Covid-19: Is Behavioural Science The Key To Handle The Pandemic? (n.d.). Retrieved October 10, 2020, from https://www.psychologs.com/article/covid-19-is-behavioral-science-the-key-to-handle-the-pandemic
- Oct 2020
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www.psychologs.com www.psychologs.com
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danallosso.substack.com danallosso.substack.com
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Horwitz argued a fairly radical point, which I think never received wide enough recognition due to the subject matter and his extremely difficult (dense and dry) style. He said, “I seek to show that one of the crucial choices made during the antebellum period was to promote economic growth primarily through the legal, not the tax, system, a choice which had major consequences for the distribution of wealth and power in American society”
I'll have to add this book to my to read stack.
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Annotators
URL
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www.theatlantic.com www.theatlantic.com
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“Let’s really leverage housing policy as part of a larger economic-mobility agenda for the community.”
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Opportunity bargains, however, are not an inexhaustible resource. The crucial question, says the Berkeley economist Enrico Moretti, is whether the opportunity in these places derives from “rival goods”—institutions, such as schools, with limited capacity—or “non-rival goods,” such as local culture, which are harder to deplete. When new people move in, what happens to opportunity? And even if an influx of families doesn’t disrupt the opportunity magic, people aren’t always eager to pick up and leave their homes. Moving breaks ties with family, friends, schools, churches, and other organizations. “The real conundrum is how to address the larger structural realities of inequality,” says the Harvard sociologist Robert Sampson, “and not just try to move people around
It's all about the value of links!
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www.rt.com www.rt.com
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A scientific review of the science behind lockdown concludes the policy was a MISTAKE & will have caused MORE deaths from Covid-19
Take Away: The new scientific paper confirms earlier modeling work and should not be interpreted as a detailed prediction for future deaths due to the ongoing pandemic.
The Claim: "A scientific review of the science behind lockdown concludes the policy was a MISTAKE & will have caused MORE deaths from Covid-19"
The Evidence: The scientific process involves replication and confirmation of experiments and studies. A new paper replicates and expands on an early modeling study of the COVID-19 pandemic in England (1). Their findings support the earlier results. However, there are limitations to the replication paper, which does not accurately reflect the current state of the pandemic response and does not make detailed predictions for a second wave of infections and deaths.
A recent expert response to the paper further explains (2):
"It needs to be stressed that all the simulations assume that interventions are only in place for 3 months (18th April – 18th July) and then completely relaxed. This gives rise to a strange set of scenarios where a second wave is allowed to progress in an uncontrolled manner."
“It is this that leads to the counter-intuitive headline finding “that school closures would result in more overall covid-19 deaths than no school closures” – actually what the authors find is that a short period of intense lock-down (including the closure of schools) leads to a large second wave if it is allowed to run with no controls. To be fair the authors do highlight this in the paper, but it is not in the reported press release." -Prof Matt Keeling, Professor of Populations and Disease, University of Warwick
Sources:
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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Building an Online Community for Behavioural Science COVID-19 Response – Prof. Ulrike Hahn. (2020, August 8). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=noWjiDQSD14
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www.bmj.com www.bmj.com
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The model predicted that school closures and isolation of younger people would increase the total number of deaths, albeit postponed to a second and subsequent waves. The findings of this study suggest that prompt interventions were shown to be highly effective at reducing peak demand for intensive care unit (ICU) beds but also prolong the epidemic, in some cases resulting in more deaths long term. This happens because covid-19 related mortality is highly skewed towards older age groups. In the absence of an effective vaccination programme, none of the proposed mitigation strategies in the UK would reduce the predicted total number of deaths below 200 000.
Take away: This model excludes the possibility of vaccination. As many vaccines are in stage three clinical trials, the conclusion that more people will die from closing schools, etc. will most likely not be realized.
The claim: School closures and isolation of younger people will increase total number of deaths from second and subsequent waves of COVID-19 when restrictions are lifted.
The evidence: This model predicts more deaths from the combination of place closures such as schools, case isolations, household quarantine, and social distancing of over 70s than for the combination of case isolation, household quarantine, and social distancing for over 70s. The majority of the deaths for the combination of place closures, case isolations, household quarantine, and social distancing of over 70s occur once the restrictions are lifted. This model excludes the possibility of a vaccine reducing the size of the second wave.
At least ten companies have a COVID-19 vaccine in the final stage (Phase III) of clinical trials (1). Therefore a model which excludes vaccination will most likely not be accurate to reality once a vaccine is widely administered.
Source:
1 https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/draft-landscape-of-covid-19-candidate-vaccines
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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Bozorgmehr, K. (2020). Power of and power over COVID-19 response guidelines. The Lancet, 0(0). https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)32081-X
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. ‘COVID-19 and the Labor Market’. Accessed 6 October 2020. https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13707/.
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. ‘COVID-19 and the Labor Market’. Accessed 6 October 2020. https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13690/.
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. ‘COVID-19 and the Labor Market’. Accessed 6 October 2020. https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13683/.
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. ‘COVID-19 and the Labor Market’. Accessed 6 October 2020. https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13650/.
Tags
- essential workers
- Department of Homeland Security (DHS)
- researchers
- demographic market
- American Community Survey
- microdata
- lockdown
- social insurance
- is:report
- frontline workers
- labour market
- COVID-19
- lower wages
- less educated
- policy makers
- Hispanics
- disadvantaged minorities
- lang:en
- safety net policy
- men
- immigrants
Annotators
URL
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Adam Kucharski on Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved October 5, 2020, from https://twitter.com/AdamJKucharski/status/1312749950028189697
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www.propublica.org www.propublica.org
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Part of the problem is that most policies look only 12 months into the future, ignoring long-term trends even as insurance availability influences development and drives people’s long-term decision-making.
Another place where markets are failing us. We need better regulation for this sort of behavior.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Pfattheicher, Stefan, Michael Bang Petersen, and Robert Böhm. ‘Information about Herd Immunity and Empathy Promote COVID-19 Vaccination Intentions’, 30 September 2020. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/wzu6k.
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www.medrxiv.org www.medrxiv.org
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Kaplan, Edward H, Dennis Wang, Mike Wang, Amyn A Malik, Alessandro Zulli, and Jordan H Peccia. ‘Aligning SARS-CoV-2 Indicators via an Epidemic Model: Application to Hospital Admissions and RNA Detection in Sewage Sludge’. Preprint. Infectious Diseases (except HIV/AIDS), 29 June 2020. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.27.20141739.
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- Sep 2020
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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Petrie-Flom Center
COVID-19 and the Politics of Reproductive Health: Global Perspectives. (2020, August 18). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kex9O_cwMwo
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behavioralscientist.org behavioralscientist.org
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Behavioral Scientist. ‘Creating Citizen Choice Architects - By Ralph Hertwig & Samuli Reijula’, 28 September 2020. https://behavioralscientist.org/creating-citizen-choice-architects/.
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www.bbc.co.uk www.bbc.co.uk
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Covid: Cardiff and Swansea go into local lockdown—BBC News. (n.d.). Retrieved September 29, 2020, from https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-54310400
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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Learning lessons before launching an inquiry—IfG LIVE 2020 Labour Fringe Programme—YouTube. (n.d.). Retrieved September 29, 2020, from https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cCZl-naQ6UM
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Haas, I. J., Baker, M., & Gonzalez, F. (2020). Political Uncertainty Moderates Neural Evaluation of Incongruent Policy Positions. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/bmr59
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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Computational Social Science to Address the (Post) COVID-19 Reality. (2020, June 27). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7d-Dq0e1JJ0&list=PL9UNgBC7ODr6eZkwB6W0QSzpDs46E8WPN&index=4
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www.scibeh.org www.scibeh.org
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SciBeh 2020 Workshop on “Building an online information environment for policy relevant science.” (2020, September 23). SciBeh. https://scibeh.org/events/workshop2020/
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www.bmj.com www.bmj.com
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COVID-19: Open, reasoned, detailed, discussion of the options is overdue and welcome. (2020). https://www.bmj.com/content/370/bmj.m3702/rr-2
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osf.io osf.io
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Hennessy, E. A., Acabchuk, R., Arnold, P. A., Dunn, A. G., Foo, Y. Z., Johnson, B. T., Geange, S. R., Haddaway, N. R., Nakagawa, S., Mapanga, W., Mengersen, K., Page, M. J., Sánchez-Tójar, A., Welch, V., & McGuinness, L. A. (2020). Ensuring Prevention Science Research is Synthesis-Ready for Immediate and Lasting Scientific Impact [Preprint]. MetaArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31222/osf.io/ptg9j
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twitter.com twitter.com
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ReconfigBehSci on Twitter: “having spent a few days looking at ‘debate’ about COVID policy on lay twitter (not the conspiracy stuff, just the ‘we should all be Sweden’ discussions), the single most jarring (and worrying) thing I noticed is that posters seem completely undeterred by self contradiction 1/3” / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved September 23, 2020, from https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1308340430170456064
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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Webinar series DAY 1 - Insights into COVID-19 modelling & evidence-based policy making. Retrieved from on 21/09/2020 from https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLNzrUckV9eSJAybOPMPxPulI0bciy8HXf
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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Webinar series DAY 2 - Insights into COVID-19 modelling & evidence-based policy making. Retrieved on 21/09/2020 from https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLNzrUckV9eSJIF41YCUaUWHOg_CTxmc99
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www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
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There are two possible approaches to build widespread SARS-CoV-2 immunity: (1) a mass vaccination campaign, which requires the development of an effective and safe vaccine, or (2) natural immunization of global populations with the virus over time. However, the consequences of the latter are serious and far-reaching—a large fraction of the human population would need to become infected with the virus, and millions would succumb to it.
Take away: Mass infection without vaccination to achieve herd immunity will result in millions of deaths based on the observed death rate and may not result in herd immunity due to virus mutation. Historically, vaccination results in less deaths than the disease.
The claim: Herd immunity from widespread disease instead of vaccination will lead to many people dying.
The evidence: Approximately 50-67% of a given population is estimated to need to be infected for herd immunity to COVID-19 to exist which will result in millions of deaths. This is supported by additional publications (1, 2). This number assumes that the virus will not mutate to the point where re-infection is possible. If mutation occurs, COVID could become established in the general population similar to influenza or the common cold (3). A third publication estimates a needed infected percentage of 29-74% (4). These publications support the statement that millions will die if herd immunity is achieved via infection without vaccination. Historically, vaccination results in fewer deaths/disease on a population level than the disease for which the vaccine is designed to prevent (5-7).
Sources:
1 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7314002/
2 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7262166/pdf/JMV-9999-na.pdf
3 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7164482/
5 https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/28708957/
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www.w3.org www.w3.org
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GitHub Issues are preferred for discussion of this specification.
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www.behaviourchangewheel.com www.behaviourchangewheel.com
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The Behaviour Change Wheel Book—A Guide To Designing Interventions. (n.d.). Retrieved September 17, 2020, from http://www.behaviourchangewheel.com/
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stackoverflow.com stackoverflow.com
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I edited the post twice to remove the broken link /react-js-the-king-of-universal-apps/ (with the edit-comments clearly mentioning that it is a broken link), but the peers have rejected the edit both the times. Can someone guide me what's wrong in editing an answer and removing a broken link?
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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SAYAS Webinar 2: What Science will look like after COVID-19? (2020, July 23). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LA8zwwVpKJ8&feature=emb_logo
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fivethirtyeight.com fivethirtyeight.com
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Jr, N. L. (2020, September 14). Why Coming Up With Effective Interventions To Address COVID-19 Is So Hard. FiveThirtyEight. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-coming-up-with-effective-interventions-to-address-covid-19-is-so-hard/
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www.bbc.co.uk www.bbc.co.uk
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Prescott, K. (2020, September 11). Lockdown again: “It can’t get any worse.” BBC News. https://www.bbc.com/news/business-54117668
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www.propublica.org www.propublica.org
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Jesse Keenan, an urban-planning and climate-change specialist then at Harvard’s Graduate School of Design, who advises the federal Commodity Futures Trading Commission on market hazards from climate change. Keenan, who is now an associate professor of real estate at Tulane University’s School of Architecture, had been in the news last year for projecting where people might move to — suggesting that Duluth, Minnesota, for instance, should brace for a coming real estate boom as climate migrants move north.
Why can't we project additional places like this and begin investing in infrastructure and growth in those places?
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That’s what happened in Florida. Hurricane Andrew reduced parts of cities to landfill and cost insurers nearly $16 billion in payouts. Many insurance companies, recognizing the likelihood that it would happen again, declined to renew policies and left the state. So the Florida Legislature created a state-run company to insure properties itself, preventing both an exodus and an economic collapse by essentially pretending that the climate vulnerabilities didn’t exist.
This is an interesting and telling example.
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And federal agriculture aid withholds subsidies from farmers who switch to drought-resistant crops, while paying growers to replant the same ones that failed.
Here's a place were those who cry capitalism will save us should be shouting the loudest!
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The federal National Flood Insurance Program has paid to rebuild houses that have flooded six times over in the same spot.
We definitely need to quit putting good money after bad.
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Natalie Savona: Who is responsible for health behaviour? (2020, September 11). The BMJ. https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2020/09/11/natalie-savona-who-is-responsible-for-health-behaviour/
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www.dailymail.co.uk www.dailymail.co.uk
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Take away: People are infectious for only part of the time they test positive. The tests for COVID-19 were granted emergency status by the FDA so some debate concerning the most ideal number of cycles is to be expected. It is worth noting that the FDA has the disclaimer "Negative results do not preclude 2019-nCoV infection and should not be used as the sole basis for treatment or other patient management decisions. Negative results must be combined with clinical observations, patient history, and epidemiological information (2)."
The claim: Up to 90 percent of people diagnosed with coronavirus may not be carrying enough of it to infect anyone else
The evidence: Per Walsh et al. (1), SARS-CoV-2 virus (COVID-19) is most likely infectious if the number of PCR cycles is <24 and the symptom onset to test is <8 days. RT-PCR detects the RNA, not the infectious virus. Therefore, setting the cycle threshold at 37-40 cycles will most likely result in detecting some samples with virus which is not infectious. As the PCR tests were granted emergency use by the FDA (samples include 2-9), it is not surprising that some debate exists currently about where the cycle threshold should be. Thresholds need to be set and validated for dozens of PCR tests currently in use. If identifying only infectious individuals is the goal, a lower cycle number may be justified. If detection of as many cases as possible to get closer to the most accurate death rate is the goal, setting the cycle threshold at 37-40 makes sense. A lower threshold will result in fewer COVID-19 positive samples being identified. It is worth noting that the emergency use approval granted by the FDA includes the disclaimer that a negative test does not guarantee that a person is not infected with COVID-19. RNA degrades easily. If samples are not kept cold or properly processed, the virus can degrade and result in a false negative result.
Source: 1 https://academic.oup.com/cid/advance-article/doi/10.1093/cid/ciaa638/5842165
2 https://www.fda.gov/media/134922/download
3 https://www.fda.gov/media/138150/download
4 https://www.fda.gov/media/137120/download
5 https://www.fda.gov/media/136231/download
6 https://www.fda.gov/media/136472/download
7 https://www.fda.gov/media/139279/download
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www.reddit.com www.reddit.com
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r/BehSciAsk - Behavioural Policy challenge: How well do people understand trade-offs and accept them? (n.d.). Reddit. Retrieved 9 September 2020, from https://www.reddit.com/r/BehSciAsk/comments/ii3n2x/behavioural_policy_challenge_how_well_do_people/
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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Susan Athey, July 22, 2020. (2020, August 2). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hqTOPrUxDzM
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papers.ssrn.com papers.ssrn.com
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Casoria, F., Galeotti, F., & Villeval, M. C. (2020). Perceived Social Norm and Behavior Quickly Adjusted to Legal Changes During the COVID-19 Pandemic (SSRN Scholarly Paper ID 3681204). Social Science Research Network. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3681204
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www.medrxiv.org www.medrxiv.org
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Clifford, S., Quilty, B. J., Russell, T. W., Liu, Y., Chan, Y.-W. D., Pearson, C. A. B., Eggo, R. M., Endo, A., Group, C. C.-19 W., Flasche, S., & Edmunds, W. J. (2020). Strategies to reduce the risk of SARS-CoV-2 re-introduction from international travellers. MedRxiv, 2020.07.24.20161281. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.07.24.20161281
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Jason Furman on Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved September 7, 2020, from https://twitter.com/jasonfurman/status/1301871401226338305
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Lewandowsky, Stephan, Simon Dennis, Amy Perfors, Yoshihisa Kashima, Joshua White, Paul Michael Garrett, Daniel R. Little, and Muhsin Yesilada. ‘Public Acceptance of Privacy-Encroaching Policies to Address the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United Kingdom’. Preprint. PsyArXiv, 4 September 2020. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/njwmp.
Tags
- time limited
- United Kingdom
- public
- opt-out clause
- contact
- is:preprint
- privacy-encroaching policy
- COVID-19
- tracking technology
- widespread acceptance
- co-location tracking
- UK
- health agencies
- willingness
- social distancing
- infected
- lang:en
- antibodies
- immunity passport
- public acceptance
Annotators
URL
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Peter Slattery on Twitter: “Are you, or is anyone you know, researching how COVID-19 has affected behaviour and behavioural drivers in Victoria and Australia, in particular behaviours that related to topics such as ‘active transport’, ‘service provision’, ‘working from home’ and ‘car usage’?” / Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved June 23, 2020, from https://twitter.com/peterslattery1/status/1274874801174179840
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www.rse.org.uk www.rse.org.uk
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Tea & Talk Podcast. (2020, June 5). The Royal Society of Edinburgh. https://www.rse.org.uk/publication/tea-talk-podcast/
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www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
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Nuzzo, J. B., & Sharfstein, J. M. (2020, July 1). Opinion | We Have to Focus on Opening Schools, Not Bars. The New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/01/opinion/coronavirus-schools.html
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www.fastcompany.com www.fastcompany.com
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Sorokanich, L., Sorokanich, L., & Sorokanich, L. (2020, June 16). Six experts on how we’ll live, work, and play in cities after COVID-19. Fast Company. https://www.fastcompany.com/90506247/six-experts-on-how-well-live-work-and-play-in-cities-after-covid
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criticallegalthinking.com criticallegalthinking.com
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Admin. (2020, June 8). Institutional Vandalism: The University & Covid-19. Critical Legal Thinking. https://criticallegalthinking.com/2020/06/08/institutional-vandalism-the-university-covid-19/
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Spinney, L. (2020, May 31). Covid-19 expert Karl Friston: “Germany may have more immunological ‘dark matter.’” The Observer. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/may/31/covid-19-expert-karl-friston-germany-may-have-more-immunological-dark-matter
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www.spiked-online.com www.spiked-online.com
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Covid-19 is far more widespread than we think. (n.d.). Retrieved June 22, 2020, from https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/06/19/covid-19-is-far-more-widespread-than-we-think/
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www.scielosp.org www.scielosp.org
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Jr, C., & De, K. R. (2020). Trying to make sense out of chaos: Science, politics and the COVID-19 pandemic. Cadernos de Saúde Pública, 36, e00088120. https://doi.org/10.1590/0102-311x00088120
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papers.ssrn.com papers.ssrn.com
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Benvenisti, E. (2020). The WHO – Destined to Fail?: Political Cooperation and the COVID-19 Pandemic (SSRN Scholarly Paper ID 3638948). Social Science Research Network. https://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=3638948
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iowacapitaldispatch.com iowacapitaldispatch.com
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Obradovich, K. (n.d.). Reynolds says COVID-19 immunity strikes a “balance.” It’s not even close. - Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved July 1, 2020, from https://iowacapitaldispatch.com/2020/06/29/reynolds-says-covid-19-immunity-strikes-a-balance-its-not-even-close/
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wip.mitpress.mit.edu wip.mitpress.mit.edu
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Building the New Economy · Works in Progress. (n.d.). Works in Progress. Retrieved June 16, 2020, from https://wip.mitpress.mit.edu/new-economy
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www.bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com
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What Happens to Public Space When Everything Moves Outside. (2020, June 29). Bloomberg.Com. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2020-06-29/what-happens-to-public-space-when-everything-moves-outside
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www.reddit.com www.reddit.com
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u/nick_chater (2020) Behavioural Policy Challenge: when does compulsion help? reddit. Retrieved from: https://www.reddit.com/r/BehSciAsk/comments/hzci8g/behavioural_policy_challenge_when_does_compulsion/
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www.reddit.com www.reddit.com
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r/BehSciResearch—Looking for partnersfor project on pandemic and adolescents’ wellbeing. (n.d.). Reddit. Retrieved July 18, 2020, from https://www.reddit.com/r/BehSciResearch/comments/hrkixd/looking_for_partnersfor_project_on_pandemic_and/
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www.reddit.com www.reddit.com
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R/BehSciMeta—Introducing “Horizon Scanning”—A new scibeh.org activity. (n.d.). Reddit. Retrieved June 11, 2020, from https://www.reddit.com/r/BehSciMeta/comments/h0xhv8/introducing_horizon_scanning_a_new_scibehorg/
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r/BehSciAsk - Issue Radar: Covid-19 and threats to democracy. (n.d.). Reddit. Retrieved June 18, 2020, from https://www.reddit.com/r/BehSciAsk/comments/hbf4g9/issue_radar_covid19_and_threats_to_democracy/
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www.reddit.com www.reddit.com
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r/BehSciResearch - From social licencing of contact tracing to political accountability: Input sought on next wave of representative surveys in Germany, Spain, and U.K. (n.d.). Reddit. Retrieved June 18, 2020, from https://www.reddit.com/r/BehSciResearch/comments/hbaj58/from_social_licencing_of_contact_tracing_to/
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Bennhold, K. (2020, August 26). Schools Can Reopen, Germany Finds, but Expect a ‘Roller Coaster.’ The New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/26/world/europe/germany-schools-virus-reopening.html
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Van Bavel, J. J., & Myer, A. (2020). National identity predicts public health support during a global pandemic [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/ydt95
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www.imperial.ac.uk www.imperial.ac.uk
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Two intersecting pandemics. (n.d.). Retrieved 1 September 2020, from https://www.imperial.ac.uk/stories/intersecting-pandemics
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Rodriguez, C. G., Gadarian, S. K., Goodman, S. W., & Pepinsky, T. (2020). Morbid Polarization: Exposure to COVID-19 and Partisan Disagreement about Pandemic Response [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/wvyr7
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- Aug 2020
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Zheng, Q., Jones, F. K., Leavitt, S. V., Ung, L., Labrique, A. B., Peters, D. H., Lee, E. C., & Azman, A. S. (2020). HIT-COVID, a global database tracking public health interventions to COVID-19. Scientific Data, 7(1), 286. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-020-00610-2
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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Lozano, R., Fullman, N., Mumford, J. E., Knight, M., Barthelemy, C. M., Abbafati, C., Abbastabar, H., Abd-Allah, F., Abdollahi, M., Abedi, A., Abolhassani, H., Abosetugn, A. E., Abreu, L. G., Abrigo, M. R. M., Haimed, A. K. A., Abushouk, A. I., Adabi, M., Adebayo, O. M., Adekanmbi, V., … Murray, C. J. L. (2020). Measuring universal health coverage based on an index of effective coverage of health services in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet, 0(0). https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30750-9
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Ray, E. L., Wattanachit, N., Niemi, J., Kanji, A. H., House, K., Cramer, E. Y., Bracher, J., Zheng, A., Yamana, T. K., Xiong, X., Woody, S., Wang, Y., Wang, L., Walraven, R. L., Tomar, V., Sherratt, K., Sheldon, D., Reiner, R. C., Prakash, B. A., … Consortium, C.-19 F. H. (2020). Ensemble Forecasts of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the U.S. MedRxiv, 2020.08.19.20177493. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.08.19.20177493
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Hurst, D., & Murphy, K. (2020, June 22). Trump’s misleading information enables China to sow discord among allies, research finds. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/jun/23/trumps-misleading-information-enables-china-to-sow-discord-among-allies-research-finds
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Eichenbaum, M. S., Rebelo, S., & Trabandt, M. (2020). The Macroeconomics of Epidemics (Working Paper No. 26882; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w26882
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Chang, R., & Velasco, A. (2020). Economic Policy Incentives to Preserve Lives and Livelihoods (Working Paper No. 27020; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27020
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COVID-19: Doing It Right. (2020, July 3). Open Mind. https://tamino.wordpress.com/2020/07/03/covid-19-doing-it-right/
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Horton, R. (2020). Offline: A novel solution to live with coronavirus. The Lancet, 395(10241), 1894. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)31416-1
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Basellini, U., Alburez-Gutierrez, D., Del Fava, E., Perrotta, D., Bonetti, M., Camarda, C. G., & Zagheni, E. (2020). Linking excess mortality to Google mobility data during the COVID-19 pandemic in England and Wales [Preprint]. SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/75d6m
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Stephen Reicher on Twitter: “A very simple question to start the week. Scotland now has a clear strategy to drive towards elimination of the virus. But what is the strategy in England? We have a series of policy changes - open the pubs, end shielding - but we have no clear overall statement of strategy.” / Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved June 30, 2020, from https://twitter.com/reicherstephen/status/1277524208185204736
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Here’s how to stop the virus from winning. (2020, June 26). Science. https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/2020/06/how-to-stop-coronavirus-surges-from-winning-the-war-cvd/
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The Trump administration must stop sidelining the CDC. (2020). Nature, 583(7818), 660–660. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-020-02231-6
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Beytía, P., & Infante, C. C. (2020). Digital Pathways, Pandemic Trajectories. Using Google Trends to Track Social Responses to COVID-19 [Preprint]. SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/yndb7
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Marcus, J. (2020, August 15). The Fun Police Should Stand Down. The Atlantic. https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/08/containing-the-pandemic-isnt-a-job-for-cops/615298/
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Andy Slavitt @ 🏡 on Twitter: “COVID UPDATE July 13: There are successful examples of taking on COVID-19. And there is one story like no others. New York. 1/” / Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved July 17, 2020, from https://twitter.com/ASlavitt/status/1282838738121502720
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Dynamics of Social Mobility during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Canada. COVID-19 and the Labor Market. (n.d.). IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved August 4, 2020, from https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13376/
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Moya, C., Cruz y Celis Peniche, P. D., Kline, M. A., & Smaldino, P. (2020). Dynamics of Behavior Change in the COVID World [Preprint]. SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/kxajh
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Starominski-Uehara, M. (2020). Reducing the Risks of New Coronavirus in Vulnerable Areas in Brazil [Preprint]. SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/4739g
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Karl Friston: Up to 80% not even susceptible to Covid-19. (2020, June 4). UnHerd. https://unherd.com/2020/06/karl-friston-up-to-80-not-even-susceptible-to-covid-19/
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A Literature Review of the Economics of COVID-19. COVID-19 and the Labor Market. (n.d.). IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved July 31, 2020, from https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13411/
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Holtz, D., Zhao, M., Benzell, S. G., Cao, C. Y., Rahimian, M. A., Yang, J., Allen, J., Collis, A., Moehring, A., Sowrirajan, T., Ghosh, D., Zhang, Y., Dhillon, P. S., Nicolaides, C., Eckles, D., & Aral, S. (2020). Interdependence and the cost of uncoordinated responses to COVID-19. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 117(33), 19837–19843. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2009522117
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Rahvy, A., & Ridlo, I. A. (2020). A Timeline Response: How Does Islamic Organizations Respond to COVID-19 in Indonesia? https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/kzhy9
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Landgrave, M. (2020). How Do Legislators Value Constituent’s (Statistical) Lives? COVID-19, Partisanship, and Value of a Statistical Life Analysis. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/n93w2
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Explaining Governors’ Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States. COVID-19 and the Labor Market. (n.d.). IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved August 8, 2020, from https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13137/
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Rodela, T. T., Tasnim, S., Mazumder, H., Faizah, F., Sultana, A., & Hossain, M. M. (2020). Economic Impacts of Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) in Developing Countries [Preprint]. SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/wygpk
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Allen-Kinross, P. (n.d.). Government issues contradictory advice on travel quarantine. Full Fact. Retrieved July 16, 2020, from https://fullfact.org/health/coronavirus-travel-quarantine-confusion/
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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When Do Shelter-In-Place Orders Fight COVID-19 Best? Policy Heterogeneity across States and Adoption Time. COVID-19 and the Labor Market. (n.d.). IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved August 7, 2020, from https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13190/
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Cronin, C. J., & Evans, W. N. (2020). Private Precaution and Public Restrictions: What Drives Social Distancing and Industry Foot Traffic in the COVID-19 Era? (Working Paper No. 27531; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27531
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Mongey, S., Pilossoph, L., & Weinberg, A. (2020). Which Workers Bear the Burden of Social Distancing Policies? (Working Paper No. 27085; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27085
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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Stay-At-Home Orders, Social Distancing and Trust. COVID-19 and the Labor Market. (n.d.). IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved August 5, 2020, from https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13234/
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Qin. X. Yam. K. Xu. M. Zhang. H., (2020) The Increase in COVID-19 Cases is Associated with Domestic Violence. PsyArXiv Preprints. Retrieved from: https://psyarxiv.com/yfkdx/
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csbs.research.illinois.edu csbs.research.illinois.edu
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jamanetwork.com jamanetwork.com
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Mishra, V., & Dexter, J. P. (2020). Comparison of Readability of Official Public Health Information About COVID-19 on Websites of International Agencies and the Governments of 15 Countries. JAMA Network Open, 3(8), e2018033–e2018033. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.18033
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Althouse, B. M., Wallace, B., Case, B., Scarpino, S. V., Berdahl, A. M., White, E. R., & Hebert-Dufresne, L. (2020). The unintended consequences of inconsistent pandemic control policies. ArXiv:2008.09629 [Physics, q-Bio]. http://arxiv.org/abs/2008.09629
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Liu, Zihan, Drake Van Egdom, Rhona Flin, Christiane Spitzmueller, Omolola Adepoju, and Ramanan Krishnamoorti. ‘I Don’t Want to Go Back: Examining the Return to Physical Workspaces During COVID-19’. Preprint. PsyArXiv, 21 August 2020. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/un2bp.
Tags
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- flexible approaches
- employee perspectives
- decision making
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Annotators
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.comYouTube2
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Online Harms & Disinformation Post-COVID. (n.d.). Retrieved 20 August 2020, from https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N2BmRuXbNhk
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Communicating statistics, risks and uncertainty in the age of COVID19 | David Spiegelhalter | 5x15. (n.d.). Retrieved 19 August 2020, from https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m_D9egJHfCw
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www.newyorker.com www.newyorker.com
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Romeo, N. (n.d.). What Can America Learn from Europe About Regulating Big Tech? The New Yorker. Retrieved August 19, 2020, from https://www.newyorker.com/tech/annals-of-technology/what-can-america-learn-from-europe-about-regulating-big-tech
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twitter.com twitter.com
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ReconfigBehSci [@SciBeh} (2020, August). Erik, as people inside and outside Sweden continue to grapple with what exactly the Swedish strategy might have been, there are two aspects that have seemed potentially troubling to me (and only more so in light of the FOI email releases): Twitter. Retrieved from: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1295684634529992705
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twitter.com twitter.com
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ReconfigBehSci [@SciBeh] (2020, August) "There's no explicit ban on working/going to school when you have an infected family member, that's true." that seems very odd! but, together with the mandatory school policy, if there is no ban on going to school, isn't going to school effectively mandated in these circs? Twitter. Retrieved from: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1295725710154358791
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twitter.com twitter.com
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ReconfigBehSci (2020) what I am getting at (ex lawyer here, sorry) is that given the conjunction of mandatory schooling and explicit statement that it is ok to go to school if infected it is the legal default that the child has to go to school (unless an exception is applied for and granted)!? Twitter. Retrieved from: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1295728757353963529
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twitter.com twitter.com
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ReconfigBehSci on Twitter: “@ErikAngner 2/2 1. mandatory schooling (where there exemptions for immune-compromised parents?) 2. encouraging household members of infected individuals to go to work/school Could you provide more background here and how you see these policies in the wider context?” / Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved August 18, 2020, from https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1295685503111647232
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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Endocrinology, T. L. D. &. (2020). Obesity and COVID-19: Blame isn’t a strategy. The Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology, 0(0). https://doi.org/10.1016/S2213-8587(20)30274-6
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Jørgensen, F. J., Bor, A., Lindholt, M. F., & Petersen, M. B. (2020). Lockdown Evaluations During the First Wave of the COVID-19 Pandemic [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/4ske2
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Ganong, P., Noel, P. J., & Vavra, J. S. (2020). US Unemployment Insurance Replacement Rates During the Pandemic (Working Paper No. 27216; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27216
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Auerbach, A. J., Gorodnichenko, Y., & Murphy, D. (2020). Fiscal Policy and COVID19 Restrictions in a Demand-Determined Economy (Working Paper No. 27366; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27366
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Levin, A. T., Cochran, K. B., & Walsh, S. P. (2020). Assessing the Age Specificity of Infection Fatality Rates for COVID-19: Meta-Analysis & Public Policy Implications (Working Paper No. 27597; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27597
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Farboodi, M., Jarosch, G., & Shimer, R. (2020). Internal and External Effects of Social Distancing in a Pandemic (Working Paper No. 27059; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27059
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behavioralscientist.org behavioralscientist.org
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Why a Group of Behavioural Scientists Penned an Open Letter to the U.K. Government Questioning Its Coronavirus Response. (2020, March 16). Behavioral Scientist. https://behavioralscientist.org/why-a-group-of-behavioural-scientists-penned-an-open-letter-to-the-uk-government-questioning-its-coronavirus-response-covid-19-social-distancing/
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www.weforum.org www.weforum.org
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’Normal wasn’t working’—John Kerry, Phillip Atiba Goff and others on the new social contract post-COVID. (n.d.). World Economic Forum. Retrieved 12 August 2020, from https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/06/great-reset-social-contract-john-kerry-phillip-goff/
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Andersen, M., Maclean, J. C., Pesko, M. F., & Simon, K. I. (2020). Effect of a Federal Paid Sick Leave Mandate on Working and Staying at Home: Evidence from Cellular Device Data (Working Paper No. 27138; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27138
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Coibion, O., Gorodnichenko, Y., & Weber, M. (2020). Does Policy Communication During Covid Work? (Working Paper No. 27384; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27384
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Ziedan, E., Simon, K. I., & Wing, C. (2020). Effects of State COVID-19 Closure Policy on NON-COVID-19 Health Care Utilization (Working Paper No. 27621; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27621
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Fairlie, R. W. (2020). The Impact of Covid-19 on Small Business Owners: Evidence of Early-Stage Losses from the April 2020 Current Population Survey (Working Paper No. 27309; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27309
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Ding, W., Levine, R., Lin, C., & Xie, W. (2020). Social Distancing and Social Capital: Why U.S. Counties Respond Differently to COVID-19 (Working Paper No. 27393; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27393
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Çakmaklı, C., Demiralp, S., Kalemli-Özcan, Ṣebnem, Yesiltas, S., & Yildirim, M. A. (2020). COVID-19 and Emerging Markets: An Epidemiological Model with International Production Networks and Capital Flows (Working Paper No. 27191; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27191
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Dave, D. M., Friedson, A. I., Matsuzawa, K., McNichols, D., & Sabia, J. J. (2020). Did the Wisconsin Supreme Court Restart a COVID-19 Epidemic? Evidence from a Natural Experiment (Working Paper No. 27322; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27322
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www.exeter.ac.uk www.exeter.ac.uk
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University of Exeter. (n.d.). Retrieved 12 August 2020, from https://www.exeter.ac.uk/news/homepage/title_808437_en.html
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www.weforum.org www.weforum.org
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5 myths about face masks under the microscope. (n.d.). World Economic Forum. Retrieved 12 August 2020, from https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/08/coronavirus-face-masks-myths/
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www.rawstory.com www.rawstory.com
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Gettys, T. (n.d.). ‘Listening to experts is elitist’: Idaho Republicans move to strip power from public health officials. Retrieved 12 August 2020, from https://www.rawstory.com/2020/08/listening-to-experts-is-elitist-idaho-republicans-move-to-strip-power-from-public-health-officials/
Tags
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- is:article
- public policy
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- coronavirus
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- COVID-19
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Annotators
URL
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Alwan, Nisreen A. ‘A Negative COVID-19 Test Does Not Mean Recovery’. Nature 584, no. 7820 (11 August 2020): 170–170. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-020-02335-z.
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Bigio, S., Zhang, M., & Zilberman, E. (2020). Transfers vs Credit Policy: Macroeconomic Policy Trade-offs during Covid-19 (Working Paper No. 27118; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27118
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Alon, T., Kim, M., Lagakos, D., & VanVuren, M. (2020). How Should Policy Responses to the COVID-19 Pandemic Differ in the Developing World? (Working Paper No. 27273; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27273
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Benmelech, E., & Tzur-Ilan, N. (2020). The Determinants of Fiscal and Monetary Policies During the Covid-19 Crisis (Working Paper No. 27461; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27461
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Avery, C., Bossert, W., Clark, A., Ellison, G., & Ellison, S. F. (2020). Policy Implications of Models of the Spread of Coronavirus: Perspectives and Opportunities for Economists (Working Paper No. 27007; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27007
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Aum, S., Lee, S. Y. (Tim), & Shin, Y. (2020). Inequality of Fear and Self-Quarantine: Is There a Trade-off between GDP and Public Health? (Working Paper No. 27100; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27100
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Alvarez, F. E., Argente, D., & Lippi, F. (2020). A Simple Planning Problem for COVID-19 Lockdown (Working Paper No. 26981; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w26981
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Barnett, M., Buchak, G., & Yannelis, C. (2020). Epidemic Responses Under Uncertainty (Working Paper No. 27289; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27289
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Baker, S. R., Farrokhnia, R. A., Meyer, S., Pagel, M., & Yannelis, C. (2020). Income, Liquidity, and the Consumption Response to the 2020 Economic Stimulus Payments (Working Paper No. 27097; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27097
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Bordo, M. D., Levin, A. T., & Levy, M. D. (2020). Incorporating Scenario Analysis into the Federal Reserve’s Policy Strategy and Communications (Working Paper No. 27369; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27369
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Alfaro, L., Faia, E., Lamersdorf, N., & Saidi, F. (2020). Social Interactions in Pandemics: Fear, Altruism, and Reciprocity (Working Paper No. 27134; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27134
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Peterson, David, and Aaron Panofsky. ‘Metascience as a Scientific Social Movement’. Preprint. SocArXiv, 4 August 2020. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/4dsqa.
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Berger, D. W., Herkenhoff, K. F., & Mongey, S. (2020). An SEIR Infectious Disease Model with Testing and Conditional Quarantine (Working Paper No. 26901; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w26901
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Eichenbaum, M. S., Rebelo, S., & Trabandt, M. (2020). The Macroeconomics of Testing and Quarantining (Working Paper No. 27104; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27104
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Barro, Robert J, José F Ursúa, and Joanna Weng. ‘The Coronavirus and the Great Influenza Pandemic: Lessons from the “Spanish Flu” for the Coronavirus’s Potential Effects on Mortality and Economic Activity’. Working Paper. Working Paper Series. National Bureau of Economic Research, March 2020. https://doi.org/10.3386/w26866.
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Fujita, Shigeru, Giuseppe Moscarini, and Fabien Postel-Vinay. ‘Measuring Employer-to-Employer Reallocation’. Working Paper. Working Paper Series. National Bureau of Economic Research, July 2020. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27525.
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Aizenman, Joshua, Yothin Jinjarak, Donghyun Park, and Huanhuan Zheng. ‘Good-Bye Original Sin, Hello Risk On-Off, Financial Fragility, and Crises?’ National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series, 23 April 2020. https://www.nber.org/papers/w27030.
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Moser, Christian A, and Pierre Yared. ‘Pandemic Lockdown: The Role of Government Commitment’. Working Paper. Working Paper Series. National Bureau of Economic Research, April 2020. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27062.
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Stock, James H. ‘Data Gaps and the Policy Response to the Novel Coronavirus’. Working Paper. Working Paper Series. National Bureau of Economic Research, March 2020. https://doi.org/10.3386/w26902.
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Diewert, W. Erwin, and Kevin J Fox. ‘Measuring Real Consumption and CPI Bias under Lockdown Conditions’. Working Paper. Working Paper Series. National Bureau of Economic Research, May 2020. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27144.
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Céspedes, L. F., Chang, R., & Velasco, A. (2020). The Macroeconomics of a Pandemic: A Minimalist Model (Working Paper No. 27228; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27228
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Though important, social distancing could be reduced to one metre instead of 2m
Take away: As with most things in nature, there are always exceptions – transmission occurring at greater distances than 3 ft and evidence of aerosolization have been reported.
Discussion: In scientific terms, this virus is still very new so the data supporting an optimal physical distance to prevent transmission remains scarce. In the absence of data, public health agencies have used what they understand about this virus and similar viruses to infer a “best” answer. Public health agencies try to simplify the recommendation to a single answer, but the reality is much more complex.
According to reports the WHO bases their recommendation for 1 meter (~3 ft) distancing off of an understanding that SARS-CoV-2 behaves like similar respiratory viruses that are primarily transmitted via larger droplets (as opposed to smaller aerosols). Assuming most spread is via droplets, the WHO reportedly follows the results of a 1934 study indicating most respiratory droplets fall to the ground within 3 feet.
However, as with most things in nature, there are always exceptions – transmission occurring at greater distances than 3 ft and evidence of aerosolization have been reported.
The evidence basis for the CDCs guidance for 6 feet of separation is less clear, but probably reflects lower risk tolerance, or greater weight to evidence of aerosolization or wider droplet spread.
Even with further study, there may never be a clear answer for optimal physical distancing. This is because, (1) the area of high risk for transmission is probably dependent on the specific conditions of the interaction (e.g. loud talking, windy environment), and (2) the “optimal” distance is based on risk tolerance. There is no single distance between individuals where risk of transmission drops off precipitously to zero.
All evidence indicates that greater distances are safer but, for example, consider how restrictive a physical distancing recommendation of >50 ft would be. In the end, because we can’t control how far others stand away from us, we ask governments to consider these tradeoffs and deliver a “best” answer to guide their citizenry.
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I used to be a staunch defender of proper reply styles, even for casual emails. Insert your replies below the relevant paragraph and trim the exchange to be just about the matters of discussion.
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