- Last 7 days
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
Tags
- Lew Daly
- Inflation Reduction Act
- Just Solutions
- James Sallee
- The Inflation Reduction Act: Saving American Households Money While Reducing Climate Change and Air Pollution
- Matt Huber
- USA
- A review of US residential energy tax credits: distributional impacts, expenditures, and changes since 2006
- Climate change as class war
Annotators
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- Aug 2024
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www.sciencedaily.com www.sciencedaily.com
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for - climate change impacts - marine life - citizen-science - potential project - climate departure - ocean heating impacts - marine life - marine migration - migrating species face collapse - migration to escape warming oceans - population collapse
main research findings - Study involved 146 species of temperate or subpolar fish and 2,572 time series - Extremely fast moving species (17km/year) showed large declines in population while - fish that did not shift showed negligible decline - Those on the northernmost edge experienced the largest declines - There is speculation that the fastest moving ones are the also the one's with the least evolutionary adaptations for new environments
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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the 5Ds
for - Climate change psychology - Per Espen Stokes - the 5 Ds
Climate change psychology - Per Espen Stokes - the 5 Ds - Distance - far away in spatial distance and time - also consider hyperobjects - Timothy Morton - Doom - crying wolf makes us discredit the alarm message - second time we hear a doom message, 40% less salience - avoidance behavior - discredit climate activists - Dissonance - disconnect between belief and action - Denial - we can make lots of excuses - blame others - compare our footprint to others with much larger ones - temporary concern but quickly move on to other topics - iDentity - spend many years to build up my identity - factual inputs are compared to my identity's values - identity values usually trump facts when our identity is threatened
climate crisis intervention - Any psychology-based climate intervention needs to leverage a combination of the 5 Ds.
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for - climate change psychology - video - youtube - Al Jazeera - All Hall the Planet - Why our brains are wired to ignore the climate crisis - Per Espen Stokes - interview
summary - A good introduction to climate change psychology - Per Espen Stokes is interviewed and he discusses his 5 Ds
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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Jeremy Grantham. He was on my podcast and as worried as he is about climate change and has been for a long time, he actually thinks that endocrine disrupting chemicals may be a bigger risk to human futures and other animals than climate, which is a pretty strong statement.
for - comparison of urgency - climate change vs endocrine disruptors - Jeremy Grantham
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- Jul 2024
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www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
Tags
- Sunrise Movement
- Kamela Harris
- Stevie O’Hanlon
- Center for Biological Diversity Action Fund
- David Victor
- Inflation Reduction Act
- by: Lisa Friedman
- Patrick Donnelly
- Yale Program on Climate Change Communication
- E2
- USA
- The development of partisan polarization over the Green New Deal
- Green New Deal
Annotators
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I don't think humans are going extinct anytime soon um but I do think 00:36:25 the global Industrial you know networked societies might be a lot more fragile
for - Climate change impacts - human extinction - don't think so - paleontological evidence shows that humans are a resilient species
Climate change impacts - human extinction - don't think so - paleontological evidence shows that humans are a resilient species - ice ages are really extreme events that humans have survived - Before entering the holocene interglacial period we have been in for the past 10,000 years, the exit from the previous Ice Age took approximately 10,000 years and - there was 400 feet of sea level rise - North America was covered with an Antarctica's equivalence of ice thickness - there was a quarter less vegetation a on the planet - it was dusty and miserable living conditions - There have been dozens of these natural climate oscillations over the past two and a half million years and humans are about 5 to 6 million years old, so have survived all of these - Sometimes in really particularly harsh climate swings,<br /> - speciations of new hominids will appear along with - new tools in the record or - evidence that there's been better control over fire - Humans are resilient and super adaptable - We've lived and adapted to the conditions on all the continents - We will make it through, but modern, industrialized, global society likely won't
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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how can we farm with less rainfall but also with less water retentive soils
for - agriculture - climate change challenge - less rainwater and less water retentive soils
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egusphere.copernicus.org egusphere.copernicus.org
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for - social tipping point - 2023 paper - paper details
paper details - title: The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority - author - Jordan Everall - Jonathan. F Donges - Ilona. M. Otto - Preprint date - 20 Nov 2023 - Publication - EGUsphere Preprint Repository
summary - This is a recent 2023 paper that summarizes social tipping point research for fields of interest to me, such as climate change. - I'm reading, looking for any real world experimental validation of social tipping point in climate change - I didn't find any but still interesting
from - search - google - research on complex contagion refutes the 25% social tipping point threshold - https://www.google.com/search?q=research+on+complex+contagion+refutes+the+25%25+social+tipping+point+threshold&oq=research+on+complex+contagion+refutes+the+25%25+social+tipping+point+threshold&gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUyBggAEEUYOTIGCAEQRRhA0gEJMjAyOTRqMGo3qAIAsAIA&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8 - search results returned of interest - The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to ... - https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2023/egusphere-2023-2241/
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- Jun 2024
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www.earthday.org www.earthday.org
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To address climate change, we need to change culture.
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www.liberation.fr www.liberation.fr
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Die globale Durchschnittstemperatur hat sich von 2014 bis 2023 um 0,26 Grad erhöht, das ist deutlich mehr als in den zehn Jahren davor. Die Beschleunigung der Erderhitzung erschwert das Erreichen des 1,5 Grad Ziels zusätzlich. Die neuen Daten wurden in einer Studie anlässlich der Klima-Zwischen-Konferenz in Bonn publiziert. https://www.liberation.fr/environnement/climat/le-rechauffement-climatique-engendre-par-lhumanite-a-un-rythme-sans-precedent-avertit-une-etude-scientifique-20240605_UP2TYIV67RC6VA4XMKHF45KZ5I/
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- May 2024
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temperature can be a major factor in determining the proportion of males and females within a population
for - question - impact of climate change on male and female population distribution of the biosphere
question - impact of climate change on male and female population distribution of the biosphere - How will climate change affect the proportion of males and females of the many species that are and will be impacted by dramatic temperature changes?
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Das globale Durchschnittseinkommen wird bei der jetzt zu erwartenden globalen Erhitzung 2050 fast um ein Fünttel niedriger sein als ohne Erhitzung. Die (nicht mehr zu vermeidenden) Einbußen durch die Erhitzung bis 2050 sind sechsmal so hoch wie die einer Begrenzung des Temperaturanstiegs auf 2°. 2050 ist einer neuen Studie zufolge mit Klimaschäden von etwa 38 Bllionen Dollar zu rechnen. Bis 2100 wird es in einem Business-as-usual-Szenario zu Einkommensverlusten von mehr als 60% kommen. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/apr/17/climate-crisis-average-world-incomes-to-drop-by-nearly-a-fifth-by-2050
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Ohne einzelne Länder zu nennen, hat der neue IPCC-Chef Jim Skea die Entscheidungen der brititischen und anderer Regierungen kritisiert, die Dekarboisierung zu verlangsamen und neue Öl- und Gasfelder zu genehmigen. Nicht ob, sondern wie Null-Emissionen erreicht würden, entscheide darüber, ob und wann die Erhitzung aufgehalten werden könne. Der Klimawissenschaftler Joeri Rogelj sprach von einem „abrupten Rollback“ in Großbritannien. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/oct/02/slow-route-to-net-zero-will-worsen-global-climate-crisis-ipcc-chief-warns
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www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
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Die rohölproduktion in den USA wird in diesem Jahr ein Rekord-Hoch erreichen Etwa 25% der US-Emissionen werden durch Öl und Gas verursacht, das auf Bundesterritorien gefördert wird. Die New York Times zeigt ausgehend von einem Beispiel im Golf von Mexiko, warum es angesichts der Mehrheitsverhältnisse in Repräsentantenhaus und Senat und des konservativen obersten Gerichtshofs für die für die Biden-Administration extrem schwierig ist, die Zusage, dort keine weiteren Bohrungen zuzulassen, umzusetzen.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/28/climate/biden-drilling-leases.html
Tags
- project: Lease 261
- NGO: Natural Resources Defense Council
- actor: Biden Administration
- NGO: Earthjustice
- region: Gulf of Mexico
- institution: United States Energy Information Administration
- expert: Rene Santos
- expert: Valerie Cleland
- project: Willow
- country: USA
- project: Mountain Valley Pipeline
- expert: Steve Mashuda
- institution: Sabin Center for Climate Change Law
- fossil expansion
- 2023-08-28
- expert: Michael Gerrard
- actor: Joe Manching
Annotators
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Die Pläne der Kohle-, Öl- und gasproduzierenden Staaten zur Ausweitung der Förderung würden 2030 zu 460% mehr Kohle, 83% mehr Gas und 29% mehr Ölproduktion führen, als mit dem Pariser Abkommen vereinbar ist. Der aktuelle Production Gap Report der Vereinten Nationen konzentriert sich auf die 20 stärksten Verschmutzer-Staaten, deren Pläne fast durchgängig in radikalem Widerspruch zum Pariser Abkommen stehen. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/08/insanity-petrostates-planning-huge-expansion-of-fossil-fuels-says-un-report
Report: https://productiongap.org/
Tags
- country: Qatar
- country: Indonesia
- country: UAE
- country: Russia
- expert: Ploy Achakulwisut
- country: Uk
- actor: Inger Andersen
- 2023-11-08
- institution: Climate Analytics
- expert: Michael Lazarus
- country: USA
- country: Canada
- institution: Oil Change International
- country: Colombia
- country: China
- expert: Romain Ioualalen
- report: Production Gap Report 2023
- country: Kuwait
- country: Brazil
- country: Norway
- expert: Neil Grant
- institution: UNEP
- country: Saudi Arabia
- fossil expansion
- country: Australia
- country: Germany
- country: Nigeria
- institution: Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI)
- country: India
Annotators
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journals.sagepub.com journals.sagepub.com
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for - communities and individuals - liberalism
from - .book - liberalism and the challenge of climate change - https://hyp.is/NDACig4VEe-ci1Oome4_kw/bafybeibgduwvv4dya4nwez5bcy24z5ya27oisiixpioafnxjjx56jgkv4m.ipfs.localhost:8080/
journal article details - title - Communities and the individual: Beyond the liberal-communitarian divide - date - May 11, 2021 - authors - Volker Kaul
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this is whitehead's fallacy of misplaced concreteness
for - key insight - Whitehead's fallacy of misplaced concreteness - adjacency - fallacy of misplaced concreteness - climate denialism - mistrust in science - polycrisis - Deep Humanity
- the worry for Goethe and whitehead is that
- we forget sometimes with the typical scientific method that = we can only ever apply concepts derived from our empirical experience
- and so if we're trying to understand experience as if it were really
- an illusion produced by
- collisions of particles or
- brain chemistry or
- something that we can never in principle experience
- an illusion produced by
- what we're doing is
- applying concepts derived from our experience
- to an imagined realm that
- we think is beyond experience
- but it's not
- This is Whitehead's fallacy of misplaced concreteness.
key insight - Whitehead's fallacy of misplaced concreteness - This helps explain the rising rejection of science from the masses. I didn't realize there was already a name for the phenomena responsible for the emergence of collective denialist behavior
adjacency - between - fallacy of misplaced concreteness - increasing collective rejection of science in the polycrisis - adjacency statement - Whitehead's fallacy of misplaced concreteness exactly names and describes - the growing trend of a populus rejection of climate science (climate denialism), COVID vaccine denialism, exponential growth of conspiracy theory and misinformation - because of the inability for non-elites and elites alike to concretize abstractions the same way that elite scientists and policy-makers do - Research papers have shown that the knowledge deficit model which was relied upon for decades was not accurate representation of climate denialism - Yet, I would hold that Whitehead's fallacy of misplaced concretism plays a role here - This mistrust in science is rooted in this fallacy as well as progress traps - Deep Humanity is quite steeped in Whitehead's process relational ontology and the fallacy of misplaced concreteness requires mass education for a sustainable transition - This abstract concreteness is everywhere: - Shift from Ptolemy's geocentric worldview to the Copernican heliocentric worldview - Now we are told that the sun is not fixed, but is itself rotating around the Milky Way with billions of other galaxies - scientific techniques like radiocarbon dating for dating objects in deep time - climate science - atomic physics - quantum physics - distrust of vaccines, which we cannot see - Timothy Morton's hyperobjects is related to this fallacy of misplaced concreteness. - "Seeing is believing" but we cannot directly experience the ultra large or ultra small. So we have scientific language that draws parallels to that, but it is not a direct experience. - - Those not steeped in years or decades of science have the very real option of feeling that the concepts are fallacies and don't hold as much weight as that which they can experience directly, even though those concepts have obviously produced artefacts that they use, like cellphones, the internet and airplanes.
- the worry for Goethe and whitehead is that
Tags
- key insight - Whitehead's fallacy of misplaced concreteness
- adjacency - fallacy of misplaced concreteness - climate denialism - mistrust in science - polycrisis - Deep Humanity
- climate change - knowledge deficit model - Whitehead
- misplaced concreteness
- Making the abstract real
- science communication - climate change - Whitehead - fallacy of misplaced concreteness
- adjacency - Whitehead's fallacy of misplaced concreteness - Timothy Morton's hyperobjects
Annotators
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- Apr 2024
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www.cbc.ca www.cbc.ca
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for - Extinction Rebellion - Vancouver - Extinction Rebellion - change of strategy - climate crisis - protests - Extinction Rebellion - moving away from public disruption - Unify Regional Extinction Rebellion
potential collaboration - opportunity - partnership - there is an opportunity to collaborate with them - as they enter this new phase of their work
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media.dltj.org media.dltj.org
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Vaughn says the temperatures along with carbon dioxide levels have naturally fluctuated over earth's history inside lasting between 144,000 years. Well, over the last million years, co two in the atmosphere has never really gone despite its ups and downs never gone above maybe 280 parts per million. Until now. As of January 2024 the amount of heat trapping carbon dioxide is a whopping 422 parts per million. We've had a wonderful party with fossil fuels for a couple of centuries. We've, we have changed the world at a cost that's now only becoming evident.
Ice cores provide a history of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere
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Each ice core is kind of unique and shows you a different climatic window. Vaughn uses water isotopes to determine what the temperature was when each layer of ice was formed. Isotopes are molecules that have the same number of protons and electrons, but a different number of neutrons affecting their mass. For example, water h2o has oxygen that has either a molecular rate of 16 or 18. And so it's a heavy and light water precipitation that falls in warmer temperature tends to be heavier water. He says, but in colder air like at the poles, the snow that falls is generally lighter water by looking at these ratios of ice tops in ice cores. We were able to infer the temperature from when it fell. As snow.
Using ratio of the molecular weight of water to determine temperature
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www.thehandbasket.co www.thehandbasket.co
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[[Marisa Kabas]] in The Handbasket - Here's the column Meta doesn't want you to see
ᔥ[[Ben Werdmuller]] in Mastodon @ben@werd.social on Apr 06, 2024, 10:45 AM
On Thursday I reported that Meta had blocked all links to the Kansas Reflector from approximately 8am to 4pm, citing cybersecurity concerns after the nonprofit published a column critical of Facebook’s climate change ad policy. By late afternoon, all links were once again able to be posted on Facebook, Threads and Instagram–except for the critical column." Here it is. #Media<br /> https://www.thehandbasket.co/p/kansas-reflector-meta-facebook-column-censored
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Der Amazonas-Regenwald kommt dem Kipppunkt, an dem er mehr CO2 abgibt als aufnimmt, immer näher. Eine neue Studie sagt vorraus, dass bis 2050 47% des Gebietes geschädigt sein könnten. Von Juni bis Dezember 2023 herrschte dort eine externe Dürre, die einer Attributionsstudie zufolge durch die globale Erhitzung 30mal wahrscheinlicher wurde. https://taz.de/Klimawandel/!5990314/
Studie: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-023-06970-0
Attributionsstudie: https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/climate-change-not-el-nino-main-driver-of-exceptional-drought-in-highly-vulnerable-amazon-river-basin/
Tags
- Critical transitions in the Amazon forest system
- region: Amazonia
- Boris Sakschewski
- by: Susanne Schwarz
- 2024-02-18
- Potsdam Institute for climate impact research
- Climate change, not El Niño, main driver of exceptional drought in highly vulnerable Amazon River Basin
- Amazon rainforest
- World Weather Attribution
- process: increasing risk of droughts
Annotators
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- Mar 2024
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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Planting trees, often championed as a solution to combat climate change, may have unintended consequences
for - progress traps - tree planting - climate change
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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for - adjacency - liberalism - ubiquity - invisibility - polycrisis - climate change - climate crisis - book - Liberalism and the Challenge of Climate Change
summary - This is an insightful interview with Dr. Christopher Shaw as he discusses his book, Liberalism and the Challenge of Climate Change.
adjacency - between - liberalism - ubiquity - invisibility - polycrisis - metaphor - fish in water, fish in the ocean - adjacency statement - Above all, this book points out that - liberalism is an idea that is - so ubiquitous and j - which everyone without exception is profoundly steeped within that, - like fish in water, a medium that is everywhere, the medium becomes invisible. - At the heart of - modernity's culture wars and - political polarization, - there is a kind of false dichotomy between - liberals and - conservatives, - as both are steeped in the worldview of liberalism - From the Stop Reset Go perspective, - Dr. Shaw's thesis aligns with - the Stop Reset Go Deep Humanity open source praxis, - whose essence is precisely to facilitate helping individuals to understand the powerful connection between - ubiquity and - invisibility. - via Common Human Denominators (CHD)
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www.phenomenalworld.org www.phenomenalworld.org
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If acting on climate change means sacrificing what little freedom I have left, then what value is that to me?
key insight - of all about the venison of individual liberty that modernization had sold is a companion bill of goods on
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www.repubblica.it www.repubblica.it
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Bei einem hohen Emissionsszenario wird es weltweit in jeder achten der jetzigen Ski-Destinationen am Ende dieses Jahrhunderts keinen Schnee mehr geben. Auch für viele andere Skiorte hat die globale Erhitzung dramatische folgen. Eine neue Studie erfasst sie aufgrund genauer regionaler Modellierungen. https://www.repubblica.it/green-and-blue/2024/03/13/news/neve_sci_impianti_chiusi-422305098/
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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CO2 is a proxy for human population size.<br /> the problem is global overpopulation, but no one has the balls to face it
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
- Feb 2024
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Local file Local file
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He was an early ecologicalactivist, warning against human-induced climate change before anyone else,and publishing in 1864 Man and Nature: or, Physical Geography as Modifiedby Human Action.
Cross reference The Parrot and the Igloo.
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- Jan 2024
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www.climatechangecommunication.org www.climatechangecommunication.org
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for - climate crisis - 2023 U.S. poll - demographics - climate communication - 2023 U.S. poll - demographics - climate change - 2023 U.S. poll - demographics - U.S. Hispanic / Latinos - 2023 - high concern about climate crisis - U. S. African American - 2023 - high concern about climate change - U.S. Gen Z - 2023 - high concern about climate change
Tags
- African Americans - 2023 - high concern about climate crisis
- climate change - 2023 U.S. poll - demographics
- U.S. Hispanic / Latino - 2023 - high concern about climate crisis
- U.S. Gen Z - 2023 - high concern about climate crisis
- climate crisis - 2023 U.S. poll - demographics
- climate communication - 2023 U.S. poll - demographic
Annotators
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The current silver economy stands at
for - silver economy - stats - silver economy
stats - silver economy - 2024 - 7 trillion yuan ($982 billion USD) - 6 % GDP - 2035 - 30 trillion yuan ($4.2 trillion USD) - 10% GDP
question - silver economy - climate change impacts? transition impacts?
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Das unabhängige britische Climate Change Committee hat seine Schlussfolgerungen enaus den Ergebnissen der Kopf 28 publiziert. Darin wird die britische Regierung zu einer deutlichen Beschleunigung der dekarbonisierung aufgefordert.Aaders sein die Verpflichtungen aus dem Pariser Abkommen nicht umzusetzen. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/jan/30/uk-must-act-urgently-to-meet-climate-commitments-says-watchdog
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www.derstandard.de www.derstandard.de
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Eine Studie enthält starke Hinweise darauf, dass die globale Erhitzung die Lebenserwartung weltweit schon um 6 Monate verkürzt hat. https://www.derstandard.de/story/3000000203417/neue-hinweise-zu-den-acht-zutaten-die-20-zusaetzliche-lebensjahre-bringen
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Die EU hat 2023 durch die Verbrennung von fossilen Brennstoffen 8% weniger CO<sub>2</sub> emittiert als 2022. Damit liegen diese Emissionen wieder auf dem Niveau der 60er Jahre. Um die Klimaziele der EU zu erreichen, müssen die Emissionen noch schneller reduziert werden. Das European Advisory Board on Climate Change hat dazu in der vergangenen Woche eine Reihe von Vorschlägen gemacht. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/jan/24/eu-fossil-fuel-co2-emissions-hit-60-year-low
Tags
- Ember
- Ottmar Edenhofer
- time: 2023
- process: decarbonization
- EU
- energy transition
- European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change
- Isaac Levi
- Focus on immediate implementation and continued action to achieve EU climate goals
- Research on Energy and Clean Air (Crea)
- fossil emissions
- 2024-01-24
- European green deal
- Sarah Brown
Annotators
URL
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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2023 war in Großbritannien das zweitwärmste Jahr der Aufzeichnungsgeschichte. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/jan/02/climate-crisis-2023-was-uks-second-hottest-on-record
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www.repubblica.it www.repubblica.it
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Zwei der Reports, die zum Weltwirtschaftsforum 2024 publiziert wurden, betonen die Bedeutung von Risiken, die mit der globalen Erhitzung, der Zerstörung der Biodiversität und der lebenserhaltenden Systeme des Planeten verbunden sind. Der Artikel der Repubblica zählt klimapolitisch wichtige Ereignisse des Jahres 2024 auf.https://www.repubblica.it/green-and-blue/2024/01/17/news/world_economic_forum_2024_cambiamento_climatico-421899576/
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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climate change performance index
for - resource - climate change performance index - how well a city is adapted to the climate crisis
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www.repubblica.it www.repubblica.it
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www.derstandard.de www.derstandard.de
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Überblicksartikel über klimapolitische Fort- und Rückschritte 2023, besonders zu Großbritannien, Schweden, den Niederlanden und China. Ausführlich wird auf Maßnahmen der britischen und schwedischen Regierung eingegangen, die die bisherige konsequente Klimapolitik deutlich verwässern. https://www.derstandard.de/story/3000000188940/war-2023-ein-jahr-der-klimapolitischen-rueckschritte
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Das britische Climate Change Commitee hat seit 18 Monaten keinen Chair. Die Nichtbesetzung dieser Stelle durch die Regierung gilt ein Signal dafür, dass sie sich zunehmend von den Dekarbonisierungszielen der konservativen Vorgängerregierungen entfernt. Fachleute, darunter Nicolas Stern, kritisieren die Verzögerung. Das Komitee legt unter anderem die britischenTreibhausgas-budgets fest und hatte in der Vergangenheit die zu langsame Politik der Regierung wiederholt deutlich kritisiert.https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/dec/30/sunak-under-fire-failure-appoint-climate-committee-chief
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gsh.cib.natixis.com gsh.cib.natixis.com
- Dec 2023
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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for: James Hansen - 2023 paper, key insight - James Hansen, leverage point - emergence of new 3rd political party, leverage point - youth in politics, climate change - politics, climate crisis - politics
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Key insight: James Hansen
- The key insight James Hansen conveys is that
- the key to rapid system change is
- WHAT? the rapid emergence of a new, third political party that does not take money from special interest lobbys.
- WHY? Hit the Achilles heel of the Fossil Fuel industry
- HOW? widespread citizen / youth campaign to elect new youth leaders across the US and around the globe
- WHEN? Timing is critical. In the US,
- Don't spoil the vote for the two party system in 2024 elections. Better to have a democracy than a dictatorship.
- Realistically, likely have to wait to be a contender in the 2028 election.
- the key to rapid system change is
- The key insight James Hansen conveys is that
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reference
- paper - Global Warming in the Pipeline
- Michael Mann's critique of the paper
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Washington is a swamp it we throw out one party the other one comes in they take money from special interests and we don't have a government that's serving the interests 01:25:09 of the public that's what I think we have to fix and I don't see how we do that unless we have a party that takes no money from special interests
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for: key insight- polycrisis - climate crisis - political crisis, climate crisis - requires a new political party, money in politics, climate crisis - fossil fuel lobbyists, climate change - politics, climate crisis - politics, James Hansen - key insight - political action - 3rd party
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key insight
- Both democrats and conservatives are captured by fossil fuel lobbyist interests
- A new third political party that does not take money from special interests is required
- The nature of the polycrisis is that crisis are entangled . This is a case in point. The climate crisis cannot be solved unless the political crisis of money influencing politics is resolved
- The system needs to be rapidly reformed to kick money of special interest groups out of politics.
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question
- Given the short timescale, the earliest we can achieve this is 2028 in the US Election cycle
- Meanwhile what can we do in between?
- How much impact can alternative forms of local governance like https://sonec.org/ have?
- In particular, could citizens form local alternative forms of governance and implement incentives to drive sustainable behavior?
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Tags
- James Hansen - 2023 paper
- leverage point - youth in politics
- money in politicis
- local governance
- climate change - pollitics
- climate crisis- fossil fuel lobbyists
- key insight - James Hansen
- SONEC
- key insight - polycrisis - climate crisis - political crisis
- climate crisis - politics
- James Hansen - key insight - political action - 3rd party
- climate crisis - requires a new political party
- leverage point - emergence of 3rd political party
- climate change - politics
- climate crisis - leverage point - youth - politics
- climate crisis - leverage point - new party that takes no money from special interest
Annotators
URL
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www.collapsemusings.com www.collapsemusings.com
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for: climate crisis - multiple dimensions, polycrisis - multiple dimensions, climate crisis - good references, polycrisis - good references, polycrisis - comprehensive map, power to the people, climate change - politics, climate crisis - politics
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comment / summary
- The content on this website may be what some call "doomers" that support a narrative of unavoidable catastrophe and civilization collapse
- The author does an excellent job of drawing together many scientifically validated research papers and news media stories on various crisis and integrates them together to support his narrative.
- As the author states, it is still incomplete but it is comprehensive and detailed enough to use as a starting foundation to build a complex polycrisis map upon. becaues it shows the complexities of the interwoven nexus of problems we face and the massive network of feedbacks between them that makes solving any one of them alone in isolation an impossibility
- The Cascade Institute focuses on social tipping points, complexity and polycrisis. We could synthesis a number of tools to map out and reveal effective mitigation strategies including:
- Cascade Institute tools
- Social tipping point tools
- SRG mapping tool along with Indyweb / Indranet
- Culture hacking tools
- SIMPOL strategy
- Downscaled Earth System Boundary tools
- SRG Deep Humanity BEing journey tools
- James Hansen's recommendation that the biggest leverage point is new form of governance
- We need to rapidly emerge a new global third political party that does not take money from special interest groups
- Progressive International comes to the same conclusion as James Hansen, that the key leverage point for rapid whole system change is radically new governance that puts power back to the hands of the people - power to the people
- SONEC's
- Indyweb's people-centered, interpersonal methodology is a perfect match for SONEC circle-within-circles fractal structure
- mention to @Gyuri
- I've seen this circle-within-circle fractal, holonic group idea with Tim's software as well as Roberto's
- Feebate from local governance groups (from another Doomer site - Arctic Emergency)
- What the author's narrative shows is
- how precarious our situation is
- how many trends are getting far worse in the immediate future
- how we are already undercapacitated to deal with existing crisis so how will we deal with new ones that are exponentially worse?
- all these crisis will impact our supply chains. Why are these important? Our reliance on technology is dangerous and makes us very vulnerable
- Think of your laptop, cellphone or other electronic device that relies on a vast, complex and globally operational internet. Imagine that tidal surges wipes out the globally critical data centers located in New York. Or imagine electronic factories in China and Taiwan are wiped out due to extreme weather. How will you get or fix a broken piece of electronic equipment? We rely on each millions of specialized jobs all working smoothly in order for our laptop to continue working and communicating with each other.
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epiphany
- recommendation for new Indyweb / Indranet tools
- independent time and date stamp tool for every online, virtual sentence we write so we recognize in a long composition when we inserted a new idea
- ability to trace rapid trains of thought to reveal how new insights emerge from within our consciousness
- While writing this, I just recalled that we should have a way to time and date stamp every single virtual online action, like in this annotation because recall happens so nonlinearly and we won't have a hope to trace and trailmark without it. Hypothesis doesn't have time and date stamps of every sentence available to the user. So we don't know what nonlinear memory recall led to a specific sentence in an annotation. We need some independent Indyweb / Indranet tool that will do this universally. Trains of thoughts are so fragile we can forget the quick cascades very easily.
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academic.oup.com academic.oup.com
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for: James Hansen, paper - Global Warming in the Pipeline, prediction - May 2024, find - May 2024 prediction, suggestion - debate - James Hansen - Michael Mann, climate crisis - politics, climate change - politics
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Summary
- See the Dan Miller interview in the reference below
- The key point for SRG work in mobilizing and awakening the sleeping giant of the commons is summarized in the 3rd required action in the last sentence of his abstract:
- "Current political crises present an opportunity for RESET, especially if young people can grasp their situation." (Bold is from SRG)
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reference
- James Hansen Dec. 2023 interview discussing this paper
- https://hyp.is/go?url=http%3A%2F%2Fdocdrop.org%2Fvideo%2F8Ag3UVSrlhE%2F&group=world
- Dan Miller, who interviews Hansen and who has coauthored a paper with him, states in the interview that May 2024 is a test date for validating the paper's claims:
- https://hyp.is/HRKEfqYAEe6lGJ_E57_9Mw/docdrop.org/video/8Ag3UVSrlhE/
- Find
- Identify the section in the paper that Miller is alluding to which makes the prediction about events of May 2024.
- Michael Mann's critique of the paper
- James Hansen Dec. 2023 interview discussing this paper
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Tags
- suggestion - debate - James Hansen - Michael Mann
- James Hansen
- climate crisis - politics
- Dan Miller - James Hansen Dec 2023 interview
- find - may 2024 prediction data
- climate change - politics
- Michael Mann - critique of James Hansen 2023 paper
- James Hansen - prediction - May 2024
- paper - Global Warming in the Pipeline
Annotators
URL
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www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
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i look at pinker's books his latest one enlightenment now and i read very carefully his section on climate change he takes climate change seriously but for me this is a litmus test
- for: Steven Pinker - critique - climate change - Enlightenment Now
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
Tags
- NGO: Oil Change International
- expert: Kjell Kühne
- NGO: Leave It in the Ground Initiative
- country: UAE
- NGO: Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit
- Adnoc
- event: COP28
- actor: Sultan Al Jaber
- actor: Adnoc
- topic: Methane emissions
- expert: David Tong
- expert: Gareth Redmond-King
- process: methane reduction
- 2023-08-17
Annotators
URL
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- for: futures, futures - climate change
- annotate
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- Nov 2023
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if governments deliver in full on their national energy and climate pledges, then oil and gas demand would be 45% below today's level by 2050 and the temperature rise could be limited to 1.7 °C. If governments successfully pursue a 1.5 °C trajectory, and emissions from the global energy sector reach net zero by mid-century, oil and gas use would fall by 75% to 2050.
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for: Nationally Determined Contributions insufficient to meet 1.5 Deg C, NDC insufficient to meet 1.5 Deg C
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stats: climate change - NDC
- current NDCs
- 45% reduction in fossil fuel usage by 2050
- NDCs to meet 1.5 Deg C
- 75% reduction in fossil fuel usage by 2050
- current NDCs
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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that's what we need to do today we need to we need to take an inventory of how many solar arrays do we need how 00:06:27 many wind turbines how many electric buses how many electric heat pumps what's the new generation crown corporations we should be establishing to expedite doing that at scale 00:06:40 and deploying it at scale to actually decarbonize and electrify in the short window of time that we have
- for: climate change - wartime mobilization inventory
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www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
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Hitzebedingte Todesfälle bei über 65-Jährigen haben seit den 90ern um 85% zugenommen. Senior:innen sind – wie kleine Kinder – zweimal soviel Hitzewellen-Tagen ausgesetzt wie 1986-2005. Extreme Hitze führte 2022 zu Produktivitätsverlusten von ca. 863 Milliarden USD. Alle Indikatoren für öffentliche Gesundheit haben sich in den letzten 9 Jahren verschlechtert. – Die NYT stellt den 2023 Report des Lancet Countdown ausführlich dar. https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/14/climate/climate-change-health-effects-lancet.html
Mehr zum Rreport: https://hypothes.is/search?q=tag%3A%222023%20report%20of%20the%20Lancet%20Countdown%20on%20health%20and%20climate%20change%22
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Kurz vor der COP28 hat das Lancet-Countdown-Team seinen jährlichen Bericht über Gesundheit und Klimawandel vorgelegt. Die globale Erhitzung habe im vergangenen Jahr für 127 Millionen mehr Menschen zu leichter bis schwerer Nahrungsmittelunsicherheit geführt. In vielen Gebieten hätte die Klimaveränderung die Ausbreitung neuer Krankheiten begünstigt. Durch die anhaltenden Investitionen in fossile Energien bewege sich die Welt in die falsche Richtung https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2023/nov/14/paying-in-lives-health-of-billions-at-risk-from-global-heating-warns-report
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www.science.org www.science.org
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- for: resilient cities, living cities, IPCC - cities, future earth - cities, complexity - cities, climate change - clities, Xuemei Bai - IPCC cities report
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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Today, the U.S. is spending hundreds of millions to address the crisis of methane emissions. But as Tony Ingraffea says, this should have happened a decade ago (https://lnkd.in/eaFpkTrj) and it didn't because of a single person.And none of this is in the past. Ernest Moniz is the single person in the entire world most responsible for legitimizing the hoax of #carboncapture. And carbon capture is only reason that the global oil&gas cartel has been given a green light to #drilldrilldrill.These lies matter, and they are devastating our world
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for: big oil cover up, big oil - MIT, big Oil Ernest Moniz, methane emissions coverup, PBS - The Power of Big Oil, climate change - big oil lobby, quote - Ernest Moniz, quote Edmund Carlevale, quote - methane emissions coverup
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quote
- Today, the U.S. is spending hundreds of millions to address the crisis of methane emissions. But as Tony Ingraffea says, this should have happened a decade ago (https://lnkd.in/eaFpkTrj) and it didn't because of a single person.
- And none of this is in the past. Ernest Moniz is the single person in the entire world most responsible for legitimizing the hoax of #carboncapture.
- And carbon capture is only reason that the global oil&gas cartel has been given a green light to #drilldrilldrill. -These lies matter, and they are devastating our world.
- author: Edmund Carlevale
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date: Nov 16, 2023
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reference
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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- for: explainer video - system change, not climate change, Weall, Wellbeing Economy Alliance
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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haha, china and russia and friends are shitting all over your "scientific models".<br /> the ONLY problem is "too many humans", aka overpopulation, caused by pacifism.<br /> these "save the world" policies are collective suicide for the 95% useless eaters. byee!
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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In einem Brief wollen mehr als 100 britische Energieunternehmen Premierminister Rishi Sunak warnen von der aktuellen Dekarbonisierungspolitik abzugehen. Gerade erst hat ein Gutachten gezeigt, mit welchen Gefahren die zu große Abhängigkeit Großbritanniens von gaslieferungen verbunden ist. Für das net sirocil sind diesen Bericht zufolge 327 Milliarden Pfund Investitionen nötig Punkt bisher haben sich die Regierung aber nur zu gut 22,5 Milliarden Pfund verpflichtet. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/jul/16/top-uk-energy-firms-to-warn-rishi-sunak-dont-back-off-green-agenda
Net Zero-Bericht von Chris Skidmore: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/review-of-net-zero
Report des Office for Budget Stability: https://obr.uk/frs/fiscal-risks-and-sustainability-july-2023/#:~:text=In%20this%2C%20our%20second%20FRS,on%20the%20UK's%20public%20debt.
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Das britische Climate Change Committee empfiehlt dem Land, den Energy Charter-Vertrag zu verlassen, so wie es die meisten Industrieländer bereits beschlossen haben. Die vorgeschlagenen Reformen gingen nicht weit genug und würden Öl- und Gasprojekte weitere 10 Jahre schützen.
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Kurz vor der COP28 kam es zu einer grundsätzlichen Einigung über die Umsetzung des Loss-and-damage-Fonds, der auf der letzten COP beschlossen worden war. Er wird zunächst von der Weltbank verwaltet werden. Die Höhe der Einzahlungen ist noch nicht klar. Aktivist:innen reagierten enttäuscht. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/05/countries-agree-key-measures-to-fund-most-vulnerable-to-climate-breakdown
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- Oct 2023
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www.cnn.com www.cnn.com
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- for: progress trap, progress trap - climate change - zombie virus
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www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
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And on top of this, we are reaping the results of what the climate scientist James Hansen calls our “Faustian bargain” with air pollution. For decades, air pollution from sulfur dioxide and other hazardous substances in fossil fuels has had a strong temporary cooling effect on our climate. But as countries around the world have begun to clean up the air, the cooling effect provided by these aerosols has fallen by around 30 percent since 2000. Aerosols have fallen even more in the past three years, after a decision to largely phase out sulfur in marine fuels in 2020. These reductions in pollution on top of continued increases in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations mean that we are encountering some of the unvarnished force of climate change for the first time.
- faustian bargain
- link of aerosols in atmosphere to temporary cooling
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1850190019502000 00.511.5
see graph
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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“It’s the consumer who contributes to increasing CO2 emissions, not the producer.”
- for: climate change - individual change, producer-consumer entanglement, big oil, COP28
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en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
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www.repubblica.it www.repubblica.it
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Durch die ausgedehnten Waldbrände haben die brandbedingten Treibhausgasemissionen in Kanada 2023 mit 410 Megatonnen ein Allzeithoch erreicht. Der zweithöchste Wert waren 138 Megatonnen 2014. Besonders hoch waren die Emissionen durch Waldbrände auch in Griechenland, Spanien und Portugal. Die Werte werden vom EU-Programm Copernicus erhoben. https://www.repubblica.it/green-and-blue/2023/09/14/news/incendi_copernicus_emissioni_co2_2023_record_canada-414437862/
Copernicus-Bericht: https://atmosphere.copernicus.eu/copernicus-record-breaking-wildfires-throughout-2023-boreal-wildfire-season
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- Sep 2023
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onlinelibrary.wiley.com onlinelibrary.wiley.com
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- for: example - animal-plant communication, bee-flower communication, bee - primrose flower communication, communication - animal - plant, communication - bee - flower, 2019 University of Tel Aviv study, education, education - climate change, education - climate departure, education - species extinction
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- for: communication - plants, education, education - climate change, education - climate departure, education - species extinction
- question: climate change education, climate departure education
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www.nationalobserver.com www.nationalobserver.com
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for: climate change - false binary, jobs vs environment, example, example climate change - false binary, climate departure, leverage point
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example: false environmental binary
- activists need to better communicate the false binary that climate denialists keep using to pull the wool over people's eyes.
- jobs vs environment ignores the short term threat of environmental degradation
- this is where participatory climate departure can show the threat in a visceral, concrete way that is far more compelling you the average person than any intellectual attempt to explain the differences example - climate change - false binary
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pubs.aeaweb.org pubs.aeaweb.org
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In Figure 1, we plot the evolution of global greenhouse gas emission esti-mates from these subsectors from 1970 to 2018, based on European Commission(2023). For comparison, worldwide greenhouse gas emissions across all sectorsof the economy were roughly 36 gigatons in 2018 (IEA 2022b). Figure 1 suggeststwo themes that will recur throughout the essay: the centrality of road vehicles inthe task of decarbonizing transportation and the ongoing rise in transportationFigure 1Transportation Emissions by SectorSource: Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research (European Commission 2023).Note: This figure plots annual emissions greenhouse gas emissions (in gigatons) for five transportationsectors from 1970 to 2018.01234Greenhouse gas emissions (gigatons)1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020OECD – roadNon OECD – roadAviationWater-borneRail /other
ongoing rise in transporation emissions in developing countries.
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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There's no other way. And if you look at the world today, the big pace of increase in emissions is in countries like India. China is by far the world's largest emitter today. So for an orderly phase out, I think the Marshall Plan option is simply not an option.
- comment
- Johan Rockstrom does not believe that a Marshall plan is feasible. He cites the rapid pace of development in India and China as a reason a Marshall plan would not work.
- To unpack this further, China and India were both countries on the other side of (white) colonialism and now are trying to catch up. Whereas historical, white colonialism marginalized both non-white, indigenous populations as well as nature, now these countries are marginalizing nature.
- To determine whether a Marshall plan by these large emitting countries would be feasible or not depends on the answer to another question:
- Can these countries pivot to a Marshall plan of a disruptive rate of 15% ?
- We must remember, as Kevin Anderson reminds us, it is uneven. Only a small minority of the population must undergo radical decarbonization rates, namely the small minority of high carbon, elite emitters.
- What would a global Marshall plan even look like? We don't know - because the conversation is being discouraged. That's the point Kevin Anderson is making.
- comment
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Our choice to fail over the last 30 years has brought us to this position. And a way out of that, a way out of the Marshall Plan, is to say we can have these negative emissions 00:34:42 I think we need to say that, okay that's one way out of it – if they work. Another way out of it is the Marshall Plan. And so we need to open that that dialogue up. but we've... in effect, I think the IAMs have closed that dialogue,. Which is one of the reasons, going back to... It would be interesting to see other parts of the world looking at this, because, I would have a guess, when we say 'that's not feasible', many people elsewhere in the world are saying 'well of course it's feasible, we've been doing... we've been living like that for years!'
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for: quote, quote - Kevin Anderson, quote - Kevin Anderson - Marshall plan, discussion - Johan Rockstrom / Kevin Anderson, perspectival knowing
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quote
- Our choice to fail over the last 30 years has brought us to this position.
- And a way out of that, a way out of the Marshall Plan, is to say we can have these negative emissions
- I think we need to say that, okay that's one way out of it – if they work.
- Another way out of it is the Marshall Plan.
- And so we need to open that that dialogue up. but we've... in effect, I think the IAMs have closed that dialogue,.
- Which is one of the reasons, going back to... It would be interesting to see other parts of the world looking at this, because, I would have a guess,
- when we say 'that's not feasible', many people elsewhere in the world are saying 'well of course it's feasible, we've been doing... we've been living like that for years!'
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comment
- In rebuttal to Johan's perspective on Negative Emissions Technologies (NETs),
- Kevin is addressing the issue of perspectival knowing, and
- its implications on what solutions we entertain as a global society.
- The example he cites is Negative Emissions Technologies (NETs) illustrates two major perspectives:
- Johan includes NETs as he see's that without them, the transition goes from manageable to unmanageable
- Kevin questions the inclusion of the NETs as potentially shutting down discussion about what Johan would consider an unmanageable situation
- Kevin brings up a valid point for inclusion of other voices, especially those indigenous ones who are still institutionally marginalized not only in economic and cultural spaces, but also academic and intellectual ones.
- The decolonization of academia takes on a concrete form here. Both the global and local south have lived under severe economic repression for centuries. Anderson's contention is that making do with less is something that billions of people have had to contend with for centuries as a social norm forced upon them by colonialist then post colonialist institutions.
- Inclusivity of a greater diversity of voices does play an important role in shaping the future direction of humanity.
- We should be having an open discussion about a Marshall plan and should not be afraid to go there.
- We had it in WWII, which, while more direct threat, is not as great as the threat of climate change on all life on earth in a slightly greater time scale.
- The global and local south has a lot to teach the global and local north. For this great transition of humanity to occur likely simultaneously requires
- radical amounts of resource transfer from the global / local north to the global / local south,and
- radical degrowth
- In rebuttal to Johan's perspective on Negative Emissions Technologies (NETs),
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in a normal distribution, from over here you have the denialists and over here you have the environmental activists. But in between you have a lot of different types of people. And the majority are actually – we know this from opinion polls – they are very supportive of science. They're very supportive of and concerned about climate change. They want climate action. It's just that they live their normal lives, they have many preoccupations in life. 01:01:44 They have their children, their health, their school, their financing, their incomes. You know, many, many things to be worried about. But that's the question: how do we get this majority, the silent majority, to join us? And I don't think that the way to make them join us is to scare them. And I don't think the way to join is to fight with the denialists. I think the way to join... to make them join... is to show that this pathway can get a better life.
- for: leverage points, quote, quote - Johan Rockstrom, quote - motivating the silent majority, climate change - priority, social tipping point
- quote
- In a normal distribution,
- from over here you have the denialists and
- over here you have the environmental activists.
- But in between you have a lot of different types of people.
- And the majority are actually
- we know this from opinion polls
- very supportive of science.
- They're very supportive of and concerned about climate change.
- They want climate action.
- It's just that they live their normal lives, they have many preoccupations in life.They have
- children,
- health,
- school,
- financing,
- incomes.
- You know, many, many things to be worried about.
- But that's the question:
- how do we get this majority, the silent majority, to join us?
- I don't think that the way to make them join us is to
- scare them and
- fight with the denialists.
- I think the way to make them join is to show that this pathway can get a better life.
- In a normal distribution,
- author: Johan Rockstrom
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date: Sept., 2023
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comment
- in other words
- the silent majority does not yet hold climate change activism to be sufficiently high on their list of priorities yet to warrant the necessary scale of action
Tags
- Climate Marshall plan vs NETs
- quote - Kevin Anderson - Marshall plan
- quote - Johan Rockstrom
- quote - prioritizing climate change
- climate change - Marshall plan
- perspectival knowing - climate crisis - NETs vs Marshall plan
- discussion - Johan Rockstrom / Kevin Anderson
- quote - motivating the silent majority
- social tipping points
- quote - Kevin Anderson
- quote
- decolonize climate change
Annotators
URL
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www.liberation.fr www.liberation.fr
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international du droit maritime des Nations Unies basé à Hambourg en Allemagne
Eine Koalition kleiner Inselstaaten hat beim internationalen Seegerichtshof eine Aussage zur Belastung der Ozeane durch Treibhausgase beantragt. Wenn diese als Verschmutzung im Sinne des Seerechts anerkannt wird, lassen sich damit Klagen gegen die Industriestaaten auf Einschreiten gegen die globale Erhitzung begründen. https://www.liberation.fr/environnement/pollution/des-etats-insulaires-intentent-une-action-en-justice-pour-proteger-les-oceans-20230911_ATZV3N2EAZCMXEWEKUZ32ACL4Q/
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macleans.ca macleans.ca
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the decline of winter shaking our national self-identity the most.
- for: climate change impacts - canada
- comment
- imagine no more hockey or skating outside!
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- for: futures, futures - Canada, climate impacts, climate impacts - Canada
- title: CANADA IN THE YEAR 2060
- author: Anne Shibata Casselman
- date: Sept., 2023
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“Given the high unemployment rate in South Africa as well … you cannot sell it as a climate change intervention,” says Deborah Ramalope, head of climate policy analysis at the policy institute Climate Analytics in Berlin. “You really need to sell it as a socioeconomic intervention.”
- for: quote, quote - climate change intervention, Trojan horse, Deborah Ramalope
- quote
- Given the high unemployment rate in South Africa as well … you cannot sell it as a climate change intervention, you really need to sell it as a socioeconomic intervention.
- author: Deborah Ramalop
- date: Aug. 15, 2023
- source: https://www.wired.co.uk/article/just-energy-transition-partnerships-south-africa-cop
- comment
- A Trojan horse strategy
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climate finance expert Malango Mughogho, who is managing director of ZeniZeni Sustainable Finance Limited in South Africa and a member of the United Nations High-Level Expert Group on net-zero emissions commitments.
- for: climate change financing - South Africa, Malango Mughogho, ZeniZeni, net-zero
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www.paulgilding.com www.paulgilding.com
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- for: system change, polycrisis, extreme weather, planetary tipping points, climate disruption, climate chaos, tipping point, hothouse earth, new meme, deep transformation
- title: The Great Disruption has Begun
- author: Paul Gilding
- date: Sept 3, 2023
- source: https://www.paulgilding.com/cockatoo-chronicles/the-great-disruption-has-begun
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summary
- good q uick opening paragraphs that summarize the plethora of extreme events in 2023 up to Sept 2023 (but misses the Canadian Wildfires) and also the list of potential planetary tipping points that are giving indication of being at the threshold.
- He makes a good point about the conservative nature of science that underestimates impacts due to the inertia of scientific study.
- Coins a good meme
- Everything, everywhere, all at once
- He ties all the various crisis together to show the many components of the wicked problem we face
- finally what it comes down to is that we cannot stop the coming unprecedented changes but we can and must slow it down as much as possible and we should be prepared for a wild ride
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comment
- It would be a good educational tool for deep and transformative climate education to map all these elements of the polycrisis and show their feedbacks and interactions, especially how it relates to socio-economic impacts to motivate transformative change and mobilize the urgency now required.
-
- Aug 2023
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www.mdpi.com www.mdpi.com
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- key finding
- global temp of 2 Deg C could theoretically result in a billion human deaths
- title: Quantifying Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Human Deaths to Guide Energy Policy
- authors: Joshua Pearce, Richard Pamcutt
- date: aug. 19, 2023
- key finding
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www.mdpi.com www.mdpi.com
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Demographic and Socioeconomic Correlates of Disproportionate Beef Consumption among US Adults in an Age of Global Warming
- for: climate change impacts - dietary, climate change impacts - meat eating, carbon footprint - meat, leverage point - meat eating
- title: Demographic and Socioeconomic Correlates of Disproportionate Beef Consumption among US Adults in an Age of Global Warming
- author: Donald Rose
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date: Aug. 30, 2023
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stats
- study based on NHANES study of 10, 248 U.S. adults between 2015 and 2018 indicated that 12% accounted for all beef consumed
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www.futurity.org www.futurity.org
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- for: climate change impacts - meat, carbon footprint - meat, leverage point - food, stats, stats - meat eating
- title:
- stats
- 12% OF AMERICANS EAT HALF OF ALL BEEF CONSUMED IN A DAY
- date: Aug. 30, 2023
- source: https://www.futurity.org/beef-food-climate-change-2967702-2/
- cited paper: https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6643/15/17/3795
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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An unprecedented heatwave occurred in the Pacific Northwest (PNW) from ~25 June to 2 July 2021, over lands colonially named British Columbia (BC) and Alberta (AB) in Canada, Washington (WA), and Oregon (OR) in the United States.
- for climate change - impacts, climate departure, extinction, biodiversity loss, marine heat wave, ubc, Pacific Northwest heatwave
- paraphrase
- stats
- An unprecedented heatwave occurred in the Pacific Northwest (PNW)
- from ~25 June to 2 July 2021,
- over lands colonially named
- British Columbia (BC)
- Alberta (AB) in Canada,
- Washington (WA),
- Oregon (OR) in the United States.
- Near-surface air temperature anomalies reached up to 16–20 °C above normal over a wide region (Fig. 1),
- with many locations breaking all-time maximum temperature records by more than 5 °C (Fig. 2a).
- The Canadian national temperature record was broken 3 days in a row, at multiple locations,
- with the highest temperature of 49.6 °C recorded in Lytton, BC, on 29 June (Figs. 1b),
- 4.6 °C higher than the Canadian record prior to this event.
- The new record temperature was reportedly the hottest worldwide temperature recorded north of 45° latitude,
- and hotter than any recorded temperature in Europe or South America.
- An unprecedented heatwave occurred in the Pacific Northwest (PNW)
-
- for: marine heat wave, fish dieoff, fish kill, extinction, climate departure, climate change - impacts
- title: The unprecedented Pacific Northwest heatwave of June 2021
- date: Feb. 9, 2023
-
-
www.ctvnews.ca www.ctvnews.ca
-
- for: fish kill, climate change - impacts, climate departure, fish kill - Australia
-
-
www.vancouverisawesome.com www.vancouverisawesome.com
-
None of the 28 streams Cunningham and his colleagues studied hit summertime highs warmer than 25.9 C, the point where warming water can become lethal. But in four rivers, temperatures climbed past 20.3 C, the threshold where some have found juvenile coho stop growing.
-
for: climate change - impacts, extinction, biodiversity loss, fish kill, salmon dieoff, stats, stats - salmon, logging, human activity
-
paraphrase
-
stats
- None of the 28 streams Cunningham and his colleagues studied hit summertime highs warmer than 25.9 C,
- the point where warming water can become lethal.
- But in four rivers, temperatures climbed past 20.3 C,
- the threshold where some have found juvenile coho stop growing.
- In some watersheds, deforestation rates climbed to 59 per cent.
-
comment
- deforestation may be a contributing factor but there are also other variables like changes in glacial melt water
-
-
One study found once temperatures climb past 20.3 C, salmon stop growing because they can't get enough food to satisfy their metabolism.
-for: salmon survival temperature, stats, stats - salmon, salmon dieoff, climate change - impacts, fish kill - paraphrase -stats - One study found once temperatures climb past 20.3 C, - salmon stop growing because they can't get enough food to satisfy their metabolism.
-
- for: climate change - impacts, complexity, fish dieoff, salmon dieoff, convergence, ecosystem - logging, convergence - climate change and logging
-
-
macleans.ca macleans.ca
-
What follows is a portrait of Canada in a world warmed by two degrees. This is not what our country will look like if the world fails to reduce emissions—this is our future even if we do.
- for: Canada's future, climate future - Canada, climate communication, polycrisis communication
- quote
- What follows is a portrait of Canada in a world warmed by two degrees. This is not what our country will look like if the world fails to reduce emissions—this is our future even if we do.
- author: Anne Shibata Casselman
- date: Aug, 2023
- source
-
-
link.springer.com link.springer.com
-
While the proximate mechanisms of these anthropogenic changes are well studied (e.g., climate change, biodiversity loss, population growth), the evolutionary causality of these anthropogenic changes have been largely ignored.
- for: climate change - evolutionary causes, cultural evolution - unsustainability, unsustainability
- definition: Anthroecological theory (AET)
- This theory proposes that the ultimate cause of anthropogenic environmental change is multi-level selection for niche construction and ecosystem engineering
-
-
docdrop.org docdrop.org
-
when you when you sort of take a step back and look at that part of the distraction and the 00:14:47 chaos that Trump and these GOP trolls deliver it's it's a wonderful Boon for the oil and gas industry and the Koch brothers and the guys that fund these campaigns and the federal Federalist 00:14:59 Society you know that's owning the Supreme Court they want to keep doing business as usual and the easiest way to do that is to have this big chaotic GOP that ignores climate change and to play 00:15:11 into what they want is the mainstream media not focusing more on climate change let alone making those two connections and a lot of mainstream media is scared to make that connection because oil companies are paying the bills 00:15:23 and CNN and every other network
- for: polycrisis, Trumpism, Chaos, distraction, climate crisis, climate communication, complexity, adjacency climate change fossil fuel industry, adjacency climate change big oil, adjacency climate change politics big oil, quote adjacency climate change fossil fuel industry, quote adjacency climate change big oil
- key insight
- claim
- One big reason that big oil is funding GOP to keep the chaotic Trump story as the main headline is to foster distraction from climate change impacts
- big news story in the US is Donald Trump and the election, climate change impacts of extreme weather is minimized
- the distraction of politics from a chaotic GOP is perfect distraction for the masses to ignore climate change and for big oil to continue BAU
- claim
- paraphrase
- quote
- when you take a step back and look at that part of the distraction and the chaos that Trump and these GOP trolls deliver
- it's it's a wonderful Boon for the oil and gas industry and the Koch brothers and the guys that fund these campaigns and the federal Federalist Society that's owning the Supreme Court
- they want to keep doing business as usual and the easiest way to do that is
- to have this big chaotic GOP that ignores climate change and
- to play into what they want
- the mainstream media not focusing more on climate change let alone making those two connections
- a lot of mainstream media is scared to make that connection because oil companies are paying the bills of CNN and every other network
- author
- Noel Casler
Tags
- quote - adjacency - climate change - Trump
- adjacency - climate change - politics
- complexity
- quote - adjacency - climate change - fossil fuel industry
- big oil
- quote
- quote - adjacency - climate change - big oil
- climate change - Trump as distraction
- fossil fuel - media influence
- quote - adjacency - climate change - politicis
- adjacency - climate change - Trump
- big oil - media influence
- polycrisis
- climate change - distraction
Annotators
URL
-
-
-
you can imagine that that if that's happening today and climate change hasn't really even hit yet and biodiversity loss really hasn't even hit badly yet or at least this hasn't hit widespread 00:35:45 badly
- for: future climate impacts, futures, climate impacts, preparedness, climate change - human migration, climate refuge, climate departure, Camilo Mora
-
comment
- There will be massive human migration
- Europe is already unable to cope with the migration of a million climate refugees from Syria
- The US is polarized due to mass migration of a few people escaping climate crisis and violence in central and South America
- Developed countries will be overwhelmed with climate refugees number in the millions or tens of millions
- In addition to human migration, the migration of species seeking cooler temperatures will fundamentally reshape our economies
- climate departure is the date when local climate goes outside normal historical bounds and locally adapted species do not recognize it anymore and will be forced to migrate to survive
- climate departure is a huge issue that is going to happen, regardless of which decarbonoization path we take. This means all species on the globe will be undergoing dramatic environmental shifts, making mass extinction more likely.
-
reference
- Dr. Camilo Mora et al. seminal 2013 paper on climate departure: https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbafybeihfoajtasczfz4s6u6j4mmyzlbn7zt4f7hpynjdvd6vpp32zmx5la.ipfs.dweb.link%2FTheprojectedtimingofclimatedeparture2013.pdf&group=vnpq69nW
-
so here we go to number six why transform
- for: doughnut economics, climate change - societal impacts, whole system change - motivation
- question: why transform?
- answer
- The word transformation is carefully chosen by John and here he explains why.
- We face an extreme and growing polycrisis that threatens to overpower our capacity to cope with it unless we act now for whole system transformation.
- Voices across all of society are becoming more vocal of the need to transform the existing system.
- This transformation program does not need everyone to participate, just a sufficient but small percentage of the population who are aligned to these ideas.
- Not everyone believes such transformation is necessary but the R+D project only needs to onboard a small percentage of the population who does believe to change the entire system for the benefit of even the non-believers.
- answer
- comment
- John is implying social tipping points as well as social engineering
-
-
theconversation.com theconversation.com
-
Climate change can drive social tipping points – for better or for worse
-
for: social tipping point, social tipping points, leverage point, leverage points, STP, 25% STP threshold
-
title
- Climate change can drive social tipping points – for better or for worse
- source
- date
- July 31, 2023
- author
- Sonia Graham
- reference
-
-
-
www.yesmagazine.org www.yesmagazine.org
-
- for: art and healing, climate anxiety, eco-anxiety, TPF
-
-
www.frontiersin.org www.frontiersin.org
-
-
for: social tipping points, STP, social tipping point, leverage point, Sirkku Juhola
-
title
- Social tipping points and adaptation limits in the context of systemic risk: Concepts, models and governance
- authors
- Sirkku Juhola
- Tatiana Filatova
- Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler
- Reinhard Mechler
- Jurgen Scheffran
- Pia-Johanna Schweizer
- date
- Sept 21, 2022
-
abstract
- Physical tipping points have gained a lot of attention in global and climate change research to understand the conditions for system transitions when it comes to the atmosphere and the biosphere.
- Social tipping points have been framed as mechanisms in socio-environmental systems, where a small change in the underlying elements or behavior of actors triggers a large non-linear response in the social system.
- With climate change becoming more acute, it is important to know whether and how societies can adapt.
- While social tipping points related to climate change have been associated with positive or negative outcomes,
- overstepping adaptation limits has been linked to adverse outcomes where actors' values and objectives are strongly compromised.
- Currently, the evidence base is limited, and most of the discussion on social tipping points in climate change adaptation and risk research is conceptual or anecdotal.
- This paper brings together three strands of literature -
- social tipping points,
- climate adaptation limits and
- systemic risks,
- which so far have been separate.
- Furthermore, we discuss
- methods and
- models
- used to illustrate the dynamics of
- social and
- adaptation tipping points
- in the context of cascading risks at different scales beyond adaptation limits.
- We end with suggesting that further evidence is needed to identify tipping points in social systems,
- which is crucial for developing appropriate governance approaches.
-
reference
-
-
-
www.rifs-potsdam.de www.rifs-potsdam.de
-
-
for: social tipping point, social tipping points, leverage point, STP
-
reference
-
-
-
-
- for: climate denial, climate denier, climate change denialism, climate change denial, climate change denier
- title
- Why focusing on “climate change denial” is counterproductive
- authors
- Christian Bretter
- Felix Schulz
- source
-
date
- March 1, 2023
-
claim
- We believe that the dichotomous view of
- climate change “deniers” and
- climate change “accepters”
- is not helpful.
- This way of framing the debate only stymies our path to a zero-carbon future. It does so for three primary reasons:
- First, it creates an inaccurate picture by overstating the share and importance of climate change deniers for tackling climate change.
- Second, a focus on climate denialism divides and polarizes society, further preventing constructive engagement with different opinions.
- Third, it distracts us from concentrating on the more pressing question: how we should tackle climate change, not if.
- We believe that the dichotomous view of
-
comment
- I disagree with some of the claims, especially when there is a spectrum of disbelief that has significant impacts on dealing with climate crisis effectively.
- for example, there is a lot of climate change denialism in the Republican party which is holding up adequate funding for dealing effectively with the climate crisis.
- I disagree with some of the claims, especially when there is a spectrum of disbelief that has significant impacts on dealing with climate crisis effectively.
-
- Jul 2023
-
www.nature.com www.nature.com
-
In addition to their high GHG emissions from consumption, high-SES people have disproportionate climate influence through at least four non-consumer roles: as investors, as role models within their social networks and for others who observe their choices, as participants in organizations and as citizens seeking to influence public policies or corporate behaviour
- for: high-SES, 1%, W2W, inequality, carbon inequality, elites, billionaires, millionaires, leverage point
- five high carbon emission areas of high-SES, HNWI, VHNWI
- consumption
- investor
- role model within social networks
- participants in organizations
- citizens seeking to influence public policies or corporate behavior
-
We focus on individuals and households with high socioeconomic status (SES; henceforth, high-SES people) because they have generated many of the problems of fossil fuel dependence that affect the rest of humanity.
- for: high-SES, 1%, W2W, inequality, carbon inequality, elites, billionaires, millionaires, leverage point
- definition
- high-SES
- high socioeconomic status
- equivalent to high net worth individual (HNWI) or
- very high net worth individual (VHNWI)
- high-SES
-
- for: carbon inequality, w2w, leverage point - climate change, 1%, inequality, wealth tax
- title
- The role of high-socioeconomic-status people in locking in or rapidly reducing energy-driven greenhouse gas emissions
- authors
- Kristian S. Nielsen
- Kimberly A. Nicholas
- Felix Creutzig
- Thomas Dietz
- Paul C. Stern
- date
- Sept 30, 2021 -source
- https://www.nature.com/articles/s41560-021-00900-y
- abstract
- People with high socioeconomic status disproportionally affect energy-driven greenhouse gas emissions directly
- through their consumption and
- indirectly through their financial and social resources.
- However, few climate change mitigation initiatives have targeted this population segment,
- and the potential of such initiatives remains insufficiently researched.
- In this Perspective, we analyse key characteristics of high-socioeconomic-status people and explore five roles through which they have a disproportionate impact on energy-driven greenhouse gas emissions and potentially on climate change mitigation, namely as:
- consumers,
- investors,
- role models,
- organizational participants and
- citizens.
- We examine what is known about their disproportionate impact via consumption and
- explore their potential influence on greenhouse gas emissions through all five roles.
- We suggest that future research should focus on strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by high-socioeconomic-status people and to align their
- investments,
- organizational choices and
- actions as social and political change agents
- with climate change mitigation goals.
- People with high socioeconomic status disproportionally affect energy-driven greenhouse gas emissions directly
-
-
scheerpost.com scheerpost.com
-
- for: inequality, 1%, elites, carbon inequality, leverage point, leverage point - climate change, oxfam
- quote
- Richest 1% Took 2/3rds of Global Wealth Since 2020
- Richest 1% increased wealth in 2020 and 2021 twice as much as 99% of Population Earned
-
-
davidkorten.org davidkorten.org
-
-
for: ecological civilization, climate emergency, climate EMERGEncy inner/outer transformation, eco civilization, rapid whole system change
-
Title
- Ecological Civilization: From Emergency to Emergence
- Author
- David Korten
- Date
- May 25, 2021
-
-
-
-
"In the paper we sketch five different roles
-
for: carbon inequality, W2W, leverage point
-
five leverage points
- consumer.
- investors
- lobbyist
- influencer
- citizen
-
-
people who are wealthy contribute the most to causing climate change, they are unfortunately also in the most ideal position to help us mitigate climate change.
- for: W2W, carbon inequality, leverage point
- quote
- "people who are wealthy contribute the most to causing climate change,
- they are unfortunately also in the most ideal position to help us mitigate climate change"
- "people who are wealthy contribute the most to causing climate change,
- author
- Kristian Nielsen
- https://www.nature.com/articles/s41560-021-00900-y
- The role of high-socioeconomic-status people in locking in or rapidly reducing energy-driven greenhouse gas emissions
- Kristian Nielsen
-
-
-
at third act where we organize old people like me over the age 00:05:36 of 60. we're concentrating on democracy and on climate they seem uh they seem the twin crises that we face
-
for: polycrisis, dual crisis, climate change and political polarization
-
key insight
- we have to deal with climate crisis AND political polarization simultaneously
- unless we solve the political polarization problem, we will be stuck in policy gridlock
-
-
-
www.apa.org www.apa.org
-
- Title
- Psychology and Global Climate Change: Addressing a Multi-faceted Phenomenon and Set of Challenges A Report by the American Psychological Association’s Task Force on the Interface Between Psychology and Global Climate Change
- Authors
- Janet Swim
- Susan Clayton
- Thomas Doherty
- Robert Gifford
- George Howard
- Joseph Reser
- Paul Stern
- Elke Weber
- Title
-
-
blogs.worldbank.org blogs.worldbank.org
-
Hiding in plain sight: The missing trillions for climate change
- Title
- Hiding in plain sight: The missing trillions for climate change
- Author Axel Van Trotsenburg
- Date
- June 15, 2023
- Publisher
- World Bank
- Title
-
-
media.dltj.org media.dltj.org
-
4-Jul-2023 — Transcript is translated from German by YouTube.
Description (translated from German):
The problem of a Bavarian farmer: his hops are thirsty and the energy transition is progressing too slowly. The solution: a solar system that provides shade over the fields - and a sustainable second source of income.
-
- Jun 2023
-
www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
-
Das von der britischen Regierung selbst eingesetzte Climate Change Committee hat die Klimapolitik Großbritanniens als völlig unzureichend kritisiert. Das Land habe seine führende Position bei der Dekarbonisierung verloren und handele in einigen Bereichen (z.B. Verkehr, Heizungen, Dekarbonisierung der Industrie, Propagierung einer emissionsarmen Lebensweise) in einer völlig inakzeptablen Weise.
Bericht des Climate Change Committees: https://www.theccc.org.uk/publication/2023-progress-report-to-parliament/
-
-
-
2022 lag die Durchschnittstemperatur in Europa 2,3 Grad über dem vorindustriellen Mittel Punkt kein Kontinent heizt sich so schnell auf wie Europa. Das geht aus einem neuen Bericht von Copernicus und World Meteorological Organisation hervor, der auch auf das schnelle Wachstum der Erneuerbaren in Europa eingeht. https://taz.de/Daten-zur-Klimakrise/!5942276/
-
-
www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
-
Im ersten Jahr nach der Invasion der Ukraine im Februar 2022 hat Großbritannien für 19,3 Milliarden Pfund Öl und Gas aus anderen autoritären Petrostaaten als Russland bezogen. Eine Analyse von Desmog ergibt, dass Großbritannien in diesem Jahr für 125,7 Milliarden Pfund fossile Brennstoffe importiert und damit zum ersten Mal die 100-Milliarden-Grenze überschritten hat, obwohl eine Reduktion des Verbrauchs von Öl und Gas dringend nötig ist. Trotz des Embargos verkaufte auch Russland eine Rekordmenge an Öl in diesem Jahr. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/jun/09/193bn-of-fossil-fuels-imported-by-uk-from-authoritarian-states-in-year-since-ukraine-war
-
-
docdrop.org docdrop.org
-
it is beyond an emergency it's the biggest thing we need to do today it's bigger than climate change that the former Chief business Officer 00:01:04 of Google X an AI expert and best-selling author he's on a mission to save the world from AI before it's too late
- claim
- AI dilemma is bigger problem than climate change
-
-
crsreports.congress.gov crsreports.congress.govR475831
-
Is That Climate Change? The Science of Extreme Event Attribution
Congressional Research Service R47583 June 1, 2023
-
- May 2023
-
en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
-
- Apr 2023
-
www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
-
Die World Weather Attribution Group hat in einer Studie nachgewiesen, dass die große Dürre an Horn von Afrika ein Ergebnis der Erhitzung der Erde durch Treibhausgase ist. Von der Dürre sind 50 Millionen Menschen direkt und weitere 100 Millionen indirekt betroffen. Ohne die Erhöhung der Temperaturen hätten dieselben Regenverhältnisse nicht zu einer Dürre geführt. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/apr/27/human-driven-climate-crisis-fuelling-horn-of-africa-drought-study
Tags
- attribution
- expert: Joyce Kimutai
- expert: Friederike Otto
- institution: enya Meteorological Department
- institution: Grantham Institute for climate change and the environment
- institution: World Weather Attribution Group
- institution: Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre,
- expert: Cheikh Kane
- region: Horn of Africa
Annotators
URL
-
-
www.bbc.com www.bbc.com
-
Climate change: How to talk to a denier by Merlyn Thomas & Marco Silva
-
-
www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
-
-
The most efficient route toward enacting such policy, the authors argue, lies not in convincing deniers to believe in climate change but in galvanizing those who already do.
-
In a 2015 study published in PLOS One, Maibach and colleagues found that telling people that experts agreed on climate change increased the chances that those individuals would accept that climate change was happening, was human-caused, and presented a real threat. Extra encouraging: That strategy was also particularly influential on Republicans, though liberals might also need a nudge.
-
For many skeptics, Neha Thirani Bagri has written in Quartz, delineating the myriad potential harms of unmitigated climate change is not an effective strategy. Instead, it can be more productive to illustrate the potential benefits that mitigation may carry. She writes:A comprehensive study published in 2015 in Nature surveyed 6,000 people across 24 countries and found that emphasizing the shared benefits of climate change was an effective way of motivating people to take action — even if they initially identified as deniers. For example, people were more likely to take steps to mitigate climate change if they believe that it will produce economic and scientific development. Most importantly, these results were true across political ideology, age, and gender.
-
research has found that conservatives are more likely to support a pro-environmental agenda when presented with messages containing themes of patriotism and defending the purity of nature.
-
the best predictor of whether we agree with the science is simply where we fall on the political spectrum.
Dr. Katharine Hayhoe, climate scientist at Texas Tech University
the referent "the science" is "the [climate] science" in this context
-
-
-
certificates.creativecommons.org certificates.creativecommons.org
-
Recommended Source
Under the "More on Philosophies of Copyright" section, I recommended adding the scholarly article by Chinese scholar Peter K. Yu that explains how Chinese philosophy of Yin-Yang can address the contradictions in effecting or eliminating intellectual property laws. One of the contradictions is in intellectual property laws protecting individual rights while challenging sustainability efforts for future generations (as climate change destroys more natural resources.
Yu, Peter K., Intellectual Property, Asian Philosophy and the Yin-Yang School (November 19, 2015). WIPO Journal, Vol. 7, pp. 1-15, 2015, Texas A&M University School of Law Legal Studies Research Paper No. 16-70, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2693420
Below is a short excerpt from the article that details Chinese philosophical thought on IP and sustainability:
"Another area of intellectual property law and policy that has made intergenerational equity questions salient concerns the debates involving intellectual property and sustainable development. Although this mode of development did not garner major international attention until after the 1992 Earth Summit in Rio de Janeiro, the Yin-Yang school of philosophy—which “offers a normative model with balance, harmony, and sustainability as ideals”—provides important insight into sustainable development."
-
-
www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
-
Das Interview mit dem UAE-Ölminister, #Adnoc-Chef und #COP28-Präsidenten Sultan Al Jaber ist ein Paradebeispiel dafür, wie die Fossil-Branche den Kampf gegen die durch sie verursachte Klimakatastrophe hijackt. Dazu gehört es auch - verkörpert durch diesen Minister, der gleichzeitig Firmenchef ist - das hochpolitische Öl- und Gasgeschäft als Business-as-usual auszugeben.
-
- Mar 2023
-
www.frontiersin.org www.frontiersin.org
-
This example illustrates the potential for an unintended consequence to move between categories and demonstrates that there are times when it is necessary to review and reflect. What is considered known and knowable changes over time: has the state of knowledge developed or an unintended consequence been identified?
// - This is the critical question - Looking at history, can we see predictive patterns - when it makes sense to stop and take questions of the unknown seriously - rather than steaming ahead into uncharted territory? - We might find that society did not follow science's call - for applying the precautionary principle - because profits were just too great - the profit bias at play - profit overrides safety, health and wellbeing
-
-
jacobin.com jacobin.com
-
the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change released its “synthesis” report summarizing the findings of its sixth assessment (the last occurred in 2014). The findings are painfully familiar: the world is falling far short of its emission goals, and without rapid reductions this decade, the planet is likely to shoot to beyond 1.5 or even 2 degrees Celsius of warming this century (we are at 1.1 degrees now). We seem to be stuck in a doom-loop news cycle where scientific reports create headlines, and earnest climate commentators insist the new report represents a true “wake-up call” for action, and then . . . emission keep rising. They hit a record once again in 2022. The world of climate politics appears to exist in two completely different worlds. There is a largely liberal and idealist world of climate technocrats where science informs policy, and there is the real, material capitalist world of power.
- A good observation
- about the cognitive dissonance of the situation
- A good observation
-
“I think we’re on the cusp of a massive transformation . . . ultimately, the market is going to make the decisions, not the government.”
Indeed, - and the market could very well make the decision - that will exceed planetary boundaries - after all, the highest priorities are the lowest cost goods - those already well established in the market place by reliance on fossil fuels, - that can maintain an individual's life
-
-
-
He said he and Arkush “went through every possible objection” and found no legal barrier for prosecutors to raise criminal charges against companies that he said have lied about their knowledge of the danger of burning fossil fuels. “What’s really probably stopping them is that no one has done it before,” Braman said. “The level of culpability and the extent of the harm is so massive that it’s not the kind of thing that prosecutors are used to prosecuting.”
- Quote
-
-
deliverypdf.ssrn.com deliverypdf.ssrn.com
-
-
Title: Climate Homicide: Prosecuting Big Oil for Climate Deaths
-
Author:
- David Arkush
- Donald Braman
-
Abstract
- Paraphrase
- Prosecutors regularly bring homicide charges against individuals and
corporations
- whose reckless or negligent acts or omissions
- cause unintentional deaths,
- as well as those whose misdemeanors or felonies cause unintentional deaths.
- Fossil fuel companies learned decades ago that
- what they
- produced,
- marketed, and
- sold
- would generate “globally catastrophic” climate change.
- what they
- Rather than alert the public and curtail their
operations,
- they worked to
- deceive the public about these harms and
- to prevent regulation of their lethal conduct.
- they worked to
- They funded efforts to
- call sound science into doubt and
- to confuse their
- shareholders,
- consumers, and
- regulators.
- poured money into political campaigns to elect or
install
- judges,
- legislators, and
- executive officials hostile to any
- litigation,
- regulation, or
- competition
- that might limit their profits.
- Today, the climate change that they forecast
- has already killed thousands of people in the United States,
- and it is expected to become increasingly lethal for the foreseeable future.
- Given the
- extreme lethality of the conduct and
- the awareness of the catastrophic risk
- on the part of fossil fuel companies,
- should they be charged with homicide?
- Could they be convicted?
- In answering these questions,
- this Article makes several contributions to
- our understanding of criminal law and
- the role it could play in combating crimes committed at a massive scale.
- this Article makes several contributions to
- It describes
- the doctrinal and
- social predicates of homicide prosecutions
- where corporate conduct endangers much or all of the public.
- It also identifies important advantages of
- homicide prosecutions
- relative to
- civil and
- regulatory remedies,
- and it details
- how and
- why
- prosecution for homicide may be the most effective legal remedy available in cases like this.
- Finally, it argues that,
- if our criminal legal system cannot focus more intently on climate crimes soon
- we may leave future generations with significantly less for the law to protect.
- Prosecutors regularly bring homicide charges against individuals and
corporations
-
-
-
brill.com brill.com
-
// - This article provides an intersectional study of: - climate change, - collective action research - terror management theory / mortality salience - it explains the beneficial impacts of non-rational relational ontology and recommends the use of ritual practices based on this as a way to promote pro-environmental behavior
//
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Knowledge about problems on this scale brings paralyzing guilt, fear, and a sense of helplessness
// in other words - presenting knowledge alone can trigger a host of counter-productive behaviiors
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www.gndmedia.co.uk www.gndmedia.co.uk
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Ads, Andrew and James discuss where the the climate movement is right now, how deep time plays into the effects we are having on the planet, when good people do bad things because of poor systems and what happens next if 1.5C fails.
- 21:52 Carbon credits, carbon markets
- it's a scam designed to perpetuate fossil fuel use, in a phoney war against the climate crisis
- Offsets were designed to allow polluters to pay others to create schemes that would compensate or "offset" that pollution. The classic example WAS afforestation, the planting of trees that can sequester that carbon.
- Carbon neutrality comes from this idea that you can keep polluting if you offset it and become "carbon neutral"
- A company may decarbonize a lot of their supply chain but may struggle to get rid of airflights around the world. In that case, they use offsets. When companies analyze the very difficult choices, they take the easy way out and use carbon offsets
- However, there is so much offsets for afforestation now that there isn't enough land on earth
- Carbon markets are a recipe for grifting and fraud or zero impacts
- This is the current state of offsets
31:00 Shell oil carbon offset greenwashing scam - the sky zero proposal - Shell claims they can offset all the O+G emissions out of the ground - it is preposterous - there's not enough land on earth when you tally up all the carbon offset afforestation schemes
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32:30 Neo-colonialism
- rich white man can offset his emissions by buying land from a developing nation. Now the indigenous people cannot use that land for any reason.
- also, will require huge amount of water to grow those trees
- we don't have enough land and we don't have 100 years, only 5 years.
- nature-based solutions are an industrial, myopic approach
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37:00 Deferred Emission Reduction
- a lot of carbon credits are called deferred emission reduction credits.
- this is avoided emissions - ie. trees in a forest with 100 ton of sequestering potential
- this is promise to not destroy the biosphere any further so it's not removing any existing carbon
- maybe multiple people might own the same forest, or someone might come along and burn it down
- Trees are vulnerable to climate impacts - ie. Microsoft bought a large forest in California that later burned down in a climate change intensified wildfire
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40:00 can we do anything within the extractive capitalist system?
- some people claim that as long as extractivist capitalism still persists, we cannot have system change
- also a neocolonialist element - global north exploited the global south to create most of the emissions in the atmospheric commons
- a number of people are beginning to see that an extractivist capitalist system is not in line with effectively addressing the climate crisis
- wind, solar, etc has displaced electricity generation in a number of countries like in the UK. However, these are only a few countries.Renewables are helping increase overall energy production
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44:22: Stop burning fossil fuels
- t doesn't matter if investments in renewables triple. It won't make a difference if we don't significantly stop burning fossil fuels at the same time.
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47:00 economic growth prevents real change
- Insisting on 1, 2 or 3% growth, will limit the response to the climate threat to render it irrelevant
- Climate change is still mostly an optimization problem. They are more concerned with economic damage.
- Economists believe that anything that threatens economic growth cannot be accepted
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51:00 Degrowth making headway
- Degrowth scholars are getting more attention on the need to decouple economic grwoth from climate policies
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52:10 Is there a positive future scenario - The role of solidarity
- Solidarity is the greatest strength we can harness.
- The success of Doughnut Economics gives me hope
- The richest 1% must reign in their impacts and redistribute to allow the impoverished to live humane lives
- We can all have good lives and we don't have to manufacture that wonder
- This is what it is to be human
- 21:52 Carbon credits, carbon markets
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www.ted.com www.ted.com
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From TED Countdown London 2022
Abstract
To restrain global warming, we know we need to drastically reduce pollution. The very next step after that: using both natural and technological solutions to trap as much excess carbon dioxide from the air as possible. Enter Orca, the world's first large-scale direct air capture and storage plant, built in Iceland by the team at Climeworks, led by climate entrepreneur Jan Wurzbacher. This plant is capable of removing 4,000 tons of carbon dioxide from the air each year. With affordability and scalability in mind, Wurzbacher shares his vision for what comes after Orca, the future of carbon removal tech -- and why these innovations are crucial to stop climate change.
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www.liberation.fr www.liberation.fr
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Coernicus-Daten zum Sommer
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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www.sciencedirect.com www.sciencedirect.com
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Discussion on how to downscale the climate change boundary has now become a political and equity issue more than a scientific issue. For example, how does one decide the allocation of the CO2 emissions? Should the past emissions be considered? Should the amount of emissions account for the current welfare of the countries, allowing less developed countries to emit more? Or, is it sufficient to calculate a global per capita value that is the same everywhere?
Classic issue
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- Feb 2023
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medium.com medium.com
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- Title: Faster than expected
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subtitle: why most climate scientists can’t tell the truth (in public) Author: Jackson Damien
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This is a good article written from a psychotherapist's perspective,
- examining the psychology behind why published, mainstream, peer reviewed climate change research is always dangerously lagging behind current research,
- and recommending what interventions could be be taken to remedy this
- This your of scientific misinformation coming from scientists themselves
- gives minimizers and denialists the very ammunition they need to legitimise delay of the urgently needed system change.
- What climate scientists say In public is far from what they believe in private.
- For instance, many climate scientists don't believe 1.5 Deg. C target is plausible anymore, but don't say so in public.
- That reticence is due to fear of violating accepted scientific social norms,
- being labeled alarmist and risk losing their job.
- That creates a collective cognitive dissonance that acts as a feedback signal
- for society to implement change at a dangerously slow pace
- and to not spend the necessary resources to prepare for the harm already baked in.
- The result of this choice dissonance is that
- there is no collective sense of an emergency or a global wartime mobilisation scale of collective behaviour.
- Our actions are not commensurate to the permanent emergency state we are now in.
- The appropriate response that is suggested is for the entire climate science community to form a coalition that creates a new kind of peer reviewed publishing and reporting
- that publicly responds to the current and live knowledge that is being discovered every day.
- This is done from a planetary and permanent emergency perspective in order to eliminate the dangerous delays that create the wrong human collective behavioural responses.
Tags
- climate change psychology
- Current climate research outdated
- Climate change is worse than reported
- eco anxiety
- climate psychology
- permanent emergency
- climate alarmist
- climate change misinformation
- Climate change underestimated
- climate change alarmist
- permacrisis.
- 1.5 Deg C o longer plausible
- eco-anxiety
Annotators
URL
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Make the case that the status quo is inequitable
Change is tough but needed. It may not directly help those who participate in surveys of campus climate.
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wrp.lrfoundation.org.uk wrp.lrfoundation.org.uk
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Forty-one per cent of people globally see climate change as a ‘very serious threat’ to their country
41% of the global population - see climate change as a serious threat
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The Lloyd's Register Foundation World Risk Poll
TITLE: Global Climate Change Poll
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www.verywellmind.com www.verywellmind.com
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Over 50% of people reported feeling powerless or helpless in the previously mentioned study.
- = eco-anxiety
- = climate change anxiety
- 50% of people reported feeling helpless
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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The survey — the largest of its kind — asked 10,000 young people in 10 countries how they felt about climate change and government responses to it.The results, released in a preprint on 14 September1, found that most respondents were concerned about climate change, with nearly 60% saying they felt ‘very worried’ or ‘extremely worried’. Many associated negative emotions with climate change — the most commonly chosen were ‘sad’, ‘afraid’, ‘anxious’, ‘angry’ and ‘powerless’ (see ‘Climate anxiety’). Overall, 45% of participants said their feelings about climate change impacted their daily lives.
- = climate anxiety
- = ecoanxiety
- feelings of = helplessness, = powerless
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penntoday.upenn.edu penntoday.upenn.edu
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real-life situations can be much more complicated, the authors’ model allows for the exact 25 percent tipping point number to change based on circumstances. Memory length is a key variable, and relates to how entrenched a belief or behavior is.
- 25% social tipping point threshold is adjustable
- depending on the variables of the context
- = question - how do we apply this adjustability for complex contagion such as climate change norms?
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- Jan 2023
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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we have individual capitalists who try 00:48:45 to make the most profit and this is linked to their capital and productivity so to achieve more in less time and 00:48:57 productivity is linked to energy [Music] the only source of energy to increase profit is carbon oil and gas and this has resulted in a change in our 00:49:15 atmosphere we have to put an entities if we wish to live in our planet can our capitalism do this based on the current data we won't be able to do so 00:49:28 therefore perhaps we should do the following reflection if capitalism is unable to do so either Humanity will die with it or 00:49:42 Humanity will overcome capitalism so that we can live in our planet
!- Urrego : Key Point - Can capitalism rapidly detour away from fossil fuels? The current data indicates no. So either Humanity does our it drops capitalism
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you've had problems in your area where you tried to get legislation and the oil and gas industry came in and fought you right in my state same thing every piece 00:44:08 of pro-climate legislation at the national level the regional level the local level Municipal level the oil and gas industry and the coal industry they come in and fight it tooth and nail and 00:44:21 they use their legacy network of political influence and wealth to stop progress the rest of us have to reform these International institutions so that the people of this world and including 00:44:34 the young people of this world can say we are now in charge of our own destiny we're going to stop using the sky as an open sewer we're going to save the future and give people hope we can do it 00:44:47 and remember that political will is itself a renewable resource
!- oil and gas legislation : industry lawyers at every level
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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can have a pretty outsized carbon footprint and I'm wondering how you reconcile the vast amount of computational power necessary to accomplish this work and its negative impact on the environment and whether or not this is something you all are considering
Question: has the project considered the energy impact?
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humansandnature.org humansandnature.org
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People newly faced with the precarity of future expectations and the loss of attachments to habitual ways of life tighten their grip on them, no matter how objectively unsustainable, and turn toward blaming the other, the victims, rather than extending empathy and solidarity toward them.
!- good observation on psychology of confronting loss : climate change - when confronted with the loss of liberty (give me liberty or give me death), we tighten our grip<br /> - our climate denialism increases in proportion to the perceived degree of loss of liberty
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A deliberative democracy in which competent citizens participate in policy decisions about the long-term challenges facing their society is an ideal setting for confronting the threat of climate change. Democratic deliberation is designed to help selfish individuals reformulate their interests in the language of the communities to which they belong—to allow them to move from “me thinking” to “we thinking” and to substitute long-term, future-minded thinking for the short-term, present-minded, special-interest thinking. It allows private opinion to be shaped by shared belief and the discipline of inter-subjective (“scientific”) knowledge.
!- Key concept : deliberative democracy of competent, participative citizens driving long term policy decisions is ideal for confronting climate change - transform self-centered individual to group-centered - shift from Me to We (invert the M) - shift from short term to long term thinking - intersubjective scientific knowledge
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www.cbc.ca www.cbc.ca
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Environmentalists say bulldozing the village to expand the Garzweiler mine would result in huge amounts of greenhouse gas emissions. The government and utility company RWE argue the coal is needed to ensure Germany's energy security.Police officers use water cannons on protesters in Luetzerath on Saturday. (Thilo Schmuelgen/Reuters)The regional and national governments, both of which include the environmentalist Green party, reached a deal with RWE last year allowing it to destroy the abandoned village in return for ending coal use by 2030, rather than 2038.Some speakers at Saturday's demonstration assailed the Greens, whose leaders argue that the deal fulfils many of the environmentalists' demands and saved five other villages from demolition.What on Earth?Why the reversal of a decades-old coal policy sparked controversy in Alberta"It's very weird to see the German government, including the Green party, make deals and compromise with companies like RWE, with fossil fuel companies, when they should rather be held accountable for all the damage and destruction they have caused," Thunberg said."My message to the German government is that they should stop what's happening here immediately, stop the destruction, and ensure climate justice for everyone."
Assuming the facts are correct and complete here, it's surprisingly naive of Thunberg to take this view. One unknown is whether the displaced villagers were suitably compensated for being evicted. Still, taking 8 years off the deadline to end coal use - that's a pretty massive win and could set the stage for even more in the future.
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www.cambridge.org www.cambridge.org
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Finally, statistics should reinforce the fact that any patterning found cannot be explained as accidental.
It is possible that the variations in patterning may tell us about the relative timing of the data. Perhaps the earliest data points may have been anecdotal evidence that was improved over time.
Of course it could be the case that migrations, births, etc. may have shifted somewhat over time.
What does the general climate data from these areas and this time period show? Is there variability in this time period?
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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i think climate change is going to put a strong pressure in the sense that you know i think when people see more and more catastrophic climatic events you know i think attitudes toward globalization and attitudes toward inequality in general you know can change very quickly because 00:43:25 you know at some point i think people will not find it funny at all to have all these billionaires you know giving lessons using their private jet doing your space tourism et cetera you know at some point you know i think nobody is going to find this funny at all and there can be a very quick and and fast you know complete change in attitude following this
!- Thomas Piketty : climate change impacts on inequality - climate change extreme events can very quickly cause the public attitudes to the elites to deteriorate very rapidly
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- Dec 2022
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dl.acm.org dl.acm.org
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While the average human is responsible for an estimated 5t 퐶푂2푒per year,2 the authors trained a Transformer (big) model [136] withneural architecture search and estimated that the training procedureemitted 284t of 퐶푂2. Training a single BERT base model (withouthyperparameter tuning) on GPUs was estimated to require as muchenergy as a trans-American flight.
Energy consumption on NLP model training
Training a model cost 57 times the annual CO2 emissions of a single person.
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- Nov 2022
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www.canarymedia.com www.canarymedia.com
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A 2020 study by the European Union found that contrails and other non-CO2 aircraft emissions warm the planet twice as much as the carbon dioxide released by airplanes.
From the intermediate linked blog post:
Using a derivative metric of the Global Warming Potential (100), the GWP, aviation emissions are currently warming the climate at approximately three times the rate of that associated with CO2 emissions alone.
pp. 35-36 of EASA report for European Commission, (2020). Updated analysis of the non-CO2 climate impacts of aviation and potential policy measures pursuant to the EU Emissions Trading System Directive Article 30(4). https://eur-lex.europa.eu/resource.html?uri=cellar:7bc666c9-2d9c-11eb-b27b-01aa75ed71a1.0001.02/DOC_1&format=PDF
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- Oct 2022
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www.flickr.com www.flickr.com
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In a recent paper published in Nature Climate Change, scientists found that major sea-level rise from the melting of the Greenland ice cap is now ‘inevitable’ even if the burning of fossil fuels were to halt overnight. Using satellite observations of Greenland ice loss and ice cap from 2000 to 2019, the team found the losses will lead to a minimum rise of 27 cm regardless of climate change.
A great example of the lag that large, complex systems exhibit when responding to significant input changes.
Lag is something that humans are woefully weak at recognizing and understanding. This, and other systems concepts are what we need to add to the curriculum at all levels of education, to change this very significant shortcoming of "common knowledge".
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- Sep 2022
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.comLinkedIn1
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"Respondents across all countries were worried about climate change (59% were very or extremely worried and 84% were at least moderately worried). More than 50% reported each of the following emotions: sad, anxious, angry, powerless, helpless, and guilty. More than 45% of respondents said their feelings about climate change negatively affected their daily life and functioning, and many reported a high number of negative thoughts about climate change (eg, 75% said that they think the future is frightening and 83% said that they think people have failed to take care of the planet).
!- for : Social Tipping Points - Tipping Point Festival - Meaning crisis
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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one of the 00:10:51 things is that our brains were set up for dealing with about a hundred people at a time living by our wits hunting and gathering and dying in the same world we 00:11:03 were born into for hundreds of thousands of years there's no concept of progress in our genes we just don't have it but like all animals we have an enormous set 00:11:17 of genetic apparatus to make us good copers anything happens to us we can find a way of being resilient about it and adapting to it we're copers and 00:11:29 adapters and so when we come up against difficulties our tendency is to cope with these difficulties it's like working for a company go into a company 00:11:42 and the company seems sort of screwed up maybe you can quit you can cope but your chances of actually changing the company are very low because nobody will listen 00:11:56 to reason right that is not what the company is there for they are there for their a task this is something that engelbart the inventor of the mouse pointed out years ago that companies are 00:12:10 devoted to their area a task which is what they think they were about most companies do not have a very good be process which is supposed to look at the 00:12:21 a tasks and make them more efficient but almost no companies have a see process which questions the tasks are our goals still reasonable our processes still reasonable that's the last thing it gets 00:12:35 question
!- applies to : climate change - many are adopting and trying to take a coping strategy instead of one of fundamental change - if coping is the only strategy, it becomes a failing one when whole system change is required
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how many people have seen curves that look like these progress against time right everywhere reading 00:48:14 scores test scores people love these yay oh no yay oh no it's bad because our 00:48:32 nervous system is only set up for relative change and in fact there's cause for cheering if that's the threshold but in fact for reading 00:48:43 threshold is this this is all oh no doesn't matter whether it goes up or not because there are many many things that where you have to get to the real 00:48:58 version of the thing before you're doing it at all in the 21st century it doesn't have help to read just a little bit you have to be fluent at it so this is a 00:49:09 huge problem and once you draw the threshold in there immediately converts this thing that looked wonderful into a huge qualitative gap and the gap is 00:49:20 widening and we have two concepts that are enemies of what we need to do perfect and better right so better is a 00:49:36 way of getting fake success we had improvement see it all the time it's the ultimate quarterly report we had improvements here and perfect is 00:49:51 tough to get in this world so both of those are really bad so what you want is what's actually needed and the exquisite skill here which I'm going to use these 00:50:06 two geniuses Thakur and Engels to labor it I'm going to call that the sweet spot the way you make progress here is you pick the thing that is just over that threshold that is qualitatively better 00:50:21 than all the rest of the crap you can do you can spend billions turning around and once you do that you widen up you give yourself a little blue plane to 00:50:34 operate in and for a while everything you do in there is something that is actually going to be meaningful
!- similar to : climate change solutions - Good metaphor for climate change progress
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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How Fast a Low Carbon Transition? Or: Is Vaclav Smil Wrong?
Title: How Fast a Low Carbon Transition? Or: Is Vaclav Smil Wrong? Author: Mark Trexler Date: May 21, 2022
!- for : comparison of green growth vs energy descent
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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let's put the electrical power systems together these electrical power 00:22:29 systems that this is actually on the low side because most industrial action happens with the consumption of coal and gas on site and then it's converted to energy on site this is what's just been drawn off the power grid 00:22:42 so there's a vast amount of energy associated with manufacturing that is not included here and that is actually a huge piece of work to include that so these numbers i'm showing you are very much on the low side 00:22:55 so we're going to put it all together we need 36 000 terawatt hours all there abouts that's a that's a very low estimate
!- key insight : minimum power of energy transition, excluding the large amount of energy for industrial processes ! - for : energy transition, degrowth, green growth
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assessment of extra capacity required of alternative energy electrical power systems to completely replace fossil fuels
Title: Assessment of extra capacity required of alternative energy electrical power systems to completely replace fossil fuels Author: Prof. Simon Michaux, Geological Survey of Finland (GTK) Year: 2022
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- Aug 2022
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prilagodba-klimi.hr prilagodba-klimi.hr
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Ausführlicher Überblick zu den erwarteten Klimaveränderungen auf kroatischem Staatsgebiet bis 2040, mit einem Ausblick auf 2070. Berücksichtigt vor allem RCP4.5, aber auch RCP8.5. Macht (bei sehr oberflächlichem Durchsehen mit mangelnden Sprachkenntnissen) an manchen Stellen einen etwas verharmlosenden Eindruck.
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spectrum.ieee.org spectrum.ieee.org
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A good layperson's overview of one effort to increase cloud albedo to counteract climate change. I think that lowering insolation is somehow missing the point of combatting climate change, but it's a legitimate approach that still needs a lot of research.
What's particularly good about this article is how it manages to demonstrate how complex the problem is without smothering the reader in technobabble.
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- Jul 2022
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bafybeiac2nvojjb56tfpqsi44jhpartgxychh5djt4g4l4m4yo263plqau.ipfs.dweb.link bafybeiac2nvojjb56tfpqsi44jhpartgxychh5djt4g4l4m4yo263plqau.ipfs.dweb.link
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Should something new be experienced, it will be unexpected, may beoverwhelming and may not fit into any meaningful representation or expression at all. The new assuch, the possible source of transformation, regeneration and vision, does not submit to the orderimposed by the personware, it is naturally on a collision course with it and a source to various degreesof cognitive dissonance. As such, it poses a threat that a well-functioning cognitive system mustmediate.
!- for : climate change, rapid whole system change * This is a common response of people conditioned to the status quo personware - it is overwhelming and threatening * Defensiveness and conservatism to preserve the familiar elements of the status quo is a common response, including all forms of climate denialism * Early stages of pandemic in which people were afraid to don masks for fear of being ostracized
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governance rather encompasses all localdecision-makers as well, as it is actually almost entirely within their own respective dominions ofcontrol where the overall success or failure is determined.
All local decision-makers are included in the global governance of climate change as well.
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For example, in respect to the goal of reducing the global emissions of carbon dioxide, the relevantsystem of governance is not limited to those who conclude that there is a global risk, those whoaccept or reject the conclusion, those who formulate objectives, those who choose to adhere to or toignore them, who conceive of regulations, who choose to implement them or not, who determineprogress, decline or failures, those who select means by which to influence the desired local industrialinvestment, or consumption choices and so on.
In other words, the role of governance goes beyond the traditional decision-makers, and is more inclusive. Who else gets to participate?
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What happens if the world gets too hot for animals to survive? By Matthew Huber | July 20, 2022
- Title: What happens if the world gets too hot for animals to survive?
- Author: Matthew Huber
- Date: July 20, 2022
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bylinetimes.com bylinetimes.com
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We Need to Stop Pretending we can Limit Global Warming to 1.5°C
Title: We Need to Stop Pretending we can Limit Global Warming to 1.5°C Author: James Dyke Date: 6 July 2022
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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all kinds of regressions along the way um and there's many things that are getting worse um but for most um for most indicators of human well-being uh the world is in a 00:02:18 great trajectory and the last few centuries have been um a great direction uh however we're now confronted with a series of x-risks um or how uh david one of the 00:02:30 researchers in the um in our team likes to put public bads in extreme public baths that we have to have to really avoid and these especially the ones that are human caused um 00:02:44 present extreme challenges for us to get through and we we sort of control the speed at which we'll uh hit these uh but especially things like nuclear war and engineered pandemics and on ai 00:02:57 uh those kinds of risks
Don't forget climate change!
Tags
Annotators
URL
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report.ipcc.ch report.ipcc.ch
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Chapter 5: Demand, services and social aspects of mitigation
Public Annotation of IPCC Report AR6 Climate Change 2022 Mitigation of Climate Change WGIII Chapter 5: Demand, Services and Social Aspects of Mitigation
NOTE: Permission given by one of the lead authors, Felix Creutzig to annotate with caveat that there may be minor changes in the final version.
This annotation explores the potential of mass mobilization of citizens and the commons to effect dramatic demand side reductions. It leverages the potential agency of the public to play a critical role in rapid decarbonization.
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- Jun 2022
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This isn't fantasy, anymore; it really happening. The floating city has six integrated systems: #zerowaste and #circularsystems, closed-loop water systems, food, net-zero energy, innovative #mobility, and coastal habitat regeneration. These interconnected systems will generate 100 percent of the required operational energy on-site through floating and rooftop #photovoltaicpanels.
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www.science.org www.science.org
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dire warning
Really? What's the dire warning? Whatever creatures dominated at the time of the warm period flourished and expanded their ranges. Even now, humanity flourishes most in warmer places (http://www.luminocity3d.org/WorldPopDen/#3/12.00/10.00).
Contrary to the climate alarmist suggestion that warming should be stopped, the study shows that a warmer Earth has been the norm - and when it was, life of all kinds flourished.
That's the opposite of a "dire warning" to any sensible person.
But if people wake up to the scientific reality, why would anyone want to pay scientists to come up with ways to keep us trapped in the ice age we've been in for most of human history?
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bafybeiccxkde65wq2iwuydltwmfwv733h5btvyrzqujyrt5wcfjpg4ihf4.ipfs.dweb.link bafybeiccxkde65wq2iwuydltwmfwv733h5btvyrzqujyrt5wcfjpg4ihf4.ipfs.dweb.link
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THE ECONOMICS OF IMMENSE RISK, URGENT ACTION AND RADICAL CHANGE:TOWARDS NEW APPROACHES TO THE ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
Title: The Economics of Immense Risk, Urgent Action and Radical Change: Towards New Approaches to the Economics of Climate Change
Stop Reset Go Annotation
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- May 2022
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www.usmcu.edu www.usmcu.edu
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climate and environment change (CEC) hyperthreat
climate and environment change (CEC)
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- Apr 2022
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Schools and other public buildings in Italy will be forbidden from setting their air conditioning to any setting lower than 25C from next month, under a scheme intended to help the country dodge an energy crisis exacerbated by the war in Ukraine.
Air conditioning limits.
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www.nola.com www.nola.com
- Mar 2022
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Studie von @kevinclimate und anderen (@tyndallcentre): Die reichen Länder müssen die Öl- und Gasproduktion spätestens 2034 beenden, damit eine Chance auf 1,5 Grad bleibt. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/mar/22/rich-countries-must-stop-producing-oil-and-gas-by-2034-says-study
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thereader.mitpress.mit.edu thereader.mitpress.mit.edu
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The flotsam and jetsam of our digital queries and transactions, the flurry of electrons flitting about, warm the medium of air. Heat is the waste product of computation, and if left unchecked, it becomes a foil to the workings of digital civilization. Heat must therefore be relentlessly abated to keep the engine of the digital thrumming in a constant state, 24 hours a day, every day.
"Cloud Computing" has a waste stream, and one of the waste streams is heat exhaust from servers. This is a poetic description of that waste stream.
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www.fastcompany.com www.fastcompany.com
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Because of the invasion in Ukraine, “people are reminded of the problem, but then they resort to sort of quick fixes, which are not really for the long term,” says Rolf Wüestenhagen, director of the Institute for Economy and the Environment at the University of St. Gallen in Switzerland.
Tradeoff higher gas prices with accelerated climate change and sanctioning Putin.
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At a global climate meeting Monday, Ukraine’s representative, Svitlana Krakovska, pointed out the connection: “Human-induced climate change and the war on Ukraine have the same roots—fossil fuels—and our dependence on them,”
Kill two birds with one stone.
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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I hope, for the sake of everybody -- Ukrainians, Russians and the whole of humanity -- that this war stops immediately. Because if it doesn't, it's not only the Ukrainians and the Russians 00:11:39 that will suffer terribly. Everybody will suffer terribly if this war continues. BG: Explain why. YNH: Because of the shock waves destabilizing the whole world. Let’s start with the bottom line: budgets. We have been living in an amazing era of peace in the last few decades. And it wasn't some kind of hippie fantasy. You saw it in the bottom line. 00:12:06 You saw it in the budgets. In Europe, in the European Union, the average defense budget of EU members was around three percent of government budget. And that's a historical miracle, almost. For most of history, the budget of kings and emperors and sultans, like 50 percent, 80 percent goes to war, goes to the army. 00:12:31 In Europe, it’s just three percent. In the whole world, the average is about six percent, I think, fact-check me on this, but this is the figure that I know, six percent. What we saw already within a few days, Germany doubles its military budget in a day. And I'm not against it. Given what they are facing, it's reasonable. For the Germans, for the Poles, for all of Europe to double their budgets. And you see other countries around the world doing the same thing. 00:12:58 But this is, you know, a race to the bottom. When they double their budgets, other countries look and feel insecure and double their budgets, so they have to double them again and triple them. And the money that should go to health care, that should go to education, that should go to fight climate change, this money will now go to tanks, to missiles, to fighting wars. 00:13:25 So there is less health care for everybody, and there is maybe no solution to climate change because the money goes to tanks. And in this way, even if you live in Australia, even if you live in Brazil, you will feel the repercussions of this war in less health care, in a deteriorating ecological crisis, 00:13:48 in many other things. Again, another very central question is technology. We are on the verge, we are already in the middle, actually, of new technological arms races in fields like artificial intelligence. And we need global agreement about how to regulate AI and to prevent the worst scenarios. How can we get a global agreement on AI 00:14:15 when you have a new cold war, a new hot war? So in this field, to all hopes of stopping the AI arms race will go up in smoke if this war continues. So again, everybody around the world will feel the consequences in many ways. This is much, much bigger than just another regional conflict.
Harari makes some excellent points here. Huge funds originally allocated to fighting climate change and the other anthropocene crisis will be diverted to military spending. Climate change, biodiversity, etc will lose. Only the military industrial complex will win.
Remember that the military industry is unique. It's only purpose is to consume raw materials and capacity in order to destroy. What is the carbon footprint of a bomb or a bullet?
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www.democracynow.org www.democracynow.org
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This is a moment that we should seize, in all seriousness, in order to take on the two huge existential plagues that face us this morning: the climate crisis, outlined in this new IPCC report, and the fact that we have a madman with nuclear weapons who’s used the revenues from oil and gas to intimidate and terrify the entire world.
This is the critical observation - everything is interconnected. It is a nexus of problems that requires that we deal with all dimensions of the problem simultaneously.
Putin is the nexus of so much that is wrong with the world. He is like an octopus that has its arms in multiple crisis of the planet.
The political polarization of the US, the ascendancy of the puppet government of Trump and the blatant cognitive dissonance of the extreme right who are impervious to facts is reminiscent of the propaganda imposed upon the Russian people themselves for one reason - it was part of Putin's master plan: https://youtu.be/FxgBuhMBXSA The US population has been split by Putin's information warfare system, the same one he uses on the Russian population.
The fake news programmed by Russian propaganda about the Ukraine war has worked effectively to mislead the Russian populus: https://youtu.be/kELta9MLOzg The same pattern of psychological manipulation has also had the same impact in the belief system of the typical hardcore Trumpist.
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- Feb 2022
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www.vox.com www.vox.com
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(For comparison, most organizations can’t avert a metric ton for less than $2. The average American causes around 16 metric tons of emissions per year.)
So, taxing people, say, $50 per year would allow the government to fund those charities, right? Sounds like an excellent way to facilitate climate change mitigation.
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The Founders Pledge report used countries’ climate targets and projected policies to estimate how many metric tons of carbon can be saved by avoiding various lifestyle choices.
Are there countries that haven't already blown past their own targets and had to reset them? It seems quite naive of them to suggest that any country will be able to meet their targets. Indeed, considering how many countries that produce lots of GHGs have had to step back from their climate change targets, I would expect that accounting for policy changes would actually make population reduction even better.
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wblau.medium.com wblau.medium.com
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Blau, W. (2022, February 14). Climate Change: Journalism’s Greatest Challenge. Medium. https://wblau.medium.com/climate-change-journalisms-greatest-challenge-2bb59bfb38b8
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Pauer, S., Rutjens, B., & Harreveld, F. van. (2022). Trust is good, control is better: The role of trust and personal control in response to risk. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/dvb5x
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- Jan 2022
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twitter.com twitter.com
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WHO/Europe. (2022, January 24). 732 days of #COVID19 in the WHO European Region – in 15 figures 👉 https://bit.ly/3rHKfAB Find out more in the thread 👇 https://t.co/3QGLeQ4jsO [Tweet]. @WHO_Europe. https://twitter.com/WHO_Europe/status/1485650319489052674
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royalsociety.org royalsociety.org
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The online information environment | Royal Society. (n.d.). Retrieved January 21, 2022, from https://royalsociety.org/topics-policy/projects/online-information-environment/
Tags
- information environment
- social media
- deepfake
- scientific information
- science
- bots
- censorship
- misleading
- public trust
- interaction
- vaccine
- online platform
- policymaker
- misinformation
- is:webpage
- provenance enhancing technology
- behavioral science
- decision making
- shallowfake
- information
- technology
- academic
- malinformation
- search engine
- lang:en
- climate change
Annotators
URL
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theconversation.com theconversation.com
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US, G. S., Barbara K. Hofer,The Conversation. (n.d.). Don’t Look Up Illustrates 5 Myths That Fuel Rejection of Science. Scientific American. Retrieved January 14, 2022, from https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/dont-look-up-illustrates-5-myths-that-fuel-rejection-of-science/
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www.jwz.org www.jwz.org
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Cryptocurrencies are not only an apocalyptic ecological disaster
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cognitiveresearchjournal.springeropen.com cognitiveresearchjournal.springeropen.com
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Swire-Thompson, B., Cook, J., Butler, L. H., Sanderson, J. A., Lewandowsky, S., & Ecker, U. K. H. (2021). Correction format has a limited role when debunking misinformation. Cognitive Research: Principles and Implications, 6(1), 83. https://doi.org/10.1186/s41235-021-00346-6
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- Dec 2021
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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Extinction Rebellion has been at the forefront of a fundamentally new message which is if a government doesn't change, it's your right and as we've identified, your duty, if you're not going to be complicit, 00:34:43 to go into a rebellion a nonviolent civil disobedience against the government in order to fundamentally reduce carbon emissions. It's not actually that complicated, Is it? If you ask the average person who controls the economy, right? They know it's the banks, the big banks, right? And we had the banks, I think they did it pretty deliberately ten years ago. 00:35:12 They pulled our chain and we had the most massive transfer of wealth that the world has ever seen the bank bailout, right? Trillions and trillions of dollars. We're seeing the same thing now with covid and the banks have got to be behind it, right? If the banks wanted and decided that emissions have to decline from today 00:35:36 fast in a matter of years, the banks can do it, right? Because the banks hold the strings. All governments now are in a massive amount of national debt . we have an axis of evil if you want, we have the big banking corporations. We have the big fossil fuel corporations and we have the compliant government.
The big three institutions making up the climate axis of evil: banks, governments and dirty energy.
While XR does this, it is also possible to apply pressure on another front, a bottom-up, rapid, citizen-led transformation effort.
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- Oct 2021
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Ulichney, G., Jarcho, J., Shipley, T., Ham, J., & Helion, C. (2021). Social Comparison for Concern and Action on Climate Change, Racial Injustice, and COVID-19. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/6j2zq
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