News and policy links
Nanowerk News reports on the multifunctionality of the device, saying it would be able to be worn as a bracelet, ring, etc. They also make light of its ability to turn heat into electricity using thermoelectric generators, something that could revolutionize smart devices.
Read more at: https://www.nanowerk.com/nanotechnology-news2/newsid=57267.php
Hong, B., Bonczak, B. J., Gupta, A., Thorpe, L. E., & Kontokosta, C. E. (2021). Exposure density and neighborhood disparities in COVID-19 infection risk. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(13). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2021258118
Blayac, Thierry, Dimitri Dubois, Sebastien Duchêne, Phu Nguyen-Van, Bruno Ventelou, and Marc Willinger. ‘Population Preferences for Inclusive COVID-19 Policy Responses’. The Lancet Public Health 6, no. 1 (1 January 2021): e9. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30285-1.
Savaris, R. F., G. Pumi, J. Dalzochio, and R. Kunst. ‘Stay-at-Home Policy Is a Case of Exception Fallacy: An Internet-Based Ecological Study’. Scientific Reports 11, no. 1 (5 March 2021): 5313. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-84092-1.
ReconfigBehSci. (2020, November 9). Second session now underway at the SciBeh workshop: Session 2: Interfacing with Policy How can the wider science community be policy-relevant? Speaking now: Alison Wright from UCL #scibeh2020 https://t.co/Gsr66BRGcJ [Tweet]. @SciBeh. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1325750355309830145
Moderna Plans Multi-Pronged Approach on Virus Variants. (2021, February 24). Bloomberg.Com. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-02-24/moderna-plans-multi-pronged-approach-to-tackling-virus-variants
Brown, Rebecca C. H., Julian Savulescu, Dominic Kelly, and Dominic Wilkinson. ‘A Public Health Ethic Should Inform Policies on COVID-19 Immunity Passports – Authors’ Reply’. The Lancet Infectious Diseases 0, no. 0 (7 December 2020). https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30922-1.
Leatherby, Lauren, and Rich Harris. ‘States That Imposed Few Restrictions Now Have the Worst Outbreaks’. The New York Times, 18 November 2020, sec. U.S. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/18/us/covid-state-restrictions.html.
Adalja, Amesh. ‘The Words That Shaped COVID-19’. The Lancet Infectious Diseases 21, no. 2 (1 February 2021): 179. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30954-3.
Pariente, Nonia, and on behalf of the PLOS Biology Staff Editors. ‘We Need Leaders That Believe in Scientific Evidence’. PLOS Biology 18, no. 10 (22 October 2020): e3000992. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.3000992.
‘How Slovakia Tested 3.6 Million People for COVID-19 in a Single Weekend’. Accessed 26 February 2021. https://www.bi.team/blogs/how-slovakia-tested-3-6-million-people-for-covid-19-in-a-single-weekend/.
Kaiser, K. A., Chodacki, J., Habermann, T., Kemp, J., Paglione, L., Urberg, M., & Scott Plutchak, T. (2020). Metadata: The accelerant we need. Information Services & Use, 40(3), 181–191. https://doi.org/10.3233/ISU-200094
Ramamurti, R. (2020, October 27). Global Crowdsourcing Can Help the U.S. Beat the Pandemic. Harvard Business Review. https://hbr.org/2020/10/global-crowdsourcing-can-help-the-u-s-beat-the-pandemic
Daley, Jim. ‘How to Decide Who Should Get a COVID-19 Vaccine First’. Scientific American. Accessed 26 February 2021. https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-to-decide-who-should-get-a-covid-19-vaccine-first/.
Meckler, L. (2021, January 26). CDC finds scant spread of coronavirus in schools with precautions in place. Washington Post. https://www.washingtonpost.com/education/cdc-school-virus-spread/2021/01/26/bf949222-5fe6-11eb-9061-07abcc1f9229_story.html?wpmk=1&wpisrc=al_news__alert-hse--alert-national&utm_source=alert&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=wp_news_alert_revere&location=alert&pwapi_token=eyJ0eXAiOiJKV1QiLCJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9.eyJjb29raWVuYW1lIjoid3BfY3J0aWQiLCJpc3MiOiJDYXJ0YSIsImNvb2tpZXZhbHVlIjoiNWE0ZTVmZjg5YmJjMGYwMzU5M2MxMzQ0IiwidGFnIjoid3BfbmV3c19hbGVydF9yZXZlcmUiLCJ1cmwiOiJodHRwczovL3d3dy53YXNoaW5ndG9ucG9zdC5jb20vZWR1Y2F0aW9uL2NkYy1zY2hvb2wtdmlydXMtc3ByZWFkLzIwMjEvMDEvMjYvYmY5NDkyMjItNWZlNi0xMWViLTkwNjEtMDdhYmNjMWY5MjI5X3N0b3J5Lmh0bWw_d3Btaz0xJndwaXNyYz1hbF9uZXdzX19hbGVydC1oc2UtLWFsZXJ0LW5hdGlvbmFsJnV0bV9zb3VyY2U9YWxlcnQmdXRtX21lZGl1bT1lbWFpbCZ1dG1fY2FtcGFpZ249d3BfbmV3c19hbGVydF9yZXZlcmUmbG9jYXRpb249YWxlcnQifQ.lDTv2Ht4JO64K3NlGmF4Uk3pW4oGuD4Vetm18lpknHY
Goolsbee, Austan, and Chad Syverson. ‘Fear, Lockdown, and Diversion: Comparing Drivers of Pandemic Economic Decline 2020’. Journal of Public Economics 193 (1 January 2021): 104311. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2020.104311.
Increasing the impact of health research through co-production of knowledge | The BMJ. (n.d.). Retrieved 16 February 2021, from https://www.bmj.com/co-producing-knowledge?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_term=hootsuite&utm_content=sme&utm_campaign=usage
Bergot, N. (2020, October 24). Battling fake science: University of Alberta launches free online science literacy course. Edmonton Journal. https://edmontonjournal.com/news/local-news/battling-fake-science-ualberta-launches-free-online-science-literacy-course
BMJ GH Blogs. ‘An Effective National Response to COVID-19: What Not to Learn from Sweden’. BMJ Global Health blog, 1 November 2020. https://blogs.bmj.com/bmjgh/2020/11/01/covid-19-what-not-to-learn-from-sweden/.
Nikiforuk, A. (2020, October 28). ‘Herd Immunity’ Is an Inviting Idea but Terrible Policy. The Tyee. https://thetyee.ca/Analysis/2020/10/28/Herd-Immunity-Inviting-Idea-Terrible-Policy/?utm_source=weekly&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=021120
Wise, J. (2021). Covid-19: Extra 1.7 million people in England are asked to shield. BMJ, 372, n467. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.n467
To end covid-19, we must end discrimination and inequality. (2021, March 1). The BMJ. https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2021/03/01/to-end-covid-19-we-must-end-discrimination-and-inequality/
COVID-19 vaccine rollout may be delayed—With IT system ‘failing constantly’. (n.d.). Sky News. Retrieved 2 March 2021, from https://news.sky.com/story/covid-19-vaccine-rollout-may-be-delayed-with-it-system-failing-constantly-12164829
Cahill, B., & Masia, M. (2020). Four ways to fight science-funding cuts across Europe. Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-020-03121-7
Heroy, Samuel, Isabella Loaiza, Alexander Pentland, and Neave O’Clery. ‘Controlling COVID-19: Labor Structure Is More Important than Lockdown Policy’. ArXiv:2010.14630 [Physics], 5 November 2020. http://arxiv.org/abs/2010.14630.
Imperial College London. ‘Report 34 - COVID-19 Infection Fatality Ratio Estimates from Seroprevalence’. Accessed 12 March 2021. http://www.imperial.ac.uk/medicine/departments/school-public-health/infectious-disease-epidemiology/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/covid-19/report-34-ifr/.
Write modules that do one thing well. Write a new module rather than complicate an old one.
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D’Ancona, F., D’Amario, C., Maraglino, F., Rezza, G., & Iannazzo, S. (2019). The law on compulsory vaccination in Italy: An update 2 years after the introduction. Eurosurveillance, 24(26). https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2019.24.26.1900371
ReconfigBehSci. (2020, November 9). Great talk by Chiara Varazzani from the OECD on the two speed systems of policy and ‘normal’ research and the challenge that poses to pandemic response #scibeh2020 https://t.co/Gsr66BRGcJ [Tweet]. @SciBeh. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1325725690935832576
Editorial Office · Rapid Reviews COVID-19. (n.d.). Rapid Reviews COVID-19. Retrieved 6 March 2021, from https://rapidreviewscovid19.mitpress.mit.edu/editors2
Hackathon: Climate denial and COVID-19 misinformation: birds of a feather? : BehSciAsk. (n.d.). Reddit. Retrieved 6 March 2021, from https://www.reddit.com/r/BehSciAsk/comments/jjk00r/hackathon_climate_denial_and_covid19/
ReconfigBehSci. (2020, November 5). In 4 days: SciBeh workshop ‘Building an online information environment for policy relevant science’ Join us! Topics: Crisis open science, interfacing to policy, online discourse, tools for research curation talks, panels, hackathons https://t.co/SPeD5BVgj3… I https://t.co/kQClhpHKx5 [Tweet]. @SciBeh. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1324286406764744704
ReconfigBehSci on Twitter: ‘Session 1: “Open Science and Crisis Knowledge Management now underway with Chiara Varazzani from the OECD” How can we adapt tools, policies, and strategies for open science to provide what is needed for policy response to COVID-19? #scibeh2020’ / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved 5 March 2021, from https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1325720293965443072
‘Fact Check: Claim about Neil Ferguson’s Covid-19 Predictions’. Accessed 5 March 2021. https://theferret.scot/fact-check-neil-ferguson-covid-19-predictions/.
Harvard Law School. (2020, November 17). COVID-19 and the Law | Access to Justice and Legal Innovation. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3wIf-gWy4yk
Sweden’s COVID death toll is unnerving due to herd immunity experiment. (n.d.). Retrieved March 4, 2021, from https://eu.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2020/07/21/coronavirus-swedish-herd-immunity-drove-up-death-toll-column/5472100002/
Rietz, H. (2020, November 18). Intensivmedizin am Anschlag: Zertifizierte Betten sind belegt. Neue Zürcher Zeitung. https://www.nzz.ch/wissenschaft/intensivmedizin-am-anschlag-zertifizierte-betten-sind-belegt-ld.1587675
ReconfigBehSci on Twitter: ‘1 week to the SciBeh workshop “Building an online information environment for policy relevant science” Join us, register now! Topics: Crisis open science, interfacing to policy, online discourse, tools for research curation talks, panels, hackathons https://t.co/Gsr66BRGcJ https://t.co/uRrhSb9t05’ / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved 2 March 2021, from https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1323207455283826690
Rowland Manthorpe. (2020, December 16). What’s happening with the data about the vaccine? Well, let’s put it this way: There’s a lot to sort out A THREAD on my reporting today [Tweet]. @rowlsmanthorpe. https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1339347825147195392
Kao, R. Z., Paul Mozur,Aaron Krolik,Jeff. (n.d.). Leaked Documents Show How China’s Army of Paid Internet Trolls Helped Censor the Coronavirus. ProPublica. Retrieved 2 March 2021, from https://www.propublica.org/article/leaked-documents-show-how-chinas-army-of-paid-internet-trolls-helped-censor-the-coronavirus
ReconfigBehSci. (2020, November 9). Session 2: The policy interface followed with a really helpful presentation by Lindsey Pike, from Bristol, and then panel discussion with Mirjam Jenny (Robert Koch Insitute), Paulina Lang (UK Cabinet Office), Rachel McCloy (Reading Uni.), and Rene van Bavel (European Commission) [Tweet]. @SciBeh. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1325795286065815552
Covid-19 Isn’t the Only Thing Shortening American Lives. (2021, February 23). Bloomberg.Com. https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-02-23/covid-19-isn-t-the-only-thing-shortening-american-lives
Behaviour change: Guides for national and local government and partners. (n.d.). GOV.UK. Retrieved 1 March 2021, from https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/behaviour-change-guide-for-local-government-and-partners
All data related to Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey, UK: 24 December 2020—Office for National Statistics. (n.d.). Retrieved 1 March 2021, from https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/24december2020/relateddata
Partha, D., & David, P. A. (1994). Toward a new economics of science. Research Policy, 23(5), 487–521. https://doi.org/10.1016/0048-7333(94)01002-1
McKenna, S. (n.d.). COVID Models Show How to Avoid Future Lockdowns. Scientific American. Retrieved 26 February 2021, from https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/covid-models-show-how-to-avoid-future-lockdowns/
Armeni, Kristijan, Loek Brinkman, Rickard Carlsson, Anita Eerland, Rianne Fijten, Robin Fondberg, Vera Ellen Heininga, et al. ‘Towards Wide-Scale Adoption of Open Science Practices: The Role of Open Science Communities’. MetaArXiv, 6 October 2020. https://doi.org/10.31222/osf.io/7gct9.
Health Nerd. (2021, February 1). The story continues—After @ikashnitsky and I pointed out that this paper was mathematically impossible, and had numerous errors, it was partially corrected Now, the lead author is calling us ‘trolls’ [Tweet]. @GidMK. https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1356085063998267398
Wenner, A. (2020, October 28). Society Needs to Adapt to a World of Widespread Disinformation. https://Fsi.Stanford.Edu/. https://fsi.stanford.edu/news/society-needs-adapt-world-widespread-disinformation
Scudellari, M. (2020). How the pandemic might play out in 2021 and beyond. Nature, 584(7819), 22–25. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-020-02278-5
Dickie, Mure, and John Burn-Murdoch. ‘Scotland Reaps Dividend of Covid Response That Diverged from England’, 25 February 2021. https://www.ft.com/content/e1eddd2f-cb0b-4c7a-8872-2783810fae8d.
Covid in Scotland: Nicola Sturgeon unveils ‘cautious’ route out of lockdown. (2021, February 23). BBC News. https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-56170916
Pskowski, M. (2021, February 24). ‘It doesn’t feel worth it’: Covid-19 is pushing New York’s EMTs to the brink. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/feb/24/new-york-paramedics-emts-covid-19-pandemic
Siva, N. (2021). Severe mental illness: Reassessing COVID-19 vaccine priorities. The Lancet, 397(10275), 657. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)00429-3
Hyde, Z. (n.d.). Herd immunity is the end game for the pandemic, but the AstraZeneca vaccine won’t get us there. The Conversation. Retrieved 24 February 2021, from http://theconversation.com/herd-immunity-is-the-end-game-for-the-pandemic-but-the-astrazeneca-vaccine-wont-get-us-there-155115
NW, 1615 L. St, Suite 800Washington, & Inquiries, D. 20036USA202-419-4300 | M.-857-8562 | F.-419-4372 | M. (2020, December 8). The Changing Geography of COVID-19 in the U.S. Pew Research Center - U.S. Politics & Policy. https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/?p=20076611
The COVID-19 Vaccine Communication Handbook. (n.d.). HackMD. Retrieved 23 February 2021, from https://hackmd.io/@scibehC19vax/home
there are two key elements to an anti-pattern that distinguish it from a bad habit, bad practice, or bad idea
Isaac Newton Institute: COVID-19 and universities, 13 January 2021. (n.d.). GOV.UK. Retrieved 23 February 2021, from https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/isaac-newton-institute-covid-19-and-universities-13-january-2021
TFC: Children and transmission - update paper, 10 February 2021. (n.d.). GOV.UK. Retrieved 23 February 2021, from https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/tfc-children-and-transmission-update-paper-10-february-2021
Tim Colbourn. (2021, February 22). It’s good that opening up will be done in stages, though more could be done to ensure we don’t fail after the 1st stage and end up back in lockdown due to hospitals filling up again with unvaccinated people. I hope the government don’t end up regretting not doing the above. END [Tweet]. @timcolbourn. https://twitter.com/timcolbourn/status/1363989485516693508
Potential Side Effects of COVID-19 Vaccines. (n.d.). HackMD. Retrieved 22 February 2021, from https://hackmd.io/@scibehC19vax/sideeffects
Qin, A., & Wang, V. (2020, January 22). Wuhan, Center of Coronavirus Outbreak, Is Being Cut Off by Chinese Authorities. The New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/22/world/asia/china-coronavirus-travel.html
Times info@bylinetimes.com (https://bylinetimes.com/), Byline. „Cambridge Analytica Psychologist Advising Global COVID-19 Disinformation Network Linked to Nigel Farage and Conservative Party“. Byline Times, 2. Februar 2021. https://bylinetimes.com/2021/02/02/cambridge-analytica-psychologist-advising-global-covid-19-disinformation-network-linked-to-nigel-farage-and-conservative-party/.
Haslam, S. A., Steffens, N. K., Reicher, S., & Bentley, S. (2020). Identity leadership in a crisis: A 5R framework for learning from responses to COVID-19. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/bhj49
Aknin, L., Neve, J.-E. D., Dunn, E., Fancourt, D., Goldberg, E., Helliwell, J., Jones, S. P., Karam, E., Layard, R., Lyubomirsky, S., Rzepa, A., Saxena, S., Thornton, E., VanderWeele, T., Whillans, A., Zaki, J., Caman, O. K., & Amour, Y. B. (2021). A Review and Response to the Early Mental Health and Neurological Consequences of the COVID-19 Pandemic. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/zw93g
The intellectual cesspool of the inflation truthers
Powerful Headline (words) from a Washington Post article under Economic Policy. WORDS.....! Words..... When you study Legal Theory you learn that "words" play a significant role in all aspects of social order.
This statement simply implies the use of consistent narrative (story) to allow control of the rhetoric. Narrative can be viewed as believable while Rhetoric is a general pejorative. When the rhetoric is mis or dis-information the narrative must be credible.
Main stream media (MSM) has held a long-term standing across the world as being credible. This standing is eroding. It has eroded considerably over the last 25 years among critical thinkers and the general population has started to take notice.
I question everything from MSM especially when narrative is duplicated with identical rhetoric across known government media assets. History is a wonderful thing when searching for Truth. Events in historical time periods can be researched, parsed and studied for patterns based on future evidence and outcomes.
Information "Spin" is real and happens for one purpose, that purpose is to benefit a position, agenda, person, plan, etc., by manipulating (advertising, PR, propaganda) information. Spin is difficult to refute without hard facts. Spin has a short-term shelf life, but that is all it needs to chart a new course, set the "ball" in motion so to say.
Vaccine experts defend UK decision to delay second Pfizer Covid jab. (2021, January 23). The Guardian. http://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jan/23/vaccine-experts-defend-uk-decision-to-delay-second-pfizer-covid-jab
Imperial News. “Staff ‘need Clearer Guidance’ as COVID Overwhelms ICUs | Imperial News | Imperial College London.” Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/212833/staff-need-clearer-guidance-covid-overwhelms/.
O’Dwyer, E. J., Beascoechea-Seguí, N., & Souza, L. S. (2020). Rehearsing post-Covid-19 citizenship: Social representations and social practices in UK mutual aid groups. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/v84mr
Turk, E., Čelik, T., Smrdu, M., Šet, J., Kuder, A., Gregorič, M., & Kralj-Fišer, S. (2021). ADHERENCE TO COVID-19 MITIGATION MEASURES IN SLOVENIA: THE ROLE OF SOCIODEMOGRAPHIC AND PERSONALITY FACTORS. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/hrfyk
Zoom Video. “Welcome! You Are Invited to Join a Webinar: CEPEO (UCL)’s Research Seminar: Dr. Claire Crawford, University of Birmingham. After Registering, You Will Receive a Confirmation Email about Joining the Webinar.” Accessed February 19, 2021. https://ucl.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_RLY7x51NTSm-QGl4a-gCKw.
H, Yu, Yang J, Marziano V, Deng X, Guzzetta G, Zhang J, Trentini F, et al. “Can a COVID-19 Vaccination Program Guarantee the Return to a Pre-Pandemic Lifestyle?,” February 9, 2021. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-200069/v1.
News and policy links
Yahoo UK reports about the functionality of the self-healing wearable electronics, inquiring that the technology could possibly replace smart watches.
Read More at:
Bear, Laura., Melendez-Torres, G.J., Solanke, Iyiola. (2021). Principles for co-production of guidance relating to the control of COVID-19.
Chris Ham: The United Kingdom’s poor record on covid-19 is a failure of policy learning. (2021, January 26). The BMJ. https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2021/01/26/chris-ham-the-united-kingdoms-poor-record-on-covid-19-is-a-failure-of-policy-learning/
Taylor, J. (2021, February 17). Treasurer says Facebook has ‘damaged its reputation’ with Australian news ban. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/feb/18/facebook-to-restrict-australian-users-sharing-news-content
Fake News and Conspiracy Theories. (2021, February 16). American Purpose. https://www.americanpurpose.com/blog/fukuyama/fake-news-and-conspiracy-theories/
Levin, A. T., Hanage, W. P., Owusu-Boaitey, N., Cochran, K. B., Walsh, S. P., & Meyerowitz-Katz, G. (2020). Assessing the age specificity of infection fatality rates for COVID-19: Systematic review, meta-analysis, and public policy implications. European Journal of Epidemiology, 35(12), 1123–1138. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10654-020-00698-1
Debunking Handbook 2020 | Center For Climate Change Communication. (n.d.). Retrieved 16 February 2021, from https://www.climatechangecommunication.org/debunking-handbook-2020/
Schneider, I. K., Dorrough, A. R., & Frank, C. (2021). Ambivalence and Adherence to Measures to Reduce the Spread of COVID-19. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/b9hcg
Cruwys, T., Stevens, M., Donaldson, J. L., Cardenas, D., Platow, M. J., Reynolds, K. J., & Fong, P. (2021). Perceived COVID-19 risk is attenuated by ingroup trust: Evidence from three empirical studies. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/94sd3
Sanders, J., Tosi, A., Obradović, S., Miligi, I., & Delaney, L. (2021). Lessons from lockdown: Media discourse on the role of behavioural science in the UK COVID-19 response. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/dw85a
Mukhlis, H., Widyastuti, T., Harlianty, R. A., Susanti, S., & Kumalasari, D. (2020). Study on Awareness of COVID-19 and Compliance with Social Distancing during COVID-19 Pandemic in Indonesia. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/c9rme
Prosser, A. M. B. (2020, November 10). The Pandemic and my PhD: Lessons from a Policy Research Placement with the Reset Initiative. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/jg67m
Early Data Shows Striking Racial Disparities In Who’s Getting The COVID-19 Vaccine. (n.d.). NPR.Org. Retrieved 11 February 2021, from https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2021/01/28/961703505/early-data-shows-striking-racial-disparities-in-whos-getting-the-covid-19-vaccin
Urminsky, O., & Bergman, A. (2021). The Masked Majority: Underprediction Of Widespread Support For Covid-19 Safety Policies. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/fhdkv
Stokel-Walker, C. (2021). Covid-19: Why test and trace will fail without support for self-isolation. BMJ, 372, n327. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.n327
Pak, A., McBryde, E., & Adegboye, O. A. (2021, January 26).
Does High Public Trust Amplify Compliance with Stringent COVID-19 Government Health Guidelines? A Multi-country Analysis Using Data from 102,627 Individuals
. Risk Management and Healthcare Policy; Dove Press. https://doi.org/10.2147/RMHP.S278774Arceneaux, K., Bakker, B. N., Hobolt, S. B., & De Vries, C. E. (2020, October 5). Is COVID-19 a Threat to Liberal Democracy?. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/8e4pa
I have a Content Security Policy!Oh, do you now.And did somebody tell you that this would prevent malicious code from sending data off to some dastardly domain? I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but the following four lines of code will glide right through even the strictest content security policy.
That won't work if the external content is on another site due to same origin policy. In some obscure cases, the remote site might support JSONP; but probably not.
Similarly to a cell phone setup, you prepay your email quota. Although they famously used to offer credits that ‘never expired’, new changes mean that credits now expire after 12 months (or, if purchased before May 15th 2019, they’ll expire on May 15th 2020).
Sadique, M. Z., Devlin, N., Edmunds, W. J., & Parkin, D. (2013). The Effect of Perceived Risks on the Demand for Vaccination: Results from a Discrete Choice Experiment. PLoS ONE, 8(2). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0054149
Harvey. N.,(2020) Behavioral Fatigue: Real Phenomenon, Naïve Construct, or Policy Contrivance? Frontiers in Psychology. https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.589892/full
We can certainly explain the issues snap cause without using political or religious arguments. We did so in the documentation I linked to above.
Surveys in a time of Covid [u/hamilton_ian] (2020-01-28). Reddit. Retrieved from: https://www.reddit.com/r/BehSciAsk/comments/l739ru/surveys_in_a_time_of_covid/
For the future, you should: Install LTS (Long-term support) versions as they have an 8-year life span (with Extended Security Maintenance) or 5 years without. The current LTS version is Ubuntu 18.04.1 LTS Bionic Beaver released on July 26, 2018 with an EOL in April 2023. OR Carefully watch the EOL of the interim / development releases and upgrade frequently.
(2021). How epidemiology has shaped the COVID pandemic. Nature, 589, 491-492. Doi: 10.1038/d41586-021-00183-z
Diversity in science
Diversity in Science New Zealand
Gender Equality in Research
Gender equality in research in Irelad
Gender Equality in Research
Gender equility in Research in Australia
Promoting Gender Equality in Research and Innovation
EU commission to promote gender equality
The FuTure oF Gender equaliTy in european research and innovaTion
The future of gender equiality in european research
GenPORT Policy Briefs Now Online!
Policy briefs on gender equility in Research
Gopinath. G., (2020) IMF: New predictions suggest a deeper recession and a slower recovery. World Economic Forum. Retrieved from: https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/06/imf-lockdown-recession-covid19-coronavirus-economics-recession
u/nick_chater (2020) Behavioural Policy challenge: when does compulsion help? Reddit. Retrieved from: https://www.reddit.com/r/BehSciAsk/comments/hzci8g/behavioural_policy_challenge_when_does_compulsion/
Drake. T. M., Docherty. A. B., Weiser. T. G., Yule. S., Sheikh. A., Harrison. E. M., (2020). The effects of physical distancing on population mobility during the COVID-19 pandemic in the UK. Retrieved from https://www.thelancet.com/journals/landig/article/PIIS2589-7500(20)30134-5/fulltext#.XvrKIDSbor0.twitter
Grundy. E., (2020) SCRUB PROJECT WAVE 4: AUSTRALIANS’ VIEWS ON PRIVATE GATHERINGS, REMOTE WORKING AND GETTING TESTED. Behaviour Works Australia. Retrieved from https://www.behaviourworksaustralia.org/scrub-project-wave-4-australians-views-on-private-gatherings-remote-working-and-getting-tested/
Bargain. O., Aminjonov. U., (2020) Trust and Compliance to Public Health Policies in Times of COVID-19. Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved from: https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13205/
FitzRoy. F., Jin. J., (2020). Reforming Tax and Welfare: Social Justice and Recovery after the Pandemic. Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved from: https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/pp157/
Fuchs-Schunder. N., Kuhn. M., Tertilt. M., (2020). The Short-Run Macro Implications of School and Child-Care Closures Institute of labor Economics. Retrieved from: https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13353/
Dave. D. M., Friedson. A. I., Matsuzawa. K., McNichols. D.. Sabia. J. J. (2020). .Did the Wisconsin Supreme Court Restart a COVID-19 Epidemic? Evidence from a Natural Experiment. Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved from: https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13314/
FitzRoy. F., Spencer. D., (2020). Economic Policy Response to the Pandemic: From COVID-19 Emergency to Economic Democracy. Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved from: https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/pp160/
Snower. D. J., (2020), The Socio-Economics of Pandemics Policy. Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved from: https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/pp162/
u/acholcombe (2020, August 6) Trust in scientific findings and experts, but, rationally, not in what experts tell us to do. Reddit. Retrieved from: https://www.reddit.com/r/BehSciMeta/comments/i4cxtz/trust_in_scientific_findings_and_experts_but/g1f5z2n/
Stevenson Betsey {@BetseyStevenson} (2020, Aug, 13) Hmmm....these two decisions seem connected somehow. Twitter. Retrieved from: https://twitter.com/BetseyStevenson/status/1293693723633647617
Yang. A. (2020) Boston University instates policy to issue degrees to students after death, starting this Fall. The Daily Free Press. Retrieved from: https://dailyfreepress.com/2020/08/12/boston-university-to-issue-degrees-to-students-after-death-starting-this-fall/
Bloomberg. (2020). Bloomberg Prognosis: How Covid-19 is Reshaping the Global Healthcare Ecosystem. Retrieved from: https://onlinexperiences.com/scripts/Server.nxp?LASCmd=AI:4;F:QS!10100&ShowUUID=CB925306-099F-4D23-8526-0FDD06AC15C8&LangLocaleID=1033&AffiliateDate=TW
ReconfigBehSci (2020) but that then does not sound to me like a disease control policy- it makes no sense in that way. It would make sense, though, if your goal is to build herd immunity via the least vulnerable.. to be honest, I'm surprised it's actually legal as a policy (has it been challenged?) Twitter. Retrieved from: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1295731502467121152
ReconfigBehSci [@SciBeh] (2020, August) I'm familiar with those constraints/arguments- but keeping family members of infected individuals isolated is one of the most basic public health measure - it surely would be legal to mandate, particularly given the role pre/asymptomatic spread? no? Twitter. Retrieved from: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1295726328994566144
ReconfigBehSci [@SciBeh] (2020, August) can I ask, though: schooling was mandatory- were you still meant to go to school when there was an infected household member? or were you specifically barred from going to school or work if there was an infected household member? sources would be much appreciated! Twitter. Retrieved from: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1295692557884825602
Jo Maugham QC [@jolyonMaugham] (2020, August) Calling on retired lawyers! Law students! Bored lawyers! We at @GoodLawProject need your help with some research... we are working on what will be (well, if we win it) seminal litigation to establish the precautionary principle as a freestanding part of E&W common law! Twitter. Retrieved from: https://twitter.com/JolyonMaugham/status/1296092565075369984
The CSS automatically gets injected into <head> with the CDN (tippy-bundle). With CSP enabled, you may need to separately link dist/tippy.css and use dist/tippy.umd.min.js instead.
Smith, R., Myrick, J. G., Lennon, R. P., Martin, M. A., Small, M. L., Scoy, L. J. V., & Group, D. R. (2020). Optimizing COVID-19 Health Campaigns: A Person-Centered Approach. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/xuefh
JSONP is really a simply trick to overcome XMLHttpRequest same domain policy. (As you know one cannot send AJAX (XMLHttpRequest) request to a different domain.) So - instead of using XMLHttpRequest we have to use script HTMLl tags, the ones you usually use to load JS files, in order for JS to get data from another domain. Sounds weird?
But the draconican policies surrounding custom levels absolutely kill it.Any sort of creativity and innovation is crushed instantaneously because it's "not a verified song".
Sridhar. D. (2020) The best way to keep schools open? Stop coronavirus entering them in the first place. The Guardian. Retrieved from: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/aug/24/the-best-way-to-keep-schools-open-stop-coronavirus-entering-them-in-the-first-place
Chandrasekhar. A. G., Goldsmith-Pinkman. P., Jackson. M. O., Thau. S., (2020) Interacting Regional Policies in Containing a Disease. Retrieved from: https://arxiv.org/abs/2008.10745
Dhami. M., Weiss-cohen. L., Ayton. P., (2020) Are people experiencing the ‘pains of imprisonment’ during the Covid-19 lockdown? PsyArXiv Preprints. Retrieved from: https://psyarxiv.com/5xwbs/
KFF (Kaiser Family Foundation) @KFF (2020) RT @KFF @DrewAltman discusses two fundamental policy decisions made by the Trump administration that set the U.S. on the controversial an…
ReconfigBehSci @SciBeh (2020) For those who might think this issue isn't settled yet, the piece include below has further graphs indicating just how much "protecting the economy" is associated with "keeping the virus under control" Twitter. Retrieved from: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1306216113722871808
covidstates (2020) A 50-state covid-19 survey. Retrieved from: https://covidstates.org/
ReconfigBehSci [@SciBeh] (2020) SciBeh is organising a workshop on "Building an online information environment for policy relevant science" Mark the date, Nov. 9/10, 2020, join us, contact us with thoughts and suggestions, and RT!. Twitter. Retrieved from: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1309436825753260032
The official definition of a “close contact” — 15 minutes, within six feet — isn’t foolproof.
The takeaway: The official definition of a "close contact" for COVID-19 is not foolproof.
The claim: The official definition of a "close contact" - 15 minutes, within six feet - isn't foolproof.
The evidence: In Korea, a person sitting in a restaurant 6.5 meters (>20ft) away from the COVID index case for five minutes was infected, most likely because airflow from the air conditioner carried droplets with COVID-19 from the infected person to the person who became infected (1). How common transmission across large distances occurs is still debated (2). As several indoor outbreaks were attributed to airborne transmission, precautions to prevent airborne COVID transmission are needed (3). Examples include better air filtration/UV to kill virus in the system, increased air flow from outside, avoidance of recirculating interior air, and avoiding overcrowding in interior spaces.
Sources:
1) https://jkms.org/DOIx.php?id=10.3346/jkms.2020.35.e415
2) https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0166093420302858?via%3Dihub
3) https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7454469/pdf/ciaa939.pdf
Achakulwisut, P. (n.d.). The U.S. Risks Locking In a Climate Health Crisis in Response to COVID. Scientific American. Retrieved December 10, 2020, from https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-u-s-risks-locking-in-a-climate-health-crisis-in-response-to-covid/
For safety reasons, certain pumps and sprayers cannot be returned to the store if opened.
More likely: they don't want to deal with these returns because of risk to store and because they want to keep the money they made from the sale.
The recommendation to wear surgical masks to supplement other public health measures did not reduce the SARS-CoV-2 infection rate among wearers by more than 50% in a community with modest infection rates, some degree of social distancing, and uncommon general mask use.
The takeaway: While minimal protection occurs when a mask is worn in a place where many others are not wearing a mask, community masking is associated with a reduction in COVID cases.
The claim: In a community with modest infection rates, some social distancing, and most people not wearing masks, wearing a surgical mask did not reduce the SARS-CoV-2 infection rate by more than 50%.
The evidence: This study showed that wearing a mask in a community where most people did not wear a mask, did not reduce the risk of getting infected by 50%. Fewer COVID infections were reported in the mask group than in the unmasked group. This study agrees with a meta analysis which showed that masks resulted in a decrease in infections but did not prevent all infections (1) According to the CDC, seven studies have shown community level benefit when masking recommendations were made (2).
When most in the community are not wearing masks, social distancing, and washing hands, wearing a mask alone provides minimal protection to the mask wearer. Community wide masking is associated with a reduction in COVID cases (2).
Sources:
1) https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29140516/
2) https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/more/masking-science-sars-cov2.html
Stienwandt, S., Cameron, E. E., Soderstrom, M., Casar, M. J., Le, C., & Roos, L. E. (2020). Keeping Kids Busy: Family Factors Associated with Hands-on Play and Screen Time During the COVID-19 Pandemic. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/prtyf
Anxiety From Reactions to Covid-19 Will Destroy At Least Seven Times More Years of Life Than Can Be Saved by Lockdowns
Take away: Though the number of COVID deaths prevented and the exact number of years lost due directly to decreases in mental health from lockdowns is at best a rough estimate, several facts are known. Lockdowns decrease mental health, and a decrease in mental health shortens lives too.
The claim: Anxiety from reactions to COVID-19 will destroy at least seven times more years of life than can be saved by lockdowns.
The evidence: This article references many studies detailing the anxiety surrounding COVID-19 (1-4). These studies indicate that many people have increased stress due to COVID. Nature Public Health Emergency Collection reports that the mental health cost of widespread lockdowns may negate the lives saved by this policy (5). This article lists many articles which describe the effect of stay-at-home orders on mental health. Additionally, the effect of poor mental health on physical outcomes is well-defined. Poor mental health shortens lives. Other factors with COVID such as negative media coverage and dealing with job loss and death are also described as negatively affecting mental health. It is unclear how much of the negative mental health outcomes is directly related to lockdowns and what is contributed to the disease, job loss, future uncertainty, and continuous media coverage.
Several supporting facts used in this article are now outdated or could use clarification. Many assumptions are detailed in this article to estimate the number of years lost due to mental harm caused by lockdowns. One example is the authors used a survey of 1,266 patients to estimate the number of people in the United States who have suffered mental harm from lockdowns. These estimates are challenging to conclusively verify. The authors did choose the conservative estimate for each of their numbers. One example of an outdated number is the predicted number of deaths was 114,228 by August 4th. The actual number of deaths per Johns Hopkins was 157,500 (6).
Based on the facts, anxiety and mental disorders can be deadly. Lockdowns result in an increase in poor mental health. The exact number of years lost due to poor mental health directly resulting from lockdowns is less clear. Poor mental health may also result from constant media coverage, loss of loved ones and fear of the future.
The sources:
2) https://www.kff.org/health-reform/report/kff-health-tracking-poll-early-april-2020/
If your Svelte components contain <style> tags, by default the compiler will add JavaScript that injects those styles into the page when the component is rendered. That's not ideal, because it adds weight to your JavaScript, prevents styles from being fetched in parallel with your code, and can even cause CSP violations. A better option is to extract the CSS into a separate file. Using the emitCss option as shown below would cause a virtual CSS file to be emitted for each Svelte component. The resulting file is then imported by the component, thus following the standard Webpack compilation flow.
the lifecycle of most companies is that they grow by delivering much more value than they charge for, they raise funds based on their growth, and then they make those investments pay off by capturing more value. In its maturity, a company will capture a greater share of the value it creates.
The deal with pharma, in theory, is that they're given market exclusivity for a limited time to recoup their investment in R&D. With startups, they give us free or subsidized service for a limited time and recoup by exploiting their scale afterwards. Whereas with pharma, their upside is capped, with startups, society's upside is capped.
Experts say closing borders early and tightly regulating travel have gone a long way toward fighting the virus. Other factors include rigorous contact tracing, technology-enforced quarantine and universal mask wearing. Further, Taiwan’s deadly experience with SARS has scared people into compliance.
The Takeaway: The combination of closing borders, tightly regulating travel, effective quarantine of all exposed people using cell phone data for enforcement, and universal mask wearing contributed to effectively keeping COVID-19 from infecting most of Taiwan's population.
The claim: Closing borders early, tightly regulating travel, contact tracing, technology-enforced quarantine, universal mask wearing, and Taiwan's previous deadly experience with SARS resulted in control of SARS-CoV-2 in Taiwan.
The evidence: The earlier COVID-19 cases are stopped from entering a country, the fewer cases will be present to spread the disease to others. To illustrate, it is easier to stop a trickle of water than to try to dam up a flood and easier to extinguish a candle than a forest fire. Taiwan closed its borders on January 23rd, 2020 (1). The Philippines closed their borders on February 2nd, 2020 (2). Tightly regulating travel will help to stop cases before they enter the country. Effective quarantining the few cases and contacts of the cases which do enter a country is critical to preventing the spread of the disease within the country. Taiwan used mobile telephone data to enforce quarantine (1). Without quarantine, each infected person will spread COVID-19 to 2-6 additional people based on the R0 (3, 4). Universal masking will help slow the spread of disease (5). Previous experience with controlling a deadly disease will most likely increase compliance to methods to control the disease.
Per Our World in Data website, Taiwan had one of the least stringent government responses to COVID-19 (6). The biweekly number of COVID-19 cases in Taiwan was 23 on October 29, 2020 (7). Neighboring countries had biweekly COVID-19 cases of 372 (China), 28,644 (Philippines), 11,871 (Malaysia), 51 (Vietnam), and 8,142 (Japan). These neighboring countries had more stringent government responses to COVID-19 (6).
Sources:
1) https://focustaiwan.tw/society/202001230011
3) https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32234343/
4) https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32097725/
5) https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-1132-9#annotations:7jRWRheWEeuY8x_rXDuRjg
6) https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/covid-stringency-index
7) https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/biweekly-confirmed-covid-19-cases
Brous, P., & Janssen, M. (2020). Trusted Decision-Making: Data Governance for Creating Trust in Data Science Decision Outcomes. Administrative Sciences, 10(4), 81. https://doi.org/10.3390/admsci10040081
just don't work for a company that forces you to support IE6. this can't be a good company anyways.
Ferraro, P. J., Miranda, J. J., & Price, M. K. (2011). The Persistence of Treatment Effects with Norm-Based Policy Instruments: Evidence from a Randomized Environmental Policy Experiment. American Economic Review, 101(3), 318–322. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.101.3.318
What you need to know about Sweden’s new local coronavirus recommendations. (2020, October 19). https://www.thelocal.se/20201019/what-you-need-to-know-about-swedens-new-local-coronavirus-recommendations
Shepherd, D. (2020, October 18). People will be “afraid” to report symptoms due to huge fines. BristolLive. https://www.bristolpost.co.uk/news/bristol-news/bristol-university-professor-fears-people-4617695
Brown, R. C. H., Kelly, D., Wilkinson, D., & Savulescu, J. (2020). The scientific and ethical feasibility of immunity passports. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 0(0). https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30766-0
Royal Statistical Society on Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved October 25, 2020, from https://twitter.com/RoyalStatSoc/status/1317133702183456769
Intercepting proxies are commonly used in businesses to enforce acceptable use policy, and to ease administrative overheads since no client browser configuration is required.
Raimondo, S., Benigni, B., & De Domenico, M. (2020). Environmental conditions and human activity nexus. The case of Northern Italy during COVID-19 lockdown. ArXiv:2010.07721 [Physics]. http://arxiv.org/abs/2010.07721
50 percent effective
Take away: Cloth face masks filter approximately 50% of bacteriophage five times smaller than one SARS-CoV-2 virus. Therefore it is reasonable to assume that masks, including cloth masks, are 50% effective.
The claim: Masks are assumed to be 50% effective.
The evidence: Face masks, including home made face masks, were shown to reduce aerosol exposure (1). Masks made from various materials were shown to filter 50-68% of Bacteriophage CS2 which is 20 nm (2). When NaCl aerosols were used instead of a bacteriophage, penetration by NaCl occurred 9-98% of the time depending on the size of the particles (3). Two well written reviews detail the efficacy of facemasks (4, 5). SARS-CoV-2 virus is ~100 nm in size (6).
Sources: 1 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2440799/
2 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7108646/
3 https://academic.oup.com/annweh/article/54/7/789/202744
4 https://www.preprints.org/manuscript/202004.0203/v1
5 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7497125/#ref23
IJzerman, H., Lewis, N. A., Przybylski, A. K., Weinstein, N., DeBruine, L., Ritchie, S. J., Vazire, S., Forscher, P. S., Morey, R. D., Ivory, J. D., & Anvari, F. (2020). Use caution when applying behavioural science to policy. Nature Human Behaviour, 1–3. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-020-00990-w
ReconfigBehSci on Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved October 15, 2020, from https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1316293486224838661
Howard, M. C. (2021). Gender, face mask perceptions, and face mask wearing: Are men being dangerous during the COVID-19 pandemic? Personality and Individual Differences, 170, 110417. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.paid.2020.110417
Letters. (2020, October 11). Resistance to lockdown rules is not just ‘fatigue’ | Letters. The Guardian. http://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/oct/11/resistance-to-lockdown-rules-is-not-just-fatigue
The HOPE-project (http://hope-project.dk ) tracks public opinion during #covid19, sharing findings with the public & authorities. This graph is the most concerning yet: The # willing to use an approved COVID-vaccine recommended for them
Feldman, J. (2020, October 11). The “herd immunity strategy” isn’t part of a scientific debate about COVID-19. Medium. https://medium.com/@jmfeldman/the-herd-immunity-strategy-isnt-part-of-a-scientific-debate-about-covid-19-abddf6bc7c13
Abraar Karan: Politics and public health in America—taking a stand for what is right. (2020, October 9). The BMJ. https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2020/10/09/abraar-karan-politics-and-public-health-in-america-taking-a-stand-for-what-is-right/
In comparison, the ratio is approximately 2.5 times greater than the estimated IFR for seasonal influenza
Take away:
If correct numerators and denominators are used, COVID-19 is at least 10 times as deadly as seasonal influenza.
The claim:
The Infection Fatality Ratio for COVID-19 is “approximately 2.5 times higher than the estimated IFR for seasonal influenza.”
The evidence:
Blackburn et al. report an infection fatality ratio among community-living adults of 0.26% (1). If institutionalized adults had been included the ratio would be higher, likely approximating the 0.6% mortality rate among exposed individuals readily calculated by combining official death tolls, the known 30% undercount (2), and a definitive CDC study that found 10 times as many people have been exposed to the novel coronavirus than are reported as cases (3). Among the elderly, Blackburn et al. calculate COVID-19 is 2.5 times deadlier than seasonal flu. This is clearly an underestimate:
1) Blackburn et al. use CDC estimates of case-fatality rates calculated on the basis of all Americans, including the institutionalized, not limited to much healthier community-dwellers.
2) The seasonal influenza case fatality rates reported by the CDC, including the often cited 0.1% overall, are for symptomatic cases. Their denominators are estimated by using the reported number of influenza hospitalizations to guess the burden of clinical illness (4). But antibody studies show that 65%-85% of people infected with influenza never develop symptoms (5). The 0.6% mortality rate calculated here for SARS-CoV-2-exposed individuals is 6 times higher than the 0.1% usually cited for seasonal influenza. Given the overestimation of commonly accepted influenza mortality rates due to failure to take asymptomatic infections into account, SARS-CoV-2 can be seen to be not 2.5 times, or even 6 times, but at least 10 times as lethal as seasonal flu.
Sources:
1 http://www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M20-5352
2 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2767980
3 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2768834
4 https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/how-cdc-estimates.htm
Kavanagh, M. M. (2020). US elections and a foreign policy for pandemics. The Lancet Public Health, 5(10), e517–e518. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30211-5
COVID-19 and the Labor Market. (n.d.). IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved October 11, 2020, from https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13622/
COVID-19 and the Labor Market. (n.d.). IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved October 11, 2020, from https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13640/
COVID-19 and the Labor Market. (n.d.). IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved October 11, 2020, from https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13757/
COVID-19 and the Law Colloquium Series | Elections. (2020, September 30). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uKInisfa60o
Covid-19: Is Behavioural Science The Key To Handle The Pandemic? (n.d.). Retrieved October 10, 2020, from https://www.psychologs.com/article/covid-19-is-behavioral-science-the-key-to-handle-the-pandemic
Horwitz argued a fairly radical point, which I think never received wide enough recognition due to the subject matter and his extremely difficult (dense and dry) style. He said, “I seek to show that one of the crucial choices made during the antebellum period was to promote economic growth primarily through the legal, not the tax, system, a choice which had major consequences for the distribution of wealth and power in American society”
I'll have to add this book to my to read stack.
“Let’s really leverage housing policy as part of a larger economic-mobility agenda for the community.”
Opportunity bargains, however, are not an inexhaustible resource. The crucial question, says the Berkeley economist Enrico Moretti, is whether the opportunity in these places derives from “rival goods”—institutions, such as schools, with limited capacity—or “non-rival goods,” such as local culture, which are harder to deplete. When new people move in, what happens to opportunity? And even if an influx of families doesn’t disrupt the opportunity magic, people aren’t always eager to pick up and leave their homes. Moving breaks ties with family, friends, schools, churches, and other organizations. “The real conundrum is how to address the larger structural realities of inequality,” says the Harvard sociologist Robert Sampson, “and not just try to move people around
It's all about the value of links!
A scientific review of the science behind lockdown concludes the policy was a MISTAKE & will have caused MORE deaths from Covid-19
Take Away: The new scientific paper confirms earlier modeling work and should not be interpreted as a detailed prediction for future deaths due to the ongoing pandemic.
The Claim: "A scientific review of the science behind lockdown concludes the policy was a MISTAKE & will have caused MORE deaths from Covid-19"
The Evidence: The scientific process involves replication and confirmation of experiments and studies. A new paper replicates and expands on an early modeling study of the COVID-19 pandemic in England (1). Their findings support the earlier results. However, there are limitations to the replication paper, which does not accurately reflect the current state of the pandemic response and does not make detailed predictions for a second wave of infections and deaths.
A recent expert response to the paper further explains (2):
"It needs to be stressed that all the simulations assume that interventions are only in place for 3 months (18th April – 18th July) and then completely relaxed. This gives rise to a strange set of scenarios where a second wave is allowed to progress in an uncontrolled manner."
“It is this that leads to the counter-intuitive headline finding “that school closures would result in more overall covid-19 deaths than no school closures” – actually what the authors find is that a short period of intense lock-down (including the closure of schools) leads to a large second wave if it is allowed to run with no controls. To be fair the authors do highlight this in the paper, but it is not in the reported press release." -Prof Matt Keeling, Professor of Populations and Disease, University of Warwick
Sources:
Building an Online Community for Behavioural Science COVID-19 Response – Prof. Ulrike Hahn. (2020, August 8). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=noWjiDQSD14
The model predicted that school closures and isolation of younger people would increase the total number of deaths, albeit postponed to a second and subsequent waves. The findings of this study suggest that prompt interventions were shown to be highly effective at reducing peak demand for intensive care unit (ICU) beds but also prolong the epidemic, in some cases resulting in more deaths long term. This happens because covid-19 related mortality is highly skewed towards older age groups. In the absence of an effective vaccination programme, none of the proposed mitigation strategies in the UK would reduce the predicted total number of deaths below 200 000.
Take away: This model excludes the possibility of vaccination. As many vaccines are in stage three clinical trials, the conclusion that more people will die from closing schools, etc. will most likely not be realized.
The claim: School closures and isolation of younger people will increase total number of deaths from second and subsequent waves of COVID-19 when restrictions are lifted.
The evidence: This model predicts more deaths from the combination of place closures such as schools, case isolations, household quarantine, and social distancing of over 70s than for the combination of case isolation, household quarantine, and social distancing for over 70s. The majority of the deaths for the combination of place closures, case isolations, household quarantine, and social distancing of over 70s occur once the restrictions are lifted. This model excludes the possibility of a vaccine reducing the size of the second wave.
At least ten companies have a COVID-19 vaccine in the final stage (Phase III) of clinical trials (1). Therefore a model which excludes vaccination will most likely not be accurate to reality once a vaccine is widely administered.
Source:
1 https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/draft-landscape-of-covid-19-candidate-vaccines
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Adam Kucharski on Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved October 5, 2020, from https://twitter.com/AdamJKucharski/status/1312749950028189697
Part of the problem is that most policies look only 12 months into the future, ignoring long-term trends even as insurance availability influences development and drives people’s long-term decision-making.
Another place where markets are failing us. We need better regulation for this sort of behavior.
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COVID-19 and the Politics of Reproductive Health: Global Perspectives. (2020, August 18). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kex9O_cwMwo
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