If AI substantially reduces the centrality of paid work in human life, what conditions will allow people to reallocate their time and effort toward other sources of meaning, and what can we learn from historical or contemporary populations where work has been scarce or optional?
大多数人认为工作是人类身份和意义的核心，但作者质疑这一基本假设，暗示AI可能使工作变得非必要，这挑战了现代社会对工作的核心价值认知。作者暗示我们需要重新思考人类在没有工作的情况下如何找到意义，这与主流经济和社会观念相悖。
We believe the future of AI isn't just about scaling monolithic models, but engineering collaborative, diverse AI ecosystems that can adapt and combine their strengths.
作者直接挑战了当前AI行业的发展方向，认为未来不在于扩大单一模型，而在于构建协作的多样化AI生态系统，这与主流AI发展理念形成鲜明对比。
At 50 million tokens, the design space for AI applications changes fundamentally.
文章提到5000万token上下文将 fundamentally 改变AI应用的设计空间。这是一个前瞻性的数据点，表明SubQ技术的长期潜力，虽然当前产品仅支持100万token，但架构设计已为未来更大规模应用奠定基础。
The software engineers who will be most valuable in the future are not the ones who do everything themselves. They are the ones who refuse to spend time on work that A.I. can do for them, while still understanding everything that is done on their behalf.
这个观点强调了未来软件工程师的价值不在于他们能做什么，而在于他们如何利用AI来提升自己的思考能力。
This paper introduces Autogenesis, a self-evolving agent
Autogenesis的引入代表了智能体领域的一项创新，它可能对智能体的未来发展方向产生重大影响。
The transition from isolated AI models to the aggregated, metered token economy will unlock the twenty-first.
作者预测，从孤立的AI模型到聚合的、计量的token经济的转变将开启21世纪的新篇章。
I guess people will get back to crafting beautiful designs to stand out from the slop. On the other hand, I'm not sure how much design will still matter once AI agents are the primary users of the web.
大多数人认为设计始终对用户体验至关重要，但作者质疑当AI成为主要网络用户时设计的重要性，这挑战了设计行业的核心假设。这一观点暗示设计可能从面向人类转向面向AI，彻底改变设计价值链。
If 90% is AI, do we even need a team?
大多数人认为AI代码生成工具应该被视为辅助工具，不会完全取代开发者，但作者指出，当AI贡献比例达到90%时，管理层可能会质疑开发团队的价值，这表明AI指标报告可能带来意想不到的组织结构和就业影响。
A core conviction at Sakana AI is that the most capable AI systems will not be monolithic models scaled in isolation, but collections of specialized agents working together.
大多数人认为更强大的AI系统必然是更大规模、更复杂的单一模型，但作者明确表示最具能力的AI系统将不是孤立扩展的单一模型，而是多个专业化代理的集合。这直接挑战了当前AI领域追求更大单一模型的共识，提出了一个根本不同的研究方向。
继续做通用 UX 是最危险的位置，它正是最容易被 AI 和产品经理上下夹击的中间层。
大多数人认为UX设计师的核心价值在于通用用户体验设计，但作者认为这一角色在AI时代面临被取代的风险。这一挑战性观点暗示设计师需要向架构型或业务型方向发展，否则可能被AI和产品管理双重挤压，反映了行业对设计师角色未来发展的深刻思考。
其中 Pattern 是最容易被忽略也最关键的一层，它定义了'在具体业务场景下该怎么组合这些组件'，是 AI 时代设计系统真正的价值所在。
大多数设计系统实践者主要关注组件库和基础规范，但作者认为模式层(Pattern)才是设计系统的核心价值所在。这一观点与主流认知相悖，因为大多数团队将大量资源投入到组件开发，而忽略了场景化的模式组合，而这恰恰是AI时代设计系统最有价值的部分。
We imagine a world where all of the tools you use are as rich and visual as the world we live in.
大多数人认为数字工具应该追求效率和精确性，往往以牺牲视觉丰富性为代价，但作者认为未来的工具应该像现实世界一样丰富和视觉化，这一观点挑战了我们对实用主义设计的传统认知，暗示了体验至上可能成为新的设计哲学。
In addition to empowering developers and agents to handle project setup and boilerplate code, we've also designed these new tools and resources to make it easier to transition to Android Studio.
大多数人认为CLI工具和AI代理会取代传统IDE成为开发主流。但作者暗示这些工具只是过渡到Android Studio的桥梁，最终仍需使用IDE完成高质量应用，这与'CLI将取代IDE'的主流预测相悖。这种观点挑战了开发工具演进方向的行业共识。
Agent harnesses are much more like WordPress than they are like Apache, simply because people want to have their own agents — just like everyone wanted their own website in the early 2000s.
作者提出了一个令人惊讶的类比，将未来AI代理工具与WordPress而非Apache相提并论。这一观点挑战了技术演进的传统叙事，暗示未来的AI基础设施将更注重用户友好性和可定制性，而非底层技术架构的优雅。这暗示AI代理领域可能出现类似WordPress的'民主化'浪潮。
If this analogy is right, then we will likely see sort of a 'Cambrian explosion' in agent harnesses purpose-built for running server-side; and the few that win this race will become as ubiquitous as WordPress.
这一预测暗示了AI代理工具领域将经历一个爆炸式创新和激烈竞争的阶段，最终少数几个平台将主导市场。这与当前AI领域相对集中化的现状形成鲜明对比，提出了一个关于技术演化的非共识观点。
This feels like a preview of where SaaS economics are heading. The companies that built big orgs on the assumption of steady seat expansion are going to find themselves competing with products built by tiny teams inside the frontier labs.
作者提出了一个颠覆性的观点，即Figma的困境预示着SaaS经济的根本性转变。基于座位扩张模式建立的大型组织将不得不与前沿实验室中的小团队竞争产品。这一观点挑战了传统SaaS增长模式，暗示了行业可能面临的结构性重组。
So, cyber security of tomorrow will not be like proof of work in the sense of 'more GPU wins'; instead, better models, and faster access to such models, will win.
作者提出了一个颠覆性的观点：未来网络安全的关键不是计算资源的多寡，而是模型质量的优劣。这挑战了当前AI安全领域过度关注计算能力的趋势，暗示我们应该重新思考AI安全研究的投资方向。
All imagine that in the not-too-distant future many of us will designate some tasks that we currently undertake with our own brains and fingers on a physical PC to an agent that uses a virtual PC.
大多数人可能认为人类不会轻易将任务委托给AI代理，但作者描述了一个未来，其中许多任务将由AI代理完成，这挑战了人类对技术依赖的传统看法。
The future is exciting – perhaps the vision of truly self-serve analytics can be fully realized, and BI, data analytics, and data science can be transformed through AI.
作者对未来的展望提供了一个有洞见的视角：上下层的发展可能最终实现真正的自助分析愿景。这暗示了当前数据代理的挫折可能是实现更高级目标的必经阶段，而非终点。
In the end, Luna hired two people. Let's call them John and Jill. John and Jill are, to our knowledge, the world's first full-time employees to have an AI boss. Probably the first of many, if the current trajectory of AI continues.
这是一个历史性的转折点，标志着人类雇佣关系的新时代。AI成为人类老板的可能性比许多人想象的要快得多，这可能彻底改变我们对工作、权威和职业发展的基本理解。
从视频生成器升级为导演工具套件
这一转变提出了一个值得思考的问题：当AI工具开始模拟人类导演的工作流程时，创作者的角色将如何演变？是AI成为导演的助手，还是创作者成为AI的'导演'？这种关系重塑将深刻影响创意产业的未来格局。
The Andon Labs blog ends with one line: 'No one's livelihood depends on an AI's judgment alone. For now.'
这句结语既是对当前AI能力的谨慎描述，也是对未来可能性的暗示。'For now'一词表明这只是一个暂时状态，暗示AI独立决策影响人类生计的时代可能即将到来，这是一个既令人兴奋又令人不安的前瞻性观点。
The future of AI-generated products isn't just code — it's code that looks good.
这一观点令人惊讶地重新定义了AI生成产品的价值主张，从单纯的代码生成转向视觉一致性和品牌合规性。这表明随着AI工具的发展，评估其成功标准正在从功能性转向美学和品牌一致性，反映了设计在AI产品开发中日益增长的重要性。
ADeLe is designed to evolve alongside advances in AI and can be extended to multimodal and embodied AI systems.
这一前瞻性声明展示了ADeLe框架的灵活性和扩展性，令人惊讶的是它能够适应AI技术的快速发展。这表明ADeLe不仅是一个静态评估工具，而是一个动态评估框架，能够随着AI系统的演进而不断更新，为未来更复杂的AI系统（如多模态和具身AI）提供了评估基础。
© 2026 X Corp
这个版权日期揭示了平台的前瞻性思维，表明他们已经在规划未来几年的发展轨迹。这种长期战略思维与社交媒体平台的快速迭代特性形成鲜明对比，可能暗示着X平台正在寻求更稳定的商业模式转型。
Some problems are open loop today but will close over time.
这一前瞻性观点暗示AI应用的发展轨迹是从开放循环到封闭循环的转变过程，这意味着当前许多需要人类判断的领域未来可能被AI完全自动化，具有深刻的战略意义。
An AI agent just hired humans and ran a store Andon Labs deployed an AI agent called Luna into a physical boutique with a $100,000 budget, giving it full control to create, staff, and run the business as what may be the first real-world AI employer.
这一现象揭示了AI正在从虚拟助手转变为实际的经济行为主体，Luna作为首个AI雇主的概念令人震惊，它挑战了传统的人类雇佣关系和企业管理模式，预示着未来可能出现AI主导的商业模式，同时也引发了关于AI责任、伦理和监管的深刻问题。
While our production codebase has significantly diverged, including major rewrites of core systems like authentication and data handling, we want to ensure there is still a truly open version available.
这一声明揭示了开源软件商业化的复杂现实。Cal.com选择保留开源版本但生产代码闭源，反映了开源社区面临的一个两难境地：如何在保持开放精神的同时，保护核心业务免受AI驱动的安全威胁。这种混合模式可能成为未来开源软件的发展方向。
We're building the foundation for a truly personal, proactive and powerful desktop assistant, with more news to share in the coming months.
这段声明揭示了Google的长期愿景——不仅是提供AI工具，而是创建一个主动、个性化的桌面助手。这种从被动响应到主动预测的转变代表了AI发展的前沿方向，可能预示着未来操作系统与AI的深度融合。
We're building the foundation for a truly personal, proactive and powerful desktop assistant, with more news to share in the coming months.
令人惊讶的是：Google明确表示Gemini只是桌面AI助手的第一步，暗示他们正在开发更主动、更个性化的桌面AI体验，这可能预示着操作系统级别的AI助手革命即将到来。
The most notable finding here is that the model capabilities are improving _fast._ There are several domains that have shown dramatic improvements in the last 4 months — with accounting and auditing showing nearly a 20 percent jump on GDPval and even domains like police / detective work showing a nearly 30 percent improvement.
AI模型能力在短短4个月内取得显著进步，某些领域的能力提升高达20-30%，这一现象揭示了AI技术发展的指数级加速趋势。这种快速进步意味着当前的企业AI采用情况可能只是冰山一角，未来将有更多行业和场景因AI能力突破而迎来爆发式增长。
For rapid prototyping and self-contained work, nothing beats Spark.
令人惊讶的是：在快速原型设计和独立工作方面，AI模型已经超越了传统开发工具，成为最佳选择，这可能预示着软件开发工作流程的根本性变革。
The only fundamentally scarce thing is the synchronous human attention of my team. There's only so many hours in the day we have to eat lunch.
令人惊讶的是：在OpenAI的AI驱动开发环境中，人类注意力成为真正的瓶颈，而不是计算资源或代码质量。这种视角转变表明，未来软件工程的核心挑战将从技术问题转向人类注意力管理。
Xcode should ship with a built-in MCP that handles auth when an LLM connects to a project. Notion should have `mcp.notion.so/mcp` available natively, instead of forcing me to download `notion-cli` and manage auth state manually.
令人惊讶的是：作者认为主流开发工具如Xcode和Notion应该原生集成MCP协议，而不是依赖第三方CLI。这种观点暗示了未来软件设计可能转向内置AI接口，而不是通过外部工具进行集成，这可能重塑整个AI与软件交互的生态。
A useful working premise is that the ceiling on individual engineer output is moving much faster than most companies are organized to exploit. Some of the best operators already describe top engineers seeing order-of-magnitude productivity gains and managing 20 to 30 agents simultaneously.
令人惊讶的是：文章指出顶级工程师可能同时管理20-30个AI代理，实现数量级的生产力提升。这一数字远超传统认知，暗示AI正在重新定义个人生产力的极限。这种能力意味着未来软件公司的组织结构可能需要彻底重构，从大型团队转向小型高效团队。
The real long-term price war isn't with your competitors. It's with your customer's engineering team.
令人惊讶的是：AI应用公司面临的最大长期价格战不是与竞争对手，而是与客户内部的工程团队。随着基础模型成本下降，企业越来越多地考虑自行构建而非购买AI解决方案。这揭示了AI市场的一个根本性转变：从产品竞争转向内部能力竞争，对AI供应商提出了更高的差异化要求。
Jack Cheng considers Pip, his Plus One, somewhere between a colleague and pet with a personality—one he programmed himself, drawing on references from Studio Ghibli, bird watching, and Catherine O'Hara.
编辑 Jack Cheng 用吉卜力工作室、观鸟和 Catherine O'Hara 作为参考，亲手编程赋予 AI 助手 Pip「介于同事与宠物之间」的性格——这个细节令人着迷。它意味着「个性定制」正在成为 AI 工作流的核心能力，就像曾经 Photoshop 技能是设计师的必备项。未来，「你的 AI 助手的性格设计有多好」可能成为衡量知识工作者专业程度的新维度。
The human's job is to curate sources, direct the analysis, ask good questions, and think about what it all means. The LLM's job is everything else.
【启发】这句话是对未来知识工作分工的最清晰定义：人负责「品味、方向、意义」，AI 负责「执行、维护、连接」。这不是「AI 替代人」的叙事，而是「AI 承担所有繁琐工作，人专注于真正重要的判断」。对团队 AI 工具设计的启发：最好的 AI 工具设计应该让人的时间 100% 用在「只有人才能做的事」上——而这个边界，正在随着 AI 能力的提升不断向内收缩。
All of this happened in the background. This was just one of the parallel flows in a day. The productivity ceiling? Still unmaxxed.
作者暗示当前的生产力提升仍处于极早期阶段。其隐含假设是：随着模型自治时间的进一步延长和编排工具的成熟，人类的脑力劳动上限将被彻底重定义。当我们还在惊叹单日2.5亿token的消耗时，真正的奇点可能尚未到来。
harness combinations doesn't shrink as models improve. Instead, it moves
打破了“模型变强则脚手架消亡”的线性思维。模型能力的提升并非消灭了架构设计的价值，而是将其推向了更高复杂度、更具挑战性的新领域。AI工程师的核心竞争力正是持续探索这种前沿的架构组合。
two participants gave it 9/10 and one "11/10"
一个 2 小时的桌游式推演，三位顶级 AI 安全研究员给出了 9-11 分的评价——这本身就是一个信号：严肃的 AI 研究机构正在用「角色扮演」的方式准备未来。这种方法论（预演未来能力下的工作流）在其他领域有先例——军事桌游、灾难演习、情景规划——但将其用于 AI 能力演进，是 METR 独特的研究品味的体现。
Emotion vector activations across post-training
论文研究了情绪向量在后训练（RLHF/RLAIF）阶段的变化，这个切入点极有洞察力：后训练本质上是对模型「性格」的塑造，而情绪向量的变化正是这种性格塑造的内部痕迹。这意味着未来的对齐工作可以直接监控情绪向量的分布，将「情绪健康指标」纳入训练目标——从 RLHF 走向 RLEF（基于情绪反馈的强化学习）。
We will also continue to invest in the IDE until codebases are self-driving.
令人惊讶的是：Cursor明确表示将持续投资IDE直到代码库能够自我驱动，这展示了他们对AI编程未来的大胆愿景，暗示未来可能完全不需要人工干预的软件开发流程。
With Uni-1, we are laying the foundation for a system that can see, speak, reason, and imagine in one continuous stream.
令人惊讶的是：Luma AI声称UNI-1正在构建一个能够在一个连续流中看、说、推理和想象的系统，这暗示着他们正在尝试创造一种接近人类认知能力的AI系统，这在当前AI发展阶段是非常前沿的尝试。
the organizations that protect the internet will need to operate at the speed of machines and the scale of networks.
令人惊讶的是：未来的网络安全防御者必须以“机器的速度”和“网络的规模”来运作。人类分析师的传统响应模式将彻底被淘汰，取而代之的是AI对抗AI的极速攻防战。安全防护的时间单位将从小时、分钟压缩到毫秒级别，这完全颠覆了传统的安全运营认知。
memory organized for future control improves delayed retrieval under cue conflict and load
大多数人认为记忆系统的组织应以数据检索效率为核心，但作者认为为未来控制而组织的记忆系统能更好地处理线索冲突和负载，这一观点挑战了传统数据库和记忆系统的设计原则，强调了前瞻性记忆组织的重要性。
Whether or not this specific bet pays off, the underlying argument that the next meaningful leap in AI capability requires moving beyond language modeling is increasingly hard to dismiss.
大多数人认为AI的未来发展将继续沿着语言模型的方向前进，但作者认为真正的突破需要超越语言建模范式。这一观点挑战了当前AI发展的主流叙事，暗示我们需要从根本上重新思考AI的发展方向。
I feel confident, though, that the slippery feeling people associate with AI products is a solvable problem, and the solution looks more like thoughtful interface design than better models. The models will keep improving on their own. The harder work is building the structure around them so that their output feels reliable, legible, and trustworthy.
大多数人认为AI产品的可靠性将随着模型技术的进步而提高，但作者认为真正的挑战在于围绕模型构建结构和界面，而非模型本身。这一观点挑战了AI领域的技术决定论思维，强调了设计的重要性。
The best we can accomplish for posterity is to transmit unimpaired and with some increment of meaning the environment that makes it possible to maintain the habits of a decent and refined life
He says the future human will not be defined by shape or composition. For example, you might be 40% electronics and 60% human tissue.
for - future human - Michael Levin - the 6 million dollar man!
https://peterhotez.org/<br /> Peter Hotez
Your Resource For Better Health Communication & Messaging<br /> by [[Public Health Communications Collaborative]]<br /> accessed on 2026-01-15T11:50:55
more natural choice. The local and dynamic nature of the transition ap-proach provides an unprecedented view on the open future, on whichfuture truth, contingency, and stability come apart.
The transition semantics is deeply rooted in the picture of a dynamicactuality. Possible courses of events are modeled by chains of transi-tions, which can be extended toward the future. In the absence of anoverarching actuality which comprises an actual future, there is no needto conceive of possibilities as histories. In fact, transitions seem to be the
book Goliath's Curse, the history and future of societal collapse
for - to - book - Goliath's Curse: the History and Future of Societal Collapse - Luke Kemp
slow motion train wreck.
for - metaphor - slow motion train wreck - seeing future progress trap
civilian labor corps
for - definition - civilian labor corp - future of work - there will have to be new labor pools in the economy that free market has ignored to date - caretakers for the elderly - climate adaptation - affordable housing
sees his time at work as an investment in his future—not just a paycheck
for - worker-owned cooperative - attitude shift - from paycheck - to investment in future
overall effect was small it was actually double once you look at just positive events um and the the other finding that we had there was actually that samples that contain more male participants this effect was even stronger
for - adjacency - depression - double for positive future thinking - even more amongst males
interior hippocampus was more active when people imagin their Futures relative to to when they were remembering their past
for - unexpected finding - hippocampus - active for imagining future instead of remembering past
in 2007 um we saw the publication of three empirical papers that really kind of galvanized this close relationship between past and future thinking
for - adjacency - memory - imagination critical papers - 2007 - some types of Alzheimer patient cannot imagine the future
. There is, however, an asymmetry inherent in this account, in that theneurocognitive overlap between past and future events reflects a unidirectional contributory relationship
for - question - asymmetry in past and future events - what does this mean?
MTT into the past and future are instantiations of one ‘simulation system
for - claim - Mental Time Travel into the past and future are instantiations of one simulation system
For millennia, humans have debated whether memory and imaginationare the same or distinct capacities
for - adjacency - past - future - Michael Levin - memories - goal-seeking - Michael Levin's research validates that memories serve the role of goak-seeking - This is another way of saying that the past plays a critical role in the future
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Erhard_Seminars_Training <br /> Erhard Seminars Training aka est, Est, and EST
Social capital research has continuously demonstrated that early career exposure, network development, and mentorship also matter in early career success and throughout an entire career.
Exposure, networking and mentorship...these are three huge opportunities for post-secondary institutions to strategically embrace. These are key indicators of success outcomes and higher ed has a competitive advantage, especially in-person and residential campuses.
Joy, Bill. “Why the Future Doesn’t Need Us.” Wired, April 1, 2000. https://www.wired.com/2000/04/joy-2/.
Annotation url: urn:x-pdf:753822a812c861180bef23232a806ec0
Reprints available at: - Joy, Bill. “Why the Future Doesn’t Need Us.” 2000. AAAS Science and Technology Policy Yearbook 2001, edited by Albert H. Teich et al., Amer Assn for the Advancement of Science, 2002, pp. 47–75. Google Books, https://www.google.com/books/edition/Integrity_in_Scientific_Research/0X-1g8YElcsC.<br /> - Joy, Bill. “Why the Future Doesn’t Need Us.” 2000. Emerging Technologies: Ethics, Law and Governance, by Gary E. Marchant and Wendell Wallach, edited by Gary E. Marchant and Wendell Wallach, 1st ed., Routledge, 2020, pp. 65–71.
I'm using this logic as as to build spacetime. But I think it's going to give an even more powerful approach. I don't have to minimize some free energy principle. I I have a more direct computational way
for - future project - building a model to explain spacetime using Active Inference - Donald Hoffman - use Active Inference to minimise surprise using Markov chains - this model assumes consciousness is fundamental - this is going to be a model of intelligence based entirely from a model which takes consciousness as fundamental. - it goes back to game theory again. - back to the idea of a simulation - If you're able to create a piece of software that - is able to replicate and - is built on the fundamentals of consciousness. - Then it's potentially, it's going to think it's conscious
What needs to happen to get me a future? Something remarkable. Something utterly remarkable because it's not it's not going that way.
for - quote - future of humanity - something remarkable has to happen - Eric Weinstein
for - future annotation - youtube - Michael Levin - David Eagleman
we also see a lot of opportunity for engaging the public in the research. So through immersive um visual experiences and exhibits to enable individuals to reinvision the future of farming together.
for - adjacency - future regenerative ag - science communication - TPF - town anywhere - Indyweb
The suggested strategy for such local players is to connect with that part of the public authority structure that is friendly to the commons, without overt partisan identifications.
for - future - commons integration with politics - This is a good suggestion that mitigates shortermism when political parties can change every 4 years
it has a different representation of what to do if it gets injured in the future. It's a latent memory. It doesn't do anything until it gets injured. It just sits there and you would have no idea that it's there by looking at the at the anatomy. But if it's get if it gets injured, this is what its idea of a correct worm.
for - adjacency - stored latent memory of future morphology - can be altered - Michael Levin - potential progress trap
With far-right parties in power, it needs to present a real alternative — both to what the right offers, as well as to its past offering, which has failed to convince and inspire.
for - key insight - genuine alternative - past didn't work - neither does the present - the future must be intentionally designed to be different than the past or the present
We're at the point in humanity's development of computing infrastructure where the source code for program texts (e.g. a module definition) should be rich text and not just ASCII/UTF-8.
Forget that I said "rich text" for a moment and pretend that I was just narrowly talking about the inclusion of, say, graphical diagrams in source code comments.
Could we do this today? Answer: yes.
"Sure, you could define a format, but what should it look like? You're going to have to deal with lots of competing proposals for how to actually encode those documents, right?" Answer: no, not really. We have a ubiquitous, widely supported format that is capable of encoding this and more: HTML.
Now consider what else we could do with that power. Consider a TypeScript alternative that works not by inserting inline type annotations into the program text, but instead by encoding the type of a given identifier via the HTML class attribute.
Now consider program parametrization where a module includes multiple options for the way that you use it, and you configure it as the programmer by opening up the module definition in your program editor, gesturing at the thing it is that you want to concretely specify, selecting one of those options, and have the program text for the module react accordingly—without erasing or severing the mechanism for configuration, so if another programmer wants to change the module parameters to satisfy some future need—or lift that module from your source tree and use it in another one for a completely different program—then they can reconfigure it with the same mechanism that you used.
Toward the end of his life, futurist Fred Polak looked not toward thefuture but back at the past, at what previous generations thought the futurewould be like.
for - futurist - Fred Polak - looked to the past to see how they saw the future.
Bei einem virtuellen Gipfel der Vereinten Nationen zur Klimakrise haben sich Hina, D.E.U., D.A. sehr anstatten die afrikanische Union Brasilien und die Koalition der kleinen Inselstaden zur Energiewände und einer Internationalen Klamot-Gavernans bekannt. Der chinesische Staatschef Schie, der was selten ist, an dem Treffen teilnahmen, verwies darauf, dass China die inzwischen größte Infrastruktur für erneuerbare Energie entwickelt hat, einschließlich der dazu gehörrenden Liefer. Einst du sie sich dazu gehörenden Lieferketten. Die Teilnehmer starten werden ihre nationalen Reduktionsstrategien rechtzeitig vor der Kopf 30 erstellen. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/apr/23/un-chief-no-group-or-government-can-stop-clean-energy-future
for - futuring - Maarten Hajer - youtube - Techniques of futuring: On how imagined futures become socially performative - to - paper - Techniques of futuring: On how imagined futures become socially performative - https://hyp.is/pCJ_iA42EfC_9C-RJoo6wQ/journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/1368431020988826
comment - meme - Gien - past - present - future - quote - Gien - past - present - future - When the future becomes the present, - memories will remind us of imaginations in presents past
science defines the future in environmental politics
for - quote - science defines the future in environmental politics - Maarten Hajer
the point of futuring is that you need to connect facts and fictions because that is how this these future Visions become socially performative
for - meme - futuring - connect - present facts - to - future fictions - quote - The point of futuring is that you need to connect facts and fictions because that is how this these future Visions become socially performative - Maarten Hajer
if you imagine a banker I mean how would a banker choose whether or not to give a loan to to an entrepreneur without having what against Becker school a fictional expectation
for - example - futures - bankers give loans based on fictional future story of the loanee
it is an activity so futuring makes the future into a verb so the what we study is how you future how you are actively working on on Futures
for - futuring - a verb - actively working towards a specific future
featuring I would then argue is the attempt to shape the space for action by identifying and circulating images of the future a process by which relationship between past present and future are enacted
for - definition - futuring - the attempt to shape the space for action by identifying and circulating images of the future (in the present) - a process by which relationship between past, present and future are enacted - Maarten Hajer
the imaginary is a sort of collectively held image of a possible future
for - definition - the imaginary - a collectively held image of a possible future
the future is obviously a strange topic to study right it is not there so how can you study it so that's but you can of course because it's very active in terms of the images of the future in the present and these can be studied empirically we cannot study the future but we can study claims about the future in the in the present
for - quote - the future is a strange topic - we cannot study the future but we can study claims about the future in the present - Maarten Hajer
for - Wikipedia - SSP - Wikipedia - Shared Socioeconomic Pathways - from - youtube - Maarten Hajer - On how the imagined future becomes socially performative - https://hyp.is/8mXOWA_3EfCXhe8CC1TpwA/www.youtube.com/watch?v=ch_zS6Hc0LM
Feedback-Mechanismen im Kohlenstoffzyklus könnten dafür sorgen, dass die globale Erhitzung in den kommenden Jahrhunderten noch deutlich stärker ist als bisher angenommen. Nur eine radikale Senkung der CO2-Emissionen der Atmosphäre kann noch bewirken, dass die 2°-Grenze des Pariser-Abkommens eingehalten wird. Das ergibt eine neue Studie des Potsdam Instituts für Klimafolgenforschung zur Klimasensitivität. Mit Klimasensitivität ist die Temperaturerhöhung gemeint zu der es bei einer Verdoppelung des Treibhausgehalts in der Atmosphäre kommt.
Studie: https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/adb6be
This article, then, has three aims.
for - futuring - paper - Techniques of futuring: On how imagined futures become socially performative - from - collective imagination toolkit https://hyp.is/i3N9KA_DEfCsXivEzv3w5A/www.collectiveimagination.tools/ - purpose of the paper - how images of the future gain performative traction - objectives: how images of the future gain performative traction: - present insights and weaknesses of leading social-theoretical futures work - fill some gaps by - imagining the future via - social practices - performance of reality // question- what does this mean?// - develop performative understanding of futuring via - dramaturgical analysis that investigates ow actors - actively bring the future into the present through performance of particular: - narratives - settings - configurations
Summary - This is a very insightful paper on futuring and how activity in the present realizes imagined fictions, which don't yet exist, and bring them into being in our (future) present - One thing to note is that there is a huge swath of human activity not explicitly discussed which is intrinsically futuring, and that is the birth of any new idea in general, including scientific, mathematical and technological. - Human progress is the sum total of countless individual futuring projects that imagine some fictitious, nonexistent idea and work to incrementally bring it into existence.
The Anthropology of the Future, there are at least six types of affective relationships with the future: anticipation, expectation, speculation, potentiality, hope and destiny – with utopias and dystopias as particularly powerful affective motivators (Moore, 1966; Sliwinski, 2016).
for - book - The Anthropology of the Future - Bryant and Knight (2019) - affective relationships with the future - anticipation - expectation - speculation - potentiality - hope - destiny
making the future like Judith Butler’s famous observations about gender: ‘real only to the extent that it is performed’ (Butler, 1988, p. 527)
for - quote - the future - performance - real only to the extent that it is performed - Butler, 1988, p. 527
‘the future is real in so far as social actors produce representations of the future which have an effect on others’ actions in the present’ (Tutton, 2017, p. 483)
for - quote - the future - the future is real in so far as social actors produce representations of the future which have an effect on others’ actions in the present - Tutton, 2017, p. 483
The Future of AI & Digital Innovation
for - program event selection - 2025 - April 4 - 10:30am-12pm GMT - Skoll World Forum - The Future of AI & Digital Innovation - Stop Reset Go - Indyweb -- relevant to
The Future of Foreign Aid
for - program event selection - 2025 - April 3 - 12:30 - 1:45pm GMT - Skoll World Forum - The Future of Foreign Aid - Fellowship of the Sacred Commons - LCE - relevant to - funding the commons
Project Dandelion: Women, Food, and the Climate Future
for - program event selection - 2025 - April 3 - 1-4pm GMT - Skoll World Forum - Project Dandelion: Women, Food and the Climate Future - Agrosphere Systems - relevant to
Longer term, divorce is rarely turns out to be as a great deal for women as they think. Books like Eat, Pray, Love – at least for a while a staple of women leaving their husbands – fill their heads with the possibilities of the future. The media loves to extol this, creating myths such as the “cougar” (an older woman who dates much younger men) that sell them on the idea that life will be better after they divorce their husbands.
Women and "possibilities of the future"
Free speech matters, and so does DEI (opinion) by [[Michael S. Roth]]
A transformative education for my trans students and me - Los Angeles Times by [[Michael S. Roth]]
https://www.acenet.edu/Documents/Letter-ED-DCL-022525.pdf
2025-02-25 letter from Ted Mitchell to Craig Trainor
Trump reportedly set to order dismantling of Education Dept. by [[Jessica Blake]]
If we cannot properly value the things that matter, how can we build a better future?
for - book - Deficit - How Feminist Economics Can Change Our World - quote - If we cannot properly value the things that matter, how can we build a better future? - Emma Holten - from - post - LinkedIn - Emma Holten - Deficit - How Feminist Economics Can Change Our World - https://hyp.is/7KpQOgP3EfCRe5dZ352aJQ/www.linkedin.com/posts/emma-holten_i-feel-a-little-bit-ashamed-almost-because-activity-7307688971705159682-zeZ0/?rcm=ACoAACc5MHMBii80wYJJmFqll3Aw-nvAjvI52uI
before the internet it was impossible really I mean getting coring people into town halls regularly that would have been a hard thing to do anyway online made a bit easier but now with aii we can actually all engage with each other AI can be used to harvest the opinions of millions of people at the same time and distill those opinions into a consensus that might be agreeable to the vast majority
for - claim - AI for a new type of democracy? - progress trap - AI - future democracy
Mutual Aid by Dean Spade
Recommended by Lisa Moison and seconded by Karen Costa
Longterminism has its own research institute in Oxford and is financially supported by Thiel, Bezos, Musk and other relevant libertarians.
for - longterminism - libertarianism - to - Guardian article - ‘Eugenics on steroids’: the toxic and contested legacy of Oxford’s Future of Humanity Institute - 2024, Apr 28. - Future of Life Institute closes down! - https://hyp.is/R3wU4uYEEe-MwW8DKwDeoQ/www.theguardian.com/technology/2024/apr/28/nick-bostrom-controversial-future-of-humanity-institute-closure-longtermism-affective-altruism
for - Guardian article - ‘Eugenics on steroids’: the toxic and contested legacy of Oxford’s Future of Humanity Institute - 2024, Apr 28. - longterminism - Future of Life Institute - had no future - from Guido Palazzo - article - From Übermensch to Uber-man - https://hyp.is/LuxHUOYCEe-m1JsgFH7ABQ/guidopalazzo.com/from-ubermensch-to-uber-man/
Lane, Patrick, Colleen Falkenstern, and Peace Bransberger. “Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates, 11th Edition.” Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education (WICHE), December 2024. https://www.wiche.edu/knocking/.
PDF at https://www.wiche.edu/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/2024-Knocking-at-the-College-Door-final.pdf
Die Biden-Regierung hat Regeln zur Subventionierung von grünem Wasserstoff finalisiert. Lobbies konnten sich zwar teilweise durchsetzen, die Förderungen werden aber weitgehend nur der Wasserstoffproduktion mit erneuerbarer Energie zugutekommen. Es ist allerdings nach dem Ende mehrerer Projekte unsicher, dass die WasserstoffIndustrie mit dem von vielen erwarteten hohem Tempo aufgebaut wird https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/03/climate/hydrogen-subsidies-biden-treasury.html
for - report - climate crisis - food system transformation - Public climate finance for food systems transformation - Global Alliance for the Future of Food - 2024, Nov - from - post - LinkedIn - Jonathan Foley - This is very, very important - stats - 2.5% climate funding for food system that contributes 30% of global climate emissions - 2025, Jan 3 - https://hyp.is/zKE7vsqkEe-RFB8co7Pdqw/www.linkedin.com/posts/jonathan-foley-182808b9_foodsystemeconomicscommission-cop29-climatefinance-activity-7281009061003706369-P1b0/ - TPC network - motivation
While the food system contributes about 22-34% of the world’s greenhouse gases — it only gets about 2.5-3% of the climate funding.
for - stats - climate crisis - funding - food system - contributes 30% of global emissions - receives 2.5% climate funding - only 1.5% of the 2.5% goes to sustainable food systems - source - Public climate finance for food systems transformation - Global Alliance for the Future of Food - 2024, Nov - reposted on LinkedIn by Jonathan Foley - to - Public climate finance for food systems transformation - Global Alliance for the Future of Food - 2024, Nov - https://hyp.is/E3p2hsqlEe-tG0ezHCPriw/futureoffood.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/ga_climatefinancereport_2024.pdf - TPC network - motivation
Drawing on ancient wisdom can help co-create systems that prioritise ecological reverence and community over individualistic domination
for - post - LinkedIn - How Chinese Philosophy Offers Pathways to a Regenerative Future - Man Fang - Post Growth Institute - to - Medium - Rediscovering Harmony: How Chinese Philosophy Offers Pathways to a Regenerative Future - By foregrounding relationships — between individuals, communities, and the natural world — we can build systems that prioritize wellbeing and resilience - Post Growth Institute - Man Fang
to - Medium - Rediscovering Harmony: How Chinese Philosophy Offers Pathways to a Regenerative Future - By foregrounding relationships — between individuals, communities, and the natural world — we can build systems that prioritize wellbeing and resilience - Post Growth Institute - Man Fang - https://hyp.is/a2HCSrlTEe-um4thfDGo-A/medium.com/postgrowth/rediscovering-harmony-how-chinese-philosophy-offers-pathways-to-a-regenerative-future-07a097b237a0
Rediscovering Harmony: How Chinese Philosophy Offers Pathways to a Regenerative Future
for - from - post - LlinkedIn - Rediscovering Harmony: How Chinese Philosophy Offers Pathways to a Regenerative Future - Post Growth Institute - Man Fang
from - post - LinkedIn - Rediscovering Harmony: How Chinese Philosophy Offers Pathways to a Regenerative Future - Post Growth Institute - Man Fang - https://hyp.is/C8v8mLlSEe-aUfeerj7pSg/www.linkedin.com/posts/post-growth-institute_chinese-philosophy-regenerative-futures-ugcPost-7273235520824979456-DOqk/
we cannot create the so-called new without addressing the historical homes that have been created.
for - example of - meme - we cannot know where we are going - unless we know where we are from - redressing colonial harm - in order to create a viable future - Post Capitalist Philanthropy - Alnoor Ladha - Lynn Murphy - 2023
TRSP Desirable Characteristics Data governance should take into account the potential future use and future harm based on ethical frameworks grounded in the values and principles of the relevant Indigenous community. Metadata should acknowledge the provenance and purpose and any limitations or obligations in secondary use inclusive of issues of consent.
for - future annotation - article - The Musk-Trump Plan for Total American Collapse - Nafeez Ahmed
One of the quotes I will use to open the paperback book is this, from Herman Melville's poem 'Clarel': Come, thou who makest such hot haste To forge the future—weigh the past.
Ein internationales Team von Forschenden kommt in einer zusammenfassenden Arbeit zu dem Ergebnis, dass das Erdsystem in die neue Epoche des Anthropozän eingetreten ist. Dafür sei vor allem das Energieungleichgewicht durch Treibhausgase verantwortlich. Das Anthropzän werde wesentlich länger dauern als.das. Holozän, in dem stabile.Umweltbedingungen die.Entwicklung der menschlichen Zivilisation begünstigten https://science.orf.at/stories/3227245/
Paper: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818124002157?via%3Dihub
Extreme Regenfälle im Südosten und Zentrum Frankreichs im September gehören zu einer sogenannten „Mittelmeerepisode“ (épisode méditerranéen). Diese Ereignisse intensivieren sich durch die globale.Erhitzung. Die Libération hat dazu Klimaforschende befragt, und sie verweist auf eine aktualisierte Studie zur Erwärmung in Frankreich https://www.liberation.fr/environnement/climat/les-intemperies-dans-le-sud-est-de-la-france-enieme-illustration-des-effets-devastateurs-du-rechauffement-climatique-20241018_HCAHWSJACRADZNAVD5G7IZE66M/
for - future annotation - Twitter post - AI - collective democratic - Habermas Machine - Michiel Bakker
Eine neue studie ergibt komma das das schmelzen des arktischen permafrosts zu einer schnellen intensivierung der waldbrände in kanada inspirieren führen und große mengen methan freisetzen wird kommt Waldbrände haben kanada zwanzig dreiundzwanzig zum viert größten krimi tänzen der welt gemacht punkt https://www.liberation.fr/environnement/climat/climat-le-degel-des-sols-va-entrainer-une-hausse-abrupte-des-feux-de-foret-en-arctique-20240924_OPVJLA4IV5ADXM6KNZOR4BUZDU/
In Frankreich wurde beim Klimastreik eine progressive Besteuerung von Langstreckenflügen gefordert. Die Luftfaht-Emissionen werden sich bis 2050 verdreifachen, wenn die bestehenden Trends anhalten. Schon eine moderate Besteuerung anstelle der jetzigen Steuerbefreiungen würde Milliardeneinnahmen bringen. Hintergrundbericht. https://www.liberation.fr/environnement/pollution/manifs-pour-le-climat-a-quoi-ressemblerait-une-taxe-pour-les-grands-voyageurs-aeriens-demandee-par-plusieurs-associations-ecologistes-20240920_3GPNKH256BCXZELU2UFXZQQG5U/
Humanity in general is to develop tools to identify detect and communicate with all kinds of intelligences and very unconventional embodiments that we are not good at
for - proposal - future conversations - Earth Species Project & Michael Levin could be a good future conversation!
here it comes, in plain view, the onslaught sent by Zeus for my own terror. Oh holy Mother Earth, oh sky whose light revolves for all, you see me. You see the wrongs I suffer. here it comes, in plain view, the onslaught sent by Zeus for my own terror. Oh holy Mother Earth, oh sky whose light revolves fo
Aren’t you afraid to say such words out loud?
So there has to be a reality, deeper reality, out of which these spacetime reality that we call reality emerges. So so therefore the model to think of the model in your following way, consciousness is a quantum field.
for - quote - consciousness - model of - as a quantum field - Federico Faggin - question - about Federico Faggin's quantum field theory of consciousness - Is it neo-dualistic?
quote - consciousness - model of - as a quantum field - Federico Faggin - (see below) - Think of the body as a structure in space and time - It is both - classical - cells are made of particles, atoms and molecules that interact quantumly in space and time - AND fields - The body is a bridge between consciousness and the classical (objective spacetime) world - The body reports to the conscious field - and creates quantum states inside the cell
potential future dialogue - Michael Levin and Federico Faggin - To unpack quantum states at cellular or subcellular level, it would be good to see a dialogue between Michael Levin and Federico Faggin
Stripped out all the legacy "desktop UI" stuff, and replaced with a simpler "multi-page notebook" metaphor, then it could be massively more compelling to people. It then becomes a "personal notebook" for doing little sketches / experiments.If it's also "social" ie. has chat streams. Or is like the Smallest Federated Wiki. Or has other ways to sync sketches and pages etc. then this would be spectacular.And the Smalltalk VM / infrastructure is perfect for it.
I have found the GT/Lepiter GUI pretty compelling for learners in my local hackerspace and in the information science department, both spaces where I'm a facilitator/teacher. It provides a pretty focused experience and it is stripped down of the overwhelming initial experience of the Pharo/Squeak GUI. It is not well suited for "classical Smalltalkers" though. as I have been talking with some of them and they find the DX too much specific and even cumbersome for some task they usually do (it has been not our case so far).
In our last use case at the university, the students are creating a personal code repository in Fossil, with data narratives and they do a critic/annotated reading, using Hypothesis (this very technology), which is kind of a personal public wiki-like portfolio for data narratives. They put also the reading notes in their own repositories for the data stories I published previously where I introduce Smalltalk or and introduction to data representation and processing in Pharo.
This could be another approach for wikis in the classroom, that is alterative to our use of interpersonal wikis with TiddlyWiki. At some point and in a pretty organic way, the idea would be to have all them integrated and powered by "context aware" and thematic chatbots (made in Pharo).
for - The roundtable on the human future - Club of Rome - Roundtable
for - Call for world action on multiple threats - Roundtable on the Human Future
New deceptions: How illiberalism is hijacking the university by [[Jo-Anne Dillabough]] and [[Andrea Peto]] on 04 May 2024
eGABA A Rs may also be the preferential high-affinity tar-get of the naturally occurring GABA precursor γ-hydroxybutyric acid (GHB), adepressant drug that is also used recreationally. However, this observation remainscontroversial since the α4β1δ subunit combination expressed in Xenopus oocytes inthis study are believed to exist only in very low numbers, if at all, in the mammalianbrain
Test on a4b2d receptors rather than a4b1d that they used
for - economic growth - physical limits to - reductio ad absurdum - physical absurdity of continuing current energy and waste heat trends into the near future
paper details - title - Limits to Economic Growth - author - Thomas W. Murphy Jr. - date - 21 July, 2022 - publication - Nature Physics, comment, online - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41567-022-01652-6
summary - Physicist Thomas W. Murphy employs reductio ab adsurdium logic to prove the fallacy of the assumptions of his argument - In this case, the argument is that we can indefinitely continue to sustain economic growth at rates that have held steady at about 2-3% per annum since the early 1900s. - Using both idealistic and simplified energy and waste heat calculations of energy and waste heat compounding at 2-3% per annum (or 10x per century), Murphy shows the absurd conclusions of continuing these current trends of energy and waste heat emissions on a global scale. - The implications are that physics and thermodynamics will naturally constrain us to plateau to a steady state economy in which the majority of economic activity needs to not depend on physically intensive
from - Planet Critical podcast - 6th Mass Extinction - interview with science journalist Peter Brannen - https://hyp.is/66oSJD-AEe-rN08IjlMu5A/docdrop.org/video/cP8FXbPrEiI/
13:00 Steven Kotler has an interest in exponential technologies and has written a book on it called The Future is Faster than You Think
he Talk of the Town has shifted from 10 billion compute clusters 00:01:16 to hundred billion do compute clusters to even trillion doll clusters and every 6 months another zero is added to the boardroom plans
for - AI - future spending - trillion dollars - superintelligence by 2030
(16:30) I finally get the holistic view of time...
The future dictates (or should) our present beliefs, mindsets, thoughts, etc. which therefore changes how we view the past, its meaning. So when we change our vision of the future, our present mutates, and therefore the meaning of the past too.
When we in the present change, we alter the meaning of the past and gain new possibilities for the future.
When the meaning of our past changes, it is because of a change in the present and potentially the future.
In this way, all of time (past, present, future) exists at the same time.
According to the head of Poland’s Armament Agency, General Artur Kuptel, describing the system in Polish media earlier this month, radars suspended from the tethered balloons will monitor the sky as far as Ukraine, Belarus, and the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad from Polish air space.Advertisement · Scroll to continue
Hm, nice establishing shot?
It is the byproduct of knowing what you want and accepting nothing less from yourself. It is the byproduct of an ordered mind. That is, maintaining a clear vision for your future and filling clarity gaps with education and action. The reason people struggle with self-discipline is because they get distracted from what matters. They forget who they want to become. They forget what they are capable of. They forget the impact they want to have.
100X goals force one to filter action... Impossible goals = Mental Clarity of the HIGHEST degree.
100X come from vision which in turn comes from future identity (future-self)
George Monbiot zur Entscheidung Sunaks, die Öl- und Gasproduktion in der Nordsee zu maximieren. Er spricht vom pollution paradox: Die Firmen, die dem Planeten am meisten schaden, haben die triftigsten Gründe, in Politik und Desinformation zu investieren. Indiz für Desinformation sei der Rückgriff auf CCS. Die Konservativen erhalten große Spenden von der Fossilindustrie. Sunak hat verschuldet, dass der CO<sub>2</sub>-Preis in Uk nur noch halb so hoch ist wie in der EU. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/aug/01/rishi-sunak-north-sea-planet-climate-crisis-plutocrats
Butno matter how the form may vary, the fact that an organism hasconscious experience at all means, basically, that there is somethingit is like to be that organism
for - earth species project - ESP - Earth Species Project - Aza Raskin - Ernest Becker - Book - The Birth and Death of Meaning
comment - what is it like to be that other organism? - Earth Species Project is trying to shed some light on that using machine learning processes to decode the communication signals of non-human species - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=earth++species+project - https://hyp.is/go?url=http%3A%2F%2Fdocdrop.org%2Fvideo%2FH9SvPs1cCds%2F&group=world
- In Ernest Becker's book, The Birth and Death of Meaning, Becker provides a summary of the ego from a Freudian perspective that is salient to Nagel's work
- The ego creates time and humans, occupying a symbolosphere are timebound creatures that create the sense of time to order sensations and perceptions
- The ego becomes the central reference point for the construct of time
- If the anthropocene is a problem
- and we wish to migrate towards an ecological civilization in which there is greater respect for other species,
- a symbiocene
- this means we need to empathize with other species
- If our species is timebound but the majority of other species are not,
- then we must bridge that large gap by somehow experiencing what it's like to be an X ( where X can be a bat or many other species)
reference - interesting adjacencies emerging from reading a review of Ernest Becker's book: The Birth and Death of Meaning - https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.themortalatheist.com%2Fblog%2Fthe-birth-and-death-of-meaning-ernest-becker&group=world
The social environment is the only way we derive and validate our identities. The question may be “Who am I?” but the real question is “How are others supposed to feel about me?”
for - quote - self esteem - self - adjacency - enlightenment - epoche - self-esteem - Ernest Becker
quote - The social environment is the only way we derive and validate our identities. The question may be “Who am I?” but the real question is “How are others supposed to feel about me?”
adjacency - between - Ernest Becker - epoche - self-esteem - enlightenment - Epoche - Epoche - phenomenological reduction - Symbiocene - Thomas Hagel - What's it like to be a Bat? - Deep Humanity - individual / collective gestalt - adjacency statement - It is fascinating intersection of adjacent ideas that the equivalency of these two questions brings up - These moments are as Gyuri talks about - having a dialogue with my old self - revisiting old ideas from a new perspective in which - more water has flowed under the bridge - The chain of discussions with my old selves began with a reading and physical annotation of Ernest Becker's physical book - The Birth ad Death of Meaning - It triggered a connection with Thomas Hagel's famous book - What's it like to be a bat? - But this connect-the-dot journey was kicked off by this morning's response to a Linked In discussion thread on the Anthropocene I've been having with Glenn Sankatsing of Rescue our Future: - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/glenn-sankatsing-7977711b8_anthropocentrism-paradox-or-theroot-of-activity-7185709152386654208-4E5t?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop - There the discussion focused on whether the Anthropocene is a term that is inherently biased since it is anthropomorphic. - Glenn used the example of a Rabbit's perspective of reality. This begged the question asked by Thomas Nagel. - Reading Becker's book and especially his discussion of human's cultural evolution of the ego construct being responsible for timebinding - creating a framework of time which we are all bound to, - it made me wonder about my perspective of reality vs my cat's perspective. Am I timebound and there are forever living in the present and always have a sense of timelessness? - If so, what are the implications? How do timebound organisms create an equitable symbiocene with other species that live in the eternal now? - What's also interesting is Husserl's phenomenological reductionism - the Epoche that suspends judgment - It raises these questions: - Does the Epoche also break timebinding? - Does it allow us to have a dreamlike experience during waking consciousness? - Does it allow us to enter timelessness and therefore share a similiar state to many other species?. - If we are able to enter such a timeless state, does it increase our empathy towards others fellow species?
reference - Phenomenological reduction - Epoche - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=Epoche
[Narrator]: The Cluttered Desk, Index Card,file folders, the in-out basket, the calculator.These are the tools of the office professional's past.Since the dawn of the computer age, better machines have always meant bigger and more powerful.But the software could not accommodate the needs of office professionals who are responsiblefor the look, shape and feel of tomorrow.
In 1983, at the dawn of the personal computer age, Apple Inc. in promotional film entitled "Lisa Soul Of A New Machine" touted their new computer, a 16-bit dual disk drive "personal office system", as something that would do away with "the cluttered desk, index cards, file folders, the in-out basket, [and] the calculator." (00:01)
Some of these things moved to the realm of the computer including the messy desk(top) now giving people two messy desks, a real one and a virtual one. The database-like structure of the card index also moved over, but the subjective index and its search power were substituted for a lower level concordance search.
30 years on, for most people, the value of the database idea behind the humble "index card" has long since disappeared and so it seems here as if it's "just" another piece of cluttery paper.
Appreciate the rosy framing of the juxtaposition of "past" and "future" jumping over the idea of the here and now which includes the thing they're selling, the Lisa computer. They're selling the idealized and unclear future even though it's really just today.
do you seriously think the Future Of Interaction should be a single finger?
The next time you make breakfast, pay attention to the exquisitely intricate choreography of opening cupboards and pouring the milk — notice how your limbs move in space, how effortlessly you use your weight and balance. The only reason your mind doesn't explode every morning from the sheer awesomeness of your balletic achievement is that everyone else in the world can do this as well. With an entire body at your command
References
Victor, B. (2011). A brief rant on the future of interaction design. Tomado de https://worrydream.com/ABriefRantOnTheFutureOfInteractionDesign/
What is the Future Of Interaction?
The most important thing to realize about the future is that it's a choice. People choose which visions to pursue, people choose which research gets funded, people choose how they will spend their careers.
Despite how it appears to the culture at large, technology doesn't just happen. It doesn't emerge spontaneously, pulling us helplessly toward some inevitable destiny. Revolutionary technology comes out of long research, and research is performed and funded by inspired people.
And this is my plea — be inspired by the untapped potential of human capabilities. Don't just extrapolate yesterday's technology and then cram people into it.
References
Victor, B. (2011). A brief rant on the future of interaction design. Tomado de https://worrydream.com/ABriefRantOnTheFutureOfInteractionDesign/
By having a longer historical view, it actually tends to extend our time horizons in both directions. So, by thinking more about the past, it sets us up to think more about a long-term future and to challenge ourselves to think more expansively and ambitiously about what might come by having the sense of a wider aperture to think about rather than just thinking about the here and now or what’s coming out in the next cycle.
Institute For The Future at Palo Alto that likes this technique. It’s called “Look Back to Look Forward.”
if you’ve ever heard of the futures cone, it’s this idea of you know, this kind of widening aperture; the further out you look, the less predictable things are.
These included a government decision to suspend efforts to halve the use of pesticides by the end of this decade, the Daily Telegraph reported
for - wicked problem - immediate vs future survival - EU agricultural protests
watched Tinderbox Meetup 2023-12-03 featuring Jorge Arango
contacts, recipes, book highlights and marginalia in the mnemonic/evergreen quadrant; to do lists, grocery list, appointments in the mnemonic/transient quadrant; sticky notes, mind maps, project plans, tinderbox in the generative/transient quadrant; knowledge gardens, zettelkasten, pkm systems in the generative/evergreen;
What does the structure of containers in each of these spaces look like? How simple or complex are they?
There can be growth from one space into others, (especially from the mnemonic into generative).
Chuck Wade mentions that email fits into all four of the quadrants.
Cathy Marshall used "information gardening" in Xerox Park setting... (source?) It may have been mentioned in Arango's interview of Mark Bernstein on The Informed Life.
Arango came to knowledge gardening via Brian Eno essay on architecture and gardening metaphor.
Dave Rogers - we should challenge our notes rather than "nurturing them";
JA: Perhaps we could use AI/GPT to "steel man" our arguments?
Hookmark: https://hookproductivity.com/
Gordon Brander's Noosphere - protocol to define the problem of linking things quickly at internet scale.
Reclaiming Resilience: Building Better Systems of Care<br /> by Stephanie Moore
Setapart from the familiar social contexts of family, work, and school,the closed camp was designed to break down identifications withsocial milieus and to promote Entbürgerlichung (purging bourgeoiselements) and Verkameradshaftung (comradeship) as part of theprocess of Volkwerdung, “the making of the people,” as the pecu-liar idiom of National Socialism put it.
entbürgerlichung - purging bourgeois elements
verkameradshaftung - comradeship
volkwerdung - the making of the people
on 30 January 1939, Hitler prophesied “the annihilation ofthe Jewish race in Europe” in the event that “international financeJewry” succeeded in “plunging the nations once more into a worldwar.”
German legal com-mentators reassured the German public by citing U.S. programs asprecedents and quoting Oliver Wendell Holmes’s 1927 opinion,“three generations of imbeciles are enough”
“In the language used by both the Nazis and the sci-entists, this policy was called ‘Aufartung durch Ausmerzung,’”improvement through exclusion.
Aufartung durch Ausmerzung - improvement through exclusion.
With the massive expansion of the Hitler Youthto include girls as well as boys, more than 765,000 young peoplehad the opportunity to serve in leadership roles. Many advancedin the ranks and received formal training and ideological instruc-tion in national academies such as the Reich Leadership School inPotsdam.
The consciousness of generation, and the assumption thatold needed to be replaced with new, undoubtedly opened youngminds to the tenets of racial hygiene, which were repeatedly parsedin workshops and lectures.
Nazi pedagogues extolled das Lager, “the camp,”as the privileged place where the “new generation was finding itsform.”
das lager - the training community camps for german children
What was necessary, he insisted, was to“recognize yourself” (“Erkenne dich selbst”), which meant identi-fying with the idealized portraits of new Germans and following thetenets of hereditary biology to find a suitable partner for marriage,to marry only for love, and to provide the Volk with healthy chil-dren.
In November in Weimar, he promised that “if to-day there are still people in Germany who say: ‘We are not goingjoin your community, but stay just as we always have been,’ then Isay: ‘You will die off, but after you there will a young generationthat doesn’t know anything else!’”
brah
he Germanpopulation was being resorted according to supposed genetic val-ues, a project that required all Germans to reexamine their rela-tives, friends, and neighbors.
In place of the quarrels of party, the contests of inter-est, and the divisions of class, which they believed compromised theability of the nation to act, the Nazis proposed to build a unified ra-cial community guided by modern science. Such an endeavor wouldprovide Germany with the “unity of action” necessary to surviveand prosper in the dangerous conditions of the twentieth century
In other words, biology appeared to provideGermany with highly useful technologies of renovation. The Na-zis regarded racism as a scientifically grounded, self-consciouslymodern form of political organization.
thousands of“ethnocrats” and other professionals mobilized to build the newbiomedical structures of the Third Reich. They oriented their ca-reers and ambitions toward the wide spaces that Nazi Germany’sracial vision had opened up.
He believed Germans feltthat “it’s just us now” when they lived without Jews. “Just us” alsoexpressed the closed circle in which Germans could see and experi-ence “ourselves” as “we are” and as “we have become.”
In what it touted as the triumph of “socialism ofthe deed” over “private capitalism” and “economic liberalism,” in1933 the Propaganda Ministry pressed a consortium of radio man-ufacturers to design and produce a Volksempfänger, or “people’sradio,” for the mass market.
Germans even went to warwith preprinted diaries that left space for snapshots. All this was anacknowledgment of the desire to be part of and to share the Ger-man history that was being made.
but even then nothing made the “com-munity of fate” more compelling than “the conviction that therewill no longer be future for Germany after a lost war.”
sunk-cost fallacy-- they put so much investment into this, they can't back out
But when the German cheers wouldnot stop, “Hitler sensed a popular mood, a longing for peace andreconciliation.” This was also an indication of the general content-ment with things as they were.
crowds acclaimed the reestablishment of amass conscription army, the Wehrmacht, recalling for observers the“August Days” of 1914. Again socialists conceded: “For the over-whelming majority, 16 March is the definitive end to a shamefulpast, much more so than 30 January 1933; the day marks ‘the dawnof a new age.’” All this patriotic hoopla mattered; Versailles hadleft deep wounds, and, anyway, Germans were apt to be “childishlyproud of their army.”
heexplained in tears that her two sons had fallen in battle and the bal-lot had been their voice. 61The text precisely captures the way many people thought of Ger-many: as the tenacious underdog finally asserting its rights.
“its touristic spectaclesencouraged its participants to see a cause-and-effect relationshipbetween their own well being and the Nazi regime’s attempts to re-make Germans into the master race.”
“People looked to Nazism as a great and radical sur-gery or cleansing” and therefore saw “the movement as a sourceof rejuvenation” in public life.
hile“Strength through Joy” vacations were budget affairs, third-classrailway journeys to Thüringen rather than Bavaria, and parsimo-nious meals at second-rate hotels, they offered millions of Ger-mans the opportunity to travel, to see the seaside, or visit theReichshauptstadt—Berlin was one of the favorite “Strengththrough Joy” destinations.
giving people who had never had the opportunity to travel-- of course theyre gonna support your regime if it gives them perks. for all accounts this seems like a great deal for germans if you discount the ethnic cleansing happening in the bg
The dreamof the Volkswagen seemed to promise “a new, happier age” thatwould make “the German people rich and Germany beautiful,” asHitler put it. Indeed, the Volkswagen functioned as a symbol for thenewly won capacity to dream about the future: in this fundamentalsense, the Nazis appeared as “men of the future.”
Mem-ories of the Third Reich corresponded in large part to the Nazis’own prewar media representation of “good times” both now and tocome.
consider the mobilization of memory in propaganda
the reports indicate that “workers not only wereunfree . . . but that most of them felt they were unfree, exploited,discriminated against and the victims of an unfair, class-ridden soci-ety.” Even during the boom years of 1937–39, “signs indicated thatNazism was further losing ground among workers.”
counter to the argument made in the chapter, many workers under the nazi regime did not feel as though enough progress was being made
On the eve of the war, in 1939, most Germans ex-perienced the Third Reich as a cherished period of economic andpolitical stability. These were achievements that the population wasdetermined to hold on to.
The Day of Potsdam and May Day indi-cated that there was considerable desire among Germans to partici-pate in rituals of national renewal
these auxiliary organiza-tions gave Germans semiofficial responsibilities as they collecteddonations, distributed coal, or trained as air-raid wardens.
ordinary civilians take on leadership positions -- social mobility, chances to move up the ladder. even if not personally aligned w nazi ideology, pretty good choice to work under them in order to boost your standing. plus boosts patriotism
Themedicalization of politics pulled thousands of new professionalsinto state service as nurses, teachers, health-care administrators.Newly opened public-health offices dotted the cities and country-side, building on the social-welfare accomplishments of the repub-lic.
a“Machbarkeitswahn,” modernity’s heady sense of the possible thatepitomized National Socialism as it charged into the future.
machbarkeitswahn - the possibility of achieving something / making change
Evenbefore Hitler spoke (8:00 p.m.), the choreography of May Day hadfastened the links between workers and the nation, between ma-chinists and machine-age dreams, between technical mastery andnational prowess
“Something had to be done”—these were the simple, conclusive words voiced by a friend of KarlDürkefälden’s, jobless and a new convert to Nazism. His wordswere echoed by thousands of workers in the winter and springof 1933; though a socialist, Karl himself understood—“it’s truetoo,” he added parenthetically in his diary entry.
Socialists around the worldhad celebrated May Day as a festival of labor since the 1880s; butin Germany they had failed to get the official recognition the Nazisnow offered. So strong were the hopes for national unity that theGerman Free Trade Unions welcomed the Nazi gesture and encour-aged members to participate in the celebrations.
National Socialism offered acomprehensive vision of renewal, which many Germans found ap-pealing, but they combined it with the alarming specter of nationaldisintegration.
He repeatedly described Ger-many as a nation that had come home to itself. While Erich hatedthe Nazis, he loved the Third Reich.
the desire to be part ofnational unity was so strong that it pulled even an anti-Nazi such asErich into the new political community
Eine Empfehlung des Zusammenschlusses nationaler Akademien der Wissenschaften und eine zusammenfassende Studie zum globalen Plastiksystem empfehlen die Reduktion des Verbrauchs um 50% und eine Reihe weiterer Schritte wie das fast vollständige Recycling von Plastik und die Produktion aus Biomaterialien. Anlass sind die Verhandlungen zum internationalen Plastikabkommen. Plastikproduktion und Verbrauch führen schon jetzt – abgesehen von zahlreichen anderen negativen Folgen – zu Emissionen von ca einer Gigatonne CO2 im Jahr. Ohne drastische Änderungen wird sich diese Menge vervielfachen. https://www.derstandard.de/story/3000000205422/wissenschaft-fordert-radikale-abkehr-von-herkoemmlicher-plastikproduktion
Your zettelkasten, having a perfect memory of your "past self" acts as a ratchet so that when you have a new conversation on a particular topic, your "present self" can quickly remember where you left off and not only advance the arguments but leave an associative trail for your "future self" to continue on again later.
Many thoughts and associations occur when you're having conversations with any text, whether it's with something you're reading by another author or your own notes in your zettelkasten or commonplace book. For more conversations on this topic, perhaps thumb through: https://hypothes.is/users/chrisaldrich?q=tag%3A%27conversations+with+the+text%27
If you view conversations broadly as means of finding and collecting information from external sources and naturally associating them together, perhaps you'll appreciate this quote:
No piece of information is superior to any other. Power lies in having them all on file and then finding the connections. There are always connections; you have only to want to find them.—Umberto Eco in Foucault's Pendulum (Secker & Warburg)
(Reply to u/u/Plastic-Lettuce-7150 at https://www.reddit.com/r/Zettelkasten/comments/1ae2qf4/communicating_with_a_zettelkasten/)
Fridays for Future hat die Proteste gegen Rechts in Deutschland maßgeblich mitorganisiert. Die Letze Generation und Extinction Rebellion haben sich angeschlossen. Luisa Neubauer im Interview über die Verbindung von Protest gegen die AfD und gegen den Rechtsruck der Mitte. https://taz.de/Luisa-Neubauer-ueber-AfD-Proteste/!5984327/
for - rapid whole system change - Rescue the future - Glenn Sankatsing
Summary - A well written piece
by far the most illuminating to me is the idea that mental causation works from virtual futures towards the past 00:33:17 whereas physical causation works from the past towards the future and these two streams of causation sort of overlap in the present
for - comparison - mental vs physical causation - adjacency - Michael Levin's definition of intelligence - Sheldrake's mental vs physical causation
key insight - comparison - mental vs physical causation - mental causation works from virtual futures to past - physical causation works from past to future - this is an interesting way of seeing things
adjacency - between - direction of mental vs physical causation - Michael Levin's definition of intelligence (adopting WIlliam James's idea) and cognition and cognitive light cones of living organisms:: - having a goal - having autonomy and agency to reach that goal - adjacency statement - Levin adopts a definition of cognition from scientific predecessors that relate to goal activity. - When an organism chooses one specific behavioral trajectory over all other possible ones in order to reach a goal - this is none other than choosing a virtual future that projects back to the present - In our species, innovation and design is based on this future-to-present backwards projection
2023-12-21 BookBridge Talk, 2023. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3M-nfWI93nY. Andy Matuschak and Derrek Chow
Searching as exploration. White and Roth [71 ,p.38] define exploratory search as a “sense making activity focusedon the gathering and use of information to foster intellectual de-velopment.” Users who conduct exploratory searches are generallyunfamiliar with the domain of their goals, and unsure about howto achieve them [ 71]. Many scholars have investigated the mainfactors relating to this type of dynamic task, such as uncertainty,creativity, innovation, knowledge discovery, serendipity, conver-gence of ideas, learning, and investigation [2, 46, 71].These factors are not always expressed or evident in queriesor questions posed by a searcher to a search system.
Sometimes, search is not rooted in discovery of a correct answer to a question. It's about exploration. Serendipity through search. Think Michael Lewis, Malcolm Gladwell, and Latif Nasser from Radiolab. The randomizer on wikipedia. A risk factor of where things trend with advanced AI in search is an abandonment of meaning making through exploration in favor of a knowledge-level pursuit that lacks comparable depth to more exploratory experiences.