- Sep 2020
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Allebach, N. (2020, September 22). How America Became The Land Of Conspiracy Theories. Medium. https://medium.com/@nathanallebach/how-america-became-the-land-of-conspiracy-theories-7c8b0353c667
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www.scientificamerican.com www.scientificamerican.com
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Lewis, T. (n.d.). Nine COVID-19 Myths That Just Won’t Go Away. Scientific American. Retrieved September 11, 2020, from https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/nine-covid-19-myths-that-just-wont-go-away/
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journals.sagepub.com journals.sagepub.com
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Fazio, L. K., & Sherry, C. L. (2020). The Effect of Repetition on Truth Judgments Across Development. Psychological Science, 0956797620939534. https://doi.org/10.1177/0956797620939534
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thespinoff.co.nz thespinoff.co.nz
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Hannah, K. (2020, September 7). Counting and Countering the infodemic: A deep dive into Covid-19 disinformation. The Spinoff. https://thespinoff.co.nz/media/07-09-2020/counting-and-countering-the-infodemic-a-deep-dive-into-covid-19-disinformation/
Tags
- communication
- is:webpage
- COVID-19
- conspiracy theory
- New Zealand
- disinformation
- story
- fake news
- knowledge
- infodemic
- lang:en
Annotators
URL
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en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
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Kermack–McKendrick theory. (2020). In Wikipedia. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Kermack%E2%80%93McKendrick_theory&oldid=951835485
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www.springer.com www.springer.com
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Kiss, I. Z., Miller, J., & Simon, P. L. (2017). Mathematics of Epidemics on Networks: From Exact to Approximate Models. Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-50806-1
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science.sciencemag.org science.sciencemag.org
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Thorp, H. H. (2020). Persuasive words are not enough. Science, 368(6498), 1405–1405. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abd4085
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ojs.uwindsor.ca ojs.uwindsor.ca
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Hahn, U., & Oaksford, M. (2006). A Normative Theory of Argument Strength. Informal Logic, 26(1), 1–24. https://doi.org/10.22329/il.v26i1.428
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- Aug 2020
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Hurst, D., & Murphy, K. (2020, June 22). Trump’s misleading information enables China to sow discord among allies, research finds. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/jun/23/trumps-misleading-information-enables-china-to-sow-discord-among-allies-research-finds
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www.pnas.org www.pnas.org
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Thurner, S., Klimek, P., & Hanel, R. (2020). A network-based explanation of why most COVID-19 infection curves are linear. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2010398117
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riskhomeostasis.org riskhomeostasis.orgHome1
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Home. (n.d.). Retrieved June 14, 2020, from http://riskhomeostasis.org/
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www.politifact.com www.politifact.com
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Washington, D. of C. 1100 C. A. N. S. 1300B, & Dc 20036. (n.d.). PolitiFact - Fact-checking ‘Plandemic 2’: Another video full of conspiracy theories about COVID-19. @politifact. Retrieved August 27, 2020, from https://www.politifact.com/article/2020/aug/18/fact-checking-plandemic-2-video-recycles-inaccurat/
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en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
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Pluralism
State that has multiple (or at least more than one) group whose interests are represented by that State.
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cyber.fsi.stanford.edu cyber.fsi.stanford.edu
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University, © Stanford, Stanford, & Complaints, C. 94305 C. (n.d.). Virality Project (US): Marketing meets Misinformation. Retrieved 25 August 2020, from https://cyber.fsi.stanford.edu/io/news/manufacturing-influence-0
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panopto.lshtm.ac.uk panopto.lshtm.ac.uk
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CSM_seminar Causal Inference Isn't What You Think It Is. (2020). Retrieved 24 August 2020, from https://panopto.lshtm.ac.uk/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=ac88b49f-7e63-458d-823e-abe50152fb66
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www.facebook.com www.facebook.com
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Salaamedia. (2020, June 23). The Special Focus with Zahid Jadwat—Understanding the dangers of misinformation. Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/salaamedia/videos/the-special-focus-with-zahid-jadwat-understanding-the-dangers-of-misinformation-/261866155076824/
Tags
- psychology
- is:webinar
- is:webpage
- COVID-19
- conspiracy theory
- expert
- webinar
- misinformation
- social media
- 5G
- research
- discussion
- lang:en
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URL
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twitter.com twitter.com
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ReconfigBehSci on Twitter: “@ErikAngner 2/2 1. mandatory schooling (where there exemptions for immune-compromised parents?) 2. encouraging household members of infected individuals to go to work/school Could you provide more background here and how you see these policies in the wider context?” / Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved August 18, 2020, from https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1295685503111647232
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www.nbcnews.com www.nbcnews.com
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Who is behind the Qanon conspiracy? We’ve traced it to three people. (n.d.). NBC News. Retrieved August 18, 2020, from https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/how-three-conspiracy-theorists-took-q-sparked-qanon-n900531
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Whitney R. Robinson on Twitter: “1/ An #EpiTwitter 🧵 about theory... https://t.co/rSjfkHG21r” / Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved August 18, 2020, from https://twitter.com/WhitneyEpi/status/1295522551892971520
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Speelman, C., & McGann, M. (2020). Statements about the Pervasiveness of Behaviour Require Data about the Pervasiveness of Behaviour [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/bxzm4
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Pierre, J. (2020). Mistrust and Misinformation: A Two-Component, Socio-Epistemic Model of Belief in Conspiracy Theories [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/xhw52
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en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
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In graph theory, a tree is a connected acyclic graph; unless stated otherwise, in graph theory trees and graphs are assumed undirected. There is no one-to-one correspondence between such trees and trees as data structure.
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van Rooij, I., & Baggio, G. (2020). Theory development requires an epistemological sea change [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/rnw9q
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- Jul 2020
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Analysis—Behavioural Science and the Pandemic—BBC Sounds. (n.d.). Retrieved July 31, 2020, from https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m000l207
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Vegetti, F., & Littvay, L. (2020). Belief in conspiracy theories, aggression, and attitudes towards political violence. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/xwyjq
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osf.io osf.io
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Hameleers, M. (2020). Prospect Theory in Times of a Pandemic: The Effects of Gain versus Loss Framing on Policy Preferences and Emotional Responses During the 2020 Coronavirus Outbreak [Preprint]. SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/7pykj
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docs.google.com docs.google.com
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COVID-19 Social Science Tracker - Google Sheets
Tags
- spreadsheet
- social science
- conspiracy theory
- COVID-19
- uncertainty
- analysis
- international
- misinformation
- healthcare
- social media
- publication
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- mental health
- social norm
- lang:en
- preprint
- sheets
- data collection
- isolation
- government
- medicine
- policy
- community
- unofficial
- tracker
- behavior
- is:other
- social distancing
Annotators
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Díaz, R., & Cova, F. (2020, April 14). Moral values and trait pathogen disgust predict compliance with official recommendations regarding COVID-19 pandemic in US samples. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/5zrqx
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Gelfand, M., Jackson, J. C., Pan, X., Nau, D., Dagher, M. M., & Chiu, C. (2020, April 1). Cultural and Institutional Factors Predicting the Infection Rate and Mortality Likelihood of the COVID-19 Pandemic. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/m7f8a
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Motta, M., & Jansa, J. (2020). Concern About COVID-19 & Support for Universal Vote by Mail. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/yatjc
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fivethirtyeight.com fivethirtyeight.com
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Kiefer, P. (2020, May 4). Why Scientists Think The Novel Coronavirus Developed Naturally—Not In A Chinese Lab. FiveThirtyEight. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-scientists-think-the-novel-coronavirus-developed-naturally-not-in-a-chinese-lab/
Tags
- evidence
- China
- manufacture
- COVID-19
- natural
- is:news
- conspiracy theory
- science
- development
- information
- intelligence
- artificial
- lang:en
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URL
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www.nationalgeographic.com www.nationalgeographic.com
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Fauci: No scientific evidence the coronavirus was made in a Chinese lab. (2020, May 4). Science. https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/2020/05/anthony-fauci-no-scientific-evidence-the-coronavirus-was-made-in-a-chinese-lab-cvd/
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www.nationalgeographic.com www.nationalgeographic.com
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How coronavirus mutations can track its spread—And disprove conspiracies. (2020, March 26). Science. https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/2020/03/how-coronavirus-mutations-can-track-its-spread-and-disprove-conspiracies/
Tags
- is:preprint
- mutation
- COVID-19
- conspiracy theory
- misinformation
- sequencing
- genome
- genetics
- research
- transmission
- origin
- tracking
- lang:en
Annotators
URL
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osf.io osf.io
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Starominski-Uehara, M. (2020). Powering Social Media Footage: Simple Guide for the Most Vulnerable to Make Emergency Visible [Preprint]. SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/gefhv
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Fitzgerald, R. M. (2020). WAKING TO NORMAL: Examining Archival Appraisal in Data-driven Society [Preprint]. SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/2befk
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osf.io osf.io
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Halford, E., Dixon, A., Farrell, G., Malleson, N., & Tilley, N. (2020). Crime and coronavirus: Social distancing, lockdown and the mobility elasticity of crime [Preprint]. SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/4qzca
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Pavela Banai, I., Banai, B., & Mikloušić, I. (2020, July 14). Beliefs in COVID-19 conspiracy theories predict lower level of compliance with the preventive measures both directly and indirectly by lowering trust in government medical officials. Retrieved from psyarxiv.com/yevq7
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en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
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Willard Van Orman Quine insisted on classical, first-order logic as the true logic, saying higher-order logic was "set theory in disguise".
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en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
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Annotators
URL
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parliamentlive.tv parliamentlive.tv
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Digital, culture, media and sport sub-committee on online harms and disinformation. (2020, April 30). Parliament.tv. https://parliamentlive.tv/Event/Index/3c4aede5-2b89-4f33-9103-fb1c8a77a3ad
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Fatfouta, R., & Oganian, Y. (2020). Bargaining under social distancing requirements: Effects of face masks on socio-economic decision-making in the COVID-19 pandemic [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/cn7by
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projecteuclid.org projecteuclid.org
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Shmueli, G. (2010). To Explain or to Predict? Statistical Science, 25(3), 289–310.
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journals-sagepub-com.revproxy.brown.edu journals-sagepub-com.revproxy.brown.edu
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One possibly important strengths-based moderator for children and adolescents is belongingness. Feeling a sense of belongingness to a wider social group is considered a ubiquitous need (Baumeister & Leary, 1995; Osterman, 2000). This notion is rooted in Maslow’s (1987) conceptualization that humans, like other animals, have the need “to herd, to flock, to join, and to belong” (p. 20). Belonging may be established in peer groups at school, but youth may also find belongingness through other social channels, such as teachers, parents, extended family, or community groups. This is supported by research from Appleton, Christenson, Kim, and Reschly (2006) that links the social context of students to academic, social, and emotional outcomes. Furthermore, it is important to differentiate belongingness from other allied variables associated with interpersonal functioning, such as social support and peer acceptance. While social support and peer acceptance connote a passive engagement of the individual with the social network, a sense of belonging represents a more active engagement and an internal experience of a strong psychological connection to a group (Brown, Alpert, Lent, Hunt, & Brady, 1988; Mallinckrodt, 1992; Mallinckrodt & Wei, 2005). Belongingness then involves a dyad, group, or community that one senses one’s current active membership completes. When individuals belong (have belongingness), they believe a dyad, group, or community is not complete without them, and they are not complete without the dyad, group, or community.
- belongingness is a "strengths-based moderator for children"
- belongingness =/= social support and peer acceptance
- belongingness involves a group/community that "one's current active membership completes"
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Adam-Troian, J., & Bagci, S. (2020). The pathogen paradox: Evidence that perceived COVID-19 threat is associated with both pro- and anti-immigrant attitudes. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/948ch
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Fuhrer, J., & Cova, F. (2020). “Quick and dirty”: Intuitive cognitive style predicts trust in Didier Raoult and his hydroxychloroquine-based treatment against COVID-19. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/ju62p
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psycnet.apa.org psycnet.apa.org
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We conclude, then, that the present state of the empirical ev-idence is sufficient to confirm the belongingness hypothesis. Theneed to belong can be considered a fundamental humanmotivation
confirms belongingness hypothesis
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The need to belong also appears to conform to motivationalpatterns of satiation and substitution. People need a few closerelationships, and forming additional bonds beyond those fewhas less and less impact. Having two as opposed to no closerelationships may make a world of difference to the person'shealth and happiness; having eight as opposed to six may havevery little consequence. When a social bond is broken, peopleappear to recover best if they form a new one, although eachindividual life tends to involve some particularly special rela-tionships (such as filial or marital bonds) that are not easilyreplaced. People without intimate partners engage in a varietyof activities to find partners, but people who have partners al-ready are much less active at seeking additional relationships,consistent with the satiation hypothesis
"People need a few close relationships"
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Abundant evidence also attests that the need to belong shapesemotion and cognition. Forming or solidifying social attach-ments generally produces positive emotion, whereas real, imag-ined, or even potential threats to social bonds generate a varietyof unpleasant emotional states. In short, change in belong-ingness is a strong and pervasive cause of emotion in ways thatsupport the hypothesis of a need to belong. It is also evident thatpeople think a great deal about belongingness. They devote adisproportionate amount of cognitive processing to actual orpossible relationship partners and interaction partners, andthey reserve particular, more extensive, and more favorable pat-terns of information processing for people with whom theyshare social bonds.Deficits in belongingness apparently lead to a variety of illeffects, consistent with the view that belongingness is a need(as opposed to merely a want). Both psychological and physicalhealth problems are more common among people who lack so-cial attachments. Behavioral pathologies, ranging from eatingdisorders to suicide, are more common among people who areunattached. Although most of these findings are correlationaland many alternative explanations can be suggested, recentefforts have begun controlling for these other factors, and thepure, primary effects of belongingness appear to remain strong.It appears, then, that belongingness is not only pleasant but alsoapparently very beneficial to the individual in multiple wa
Key discussion points; need to belong is necessary and lacking sense of belonging can be detrimental
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Interaction without an ongoing bond of caring should alsobe only partly satisfactory. Two predictions can be made.First, insofar as the need to belong requires that some interac-tions reflect a relationship context, it can be predicted thatinteractions with changing series of partners should be lessthan satisfying. Second, if the interactions are supposed toreflect the context of positive emotional concern, then peopleshould not be satisfied by interactions within the context ofan ongoing relationship or social bond that is not marked bypositive caring. We look for evidence for the specifically mu-tual nature of the bon
Important in the context of teachers/administrators
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The effects of belongingness on mental illness parallel thoseon physical illness. Rejected children have a higher incidence ofpsychopathology than other children (Bhatti, Derezotes, Kim,& Specht, 1989; Hamachek, 1992). Children who grow upwithout receiving adequate attention from caregivers showemotional and behavioral pathologies, as demonstrated experi-mentally by Harlow, Harlow, and Suomi (1971) with animalsand as corroborated by observations of human children byBowlb
Belongingness can directly impact mental health
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Yet another highly aversive emotional state is guilt. Despite along tradition of analyzing guilt in terms of self-evaluation accord-ing to abstract moral standards, recent work has increasingly em-phasized the interpersonal structure of guilt (Baumeister, Stillwell,& Heatherton, 1994; Cunningham, Steinberg, & Grev, 1980;Jones & Kugler, in press; Jones, Kugler, & Adams, 1995; Miceli,1992; Tangney, 1992). Empirical studies of how people induceguilt in others have found that such inductions are almost entirelyconfined to close interpersonal relationships and that a major rea-son for inducing guilt is to cause one's partner to exert himself orherself more to maintain the interpersonal relationship (e.g., byspending more time with or paying more attention to oneself;Baumeister, Stillwell, & Heatherton, in press; Vangelisti, Daly, &Rudnick, 1991). Many episodes of guilt can thus be understood asresponses to disturbances or threats to interpersonal attachments
can correlate to the guilt youth feel when communicating with their teachers
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The belongingness hypothesis predicts that people shouldgenerally be at least as reluctant to break social bonds as theyare eager to form them in the first place. A variety of patternssupports the view that people try to preserve relationships andavoid ending them. In fact, Hazan and Shaver (1994a, p. 14)recently concluded that the tendency for human beings to re-spond with distress and protest to the end of a relationship isnearly universal, even across different cultures and across theage span.Some relationships are limited in time by external factors,and so these are logically the first place to look for evidence thatpeople show distress and resistance to breaking bonds. En-counter groups and training groups, for example, are often con-vened with the explicit understanding that the meetings will stopat a certain point in the future. Even so, it is a familiar observa-tion in the empirical literature (e.g., Egan, 1970; Lacoursiere,1980; Lieberman, Yalom, & Miles, 1973) that the members ofsuch groups resist the notion that the group will dissolve. Eventhough the group's purpose may have been fulfilled, the partici-pants want to hold on to the social bonds and relationships theyhave formed with each other. They promise individually andsometimes collectively to stay in touch with each other, theyplan for reunions, and they take other steps to ensure a continu-ity of future contacts. In actuality, only a small minority of theseenvisioned reunions or contacts take place, and so the wide-spread exercise of making them can be regarded as a symptomof resistance to the threatened dissolution (
People avoid breaking connections
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The fact that people sometimes form attachments with for-mer rivals or opponents is itself a meaningful indicator of a gen-eral inclination to form bonds. Cognitive consistency pressuresand affective memories would militate against forming positivesocial bonds with people who have been rivals or opponents.Yet, as we have already noted, the Robbers Cave study (Sherifet al., 1961 /1988) showed that people could join and work to-gether with others who had been bitterly opposed very recently,and Wilder and Thompson (1980) showed that social contactcould overcome established intergroup prejudices and stereo-types. Orbell, van de Kragt, and Dawes (1988) likewise showedthat impulses toward forming positive attachments could over-come oppositional patterns. In their study using the prisoner'sdilemma game, having a discussion period led to decreasedcompetition and increased cooperation, as a result of either theformation of a group identity that joined the potential rivalstogether or explicit agreements to cooperate. Thus, belong-ingness motivations appear to be able to overcome some antag-onistic, competitive, or divisive tendencies
"social contact could overcome established inter-group prejudices and stereotypes"; important in classroom settings
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Festinger, Schachter, and Back (1950) found that mereproximity was a potent factor in relationship formation; peopleseemed to develop social bonds with each other simply becausethey lived near each other. Nahemow and Lawton (1975) repli-cated those findings and also showed that pairs of best friendswho differed by age or race were particularly likely to have livedvery close together, suggesting that extreme proximity may over-come tendencies to bond with similar others. Wilder andThompson (1980) showed that people seem to form favorableviews toward whomever they spend time with, even if these oth-ers are members of a previously disliked or stereotyped out-group. In their study, intergroup biases decreased as contactwith members of the out-groups increased (and as in-groupcontact decreased)
people who live together/near each other have stronger connections
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This preferential treatment of in-group members does notappear to be due to inferred self-interest or to issues of noveltyand uncertainty about the task (Brewer & Silver, 1978; Tajfel,1970; Tajfel & Billig, 1974). Inferred similarity of self to in-group members was a viable explanation for many of the earlyfindings, but Locksley, Ortiz, and Hepburn (1980) ruled thisout by showing that people show in-group favoritism even whenthey have been assigned to groups by a random lottery. Thus,patterns of in-group favoritism, such as sharing rewards andcategorizing others relative to the group, appeared quite readily,even in the absence of experiences designed to bond people tothe group emotionally or materially
inclusion/exclusion, maybe?
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we propose that the need to belong can, in principle, be directedtoward any other human being, and the loss of relationship withone person can to some extent be replaced by any other. Themain obstacle to such substitution is that formation of new re-lationships takes time, such as in the gradual accumulation ofintimacy and shared experience (see Sternberg, 1986, on thetime course of intimacy). Social contact with a long-term inti-mate would therefore provide some satisfactions, including asense of belonging, that would not be available in interactionswith strangers or new acquaintances.
long-term interaction aids in sense of belonging
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The likely result of this evolutionary selection would be a setof internal mechanisms that guide individual human beingsinto social groups and lasting relationships. These mechanismswould presumably include a tendency to orient toward othermembers of the species, a tendency to experience affective dis-tress when deprived of social contact or relationships, and a ten-dency to feel pleasure or positive affect from social contact andrelatedness. These affective mechanisms would stimulate learn-ing by making positive social contact reinforcing and social de-privation punishing
evolution resulted in need to belong
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Competition for limited resources could also provide a pow-erful stimulus to forming interpersonal connections. There areseveral potential, although debatable, advantages to forming agroup under conditions of scarcity. For example, groups mayshare resources and thus prevent any individual from starving(although sharing deprives other group members of some oftheir resources), and groups may appropriate resources fromnonmembers (although there is the problem of how to distrib-ute them in the group).
competition drives interpersonal connection
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hildren who de-sired to stay together with adults (and who would resist beingleft alone) would be more likely to survive until their repro-ductive years than other children because they would be morelikely to receive care and food as well as protection. Cues thatconnote possible harm, such as illness, danger, nightfall, anddisaster, seem to increase the need to be with others (see alsoRofe, 1984), which again underscores the protective value ofgroup membership. Adults who formed attachments wouldbe more likely to reproduce than those who failed to formthem, and long-term relationships would increase thechances that the offspring would reach maturity and repro-duce in turn
belongingness = survival
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At the interdisciplinary level, the belongingness hypothesismight help psychology recover from the challenge posed by cul-tural materialism. Cultural materialism (e.g., Harris, 1974,1978, 1979) is based on the assumption that human culture isshaped primarily by economic needs and opportunities, and sohistorical, anthropological, sociological, and other cultural pat-terns should mainly be analyzed with reference to economiccauses.
Cultural materialism
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Bai, M. H. (2020). Who Bought All the Toilet Paper? Conspiracy Theorists Are More Likely to Stockpile During the COVID-19 Pandemic. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/z2g34
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Yang, G., Csikász-Nagy, A., Waites, W., Xiao, G., & Cavaliere, M. (2020). Information Cascades and the Collapse of Cooperation. Scientific Reports, 10(1), 8004. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-64800-z
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- Jun 2020
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arxiv.org arxiv.org
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Candelieri, A., Giordani, I., Ponti, A., & Archetti, F. (2020). Resilience in urban networked infrastructure: The case of Water Distribution Systems. ArXiv:2006.14622 [Physics]. http://arxiv.org/abs/2006.14622
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onlinelibrary.wiley.com onlinelibrary.wiley.com
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Jolley, D., & Paterson, J. L. (n.d.). Pylons ablaze: Examining the role of 5G COVID-19 conspiracy beliefs and support for violence. British Journal of Social Psychology, n/a(n/a). https://doi.org/10.1111/bjso.12394
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Gorey, C. (2020, June 22). Researchers link anger and paranoia with 5G Covid-19 conspiracy beliefs. Silicon Republic. https://www.siliconrepublic.com/innovation/anger-paranoia-5g-covid-19-conspiracy-theories
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Smilansky, S. (n.d.). Should We Sacrifice the Utilitarians First? The Philosophical Quarterly. https://doi.org/10.1093/pq/pqaa003
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Causal inference isn’t what you think it is. (n.d.). LSHTM. Retrieved June 26, 2020, from https://www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/events/causal-inference-isnt-what-you-think-it
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Ben-David, S. (2018). Clustering—What Both Theoreticians and Practitioners are Doing Wrong. ArXiv:1805.08838 [Cs, Stat]. http://arxiv.org/abs/1805.08838
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thehill.com thehill.com
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Malhi, S. (2017, December 5). Policy shouldn’t rely on economic theory, but on data about actual human behavior [Text]. TheHill. https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/363245-policy-shouldnt-rely-on-economic-theory-but-on-data-about-actual-human
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Fleming, N. (2020). Coronavirus misinformation, and how scientists can help to fight it. Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-020-01834-3
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psycnet.apa.org psycnet.apa.org
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. The need to belong shouldtherefore be found to some degree in all humans in all cultures,although naturally one would expect there to be individualdifferences in strength and intensity, as well as cultural and in-dividual variations in how people express and satisfy the need.
The need to belong should exist in all cultures, though naturally may vary in terms of individuality and culturally.
- Could this have implications in terms of how youth from different backgrounds experience belongingness; maybe on a more microcultural(?) level?
- Could this vary even between ages and sexes?
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we propose that a need to belong, that is, a needto form and maintain at least a minimum quantity of interper-sonal relationships, is innately prepared (and hence nearlyuniversal) among human beings.
The need to belong is innately prepared and essentially universal among human beings
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In contrast, the belongingness hypothesiswould suggest that human culture is at least partly adapted toenable people to satisfy the psychological need to live together(along with economic needs, to be sure), thereby assigningsome fundamental causal power to psychological forces. Wesuggest that belongingness can be almost as compelling a needas food and that human culture is significantly conditioned bythe pressure to provide belongingness.
Suggest that human culture is at least partly adapted to enable people to satisfy the psychological need to live together; assert that belongingness can be almost as compelling a need as food and that human culture is significantly conditioned by the pressure to provide belongingness
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belongingness needs do not emergeuntil food, hunger, safety, and other basic needs are satisfied, butthey take precedence over esteem and self-actualization.
Belongingness follows survival necessities, takes precedence over esteem and self-actualization
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Interac-tions with a constantly changing sequence of partners will beless satisfactory than repeated interactions with the sameperson (s), and relatedness without frequent contact will also beunsatisfactory.
Highlights that consistency is required to meet these relationship requirements and satisfaction.
- May emphasize that things like retention are critical in the development of this sense of belonging.
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the belongingness hypothesis is that human be-ings have a pervasive drive to form and maintain at least a min-imum quantity of lasting, positive, and significant interpersonalrelationships. Satisfying this drive involves two criteria: First,there is a need for frequent, affectively pleasant interactionswith a few other people, and, second, these interactions musttake place in the context of a temporally stable and enduringframework of affective concern for each other's welfare.
Belongingness hypothesis: humans have a pervasive drive to form and maintain at least a minimum quantity of lasting, positive and significant interpersonal relationships
- doing this involves the need for frequent, affectively pleasant interactions with a few other people
- doing this requires that these interactions take place in the context of a temporally stable and enduring framework of affective concern for each other's welfare
Schools seem like the perfect context for these relationships to form and flourish
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Local file Local file
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It is now the job of social workers to promote these sorts of relationships for low-income young people, so we can best support their economic success.
Calls on social workers (particularly in schools) to promote capital mentorship for low-income youth to support their economic success
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This type of mentoring model has shown to provide a wide array of supports to young people who are traditionally harder to support through traditional mentoring programs, including those aging out of the foster care system and those involved in the juvenile justice system
Youth-initiated mentoring can be an alternative option for those who are traditionally harder to support through traditional mentoring programs
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By addressing the issue of low-income youth not having capitalmentors by stocking the pond and teaching young people to "fish", social workerscan greatly contribute to low-income young people's economic successthrough the provision of capitalmentors.
Culmination of "stocking" and "fishing" will contribute to economic success
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not wantingtotake any more of a teacher's time. These types of courses teach young people that they have every right to build a network of support, and should be motivated to do so by their own potential for success
Low income youth do not feel privileged enough to seek out mentors or take up teachers' time; this course could teach them they deserve to build a network of support
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Teach Them to FishFindings from this dissertation highlighted that (1) low-income youth were less likely to be mentored than their middle-income peers and (2) when mentored, low-income youth were not likely to have the kinds of mentors that can promote upward mobility. Because of this, young people may need to be taught how to cultivate the specific type of mentoring relationships, capitalmentors, which can promote mobility. One model of how to do this is an actual course on how to identify and seek out this particular type of mentor
"Teach them to Fish"
- low-income youth were less likely to be mentored
- low-income youth did not have the kinds of mentors that can promote upward mobility
- solution: create a course on how to identify and seek out this type of capital mentor
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Because the majority (57%) of young people met their capitalmentor through school, focused efforts should be made to create "mentor-rich environments" (Freedman, 1993, p. xxiv) in and around school. Social workers are in a prime position to take on this task, as social workers are already working in the school setting and have relationships with key potential mentors, including teachers and other school personnel. To "stock the pond," social workers should consider trainingteachers and school personnel toacknowledge their potential asa capitalmentor. This could include trainingteachers andschool personnelto recognize the power they have to connect young people to resources they do not have access to in their current social circles, and to proactivelyengage with these young people. School social workers should also advocate for institutional support of informal mentorship, including the creation of opportunities for one-on-one connections and rewarding teachers for prioritizing mentorship
"Stock the Pond" in schools.
- 57% of young people met their capital mentor through school
- schools should create "'mentor-rich environments'" in/around school
- social workers are ideal to take on this position
- social workers should train teachers and school personnel to acknowledge their potential as a capital mentor through training
- school social workers should advocate for institutional support of informal mentorship, like creating opportunities for one-on-one connections and rewarding teachers for prioritizing mentorship
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The findings of the dissertation suggest that those who are interested in promoting economic mobility for low-income and other vulnerable youth should thus promote capitalmentoring relationships for these young people.
Promoting economic mobility can be done by promoting capital mentoring relationships
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Low-income young people pursuing economic mobility may find themselves in situations that their core mentors and family members cannot help with and do not have experience with. These situations may include applying to college, pursuing financial aid for college, interviewing for a high-wage position and investing.Capitalmentors, who are more likely than other mentors to provide good advice, may help young people navigate these situations and help in to promoting upward mobility for low-income young people.
Capital mentors can play a role in academics for low-income youth as they may not have anyone to assist them in certain situations
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Capitalmentors, however, were more likely to provide bonding capital. Capitalmentors range from close members of the community (neighbors, friends' parents, etc.) to associates far outside the young person's inner-most group (teachers, employers, etc.). Youth described these mentors in ways that indicated they had boosted their relationships with common networks, including neighborhoods, friend groups, school, and work. Paired with the fact that capitalmentors are also more likely to provide bridging capital, this finding highlights the importance of network manipulation in the pursuit of social capital. Although core mentors may be promoting all kindsof psychosocial benefits in young people, they are not adapting, bolstering, and expanding young people's social network, like capitalmentors are. This seems to be a key piece to promoting mobility, as capitalmentors are providing social capital and are associated with upward mobility for low-income youth.
Capital mentors were more likely to provide bonding capital which boosted youth relationships with common networks, including school. Highlights need to adapt, bolster, and expand youth's social network.
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An unexpected finding was that capitalmentors provided both bridging and bonding capital. Previous research suggested that bonding capital would be likelier found in relationships with family,
Capital mentors provided bridging and bonding capital
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The potentially promising finding from this dissertationis that although low-income youth were significantly less likely than their middle-income peers to report a capitalmentoring relationship, they were significantly likely to be upwardly mobile when they did. There is a type of mentor, the capitalmentor, whocan make a difference on economic upward mobility for those who need itmost.
Low-income youth report capital mentors less often, but were significantly likely to be upwardly mobile when they did
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The capitalrelationship is likely with someone from outside the family, and is not marked by feelings of closeness or frequent communication.Young people go to capitalmentors for sound advice. These relationships connected young people to new resources and bolstered young peoples'feelingsof connectedness to a common group.
Capital relationships "connected young people to new resources and bolstered young peoples' feelings of connectedness to a common group"
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in these data informal mentors were no more likely to promote upward mobility among youth living in areas of higher poverty than among those residing in other neighborhoods
(inconclusive) Informal mentors were no more likely to promote upward mobility in more impoverished neighborhoods than any other neighborhoods
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Without this, I am unable to truly understand therelationship between neighborhood context and the informal mentor, and thus cannot truly test the mentor's ability to moderate neighborhood effects
Cannot make conclusion on the connection between mobility and neighborhood because lack of context
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This dissertation found that while both core and capital mentors provide various forms of support that is meaningful to young people, only capital mentors were associated with upward mobility for low-income youth
Capital mentors were associated with upward mobility for low-income youth
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This study found that havingan informal mentor was associated with economic mobility for middle income youth. These mentors are one of many resources these young people have that may contribute tothese youth beingmore likely to be mobile than their low-income peers (Putnam, 2015; Mitnik et al., 2015). This suggests that mentors fit well into the profile of resources middle-income youth have that promote economic mobility in adulthood
Informal mentoring was more strongly associated with economic mobility for middle income youth as the data suggests that mentors fit well into the profile of resources middle-income youth have over their low-income peers
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Overall, this study found that some, but not all, mentors can promote upward mobility for low-income youth. Specifically, capital mentors, those from outside the family who provide social capital and informational support can promote economic mobility for those who are least likely to be mobile. This important finding acknowledges the potential impact of individual relationships in the promotion of individual economic mobility. This potentially promising finding is still, however, on the most-micro level of potential interventions for economic mobility, focusing on building blocks leading to mobility.
Some mentors can provide upward mobility for low-income youth-- particularly capital mentors who provide social capital and informational support to youth
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Figure 1: Potential Ways MentorsCanPromote Mobility
Figure depicts effects of mentors providing social support and social capital
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The third function mentors play in promoting upward mobility for young people is the direct effect the provision of social capital (both bridging and bonding capital) has on building blocks of mobility(Ellwood et al., 2016). Bonding capital from a mentor who is also a teacher could foster feelings of school connectedness, which has been demonstrated to lead to academic engagement and ultimately, educational attainment (Ashtiani & Feliciano, 2018; Li, Lerner, & Lerner, 2010). An employer could have a similar effect by providing bonding capital. If a young person feels connected to the workplace or mission of the work place through their mentoring relationships with their employer, they are likely to have higherjob satisfaction and more opportunities for promotion (Ghosh &Reio 2013). Bridging capital can also have a direct effect on key links in the chain. Studies have shown that bridging mentors (commonly teachers and school personnel) were likely to promote educational attainment and employment
Social capital (bridging and bonding) can "foster feelings of school connectedness, which has been demonstrated to lead to academic engagement and ultimately, educational attainment"; similar in workplaces, bonding with mentors in settings can create sense of connectedness with setting overall
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Those who report feeling emotionally supported have higher rates of academic competence (Sterrett, Jones, Mckee, & Kincaid, 2011) and strong academic outcomes (Wentzel, Russell & Baker, 2016). Additionally, adults who have achieved upward mobility are more likely to report instrumentally supportive relationships than those who were not mobile (Chan, 2017). Clearly, social support has a direct influence on someof thebuilding blocks of mobility
Social support leads to higher rates of academic competence, strong academic outcomes; has a direct influence on some of the building blocks of mobility
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Social capital gives attention to larger social contexts (e.g., churches, schools, neighborhoods) as important aspects of one's social life. Those who study social support thus credit things like civic engagement and school involvement as important actions supporting social capital. Social support, conversely, focuses almost exclusively on relationships between two individuals.
School plays a role in social capital; social support focuses almost exclusively on relationships between two individuals
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They proposed 4 main domains of a socially supportive relationship: directive guidance, non-directive support, tangible assistance and positive social interaction. Over time, these have evolvedinto (1) informational support, or advice giving, as directive guidance, (2) emotional support or companionship as non-directive support, (3) instrumental support as tangible assistance, and (4) positive social interaction (i.e., comradery, friendship) (Gottlieb & Bergen, 2010). These are generally the categories used in studies on both mentoring and mobility
4 main domains of a socially supportive relationship: directive guidance, non-directive support, tangible assistance, and positive social interaction
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social support are part of what a mentor has to offer: "A mentoring relationship is where an adult provides ongoing guidance, instruction, and encouragement aimed at developing the competence and character of a protégé. (Rhodes, 2002)" and"A mentor is someone 1) that you could count on to be there for you, 2) that he or she believes in and care deeply about you, 3) that he or she inspires you to do your best and (4) that knowing him or her has really influenced what you do and the choices you make" (Rhodes, Contreras & Mangelsdorf, 1994 from Barrera & Bonds, 2005)
Social support offered by mentors: guidance, encouragement, support, care
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Putnam (2000) extended the terminology of weak and strong ties to bridging and bonding capital. Bonding capital is typically provided through an emotionally close and long-standing relationship, and strengthens the individual's connection to a common community. For example, if a youth identifies a teacher as their informal mentor, that teacher can build on their common social network (e.g., the school community) and have the youth feel more connected to and a part of the school as a whole.
Bonding capital: typically provided through an emotionally close and long-standing relationship; strengthens connection to a common community Can lead to youth feeling "more connected to and a part of the school as a whole" when a youth identifies a teacher as their informal mentor, for example
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Bridging capital, akin to weak ties, comes from relationships with acquaintances, and connects the individual to new resources, connections, and information they did not have access to befor
Bridging capital: akin to weak ties, stems from relationships with acquaintances, connects youth to new resources/connections/information they did not previously have; can network for youth to assist in educational and economic opportunities
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Strong ties, typically found in relationships with family and friends, are marked by frequent interactions and strong emotional bonds (Rademacher & Wang, 2014; Gaddis, 2012). Weak ties are more typical of relationships with acquaintances and tend to be less strong and based on less frequentinteractions. Although weak ties do not provide deep emotional bonds, they foster connections across groups and build large,sparsely connected networks
Strong ties: typically found in family and friends Weak ties: typical of relationship with acquaintances, less-frequent interactions, do foster connections across groups and build large, sparsely connected networks
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Because of persistent economic segregation in this country, low-income young people may only have access to those who are in similar economic circumstances as themselves (Albright & Hurd, 2017). Additionally, adolescents tend to only have access to social capital garnered through their relationships with their parents, parents' network, neighbors, and teachers (White & Glick, 2000). Low-income adolescents' access to social capital is thus restricted by their economic segregation, the homogeneity of their parents' network, and their limited access to other relationships(Putnam, 2015). Low-income youth have a clear disadvantage concerning the growth of social capital. An informal mentor, specifically one from outside the young person's community, thus, may play an important and unique role in expanding an adolescent's social capital by compensating for these limitations.
Challenges economically challenged youth face
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An individual's access to social capital, the total number of resources garnered through social relationships, is determined largely by their socioeconomic status and racial ethnic makeup
Social capital influenced by socioeconomic status
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Social support is a category of resources provided through social relationshipsand is considered by many to be one important form of social capita
Social support definition
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Social capital is defined as the total number of resources (e.g., connections, support) that people haveaccess to through their social relationships.
Social capital definition
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umulatively, the literature shows that informal mentors may be an important but scarce resource in promoting economic mobility for low-income youth, may differentially support economic mobility for middle-income youth, and that there may be important differences among mentoring relationships, some of which may better promote mobility than others.
Literature shows that informal mentors may be important but scarce resource for low-income youth
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compensate for the lack of other resources their peers have, such as expansive connected social networks.
Youth from disadvantaged neighborhoods make greater strides than more-resourced peers when mentored by someone outside the family; can potentially compensate for lack of other resources in youth's life
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A young person's neighborhood context is associated with their chance of being mentored and their chance of being economically mobile. Young people living in under-resourced neighborhoods are also unlikely to be upwardly mobile (Chetty & Hendren, 2016a; Chetty, & Hendren, 2016b; Chetty, Hendren, Kline & Saez, 2014b; Goldsmith, Britton, Reese, & Velez, 2017). Low-income children are more likely to live in neighborhoods with higher crime and drug use (Abelev, 2009). Young people from these neighborhoods are more likelytohave lower tests scores (McCullock & Joshi, 2001), drop out of high school, and be unemployed (Ainsworth, 2002). This neighborhood effect is cumulative: the more time spent in under
- Neighborhood is associated with chance of being mentored
- youth in under-resourced neighborhoods are more unlikely to be upwardly mobile
- in these neighborhoods, likely to have higher crime and drug rates, lower test scores, drop out of high school, and be unemployed
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Mentoring relationships differ on how the mentor and mentee met, how often they see each other, how long they have known each other, how close the youth feels to the mentor, and what kinds of support the mentor offers the youth
Variables that factor into mentorship
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Cumulatively, these studies suggest that the potential influence of informal mentors on mobility may be most pronounced for those youth who are facing a disadvantage of some kind (family structure, income, etc.) and/or are a racial ethnic minority. Concerning the focus of the present study, this literature would suggest that informal mentoring may be more strongly associated with upward mobility for low-income youth than for middle-or higher-income youth for whom informal mentoring is
Suggests a stronger influence on disadvantaged or racial ethnic minority youth
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In one study, a low-income child was twice as likely to graduate college when mentored. This is in contrast to previous literature that demonstrates consistent but small associations between informal mentoring and college completion for middle-income children (Reynolds & Parrish, 2018). This suggests that youth from low-income families benefit more from mentorship than those who may have a plethora of positiveresources in their life
Low-income families benefit more from mentorship; one study suggests that mentored low-income children are 2x as likely to graduate college
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For instance, much attention has been paid to informal mentoring and educational outcomes: mentored youth are more likely to feel connected to their school (Black, Grenard, Sussman, & Rohrbach, 2010), have better grades (Chang et al., 2010), attend college (DuBois & Silverthorn, 2005a; Reynolds & Parrish, 2017) and receive a bachelor’s degree (Miranda-Chan, Fruiht, Dubon, & Wray-Lake, 2016; Erickson, McDonald, Elder, 2009). Cumulatively, these studies, along with a 2018 meta-analysis (Van Dam et al.) suggest a strong and consistent relationship between having an informal mentor and positive educational outcomes.
Informal mentors can result in and influence positive educational outcomes, help promote ability to "feel connected to their school"
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Literature has established that informal mentoring is most commonly associated with psychosocial outcomes such as lower stress levels, higher life satisfaction, and lower rates of depression (DuBois & Silverthorn, 2005a; Chang et al., 2010; Munson & McMillen, 2009) and socioemotional outcomes, including improved social skills, perceived social support, and higher self-esteem (Van Dam et al., 2018; Miranda-Chan et al., 2016).These associations are strong and consistent across studies, suggesting that informal mentoring is positively correlated with positive psychosocial and socioemotional outcomes.
Informal mentoring is positively correlated with positive psychosocial and socioemotional outcomes
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Informal mentors can provide support and role-modeling to these youth without serving as an unwelcomed authority figure, and ultimately influence the fundamental building blocks of mobility (Meltzer, Muir, & Craig, 2016). Previous research has linked informal mentorship toeducational attainment and employment (Erickson, McDonald, Elder, 2009; DuBois & Silverthorn, 2005a), and thusitmay act as a potential catalyst for mobility when used in this key stage of adolescence.
Informal mentors can serve as role-models during critical times in youth lives; influence building blocks of mobility; may act as a catalyst for mobility when used in key stage/timing
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Informal mentoring relationships are also more prevalent than formal ones. One study found that 62% of youth had an informal mentoring relationship, compared to just 15% who reportedhaving a formal mentoring relationship(Bruce & Bridgeland, 2014). There are similar differences in prevalence when asking adults if they have mentored young people: 67% of those who reported mentoring someone in the past year did so informally, while only 31% did so through a formal program, (Oosthuizen, 2017). While coming from a low-income family is one of several risk factors associated withlower exposure toinformal mentors, it is clear that many of these youth are still able to identify caring adults in their lives
- 62% of youth had an informal mentoring relationship
- 15% reported formal mentoring relationship
- 67% of adults claimed to have informally mentored someone in last year
- 31% did so in a formal program
- even low-income family youth can identify caring adults in their lives
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10the formal mentoring model, including the mismatching of adult-youth pairs (Spencer et al., 2017), trouble forming a meaningful connection (Freedman, 1993) and relationships ending early and unexpectedly
Downfalls of formal mentoring
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Formal mentoring involves a program or agency matching a young person to a mentor they usually do not know,based on like qualities
Formal mentoring definition
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The root of this wide-ranging interest lies in part inWerner and Smith'sinfluentiallongitudinal study (2001), whichfolloweda cohort of high-risk children through adulthood. One of their many findings on what builds resilience in youth was the presence of a caring adult who serves as a mentor. From this initial finding, scholars interested in resilience, positive youth development, and health have all studied the potential power of informal mentoring (Hurd, Varner, & Rowley, 2013; Bowers et al, 2012, DuBois & Silverthorn, 2005a). It is important to note, however, that nostudy to date has directly examined informal mentoring and economic upward mobility as a desired outcome.
Resilience stems from presence of a caring adult who serves as a mentor
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The role of informal mentors may be fulfilled by a variety of adults, including teachers, extended family members, coaches, neighbors, or other community members. Connections between youth and mentors may be of shorter or longer duration and may offer a range of supports, such as companionship, instrumental support, or deep emotional bonds
Who can be an informal mentor, types of supports from these mentors
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Informal mentoring relationships are naturally-occurring relationships between youth and non-parental adults (Sterrett, Jones, Mckee, & Kincaid, 2011) who care about the young person and to whom the young person can turn to for support
Informal mentor definition
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The final type of mobility program, as defined by Ellwood et al.(2016), is an effort that targets "one or several interrelated elements in the long chain of events, institutions, and outcomes that lead to mobility" (Ellwood et al., 2016, p. 5). Such programs focus on one or a few of the key building blocks typically neededfor an individual to be upwardly mobile. Examples of building blocks to mobilityare college enrollment, educational attainment, early employment, and asset accrual in adulthood. Informal mentoring has beendemonstrated to influence some of these building blocksfor mobility(Erickson, McDonald, Elder, 2009; DuBois & Silverthorn, 2005a) and thus fits in to Ellwood et al.'s conceptualization of the many ways we can work to promote economic mobility.
Final type of mobility program: focuses on "one or several interrelated elements"; informal mentoring has been shown to influence some of these building blocks
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More micro-level programs engage individuals and families over time, with the aim of providing a comprehensive pathway to mobility. These tend to involve an assignedcase manager who works to find the right combination of resources that could help a particular individual or family, ranging from housing vouchers and educational loan programs to engaging with non-profits that provide interview training
6-level scale: micro-level programs engage individuals and families over time to promote mobility
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On a regional level, partnerships among key stakeholders, such as community leaders, businesses, and local government, can develop to promotemobility in a particular area. Other types of programs focus on alleviating the effect of neighborhood poverty, by either addressing issues in the neighborhood itself, or providing opportunities for residents to access essentials (e.g., education, medical care, housing)outside the neighborhood.
Regional level: partnerships among key stakeholders can promote mobility in certain areas
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Moving from the most macro-level downwards, the first level at which mobility interventions work is the recent call to combine big data sources, such as income, housing, and healthcare data, in hopesofprovidingtimely information on mobility and sparkingnew innovation. Another macro-level effort is that of economic or political changes, such as policies that promote individual asset accrual or federal grants to pursue higher education.
6-level scale: macro-level efforts
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Informal mentoring fits on the mostmicro-level of a six-level scale of interventions that promote upward mobility, defined by Ellwood and his colleagues (2016). These levels are not always mutually-exclusive, as an interventionmay fit intomore than one of the levelspresented here.A figure representing the six levels of efforts to promote mobility can be found in Appendix Figure 1.
6-level scale of interventions that promote upward mobility: informal mentoring fits on most micro-level
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Informal mentoring is one small person-level intervention that can influence economic mobility by potentially increasing young people’s attainment of assets that serve as building blocks for economic mobility, including college enrollment,
Informal mentoring = potentially increasing youth attainment of assets that serve as building blocks for economic mobility
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Bridging capital, which connectsa young personto new resources they did not have access to before, is linked to educational attainment and employment
Impact on bridging capital
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3person's feelings of connectedness to an institution of group, in the workplace specifically,leads to more opportunities for promotion
Impact on bonding capital
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Additionally, the social capital literature suggests that mentors may promote upward mobility in young people by providing bonding and bridging support.
Impact on social capital
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Additionally, there may be important variations in the support mentors provide. The social support literature suggests that relationships providing instrumental, informational, and emotional support may promote economic mobility through a direct association between these types of social support and essential building blocks of mobility (e.g., educational attainment and employment opportunity)
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Previousresearch has demonstrated that mentors fromoutside the family, who the young person feels close to, whom they haveknown the young person for a long time, and who sees them often are in the best position to promote positive change
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One source of positive relationships are informal mentors, who are caring, non-parental adults whom the youth identify as providingsupport (Sykes, Gioviano, & Piquero, 2014). These mentors have already been associated with key building blocks to mobility, namely increased educational attainment (Miranda-Chan, Fruiht, Dubon, & Wray-Lake, 2016), workforce participation (DuBois & Silverthorn, 2005a), and asset accrual in young adulthood (Greeson, Usher, & Grinstein-Weiss, 2010)
Informal mentor: someone who is a caring, non-parental adult whom youth identify as supportive
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Positive relationships with those in the community may lead to educational attainment and employment, essential building blocks economically mobile people typically have.
Economically mobile people have educational attainment and employment
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Among a number of promising new directions, recent evidence points to positive relationships with caring adultsduring adolescence as potentially promoting upwardmobility
Research suggests that positive relationships with caring adults can promote mobility
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Good introduction to the history of bubble models here.
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tension
I really like this graphic showing the "skin pressure" and other forces at play when considering the pressure of a bubbl
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Smith had been pondering assimilationist climate theory for s ome time. He may have learned it first f rom Buffon, or from James Bow-doin’s opening oration of t he newly established American Academy of Arts and Sciences i n Boston on May 4, 1780.
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Haelle, T. (2020, May 8). Why It’s Important To Push Back On ‘Plandemic’—And How To Do It. Forbes. https://www.forbes.com/sites/tarahaelle/2020/05/08/why-its-important-to-push-back-on-plandemic-and-how-to-do-it/
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- consumption
- conspiracy theory
- COVID-19
- misinformation
- USA
- Trump
- is:article
- understanding
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medium.com medium.com
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Pigliucci, M. (2020, May 19). No, predictions are not overrated. On some scientists’ strange attitude toward philosophy. Medium. https://medium.com/science-and-philosophy/no-predictions-are-not-overrated-on-some-scientists-strange-attitude-toward-philosophy-60dfd5c2cb83
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Young, V. A. (2020, May 20). Nearly Half Of The Twitter Accounts Discussing ‘Reopening America’ May Be Bots. Carnegie Mellon School of Computer Science. https://www.scs.cmu.edu/news/nearly-half-twitter-accounts-discussing-%E2%80%98reopening-america%E2%80%99-may-be-bots
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Moreau, David, and Kristina Wiebels. ‘Assessing Change in Intervention Research: The Benefits of Composite Outcomes’, 2 June 2020. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/t9hw3.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Meyerhoff, H. S., Brand, A.-K., & Scholl, A. (2020). In Case of Doubt for the Suspicion?: When People Falsely Remember Facts in the News as Being Uncertain. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/rct7a
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Marinthe, G., Brown, G., Delouvée, S., & Jolley, D. (2020, May 29). Looking out for Myself: Exploring the Relationship Between Conspiracy Mentality, Perceived Personal Risk and COVID-19 Prevention Measures. Retrieved from psyarxiv.com/cm9st
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Bertin, P., Nera, K., & Delouvée, S. (2020). Conspiracy beliefs, chloroquine, and the rejection of vaccination: A conceptual replication-extension in the COVID-19 pandemic context [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/rz78k
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Blanchard, M. A., & Heeren, A. (2020). Why We Should Move from Reductionism and Embrace a Network Approach to Parental Burnout? [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/y34cq
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Alper, S., Bayrak, F., & Yilmaz, O. (2020). Psychological Correlates of COVID-19 Conspiracy Beliefs and Preventive Measures: Evidence from Turkey [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/mt3p4
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Cook, J., & Lewandowsky, S. (n.d.). Coronavirus conspiracy theories are dangerous – here’s how to stop them spreading. The Conversation. Retrieved April 21, 2020, from http://theconversation.com/coronavirus-conspiracy-theories-are-dangerous-heres-how-to-stop-them-spreading-136564
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Lobato, E. J. C., Powell, M., Padilla, L., & Holbrook, C. (2020). Factors Predicting Willingness to Share COVID-19 Misinformation. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/r4p5z
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Sternisko, A., Cichocka, A., Cislak, A., & Van Bavel, J. J. (2020). Collective narcissism predicts the belief and dissemination of conspiracy theories during the COVID-19 pandemic [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/4c6av
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Warzel, C. (2020, April 3). Opinion | What We Pretend to Know About the Coronavirus Could Kill Us. The New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/03/opinion/sunday/coronavirus-fake-news.html
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Zdeborová, L. (2020). Understanding deep learning is also a job for physicists. Nature Physics, 1–3. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41567-020-0929-2
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www.digital-democracy.org www.digital-democracy.org
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From a game theoretic standpoint, we’ve already lost. Too many of our civil society adversaries have too much of our data, and we have so little of theirs.
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en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
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standuprepublic.com standuprepublic.com
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McKew, M. (2020, May 13) Disinformation Starts at Home. Stand Up Republic. https://standuprepublic.com/disinformation-starts-at-home/
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Ball, P. (2020). Anti-vaccine movement could undermine efforts to end coronavirus pandemic, researchers warn. Nature, 581(7808), 251–251. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-020-01423-4
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Andersen, K.G., Rambaut, A., Lipkin, W.I. et al. The proximal origin of SARS-CoV-2. Nat Med 26, 450–452 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-020-0820-9
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ltcwrk.com ltcwrk.com
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In evolutionary terms, certainly, because the individuals that show these traits have a higher chance of survival in the long term.
Not surprisingly, nature is a great teacher. Not until the 1950s and Johnny von Neumann did game theory get developed, but it was found that tit for tat with forgiveness is the optimal model. In other words, altruism or as Henry Ford called it, enlightened self-interest (https://www.wikiwand.com/en/Game_theory)
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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Cook, J. (2020 May 12) Plandemic and the seven traits of conspiratorial thinking. youtu.be/Rban0JGEimE
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Leary, A., Dvorak, R., De Leon, A., Peterson, R., & Troop-Gordon, W. (2020). COVID-19 Social Distancing [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/mszw2
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Kennedy, B., Atari, M., Davani, A. M., Hoover, J., Omrani, A., Graham, J., & Dehghani, M. (2020, May 7). Moral Concerns are Differentially Observable in Language. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/uqmty
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notes.andymatuschak.org notes.andymatuschak.org
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Insight through making suggests that you’ll need to make simultaneous progress in theory-space and system-space to spot the new implications in their conjoined space. Effective system design requires insights drawn from serious contexts of use: you must constantly instantiate new theoretical ideas in new systems, then observe their impact in some serious context of use.
Very powerful way of wording the implications of Insights through making and the need for serious contexts of use.
You need to advance in theory-space as well as in system-space to spot the implications for their conjoined space.
Pragmatically, you must constantly instantiate new theoretical ideas in the system, then observe the effects in some serious context of use.
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en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
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This is an abstract form of De Morgan's laws, or of duality applied to lattices.
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en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
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A plane graph is said to be self-dual if it is isomorphic to its dual graph.
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en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
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en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
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Johnson, S. G. B., Zhang, J., & Keil, F. (2020, April 30). Win–Win Denial: The Psychological Underpinnings of Zero-Sum Thinking. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/efs5y
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misinforeview.hks.harvard.edu misinforeview.hks.harvard.edu
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Uscinski, J. E., Enders, A. M., Klofstad, C., Seelig, M., Funchion, J., Everett, C., Wuchty, S., Premaratne, K., & Murthi, M. (2020). Why do people believe COVID-19 conspiracy theories? Harvard Kennedy School Misinformation Review, 1(COVID-19 and Misinformation). https://doi.org/10.37016/mr-2020-015
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apolitical.co apolitical.co
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Complex systems thinking is being used for policymaking. Is it the future? (2018, October 25). https://apolitical.co/en/solution_article/complex-systems-thinking-policymaking
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- Apr 2020
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McGann, M., & Speelman, C. (2020). Two Kinds of Theory: What Psychology Can Learn From Einstein [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/sp94q
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Johnson, S. G. B., Bilovich, A., & Tuckett, D. (2020, April 30). Conviction Narrative Theory: A Theory of Choice Under Radical Uncertainty. Retrieved from psyarxiv.com/urc96
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Edelsbrunner, P. A., & Thurn, C. (2020, April 22). Improving the Utility of Non-Significant Results for Educational Research. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/j93a2
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en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
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Equivalently, an arborescence is a directed, rooted tree in which all edges point away from the root
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en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
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In category theory
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Jamieson, R. K., & Pexman, P. M. (2020, April 20). Moving Beyond 20 Questions: We (Still) Need Stronger Psychological Theory. https://doi.org/10.1037/cap0000223
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Cavojova, V., Šrol, J., & Mikušková, E. B. (2020, April 15). Scientific reasoning as a predictor of health-related beliefs and behaviors in the time of COVID-19. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/tfy5q
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Pummerer, L., & Sassenberg, K. (2020, April 14). Conspiracy Theories in Times of Crisis and their Societal Effects: Case “Corona”. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/y5grn
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Sætrevik, B. (2020, April 13). Realistic expectations and pro-social behavioural intentions to the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic in the Norwegian population. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/uptyq
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