, U. (2011). Unrealistic optimism about future life events: A cautionary note. Psychological Review, 118(1), 135–154. https://doi.org/10.1037/a0020997
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Fragkaki, I., Maciejewski, D. F., Weijman, E., Feltes, J., Cima, M. (2020). Human Responses to Covid-19: The Role of Optimism Bias, Perceived Severity, and Anxiety. 10.31234/osf.io/w4k9m
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- Jul 2020
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Sakakibara, R., & Ozono, H. (2020). Psychological Research on the COVID-19 Crisis in Japan: Focusing on Infection Preventive Behaviors, Future Prospects, and Information Dissemination Behaviors. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/97zye
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www.economist.com www.economist.com
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America’s stockmarket just had its best quarter in 20 years. (n.d.). The Economist. Retrieved July 3, 2020, from https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/07/01/americas-stockmarket-just-had-its-best-quarter-in-20-years?%3Ffsrc%3Dscn%2F=tw/dc
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- Jun 2020
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Arslan, G., & Yildirim, M. (2020). Coronavirus Stress, Meaningful Living, Optimism, and Depressive Symptoms: A Study of Moderated Mediation Model [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/ykvzn
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Sjåstad, H., Teigen, K. H., & Van Bavel, J. J. (2020, June 5). The best-case heuristic in risk prediction: Hopes and fears in a global health pandemic (COVID-19). https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/pcj4f
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- May 2020
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Globig, L. K., Blain, B., & Sharot, T. (2020). When Private Optimism meets Public Despair: Dissociable effects on behavior and well-being [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/gbdn8
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Arslan, G., Yıldırım, M., Tanhan, A., Buluş, M., & Allen, K.-A. (2020). Coronavirus Stress, Optimism-Pessimism, Psychological Inflexibility, and Psychological Health: Testing the Psychometrics of the Coronavirus Stress Measure [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/n6dcj
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What Happens Next? COVID-19 Futures, Explained With Playable Simulations. (n.d.). What Happens Next? COVID-19 Futures, Explained With Playable Simulations. Retrieved May 4, 2020, from https://ncase.me/covid-19/
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- Apr 2020
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Sætrevik, B. (2020, April 13). Realistic expectations and pro-social behavioural intentions to the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic in the Norwegian population. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/uptyq
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www.patreon.com www.patreon.com
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Johnson’s book (lively and well sourced – highly recommended) transcends the cliche of the individual innovator and shows the ways in which innovation depends on a form of social capital — the networks of people and ideas that innovators learn from and build upon.
It's rarely ever about the "lone genius".
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- Oct 2019
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quillette.com quillette.com
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black Americans have been making rapid progress along most important dimensions of well-being since the turn of the millennium.
testing annotatioins
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- Sep 2019
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github.com github.com
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Community Let's start one together!
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- Nov 2018
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communemag.com communemag.com
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Immediately many people will object that this is too hard, too implausible, contradictory to human nature, politically impossible, uneconomical, and so on. Yeah yeah. Here we see the shift from cruel optimism to stupid pessimism, or call it fashionable pessimism, or simply cynicism. It’s very easy to object to the utopian turn by invoking some poorly-defined but seemingly omnipresent reality principle. Well-off people do this all the time.
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One way of being anti-anti-utopian is to be utopian. It’s crucial to keep imagining that things could get better, and furthermore to imagine how they might get better. Here no doubt one has to avoid Berlant’s “cruel optimism,” which is perhaps thinking and saying that things will get better without doing the work of imagining how. In avoiding that, it may be best to recall the Romain Rolland quote so often attributed to Gramsci, “pessimism of the intellect, optimism of the will.” Or maybe we should just give up entirely on optimism or pessimism—we have to do this work no matter how we feel about it. So by force of will or the sheer default of emergency we make ourselves have utopian thoughts and ideas.
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- Jun 2017
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www.authentichappiness.sas.upenn.edu www.authentichappiness.sas.upenn.edu
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Authentic happiness inventory
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- Jul 2016
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hackeducation.com hackeducation.com
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I’ve heard it suggested often that the World Wide Web is an example of what Ivan Illich called “convivial tools” — although his book predates the Web by 15+ years, Illich speaks of “learning webs” in Deschooling Society. I grow less and less certain that the Web is quite “it."
Yours in struggle.
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medium.com medium.com
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cautiously optimistic
One of the many reasons we need Maha in our world. Honestly, there’s a lot out there to bring us down. The problem with that, in part, is that it may discourage the most courageous among us. Not Maha, though. Proving once again how courageous she is (despite her claim to the contrary), she brings us forward on our quest for empowered learning despite technology.
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- Nov 2015
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courses.edx.org courses.edx.org
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Isn’t the point of life to change and improve, rather than just accept things the way they are and naively believe the future will be better? In fact, mindfulness and the other techniques discussed help put us in better touch with reality so we can see things clearly and act from there. And thanks to neuroplasticity, science has shown that we are able to change.
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- Nov 2013
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wiki.shuttleworthfoundation.org wiki.shuttleworthfoundation.org
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Jonas
I'm very optimistic about the Fellows ability to affect change in the world!
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