why is it when colleagues do field work they feel they have to fly backwards and forwards to do their field work often say in the southern hemisphere
for - climate crisis - hypocrisy - example - colonialism - scientists in Global North fly to Global South - alternative - hire scientists in Global South to do the field work - Kevin Anderson
I've never said this on live before but three very senior people have a huge amount of time for in the climate realm
for - examples - climate leader hypocrisy - 3 examples - provided by Kevin Anderson
the majority of working group three which has been dominated by the integrated assessment model these big models that basically economic models with a bit of technology or a bit of mythical technology and a bit of um social sciences bolted on the side and and a small climate model but basically just economic models the business as usual models these models have dominated what we have to do about climate change
for - climate crisis - IPCC - warning - working group 3 - integrated assessment models - are basically economic models - with a bit of mythical technology - a bit of social science - Kevin Anderson
I've for a long time said I don't think working group three should be part of the ipcc it's just inate reducing emissions is innately political
for - climate crisis - IPCC - warning - working group 3 - integrated assessment models - is just about reducing emissions - inherently political - Kevin Anderson
working group three is just Exxon in Disguise um you know there are good people in working group three but working group three and integrated assessment models good people working some of the people are good people there working in deeply subjective boundaries that have been set up by we mustn't Rock the political boat
for - climate crisis - IPCC - warning - working group 3 - Integrated Assessment Models - Some good people here but - It's just Exxon in disguise - Kevin Anderson
we hit it for one year and that doesn't tell us we've hit it or we haven't hit it so we we typically want to see a longer running average so we typically use an 11-year running average so a single year doesn't tell us we've hit it or we haven't hit it but it but it may well be that we're already in that long um like that that long run average we might be already one of those years that means we're not going to drop below 1.5
for - quote - climate crisis - In 2024, temperatures soared above 1.5 Deg C. Have we breached the threshold? Yes and No - Kevin Anderson
quote - climate crisis - In 2024, temperatures soared above 1.5 Deg C. Have we breached the threshold? Yes and No - Kevin Anderson - (see below) - We hit it for one year and that doesn't tell us we've hit it or we haven't hit it - We we typically want to see a longer running average so we typically use n 11-year running average - so a single year doesn't tell us we've hit it or we haven't hit it - But it may well be that we're already in that long run average - We might be already one of those years that means we're not going to drop below 1.5
the climate is coming back and killing people already yeah so it is killing people it's not killing enough of the high mters it's not killing our children but it's killing poor people's children typically people of color a long way away we we've never cared about them and we continue not to care about them and we embed that complete disregard and colonialism in our models as well our so-called objective models um on what we should do about climate change they're deeply Colonial models and that feed into the ipcc
for - quote - IPCC - climate models - are deeply colonial - Kevin Anderson
A similar magnitude (about 20 pct savings) is found in ref. 10.
for - stats - climate change - emissions reductions from behavioral change - 20% reduction in households
a change towards climate-friendly behavior by citizens can reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions substantially: up to one-third of the total EU mitigation target pledged
for - stats - climate change - emissions reductions from behavioral change - 33% reduction in EU
the targets of the Paris Agreement are now beyond the reach of incrementalism.
for - climate target of 1.5 Deg C - incrementalism won't work - rapid system change is necessary
for - social tipping points - climate action - social tipping interventions - STI
paper details - title: From niches to norms: the promise of social tipping interventions to scale climate action - authors: Pizziol, Veronica; Tavoni, Alessandro - publisher: Nature - date: 2024
for - climate crisis - Youtube - climate Doomsday 6 years from now - Jerry Kroth - to - climate clock - adjacency - Tipping Point Festival - Indyweb / SRG complexity mapping tool - Integration of many fragmented bottom-up initiatives - The Great Weaving - Cosmolocal organization - Michel Bauwens - Peer-to-Peer Foundation - A third option - Islands of Coherency - Otto Scharmer Presencing Institute - U-labs - Love-based (sacred-based) mini-assemblies interventions to address growing fascism, populism and polarization - Roger Hallam - Ending the US / China Cold War - Yanis Varoufakis
YouTube details - title: climate Doomsday 6 years from now - author: Jerry Kroth, pyschologist
summary - Psychologist Jerry Kroth makes a claim that the 1.5 Deg C and 2.0 Deg C thresholds will be reached sooner than expected - due to acceleration of climate change impacts. - He backs up his argument with papers and recent talks of climate thought leaders using their youtube presentations. - This presentation succinctly summarized a lot of the climate news I've been following recently. - It reminded me of the urgency of climate change, my work trying to find a way to integrate the work of the Climate Clock project into other projects. - This work was still incomplete but now I have incentive to complete it.
adjacency - between - Tipping Point Festival - Indyweb / SRG complexity mapping tool - Integration of many fragmented bottom-up initiatives - The Great Weaving - Cosmolocal organization - Michel Bauwens - Peer-to-Peer Foundation - Islands of Coherency - Otto Scharmer - Presencing Institute - U-labs - Love-based (sacred-based) mini-assemblies interventions to address growing fascism, populism and polarization - Roger Hallam - Ending the US / China Cold War - Yanis Varoufakis - and many others - adjacency relationship - I have been holding many fragmented projects in my mind and they are all orbiting around the Tipping Point Festival for the past decade. - When Indyweb Alpha is done, - especially with the new Wikinizer update - We can collectively weave all these ideas together into one coherent whole using Stop Reset Go complexity mapping as a plexmarked Mark-In notation - Then apply cascading social tipping point theory to invite each project to a form a global coherent, bottom-up commons-based movement for rapid whole system change - Currently, there are a lot of jigsaw puzzle pieces to put together! - I think this video served as a reminder of the urgency emerged of our situation and it emerged adjacencies and associations between recent ideas I've been annotating, specifically: - Yanis Varoufakis - Need to end the US-led cold war with China due to US felt threat of losing their US dollar reserve currency status - that Trump wants to escalate to the next stage with major tariffs - MIchel Bauwens - Cosmolocal organization as an alternative to current governance systems - Roger Hallam - love-based strategy intervention for mitigating fascism, polarization and the climate crisis - Otto Scharmer - Emerging a third option to democracy - small islands of coherency can unite nonlinearly to have a significant impact - Climate Clock - a visual means to show how much time we have left - It is noteworthy that: - Yanis Varoufakis and Roger Hallam are both articulating a higher Common Human Denominator - creating a drive to come together rather than separate - which requires looking past the differences and into the fundamental similarities that make us human - the Common Human Denominators (CHD) - In both of their respective articles, Yanis Varoufakis and Otto Scharmer both recognize the facade of the two party system - in the backend, it's only ruled by one party - the oligarchs, the party of the elites (see references below) - Once Indyweb is ready, and SRG complexity mapping and sense-making tool applied within Indyweb, we will already be curating all the most current information from all the fragmented projects together in one place regardless of whether any projects wants to use the Indyweb or not - The most current information from each project is already converged, associated and updated here - This makes it a valuable resource for them because it expands the reach of each and every project
to - climate clock - https://hyp.is/R_kJHKGQEe28r-doGn-djg/climateclock.world/ - love-based intervention to address fascism, populism and polarization - Roger Hallam - https://hyp.is/wUDpaKsAEe-DM9fteMUtzw/www.youtube.com/watch?v=AiKWCHAcS7E - ending the US / China cold war - Yanis Varoufakis - https://hyp.is/Yy0juqmrEe-ERhtaafWWHw/www.youtube.com/watch?v=8BsAa_94dao - Cosmolocal coordination of the commons as an alternative to current governance and a leverage point to unite fragmented communities - Michel Bauwens - https://hyp.is/AvtJYqitEe-f_EtI6TJRVg/4thgenerationcivilization.substack.com/p/a-global-history-of-societal-regulation - A third option for democracy - Uniting small islands of coherency in a time of chaos - Otto Scharmer - https://hyp.is/JlLzuKusEe-xkG-YfcRoyg/medium.com/presencing-institute-blog/an-emerging-third-option-reclaiming-democracy-from-dark-money-dark-tech-3886bcd0469b - One party system - oligarchs - Yanis Varoufakis - https://hyp.is/CVXzAKnWEe-PBBcP5GE8TA/www.youtube.com/watch?v=8BsAa_94dao - What's missing is a third option (in the two party system) - Otto Scharmer - https://hyp.is/M3S6VKuxEe-pG-Myu6VW1A/medium.com/presencing-institute-blog/an-emerging-third-option-reclaiming-democracy-from-dark-money-dark-tech-3886bcd0469b
the United States is not a democracy it's an oligarchy with elections that are providing the legitimacy for this one party state to continue to exist
for - quote - US politics - one party state - Yanis Varoufakis - observation - Trump was groomed by toxic US corporate culture and only now is the US is experiencing the blowback of that - new meme - hostile corporate takeover of the US government - from - Climate doomsday 6 years from now - Jerry Kroth
quote - US politics - one party state - Yanis Varoufakis - (see below) - The United States is not a democracy - It's an oligarchy with elections that are providing the legitimacy for this one part state to continue to exist
comment - With Trumps win and the nomination of a slate filled with many billionaires to lead major US departments, it's more obvious than ever that what Trump is doing is:
new meme - A hostile corporate takeover of the US government - We shouldn't be surprised as Trump was groomed by the out-of-control corptocracy in the United States - Remember that NBC made him famous with his show "The Apprentice" and during that time, he was celebrated by American corporate culture. Why else did his show reach top position in Nelson ratings? - Trump is the child of the toxic corporate culture of America where money is king, the metric that rules over everything - people and the environment - Trump is merely running the government the way he ran his companies (into the ground), with total control. - On the apprentice, he made famous the phrase "your fired" - We should not be surprised that he is making the US government in the image of himself that he has well publicized for decades.
from - Climate doomsday 6 years from now - Jerry Kroth - from - Youtube - Climate Doomsday 6 years from now - Jerry Kroth - https://hyp.is/OfL17KukEe-u2rfUpknrTg/www.youtube.com/watch?v=KZ0JDk1p6Zg
What’s missing obviously is a viable third option that would disrupt and transform the status quo by leaning into and operating from an awareness of the emerging future.
for - two party system - third viable option is missing - Otto Scharmer - from - Youtube - Climate Doomsday 6 years from now - Jerry Kroth
from - Youtube - Climate Doomsday 6 years from now - Jerry Kroth - https://hyp.is/OfL17KukEe-u2rfUpknrTg/www.youtube.com/watch?v=KZ0JDk1p6Zg
cuts across old political lines
for - to - a proposal for a love-based intervention for addressing the emergence of fascism, populism, polarization and the climate crisis - Roger Hallam
to - a proposal for a love-based intervention for addressing the emergence of fascism, populism, polarization and the climate crisis - Roger Hallam - https://hyp.is/wUDpaKsAEe-DM9fteMUtzw/www.youtube.com/watch?v=AiKWCHAcS7E
erect an iconic climate clock in your own locale
great idea!
from - Youtube - climate doomsday 6 years from now - https://hyp.is/OfL17KukEe-u2rfUpknrTg/www.youtube.com/watch?v=KZ0JDk1p6Zg
for - fascism, polarization and climate crisis - interventions - love and listening strategy for climate crisis - Roger Hallam - Trump winning US election - is an opportunity - Roger Hallam - perspectival knowing - Deep Humanity - mini assemblies - Roger Hallam - listening - fascism - social intervention - from - Illuminem article - Proximity: The antidote to fascism - Kasper Benjamin Reimer Bjorkskov - on horizontal and vertical decision-making
Summary - Roger Hallam advocates for a new strategy for the rise of fascism, populism, polarization and the climate crisis - love - He believes that we need a new social strategy based on love, on reaching out to the other side with compassion and listening to them - He cites numerous research studies that show that this can be transformative, for instance, citing pyschologist Carl Rogers - SRG complexity mapping tool, Deep Humanity and Indyweb could be synergistic to this program because both depend on: - diversity and - perspectival knowing
from - Illuminem article - Proximity: The antidote to fascism - Kasper Benjamin Reimer Bjorkskov on horizontal and vertical decision-making - https://hyp.is/0Tv_Rqr3Ee-_-X8fKkCfpg/illuminem.com/illuminemvoices/proximity-the-antidote-to-fascism - Medium article - An Emerging Third Option: Reclaiming Democracy from Dark Money & Dark Tech Seven Observations On 2024 and What’s Next - Otto Scharmer - cutting across political lines / https://hyp.is/exS8dKtNEe-pfz-IhQFiZA/medium.com/presencing-institute-blog/an-emerging-third-option-reclaiming-democracy-from-dark-money-dark-tech-3886bcd0469b
as with any social group that is a power law curve meaning for instance eighty percent of Trump supporters will change their view if they're listened to consistently maybe 19% are going to be resistant and need a good few conversations for them to at least have doubts and 1% are frankly psychopathic and they're never gonna change
for - stats - Perato's law - social transformation - fascism, polarization and climate crisis - climate communication - 80% will change if we listen, 19% will require deeper conversations - 1% will not change - Roger Hallam
I'll stick my head out here and say that we are 80% certain of being able to create a mass movement 10 times the size of Extinction Rebellion using this method organizations that can compete with fascism with power by dissolving that power through the same mechanisms Rogers discovered through listening
for - fascism, polarization and climate crisis - climate communications - social intervention - new movement that can be 10x the size of Extinction Rebellion - apply Carl Rogers discovery of listening - Roger Hallam
A separate Global Witness investigation found that at least 1,700 fossil-fuel executives had registered to attend COP29, lower than the record in Dubai but still larger than most party delegations.
there is no longer a proper set of institutions that can restore the equilibrium in the new global world order: the Nation is no longer able to force the State to regulate the Market.
for - quote - the Nation (state) is no longer able to force the State to regulate the Market - Michel Bauwens - climate crisis - transnational capitalism escapes the regulation of nation states - example - COP conferences and climate change
for the first time in history, transnational capital could significantly escape the regulation of the nation-states, rendering the latter inoperative
for - quote - transnational capitalism escapes the regulation of nation states - Michel Bauwens - climate crisis - transnational capitalism escapes the regulation of nation states - example - COP conferences and climate change quote - transnational capitalism escapes the regulation of nation states - Michel Bauwens (see below) - The nation-state equilibrium started to be disrupted in the 1980s. - Neoliberalism is in fact, also a failed attempt at global regulation. - Several events, such as - the conservative counter-revolution of Thatcher and Reagan, - the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1989-91, and - the failure of the first attempt at democratic coordination of the economy in Chile (Cybersyn), - contributed to the emergence of a new world order in which, for the first time in history, - transnational capital could significantly escape the regulation of the nation-states, rendering the latter inoperative. - This was of course done consciously and with the collaboration of neoliberal nation-states.
comment - This is why climate change agreements at the nation-state level, such as COP conferences, are such dismal failures - Trump was bought out by billionaires who wanted to maintain their status quo money-making-machines - In this sense, this is conservatism at work - Economic, fossil-fuel incumbents teamed up with Christian fundamentalists to make a last valiant attempt at preserving the old order - Unfortunately, if they succeed, it will definitely accelerate their demise as well as the entire biosphere
what we're doing is feeding in real-time data from the stock market he's making buy and sell decisions and we're seeing if he can come to have a better sense of the economic movements of of the planet
for - idea - question - sensory substitution - can we make a sensory substitution for climate change impacts?
"As variability in many ecosystems is increasing due to global change, there is an urgent need for real-time forecasts to help guide natural resource decision-making,"
for - definition - realtime ecological forecasting - definition - near term ecological forecasting - adjacency - near term ecological forecasting - open science - citizen science - climate departure
for - political polarization - common ground with trump voters - example of democrat winning the rural vote - this is a good lesson for climate communication - climate communication - reaching rural communities
Eine neue Studie bestätigt, dass die Hauptursache des immer schnelleren Anstiegs des Methan-Gehalts der Atmosphäre die Aktivität von Mikroaorganismen ist, die durch die globale Erhitzung zunimmt. Damit handelt es sich um einen Feedback-Mechanismus, durch den sich die globale Erhitzung selbst verstärkt. https://taz.de/Zu-viel-Methan-in-der-Atmosphaere/!6045201/
Studie: https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2411212121
Vorangehende Studien: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-023-01629-0, https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-022-01296-7.epdf?sharing_token=CDMa5-ti34UNBqv3kfuCB9RgN0jAjWel9jnR3ZoTv0NZRKXEI-7kyXEEvNI7duu65JLcZpmhGxWTeSfYcMCqxqYk5nUrdR60izmjToMNw56RgBqIcn3JXKxSjx13vmB9ZYndGTUMt-52Vs7HT_T6K9Oth4QFRyP51eOpz8pV8l65HFDo2VSfQ6xDXklMtmvt-HGwltAINb_2xgmtAR-V4g%3D%3D&tracking_referrer=taz.de
Trump’s victory illustrates a fundamental disconnect between academic researchers and many Republican voters. Finding common ground will require social engagement and likely humility on the part of scientists, who have yet to fully grapple with this social and political divide. For many Republicans, “the problem is us” — the academic ‘elites’, Jasanoff says.
for - climate denialism- science education - public distrust of science
Natural resources (like fossil fuels), are treated as expendable income, when in fact they should be treated as capital, since they are not renewable, and thus subject to eventual depletion.
Drei Klimawissenschaftlerinnen wehren sich in einem Kommentar in Nature gegen den Vorwurf, sie betrieben keine objektive Wissenschaft, weil sie ihren Schmerz angesichts der fortschreitenden Klimakrise offen kommunizieren. Gefühle seien Teil der Realität und dürften von Forschenden nicht unterdrückt werden. Gefühle auszuschließen werde vor allem von Privilegierten zur Norm erklärt, die den Folgen der Klimakrise kaum ausgesetzt seien https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/oct/25/we-have-emotions-too-climate-scientists-respond-to-attacks-on-objectivity
Nature-Artikel: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-024-02139-3
Die von Waldbränden außerhalb der Tropen verursachten Emissionen haben sich seit 2001 fast verdreifacht. Weltweit haben die Emissionen durch Waldbrände in dieser Zeit um 60% zugenommen. Ursache dafür ist die Kombination von heißerem und trockenerem Wetter mit dem schnelleren Wachstum der Wälder durch die höheren Temperaturen. Die Wälder können durch die Brände jahrzehntelang zu Emittenten werden. Damit ist die Funktion der Wälder als Kohlenstoffsenken gefährdet. Das bedeutet auch, dass sie andere anthropogene Emissionen weniger kompensieren und die Fähigkeit verlieren, nach einem Überschreiten der 1,5°-Grenze C0<sub>2</sub> aus der Atmosphäre zu entfernen. Außerdem müssten diese von Menschen verursachten Emissonen den C0<sub>2</sub>-Budgets der Nationalstaaten zugeordnet werden.
Erstmals wurde genau erfasst, welcher Teil der von Waldbränden betroffenen Gebiete sich auf die menschlich verursachte Erhitzung zurückführen lässt. Er wächst seit 20 Jahren deutlich an. Insgesamt kompensieren die auf die Erhitzung zurückgehenden Waldbrände den Rückgang an Bränden durch Entwaldung. Der von Menschen verursachte – und für die Berechnung von Schadensansprüchen relevante – Anteil der CO2-Emissione ist damit deutlich höher als bisher angenommen https://www.carbonbrief.org/climate-change-almost-wipes-out-decline-in-global-area-burned-by-wildfires/
Besonders verwundbare Gruppen - Alte, Frauen und Menschen mit niedrigem sozioökonomischen Status – können vor Hitzewellen in Städten nur dann besser geschützt werden, wenn sie nicht in den der Hitze am meisten ausgesetzten Teilen einer Stadt leben müssen. Dies zeigt eine neue Studie zur räumlichen Verteilung der Verwundbarkeit durch Hitze am Beispiel Madrids. Ohne wirksame räumlich-soziale Gegenmaßnahmen werden sich die „verwundbaren Cluster“ ausdehnen https://www.repubblica.it/green-and-blue/2024/10/21/news/ondate_di_calore_in_citta_madrid_quartieri_piu_a_rischio-423568496/
Studie: https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2024EF004431
Die CO2-Emissionen durch Waldbrände haben seit 2001 um 60% zugenommen, wie sich aus einer neuen Studie ergibt. Den größten Anteil daran haben die borealen Wälder Kanadas und Sibiriens. Sie gehören zu einem Typ von Wäldern, der besonders schlecht an die globale Erhitzung angepasst ist. Die beobachteten Emissionen durch Waldbrände machen unwahscheinlicher, dass Wälder in Zukunft von Menschen emittiertes CO2 reduzieren können. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/17/climate/carbon-fires-forests-global-warming.html
2023 haben Böden und Landpflanzen fast kein CO2 absorbiert. Dieser Kollaps der Landsenken vor allem durch Dürren und Waldbrände wurde in diesem Ausmaß kaum vorausgesehen, und es ist nicht klar, ob auf ihn eine Regeneration folgt. Er stellt Klimamodelle ebenso in Frage wie die meisten nationalen Pläne zum Erreichen von CO2-Neutralität, weil sie auf natürlichen Senken an Land beruhen. Es gibt Anzeichen dafür, dass die steigenden Temperaturen inzwischen auch die CO2-Aufnahmefähigkeit der Meere schwächen. Überblicksartikel mit Links zu Studien https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/oct/14/nature-carbon-sink-collapse-global-heating-models-emissions-targets-evidence-aoe
Klimapolitik spielt in der Kampagne von Kamala Harris fast keine Rolle. Stattdessen versucht sie konservative Wähler:innen mit Statements für Öl- und Gasproduktion zu gewinnen. Klimaplitiker:innen, Klimabewegungen und Fachleute für Klimakommunikation kritisieren, dass Harris die Sorgen vieler Wähler:innen wegen der Folgen der globalen Erhitzung nicht ernst genug nimmt https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/oct/18/kamala-harris-climate-change-plan-environment
Nicht nur #BP investiert in mehr fossile Infrastruktur und verzichtet auf Dekarbonisierungsziele. Große Firmen und Investmentgesellschaften geben die Orientierung an „Environmental, social and governace“- (ESG-)Standards zunehmend auf. Für #BlackRock, #Vanguard, #JPMorgan und #StateStreet spielen sie keine oder nur noch eine geringe Rolle, die EU hat sie verwässert. Der Guardian berichtet darüber in einem gut recherchierten Überblicksartikel. https://www.theguardian.com/business/2024/oct/13/very-concerning-bp-dilutes-net-zero-targets-as-global-retreat-from-green-standards-gathers-pace
BP investiert in die Erschließung neuer fossiler Lagerstätten und hat damit den Plan aufgegeben, seine Öl- und Gasproduktion bis 2030 um 25% zu senken. Dieser Plan war bereits eine Abschwächung des ursprünglichen Ziels einer Reduktion um 40%. Wie andere große Ölfirmen konzentriert sich BP auf kurzfristige zusätzliche Gewinne aus dem Öl- und Gasgeschäft statt auf die - ohnehin zu geringen - Investitionen in die Energiewende. DIEEE Stategie treibt die globale Erhitzung weiter an. https://www.theguardian.com/business/2024/oct/07/bp-abandoning-plan-to-cut-oil-output-angers-green-groups
Die Erde ist in eine neue „und nicht vorhersagbare Phase der Klimakrise” eingetreten. 25 von 35 Indikatoren für die Gesundheit des Erdsystems haben die schlimmsten je festgestellten Werte erreicht. Eine Gruppe der weltweit renommiertesten Klimafachleute stellt im „2024 state of the climate report“ fest, dass immer mehr Wissenschaftler:innen einen Kollaps der Zivilisation für möglich halten. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/oct/08/earths-vital-signs-show-humanitys-future-in-balance-say-climate-experts
Bericht: https://academic.oup.com/bioscience/advance-article/doi/10.1093/biosci/biae087/7808595
For many years, scientists, including a group of more than 15,000, have sounded the alarm about the impending dangers of climate change driven by increasing greenhouse gas emissions and ecosystem change (Ripple et al. 2020).
for - scientists warning - 2024 state of the climate report - adjacency - 2024 US election - Trump - scientists warning - state of the climate - cognitive dissonance - 4P knowledge framework - Johan Rockstrom, Michael Mann, William Ripple, Christopher Wolf, Timothy Lenton, Jillian Gregg, Naomi Oreskes, Stefan Rahmstorf, Thomas Newsome
adjacency - between - 2024 state of the climate report - scientists warning - political polarization - Trump reelection - climate communication - cognitive dissonance - adjacency relationship - The scientists warning are having limited effect as a tool for mass climate communications - The fact that so many people are supporting climate denying candidates like Trump demonstrates the cognitive dissonance and lack of effective climate communications strategy - It is insightful to analyze from 4P knowledge framework: - propositional knowledge - perspectival knowledge - participatory knowledge - procedural knowledge - Every person is situated and located somewhere unique and specific in life - 4 P knowledge is concurrent - When climate scientists communicate propositional knowledge via mass media, it is a kind of broadcast message that can lose salience if the other 3 types of knowledge have a mismatch: - without perspectival knowledge context, the knowledge can have no meaning or priority - without procedural knowledge, the knowledge is theoretical and does not lead to a better life - without participatory knowledge, the receiver feels alienated
Derailed climate action: Mr. Trump will almost certainly withdraw again from the 2015Paris Climate Agreement, dismantle domestic climate and environmental regulations(particularly those seen to hamper the fossil fuel industry), and actively oppose atransition to green energy.
for - question - Study on 2024 Trump win on polycrisis - Cascade Institute - why is there such a small analysis on the environment and especially planetary tipping points whilst climate clock is ticking?
1:14;46 Our greatest existential threat is not CLIMATE CHANGE it is MIND CHANGE which leads to a CHANGE IN LANGUAGE
Eine neue Studie stellt fest, dass nach einem Überschreiten der 1,5°-Grenze eine Rückkehr zu niedrigeren Temperaturen nicht so realistisch ist, wie es vielfach, auch in den Sachstandsberichten des IPCC, angenommen wird. Außerdem würden die erhöhten Temperaturen viele Ökosysteme irreversibel verändern. Es müssten deshalb - im Gegensatz zur aktuellen Politik - alle Anstrengungen unternommen werden, um.einen Overshoot zu vermeiden. https://www.liberation.fr/environnement/climat-un-depassement-meme-temporaire-des-15c-serait-plus-risque-quimagine-20241010_UHQSL4EKERFVPNP5V6KNV3IGWI/?redirected=1
Die Österreichische Volkspartei sieht es auch als ihren Erfolg, dass die europäische Wahlschutzverordnung ein Jahr später als zunächst vorgesehen in Kraft treten wird. Damit positioniert sie sich klar auf der seite der gegner des Green Deal https://www.derstandard.at/story/3000000239883/die-volkspartei-zerschiesst-den-green-deal-und-verkauft-das-als-erfolg
Kurz vor der COP16 zur Biodiversität geht die EU immer deutlicher von ihrer bisherigem Politik zum Schutz der Biodiversität ab. Man nimmt Rücksicht auf konventionelle Landwirt:innen, rechtsradikale und auch zunehmend antiökologisch agierende konservative Parteien. An die Stelle des Green Deal tritt das Bestreben, die Unternehmen im globalen Wettbewerb konkurrenzfähiger zu machen und die Wirtschaft wachsen zu lassen. Ajit Niranjan berichtet zusammenhängend über diese Entwicklungen und verweist auf wichtiger Meilensteine in der Geschichte von Abkommen zum Schutz der Biodiversität. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/oct/09/europe-eu-green-deal-backsliding-nature-biodiversity-farmers-far-right-cop16-aoe
to compel people to change their emissions, it may be less about a number, and more about a feeling. “To get people to act, my hypothesis is, you need to reach them not just by convincing them to be good citizens and saying it’s good for the world to keep below 1.5 degrees, but showing how they individually will be impacted,” says Eltahir
for - quote - climate crisis - behavioral change - system change - importance of showing impacts - example - climate departure project
quote - climate crisis - behavioral change - system change - importance of showing impacts - example - climate departure project - Eltahir - To get people to act, my hypothesis is, you need to reach them - not just by convincing them to be good citizens and saying it’s good for the world to keep below 1.5 degrees, but - showing how they individually will be impacted,”
Eine neue attribution studie zeigt komme das die globale erhitzung den haare können helene zweieinhalb mal wahrscheinlicher gemacht und zehn prozent zudem wassermassen beigetragen hat cover die dabei herunter kamen'https://www.liberation.fr/environnement/climat/ouragan-helene-le-rechauffement-rend-ce-genre-devenements-25-fois-plus-probables-20241009_FMIJOIVH4NATVHKB6NZRN6O7KE/
The ecological impact of chemicals stems from three major sources
Der Draghi-Report zur industriellen Erneuerung in der EU konzentriert sich auf Technologien, die mit emissionsfreien Energien zusammenhängen. Ziel müsse sein, dass die EU vor allem bei „sauberen Energien“ weltweit eine Spitzenposition einnehme. In einem ausführlichen Artikel zu diesem Report begründen zwei Wirtschaftswissenschaftler die These, dass es in Europa nicht vor allem an Investitionen mangelt, sondern dass die Investitionen viel weniger als in den USA in Forschung und Entwicklung fließen. Außerdem sei, wie es auch der Report feststellt, u.a. eine Integration der europäischen Kapitalmärkte notwendig. https://www.repubblica.it/economia/2024/10/01/news/rapporto_draghi_quali_investimenti_servono_davvero-423529413/
Der Hurrikan Helene führte zu katastrophalen Zerstörungen weitab von der Küste. Wahrscheinlich trug dazu vor allem bei, dass die Böden dieser Gegenden bereits zuvor extrem viel Wasser enthielten. Die Katastrophe zeigt, wie der Interviewpartner der New York Times sagt, dass es keinen „sicheren Hafen“ gibt, an dem die Folgen der globalen Erhitzung nicht zu spüren wären. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/01/climate/asheville-climate-change-flood.html
Der Europäische Rechnungshof hat kritisiert, dass die EU-Länder die beschlossenen umweltpolitischen Maßnahmen in der Landwirtschaft kaum umsetzen. Nahezu überall sind Erleichterungen beschlossen worden, die die Maßnahmen wirkungslos machen. 385 Mrd. Euro im Jahr fließen in die Subventionierung der Landwirtschaft, die für ca. 13% der europäischen Emissionen verantwortlich ist. https://taz.de/EU-Rechnungshof-ueber-Agrarsubventionen/!6036890/
for - Food for Climate League - food - climate change - climate crisis - food system
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Urban_forest_inequity
urban forest inequity
Mentions of humans thinning trees for better tree canopy in the section on black ash trees in Braiding Sweetgrass by Robin Wall Kimmerer.
Der kalifornische.Generalstaatsanwalt hat einen Prozess gegen Exxon Mobil angestrengt, weil der Konzern.den Verkauf von nichtwiederverwenbarem Plastik über Jahrzehnte mit Fehlinformationen über Recycling gefördert habe. Die Firma hätte gewusst und bewusst verschwiegen, dass eines ihrer Hauptprodukte erheblich zur Plastik-Verschmutzung beiträgt. NGOs, die Exxon ebenfalls verklagten, begrüßen, dass damit ein Ölkonzern auch wegen der Plastikverschmutzung juristisch zur Rechenschaft gezogen wird, under erwarten weitere Prozesse dieser Art. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/23/climate/california-exxon-mobil-plastics-pollution-recycling-lawsuit.html
Bei der Climate Week New York haben John Kerry und Al Gore scharf kritisiert, dass die USA, die großen Ölfirmen und viele andere Staaten weiter fossil expandieren, und dass die in der Schlusserklärung der COP28 erklärte Bereitschaft zum Ausstieg aus den Fossilen für die COP29 keine Rolle spielt. Philip Davis, der Premierminister der Bahamas, machte vor allem die Öl- und Gaslizenzen der USA und Großbritanniens für die Wirkungslosigkeit des COP28-Abkommens verantwortlich. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/sep/23/new-york-climate-week-al-gore-john-kerry-condemn-fossil-fuels
for - The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability - Camilo Mora et al. - 6th mass extinction - biodiversity loss - question - 2024 - Sept 13 - how do we reconcile climate departure with quantification of earth system boundary biodiversity safe and just limit? - to - climate departure map - map of major cities - 2013 - to - researchgate paper - The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability - 2013 - Camilo Mora et al
paper details - title: The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability - author: - Camilo Mora, - Abby G. Frazier, - Ryan J. Longman, - Rachel S. Dacks, - Maya M. Walton, - Eric J. Tong, - Joseph J. Sanchez, - Lauren R. Kaiser, - Yuko O. Stender, - James M. Anderson, - Christine M. Ambrosino, - Iria Fernandez-Silva, - Louise M. Giuseffi, - Thomas W. Giambelluca - date - 9 October, 2013 - publication Nature 502, 183-187 (2013) - https://doi.org/10.1038/nature12540 - https://www.nature.com/articles/nature12540
Summary - This is an extremely important paper with a startling conclusion of the magnitude of the social and economic impacts of the biodiversity disruption coming down the pipeline - It is likely that very few governments are prepared to adapt to these levels of ecosystemic disruption - Climate departure is defined as an index of the year when: - The projected mean climate of a given location moves to a state that is - continuously outside the bounds of historical variability - Climate departure is projected to happen regardless of how aggressive our climate mitigation pathway - The business-as-usual (BAU) scenario in the study is RCP85 and leads to a global climate departure mean of 2047 (+/- 14 years s.d.) while - The more aggressive RCP45 scenario (which we are currently far from) leads to a global climate departure mean of 2069 (+/- 18 years s.d.) - So regardless of how aggressive we mitigate, we cannot avoid climate departure. - What consequences will this have on economies around the world? How will we adapt? - The world is not prepared for the vast ecosystem changes, which will reshape our entire economy all around the globe.
question - 2024 - Sept 13 - how do we reconcile climate departure with quantification of earth system boundary biodiversity safe and just limit? - Annotating the Sept 11, 2024 published Earth Commission paper in Lancet, the question arises: - How do we reconcile climate departure dates with the earth system boundary quantification of safe limits for biodiversity? - There, it is claimed that: - 50 to 60 % of intact nature is required<br /> - https://hyp.is/Mt8ocnIEEe-C0dNSJFTjyQ/www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(24)00042-1/fulltext - a minimum of 20 to 25% of human modified ecosystems is required - https://hyp.is/AKwa4nIHEe-U1oNQDdFqlA/www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(24)00042-1/fulltext - in order to mitigate major species extinction and social disruption crisis - And yet, Mora et al.'s research and subsequent climate departure map shows climate departure is likely to take place everywhere on the globe, with - aggressive RCP decarbonization pathway only delaying climate departure from - Business-As-Usual RCP pathway - by a few decades at most - And this was a 2011 result. 13 years later in 2024, I expect climate departure dates have likely gotten worse and moved closer to the present
from - Gupta, Joyeeta et al.(2024). A just world on a safe planet: a Lancet Planetary Health–Earth Commission report on Earth-system boundaries, translations, and transformations. The Lancet Planetary Health, Volume 0, Issue 0 - https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thelancet.com%2Fjournals%2Flanplh%2Farticle%2FPIIS2542-5196(24)00042-1%2Ffulltext&group=world
to - climate departure map - of major cities of the world - 2013 - https://hyp.is/tV1UOFsKEe-HFQ-jL-6-cw/www.hawaii.edu/news/2013/10/09/study-in-nature-reveals-urgent-new-time-frame-for-climate-change/ - full research paper - researchgate
for - The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability - Camilo Mora et al. - 6th mass extinction - biodiversity loss - to - climate departure map - of major cities around the world - 2013
Summary - This is an extremely important paper with a startling conclusion of the magnitude of the social and economic impacts of the biodiversity disruption coming down the pipeline - It is likely that very few governments are prepared to adapt to these levels of ecosystemic disruption - Climate departure is defined as an index of the year when: - The projected mean climate of a given location moves to a state that is - continuously outside the bounds of historical variability - Climate departure is projected to happen regardless of how aggressive our climate mitigation pathway - The business-as-usual (BAU) scenario in the study is RCP85 and leads to a global climate departure mean of 2047 (+/- 14 years s.d.) while - The more aggressive RCP45 scenario (which we are currently far from) leads to a global climate departure mean of 2069 (+/- 18 years s.d.) - So regardless of how aggressive we mitigate, we cannot avoid climate departure. - What consequences will this have on economies around the world? How will we adapt? - The world is not prepared for the vast ecosystem changes, which will reshape our entire economy all around the globe.
from - Nature publication - https://hyp.is/3wZrokX9Ee-XrSvMGWEN2g/www.nature.com/articles/nature12540
to - climate departure map - of major cities around the globe - 2013 - https://hyp.is/tV1UOFsKEe-HFQ-jL-6-cw/www.hawaii.edu/news/2013/10/09/study-in-nature-reveals-urgent-new-time-frame-for-climate-change/
Map of Year of Climate Departure for World Cities
for - climate crisis - map of climate departure - world cities
Both biosphere boundaries
for - question - earth system boundaries - biodiversity - how do we reconcile these boundaries with climate departure?
question - earth system boundaries - biodiversity - how do we reconcile these boundaries with climate departure? - Does the term "functional integrity" imply autonomy from climate feedbacks? Obviously, climate feedback plays a huge role in determining biodiversity health - In 2013, Mora et al. found that climate departure, the year in which a climate variable moves out of the historical bounds will occur everywhere on the planet, regardless of an aggressive RCP pathway being taken. In this study, climate departure was found to take place (relative to 2013) - 37.5 years in the future under RCP45, or - 22.5 years in the future under RCP85 - It would seem that the biodiversity boundaries should take into consideration climate departure as species extinction and ecological system disruption is projected to occur, regardless of whether RCP45 or RCP85 is adopted. - Currently, we are still on a Business-As-Usual trajectory, but since 2013, scientific research has moved the danger threshold even lower so climate departure dates are likely even sooner than those calculated in the 2013 Mora paper
to - Mora, C., Frazier, A., Longman, R. et al. (2013). The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability. Nature 502, 183–187. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature12540 - https://hyp.is/3wZrokX9Ee-XrSvMGWEN2g/www.nature.com/articles/nature12540 - Researchgate copy - https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.researchgate.net%2Fpublication%2F257598710_The_projected_timing_of_climate_departure_from_recent_variability&group=world
I went gleaning for fruit to try and reduce my carbon footprint. Was it enough? by [[Caitlin Hernández]]
Im geleakten Entwurf für das Schlussdokument des bevorstehenden G20-Treffens zur Klimapolitik in Rio de Janeiro ist nicht vom.„transitioning away from fossil fuels” die Rede. Diese Formulierung galt als Durchbruch bei der COP28. Ihr Fehlen signalisiert einen Rückschritt. Ausdrücklich erwähnt werden statt des Verzichts auf fossile Energien „abatement and removal technologies“. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/sep/10/g20-countries-transition-away-fossil-fuel-pledge-cop28-climate
Die Fossilindustrie finanziert seit Jahrzehten Universitäten und fördert damit Publikationen in ihrem Interesse, z.B. zu false solutions wie #CCS. Hintergrundbericht anlässlich einer neuen Studie: https://www.theguardian.com/business/article/2024/sep/05/universities-fossil-fuel-funding-green-energy
Studie: https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.904
for -Deep Humanity BEing journey - climate departure
Der südkoreanische Verfassungsgerichtshof hat die Regierung des Landes dazu verurteilt ein Klimschutzgesetz vorzulegen, das auch für 2031-2049 verpflichtende Ziele für die Reduktion der Emissionen vorgibt. Andernfalls würden die verfassungsmäßigen Rechte der jüngeren Generation beeinträchtigt. Das Verfahren hatte 2020 mit einer Klage der Gruppe Youth 4 Climate Action begonnen. https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/aug/29/south-korea-court-climate-law-violates-rights-future-generations
for - food - climate change - Food for Climate League - Lisa Feldman - Food for Climate League - Project Drawdown interview
for - climate departure map - of major cities around the globe - 2013 - Camilo Mora et al. - from - climate departure paper
from - The projected timeline of climate departure from recent variability - https://hyp.is/0BdCglsHEe-2CteEQbOBfw/www.researchgate.net/publication/257598710_The_projected_timing_of_climate_departure_from_recent_variability
we've learned the hard way, actually, over the past 50 years, that we don't solve sustainability problems by only raising awareness. It's not enough. Yeah. You also need some some, some top down influence on what I call keystone actors to get key players in the economy or, key decision makers to move.
for - climate crisis - raising awareness alone - is not enough - need to also influence top down keystone actors
climate crisis - raising awareness alone - is not enough - need to also influence top down keystone actors - This is only part of the story, the other part is developing a coherent, unified, bottom up movement - While statistics show a majority of people of must countries now take climate change seriously, it's not translating into TIMELY and APPROPRIATE ACTION and BEHAVIOUR CHANGE - The common person is still captured by the pathological economic system - (S)he still prioritised increasingly more precarious survival over all other concerns, including environmental - Ths is because most survival activity is still intimately tied to ecological degradation - The common person is not sufficiently educated about the threat level. - And even if they were, there does not yet exist any process to unify these collective concerns to trigger the appropriate leverage point of bottom up collective action
there are other tipping points, like for example, lakes. that can flip over from, you know, oxygen rich, fish rich, clear water lakes into these murky, algal bloom dominated, anoxic states, dead states, based on nutrient loading and overfishing, and that is a Oh, not from climate or temperature. Not anything, no, has nothing to do with climate or temperature, it's just a, mismanagement,
for - other types of tipping points - not climate but human mismanagement of resources
Jeremy Grantham. He was on my podcast and as worried as he is about climate change and has been for a long time, he actually thinks that endocrine disrupting chemicals may be a bigger risk to human futures and other animals than climate, which is a pretty strong statement.
for - comparison of urgency - climate change vs endocrine disruptors - Jeremy Grantham
we are at an urgency point. I mean, we know we need to cut global emissions by half within the next five years, by 2030, and we're not near to that.
for - stats - climate crisis intervention - urgency - reduce emissions by 50% in 5 years!
the biodiversity and the intact forest systems in particular that are buffering this.
for - climate crisis - biodiversity responsible for buffering 30% of emissions
for - climate change impacts - marine life - citizen-science - potential project - climate departure - ocean heating impacts - marine life - marine migration - migrating species face collapse - migration to escape warming oceans - population collapse
main research findings - Study involved 146 species of temperate or subpolar fish and 2,572 time series - Extremely fast moving species (17km/year) showed large declines in population while - fish that did not shift showed negligible decline - Those on the northernmost edge experienced the largest declines - There is speculation that the fastest moving ones are the also the one's with the least evolutionary adaptations for new environments
for - Cities 1.5 podcast - guests - Xuemei Bai - earth system boundaries downscaled to cities - cross-scale translation of earth system boundaries
Inventories of species remain incomplete – mainly due to limited field sampling –to provide an accurate picture of the extent and distribution of all components ofbiodiversity (Purvis/Hector 2000, MEA 2003).
for - open source, citizen science biodiversity projects - validation - open source, citizen science climate departure project - validation
open source, citizen science biodiversity projects - validation - Inventories of species remain incomplete - mainly due to limited field sampling to provide an accurate picture of the extent and distribution of all components of biodiversity - Purvis/Hector 2000, MEA 2003
the 5Ds
for - Climate change psychology - Per Espen Stokes - the 5 Ds
Climate change psychology - Per Espen Stokes - the 5 Ds - Distance - far away in spatial distance and time - also consider hyperobjects - Timothy Morton - Doom - crying wolf makes us discredit the alarm message - second time we hear a doom message, 40% less salience - avoidance behavior - discredit climate activists - Dissonance - disconnect between belief and action - Denial - we can make lots of excuses - blame others - compare our footprint to others with much larger ones - temporary concern but quickly move on to other topics - iDentity - spend many years to build up my identity - factual inputs are compared to my identity's values - identity values usually trump facts when our identity is threatened
climate crisis intervention - Any psychology-based climate intervention needs to leverage a combination of the 5 Ds.
per Espen Stokes is the author of what we think about when we try not to think about global warming
for - book - What we think about when we try not to think about global warming - author - Per Espen Stokes - climate crisis - psychology of - Per Espen Stokes
for - climate change psychology - video - youtube - Al Jazeera - All Hall the Planet - Why our brains are wired to ignore the climate crisis - Per Espen Stokes - interview
summary - A good introduction to climate change psychology - Per Espen Stokes is interviewed and he discusses his 5 Ds
this propaganda plays on psychological structure and if you're able to fish into that you're able to exploit those irrational Tendencies
for - climate crisis propaganda - human psychology used to exploit irrational tendencies of people to delay climate action
the people who has the power need to act faster
for - climate crisis - who has the power? - poverty mentality - leverage points - social tipping points - climate crisis - feelings of helplessness
climate crisis - who has the power? - There is still this assumption that policy-makers are the ones who have the power - There isn't yet a recognition of whether there is power within individuals sufficient to make a real difference. - Trying and failing, we grow weary of believing that we do have power to collectively effect the scale of change required - Unless we demonstrate leverage points within individuals that can lead to effective scale of collective action, we cannot jumpstart an effective movement - poverty mentality can keep us stuck
for - climate crisis - psychology - wrong approach
summary - Climate scientist professor Mojib Latif explores why our best efforts at rapid intervention to deal with the climate crisis are failing - Near the end of the program, he interviews professor Henning Beck, a neuroscientist who suggests that human brains have evolved to be rewarded for securing more. - Dopamine is released when we get more and we have not designed our intervention strategies aligned with this basic property of our brains
The UN and its many parts and agencies – from UNICEF to the Universal Postal Union – answer not to humanity nor the world, but the nations that united to join it.
for - climate crisis - key insight - why UN cannot address the climate crisis
climate crisis - key insight - why UN cannot address the climate crisis - The UN responds to sovereign states, not to humanity nor to the planet
Energieminister Ed Miliband wird die britische Delegation bei der COP29 leiten. Anders als bei den letzten konservativen Vorgängerregierungen ist damit wieder eine Top-Level Figur federführend. Die neue Labor-Regierung möchte, dass Großbritannien wieder eine führende Rolle in der Klimapolitik übernimmt https://www.theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/jul/15/ed-miliband-lead-uk-negotiations-cop29-climate-summit
book come out last year called over the seaw wall his name is Steven Robert Miller
for - book - Over the Seawall - Steven Robert Miller
book - Over the Seawall - Steven Robert Miller - A book about PROGRESS TRAPS! - How climate adaptation measures can lead to progress traps, such as - lead to a sense of complacency and false security - leading to overdevelopment - leading to even more people vulnerable to climate and extreme weather events
the information about how bad things have been has not been meaningfully connected to the levers of power there just isn't there's this you know there's been no connection between those two worlds at all um they've sort 00:55:06 of been operating in parallel
for - climate crisis - disconnect between - levers of power - and information of what is happening
climate crisis - disconnect between - levers of power - and information of what is happening - there is an abundance of scientific information available to political leaders, yet - they are failing to make the necessary decisions - why?
Global industrialized world is doing today on the planet is that it's just so far out of equilibrium and so beyond um the Al operation of the 00:50:27 carbon cycle that it's just completely it's impossible that it will that it will persist um very far into the future
for - climate crisis - reflections - perspectives - human vs deep time
adjacency - between - climate crisis - different perspectives - human vs - deep time - adjacency relationship - Our global industrialized world is perturbing the carbon cycle so far out of equilibrium that the status quo civilization cannot persist very far into the future<br /> - the earth system has been through many such perturbations and it ALWAYS self corrects - Even the most extreme climate events earth has ever experienced are called transient because they are still relatively short in geological time - In the long term, the planet will restore equilibrium no matter how much extreme the perturbations human civilization creates in the next few centuries - In the long term, the earth is going to be fine - Homo sapien is just one of millions of species, most of which have gone extinct - We should NOT feel we are exceptional - We are comparing different timescales: - human lifetimes are measured in a hundred years - earth system time scales are measured in millions of years - even if there were another mass extinction event, on a geological time scale of tens of million years a new biosphere will regenerate and the ocean chemistry will be restored - Here we have an interesting intersectionality of different timescales. - paleontologists provide a deep time perspective - while we humans live in a timescale of no greater than 100 years - our bodies cannot directly sense change in deep time - therefore, any scientific information about deep time will need to go through our cognitive system - Our body is not evolutionarily designed to biologically respond to information on a deep-time timescale - It may be beneficial to help us see from a deep-time perspective to appreciate the geological-scale changes we are responsible for
I sort of take the easy way out and say well I know Earth history so maybe I'm 00:32:53 helping people by uh understanding the science of this stuff
for - educator - polycrisis - individual action - levers - climate and earth history specialists help with education
educator - earth climate history specialist can help with education about the past to help understand what we face in the present
climate education - low impact due to - ignoring perspectival knowing - and salience landscapes - It may help to look at the problem of education through the lens of Michael Levin's multi-scale competency architecture - https://hyp.is/FFxzRL2nEe6ghzeLcJGM7A/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10167196/ - Applied to cognitive and cultural evolution within the lifetime of a single individual (human) - The salience landscape of an individual can vary depending on their educational and cultural background - There are multiple categories of concepts, each with their own degree of salience: - immediate phenomenological experience - high salience - second hand, linguistically communicated experience - moderate and dependent on source - scientific reported phenomena - moderate, high or low, dependent on source and cultural / educational background - second hand, linguistically communicated experience - low, moderate or high, dependent on source and cultural / educational background - A key observation is that humans are evolved to detect specific environmental cue but miss many others - The rate of cultural evolution is so rapid that our biologically adapted processes cannot adapt quickly enough to the rapid cultural changes, resulting in the experience of "hyperobjects" - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=+hyperobject - education that is done haphazardly and in an adhoc manner will fail to discriminate between this large variety of salience landscape, with the overall impact of low educational impact
I keep the possibility that um things will look different in the next few decades that I vasate between optimism and pessimism because there's there's plenty of reasons for the latter 00:40:37 but I'm I'm trying to hold space for the the former
for - climate crisis - we are in a pivotal moment
there was a paper that came out a few years ago showing that five degrees at the pace we're doing would be 00:40:13 is like easily sufficient to reproduce some of these catastrophes in Earth history
for - climate crisis - 5 deg C could reproduce similar levels of catastrophes as those in early earth history
I don't think humans are going extinct anytime soon um but I do think 00:36:25 the global Industrial you know networked societies might be a lot more fragile
for - Climate change impacts - human extinction - don't think so - paleontological evidence shows that humans are a resilient species
Climate change impacts - human extinction - don't think so - paleontological evidence shows that humans are a resilient species - ice ages are really extreme events that humans have survived - Before entering the holocene interglacial period we have been in for the past 10,000 years, the exit from the previous Ice Age took approximately 10,000 years and - there was 400 feet of sea level rise - North America was covered with an Antarctica's equivalence of ice thickness - there was a quarter less vegetation a on the planet - it was dusty and miserable living conditions - There have been dozens of these natural climate oscillations over the past two and a half million years and humans are about 5 to 6 million years old, so have survived all of these - Sometimes in really particularly harsh climate swings,<br /> - speciations of new hominids will appear along with - new tools in the record or - evidence that there's been better control over fire - Humans are resilient and super adaptable - We've lived and adapted to the conditions on all the continents - We will make it through, but modern, industrialized, global society likely won't
Die Crisis Advisory Group begründet in einer Studie zu Carbon Credits, dass diese nur für die Entfernung von CO2 aus der Atmosphäre vergeben werden sollten, nicht für die Vermeidung von Emissionen. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/jun/26/voluntary-carbon-market-offsetting-industry-reforms-cccg-climate-crisis-advisory-group-aoe
We must therefore becareful to understand the phenomenonand its implications so that we do not toallow a panicked departure from growththat may result in unnecessary suffering orill-intentioned opportunists exploitingthe chaos
for - question - climate adaptation - resiliency - how do we prepare for potential collapse?
question - climate adaptation - how do we prepare for potential collapse? - How do we prepare? - preparation needs to take place at national, community and individual / family level - Resiliency will depend on how ill prepared we are at each of these levels - How do we prepare for: - high levels of suffering - ill-intentioned opportunists who are ready to exploit the chaos?
how can we farm with less rainfall but also with less water retentive soils
for - agriculture - climate change challenge - less rainwater and less water retentive soils
for - social tipping point - 2023 paper - paper details
paper details - title: The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority - author - Jordan Everall - Jonathan. F Donges - Ilona. M. Otto - Preprint date - 20 Nov 2023 - Publication - EGUsphere Preprint Repository
summary - This is a recent 2023 paper that summarizes social tipping point research for fields of interest to me, such as climate change. - I'm reading, looking for any real world experimental validation of social tipping point in climate change - I didn't find any but still interesting
from - search - google - research on complex contagion refutes the 25% social tipping point threshold - https://www.google.com/search?q=research+on+complex+contagion+refutes+the+25%25+social+tipping+point+threshold&oq=research+on+complex+contagion+refutes+the+25%25+social+tipping+point+threshold&gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUyBggAEEUYOTIGCAEQRRhA0gEJMjAyOTRqMGo3qAIAsAIA&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8 - search results returned of interest - The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to ... - https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2023/egusphere-2023-2241/
some ice ages broke up in a matter of decades or even a few years suddenly
for - progress trap - planetary tipping points - rapid climate destabilization
reference - Ice cores provide first documentation of rapid Antarctic ice loss in the past - https://phys.org/news/2024-02-ice-cores-documentation-rapid-antarctic.html
what was going through the mind of the person who cut down the last tree knew it was the last tree
for - comparison - Easter Island vs Climate deniers
comparison - Easter Island vs Climate deniers - When they cut down their last trees, the Easter Islanders could not even build canoes to transport themselves off the island - Climate deniers think the same way - justifying in whatever way they can the continuation of the current unsustainable system, until history will prove them too late
These two examples allude to a larger story — which is that a global convergence of change processes is driving us into an unavoidable culmination of planetary collapse.
indeed 😬
To address climate change, we need to change culture.
In einem neuen Bericht kommt die weltwetterorganisation WMO zu dem Ergebnis, dass eines der kommenden fünf Jahre mit 90% was Wahrscheinlichkeit heißer sein wird als das bisherige Rekordjahr 2023. Der vergangene Mai war der wärmste der messgeschichte und damit der 12 Monat in Folge, der alle bisherigen Vergleichsmonate übertraf. Das stellt der europäische Wetterdienst Kopernikus in seinem Bücher für den vergangenen Monat fest. https://www.derstandard.de/story/3000000222642/treibhausgase-aus-der-atmosphaere-saugen-wo-wir-bei-der-co2-entnahme-stehen
Die globale Erhitzung zwingt Baumarten in den nördlichen Wäldern dazu, neue Habitate aufzusuchen, deren Böden oft weniger nährstoffreich sind. Ein Hauptgrund dafür, den eine neue Studie untersucht, sind die Bedürfnisse von Pilzen, mit denen diese Bäume in Symbiose leben.
Die globale Durchschnittstemperatur hat sich von 2014 bis 2023 um 0,26 Grad erhöht, das ist deutlich mehr als in den zehn Jahren davor. Die Beschleunigung der Erderhitzung erschwert das Erreichen des 1,5 Grad Ziels zusätzlich. Die neuen Daten wurden in einer Studie anlässlich der Klima-Zwischen-Konferenz in Bonn publiziert. https://www.liberation.fr/environnement/climat/le-rechauffement-climatique-engendre-par-lhumanite-a-un-rythme-sans-precedent-avertit-une-etude-scientifique-20240605_UP2TYIV67RC6VA4XMKHF45KZ5I/
A module on “Good Quality Travel Sites” would lead reasonable readers to conclude that a whitelist exists for Google in the travel sector (unclear if this is exclusively for Google’s “Travel” search tab, or web search more broadly). References in several places to flags for “isCovidLocalAuthority” and “isElectionAuthority” further suggests that Google is whitelisting particular domains that are appropriate to show for highly controversial of potentially problematic queries.
We know they whitelist electrion sites. Would they do this with climate science
Donald Trump hat 20 Spitzenmanagern der amerikanischen Ölindustrie angeboten, für Wahlkampfspenden in Höhe von einer Milliarde Dollar alle Regulierungen der Biden-Administration, die die Förderung von Öl und Gas behindern, zu Beginn seiner Amtszeit außer Kraft zu setzen. Die Washington Post berichtet über das Treffen in Mar-a-Lago. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/may/09/trump-oil-ceo-donation
Bericht der Washington Post: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/05/09/trump-oil-industry-campaign-money/l
Britische Analyse des green Deal der bisher die erwünschten Ergebnisse nicht gebracht hat. Die EU verfolgt eine marktwirtschaftliche Linie und kann damit nicht mit den USA und China, die protektionistisch agieren, konkurrieren. Zum Erreichen der Klimaziele werden laut EU-Kommission bis 2030 zusätzlich 620 Milliarden Euro an Investitionen erforderlich, das sind 3,7% der Wirtschaftsleistung der EU. https://taz.de/Kompetent-versenkt/!6012533/
Vor dem vierten Treffen der Small Island Developing States hat der Chef der UN-Organisation für Infrastrukturentwicklung Unops dafür plädiert die Schuldensituation dieser Länder zu verändern. Sie haben überproportional sowohl unter Corona wie unter den Folgen der globalen Erhitzung gelitten. Zwischen 2016 und 2020 haben sie 18mal so viel für denSchuldendienst bezahlt als sie an Klimafinanzierung erhalten haben. https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/article/2024/may/27/world-has-moral-responsibility-to-help-small-island-states-survive-climate-crisis-un-agency-chief
Ein neuer Bericht von Bloomberg kommt zu dem Ergebnis, dass die Kosten für das Erreichen von der Zero 2050 deutlich höher sind als bisher angenommen. Wenn man nicht nur heute schon wettbewerbsfähige Technologien verwendet, müssen 19% zusätzlich investiert werden. Insgesamt würde die erforderliche Infrastruktur 215 Billionen Dollar Investitionen erfordern. Verlässt man sich auf wettbewerbsfähige Energien, wird die globale Durchschnittstemperatur sich auf etwa 2,6 Grad erhöhen, wobei auch dieses Szenario mehr Anstrengung erfordert, als von den Staaten jetzt geplant ist. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-21/key-takeaways-from-bloombergnef-s-new-energy-outlook?srnd=green
Emissions for BNEF's Net Zero Scenario vs. Economic Transition Scenario
Für das Net Zero Szenario muss Bloomberg zufolge ab 2034 jedes verkaufte Auto ein Elektroauto sein. Für CCS Technologien sind 6,8 Billionen Dollar Investition nötig. In den Netzausbau und in erneuerbare Energien müssen jährlich ein jeweils eine Billion Dollar investiert werden..
Governments and companies need to spend an extra $34 trillion on the clean energy transition between now and 2050 to reach net-zero emissions, according to BloombergNEF.
Die Kosten der Energiewende liegen deutlich höher als bisher angenommen.
Die deutschen Unionsparteien starten in der letzten Phase des Europa-Wahlkamps eine Kampagne gegen das sogenannte Verbrennerverbot. Dazu gehören auch Online-Abstimmungen von Mitgliedern und Bürger:innen über diese Maßnahme – (wobei zu Beginn der Online-Abstimmung wesentlich mehr Menschen für das Verbrenner-Aus stimmten als dagegen). https://taz.de/CDU/CSU-Kampagne-gegen-Verbrenner-Aus/!6012634/
Der Bezos Earth Fund wird bis zum Ende des Jahrzehnts 10 Milliarden Dollar für den Kampf gegen die Klima und die Biodiversitätskrise zur Verfügung stellen. Die Mittel des Fonds geben ihm enormen Einfluss. Viele in der NGOs Szene sehen die Politik des Fonds als Gefährdung für die Unabhängigkeit der von ihm geförderten Organisationen. Der Guardian berichtet anlässlich einer Preisverleihung kritisch vor allem über das Engagement des Fonds für CO2 Kompensationen. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/may/20/jeff-bezos-earth-fund-carbon-offsets-climate-sector-uneasy-aoe
for - climate change solutions - food system - zero waste restaurants
The Guardian: Donald Trump hat Big-Oil Managern angeboten, klimapolitische Maßnahmen der Biden-Administration rückgängig zu machen, wenn sie seinen Wahlkampf mit einer Milliarde Dollar unterstützen. Einer Studie des Guardian zufolge können die Ölkonzerne von Trump vor allem 110 Milliaren Dollar Subventionen (u.a. Steuererleichterungen für neue fossile Projekte) erwarten, die die Biden-Regierung abschaffen will. Hintergrundartikel zu Lobbyisten im US-Ölgeschäft und aktuellen Konflikten<br /> https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/may/16/donald-trump-big-oil-executives-alleged-deal-explainedlog
temperature can be a major factor in determining the proportion of males and females within a population
for - question - impact of climate change on male and female population distribution of the biosphere
question - impact of climate change on male and female population distribution of the biosphere - How will climate change affect the proportion of males and females of the many species that are and will be impacted by dramatic temperature changes?
Das globale Durchschnittseinkommen wird bei der jetzt zu erwartenden globalen Erhitzung 2050 fast um ein Fünttel niedriger sein als ohne Erhitzung. Die (nicht mehr zu vermeidenden) Einbußen durch die Erhitzung bis 2050 sind sechsmal so hoch wie die einer Begrenzung des Temperaturanstiegs auf 2°. 2050 ist einer neuen Studie zufolge mit Klimaschäden von etwa 38 Bllionen Dollar zu rechnen. Bis 2100 wird es in einem Business-as-usual-Szenario zu Einkommensverlusten von mehr als 60% kommen. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/apr/17/climate-crisis-average-world-incomes-to-drop-by-nearly-a-fifth-by-2050
The Guardian: Die Parteien, die die neue niederländische Rechtsregierung unterstützen, haben sich auf ein Arbeitsprogramm geeinigt. Wichtige klimapolitische Maßnahmen werden zurückgenommen. So soll die Höchstgeschwindigkeit auf Autobahnen wieder 130 km/h betragen; Agrardiesel wird wieder subventioniert. Bei der Installation von Wärmepumpen verzichtet man auf Zielwerte. Es sollen 4 Atomkraftwerke gebaut werden. Was die Regierung durchsetzen kann, ist noch unklar. https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/may/16/new-dutch-coalition-aims-to-reintroduce-80mph-limit-in-cull-of-climate-goals
the most impactful individual climate actions based on who YOU are
for - climate crisis - individual actions - Project Drawdown
BP hat seine Ziele bei der Reduktion der Öl- und Gasförderung deutlich reduziert. 2030 will man 23-30% weniger produzieren als jetzt, statt wie in älteren Plänen 35-40%. Greenpeace führt die Kursänderung auf den Druck von Investoren und Regierungen zurück. https://www.bbc.com/news/business-64544110
Der französische Staat hat seit 2010 jährlich durchschnittlich 190 Milliarden Subventionen an Unternehmen gezahlt, zu einem großen Teil für klimaschädliche Vorhaben. Gleichzeitig wurden die Leistungen für BürgerInnen, die den größten Teil des Steueraufkommens bestreiten, in Frage gestellt. Interview mit der Ökonomin Anne-Laure Delatte, die ein Buch über das wirtschaftsfreundliche Agieren des französischen Staates in den letzten Jahrzehnten verfasst hat. https://www.liberation.fr/idees-et-debats/anne-laure-delatte-les-impots-des-francais-financent-des-activites-hautement-polluantes-20230527_I6HHV5XSUZCRDAWVVBK2BEE2TI/
Die großen US-Investmentgesellschaften BlackRock, JPMorgan Chase und State Street haben sich zu großen Teilen aus der Koalition Climate Action 100+ zurückgezogen, in der sich Unternehmen zur Dekarbonisierung verpflichten. Damit werden dieser Koalition 14 Billionen (14.000 Millionen) Dollar entzogen. Republikanische Politiker:innen versuchen schon länger zu verhindern, dass Investionen an Dekarbonisierungszusagen gebunden werden. Die Investment-Gesellschaften argumentieren jetzt, dass Climate Action 100+ nicht nur eine Offenlegung fossiler Investionen, sondern eine Steuerung verlangt habe. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/16/business/dealbook/wall-streets-climate-retreat.html
Climate damages are "6X LARGER than previously thought"
for - post comment - Linked In - climate damages - climate denial
Eine neue, grundlegende Studie zu Klima-Reparationen ergibt, dass die größten Fosssilkonzerne jählich mindestens 209 Milliarden Dollar als Reparationen an von ihnen besonders geschädigte Communities zahlen müssen. Dabei sind Schäden wie der Verlust von Menschenleben und Zerstörung der Biodiversität nicht einberechnet. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/may/19/fossil-fuel-firms-owe-climate-reparations-of-209bn-a-year-says-study
Studie: Time to pay the piper: Fossil fuel companies’ reparations for climate damages https://www.cell.com/one-earth/fulltext/S2590-3322(23)00198-7
Für eine neue Studie wurden die Klagen gegen climate washing, also gegen falsche Angaben von Unternehmen und Organisationen über die von ihnen verursachten Emissionen, erfasst. Global haben diese Prozesse in den letzten Jahren enorm zugenommen, wobei die Zahl der Prozesse etwa zum Ende der Amtszeit von Donald Trump in den USA am schnellsten wuchs. Die Verurteilungen, zu denen es bereits gekommen ist, führen aufgrund der mit ihnen verbundenen Kosten zu Veränderungen bei den Unternehmen.
Zum Hintergrund des Rückzugs großer Investoren der Wall Street aus dem Netzwerk Climate Action 100+. Der Rückzug ist vor allem das Ergebnis zunehmenden Drucks aus der Republikanischen Partei. Er hängt auch damit zusammen, dass Climate Action 100+ in einer Phase 2 von seinen MItgliedern nicht nur Informationen über die Klimafolgen von Investitionen verlangte, sondern Aktionen gegen fossile Emissionen. Dem Journalisten David Gelles zufolge werden die Wall Street-Firmen ihre bisherige, auf Redukton von Emissionen ausgerichtete Linie aber nicht völlig aufgeben. Weitgehend ist und bleibt diese Firmenpolitik aber kosmetisch. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/20/climate/wall-street-environmental-pledge-retreat.html
Der bisherige Präsident der G77 Gruppe, Pedro Pedroso, fordert von den Industrieländern sich endlich an den Pariser Zielen zu orientieren. Neben Verzicht auf die geplante fossile Expansion ist dazu Finanzierung erneuerbarer Energien in globalen Süden nötig. Der zusammenfassende Guardian-Artikel enthält Infografiken zu der geplanten Steigerung von Öl- und Gasproduktion sowie LNG-Exporten der USA. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/jan/19/cop28-fossil-fuels-climate-deal-pedro-pedroso-us-uk-canada-pollution
Der kommissarische Vorsitzende des britischen Climate Change Commitee hat Finanzminister Jeremy Hunt öffentlich widersprochen. Die britische Regierung erteilt weitere Lizenzen für die Ausbeutung von Öl und Gasfeldern in der Nordsee. Hunt hatte faktenwidrig behauptet, das sei mit dem britischen Klimazielen vereinbar, und sich dabei auch auf das Climate Change Commitee berufen. Der frühere konservative Minister Chris Skidmore hat wegen der Öl- und Gaslizenzen sein Parlamentsmandat zurücklegt https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/jan/07/hunts-net-zero-target-claims-criticised-by-climate-advisors
Die Vereinigten Arabischen Emirate planen enorme.Erweiterungen ihrer Öl- und Gasproduktion, übertroffen nur von Saudi-Arabien und Qatar. Der Chef der verantwortlichen Staatsfirma #Adnoc, die auch an der #OMV beteiligt ist, wird im Herbst die #COP28 leiten. Ausführlicher Artikel im Guardian, gestützt auf bisher nicht publizierte Daten von #Urgewald.
Asset Manager großer Investment Fonds, darunter BlackRock, benutzen sogenannte Öko-Fonds mit ESG-Siegel für massive Investitionen in fossile Unternehmen. https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/may/02/green-investment-funds-pushing-money-into-fossil-fuel-firms-research-finds
Untersuchungen zeigen, dass die COP28 mit dem Emissions Peak für Treibhausgase zusammenfallen könnte. Um das 1,5°-Ziel zu erreichen, müssten allerdings die Emissionen bis 2030 um die Hälfte sinken. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/ng-interactive/2023/nov/29/cop28-what-could-climate-conference-achieve
Gut recherchierter Überblicksartikel zur zunehmenden Ausbeutung von Erdgas im Senegal und Ländern. https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/01/31/senegal-natural-gas-climate-change/
Vorschau der New York Times auf die wichtigsten Klimathemen 2024. Erwartet werden viele Extremwetterereignisse duch die Kombination von weiterer Erhitzung durch Treibhausgase mit dem aktuellen El Niño. Zu den wichtigen Themen gehören die Präsidentschaftswahlen, weitere fossile Expansion in den USA und weltweit, darunter die LNG-Expansion, das Wachstum der Erneuerbaren, globale Finanzreformen, Klimaprozesse und Klima-Aktivismus. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/02/climate/the-big-climate-stories-in-2024.html
Der Artikel im Guardian stellt eine neue Studie dar, aus der hervorgeht, wie viel von der bereits existierenden Infrastruktur zur Förderung fossiler Brennstoff stillgelegt werden muss, um das 1,5° Ziel zu erreichen. Dabei geht die Autoren davon aus, dass man CO2 nicht realistisch wieder aus der Atmosphäre entfernen kann, und dass das 1,5° Ziel also nur zu erreichen ist, wenn nicht zu viel emittiert wird. Diese Studie fordert das Gegenteil der Planungen der fossilen Industrien, über der über die der Guardian gerade berichtet hatte. Der Artikel ist auch bemerkenswert, weil er auf eine Reihe weiterer wichtiger Studien zu fossilen Lagerstätten verweist.
In Afrika ist Gasinfrastruktur für 245 Milliarden Dollar geplant Vanessa Nakate ruft die westlichen Staaten auf, Afrika bei der Entwicklung erneuerbarer Energien zu unterstützen, statt Erdgasvorräte zu erschließen, Abhängigkeit und Verschmutzung zu steigern und die Klimakrise noch weiter zu verschärfen. Nakate argumentiert auch damit, dass nach dem neuesten IEA Report bereits 2025 ein Erdgasüberschuss herrschen wird. Nur 2% der Investitionen in Erneuerbare gehen im Augenblick nach Afrika https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/oct/27/rich-countries-fossil-fuels-africa-renewables-gas-climate
Die rohölproduktion in den USA wird in diesem Jahr ein Rekord-Hoch erreichen Etwa 25% der US-Emissionen werden durch Öl und Gas verursacht, das auf Bundesterritorien gefördert wird. Die New York Times zeigt ausgehend von einem Beispiel im Golf von Mexiko, warum es angesichts der Mehrheitsverhältnisse in Repräsentantenhaus und Senat und des konservativen obersten Gerichtshofs für die für die Biden-Administration extrem schwierig ist, die Zusage, dort keine weiteren Bohrungen zuzulassen, umzusetzen.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/28/climate/biden-drilling-leases.html
Die Pläne der Kohle-, Öl- und gasproduzierenden Staaten zur Ausweitung der Förderung würden 2030 zu 460% mehr Kohle, 83% mehr Gas und 29% mehr Ölproduktion führen, als mit dem Pariser Abkommen vereinbar ist. Der aktuelle Production Gap Report der Vereinten Nationen konzentriert sich auf die 20 stärksten Verschmutzer-Staaten, deren Pläne fast durchgängig in radikalem Widerspruch zum Pariser Abkommen stehen. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/08/insanity-petrostates-planning-huge-expansion-of-fossil-fuels-says-un-report
Report: https://productiongap.org/
THE ADMINISTRATION ALSO HAS BEEN PRETTY QUIET ABOUT THAT FACT. THEY ARE NOT EAGER TO TELL THAT. THEY ARE VERY WORRIED THAT ENVIRONMENTAL GROUPS
for - oil industry lobby - adjacency - wicked problem - climate crisis - fossil fuel lobby - 2024 US elections - citizen power
adjacency - between - wicked problem - climate crisis - energy industry lobby - 2024 US elections - adjacency relationship - US fossil fuel companies are making record profits under the Biden administration - The Biden administration is not bragging about this because it will hurt their re-election efforts with young people - The government is still under the power of the fossil fuel lobby - Michael Mann states that Trump 2024 win would spell disaster for the earth's climate system - It is clear however that this is a situation of the lesser of two evils - The Fossil fuel lobby has still hamstrung the Biden administration's efforts, introducing dangerous delay - The majority of citizens face the challenge that they are kept in precarity to the existing system - so are afraid to rock the boat - This is a wicked problem - A Biden 2024 win is a necessary but NOT a sufficient condition for avoiding planetary tipping points - What is needed is true citizen power, direct citizen action, not just voting
80 % der Lead- und Review-Autore:innen der letzten IPCC-Berichte, die eine Guardianumfrage beantworteten, erwarten, dass die globale Durchschnittstemperatur bis 2100 um 2,5 oder mehr Grad steigt, etwa 50% rechnen mit mindestens 3°. Die Zahl der jüngeren und weiblichen Wissenschaftleri:nnen, die erwarten, dass die Temperaturen um 3° und mehr ansteigen, ist deutlich höher als bei den über 50-Jährigen und männlichen Befragen. Knapp die Hälfte der vom Guardian angesprochenen über 800 Autor:innen hat geantwortet. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/may/08/world-scientists-climate-failure-survey-global-temperature
for - climate crisis - voting - citizen action
James Gien Wong The environmental voter project is a brilliant initiative encouraging already registered voters to get out and vote
for - voting - climate crisis - citizen action - Environmental Voter Project
to - Environmental Voter Project - voter action on climate crisis - https://hyp.is/AXsq4g47Ee-GbAc3PtbGuA/www.outrageandoptimism.org/episodes/moments-of-truth
for - communities and individuals - liberalism
from - .book - liberalism and the challenge of climate change - https://hyp.is/NDACig4VEe-ci1Oome4_kw/bafybeibgduwvv4dya4nwez5bcy24z5ya27oisiixpioafnxjjx56jgkv4m.ipfs.localhost:8080/
journal article details - title - Communities and the individual: Beyond the liberal-communitarian divide - date - May 11, 2021 - authors - Volker Kaul
this is whitehead's fallacy of misplaced concreteness
for - key insight - Whitehead's fallacy of misplaced concreteness - adjacency - fallacy of misplaced concreteness - climate denialism - mistrust in science - polycrisis - Deep Humanity
key insight - Whitehead's fallacy of misplaced concreteness - This helps explain the rising rejection of science from the masses. I didn't realize there was already a name for the phenomena responsible for the emergence of collective denialist behavior
adjacency - between - fallacy of misplaced concreteness - increasing collective rejection of science in the polycrisis - adjacency statement - Whitehead's fallacy of misplaced concreteness exactly names and describes - the growing trend of a populus rejection of climate science (climate denialism), COVID vaccine denialism, exponential growth of conspiracy theory and misinformation - because of the inability for non-elites and elites alike to concretize abstractions the same way that elite scientists and policy-makers do - Research papers have shown that the knowledge deficit model which was relied upon for decades was not accurate representation of climate denialism - Yet, I would hold that Whitehead's fallacy of misplaced concretism plays a role here - This mistrust in science is rooted in this fallacy as well as progress traps - Deep Humanity is quite steeped in Whitehead's process relational ontology and the fallacy of misplaced concreteness requires mass education for a sustainable transition - This abstract concreteness is everywhere: - Shift from Ptolemy's geocentric worldview to the Copernican heliocentric worldview - Now we are told that the sun is not fixed, but is itself rotating around the Milky Way with billions of other galaxies - scientific techniques like radiocarbon dating for dating objects in deep time - climate science - atomic physics - quantum physics - distrust of vaccines, which we cannot see - Timothy Morton's hyperobjects is related to this fallacy of misplaced concreteness. - "Seeing is believing" but we cannot directly experience the ultra large or ultra small. So we have scientific language that draws parallels to that, but it is not a direct experience. - - Those not steeped in years or decades of science have the very real option of feeling that the concepts are fallacies and don't hold as much weight as that which they can experience directly, even though those concepts have obviously produced artefacts that they use, like cellphones, the internet and airplanes.
for - climate crisis - consumption
George Monbiot zur Entscheidung Sunaks, die Öl- und Gasproduktion in der Nordsee zu maximieren. Er spricht vom pollution paradox: Die Firmen, die dem Planeten am meisten schaden, haben die triftigsten Gründe, in Politik und Desinformation zu investieren. Indiz für Desinformation sei der Rückgriff auf CCS. Die Konservativen erhalten große Spenden von der Fossilindustrie. Sunak hat verschuldet, dass der CO<sub>2</sub>-Preis in Uk nur noch halb so hoch ist wie in der EU. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/aug/01/rishi-sunak-north-sea-planet-climate-crisis-plutocrats
Der Chefredakteur der Repubblica, Maurizio Molinari, setzt auf lösungsorientierten Klimajournalismus. Artikel zu Klimathemen, die Lösungen beschreiben, würden auch von Jüngeren gelesen. Bericht über eine Diskussion zum Klimajournalismus in Mailand. https://milano.repubblica.it/cronaca/2023/11/18/news/rapporto_tra_scienza_e_giornalismo_molinari_le_soluzioni_sono_il_futuro_dell_informazione_sul_cambiamento_climatico-420686220/
Der Finanzausschuss des amerikanischen Senats hat über einen Bericht zur Klima-Desinformation durch die Öl- und Gasbranche debattiert. Der Bericht führt detailliert auf, wie die Öffentlichkeit über Jahrzehnte manipuliert wurde. Inzwischen hätten „Täuschung, Desinformation und Doppelzüngigkeit“ die Klimaleugnung abgelöst. In der Debatte verwendeten republikanische Senatoren die traditionelle Rhetorik der Klimaleugnung. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/may/01/big-oil-danger-disinformation-fossil-fuels
Bericht; https://www.budget.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/fossil_fuel_report1.pdf
Amy Westervelt und Kyle Pope fassen kurz und treffend die wichtigsten Desinformationstaktiken der Fossilindustrie zusammen: - Fossilindustrie als Garantin der Energiesicherheit - Gegensatz von Wirtschaft und Umwelt - Verbraucher:innen brauchen fossile Energien für ihren Lebensstandard - Fossilindustrien sind Teil der Lösung, nicht des Problems - Fossilindustrien als Wohltäterinnen und Sponsorinnen.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/apr/14/climate-disinformation-explainer
Verantwortliche der großen amerikanischen Ölfirmen haben auch nach 2015 privat zugegeben, dass sie die Gefahren fossiler Brennstoffe heruntergespielt haben. Sie haben internationale Pläne gegen die globale Erhitzung nach außen hin unterstützt und nach innen kommuniziert, dass ihre Firmenpolitik diesen Plänen widerspricht. Und sie haben gegen politische Maßnahmen lobbyiert, hinter die sie sich offiziell gestellt haben. Das alles ergibt sich aus dem neuen Bericht des amerikanischen Kongresses über die Desinformations-Politik von Big Oil. Ausführlicher Bericht mit Informationen über mögliche juristische Konsequenzen. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/apr/30/big-oil-climate-crisis-us-senate-report
Bei den Petersberger Klimagesprächen 2024 hat Aserbaidschans Diktator Alijev auf dem Recht der Petrostaaten bestanden, weitere fossile Lagerstätten auszubeuten. Der deutsche Bundeskanzler Scholz hat sich nicht eindeutig zu neuen Instrumenten der Klimafinanzierung für den globalen Süden geäußert. Außenministerin Baerbock setzt auf internationale Partnerschaften bei den nationalen Klimaplänen, so dass die Klimafinanzierung verbindlicher geregelt wird. https://taz.de/Petersberger-Klimadialog/!6007095/
Der europäische Klimaservice Copernicus und die Weltwetterorganisation WMO weisen in einem gemeinsamen Bericht darauf hin, dass die Zahl der Hitzetoten in Europa in 20 Jahren um 30% gestiegen ist. Der Bericht stellt 2023 detailliert als Jahr der Hitzerekorde da. https://taz.de/Folgen-der-Klimakrise/!6005690/
Die G7 Staaten haben sich beim Treffen ihrer Energieminister in Turin darauf geeinigt, ab 2035 keinen Strom mehr aus Kohlekraftwerken zu produzieren – es sei denn, es werde Carbon Capture and Storage verwendet. Länder, die auf Kohlestrom angewiesen seien, werden nicht zum Verzicht auf Kohle aufgefordert. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/apr/30/g7-agree-to-end-use-of-unabated-coal-power-plants-by-2035
In den Ländern, die sich in Paris 2015 einer Initiative gegen das Verbrennen von nicht genutztem Erdgas (flaring) angeschlossen hatten, wird das Verbrennen mit offener Flamme oft nur durch Verbrennung in geschlossenen Anlagen ersetzt, wie eine investigative journalistische Recherche ergab. Die Menge der Emissionen sinkt dadurch nicht wesentlich, aber diese Anlagen sind für Satelliten nicht äußerlich erkennbar. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/may/02/methane-emissions-gas-flaring-hidden-satellite-monitors-oil-gas
Ressourcen für die Recherche zu Methan-Emissionen: https://gijn.org/resource/new-tools-investigate-methane-emissions/
Eine Gruppe von NGOs hat ein Konzept für eine Klimaschaden-Steuer ausgearbeitet, zu der Öl- und Gasgesellschaften ausgehend vom von ihnen verursachten CO2-Ausstoß herangezogen würden. Würde die Steuer in den OECD-Ländern mit 5$ pro Kilotonne CO2 beginnen und sich jährlich um weitere 5$ erhöhen, stünden 2030 jährlich 900 Milliarden $ vor allem für den Loss and Damage Fund zur Verfügung, der bei der COP28 beschlossen wurde.
Bericht: https://www.greenpeace.fr/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/CDT_guide_2024_embargoed_version.pdf
Pakistan hat bei einer Geberkonferenz Zusagen über ca. 9 Milliarden USD für den Wiederaufbau nach den Überflutungen des letzten Jahres erhalten. Der pakistanische Premierminister wies darauf hin, dass das internationale Finanzsystem katastrophal schlecht auf Loss and Damage durch die Klimakrise ausgerichtet ist
Das Highjacking des UN-Klimaprozesses durch die Fossilindustrien betreiben die Vereinigten Arabischen Emirate in sehr konkreter Weise. Kurz vor der COP28 wurden Notizen zur Vorbereitung von Gesprächen der Emirate mit 27 Staaten bekannt: Bei Klimatreffen sollten gemeinsame Projekte mit der Adnoc zur Öl- und Gasförderung und mit Masdar im Bereich der Erneuerbaren angesprochen werden sollten. Adnoc und Masdar werden von Sultan Al Jaber geleitet, dem Präsidenten der COP28 https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/27/cop28-host-uae-planned-promote-oil-deals-climate-talks
Seit dem 7. März 2022 – seit genau einem Jahr – werden an über der Oberfläche des Nordatlantik Rekordtemperaturen gemessen, seit dem 14. März über den Weltmeeren insgesamt. Auch der Standard-Artikel geht auf verschiedene Erklärungsversuche (u.a. weniger Schiffsemissionen, El Niño, Vulkanausbruch) ein, die aber nicht ausreichen, um das Ausmaß der Anomalie zu verstehen. Der Meeresspiegel steigt derzeit auch wegen der Ausdehnung durch Erwärmung um 5 cm pro Jahrzehnt. https://www.derstandard.at/story/3000000210458/weltmeere-verzeichnen-au223ergew246hnliche-w228rmerekorde
Chart bei Climate Reananalyzer: https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_monthly/
Der Bericht des Copernikus Climate Change Service über 2023 ist lact Direktor Carlo Buontempo "ein dramatisches Zeugnis dafür, wie weit weil wir uns von dem Klima entfernt haben, in dem sich die menschliche Zivilisation entwickelt hat". Viele Kimaforschende waren davon überrascht, wie deutlich die Temperaturrekorde des Jahres 2023 über denen der vorangegangenen Jahre lagen.Auch Zahl und Ausmaß von Extremwetterereignissen übertrafen die Erwartungen. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/jan/09/2023-record-world-hottest-climate-fossil-fuel
Mehr zu den Copernicus-Daten für 2023: https://hypothes.is/search?q=tag%3A%22Global%20Climate%20Highlights%202023%22
Das Europäische Klima-Bebachtungsprogramm Copernicus hat die wichtigsten Daten zum Jahr 2023 zusammengefasst. Im heissesten Jahr seit Beginn der Aufzeichnungen war es im Durchschnitt 1,48° wärmer als in der vorindustriellen Zeit. Jeder einzelne Tag war mindestens 1° wärmer. Eine Vielzahl von Extremwetterereignissen sind auf die Rekordtemperaturen zurückzuführen. https://www.derstandard.at/story/3000000202321/2023-war-es-waermer-als-in-den-vergangenen-100000-jahren
Eine extreme Hitzewelle hat in der Sahelzone Hunderte, wahrscheinlich Tausende Menschenleben gefordert. World Weather Attribution zufolge ist die Höhe der Temperaturen eindeutig auf die globale Erhitzung durch Treibhausgase zurückzuführen. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/apr/18/lethal-heatwave-in-sahel-worsened-by-fossil-fuel-burning-study-finds
for - Extinction Rebellion - Vancouver - Extinction Rebellion - change of strategy - climate crisis - protests - Extinction Rebellion - moving away from public disruption - Unify Regional Extinction Rebellion
potential collaboration - opportunity - partnership - there is an opportunity to collaborate with them - as they enter this new phase of their work
Vaughn says the temperatures along with carbon dioxide levels have naturally fluctuated over earth's history inside lasting between 144,000 years. Well, over the last million years, co two in the atmosphere has never really gone despite its ups and downs never gone above maybe 280 parts per million. Until now. As of January 2024 the amount of heat trapping carbon dioxide is a whopping 422 parts per million. We've had a wonderful party with fossil fuels for a couple of centuries. We've, we have changed the world at a cost that's now only becoming evident.
Each ice core is kind of unique and shows you a different climatic window. Vaughn uses water isotopes to determine what the temperature was when each layer of ice was formed. Isotopes are molecules that have the same number of protons and electrons, but a different number of neutrons affecting their mass. For example, water h2o has oxygen that has either a molecular rate of 16 or 18. And so it's a heavy and light water precipitation that falls in warmer temperature tends to be heavier water. He says, but in colder air like at the poles, the snow that falls is generally lighter water by looking at these ratios of ice tops in ice cores. We were able to infer the temperature from when it fell. As snow.
for - Vaclav Smil - Smil - adjacency - Smil - climate activism
[[Marisa Kabas]] in The Handbasket - Here's the column Meta doesn't want you to see
ᔥ[[Ben Werdmuller]] in Mastodon @ben@werd.social on Apr 06, 2024, 10:45 AM
On Thursday I reported that Meta had blocked all links to the Kansas Reflector from approximately 8am to 4pm, citing cybersecurity concerns after the nonprofit published a column critical of Facebook’s climate change ad policy. By late afternoon, all links were once again able to be posted on Facebook, Threads and Instagram–except for the critical column." Here it is. #Media<br /> https://www.thehandbasket.co/p/kansas-reflector-meta-facebook-column-censored
Here's the column Meta doesn't want you to see by [[Marisa Kabas]]
repost with comment of:<br /> When Facebook fails, local media matters even more for our planet’s future By [[Dave Kendall]]
Katherine Hayhoe, author of “Saving Us: A Climate Scientist’s Case for Hope and Healing in a Divided World,” serves as Chief Scientist for the Nature Conservancy and is a distinguished professor at Texas Tech. You might expect that she would be considered a legitimate authority on the subject. p span[style*="font-size"] { line-height: 1.6; } But in the Meta-verse, where it seems virtually impossible to connect with a human being associated with the administration of the platform, rules are rules, and it appears they would prefer to suppress anything that might prove problematic for them. p span[style*="font-size"] { line-height: 1.6; } Hayhoe expressed her personal frustration in a recent post on Facebook. p span[style*="font-size"] { line-height: 1.6; } “Since August 2018, Facebook has limited the visibility of my page,” she writes, “labelling it as ‘political’ because I talk about climate change and clean energy. This change drastically reduced my post views from hundreds to just tens, and the page’s growth has been stagnant ever since.” p span[style*="font-size"] { line-height: 1.6; } The implications of such policies for our democracy are alarming. Why should corporate entities be able to dictate what type of speech or content is acceptable?
With permission from the Kansas Reflector, I’m sharing the column verbatim here in an attempt to sidestep Meta’s censorship. I hope you’ll share it far and wide—and I really hope Meta doesn’t block this version.
Meta (Facebook) blocked not only the site, but the particular article, so Maria Kabas posted a copy to her site.
https://www.thehandbasket.co/p/kansas-reflector-meta-facebook-column-censored
Hochwasser und Dürren werden in Deutschland durch die globale Erhitzung weiter zunehmen. Wichtige Faktoren sind der höhere Feuchtigkeitsgehalt der Luft und länger gleichbleibende Wetterlagen durch Veränderungen des Jetstreams. Das Redaktionsnetzwerk Deutschland befragt dazu Frank Hattermann vom Potsdam Institut. https://www.rnd.de/wissen/klimawandel-hochwasser-immer-haeufiger-auch-zunahme-von-duerren-erwartet-Z76YKEZ4NBNRXJVXKC6DAAGGKM.html
Der Amazonas-Regenwald kommt dem Kipppunkt, an dem er mehr CO2 abgibt als aufnimmt, immer näher. Eine neue Studie sagt vorraus, dass bis 2050 47% des Gebietes geschädigt sein könnten. Von Juni bis Dezember 2023 herrschte dort eine externe Dürre, die einer Attributionsstudie zufolge durch die globale Erhitzung 30mal wahrscheinlicher wurde. https://taz.de/Klimawandel/!5990314/
Studie: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-023-06970-0
Attributionsstudie: https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/climate-change-not-el-nino-main-driver-of-exceptional-drought-in-highly-vulnerable-amazon-river-basin/
Die Dürren der letzten 20 Jahre waren schlimmer als in den 2100 Jahren davor. Bericht über eine klimahistorische Studie, die von den Isotopen in den Jahresringen von Eichen ausgeht.
Planting trees, often championed as a solution to combat climate change, may have unintended consequences
for - progress traps - tree planting - climate change
so they reduce a million parameters to one parameter (CO2 emissions)<br /> and then they get that one parameter wrong...<br /> evil and stupid going hand in hand, straight to hell on earth
for - adjacency - liberalism - ubiquity - invisibility - polycrisis - climate change - climate crisis - book - Liberalism and the Challenge of Climate Change
summary - This is an insightful interview with Dr. Christopher Shaw as he discusses his book, Liberalism and the Challenge of Climate Change.
adjacency - between - liberalism - ubiquity - invisibility - polycrisis - metaphor - fish in water, fish in the ocean - adjacency statement - Above all, this book points out that - liberalism is an idea that is - so ubiquitous and j - which everyone without exception is profoundly steeped within that, - like fish in water, a medium that is everywhere, the medium becomes invisible. - At the heart of - modernity's culture wars and - political polarization, - there is a kind of false dichotomy between - liberals and - conservatives, - as both are steeped in the worldview of liberalism - From the Stop Reset Go perspective, - Dr. Shaw's thesis aligns with - the Stop Reset Go Deep Humanity open source praxis, - whose essence is precisely to facilitate helping individuals to understand the powerful connection between - ubiquity and - invisibility. - via Common Human Denominators (CHD)
Die weltwetterorganisation WMO fast in ihrem Bericht über 2023 die Daten verschiedener Services zusammen und kommt zu dramatischen Aussagen über die Entwicklung der Temperatur auf der Erdoberfläche insbesondere insgesamt und besonders an der Oberfläche der Meere. Gleichzeitig ergibt eine Studie der BU Wien dass die Prognosen vieler, darunter großer starken über die Entwicklung der Emissionen deutlich zu optimistisch sind. https://www.derstandard.de/story/3000000212370/weltwetterorganisation-zeichnet-duesteres-bild-vom-klima-des-letzten-jahres